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We have a Googlewhack… Kinda

Wednesday, Oct 19, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Center Square

Pritzker criticized Bailey for not taking media questions.

“This is the second debate in a row that I’ve shown up to answer your questions and the second time that Darren Bailey has not shown up,” Pritzker told media after the debate. “Like with so many other things, Darren Bailey is all hat and no cattle.” […]

“I can’t fathom what the next four years are going to be like under J.B. Pritzker,” Bailey said. “Every state agency is an absolute failure.”

Bailey said education has been decimated, crime is increasing and businesses and people are moving out.

“All cattle and no show, that’s J.B. Pritzker,” Bailey said.

I Googled the exact phrase “All cattle and no show” and got only one result. From Wikipedia

A Googlewhack is a contest to find a Google Search query that returns a single result. A Googlewhack must consist of two words found in a dictionary and is only considered legitimate if both of the search terms appear in the result. The term googlewhack, coined by Gary Stock, first appeared on the web at Blinking on 8 January 2002.

OK, so it isn’t technically a Googlewhack, but nobody has ever used that phrase before that I can see.

  53 Comments      


Question of the day

Wednesday, Oct 19, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the debate

Q: Let’s talk about equity and recreational-use cannabis. The state’s program went online in 2020. The first predominantly Black-owned craft grow house recently opened in the state. But, Governor, since 2020, more than 340 licenses have been given out and only one has been given to a minority owner. Governor when will you make good on your promise to diversify the lucrative cannabis industry?

Pritzker: Well that’s not true. Let me be clear, 185 licenses have been awarded under the social equity licensing program.

Q: But those are conditional.

Pritzker: They are conditional. Conditional upon opening a store. So right now, people are in fact opening stores. It’s terrific. Has it taken too long? Yes, it has. And the fact is that people went to court and sued because they didn’t think that they deserved to be knocked out of the program, some of those folks. People were in the program, wanted the program to change, they sued. Look, I think those things have been worked out through the court system. Now you’re seeing people taking out loans, building out their dispensaries. We’ve seen cultivation licenses awarded those licenses to be clear. 40 percent have gone to people of color, and the whole point of it is to make sure that there is equity across our state for people who have been left out and left behind who’ve been the victims of the war on drugs.

Q: So I guess, governor, where can people go though, if they wanted to support a Black-owned recreational marijuana business? Where would they go to find that?

Pritzker: Those folks are seeking investment right now. In fact, they’re taking loans from the state, which is great. That’s exactly what this program is about. I want to point out another aspect of equity, which is that we’ve expunged 800,000 arrest records. Low-level cannabis arrest records, and pardoned people with low-level convictions. That was all part of this cannabis legalization program. I’m proud of that. We also have the R-3 program which Lieutenant Governor runs and which distributes money in some places that have been left out and left behind.

Q: We need to bring Senator Bailey into the discussion. You voted against recreational cannabis in Illinois. It’s a big topic nationally with President Biden announcing he would pardon thousands convicted of possession earlier this month. If elected as governor, will you reverse decriminalization of cannabis?

Bailey: Nope. I don’t see that happening. That’s not on my priority list. You know, I find it interesting that Governor Pritzker for four years equity equity, equity, and he finally had his opportunity with the recreational marijuana dispensaries, and he failed. Again. I’m out in the Black community. You probably saw me on Facebook a few weeks ago, since you saw everything else, when I was walking with the Black community up and down the streets of Chicago. And they were screaming foul because they can’t get the licenses. So I’d love to see some proof of these actual people, these 146 people who have supposedly are in the process of getting their licenses, because it’s not happening because many of those people are coming to me screening that foul and wondering what the problem is. I simply tell them, you’ve got a governor who can’t tell the truth.

Pritzker: Look, just like with abortion rights, where he opposes abortion, but then complains about how we’re going about providing the rights for people in Illinois. He opposes cannabis legalization. Now he wants to complain about how that legalization operates. Look, you’ve got to be at the table to get things done. You’ve got to work together with people. And indeed we have implemented equity across…

Bailey: Treat the Black people with respect, Governor.

Q: [Sighs.] We’re gonna move on…

Please pardon all transcription errors.

* The Question: Has Pritzker done enough to ensure equity in the recreational cannabis industry? Explain. Also, stick to the question that’s been asked. These can go off the rails fast.

Side question: Do you believe that Sen. Bailey wouldn’t try to roll back the recreational cannabis industry?

  21 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Campaign notebook

Wednesday, Oct 19, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE *** Wondering when we would see something like this…


…Adding… State Senator…


* Press release…

If the Illinois Primary election was any indication, voters are going to get pummeled with political robocalls and robotexts between now and Election Day next month.

This was true in 2020 when Americans received approximately 8.25 million robocalls on Election Day, and over the past two months Illinois ranks 24th in robocalls on a per capita basis.

Political robocalls, according to this source…

For the month of August, Illinois received around 123,406 robocalls.
For the month of September, Illinois received around 311,919 robocalls.
For the first two weeks of October, Illinois received around 281,917 robocalls.

From 8/1 to 10/16, Illinois received 717,242 robocalls.

* State early vote totals…


* Chicago early vote totals…

the most up-to-date Early Vote and Vote By Mail totals in Chicago, night of Tuesday, October 18, 2022.

The Early Vote total stands at 2,694 ballots cast.

Additionally, 17,866 Vote By Mail ballots have been returned to the Board – total VBM applications stands at 185,745.

The grand total is 20,560 ballots cast so far in Chicago for the November 8th General Election.

* ILGOP…

“Pritzker’s policies have turned Chicago into a dystopian version - Pritzkerville - which may soon spread into the suburbs and downstate. Only by electing a new Governor can we begin to rebuild from the damage he caused and once again make our communities safe for residents and businesses. That is the message that Darren Bailey delivered last night,” said Illinois Republican Party Chairman Don Tracy.

* Press release…

After begging for Donald Trump’s prized endorsement for months, GOP gubernatorial nominee Darren Bailey tried to buck Trump’s support at last night’s debate — but voters know the truth.

Bailey scored Trump’s “complete and total endorsement” at a rally in June, where Bailey said unequivocally: “I’ve made a promise to President Trump that in 2024, Illinois will roll the red carpet out for him because Illinois will be ready for President Trump.”

At yesterday’s debate, he tried desperately to rewrite history, saying: “Nobody’s announced their run for president.”

But voters won’t forget the truth: after soliciting Trump’s endorsement for months, Bailey threw his full, unconditional support behind the former president because he knew it was key to winning the GOP nomination — and he did that all while campaigning with January 6th insurrectionists and spreading the same lies that sparked the violent attack.

Voters will remember where Darren Bailey’s true allegiance lies — and that he himself said: there is “no” daylight between him and Trump.

* Pritzker in the spin room

* From the Tribune’s debate coverage

“Gov. Pritzker tries to inject his radical gender ideology into our classrooms,” Bailey said.

But Pritzker pointed to the Full Armor Christian Academy school Bailey founded that uses curriculum connected to conservative South Carolina’s Bob Jones University. The university’s press has offered history books that taught that not all slaves were mistreated, that the women’s movement in society carried societal costs and that when the Bible and science are in conflict, the Bible is correct.

From the debate

Q: Let’s talk about reproductive rights, gentlemen, shall we? Senator Bailey, just tonight you said nothing is going to change about Illinois abortion laws if you’re elected. But last week, the Executive Director of Illinois Right to Life promised you will work to undo extremism. If elected, would you pursue pro life policies through executive orders? You’ve got 60 seconds.

Bailey: Well, let’s talk about extremism. Governor Pritzker is perfectly fine with our children needing abortions without their parents knowing anything about it. I think that’s extreme. Governor Pritzker is perfectly fine injecting his gender curriculum, the first of its kind in the nation into our schools, woke ideology. I think that’s extreme. Governor Pritzker, his family foundation is the primary sponsor for experimental gender surgeries (Pritzker: That’s not true) in childrens’ hospitals (Pritzker: That’s not true) all across this nation right here in Chicago. (Pritzker: False.) I think that’s extreme. Governor Pritzker tries to inject his radical gender ideology into our classrooms, and most school districts have rejected that.

That accusation is based on a conspiracy theory about how the governor is supposedly in cahoots with his trans cousin Jennifer, who contributed to Bruce Rauner, Richard Irvin’s 2022 campaign and against the governor’s graduated income tax. The conspiracy theory was pushed by Dan Proft’s papers.

* Press release…

Chairman Scott Gryder released his new ad “Leader” which highlights his priorities in Congress, and his commitment to people, not politics:

“During her tenure as our representative, Lauren Underwood has put big government special interests and her own agenda first – at the expense of every individual in this district. She has made our lives more expensive and less safe. We deserve better.

That’s why I’m running for Congress.

I’ll go to Washington to end reckless spending and lower taxes, giving us back our financial freedom. I’ll also restore safety to our neighborhoods by standing with law enforcement and ensuring that they receive the funding and resources they need to effectively do their job.”

Watch the ad with link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aPllDDfxvw0

“Scott Gryder is a leader, not a D.C. politician.

Gryder will stand with law enforcement and fight crime.

And Gryder will stop inflation and cut your taxes.

Scott Gryder for Congress.

I’m Scott Gryder, and I approved this message.”

* Anti-abortion groups are upset with DuPage County Board member Greg Hart as he runs for county chair, but their protest of his recent fundraiser was sparsely attended, to say the least


We’re protesting DuPage County Chairman candidate Greg Hart who has done a 180 degree turn on his pro-life stance and now says he’ll never stand in the way of a woman’s “right to choose” with the help and funding of the illinois GOP. Eric Scheidler, our executive director, has some thoughts:

Posted by Pro-Life Action League on Tuesday, October 18, 2022

Still, if this contest is close and staunch pro-lifers skip over that race…

* Cable TV ad for Scott Britton for Cook County Commissioner

* Isabel’s roundup…

    * Cook County Voters to Weigh Forest Preserves Tax Increase in Upcoming Election: It’s rare when newspaper editorial boards and fiscal watchdog groups recommend that residents vote to increase their property taxes. But that’s exactly the case as Cook County voters face a binding question on their election ballot: Do you want to pay a little more to help fund the Cook County Forest Preserves? Outside groups have waged a public campaign to convince voters to say yes, because they believe the investment will pay growing dividends.

    * Six takeaways from the second Illinois gubernatorial debate: Bailey had a message. He undercut that message by repeatedly refusing to get specific, but even a casual viewer would get the gist: At a time when the economy is bumpy, taxes are high and the streets of Chicago and other cities are dangerous, Illinois needs a change. Good and simple. Pritzker’s message was that things have improved on his watch, particularly with state finances, and that voters ought to stick with him. But “stick with me” is not much of a second-term agenda. In the closing weeks of the campaign, the governor might do well to spell out what a vote for him means, other than not electing Bailey.

    * Illinois’ 6th Congressional District candidates offer stance on education: Pekau said Democrats are pushing their views in Illinois classrooms throughout the state. “We need to stop the agenda they are trying to push, it is unacceptable,” Pekau said. “We need to teach the skills that need to be [taught]. If you want to talk U.S. History, you talk about the good and the bad. We don’t do it through a racial based lens, we do it through an American lens.” […] Casten suggests “providing universal early childhood education” and to “ensure that all students have access to a top-quality elementary, high school, and trade school or higher education.”

    * Opinion: In public education debate, don’t overlook community colleges: The ongoing gubernatorial campaign got a mild injection of interest earlier this month when one candidate said it might be time to reduce state spending on K-12 public education. The other countered by pledging further investment and making sure private schools aren’t enriched at taxpayer expense. You know which is which, but the point here isn’t settling the debate between two candidates, but discussing the larger issue of postsecondary education and workforce development.

    * Latest fundraising has Vallas eager for campaign fight: A $500,000 donation from prominent GOP donor and golf course magnate Michael Keiser has left an opening for some opponents, including the Chicago Teachers Union, to attack Vallas, a former CPS CEO, as a closet Republican

    * Biz community opens wallets for Vallas mayoral bid: With help from execs at Madison Dearborn, Citadel and other firms, Vallas pulls closer to Lightfoot and Wilson in the mayoral race for cash: Other candidates running are way back in the dash for cash. State Rep. Kam Bucker, D-Chicago, pulled in nearly $100,000 in cash and donated services for his mayoral campaign committee during the third quarter, but half of that was a transfer of funds form his state rep account.

    * Daily Herald Endorsement: Moylan for state representative in 55th District

    * Daily Herald Endorsement: Pettorini for House Dist. 61

  12 Comments      


PPP poll: Plurality oppose any government funding for new suburban Bears stadium

Wednesday, Oct 19, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sun-Times

About 31% of people who took part in the phone and text message survey conducted by Public Policy Polling said they think the Bears should move from Soldier Field to Arlington Heights, compared to 29% who said they think the team should stay put. About 39% said they weren’t sure.

Perhaps not surprisingly, suburban fans are more excited about the potential move, the Sun-Times/WBEZ Poll suggests, as 51% of respondents from suburban Cook County and the collar counties said the team should break ground in the suburbs. Only 19% of Chicago respondents said the team should leave the city, 44% opposed the move, and 37% were unsure. […]

But in a follow-up question, regardless of where they lived, 45% of all respondents said they would oppose any government funding being used for the stadium or any of the sewers, roads and other infrastructure costs needed to make the massive mixed-use development a reality. […]

Twenty-eight percent of respondents were open to public financing for the infrastructure alone, while 12% said they’d even be OK with giving the team money for the stadium itself — something the team has vowed not to ask for.

The remaining 15% of respondents to the Sun-Times/WBEZ Poll said they’re not sure how they feel about the prospect of public money going into an Arlington Heights stadium or the rest of the 326-acre plot that the team wants to round out with other amenities.

* This topic came up during last night’s debate

Q: Well, gentlemen, as you both know, and no doubt most of our audience knows, the Chicago Bears are currently exploring a move to Arlington Heights. What’s your position on using state tax dollars to develop the land there and build a new stadium? Senator Bailey, we’ll start with you.

Bailey: Well, first of all, we have to back up and we have to take a look at why this situation has arisen. And it’s because the state government, local government have failed. More taxes are not the answer. We have got to sit down at the table and come up with better solutions and there’s our our taxes. When I started running for governor, when I started running for state rep in 2017, Illinois taxes were $32 billion. And today under Governor Pritzker’s leadership they’re $46.5 billion [Editor’s note: It’s actually $41 billion, plus another $2 billion in transfers, lottery, gaming, cannabis, etc.]. Now I want you to think about that, if more money is the solution to everything, why are we talking about this? Why do we have the problems that we have in Illinois? We have got to start being responsible with our money. We’ve got to start saving tax dollars money, we’ve got to start bringing business into the state of Illinois and right now with all of our regulations and when our high taxes and our unsafe streets and our failed schools. Nobody’s wanting to come instead they’re all leaving.

Q: Governor Pritzker. Same question for you. What is your position on using state tax dollars to develop land in Arlington Heights for the Bears?

Pritzker: That I should meander around to other questions while I’m answering? No, that’s what Darren Bailey does. Look, I’m a Bears fan. I support the Chicago Bears. But I do not think that the state should be funding the private development of a stadium anywhere in the state.

  26 Comments      


BGA points to a possible new reform, while unfortunately ignoring a current one

Wednesday, Oct 19, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Nowhere in this BGA story is it mentioned that state law was recently changed to require almost immediate disclosure when a Statehouse lobbyist hires a non-lobbying consultant. It’s a good reform and I thought it was a strong first step to cleaning up some problems. Former Rep. Ed Acevedo, we just learned with the latest round of indictments, was hired as a consultant to an AT&T lobbyist in order to funnel him some pin money. It was never disclosed before because disclosure wasn’t mandated. It’s mandated now.

That doesn’t mean that what Budzinski or any other lobbyist consultant did was wrong. It’s legal. I was just pointing out that a significant recent state reform was completely ignored in this exposé

Shortly after she left her state job as a senior adviser to Gov. J.B. Pritzker, longtime political operative Nikki Budzinski collected more than $500,000 in consulting and other fees in 10 months, including more than $80,000 from a Springfield lobbyist Budzinski helped while working for the governor. […]

The lobbyist who paid Budzinski $82,810 after Budzinski left the Pritzker administration is longtime Springfield operative Julie Curry.

A BGA review of state and federal public records shows a cozy relationship between Budzinski and Curry, who frequently reached out when her clients needed assistance, whether it was to set up a meeting with the governor for a client or access for an event at the governor’s mansion.

One expert said Budzinski’s actions after she left the Pritzker administration highlight weaknesses in Illinois’ ethics laws.

State workers are generally barred from accepting compensation as a lobbyist for one year after leaving government work. Since Budzinski was not a registered lobbyist, but rather worked as a consultant to the lobbyist paying her, Illinois’ executive order did not apply to her, records and interviews show.

“The law should also include work for a lobbying firm,” Southern Illinois University law professor and former lieutenant governor Sheila Simon told the BGA.

I’d probably agree with Simon. If you’re gonna ban employees from lobbying, then you should probably extend that to consulting for lobbyists. But most of the activities ascribed to Curry in the article aren’t particularly juicy. They’re just normal things that lobbyists routinely do. And people obviously jumped at the chance to hire Budzinski after she left the administration. She’s been pretty good at almost whatever she’s put her mind to.

Other contracts Budzinski got were from Sixteen Thirty Fund (consultant, $64K), New Venture Fund (consultant, $48K), Climate Jobs National Resource Center (Midwest strategist, $150K), Dewey Square Group (consultant, $40K), Emily’s List (election strategist, $59K), Kilbride for Supreme Court (consultant, $41K), Union Insurance Group (board member, $24K).

It’s perhaps most interesting to me that Budzinski is now campaigning against dark money in politics after having worked for dark money group Sixteen Thirty Fund.

But banging the guilt by association drum can be a hypocritical game, especially considering that the BGA recently hired former Rep. Acevedo’s youngest son.

* By the way, I reminded subscribers about this new disclosure law on Monday in reference to former Rep. Acevedo and complained about the lack of a decent search function for consultants. The folks at the secretary of state’s office have since taught me a little site hack.

If you go to the lobbying info search page, then click the “Consultants Retained By Lobbying Entities” box, then select the year and then ignore the “required” language and just click the “Submit” button without inputting a name, voila, you get the entire list of every consultant hired by lobbying entities.

I’ve converted that page into a pdf for your viewing pleasure. Click here. I didn’t see a whole lot with a cursory scroll, except that Maze Jackson appears to have consulted this year for SafeSpeed, the red light cam company at the heart of some federal probes.

  19 Comments      


Debate coverage roundup

Wednesday, Oct 19, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* If your Tuesday night didn’t include watching the debate, here is a thorough roundup from Tina Sfondeles

Gov. J.B. Pritzker blasted his Republican challenger as an “extremist” and a “threat to democracy” who “shouldn’t be let anywhere near the governor’s office,” — as state Sen. Darren Bailey countered the Democratic incumbent was the extreme one, and his “arrogant leadership is killing people.” […]

But Bailey accused Pritzker of pushing “woke ideology” in schools across Illinois.

“His gender issues are so extreme,” Bailey said. “Gov. Pritzker is perfectly fine injecting his gender curriculum, the first of its kind in the nation, into our schools. Woke ideology. I think that’s extreme.” […]

Pritzker accused Bailey of having no plan to address crime, beyond criticizing Chicago. The governor took credit for increasing the number of police officers, eliminating the rape kit backlog and funding violence intervention, mental health and substance abuse treatment programs in the state to help combat crime.

* Here’s the debate in full…


* Also from Sfondeles

With early voting underway and Election Day just three weeks away, Pritzker defended his record and deemed Bailey’s policies to be too “dangerous” for Illinois. And Bailey, with a smile, baited the governor repeatedly, frequently interrupting his answers.

The interjections, mostly by Bailey, were met with stern warnings from WGN-TV moderator Micah Materre. There was also an exasperated, “Shh” as Bailey tried to talk after a buzzer went off.

* Patrick Keck

It was the last scheduled televised debate between the candidates and possibly the last time they shared venues, giving Bailey perhaps his last chance to cut into Pritzker’s lead in the polls. Recent polling conducted by The Chicago Sun-Times/WBEZ found the Democrat with 49% of voters supporting him compared to 34% for Bailey.

That same poll, when broken down to Chicago voters, found Pritzker’s lead grow to a substantial 66 points with 78% supporting him and 12% backing Bailey.

The Republican has been campaigning heavily in Chicago, even renting an apartment in the Hancock Center to “immerse himself in the culture” as he put it and also to win some votes in the state’s largest city. Challenging that connection, however, potentially are past comments and legislative action from Bailey regarding Chicago.

* CBS with something sweet….

After some other heated questions, the moderators asked Pritzker and Bailey each to identify one thing they admire about their opponent. Each man did find an answer.

“Governor Pritzker, I’m going to be honest with you – you look awesome,” Bailey said. “I like your suits. You look good in them.”

Bailey said he hoped Pritzker would take him suit shopping when the race was over.

To Bailey, Pritzker said, “I admire the fact that you married your high school sweetheart; that you’ve been together for 30 years. That shows deep commitment. That’s something that I feel strongly about as well.”

* The candidates on abortion. WIFR

Meanwhile, the senator was asked several times about his stance on abortion protections in Illinois. During a debate on Oct. 6, Bailey said he couldn’t change the state’s abortion laws if he wanted to. Bailey was endorsed by all of the state’s anti-abortion groups earlier this year. The Illinois Federation for Right to Life, Illinois Citizens For Life, and Illinois Family Action said Bailey has shown a strong commitment to life and is unafraid to speak about his opinions on abortion.

Bailey has recently pulled back on his strong stance against abortion. Political insiders feel that he may be trying to gain support from moderate Republicans in the Chicago suburbs, although it may distance him from public opinion downstate. Bailey deflected Tuesday night and critiqued Pritzker for repealing the state’s parental notification of abortion law.

“Let’s talk about extremism,” Bailey said. “Gov. Pritzker is perfectly fine with our children getting abortions without their parents knowing anything about it. I think that’s extreme.”

Yet, Planned Parenthood Illinois Action said decades of research and experience showed that forced parental involvement laws hurt young people and served no valid purpose. PPIA Vice President of Public Policy Brigid Leahy said PNA was antiquated, harmful, and did not help young people in dangerous situations.

Pritzker noted that Bailey opposes abortion in all cases except saving the life of a mother. The Democrat said Illinois must continue to be a safe haven for women and others who can become pregnant.

* Center Square

The candidates discussed several topics, including crime, Chicago, and the performance of the Department of Child and Family Services and its director Marc Smith. The department has had significant issues despite budget increases in the past three years.

Bailey said the department needs to be addressed at all levels to succeed.

“We are going to start finding and taking applications for all of these agencies,” Bailey said. “I will tell you this, DCFS must be rebuilt from the ground up because it is failing our children all across the state.”

Gov. J.B. Pritzker stood behind Smith, who has been held in contempt of court nine times for failing to find suitable placements for children in DCFS care.

“Governors firing the head of the agency does not solve anything,” Pritzker said. “You actually have to go in and fix the problems. Governors for twenty years did not do that. We are doing that.”

* Fox 32

State Sen. Bailey has said he could cut state spending by 10 to 15 billion dollars, about one-third, saying everything should be on the table, including state aid to local schools.

“Our children here in Chicago receive $29,000 per student. Yet Chicago schools — they’re failing our children,” Bailey said. “More money is not the problem. Accountability and transparency is the answer.”

Gov. Pritzker was quick to respond.

“I’ve increased education funding by $1.3 billion. And that really is improving our schools. U.S. News & World Report has named us number one among the top 10 most populous states in the nation for pre-k to 12 education,” Pritzker said.

* NBC Chicago

The candidates also traded barbs over immigration policy, as thousands of migrants and asylum-seekers have arrived in Chicago on buses from Texas in recent weeks.

“We need to get rid of this sanctuary state status, so law enforcement can do their job and start reining this gang activity in,” Bailey said. “We need to deal with our southern border and we need to get that under control and stop the inflow of illegal activity.”

The city of Chicago’s “sanctuary city” policy has made it a target of Texas Gov. Greg Abbott, who has ordered migrants to be bused here, as well as New York and Washington, D.C.

Pritzker has declared a state of emergency, activating 75 members of the Illinois National Guard to provide state resources to asylum seekers.

* WCIA

During the debate, Bailey was asked if he would support Trump if he ran for president in 2024. He dodged the question, saying Trump hasn’t announced he will run.

“Nobody’s announced their run for presidency yet, so I’ll tell you that when they announce,” Bailey said. […]

In response, Bailey said if re-elected governor, Pritzker will use his position to make a presidential bid in 2024.

During the first debate, Pritzker said he intends to serve his full term if re-elected and would support President Biden’s campaign in 2024.

* Some tweets…



  32 Comments      


The origins of “Pritzkerville”

Wednesday, Oct 19, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the debate

Q: Senator Bailey, over the course of your career, you have at times called for the City of Chicago to be separated from the rest of Illinois. You also in this studio in the Sspring referred to Chicago as a crime-ridden corrupt hellhole. You also have called it the OK Corral and an unruly child. If you’re elected, what is your specific plan for Chicago within the powers of the governor’s office?

A: To let the people know that help is on the way and things can be better. And I want to remind you four and a half months ago as I stood right here and made that comment within six hours later a homeless man was put on fire in Chicago. So I’ve been thinking about that since you keep bringing it the situation up and I’ve got a new name for Chicago. I’m gonna call it Pritzkerville, because every one of Governor Pritzker’s extreme policies are destroying the city. Out of control crime, devastated education, the fact that corporations are packing up and leaving every day. No, I think Pritzkerville fits quite well because Governor Pritzker, it’s time for him to own it. Chicago is the nightmare called Pritzkerville and it’s still two weeks from Halloween.

* His evasive non-answer was eaten up by reporters. Here’s one example…


* Some bird app response…


John Amdor’s thread is a must-read.

* Pritzker was asked about Bailey’s comment in the spin room

We live in a great global city. I am happy to rename Chicago Pritzkerville as he has, but the fact is we have challenges. There’s no doubt I’ve talked about those challenges and how I would address those. He hasn’t. He just calls Chicago names, wants to throw it out of the state. Again, no solutions from Darren Bailey.

* It turns out that this isn’t an original Baileyism. From an October 13 op-ed by ILGOP Chair Don Tracy

Illinois is more than its elected officials. Each of us adds something to our community, town, state, and nation. As the clumsy angel Clarence told George Bailey in the Capra classic “It’s a Wonderful Life,” “Strange, isn’t it? Each man’s life touches so many other lives. When he isn’t around he leaves an awful hole, doesn’t he?” This could be said of Chicago, too.

Policies pursued jointly by Pritzker, Lightfoot, and Foxx, such as not prosecuting crime, not backing police, and imposing imprudent and illegal lockdowns by fiat scare people and businesses away. The “hole” created by people leaving is filled by criminals who further ruin Chicago.

Now, mobs of teens led astray steal from stores on Michigan Avenue, day in and day out; thugs chase cops and beat them in the West Loop; and drag racing and drifting competitions are becoming common at night in heavily populated areas of our city. […]

Call it Pritzkerville – eerily like Potterville from “It’s a Wonderful Life,” with pot stores and a massive casino planned to fill the holes ripped in Chicago due to the loss of great businesses and decent people pursuing their dreams. […]

Pritzkerville is the dystopian version of Chicago: a dystopia of high taxes, rampant crime, and Democrat corruption. Pritzkerville is Chicago losing its “soul.” It doesn’t have to be this way. Urban life has challenges, but these challenges have long been met – and still are in thriving cities like Miami.

* Back to Bailey

I’ve picked up on some of the lingo and one of the words that I’ve found that was used many years ago is the word chumbolone. It means lacking common sense. It pertains to the people who are being duped by their elected officials. But in this case, I believe that elected officials are the fools here because JB Pritzker and Lori Lightfoot and Kim Foxx, well, they’re the chumbolones of Chicago. They’re responsible for the crime, the corruption and the chaos that exists today and it’s got to change.

I don’t get it. But, hey, nice shout-out to a noted Indiana resident by a guy being backed to the hilt by a noted Florida resident.

  64 Comments      


Pritzker pressed again on SAFE-T Act changes

Wednesday, Oct 19, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release from yesterday…

Representative Justin Slaughter (D-Chicago) and Representative Kelly Cassidy (D-Chicago) join crime survivors’ advocates at a press conference on Tuesday to fiercely oppose the misguided, late-stage trailer bill (Senate Bill 4228) that was orchestrated by conservative states attorneys.

The advocates highlighted three core elements of the prosecutors’ trailer bill that would not only undermine reforms, but move Illinois even further backwards, especially where it concerns survivors.

    * SB 4228 removes the requirement that State’s attorneys are responsible for notifying victims about detention hearings (Page 69, lines 20-21).
    * SB 4228 creates a system where low-level, nonviolent cases will clog up our pretrial detention system, rather than focusing on serious cases (Page 5, lines 7-9; page 60, lines 7-16).
    * Creating a “presumption of detention” is unconstitutional, and particularly harmful to criminalized survivors of violence (Page 11, lines 14-15; page 19, lines 7-9; page 62, lines 12-22; page 63, lines 7-16).

“The supporters of the prosecutors’ trailer bill are knowingly undermining the lived experience of survivors and advocates who fought for and won the provision of the Pretrial Fairness Act that requires States Attorneys to notify victims of crimes about detention hearings,” said Vickie Smith, executive director of the Illinois Coalition Against Domestic Violence. “Survivors do not want to be left in the dark, with potentially life-threatening consequences.”

“The shared goal of the Pretrial Fairness Act reforms is to better use the criminal legal system to make us all safer,” said Radhika Sharma-Gordon, Manager, Outreach and Education at Apna Ghar, Inc. “This means freeing up unnecessary resources spent on detaining low-level, low-risk people who’ve been accused of a crime. The prosecutors’ trailer bill seeks to maintain the failed status quo by creating a “catch-all” provision that allows for prosecutors to move for detention on any charge, which is not only a waste of resources, but it diverts attention from the cases that truly need careful and considered review in court.”

Under the Pretrial Fairness Act, prosecutors and law enforcement actually get the time and resources they need to work on cases that impact community safety, instead of spending their days dragging people into bond court for misdemeanors and petty offenses. Under a more focused system they can actually spend their time focusing on the 80 to 90 percent of sex crime reports in Chicago that don’t lead to any arrests. Law enforcement statewide could also spend more time on the 34,000 people in Illinois who have had their right to own a gun revoked by courts – many of whom with domestic violence backgrounds – who have not turned in their weapons or had them confiscated by law enforcement.

“Not only does the prosecutors’ trailer bill undermine the shared goals of the Pretrial Fairness Act, it also undermines the Constitution,” said Kaethe Morris Hoffer, executive director of the Chicago Alliance Against Sexual Exploitation. “We all agree that a presumption of innocence is a cornerstone of our criminal legal system and any legitimate democratic government. That’s why it’s unthinkable that our elected State’s Attorneys have drafted a bill that creates a presumption of detention. Not only is it unconstitutional but it contradicts the democratic institutions our criminal legal system is ostensibly supposed to protect.”

The open letter is here.

* Capitol News Illinois did a story on the letter. Here’s an excerpt

Another unmentioned change contained in [Sen. Scott Bennett’s] bill is a provision to ensure that the end of cash bail does not apply to individuals who were held in lieu of bail prior to Jan. 1, 2023. It addresses one of the main concerns of opponents, that those held before Jan. 1 may be entitled to release depending on how a judge interprets the existing language.

That provision has been called the “Purge Law” by some over the top detractors. Will County State’s Attorney James Glasgow has said he’d be forced to empty his jail in an “end of days” scenario. The Lake County state’s attorney, on the other hand, has said he’s actually putting in the work to make sure everything is in order come the first of the year.

* Gov. Pritzker brought up that very change last night during the debate

Q: Governor you’ve accused Republicans of putting out disinformation about the legislation but the law does have critics from your own party, including State’s Attorneys who are suing you What steps are you taking to clarify what the law actually does?

Pritzker: Look, the folks who are critical of the SAFE-T Act and who are spreading disinformation want to let violent criminals out of jail on January 1. That’s not what the SAFE-T Act says. But if they’re going to try to do that, we ought to amend the SAFE-T Act to make sure they can’t do it. Let’s amend it, but not end it. […]

Q: …Today, the sponsors of the SAFE-T Act said they would not support the proposed changes by Democratic Senator Scott Bennett. You’ve previously called his proposal a ‘pretty good bill.’ Do you still feel that way?

Pritzker: Well as I’ve said, there are a lot of provisions in that bill. I think that we ought to be looking through all those provisions to decide which ones. I just suggested one that we ought to implement. But, look, Senator Bennett is a former prosecutor. He’s very thoughtful about these things. But as you know, I support the SAFE-T Act. Again, we ought to amend it appropriately. And make sure that we’re ending cash bail, while keeping murderers rapists and domestic abusers in jail.

* Sen. Bennett told Capitol News Illinois pretty much the same thing

Bennett said while much of the current conversation regarding “non-detainable” offenses stems from “misstatements on the right,” he filed the bill to erase any potential doubt.

“But if there was any ambiguity that some judge might misinterpret that, I think it’s fixed in (Senate Bill) 4228 and I think it makes it very clear that we want people out in the community if they are not a danger to the community. We want people getting back on the path to rehabilitation,” he said. “But I think we also need to recognize that there are people that threaten our society, and if there is an objective finding of that, I think everyone feels better if they are detained until they can have their day in court.”

* Quick coverage roundup from Isabel…

    * Debates continue among political parties over Illinois’ new SAFE-T Act: One state lawmaker filed a bill that amends language in the current law, while others in his party fired back, saying such changes would do more harm than good. “Right now, the system is broken and I am proud of my partners in the survivor advocacy community for coming to the table and staying at the table and getting changes that will make us all safer,” said Rep. Kelly Cassidy (D-Chicago), who adds that some of the changes fought for in the Safe-T Act are being threatened.

    * City of Moline votes down resolution addressing SAFE-T Act: But, only half of the council members supported the resolution. Mike Wendt gave his reasoning and stated, “It is important to give the city of moline one voice that we are supportive of our officers and our law-abiding residents.” The resolution addresses what they deemed major issues in the SAFE-T act, such as the removal of cash bail and unclear guidelines for law enforcement.

    * Kendall County Board approves resolution requesting changes to SAFE-T Act: The resolution received unanimous support from the board. During the meeting, State’s Attorney Eric Weis told the board that preparing for unknowns with the SAFE-T Act has been difficult. Kendall County, along with many others, has filed to suit to halt the act’s implementation.

    * Mike Halpin talks workers’ rights, inflation, SAFE-T Act in News 8 roundtable: The Democratic candidate for Illinois’s 36th Legislative District sat with News 8’s Shelby Kluver to showcase his policies and values ahead of the midterm elections.

  14 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition

Wednesday, Oct 19, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Debate discussion thread

Wednesday, Oct 19, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I forgot to post a debate thread yesterday. Sorry about that. While Isabel and I gather stories about last night’s gubernatorial debate, here’s your chance to give it your own spin.

  48 Comments      


Morning campaign stuff

Wednesday, Oct 19, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* A quick roundup to start your day…

    * Sun-Times/WBEZ Poll: Voters all over the field on Bears’ Arlington play — but almost half would sack any taxpayer dollar request: The survey underscores the difficulty the team faces in lining up support for its sweeping proposal to transform the shuttered Arlington International Racecourse into a stadium campus accompanied by a scores of new restaurants, businesses and residential buildings. “Why should the taxpayers fund anything?,” one poll respondent asked.

    * Where 28th state Senate candidates stand on abortion: Murphy, who has represented the district since 2015, said the government “has no business” making decisions about reproduction or other health care issues for women. “We have the right to make our own decisions on our health care,” she said. “Everyone else makes their own decisions on their health care. Why wouldn’t women, throughout the country and particularly in Illinois, have the right to do it?”

    * In their own words: Meet the candidates running for Illinois’s 36th Senate District:
    For the first time since 2014, State Senator Neil Anderson (R) will not be on the ballot for Illinois’s 36th district. After the state’s once-per-decade redistricting process, Anderson was drawn out of the 36th. He now resides in and is running to represent the new 47th district.

    * What’s the Difference Between Illinois’ Treasurer and Comptroller?: While the offices of attorney general and secretary of state seem simple enough, Illinois is one of only a handful of states that has both a treasurer and a comptroller, with both offices controlling elements of the state’s finances.

    * Daily Herald Endorsement: Costa Howard for House Dist. 42: Many Democrats danced around questions related to former House Speaker Michael Madigan, the once all-powerful head of the party in Illinois. Costa Howard worked for his ouster. In fact, she was one of the 19 House Democrats who opposed his leadership and one of the first to call for him to go. […] It is a shame that in endorsing Costa Howard we cannot therefore endorse Hood. She is a responsible Republican running to add political balance to a state now dominated by one party and normally we would herald that.

* More to come!

  12 Comments      


Open thread

Wednesday, Oct 19, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Before we start our day, we all have to say one thing nice about each other…

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Wednesday, Oct 19, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Live coverage

Wednesday, Oct 19, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


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Move over and slow down!

Tuesday, Oct 18, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* ISP…

On October 18, 2022, Illinois State Police (ISP) officials investigated two separate Scott’s Law Violations that occurred less than an hour apart involving injury to a trooper and two deaths. The first violation involved a traffic crash in District 12 - Effingham where an ISP Trooper received minor injuries. The second violation involved two construction workers who were fatally injured while setting out construction barrels in District 14 – near Burlington, IA.

On October 18, 2022, at approximately 7:25 a.m., Illinois State Police (ISP) officials investigated a vehicle versus pedestrian traffic crash involving an ISP District 12 Trooper, on the ramp from U.S. Route 45 to Interstate 57 southbound in Effingham. The Trooper was on the right shoulder with emergency lights activated, parked behind a truck-tractor semi-trailer (TTST), while investigating a traffic crash. The Trooper was gathering information from the driver of the TTST involved in an earlier hit-and-run. The Trooper was on the driver’s side external floorboard of the TTST’s cab partially in the vehicle, when a passing TTST struck the Trooper and the cab. The Trooper was transported to an area hospital with non-life-threatening injuries and has since been treated and released. The uninjured driver of the passing TTST, 42-year-old Eric D. Trevino of Temple Bell, TX, was issued a citation for a violation of Scott’s Law – Improper Passing of a Stationary Emergency Vehicle.

Also, on October 18, 2022, at approximately 8:03 a.m., two construction workers from a Burlington, IA company were struck and killed after being hit by a passenger car. The workers were walking behind their stationary pickup truck and trailer, which had its yellow construction lights activated, setting construction barrels for a work zone on the Great River Bridge of U.S Route 34 westbound as it crosses the Mississippi River. A 2016 Mazda CX5 traveling westbound struck a barrel and continued on, striking the two construction workers causing fatal injuries.

The workers are identified as Pearson J. Franklin, 20-year-old of New London, IA and Andrew Whitcomb, 35-year-old of Burnside, IL. The driver of the Mazda, Emily Johnson, 21-year-old of Gladstone, IL, was written citations for Scott’s Law – Improper Passing of a Stationary Emergency Vehicle, Improper Use of Electronic Communication Device, and Failure To Reduce Speed To Avoid a Crash. Johnson received minor injuries as a result of the crash.

There have been 19 ISP squad cars struck in relation to the Move Over Law and eight Troopers have sustained injuries from Move Over Law-related crashes. ISP is reminding the public of the requirements of the Move Over Law, otherwise known as the “Scott’s Law.” When approaching an emergency vehicle, or any vehicle with their emergency or hazard lights activated, drivers are required to slow down AND move over. A person who violates Scott’s Law, commits a business offense and faces a fine of no less than $250 or more than $10,000 for a first offense. If the violation results in injury to another person, the violator’s driver’s license will be suspended for a mandatory period of anywhere between six months and two years. Additional information can be found at the following link:
https://isp.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapJournal/index.html?appid=21430274bef64fc5a19d8dcc191ff3f8

  15 Comments      


Campaign notebook

Tuesday, Oct 18, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* When just 5.5 percent of the voting public is watching, the expectation game is almost completely irrelevant

Bailey generally outperformed low expectations in the first debate of the two on Oct. 6 at Illinois State University in Normal, a chippy affair in which each labeled the other as a liar, the two repeatedly interrupted each other and both accused the other of hypocrisy.

* Latest Personal PAC mailer uses not-so-subtle coat hanger imagery…

* Jason Meisner and Ray Long take a look at the US Attorney’s election timing in the latest Madigan-related charges

In May, Attorney General Merrick Garland sent a memo to Department of Justice employees that was nearly identical to one sent out by his predecessors in previous election cycles, in both Democratic and Republican administrations.

The two-page memo, which was made public over the summer, said “partisan politics must play no role in the decisions of federal investigators or prosecutors regarding any investigations or criminal charges.” […]

The memo directed DOJ employees to reach out to the department’s Public Integrity Section if there were any questions about the appearances of any investigation or announcements “near the time of a primary or general election.”

Legal experts who spoke to the Tribune noted that the memo says nothing specific about how long before an election the policy takes effect, or what exactly would constitute a violation.

“There is no hard and fast rule here at all,” said Renato Mariotti, a legal affairs expert and former federal prosecutor in Chicago. “It’s merely guidance regarding the need to be concerned about any potential appearance of the Justice Department being involved in the political process.”

* Tribune

Amid questions at a town hall meeting from residents about inflation, potential nuclear attacks in Ukraine and gun violence, U.S. Rep. Brad Schneider, D-Highland Park, received a visit from his Republican opponent — Joe Severino of Lake Forest — in the Nov. 8 election.

Severino wanted to debate Schneider on the spot about the issues, but the congressman said he cannot engage in political discourse when he is participating in an event in his official capacity as the representative of the 10th Congressional District of Illinois. […]

“Joe, you’re welcome to stay,” Schneider said. “You’re welcome to have a seat. You’re welcome to stay. If you’re disruptive, I’ll have to ask you to leave.”

Severino eventually left the room.

Severino has been posting tweets lately about a bizarre conspiracy theory, which I can’t make head nor tails of.

* Politico

In suburban congressional races, Dems clobbering Republicans in fundraising — except in IL-17: Republican Esther Joy King of East Moline has nearly $1.4 million cash on hand to Democrat Eric Sorensen’s nearly $295,000, according to the latest Federal Election Commission reports. Sun-Times’ Lynn Sweet has all the numbers. […]

— Illinois House Speaker Emanuel “Chris” Welch and Democrats for the Illinois House closed the quarter reporting $14.1 million raised and $17 million cash on hand.

— Judge Elizabeth Rochford is being endorsed by the Illinois Education Association in her campaign for the Supreme Court’s Second District.

— Republican Erica Harriss has been endorsed by the Illinois Chamber of Commerce and the Illinois National Federation of Independent Business’ political action committee in her bid for the 56th District state Senate seat.

— Democrat Maria Peterson has been endorsed by the Illinois Senate Latino Caucus, Citizen Action/Illinois and the Latino Victory Fund in her bid for the 26th District state Senate seat.

Harriss is running against appointed Sen. Kris Tharp. Peterson is running against Senate Republican Leader Dan McConchie.

* Chicago early vote totals…

The most up-to-date Early Vote and Vote By Mail totals in Chicago, night of Monday, October 17, 2022.

The Early Vote total stands at 2,308 ballots cast.

Additionally, 14,147 Vote By Mail ballots have been returned to the Board – total VBM applications stands at 182,898.

The grand total is 16,455 ballots cast so far in Chicago for the November 8th General Election.

* Roundup from Isabel…

    * Final gubernatorial debate to air on WSIL : Governor JB Pritzker and Sen. Darren Bailey will face off one last time October 18 at 7 p.m. The entire debate will air on WSIL, following News 3 at 6:30. […] Gov. Pritzker and Sen. Bailey faced off on October 6 in their first debate. They both used the hour-long debate to find different ways to to call each other “liar.”

    * Democratic House candidates tout Reproductive Health Act while Republicans call for reinstating Parental Notification Act for abortions: While Republican candidates stated they are anti-abortion and Democratic candidates said they are pro-abortion rights, the majority of candidates said they supported allowing abortion in cases of rape or incest or if the mother’s life is in danger, but did not specify at what term in pregnancy.

    * Media biz chatter over pro-Bailey TV spots spills over onto Twitter: A back-and-forth brewed between former WLS sportscaster Mark Giangreco and former ABC 7 political reporter Charles Thomas when Giangreco tweeted, “sellout shill Charles Thomas’ campaign ads for Darren Bailey “trump” the ridiculous NewsNation promos.” The comment prompted Thomas to fire back at Giangreco, mentioning his brother, Pete Giangreco, who is a political consultant: “Other consultants, like your Dem hack brother (Pete), get paid a LOT more. You could probably use a few extra bucks. How long has it been?”

    * Pritzker, Bailey skirt pension specifics ahead of election e: Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker and Republican challenger Darren Bailey have largely avoided specifics regarding plans to address the state’s growing pension burden ahead of the Nov. 8 election. […] Both Pritzker and Bailey, a state senator from Xenia, provided few details about how they plan to tackle the problem during the first gubernatorial debate this month.

    * Civic Federation supports passage of forest preserve district of Cook Country property tax referendum: The Civic Federation supports passage of the Forest Preserve District of Cook County’s (FPDCC) property tax extension limitation law (PTELL) referendum. The referendum asks the voters of Cook County whether the District’s property tax limiting rate should by increased by 0.025% in property tax levy year 2022, which would generate approximately $40 million in additional property tax revenue for the District annually, or about $20 more annually for the owner of a $300,000 home.

    * Budzinski out raising, out spending Deering in Illinois 13th Congressional District race: Filed with the Federal Election Commission, the reports as of Sept. 30 show Budzinski, a former chief of staff in the Biden administration’s Office of Management and Budget, has raised $3.1 million mostly in individual contributions. In a statement from her campaign office, Budzinski said she was “blown away” with the backing as Democrats look to flip the district held by Republicans for the entire millennium before it was redrawn.

    * Heather Brown: 2022 candidate for Illinois Senate District 25: “As a homeschooling mother of 2 since 2020, I am very unhappy with the educational funding. Our schools have not been updated other than front offices for the faculty and we still do not have air conditioning for elementary schools. Our grades have a 10% ESL and Math grade from 2021-2022 school years. I believe holding funding from schools that do not teach the current bill SB818 is a deep concern,” Brown said.

* Endorsements…

* From the bird app…

  18 Comments      


Illinois Supreme Court news coverage roundup

Tuesday, Oct 18, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Patch

A federal judge has blocked the enforcement of a pair of campaign finance laws restricting contributions to judicial candidates in Illinois. The ruling opens the door for additional campaign donations ahead of Election Day on Nov. 8.

The ban on campaign donations from residents of other states, enacted in November 2021, as well as the $500,000 limit on how much a single donor can give to an independent expenditure committee supporting or opposing a candidate for judge, enacted in May, were both challenged in August by former Illinois resident Matt Chancey, conservative political committee Restoration PAC and its affiliate Fair Courts America.

Chancey, a former Lake County assistant state’s attorney who moved to Texas after living in Illinois for more than six decades, wanted to donate to the campaigns of Mark Curran, candidate for the Illinois Supreme Court, Reginald Mathews for a Lake County judgeship, Jeff Delong for the Effingham County bench and Mary Christine Heins as a judge in Jackson County, according to his complaint. […]

U.S. District Judge John Tharp ruled in the group’s favor Friday, rejecting the state’s motion to dismiss the case and granting a preliminary injunction to the plaintiff. According to the federal judge, there is no reason to believe that political speech during judicial elections is any less valuable than during other elections.

* The Tribune with more background on the lawsuit

The lawsuit says Restoration PAC — founded by businessman Doug Traux, who ran unsuccessfully for the Republican U.S. Senate nomination in 2014 — wants to accept a contribution of more than $500,000 and to contribute more than $500,000 to Fair Courts America, both of which are prohibited by the new law. […]

The judge’s ruling applies only to the provisions on out-of-state contributions and donations to independent expenditure committees, not other portions of the laws.

Remaining in place is a $500,000 limit on contributions from individual donors in races where one candidate is self-funding or where there have been independent expenditures of more than $100,000 on behalf of one candidate.

Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s campaign fund already has made maximum contributions to the two Democratic candidates in races that will determine whether the party maintains its edge on the Supreme Court.

* WBEZ

Terry Cosgrove, president and CEO of Personal PAC, an influential abortion rights fundraising arm, said in 50 years of canvassing, he’s hearing more interest in this election than ever before.

He’s mainly focused on the Illinois Supreme Court races, where Republicans hope to gain control for the first time in more than 50 years. That could threaten abortion rights, Cosgrove said. […]

Money has poured into Personal PAC’s coffers this summer after the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that states could ban abortions. The organization has raised more than $1 million since July 1, state campaign finance records show. […]

“I’m not confident at all about the Supreme Court races,” he said. “Not a lot of people know about them. Not a lot of people even know they get a vote.”

* NBC 5

As the race for the Illinois Supreme Court heats up with weeks to go, there are questions raised about contributions incumbent Justice Michael Burke previously received and the subsequent nominations he made.

Campaign contribution records reviewed by NBC 5 Investigates show Burke’s campaign, the “Citizens to Elect Justice Michael J Burke” committee, received $5,996 from the husband of a DuPage Circuit Court judge that Burke had nominated and later appointed for the position.

Burke also received an additional $5,550 from a company the Judge’s husband works for.

The contributions were made months prior to Judge Kavita Athanikar’s appointment to the DuPage Circuit Court bench.

* Fox

Doctors rallied Monday in support of abortion rights. […]

Mark Curran and Michael Burke have support from Illinois Right to Life and other groups opposed to abortion rights and contraception.

These groups want no exceptions for abortions for women — even if they are victims of rape or incest.

“I feel incredibly fortunate to currently live and work in Illinois, a state that is supportive of access to full spectrum reproductive health care, including abortion and contraception,” one doctor said. “This care is rightfully viewed as essential health care in our state. I’m here to speak to you today because I’m incredibly concerned about my ability to continue to provide this care in Illinois, given what’s at stake in this upcoming election in November.”

  4 Comments      


PPP also polled the abortion issue

Tuesday, Oct 18, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* WBEZ

As states around the country adopt stricter restrictions on abortion with the overturning of Roe v. Wade, more than half of Illinois voters say abortion should remain legal here, according to a new WBEZ/Chicago Sun-Times Poll.

About 52% of likely voters polled said abortion should be legal in most or all cases, with 36% saying it should be illegal, and 12% unsure.

As with other stories on this PPP poll, the piece was light on actual numbers. For instance, this really doesn’t say much at all….

Respondents who live in the collar counties or downstate were more likely than Chicagoans to say abortion should be mostly or completely illegal. Opponents of legalized abortion in the poll also have less education than those who support abortion.

OK, fine, but what are the numbers?

* The only graph

  9 Comments      


Just in case he tries to use the ol’ “taken out of context” line…

Tuesday, Oct 18, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I got a little pushback from the Bailey campaign yesterday for highlighting his belief that the state should cut education funding. So, let’s go back to the interview because I get the distinct impression that he’s going to try to spin away from his Crain’s editorial board comments during tonight’s debate

Q: Are there any no-go zones, things that you absolutely would not want to see in reductions in [state] spending?

Bailey: Everybody’s on the table. Let’s talk about education. Here in Chicago $29,000 per student, the highest in the nation [Editor’s note: It’s more like $15K]. $29,000 being spent per student. I think the rest of the state is close to 20 on average [Editor’s note: It’s more like $16K] we expend when our schools are failing. Our colleges are some of the most expensive in the nation, and our children are being forced out of state going to other colleges because of tuition. That shouldn’t be happening. It’s transparency. It’s accountability. It’s taking a look at things that they were putting too much money in and making the situation transparent.

I’m not sure how cutting spending is going to lower property taxes or tuition or increase learning. And since he also wants fewer mandates, I doubt he’d demand that school boards rein in administrative salaries.

* Back to the interview

Q: I think we all know that property taxes are so high here because local school districts pick up a large share of the property tax, the cost of educating your kids. The big question I have for you is what is the state’s role in education? What should it be? Because it sounds like you’re talking about unfunded mandates. So what is the state’s function? Should the state be paying more money for education or less money?

Bailey: The state should be paying less money. The state should be pulling back, letting the local school boards determine how they want to educate their children, offering school choice. So one thing Governor Pritzker you know, when you talk about these facts. There’s other states, they may be spending 48%. They’re not spending 20, 29,000 on their students. When we see problems here, when Governor Pritzker has a problem they just throw more money at the issue without any accountability whatsoever. I mean, the overwhelming majority of schoolchildren in Chicago Public Schools, do you realize this, they cannot read or do math at grade level. The majority of high school students over all of Illinois cannot read or do math at grade level. That’s a problem. [From the administration: “Illinois has some of the most rigorous learning standards in the nation: ranking fourth most rigorous for 4th grade reading and fifth most rigorous for 8th grade reading. In Illinois, a student needs to earn a level of 4 or 5 to be considered proficient. In comparison, the rigor of Florida’s standards ranks 39th and 42nd, respectively, and a student only needs to earn a level 3 on the state assessment to be considered proficient”] Why aren’t we tackling those issues? But now we think it’s good to let’s let’s add new curriculum, SB818, sex education curriculum, let’s add new curriculum so we have to hire new teachers, train people, and that binding curriculum [It’s not binding], that’s Gov. Pritzker’s, that’s his dream for Illinois. And that’s destroying us. We have got to pull back. We need to be getting vocational and trade classes back in our school. We need to be teaching our children how to live and how a function, how to run a business. That’s the future of Illinois. And we’re not doing that, we’re not doing anything except throwing more money at the schools, demanding more out of the schools and so we have a high weighted administration.

Vocational education costs money, too. Cut the funds and… magic?

* Interview

Q: The argument that the state pulls back or doesn’t play a larger role, we’re going to have these broad disparities in spending between school districts. And so a child’s opportunity is going to depend basically, on where they are. And so how do you respond to that argument? Is that a valid argument? Because if you have one school district spending $10,000 per student and another one in New Trier expending, whatever, 30, you’re gonna have different outcomes over the long run.

Bailey: People have choices. And if that’s taking place and their property taxes are high, then they get to determine ‘Am I gonna stay here and live here and pay these property taxes? Or am I gonna move somewhere else where my property taxes aren’t as high?’

They’re all gonna have higher property taxes with lower state funding, even if state mandates are cut.

* Some of the following passages were a little garbled

Bailey: What is good for New Trier is not good for Clay County, Illinois. Most, many of our children are, some of our children are going to go to the military. They’re going to go right into the workforce. There’s welders, pipe fitters, linemen. So that’s what public education needs to be.

Q: You’re implying that because they’re going to become a [trades person] they don’t need the same kind of level of education that somebody up here [may require].

Bailey: Well, that’s Southern Illinois. That’s the line of work that if you want to stay in Southern Illinois, that’s the line of work that’s most prevalent. Used to be coal mining, it used to be working in the oil fields. It used to be working on the farm. But because of the regulations, oil’s being regulated, even though we’re going to haul coal from Wyoming to power plants over the eastern seaboard. And we’re just kind of blinded to all these things that should be so awesome for Illinois.

Q: So that kid doesn’t need the same kind of education?

Bailey: You’re implying with that with money. Money is not the solution to a good education. Period.

Also, it should probably not go unnoticed that just a few years after the state came up with a bipartisan plan to equitably fund schools, people like Bailey and the far-right groups are now demanding reduced K-12 spending.

* This all brings to mind a Madeline Doubek column from the 1990s

Suburban legislators understand downstate communities don’t have the property wealth the suburbs have, but some, like Republican state Sen. Marty Butler of Park Ridge, question whether downstate residents are putting a proportional share of money into their schools.

“People wanted good schools and bought into the idea that it’s costly,” Butler says of the suburbs. “Downstate, they either were willing or content to let the schools kind of coast along.” […]

Much has been made about the fact that a North Shore district spends $15,744 annually per student, while downstate St. Rose Elementary District spends only $2,932.

But the numbers that may have more meaning in the suburbs are ones that show some suburban school districts get little more than $230 in state funds per student, while others outside the suburbs get as much as $2,000.

And now that some of the poorer districts are finally getting significantly more money, Bailey wants to constrict the pipeline.

By the way, St. Rose Elementary District just happens to be in Bailey’s new state Senate district. Oh, the irony.

  41 Comments      


Pritzker’s new ad features Highland Park Mayor: “Darren Bailey has no business being our governor”

Tuesday, Oct 18, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The spot

* Script

Highland Park Mayor Nancy Rotering: On July 4th, my community saw the face of evil. The magnitude of the devastation will last for years.

But with the work of public safety personnel, the support of Governor Pritzker, and so many others, the people of Highland Park are finding strength in the aftermath of trauma.

But even as the shooter was still at large, Darren Bailey said it was time to “move on.” And he raised funds for his campaign raffling off assault weapons like the one used here.

Darren Bailey has no business being our governor.

  46 Comments      


Bailey skips all questions, while Pritzker dodges three

Tuesday, Oct 18, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Hmm

The Chicago Sun-Times and WBEZ asked 19 questions of the three gubernatorial candidates on the Nov. 8 ballot in an effort to easily show voters the differences between the candidates.

Only incumbent Democratic Gov. J.B. Pritzker completed the questionnaire.

Republican state Sen. Darren Bailey and Libertarian Scott Schluter did not answer the questions.

Pritzker answered most, but not all of the questions. Here are the three questions he skipped

Would you favor permanently abolishing the state sales tax on gas?

Would you favor permanently abolishing the state sales tax on food and beverages?

Would you favor mandating the COVID-19 vaccine for Illinois students in the near future?

Hmm. Maybe somebody can ask that at tonight’s debate.

…Adding… He didn’t provide “Yes” or “No” answers to those questions, but he did provide some written responses

I am open to having conversations with the General Assembly about eliminating the state sales tax on gas, but we must ensure that critical projects and priorities are not threatened due to its elimination.

Sales tax revenue on groceries is collected by the state but is distributed to local governments. None of the revenue goes to the state. My tax relief plan in effect today eliminates the grocery tax by replacing the local revenue with state revenue. Working with local government, the state should consider the possibility of eliminating it altogether.

I’ve worked hard to protect the lives and health of all Illinoisans, including students. In fact, I kept our schools open while protecting the school communities during the worst moments of the pandemic. If re-elected, I will continue to assess the best options for keeping our students safe from the spread of COVID-19.

* Pritzker answered “Yes” to this question

Do you support Illinois’ tax credit scholarship program that provides financial support for students to attend private and parochial schools?

As you may remember, he promised to end that tax credit program during the 2018 campaign. Here’s Pritzker’s explanation

My main focus with respect to K-12 education is ensuring that there is sufficient funding for all children to receive a quality education, regardless of their zip code. That’s why I’ve dedicated an additional $1.3 billion toward public education during my term. With assurance from the advocates for Invest in Kids that they will support increased public school funding, my budgets have ultimately included the relatively small Invest in Kids Scholarship Program.

* He answered “No” to this question: “Would you favor changing the state constitution to allow for the diminishment of public employee pensions?”

Many Illinoisans spend their entire careers contributing money to a pension fund with a promise that they’ll get that money back. I firmly believe that’s a promise that can’t be broken.

* This was his explanation for why he opposed bringing back the state’s parental notification of abortion law

The repeal of parental notification was essential to protect society’s most vulnerable children: minors who are victims of rape and incest, victims who are poor, and victims of physical abuse at home. Those are the women and girls who were punished by this law which could lead to pregnant teens being kicked out, cut off or forced to have a child against their will. It put undue burdens on young people who didn’t have the necessary resources, whose parent may be in prison, or who are homeless.

Discuss.

  22 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Bailey claims own poll shows him two points down, but Pritzker camp calls the survey “junk”

Tuesday, Oct 18, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Background is here if you need it. From ABC 7’s story on the Illinois Broadcasters Association poll which has JB Pritzker leading Darren Bailey by 22 points

“It’s really bad news for Darren Bailey. At this point in the campaign, he should be shrinking the lead, not seeing it grow. Pritzker’s putting some distance between himself and Bailey, significant distance and it would be very difficult, if this poll is accurate for Bailey to make up that ground in the next few weeks,” said ABC7 Political Analyst Laura Washington.

The Bailey campaign scoffed at those latest numbers and said their own internal polling shows the race is much closer.

“This is not a legitimate poll. It’s an internet survey and anyone who cares about honest journalism would do a better job of disseminating information to the people. Our polling shows this race is close because JB Pritzker has failed Illinoisans. Darren Bailey is focused on making Illinois safer and more affordable for everyone and we’re confident voters will choose a better direction for Illinois on Election Day,” said Bailey’s campaign spokesperson, Joe DeBose.

* Fox 32

A spokesman for state Sen. Bailey called the results, “laughable.” The survey was conducted from Oct. 5 to Oct. 11.

7 days ain’t great. I’ll give them that. And the IBA has been less than transparent about the poll’s methodology.

* NBC 5

Mark Harris, a strategist for Bailey, dismissed the findings of the poll, saying that internal polls show the state senator just two points behind Pritzker.

“It coincides with the national environment getting better for Republicans,” he told NBC 5 Political Reporter Mary Ann Ahern. “We’re very confident that this is a close race and our data is showing it getting closer, and I don’t think JB Pritzker would be spending $100 million-plus if he thought this were a 20-point race.”

The Pritzker campaign fired back after the poll’s release, calling the razor-thin margin in Bailey’s internal polling “junk.”

“Darren Bailey’s desperation is showing,” a campaign spokesperson told NBC 5. “Just like the junk internal poll he tried to pass off last month, these numbers are wildly-off-base and inconsistent with all other public polling. Voters know Darren Bailey is too extreme for Illinois, and those who haven’t already voted early for Governor Pritzker will undoubtedly reject Bailey in November.”

The Bailey poll is here. No regional breakdowns and no question asking respondents about past election behavior, which I think is a decent way to check for accuracy. The IBA poll asked about geography, but not past votes.

…Adding… A commenter points out that Bailey’s poll uses a universe of 71 percent white people. Illinois is 62 percent white.

Also, Pritzker never lets off the gas. He didn’t ease up during the 2018 primary, even though he was safely ahead. He never slowed down during the 2018 general against a weak and unpopular Republican incumbent in a big Democratic year. And even after Richard Irvin dropped to third place during the 2022 GOP primary, Pritzker kept right on spending cash.

* Anyway, the Downstate numbers in two of the news media polls are odd. The WGN poll had Bailey ahead by just two points, 45-43 in Downstate. The WBEZ/Sun-Times poll had Downstate at a 40-40 tie. I’d be very curious to see what the IBA’s crosstabs show for that region. But, again, they’re being less than transparent.

*** UPDATE *** Dan Proft press release…

Don’t dismiss this bogus poll. Remember it.

This is how the corrupt and incompetent state-run Chicago press corps works. Use some leftist org like IL Broadcasters Assn to cook up a poll they can then report as ‘news’ to drive the outcome they desire on behalf of their fellow travelers in office. This is unadulterated fake news. RVs not likely voters. +17 on the generic ballot for Dems. There is no scenario in which that is remotely close and everyone who knows anything about polling and turnout modeling in IL knows what I’m saying is correct.

The generic ballot is + Dem in the single digits and trending toward the low single digits–at its height this cycle is was +9 Dems. Correspondingly, Bailey and the other statewides have been following that trend to where they are in striking distance depending on who turns out.

Bailey is the underdog. Of course he is. Every GOP statewide candidate in Illinois is. This trash poll dutifully reported by fake news outlets like WGN–yes, fake news outlets–is an effort to squelch out hope. Talk about voter suppression. They want to quell even the remotest signs of a popular revolt whether it’s over the Purge Law, confiscatory taxes, or the race and gender hustle in schools. Abandon any notion you have any control over your life and any ability to change it. Cede your sovereignty to the Dem Socialists as we have. Don’t think. Follow. That’s their message. They thrive on your fatalism. In fact, the only way people like Pritzker stay in office is if sensible people throw in the towel.

Remember this poll and the useful idiots these Pritzker apparatchiks in the fake news business consider you to be. This is so much bigger than even the governor’s race. Make a decision as to whether or not you want the leadership of virtually every civic, cultural, and educational institution in Illinois to continue lying to you with impunity. On November 8, tell the purveyors of acceptable lies you find them decidedly unacceptable. Use this egregious attempt to gaslight you to stoke the revolt that fells the current political power structure and sends an unmistakable message to the next one: We are in charge. We have some simple demands. We want a better life in Illinois. You’d better meet those demands or you’re next.

Ah, yes, fomenting anger to threaten the news media and “every civic, cultural, and educational institution in Illinois.” Lovely.

  59 Comments      


Morning campaign stuff

Tuesday, Oct 18, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* A quick roundup to start your day…

    * Final gubernatorial debate: What do Pritzker, Bailey need to say to gain support?: For Bailey to complete a path to victory, Redfield said the downstate farmer will need to attract more middle-of-the-road and undecided voters. […] For Pritzker to avoid joining Walker, Redfield recommends the governor stay the course — selling his accomplishments in a tenure amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Redfield said the governor’s touting of his record, including such policies as the Rebuild Illinois infrastructure plan, seem to resonate with the voters within his base and perhaps moderates as well.

    * Illinois treasurer’s race: What candidates have to say about taxes, college savings and merging the office: One of [Demmer‘s] main lines of attack on Frerichs is over remarks the treasurer made in 2020, when he said voter approval of a graduated income tax on the ballot that November could open the door to conversations about whether the wealthiest retirees should have some of their retirement income taxed. The comment was seized upon by Republicans, even as Frerichs went on to repeatedly insist he opposed any state tax on retirement income.

    * State senate race becomes fierce battleground: A central Illinois state senate race has become a fierce battleground as republicans hope to flip the 48th District. The race between Democratic candidate Doris Turner and Republican candidate Sandy Hamilton is now one of the ugliest races this election cycle. “It’s a high stakes, you’ve got a lot of money that people can spend. In addition to doing the positive ads- this is who I am this, this is what I’m trying to do- you’re trying to define your opponent,” Kent Redfield, a Professor Emeritus of Political Science at the University of Illinois Springfield, told WAND News.

    * Illinois Democrats deploy campaign cash to defend downstate turf against Republican challengers: Republican candidates angling to oust downstate Democrats face a number of strategic disadvantages down the stretch, but still hope national political winds from a Biden backlash can sweep them to power in the statehouse. “The way our economy is right now, people are ready for a change,” Republican Jennifer Korte said at a Republican campaign event in Edwardsville.

    * Illinois voters to weigh in on Workers’ Rights Amendment to codify collective bargaining rights: It’s a key issue for unions, which are pouring millions of dollars into the campaign to win support for the amendment, including TV ads. But business groups - including the Illinois Chamber of Commerce and others - are fighting against it, saying it would be bad for business and encouraging companies to locate elsewhere.

    * Chicago-area congressional Democratic candidates lead in fundraising, new FEC reports show: With giant campaign cash advantages — and new districts with voters who don’t know them — Casten, Krishnamoorthi, Schneider, Foster and Underwood have been running television ads in the expensive Chicago broadcast market.

More later.

  2 Comments      


Open thread

Tuesday, Oct 18, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* It’s debate night! What issues do you think will make it into tonight’s debate?

  18 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Tuesday, Oct 18, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

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Live coverage

Tuesday, Oct 18, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


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New Proft PAC ad features Joe Rogan clip

Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

People Who Play By The Rules PAC has launched a new ad, “UN**** ILLINOIS” featuring an exchange from a segment on the #1 Podcast in America, The Joe Rogan Experience between Rogan and Illinois native Will Harris.

:30 YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_n1bnzloS4s&feature=youtu.be
TV Script:

America’s #1 Podcaster and Bernie Sanders Supporter
Joe Rogan Discusses THE PRITZKER PURGE LAW

HARRIS: Didn’t Illinois just pass some new law?

ROGAN: They’re essentially eliminating cash bail for almost everything dangerous. Second degree murder. Arson! So you light a guy’s house on fire? Get right out of jail. Drug induced homicide. Robbery. Kidnapping. Aggravated battery. Burglary. Intimidation. Aggravated driving under the influence. Fleeing and eluding drug offenses, and threatening a public official. NO BAIL.

HARRIS: What??

ROGAN: Yeah they’re ****ed.

UN**** ILLINOIS.

Vote NO on Pritzker.

  34 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** IBA poll: Pritzker up by 22; Duckworth leads by 19; Raoul ahead by 18

Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* NBC 5

In the governor’s race, Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the poll, picking up 49.7% of the vote. State Sen. Darren Bailey, the Republican nominee in the race, trails by 22 points at 27.7%, while Libertarian candidate Scott Schluter is at 6.3%. […]

The story was similar in two other statewide races, according to the poll. Incumbent Attorney General Kwame Raoul holds a 42.6-to-25.2% lead over Republican contender Thomas DeVore, while Libertarian candidate Dan Robin is polling at 5.7%.

A large chunk of voters, 22.3%, are undecided in the race, while 4.2% say they won’t vote for any of the candidates on the board.

In the race for Illinois’ Senate seat, incumbent Sen. Tammy Duckworth holds a 48.2-to-28.5% lead over Republican challenger Kathy Salvi. Libertarian Bill Redpath received 5.5% of the vote, while 14.2% of voters are undecided in the race.

According to the story, this Research America, Inc. poll of 1,000 registered voters has a 3.1 percent margin of error. No dates were mentioned in the piece.

*** UPDATE *** Toplines are here. (Hat tip to MrJM)

…Adding… Some more questions

Q9. Do you feel the issue of crime will have a positive or negative impact for…?

J.B. Pritzker

    Positive impact 12.7%
    Negative impact 20.3%
    No Opinion / No answer 6.1%
    Crime not a top issue 60.9%

Darren Bailey

    Positive impact 15.8%
    Negative impact 10.4%
    No Opinion / No answer 12.9%
    Crime not a top issue 60.9%

It’s just not moving the needle, even though 39 percent rated crime as one of their top three issues.

  14 Comments      


A deeper dive into the Sun-Times poll

Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I just now saw this on Twitter, but a few days ago Dave McKinney at WBEZ took a deeper look at that new PPP poll conducted with the Sun-Times. Check it out

As reported, Pritzker is doing well in Chicago and suburban Cook, is narrowly ahead in the collars and playing Bailey to a draw downstate. It’s Chicago: 78-12% Pritzker; suburban Cook: 47-36% Pritzker; collars: 43-40% Pritzker; and downstate: a 40-40% tie.

Given how red Illinois’ political map is south of I-80, there was a broad feeling Bailey would do well downstate - like ahead by double-digits there. But this snapshot of where things stand is bad news for Bailey. One GOP source said: “He’s basically a south of I-64 candidate.”

On the other hand, Pritzker’s collar county numbers — 43% — are under his 2018 performance, when he got 48% of the votes cast in DuPage, Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will counties to help beat Republican Bruce Rauner. In that election, Pritzker won those counties except for McHenry.

There’s also a longstanding rule of thumb when it comes to Chicago for statewide GOP hopefuls. At least 20% of the vote is needed to win. Bailey’s 12% won’t cut it. In the last 20 years, the only Republican to win the governorship was Rauner. In 2014, he got 21% of the city vote.

For reference, here’s the Chicago vote percentage that the losing GOP gubernatorial candidates got in the other four cycles since 2002. Rauner in 2018: 15%; Bill Brady in 2010: 17%; Judy Baar Topinka in 2006: 16%; and Jim Ryan in 2002: 19%. Bailey is underperforming all of them.

Bailey’s city numbers per the poll make one wonder whether there’s fallout from his frequent “hellhole” references for Chicago and whether his tough-on-crime talk is truly moving any voters here despite the surges in car-jackings and armed robberies.

By race, Pritzker is up in all categories: Hispanic/Latino 49-43% Pritzker, white 41-40% Pritzker, African-American 85-4% Pritzker and other 59-18% Pritzker.

Same is true with gender. Pritzker is ahead of Bailey with women 55-30%, which is one of the largest gaps I remember seeing in Illinois and no doubt attributable in large part to where both candidates are on the issue of abortion. Among men, Pritzker is ahead of Bailey 44-38%.

By party, the numbers are interesting and perhaps reflective of Bailey’s struggles to get the GOP to unify around him after the primary. Among Republican voters, 73% support Bailey, compared to 12% for Pritzker. By contrast, Pritzker is ahead of Bailey with Dem voters 91-3%.

Something a bit hard to interpret involves where 2020 Trump and Biden voters land in the 2022 governor’s race. Pritzker has 86% of Biden voters, but Bailey has 77% of Trump voters. Why that Trump support isn’t higher, given how Bailey has courted Trump, is a bit of a curveball.

By education, Pritzker leads Bailey in most categories. High school diploma or less: 41-38% Pritzker; some college but didn’t finish: 50-35% Pritzker; 2-yr college degree: 44-37% Bailey; 4-yr college degree: 58-27% Pritzker; post-graduate degree: Pritzker 63-23%. […]

One closing thought before shutting down tonight. The down-ballot statewide races are regarded as generic ballot barometers. So let’s look at the attorney general’s race. Incumbent Democrat, Kwame Raoul, is up over Republican 44-35% statewide. But Devore is leading Raoul in the collar counties 43-41%, essentially a dead heat. Why does that matter? Because the collar counties are ground zero for the two contested state Supreme Court seats. Republicans need to take both seats to gain control of the court for the first time since 1969.

The data in this poll is one snapshot, and it could be off. But if the Raoul-DeVore collar county numbers are reflective of reality, it’s even more reason to keep an eye on those Supreme Court races. They could be competitive.

Just a note of caution that small data subsets have very high margins of error. Still, it obviously ain’t all unicorns and rainbows for the Democrats here.

  21 Comments      


Campaign notebook

Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I asked both the Democratic Party of Illinois and the Illinois Republican Party this morning whether they’d been contacted by the FBI about this and never heard back

Chinese government hackers are scanning U.S. political party domains ahead of next month’s midterm elections, looking for vulnerable systems as a potential precursor to hacking operations, and the FBI is making a big push to alert potential victims to batten down the hatches.

Over the past week, FBI agents in field offices across the country have notified some Republican and Democratic state party headquarters they might be targets of the Chinese hackers, according to party and U.S. officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the matter’s sensitivity.

None of the potential targets were hacked or breached, the officials said.

* This means next to nothing. Most of Pritzker’s money is sheltered off-shore, so we don’t really know how much he’s making

Gov. J.B. Pritzker and Illinois first lady M.K. Pritzker reported earning more than $18.5 million in adjusted gross income last year - a hefty bump from the $5.1 million the billionaire couple reported in 2020.

Pritzker’s campaign on Friday released partial 2021 state and federal tax returns, which also show the Pritzkers paid $4,733,028 in federal taxes and $883,780 in state taxes. […]

The campaign also said trusts benefitting Pritzker paid $14.6 million in Illinois taxes and $68.6 million in federal taxes in 2021. The Pritzkers also made $1.07 million in personal charitable donations last year.

The Daily Mail’s take

Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker TRIPLED his income to $18.5m in 2021: Democrat billionaire heir to Hyatt hotels with plush property portfolio doesn’t take salary from his gubernatorial role - and already pumped $145m into his midterms campaign

* AG Raoul makes a good point in Politico

Republican nominee for Attorney General Tom DeVore has called on Democratic AG Kwame Raoul to return the $1 million campaign donation he received in 2018 from the Friends of Michael J. Madigan committee. DeVore describes Madigan as “the poster child for political corruption in Illinois,” according to a statement.

Raoul responded: “That money was donated by the former head of the Democratic Party of Illinois four years ago, and it was spent four years ago. Since then, I’ve accepted donations from the new chairwoman of the party and other supporters, and I’m certainly not going to hand over those donations to someone who is under federal indictment,” Raoul said in a statement.

* ABC 7 on Friday

There was a scuffle Thursday night on State Street and two CTA patrol volunteers were arrested.

Police say the group had parked illegally up and down the center of the street, right outside the ABC7 studios. […]

After being asked to move their vehicles, police say one of the volunteers hit a patrol car.

A second person was taken into custody for trying to stop the arrest.

If you watch the video, the “volunteers” appear to be from Ex-Cons for Community and Social Change (ECCSC). If you walked between the Statehouse and the Stratton Building in April, you likely caught sight of at least one of those cars. Also, click here to watch ECCSC leader Tyrone Muhammad smash the windows of a business he accused of being racist. And, of course, Muhammad disrupted a trans rights event in Chicago. And this is from July

Just sayin, but sometimes folks get into “violence prevention” in order to project their own power onto others.

Anyway, Tom DeVore announced a couple days after the State Street police scuffle that he’d be hanging out with ECCSC…


Watch for us tomorrow night. These men have offered to allow me to tag along and witness their efforts to try and keep…

Posted by Thomas DeVore on Friday, October 14, 2022

The night came to an end. A lot to process from tne last several hours. Thank you Tyrone Muhammad

Posted by Thomas DeVore on Sunday, October 16, 2022

…Adding… Sherman is also with ECCSC

A nine-time convicted felon who was on felony bail for allegedly battering an Illinois State trooper during a protest that featured Chicago’s “Dreadhead Cowboy,” accidentally shot himself in the butt at a Bucktown gas station, and then lied about what happened, prosecutors said Thursday.

Gregory Sherman, 43, works full-time as an anti-violence worker, “out there on the street, trying to lower the criminal and dangerous issues that are going on in our community,” his private defense attorney said. […]

But Sherman won’t be able to go home right away. Beach also ordered him held without bail for violating the bond conditions in the pending aggravated battery of a peace officer case, which is a story in itself.

In May 2021, Sherman, Adam “Dreadhead Cowboy” Hollingsworth, and three others were arrested after allegedly obstructing traffic on the Dan Ryan Expressway to raise awareness of violence against children.

* Illinois early vote totals…


* Chicago early vote totals…

The Early Vote total stands at 2,037 ballots cast.

Additionally, 11,817 Vote By Mail ballots have been returned to the Board – total VBM applications stands at 181,234.

The grand total is 13,854 ballots cast so far in Chicago for the November 8th General Election.

* IL FOP…

The Illinois Fraternal Order of Police (FOP) State Lodge, representing more than 34,000 active duty and retired law enforcement officers, has asked Third District Supreme Court Justice candidate Mary Kay O’Brien to stop using campaign literature that claims she has the FOP’s endorsement. The FOP has, in fact, officially endorsed the incumbent in the race, Justice Michael Burke.

“Whether O’Brien’s FOP endorsement claim is a mistake or is deliberate, the simple fact is that it’s not true and is misleading to Third District voters,” said Illinois FOP State Lodge President Chris Southwood. “We hereby call on the O’Brien campaign to cease and desist the use of any FOP logos or endorsement claims in its printed material, on-line postings and in-person events.”

A recent mailer sent by the O’Brien campaign to the residents of the new Third Supreme Court District displays an FOP logo among other logos under the heading “Proudly Endorsed by.” The Illinois FOP State Lodge unanimously endorsed her opponent, Justice Michael Burke, and only Burke is authorized to use an FOP logo for his campaign.

“As an officer of the court, O’Brien certainly knows that it is wrong to misrepresent the facts,” Southwood said. “We hope it was an honest mistake, but either way she needs to let voters know the truth.”

MKO campaign’s response…

Justice Mary Kay O’Brien received the endorsement of the Joliet Fraternal Order of Police Labor Council. The mail piece includes the logo used by the Joliet FOP on their own public pages.

Letter of endorsement is attached.

Justice O’Brien is also proudly endorsed by the Coalition of Frontline Police Officers made up of the Illinois Police Benevolent & Protective Association (“PBPA”), Metropolitan Alliance of Police (“MAP”), Illinois Council of Police and Sheriffs (“ICOPS”), and Association of Professional Police Officers (“APPO”) which represents over 20,000 active and retired law enforcement professionals across the state of Illinois.

Yeah, I dunno. The logo doesn’t say “Joliet” FOP.

…Adding… Press release…

Today, Representative Morgan, Chair of the Illinois House Jewish Caucus reacted to former President Donald Trump’s recent statements. Trump, who has a history of proliferating harmful, anti-Semitic tropes, told American Jews to “get their act together” and accused Jews of having dual loyalty to America and Israel. Unsurprisingly, Republicans met these dangerous comments with silence, and yet again failed to call out anti-Semititsm within their own ranks. Darren Bailey, who has his own history of making problematic comments about the Jewish community, was among those who remained silent.

Rep. Morgan reacted to the former president’s comments and GOP Gubernatorial candidate Darren Bailey’s silence:

“Telling American Jews to “get their act together…before it is too late” is nothing short of a bigoted, antisemitic threat. Donald Trump is taking a page right out of the authoritarian playbook, and Darren Bailey’s silence on his comments speak volumes. These remarks, as well as Bailey’s continued comparison of abortion to the Holocaust, lend credence to existing harmful tropes about Jewish people and add fuel to lies espoused by extremist hate groups. Any elected official who doesn’t understand this, can’t be trusted to lead our state”, said Rep. Bob Morgan.

* Roundup from Isabel…

    * Final gubernatorial debate: What do Pritzker, Bailey need to say to gain support: A dominant theme in the first debate, held at Illinois State University, were claims that each candidate’s respective opponents were lying or spreading mistruths. The frequency of these claims were so high that Pritzker, when asked during a post-debate presser, said a fact check was likely in order regarding statements from Bailey.

    * New Madigan charge casts a shadow on the upcoming election: Illinois Republicans are trying. The charges “will absolutely be used in House races to highlight how the web of Democratic corruption continues to grow,” said Eleni Demertzis, spokeswoman for House GOP Leader Jim Durkin. Illinois Democrats have done little to clean up their mess, even as other Democratic lawmakers continue to be charged with corruption, Demertzis said. “Nothing has actually changed in the Democratic Party of Illinois and you will certainly be seeing that narrative in the next few weeks.”

    * Campaign rhetoric in Illinois Supreme Court races belies vows of impartiality: Allies attack the Republicans for being supported by anti-abortion rights groups and warn they are aggressively anti-abortion rights. A recent TV ad features a doctor who claims Curran and Burke “are too extreme” for the Illinois Supreme Court. “Pregnancies are complicated, and every situation is different,” the doctor asserts. “My job is to do what’s best for my patients.”

    * Abortion rights at the forefront of Supreme Court race: It’s a race that’s become more visible on the airwaves in recent days, with Gov. J.B. Pritzker chipping $500,000 into the Rochford campaign war chest. Her backers have aired ads that highlight Curran’s long history of anti-abortion rhetoric. Rochford, meanwhile, has support from abortion rights advocacy groups and her campaign website bills her as a champion of women’s rights.

    * Voters to decide on Carbondale’s ‘home rule’ status: A confusingly-worded referendum on the Nov. 8 ballot will ask Carbondale residents if they want to the retain status as a home rule community, and voters are hearing from advocates on both sides. […] “Home rule gives a city council and local administration the ability to do things much more independently of the state government,” explained longtime Southern Illinois University Carbondale political scientist John Jackson. “In essence, if the state government doesn’t prohibit something, the city can do it in home rule cities, whereas there are more constraints in non-home rule cities.”

    * Editorial: Toni Preckwinkle for Cook County Board president: Fioretti, 69, who ran for mayor in 2015 and 2019 is a perennially unsuccessful candidate who also finished dead last in the 2020 primary race for state’s attorney, a race won by Foxx. We also don’t see Libertarian candidate Thea Tsatsos as offering a viable alternative. Preckwinkle isn’t likely to change much at the age of 75. But we think she has done the work to deserve voters’ support for an additional term.

    * Stava-Murray, Leong both favor gun control, but issue remains contentious in 81st House race: Leong also questioned the dedication of Democratic state legislators such as Stava-Murray. “They have failed to pass legislation even though they are in the supermajority,” Leong said. “So if that’s really your passion and if it’s really your sincere desire, I think you could have done it by now.” Stava-Murray detailed her support for strengthening “red flag” laws, universal background checks, a modernization of the Firearm Owner’s Identification card system and increasing focus on mental health.

  15 Comments      


BIPA-related payouts piling up

Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Coming a bit late to this, but a conversation in today’s open thread reminded me. Here’s CBS

Railroad giant BNSF has been found guilty of violating the privacy of 45,000 drivers.

In U.S. District Court in Chicago Wednesday, a jury awarded a $228 million verdict to the truck drivers who filed a class-action suit. BNSF was found guilty of violating Illinois the Biometric Privacy Act (BIPA).

The state law basically says you can collect iris scans, fingerprints, voiceprints, facial geometry scans, but you have to get [informed] written consent to do so.

The Rogers v. BNSF Railway Company lawsuit accused BNSF of using a fingerprint system that allowed drivers to access railyards for pickups and drop-offs, but did not obtain written consent from drivers that complied with BIPA requirements, according to a news release from the law firm Honigman LLP.

The jury determined BNSF violated BIPA 45,600 times and entered a verdict of $228 million – awarding the maximum of a $5,000 penalty per occurrence, according to the law firm.

This is the first jury award in Illinois’ BIPA history. Everything else has been settled.

* Reuters

The law, passed in 2008, is one of the toughest biometric privacy laws in the country, requiring companies to obtain written consent before collecting any biometric data.

Many companies have been sued under the law, including Amazon.com, Microsoft Inc and Facebook, which in 2020 agreed to pay $650 million to settle a class action accusing it of violating the law by storing users’ facial geometry for a feature that automatically recognized people in photographs.

Fort Worth, Texas-based BNSF is owned by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. It operates one of the largest freight rail networks in the United States.

The case is Rogers v. BNSF Railway Company, U.S. District Court, Northern District of Illinois, No. 1:19-cv-03083.

* More…

    * Samsung push for arbitration over alleged unlawful collection of biometric data: Last month, in a separate biometric privacy case, Kronos agreed to pay more than $15 million in order to resolve claims the company violated Illinois biometric privacy law with the fingerprint time clocks it manufactures.

    * RelaDyne employee finger scan $121K class action settlement: RelaDyne allegedly fails to provide the required BIPA disclosures and fails to get written consent before collecting employee fingerprints. The plaintiff in the case argues that he and other RelaDyne employees were entitled to BIPA damages of thousands of dollars for every time their information was collected without proper consent and disclosures. RelaDyne hasn’t admitted any wrongdoing but agreed to resolve these allegations with a $120,900 class action settlement.

    * Envoy Air to Pay $300K to Settle Biometric Privacy Lawsuit: Plaintiffs Maysoun Abudayyeh and Chelsea Burrow alleged in the lawsuit that Envoy, an American Airlines Group subsidiary, violated the BIPA by collecting their biometric information for its timekeeping system without obtaining written consent.

    * Papa John’s class action lawsuit accuses company of biometric privacy violations: Pope — who argues consumers can suffer privacy violations if their biometric data falls into the wrong hands — claims Papa John’s also fails to provide any “data retention or destruction policies to Plaintiff and other customers whose biometric data Defendants possessed.” “Voiceprints and related biometric information may be used to glean copious amounts of sensitive information about those who are subject to their collection,” the Papa John’s class action says.

    * Another big court decision in US litigation. Jury finds for biometric privacy rights: The line of BIPA cases continues Preliminary approval was granted this month for the $3.5 million settlement of a class action that accuses vendor Ceridian of violating BIPA with its time and attendance tracking products, according to the Record. And old cases continue to rattle around. Like White Castle, a case involving the statute of limitations for BIPA violations (Tims vs. Black Horse Carriers case 127801) could greatly affect payouts. Is the statute of limitations one or five years?

    * Illinois Residents Have Less Than a Month Left to Submit a Claim in the Class-Action Snapchat Settlement: At the center of the allegations is Snapchat’s Lenses features, which allows users to take a “Snap,” and then select a particular lens and modify their facial features with special effects, according to court documents. The lawsuit claims Lenses involves the use of technology to create a face scan and “creating, obtaining and storing” a user’s unique biometric identifiers. The feature obtained the plaintiffs’ biometric information without obtaining informed written consent each time it scanned their faces, the suit alleges.

    * Biometric data privacy settlement to set high bar for payouts even as lawyers claim a third: Tinder and parent company Match Group Inc. are facing a potential class action under BIPA for the use of face biometrics in identity verification, the Cook County Record separately reports. Tinder began trialing selfie biometrics and liveness checks from FaceTec earlier this year. Turing Video has had a motion to dismiss a BIPA suit against it rejected by a federal judge, according to another article in the Record. The ruling states that the company has sufficient ties to Illinois to be liable, with dozens of customers for its contactless temperature screening scanners used to detect COVID-19, and labor laws do not pre-empt the allegation, as they could only protect the plaintiff’s employer. Training software provider Brainshark Inc. will likewise face a complaint under BIPA, after a federal judge rejected arguments that the events at issue were not sufficiently shown to have occurred in Illinois, and that BIPA violates the First Amendment of the Constitution, Law360 writes. BIPA lawsuits have also been filed against summer camp photo platform Bunk1.com, according to ClassAction.org.

    * Lawsuit Investigation into Walgreens Passport Photos: Were Your Privacy Rights Violated?: Dozens of other companies, from the likes of Microsoft and YouTube to Estée Lauder and Giorgio Armani, have been hit with BIPA lawsuits over claims that they violated consumers’ privacy by collecting scans of their faces from photos without providing the required disclosures and obtaining consent.

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Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Chicago named second-best city… for vampires

Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* From a lawn maintenance company called Lawn Love, which usually blogs about things like the cost of fire pits, stump removal, etc.

Do you feel most alive at night, detest garlic, and have a habit of lurking in the shadows?

Whether you wear a cape daily or just once a year for Halloween, you can fang Lawn Love for ranking 2022’s Best Cities for Vampires.

We looked for cities with plenty of warm bodies, blood centers, and vampire-friendly dwellings — aka casket suppliers and homes with basements. We also considered deterrents like garlic festivals and sunshine, as well as community and entertainment factors, such as vampire groups, nightlife options, and vampire tours. […]

Sunless Northern cities crept to the top, with New York leading the way as our vampire empire.

NYC is the ideal city for vampires, thanks to having the most potential victims. It also has the most slaughterhouses and vampire groups out of all the cities in our ranking. It doesn’t hurt that the MTA runs 24/7, and eccentric styles are so common that vampires can easily blend right in.

Big cities like New York, Chicago (No. 2), and Seattle (No. 13) have plenty of fresh blood, nightlife options, and casket suppliers.

It’s no surprise that Surprise, Arizona, came in dead last and other sunny Southern cities fell in our ranking, with other Arizona cities plus Nevada and California taking up the bottom 10. While fewer layers of clothing might make it easier to sneak a drink through all four seasons, it’s hard to avoid the sun’s rays with maximum sunshine, minimal cloud cover, few homes with basements, and scarce casket suppliers (especially in California).

* If you want to delve into their rankings, here you go

Best Cities for Vampires:

    1 New York, NY
    2 Chicago, IL
    3 Philadelphia, PA
    4 Los Angeles, CA
    5 San Francisco, CA
    6 Pittsburgh, PA
    7 Omaha, NE
    8 Portland, OR
    9 Madison, WI
    10 Baltimore, MD

Worst Cities for Vampires:

    1 Surprise, AZ
    2 Peoria, AZ
    3 North Las Vegas, NV
    4 Glendale, AZ
    5 Chandler, AZ
    6 Henderson, NV
    7 Mesa, AZ
    8 Tempe, AZ
    9 Lancaster, CA
    10 Huntington Beach, CA

  36 Comments      


A major party gubernatorial candidate vows to cut state school funding and the news media yawns

Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I don’t know whether it’s because the polling is so bad for Darren Bailey or what, but this astonishing position by a gubernatorial nominee has received zero MSM notice outside one buried paragraph in a Crain’s Chicago Business article

Bailey did offer one surprise: He said the state needs to cut spending on grade and high school education, suggesting at one point that many children in regions of the state, such as his area, head for the military or factory jobs and do not need the broader curriculum mandated by state law.

From the interview

The state should be paying less money. The state should be pulling back, letting the local school boards determine how they want to educate their children, offering school choice. […]

What is good for New Trier is not good for Clay County, Illinois. Most, many of our children are, some of our children are going to go to the military. They’re going to go right into the workforce. There’s welders, pipe fitters, linemen. So that’s what public education needs to be.

* I asked the Pritzker campaign for a response…

Darren Bailey would spell disaster for public education in Illinois. His stunning admission that we should cut funding from downstate schools is further proof that he is incapable of being a governor for all. If Bailey had his way, billions of dollars would be drained from public education and pumped into private institutions, including his own Christian academy where they teach students that women are inferior to men. Governor Pritzker knows every student deserves equal access to a quality education––regardless of their zip code. That’s why he has spent his time in office investing in public education and increasing opportunities for students everywhere.

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Mississippi River’s water levels near record lows, affecting the supply chain, farmers

Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Wall Street Journal

Sections of the Mississippi River are approaching low water levels not seen in more than three decades, disrupting a vital supply lane for agriculture, oil and building materials and threatening businesses including barge and towboat operators, farmers and factories.

The low water, caused by a lack of rain in the Ohio River Valley and the Upper Mississippi, has halted commercial traffic and river boat cruises at numerous spots below Illinois. Prices to ship goods have more than doubled in a matter of weeks. Barges are grounding on sandbars in unprecedented numbers and many ports and docks no longer have water deep enough for commercial boats to safely reach them. […]

Historically, shipping along the Mississippi River and its tributaries has been less expensive than other forms of transportation, but with fewer boats and barges able to transport goods, prices have skyrocketed. The cost of sending a ton of corn, soybeans or other grains southbound from St. Louis to southern Louisiana reached $105.85 on Oct. 11, according to data compiled by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. On Sept. 27, the cost was $49.88. On Oct. 5, 2021, it was $28.45.

Farmers and factories in the central U.S. are rushing to secure the shrinking number of spots or find alternate supply routes. Rail, the other main option for crops and dry goods, is usually costlier and difficult to secure as railroads haven’t been able to hire enough workers to meet demand.

* The Guardian

The water in the Mississippi River has dropped so low that barges are getting stuck, leading to expensive dredging and at least one recent traffic jam of more than 2,000 vessels backed up.

The Mississippi River Basin produces nearly all – 92% – of US agricultural exports, and 78% of the global exports of feed grains and soybeans. The recent drought has dropped water levels to alarmingly low levels that are causing shipping delays, and seeing the costs of alternative transport, such as rail, rise. […]

Last Friday, the US Coast Guard said that there was a backup of more than 2,000 barges at various points, Bloomberg reported. The halted barges were carrying recently harvested corn and soybeans.

“When the water gets low enough, commerce starts to slow – commerce is restricted, and it turns into an extremely difficult environment to operate,” Austin Golding, president of Golding Barge Line, told WAPT-TV.

* AP

Plummeting water levels in the lower Mississippi River are projected to drop even further in the weeks ahead, a projection shows, dampening the region’s economic activity and potentially threatening jobs in one of the country’s poorest states.

In Vicksburg, on the Mississippi river’s east bank near the Louisiana line, the water is approaching its lowest level since 2012. The river’s level near that Mississippi city on Thursday was 4.3 feet (1.3 meters), and it is projected to drop to 3 feet (0.9 meters) by Tuesday, according to the National Weather Service.

A dearth of rainfall in recent weeks has left the Mississippi River approaching record low levels in some areas across several states. Nearly all of the Mississippi River basin, from Minnesota through Louisiana, has seen below-normal rainfall since late August. The low levels have caused barges to get stuck in mud and sand, disrupting river travel for shippers, recreational boaters and passengers on a cruise line.

The lower portion of a Vicksburg bridge, normally submerged in the river, has been exposed to sunlight in recent days. The American Heritage, a paddlewheeler cruise ship, navigated the river with caution.

* The Washington Post

The transportation industry says the intervention is needed to maintain a flow of exports that is central to the country’s agriculture industry. About 60 percent of U.S. corn and soybean exports move down the Mississippi, the Gulf Intracoastal Waterway and the Arkansas, Illinois, Ohio and Tennessee rivers, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

“Commerce is moving, albeit very slowly,” said Deb Calhoun, a senior vice president for the Waterways Council, a transportation industry group. “Ultimately, we need rain, and lots of it.”

[…]
The Mississippi has changed so much from its natural state, it has become “a volatile system,” said Robert Criss, a professor emeritus of earth and planetary sciences at Washington University in St. Louis. Though that volatility is often most evident during floods, Criss said his research shows it can affect the river on a day-to-day basis.

“You don’t want things being unpredictable, and that’s what we have,” he said. “We have an unpredictable river.”

* CNN

Tower Rock – a massive island in the middle of the Mississippi River south of St. Louis – is typically surrounded by water and only accessible by boat. But as severe drought spreads across the Midwest and pushes river levels to record lows, people can now reach the rock formation on foot.

“The river has dropped low enough that you can walk over to Tower Rock and not get your feet wet or muddy,” Missouri resident Jeff Miget told CNN. “I only remember being able to do this one other time in my life.”

Lake Mead water crisis is exposing volcanic rock from eruptions 12 million years ago
Photos taken by Miget show people hiking across the rocky river bed to the island tower, a trek posing little risk in the near-term as water levels are expected to continue to drop for at least the next two weeks.

Tower Rock can be reached on foot when the water level is below 1.5 feet at the Chester, Illinois, river gauge, according to the Missouri Department of Conservation. The gauge dropped to around zero on Thursday and shows no sign of significant recovery in the forecast.

Tower Rock before

Tower Rock now

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Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Federal judge puts court-related campaign limits on hold

Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Background is here if you need it. Federal District Court for the Northeastern District, Judge John J. Tharp, Jr. presiding

The plaintiffs challenge two recently enacted provisions of the Illinois Election Code as violative of their First Amendment rights to free speech. Both provisions regulate campaign financing during state judicial elections. The first prohibits judicial candidate committees from receiving any contributions from an out-of-state person. The second caps the amount that any independent expenditure committee established to support or oppose a judicial candidate can receive from any single source during an election cycle at $500,000. The plaintiffs seek to preliminarily enjoin the defendants from enforcing these two provisions during the upcoming November 8, 2022, election, a permanent injunction to the same effect for future election cycles, and a declaratory judgment that these two provisions are unconstitutional. Defendant Illinois Attorney General Kwame Raoul has moved to dismiss the plaintiffs’ complaint for failure to state a claim and opposed the plaintiffs’ motion for preliminary injunction. For the reasons set forth below, the plaintiffs’ motion for a preliminary injunction is granted, and the motion to dismiss is denied because the plaintiffs, having shown they have some likelihood of success on the merits, necessarily have also demonstrated that they have stated a plausible claim for relief. […]

To succeed on the merits, the plaintiffs first need to show that Illinois has burdened their speech. They have made such a showing, and the defendants do not dispute it. […]

Whatever its intent, the ban on out-of-state contributions will likely be more effective in preserving the status quo of the state’s judiciary than in enhancing its appearance of integrity. Accordingly, the Court concludes that plaintiff Chancey has shown “some likelihood” that he will prevail on the merits of his constitutional claim. […]

In sum, the State has not sufficiently explained how the $500,000 limit on [Independent Expenditure Committee] contributions accomplishes anything other than imposing some burden on plaintiffs’ exercise of their speech and associational rights. Admittedly, given the myriad ways a well-heeled donor can work around the IEC restrictions, the burden is not great. But even if that burden is minimal, “something … outweighs nothing every time.” […]

Accordingly, it is hereby ordered that Illinois is, pending further order of this Court, enjoined from enforcing subsections 10 ILCS 5/9- 8.5(b-5)(1)(B) and 10 ILCS 5/9-8.5(b-5)(1.2).

* Ironically enough, the lawsuit was filed by the Liberty Justice Center, which has close ties to the Illinois Policy Institute.

Except, the reality is the Republicans had an advantage because Ken Griffin contributed $6.25 million to Citizens for Judicial Fairness, an independent expenditure committee, before the bill was signed into law.

But, for now at least, contributions to IE committees are no longer capped. And that means Gov. Pritzker and others can go all-in if they choose.

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Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Poll finds Illinoisans want Pritzker to stay out of presidential race

Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From that Sun-Times/WBEZ PPP poll

Two-thirds said Pritzker shouldn’t get involved in presidential campaigning two years from now, with another 21% saying they weren’t sure. Only 13% embraced the idea of Pritzker trying to become the second Illinoisan in the past four presidential elections to sit in the Oval Office. […]

In the Sun-Times/WBEZ Poll, 63% of Illinois voters said they didn’t think Biden should run for re-election two years from now, while another 18% were unsure. Only 19% said they favored Biden for a second term. […]

The Sun-Times/WBEZ Poll found 46% of respondents viewed [Biden] favorably, while 47% viewed him unfavorably, with 7% unsure. It’s an improvement from the national numbers but hardly a ringing endorsement. […]

Biden was leading Trump among Illinois voters, 51% to 42%, with 7% undecided.

Those numbers are identical if Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination. In a potential matchup with Trump, 51% of Illinois voters would favor the incumbent Illinois governor compared to 42% for Trump with 7% undecided.

Still no crosstabs posted online. Biden defeated Trump 57.5-40.55 two years ago. Trump is up a tiny notch (although that could just be noise) and Biden is clearly down, but still far ahead.

  42 Comments      


Short-term gain vs. long-term pain

Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My weekly syndicated newspaper column

The political action committee affiliated with the Illinois Network of Charter Schools is always well-funded, well-organized, well-run and often quite successful at electing legislative candidates who support their cause.

But unlike, say, Personal PAC, which focuses almost solely on the issue of abortion in its ubiquitous direct mailers, you don’t often see charter schools even mentioned in the cash-rich INCS Action’s mailers. And “INCS” is the only identifier on its mailers. They don’t mention the full name of the group itself.

There’s nothing illegal or even particularly wrong about that. The group wants more allies at the Statehouse, so they use polling to shape their campaign messaging, instead of using their own core issues, which may not move enough voters. And because they’re an independent expenditure committee, campaign contribution caps do not apply. So they can spend big. And they do.

This year, though, INCS broached an issue that caused them some Statehouse trouble.

“Repeal the dangerous SAFE-T Act,” blares one dot-point in a mailer on behalf of Rep. Chris Bos (R-Lake Zurich). “Violent Criminals shouldn’t be allowed out on the streets with no cash bail.” It’s the top item in what INCS claims is “Chris Bos’ plan to reduce crime and make our communities safer.”

There’s probably not a huge overlap between staunch charter school proponents and enthusiastic criminal justice reform advocates, but the latter group does have quite a bit of influence in both legislative chambers, which is how the SAFE-T Act was passed in the first place.

Sen. Robert Peters, D-Chicago, who has been one of the SAFE-T Act’s most vocal proponents since the massive pushback against the criminal justice reform law began, issued a statement last week about the INCS mailer.

“It’s disappointing to see this from the charter school industry especially since their own website says they serve 92% of students of color,” Peters’ statement read. “They should support the elimination of cash bail given 87% students are on free and reduced price lunch and are profoundly impacted by the issue. I hope they reconsider their position especially for the families their schools serve.”

Peters was described by the Chicago Teachers Union earlier this year as being a “staunch CTU supporter,” and that union is perhaps the most vocal opponent of the charter school system.

I’ve since been told INCS Action will no longer use the issue in future mailers. Somebody over there just wasn’t thinking things through. It’s one thing to help a super-minority party candidate win, it’s quite another if how you aid that person winds up damaging your core issue with the super-majority party. I figure they’ll find a way to patch things up. They’re usually pretty good at this stuff.

According to disclosures filed with the Illinois State Board of Elections, INCS has, as of this writing, sent three mailers on Bos’ behalf, at $11,400 a pop. It reported having $1.9 million cash on hand at the end of September.

Bos definitely needs the help. He ended June with just $10,000 in the bank and has since reported raising just $19,000. INCS has already reported spending more money on Bos than the incumbent has available.

Bos is up against Nabeela Syed, a hard-charging opponent who has reported raising about $372,000 between the beginning of July and Oct. 14. Bos isn’t yet a Tier One target, but Syed walks a lot of precincts and convincingly won a Democratic primary, which undoubtedly boosted her name recognition. So, unless the bottom drops out on the Democrats, she could make it a close race, particularly if the House Democrats put her cable ads on Chicago broadcast TV.

What money has been spent by the Republicans has focused mainly on the crime issue, which INCS evidently picked up on. The Republicans have been criticized, however, for using a photoshopped image of Syed that falsely makes her look like she’s holding a sign saying “Defund the police.” The Democrats have been known to do this sort of thing, too, of course.

The House Dems are running two cable TV ads for Syed. One mixes economic issues with abortion.

“Rising prices hurt everyone,” the 15-second ad begins. “I’m Nabeela Syed. I’m fighting to cut property taxes and prescription costs. Extreme politician Chris Bos opposes a woman’s right to choose, no exceptions. I’m Nabeela Syed. I’ll protect your pocketbook and your rights.”

The other 15-second spot focuses solely on Bos, claiming he will “outlaw a woman’s right to choose, even in cases of rape and incest.”

According to Illinois Right to Life Action, Bos is “fully pro-life.”

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Open thread

Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* What’s on your Illinois-centric minds today?

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Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Morning campaign stuff

Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* A quick roundup to start your day…

    * Prodded by Pritzker to step down, Southland Sen. Michael Hastings faces first general election foe in a decade: The last time Hastings faced an opponent in a general election was in 2012, when he defeated Republican Edgar Montalvo. Hastings is involved in a divorce proceeding which has brought a lawsuit by him alleging authorities released personal information that he claims has been damaging to his campaign for reelection. … Sheehan’s campaign, at the end of the April-June quarter, showed donations of nearly $30,000 and just under $18,000 in cash on hand. In recent weeks, however, campaign disclosures show more than $100,000 in cash and in-kind contributions flowing to his campaign, much of it from Illinois GOP organizations.

    * Battle between Attorney General Kwame Raoul and Thomas DeVore shifts from courtroom to polling booth: [Raoul’s] campaign said it plans to spend $2.8 million to run the ad online and on broadcast and cable television in the Chicago and Champaign-Springfield-Decatur markets, evidence of the wide funding gap between Raoul and DeVore, whose campaign has an active social media presence but hasn’t done any broadcast advertising.

    * Illinois Supreme Court Race could impact abortion, gun rights: Republicans last held control of the state’s highest court in 1969. Any potential shift could impact major social issues like abortion and gun rights. Political Science Professor Constance Mixon is Director of the Urban Studies Program at Elmhurst University. “If the partisan make up of the court changes, we might get different interpretations of the law of the state constitution and different decisions,” said Mixon. “Beyond abortion and guns, a new partisan make up of the Illinois Supreme Court could have broad reaching impact on numerous issues like unions, public pensions, climate change, redistricting the list goes on.”

    * Stuart, Korte vie for 112th House District seat: “As a student at SIUE, I volunteered with a local sexual assault victims advocacy center,” Korte said. “During this volunteer experience, I would meet with survivors of sexual assault in the Emergency Department to offer them advocacy, support, and resources. “I also have served as a volunteer at a local pregnancy care center, at my children’s schools and our church,” she added. “Most recently, I have worked as an advocate for parental rights and, in August 2021, I joined Speak for Students as a leader.”

    * Sen. Tammy Duckworth holds giant fundraising lead over GOP challenger Kathy Salvi: Sen. Tammy Duckworth, D-Ill., seeking a second term, holds a giant fundraising lead over Republican challenger Kathy Salvi — about $18 million to some $1 million — according to the new Federal Election Commission reports posted Sunday. FEC campaign fundraising figures through Sept. 30 reveal that national Republicans have abandoned Salvi when it comes to sending substantial campaign cash her way, the result of brutal political triage whereby meaningful financial help only flows to candidates deemed to be within striking distance of winning.

    * Crime, SAFE-T Act loom large in attorney general race: During the hourlong debate organized by the Illinois Associated Press Media Editors and Capitol News Illinois, DeVore stated his opposition to the Safety, Accountability, Fairness and Equity Today Act — better known as the SAFE-T Act — saying he believes it is unconstitutional. […] Raoul acknowledged that components of the law need clarification. Legislators are in touch with state’s attorneys, chiefs of police and others, he said, and “there could be some language changes to people who may be a threat to the public at large or to an individual.”

    * IL District 76 candidates Yednock, Haskell sound off on abortion, union amendment, SAFE-T Act: Both candidates used the forum to share what’s motivating them to run for elected office. “Springfield, it’s a mess right now,” Haskell said. “We’ve been doing the same thing over and over and over again for decades, and it’s proven not to work. We haven’t had people in office that wanted to take on the elephant in the room, which is our pension crisis.” Yednock said he believes more bipartisanship could help move the state forward.

    * Budzinski, Deering face off in Illinois’ 13th Congressional District: Though the party twice came exasperatingly close — 1,002 votes in 2012 and 2,058 votes in 2018 — to defeating Rep. Rodney Davis, R-Taylorville, in the neighboring Central Illinois-based 13th Congressional District, that effort proved futile amid a shifting political terrain. But after a decade of tough losses, false starts and unfulfilled hopes, Democrats believe 2022 is the year and Nikki Budzinski is the candidate to finally return a downstate Illinois congressional seat to the blue column. 

    * GOP state Rep. Tom Demmer questions Democratic tax, spending policies in race against Illinois Treasurer Mike Frerichs: Democratic incumbent Michael Frerichs and Republican Tom Demmer are competing for an office that deals primarily in dollars and cents, but issues from abortion to the failed graduated-rate income tax amendment have also found a way into the campaign for Illinois treasurer.

More later.

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Live coverage

Monday, Oct 17, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


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