Just under half of Chicago’s registered voters support the Chicago Public Teachers strike in a 500 person poll taken Monday, and nearly three-quarters of those polled say Mayor Rahm Emanuel is doing an average, below average or poor job in handing the labor dispute.
In the live survey done by McKeon & Associates, a Joliet-based opinion polling company, 47 percent support the strike, 39 percent oppose it and 14 percent didn’t know. The poll has a margin of error of 3.8 percent.
Only 6 percent of those surveyed rated Emanuel’s handling of the strike as “excellent.” Another 13 percent said he was doing a “good” job.
I should have some more polling by Thursday morning for subscribers.
Dozens of striking Chicago teachers are protesting outside a Sept. 11 memorial event where Gov. Pat Quinn is speaking.
The Chicago Democrat hasn’t weighed in on the walkout, which entered its second day on Tuesday.
As he headed into the event, Quinn walked through the crowd, which sang “Amazing Grace” and held American flags. He said “Good luck.”
The teachers marched over from nearby Curie Metro High School on the city’s southwest side.
* I asked Quinn’s office earlier for a comment on the strike…
We want the parties to negotiate in good faith and reach a resolution quickly that puts the students first.
*** UPDATE *** Raw audio of the governor, who said that the protesters expressing themselves “is what liberty is all about, it’s what our country is all about”…
Quinn was interrupted briefly during his press conference by a person who was participating in the event. She pointed out that she works for the public school system and supports the striking teachers, and then said, “This memorial is for the fallen. This memorial is to educate our students.”
* Gov. Pat Quinn and Mayor Rahm Emanuel have announced several new plant and corporate headquarter openings and expansions in recent months. But the state lost out to Iowa for a factory that would have employed 165 people. Our neighboring state paid dearly for that fertilizer plant…
The incentives grow to $251 million, with $133 million in property tax abatement that Lee County supervisors agreed to provide the project Wednesday.
That would mean the cost per job is more than $1.5 million
* Illinois actually offered a more generous package, but the offer was turned down in favor of the higher-tax Iowa…
Branstad and others blamed Iowa’s corporate income tax structure for driving higher the incentives Orascom Construction Industries received to bring the plant and its 165 jobs to Iowa.
“Even with (Illinois’) tax increases and poor fiscal management, Iowa had difficulty competing because our tax climate is worse for a project like this with substantial sales to farmers in Iowa,” Branstad said. “If that doesn’t wake us up, I don’t know what will.”
“The promises we got in Illinois were extremely attractive,” Sawiris noted. But Illinois’ promised benefits, he went on to say, “are not sustainable in our view given the balance sheet of the state of Illinois.”
“Whatever tax regime exists today we have to take with a grain of salt,” Sawiris said. “The unfunded pension liabilities of the state of Illinois were a big concern to us, let alone the hypothetical situations that exist in doing business in Illinois and Chicago.”
That reference to public corruption got a big laugh from the Iowa crowd at the news conference. Gov. Branstad couldn’t resist grabbing away the microphone to point out that in modern times only two previous governors in Illinois were not led away in handcuffs.
“The difference is we have a history of clean, honest government,” Branstad boasted. “They have a history of corruption.”
Discuss.
*** UPDATE *** From an IL DCEO spokesperson…
To be clear—The state never put an offer on the table. We recognized early on that Iowa’s bid was excessive and we were not going to engage in a bidding war…
Representatives of the company started engaging with us very late in the game, and for a transaction of this size, we would have had direct contact with the company itself–that did not occur.
Due to Iowa’s offer, Iowa taxpayers are handing Orascom a very lavish tax incentive while Illinois taxpayers are spared.
The key benefit here is lower anhydrous ammonia prices for farmers in Iowa and Illinois. Our farmers obtain that benefit regardless of where in the Midwest the plant is located.
Illinois continues to be a great place for business, as is shown by the 140,000 private sector jobs that have been created since January 2010. We will continue to aggressively pursue every opportunity to bring more jobs and economic opportunity to the state.
From that statement, it looks like Iowa was stampeded into upping its price when the company made a phony feint toward Illinois. Very clever move. The company gets mega bucks from Iowa and the locals. And then Gov. Branstad gets bragging rights over Illinois. And the Tribune gets its editorial. And Illinois farmers get a better deal on fertilizer. And Iowans pay a very heavy price.
The groups, including Common Cause and the Anti-Gambling Task Force, know that legislators could override the veto. They worry that casino interests will use their money to “strong-arm”legislators and buy their votes to override the veto.
Rev. Phil Blackwell, a Methodist minister who’s against gambling, acknowledges that there must be more oversight, more transparency and a ban on political contributions from casino operators if a bill is ever to meet the governor’s standards. But he argues that the notion of building more casinos to create jobs is foolhardy.
“There are more households destabilized by casinos than supported by casinos. By implication, more jobs stand to be lost than gained,” Blackwell said.
He points to 9,171 people in Illinois on the self-exclusion list while there are 7,789 casino employees. Of the 9,171, Blackwell says that represents only 4 percent of who should be excluded from gambling.
There is a new state law in place that Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel says bans teachers from striking for anything other than compensation. Emanuel says the two issues remaining on the table have nothing to do with that, raising the question: is this a legal strike?
Mayor Emanuel has repeatedly made the statement that the teachers union is conducting a strike of choice, and that teachers are striking over two items that are not subject to a job action under current Illinois law.
Emanuel says the law states teachers may strike only because of compensation, and according to the mayor, neither of the disputed contract items involve pay or benefits. […]
According to Mayor Emanuel, teacher evaluation and teacher staffing are the two issues.
Mayor Emanuel: “Neither one of these issues are allowed to be strikeable by law…yet these are the final two issues.” […]
An attorney for the Chicago Teachers Union says, although some items have been resolved Monday, there are many more than two open issues remaining, some involve compensation, and that Mayor Emanuel is wrong: teachers are permitted under the law to strike for certain non-pay issues, even including air-conditioned classrooms.
“Recognizing the Board’s fiscal woes, we are not far apart on compensation. However, we are apart on benefits. We want to maintain the existing health benefits.”
So, there is a financial component to this, and the union appears to be almost accepting the four-year 16 percent pay raise (following a 4 percent cut this past year). The Board has offered this for health insurance…
The Board is calling for a modification to the health care plan funding that will freeze all employee health care contributions for single and couple plans with a small increase in family contributions of no more than $20 a pay period in addition to a small increase in emergency room co-pays. 67 percent of all CTU members will not see a change to their healthcare.
“While new Illinois law prohibits us from striking over the recall of laid-off teachers and compensation for a longer school year, we do not intend to sign an agreement until these matters are addressed.”
So, they can’t legally strike over those two issues, but they are anyway.
This goes back to something I wrote during the state education reform negotiations. Teachers went on strike a whole lot more back in the days when state law expressly prohibited strikes. Drastically limiting their collective bargaining rights will not stop them now.
As Chicago Public Schools teachers hit the picket lines for a second day, Mayor Rahm Emanuel said repeatedly Tuesday that what he sees as the two key issues for teachers are “not strikeable“ and that he would rather settle the strike at the bargaining table than the courtroom.
“My view is to work these issues out at the table. That’s what I want to do. That is where I want to achieve it,” Emanuel said Tuesday. […]
The teachers union, however, disagrees, saying that the teacher evaluation process is an issue they can legally strike over, and the city could not successfully go to court to stop the strike by getting an injunction.
* The national Republicans are playing a game of “Gotcha” with President Obama over the Chicago teachers’ strike. The President’s spokesman said yesterday that Obama hasn’t “expressed an opinion on how [the strike] should be resolved. We’re urging the sides to resolve it.” Fox News, of course, fans the flames…
Mitt Romney and his surrogates are accusing President Obama of quietly giving Chicago teachers the green-light to strike, as the historic stand-off affecting nearly 400,000 students enters its second day.
The cable network didn’t back up that lede with any quotes, even from people who wished not to see their names used. Instead, they quoted GOP leaders slamming Obama for not getting more involved…
“We stand with the children and we stand with the families and the parents of Chicago because education reform, that’s a bipartisan issue. This does not have to divide the two parties. And so, we were going to ask, where does President Obama stand? Does he stand with his former Chief of Staff Mayor Rahm Emanuel, with the children and the parents, or does he stand with the union?” [Republican Vice Presidential nominee Paul Ryan] asked. […]
Former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty said that by “refusing to condemn” the strike, Obama “has sent a clear message that the hundreds of thousands of children who are suffering because of this strike take a back seat to his political allies.”
Julio Fuentes, a member of Romney’s education policy group, called the strike “just yet another example of President Obama refusing to lead on matters of pressing concern to our nation.”
This school teacher strike in Chicago? Let’s just see how long this thing goes on, and let’s see how it gets solved. Anybody want to bet against me that Obama’s the one that gets credit for this, in a few short days? Anybody want to bet that there might be a little bit of violence and finally Obama will have to move in and do something? He and Rahm will figure this out so they get credit for solving it. Because, I tell you: There is no union that is gonna go on strike right now for the express purpose of harming Barack Obama.
Quite the contrary.
Any union who thinks their actions would end up hurting Obama will delay or put off those actions. I don’t think Rahm’s gonna beat up the teachers; I just think he’ll talk to the gangbangers and say, “You know what I told you about ignoring the kids? Well, forget it for a couple days.” No, I’m just kidding. I just kidding. I’m just telling you, we know the alliance between the Democrat Party and Obama (more so than Rahm, but nevertheless Rahm’s part of it) and the unions. […]
This school teacher strike in some ways may be like the environmentalist wackos. The environmentalist wackos sue the EPA, then the EPA settles with them. It’s an inside-outside game. The EPA claims it had no choice but to settle on certain terms. Here the teachers strike, Rahm Emanuel eventually says he had to give them much of what they wanted or the kids would still be out of school. That’s what’s gonna happen. And Obama, I’m not predicting it, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Obama inserts himself in the mix here somehow to bring reason and compassion. Not to the point that Rahm is hurt. It’ll not happen in a way that makes Rahm look incompetent. No, no, no. They will do it working together.
* Rush can probably be forgiven for not knowing the CTU very well. The union has some radical elements which don’t care about national political implications…
In 2010, the Caucus of Rank and File Educators (CORE), led by President Karen Lewis gained control over the CTU by winning 60% of the vote in a run-off election. CORE ran an aggressive grassroots organizing campaign, and took a strong stance against school privatization. CORE accused the incumbent United Progressive Caucus (UPC) of capitulating to corporate interests, silencing dissent within the union, and collaborating with the city to prevent union out reach at schools
More than 100 teachers organized by CORE (Caucus of Rank and File Educators) protested the visit of President Barack Obama to Chicago on August 5, 2010. The teachers assembled with picket signs at the Chicago Art Institute and then marched down Michigan Ave to the Chicago Cultural Center, where Obama was speaking. Signs read criticisms of Obama and his education plan.
* On to the live coverage. BlackBerry users click here. Everybody else can just watch..
* First, Gov. Pat Quinn refused to allow reporters into even minimum security prisons to examine conditions. Now, the governor won’t even tell reporters who’s been allowed in for tours…
Carefully controlled prison walk-throughs were commonplace for lawmakers, journalists and others in years past as a way to illustrate conditions for prisoners and the state employees who keep them in line. But after barring the gate to reporters last month, Quinn’s administration has deemed it too burdensome to reveal who has been allowed to enter in response to a Freedom of Information Act request by The Associated Press.
Despite the governor’s declaration that allowing reporters inside is a “security risk,” prison officials said only individual wardens have information about tours by outside groups, and that top Department of Corrections brass don’t keep track of who’s coming and going, although some evidence contradicts that. […]
But other evidence suggests top Corrections officials do know about separate tour groups, and are involved in approving them. When a reporter called Illinois River Correctional Center in Canton, a staff member in the warden’s office said a tour request must be submitted in writing to the warden, but a deputy director of the department has final say.
In addition, prison wardens submit weekly activity reports to one of the three deputy directors who supervise them, routinely listing approved tours.
What the heck is Quinn hiding here? What is he so afraid of?
Rep. Joe Walsh (R-Ill.) this week mocked Democratic opponent Tammy Duckworth, an Iraq war veteran and double amputee, for speaking at the Democratic National Convention, charging that the only issue Duckworth cares about is her outfit.
“Ms. Duckworth has continued to show more interest in rubbing elbows with big name party insiders, then [SIC] staying home and tackling the tough issues facing voters in the district,” he said in a statement on his website. “It has become abundantly clear that at this point the only debate Ms. Duckworth is actually interested in having is which outfit she’ll be wearing for her big speech.”
Duckworth told The Huffington Post that she has already debated Walsh twice and has three more debates scheduled with him, but she is not surprised by his degrading insult.
“It’s not the first time Mr. Walsh has been sexist, but frankly I have more important things to do than listen to a man whose whole purpose in Congress is to shout from the mountaintops and not to serve his constituents,” she said. “My whole point of being here was to bring the perspective of my constituents to leadership and to make sure we do talk about jobs, the economy, and our country’s military policies, and I think I’ve done a great job of that.”
Three years later, video gambling terminals have produced not one miserable dime for Illinois, although that’s about to change. The Illinois Gaming Board is set to begin testing its computer system for monitoring the terminals, and could authorize the start of legalized video gambling within a month. Why the delay? Lawmakers vastly underestimated the complexity of background checks on individuals and businesses who have applied for licenses to work in video gambling. The list of applicants runs to 173 pages on the Gaming Board’s website.
Actually, the big delay came when the Gaming Board massively screwed up the contract bid. From the Tribune’s new page…
Gaming officials signed a contract in June 2010 for a central computer system capable of monitoring up to 60,000 video poker games in the state, but had to void that deal because of errors in the bidding process.
After rebidding the work, officials signed a contract [in February of 2012] with Alpharetta, Ga.-based Scientific Games International
So, almost a two-year delay and the Tribsters ignore it.
Electronic democracy is the way to go for Illinois to solve its pension crisis, according to Gov. Pat Quinn.
The governor shed some light on his so-called grassroots campaign to reform the state’s pension system at a Saturday morning stop in Decatur that was unrelated to his visit to unveil “The Portrait of a Soldier” exhibit at the Decatur Public Library.
While details remain vague, Quinn said he hopes to use the Internet and social media to inform people on the issue and to rally people to contact their lawmakers.
“Having the power of the Internet … is a good way to get the message across on what we have to do for the public,” he said.
He’s sure building this thing up. I hope for his sake that it’s more than a Facebook page, because if it isn’t, you know what I’ll say?
* US Sen. Dick Durbin talked to the Tribune about another term…
“In the Senate, it’s not a two-year decision like the House. It’s an eight-year decision. It’s a two-year campaign and six-year term,” Durbin said Thursday after addressing the Illinois delegation to Obama’s renominating convention. “Are you ready to engage and commit for eight years of your life? I love these six-year terms, but it also calls for a little more thought, patience, before you make the decision.”
As for now, Durbin says simply, “I’m planning to run for re-election but I’ll make my final decision next year.” He’s also quick to add, “I love this business and I love this state and I’ll match my schedule with any elected official in our state. I cover it from one end to the other every time I get home. I draw energy from it.” […]
If Durbin does stand for re-election, he would be just a few weeks shy of turning 70 on Election Day 2014. Saying he found out that “when you reach age 60, you don’t have to go to hell,” he recently dropped about 20 pounds. The weight loss came after reading a book aimed at staving off the effects of aging. He met one of its authors during a Bears game at Soldier Field.
Two years ago the senator suffered a health scare and underwent surgery for the removal of a small gastrointestinal stromal tumor from his stomach. A biopsy later determined that it had no cancer cells, his office said.
“I feel good. I’m healthy,” Durbin said. “The rumors just fly when you’ve reached my stage of life. ‘Oh, he went in for surgery two years ago.’ Everything turned out perfectly. I couldn’t ask for a better result.”
* The Question: Should Sen. Durbin run for another term? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please.
* The National Republican Congressional Committee has a new TV ad blasting Democratic congressional candidate David Gill for wanting to “end Medicare.” Rate it…
It kinda reminds me of the ads in “The Campaign” movie.
Just sayin…
* Script…
ANNOUNCER: Politician David Gill supports keeping the new healthcare law, gutting Medicare.
But Gill wanted to go further.
Forcing each American into government run healthcare.
And to pay for it, Gill supported a new income tax.
DAVID GILL: it would be a two percent tax. We could do away with your Medicare tax, because Medicare would no longer exist.
ANNOUNCER: David Gill. His plan would end Medicare.
Although union officials say more topics are still being debated, the mayor said the two remaining stumbling blocks involve re-hiring laid off teachers from schools that get shut down or shaken up and a new teacher evaluation process that the union says puts far too much weight on student test scores.
Progress had been made over the weekend regarding teacher pay, but not enough on teacher evaluations, job security or classroom conditions to entice union members to sign a contract, [Chicago Teachers Union President Karen Lewis] said.
“We do not intend to sign an agreement until all matters of our contract are addressed,” Lewis said. “We are committed to staying at the table.”
The school board’s last offer included a three percent raise the first year and two percent raises the next three years — a slight increase from an earlier offer of two percent raises in each of the next four years.
The package, which would cost $400 million, keeps increases for experience and credentials with some modifications.
Vitale said the contract amounted to a 16 percent raise over four years for the average teacher when factoring other increases. And the raises could not be rescinded for lack of funds — which is what happened this past school year, angering teachers and helping to set the stage for Monday’s strike. […]
CTU officials contend that CPS’ offer of raises over the next four years does not fairly compensate them for the 4 percent raise they lost this past school year and the longer and “harder” school year they will face this school year, with the introduction of a tougher new curriculum.
The union also has pushed for improved working conditions, such as smaller class sizes, more libraries, air-conditioned schools, and more social workers and counselors to address the increasing needs of students surrounded by violence — all big-ticket items. CPS officials contend they are seeking a “fair” contract, with raises for teachers, but are limited by funding and the threat of a $1 billion deficit at the end of this school year.
[CTU delegate Darryl Reed] said he always knew there would be a strike. “If you go back to legislation last year making it harder for us to strike, they bragged that we’d never reach that threshold. The attitude they had this whole time gave us the attitude we have had this whole time.”
Sending Emanuel into negotiations to broker a last-minute deal wasn’t an option because there was so much bad blood between him and Chicago Teachers Union President Karen Lewis, several sources said.
* I’ll be adjusting this ScribbleLive feed throughout the day and week as new hashtags and sites pop up. BlackBerry users click here. Everybody else can just watch..
On the eve of President Barack Obama’s acceptance speech to the Democratic National Convention last week, a statewide poll showed the native son was leading his Republican opponent by 17 percentage points in Illinois.
The poll of 1,382 likely Illinois voters was taken Sept, 5 by We Ask America. It had Obama at 54 percent to Mitt Romney’s 37 percent. Another 3.3 percent said they would vote for a third-party candidate and 6 percent were undecided.
That’s way below where Obama was four years ago, when he won Illinois with 62 percent of the vote.
If you look at the 17-point spread between the two candidates, it’s a blowout, although not as big as Obama’s gigantic 25-point victory in 2008.
If you look at where Obama’s numbers are now, you might consider that this race could tighten up quite a bit, at least compared with 2008. The spread is generally how polls are judged in the end, so if you’re a Republican, you probably shouldn’t get your hopes up too much.
According to the poll, Obama leads among Illinois women 59 percent to 32 percent and even leads among men by a 48 to 43 margin. However, exit polling from 2008 showed that Obama won women by 29 points and men by 15 points, so he’s doing about the same with women but not as well with men.
The survey, which has a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points, has Obama with a huge 80 percent to 11 percent lead in Chicago. Some top Republicans have been saying they believed Romney could hit close to 20 percent in the city, which would give them a shot at being competitive statewide.
That’s highly doubtful, according to this poll. However, four years ago Obama won Chicago with 85 percent, so he’s not yet doing quite as well as he did then.
Obama leads Romney in suburban Cook County by a substantial 60 to 30 margin. But again, that’s not as wide as 2008 when he won the region by 34 points. Suburban Cook is the location of a ton of hotly contested congressional and state legislative races, so the Democrats will need all the help they can get from the president.
Obama’s 30-point lead is a whole lot better than Gov. Pat Quinn’s 14-point margin two years ago, when the Democrats lost seats at the congressional and state levels.
Obama did quite well in Chicago’s collar counties four years ago, winning many by large margins. But he now leads by just 2 percentage points in the region, 47 to 45, with 6 percent undecided. Most of those counties contain all or part of many targeted races this time around, and Romney could be a significant factor there.
The president slightly trails Romney in the sprawling downstate region, getting 45 percent to Romney’s 46 percent, with 5 percent undecided, the poll says. There are a lot of hotly contested state legislative races downstate, and Republicans are confident that they can pick up some seats there.
Congressional and state legislative polling has shown that southern Illinois is where the president is struggling the most compared to four years ago. The We Ask America poll shows Obama with a slight lead of 47 percent to 46 percent in the 618 area code, which includes all of southern Illinois. That’s far below where he was four years ago.
The poll does show a few ways that Romney can increase his standing in Illinois and impact more races farther down on the ballot. Just 80 percent of self-described Republicans are supporting him versus 88 percent of Democrats who say they’re backing Obama. If and when those Republican voters finally “come home,” Romney’s numbers will go up.
Romney also has a slight, one-point lead among those who say they’re independent voters, who tend to lean Republican. He can probably expect more support from that group.
None of those avenues point to an actual Illinois win for Romney, who probably won’t be spending much cash in the state, particularly in the expensive Chicago media market.
Romney could run ads in the St. Louis area, which could help some Metro East Republicans. But Romney will need to target most of his campaign money for the all-important swing states, so most GOP candidates in Illinois won’t see much of an impact.
