I’d give it a B+ for craftsmanship and reach. It’s a weird case though and I’m not sure anyone would expect a guy to go from one shoplifting incident to random shooting.
Have they identified why this guy shot her? It’s a weird story that he just came out from shrubbery and randomly shoots someone.
F-. Baylee: President Biden and Congress offered a deal to Republicans to fix the problem. Private citizen Trump said no. The blood is on your hands. What are you going to do in Illinois Baylee? Roads? Schools? Anything?
The old adage “insanity is doing the same thing expecting different results” comes to mind.
I guess the Bailey campaign thinks a scary Bruckheimer-movie musical score combined with dishonest edits will make for a dog-whistle powerful enough to get their xenophobic base even more motivated than in ‘22 (and ‘24 in the primary against Bost) to carry him over the line this time.
The soft and cuddly Bailey, allegedly chastened by his last election and rededicated to the Lord following his family’s tragedy, was nice while it lasted.
“Then JB Pritzker released him again” is a straight up lie.
All this does is crack open the door to nasty for Team Pritzker. Bailey better buckle up, 2022 is going to seem like a pleasant dream in comparison.
F. Exploiting a young woman’s death to make cheap political points shows he learned nothing from his family tragedy.
- Pot calling kettle - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 12:49 pm:
A for folks who believe the lies and misleading implications. F for people who have a better understanding of how things work. I would like to think the electorate has more of the latter folks, but I know the former makes up a pretty large bloc.
- Peoples Republic of Oak Park - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 12:54 pm:
Democrats need to be able to hold two very distinct ideas in their head and communicate them to the public.
1.Trumps ICE is out of control and is making us less safe.
2. There is a very real danger to unchecked immigration and people like Gorman’s murderer should not be in the country.
To the ad. Its meh. Its red meat to the base and anyone whose opinion on JB changes because of this was not a JB voter to begin with.
Bailey is playing stand-in for Donald Trump. Pritzker gets to practice against Bailey to prep for the Big One next year.
- Friendly Bob Adams - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 1:08 pm:
At best the ad will only appeal to the maga base, who were all voting for Bailey anyway. The best ads expand the reach of potential voters, and this one misses the mark.
It’s a D. The current policies around immigration coming out of Washington don’t play well with the overall population. And in Illinois the contrast is even larger.
Bailey’s challenge lies in appealing to Independents and possibly converting some Democratic voters. While this ad will certainly appeal to his base voters, it will not add any new voters. I would have expected this message in the primary. In the general election it makes no sense.
“Exploiting a young woman’s death to make cheap political points”
This has been the Republican model the last few years. Literally anytime a woman is murdered by a POC, their name gets picked up by the FOX/social media ecosystem and used as a political hammer. Bailey’s campaign is naive enough to think this is good enough to drive up his vote totals in the suburbs. All it does is confirm that he’s pro-ICE and full MAGA.
- DarkestBeforeDawn - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 1:33 pm:
F- due to the exploitation described above. Shameful.
- NIU Grad - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 12:11 pm:
I guess people can stop thinking about a “new and improved” Darren Bailey. He just can’t help himself.
- ArchPundit - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 12:17 pm:
I’d give it a B+ for craftsmanship and reach. It’s a weird case though and I’m not sure anyone would expect a guy to go from one shoplifting incident to random shooting.
Have they identified why this guy shot her? It’s a weird story that he just came out from shrubbery and randomly shoots someone.
- Jerry - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 12:20 pm:
F-. Baylee: President Biden and Congress offered a deal to Republicans to fix the problem. Private citizen Trump said no. The blood is on your hands. What are you going to do in Illinois Baylee? Roads? Schools? Anything?
- CA-HOON! - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 12:30 pm:
The old adage “insanity is doing the same thing expecting different results” comes to mind.
I guess the Bailey campaign thinks a scary Bruckheimer-movie musical score combined with dishonest edits will make for a dog-whistle powerful enough to get their xenophobic base even more motivated than in ‘22 (and ‘24 in the primary against Bost) to carry him over the line this time.
Let’s see how that works out for him, Cotton…
- Steve - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 12:31 pm:
I’d rate it an ‘A’. The national media is talking about this story. Bailey , himself, got free media attention off this story.
- Socially DIstant Watcher - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 12:32 pm:
It’ll help consolidate the Republican base after the primary, but won’t broaden his vote at all
- Demoralized - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 12:32 pm:
The ad is an F for a general election ad. All this does is speak to his base again. He’s not changing anybody’s mind with this ad.
- Highland, IL - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 12:35 pm:
For being a professional candidate, Bailey isn’t very good at it.
- here we go again - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 12:35 pm:
Not bad. I’ll give it a B. Not having to listen to Darren’s Bailey’s Mr. Haney (Green Acres) voice is a big plus.
I guess we’ll just forget the fact Bailey’ Republican chum Bruce Rauner signed the TRUST Act into law and made Illinois a sanctuary state. Cool.
- btowntruth from forgottonia - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 12:36 pm:
D.
Plays to his base and that’s it.
- Moe Berg - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 12:42 pm:
The soft and cuddly Bailey, allegedly chastened by his last election and rededicated to the Lord following his family’s tragedy, was nice while it lasted.
“Then JB Pritzker released him again” is a straight up lie.
All this does is crack open the door to nasty for Team Pritzker. Bailey better buckle up, 2022 is going to seem like a pleasant dream in comparison.
- Big Dipper - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 12:48 pm:
F. Exploiting a young woman’s death to make cheap political points shows he learned nothing from his family tragedy.
- Pot calling kettle - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 12:49 pm:
A for folks who believe the lies and misleading implications. F for people who have a better understanding of how things work. I would like to think the electorate has more of the latter folks, but I know the former makes up a pretty large bloc.
- Peoples Republic of Oak Park - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 12:54 pm:
Democrats need to be able to hold two very distinct ideas in their head and communicate them to the public.
1.Trumps ICE is out of control and is making us less safe.
2. There is a very real danger to unchecked immigration and people like Gorman’s murderer should not be in the country.
To the ad. Its meh. Its red meat to the base and anyone whose opinion on JB changes because of this was not a JB voter to begin with.
- Irma Gerd - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 12:54 pm:
F. Won’t win over any new voters with this. And, the nerve of JB to lay flowers at the memorial of someone killed by ICE. /s
- 47th Ward - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 12:58 pm:
Bailey is playing stand-in for Donald Trump. Pritzker gets to practice against Bailey to prep for the Big One next year.
- Friendly Bob Adams - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 1:08 pm:
At best the ad will only appeal to the maga base, who were all voting for Bailey anyway. The best ads expand the reach of potential voters, and this one misses the mark.
- Pundent - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 1:10 pm:
It’s a D. The current policies around immigration coming out of Washington don’t play well with the overall population. And in Illinois the contrast is even larger.
Bailey’s challenge lies in appealing to Independents and possibly converting some Democratic voters. While this ad will certainly appeal to his base voters, it will not add any new voters. I would have expected this message in the primary. In the general election it makes no sense.
- Rich Miller - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 1:13 pm:
===At best the ad will only appeal to the maga base===
They are operating on the assumption that if they can just get republican turnout up to presidential election levels they can win
https://www.facebook.com/thomas.devore.92/posts/pfbid02zDDQauPUqZxdXcHn9TbEFo4uyeov93PddqeENaASAsd916n9fgFvAbPK6kLUgavYl
- Former Downstater - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 1:25 pm:
At least he didn’t use Emma Shafer’s story over the objection her family, like Kristi Noem did.
I’ll give it a passing grade for that. D-
- NIU Grad - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 1:26 pm:
“Exploiting a young woman’s death to make cheap political points”
This has been the Republican model the last few years. Literally anytime a woman is murdered by a POC, their name gets picked up by the FOX/social media ecosystem and used as a political hammer. Bailey’s campaign is naive enough to think this is good enough to drive up his vote totals in the suburbs. All it does is confirm that he’s pro-ICE and full MAGA.
- DarkestBeforeDawn - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 1:33 pm:
F- due to the exploitation described above. Shameful.
- Big Dipper - Thursday, Mar 26, 26 @ 1:35 pm:
I’m also wondering about the choice of blood on his hands being a coincidence or a nod to a trope.