Quinn has $3 million cash on hand
Monday, Oct 7, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Greg Hinz…
Even as his sole Democratic primary foe, Bill Daley, was preparing to withdraw from the race, Mr. Quinn kept up some very solid fundraising in the quarter that ended Sept. 30, pulling in “just over $812,000,” according to his campaign spokeswoman. And since neither Mr. Daley nor any other major contender is known to be circulating nominating petitions, it looks like Mr. Quinn will be able to stash every penny in the bank for the November 2014 challenge from the GOP nominee.
The bottom line: The Democratic incumbent, who was considered in deep political trouble just a few months ago, has $3 million on hand in his political account, according to his campaign. And unless something unusual occurs — like an unexpected challenge from another Democrat — that figure only should grow in months to come.
…Adding… For context, I searched the State Board of Elections website and found that Quinn raised just under $560,000 in the same quarter four years ago.
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Schilling is in, and other stuff
Monday, Oct 7, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Bobby Schilling is running again and he appears tea partier than ever, perhaps because he was repeatedly slammed for becoming “too DC” in the last election. His new campaign slogan: “Bring Bobby Back”…
The former Congressman said we were defeated by 7% due to redistricting. “We need to do a better job of getting people out to vote,” Schilling said. “I’m the pizza guy and a dad. It’s not fun being in Congress, but I only have to look into the eyes of my kids and look at all the liberals ruining our country and it’s pretty easy to step into the race again.”
“We have to engage this country. People have destroyed this state and I am not going to sit down and watch this happen!”
Schilling said people are escaping to Iowa. Paul Ryan called him to encourage him to run saying Obama has big issues including the national debt, but that or fixing the economy is not his priority. His number one priority is taking back the House in the next election.
Ryan told Schilling, “By the time he is through, you will not be ale to recognize this country.” Schilling said Americans have to get engaged and help get America back on track.
Considering how poorly the article was written, I’m not sure that Schilling’s priority is actually “taking back the House,” since the House remains in GOP hands.
* Off topic, but I’ve been saving this story for a few days and this seems like the right time to post it…
Lt. Governor Sheila Simon is out trying to make sure today’s students will have a better understand of mathematics with the new integrated math curriculum. Simon and the Illinois State Board of Education released the state’s first sixth- through twelfth-grade math curriculum in May and urged middle and high schools state wide to implement the new courses this fall.
Simon visited Pinck-neyville High School Thursday morning, which is one of the Illinois schools which have adopted the program.
Simon says the program is about the student’s future and helping have the tools to compete for college and beyond. […]
The program is outlined to include all facets of mathematics. The students would not take algebra one year and the geometry the next; instead the, the different mathematics are integrated.
Apparently, The Southern has no editors. They’re obviously cutting back at the paper because they’re using a “news service” that appears to be sponsored by the Illinois Policy Institute for numerous front page stories, including…
* Wealthy move money to avoid estate tax
* Obamacare program raises ID theft risk
* Legislative leaders often fly on state airplanes
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*** UPDATED x1 *** Question of the day
Monday, Oct 7, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* The House Majority PAC has been running a version of this “crybaby” TV ad against other Republican incumbents, but it’s now targeting Rodney Davis…
* From the House Majority PAC…
House Majority PAC announced today that it would expand its television advertising campaign to include Rep. Rodney Davis due to Davis’s support for a government shutdown and the reckless games he’s playing with the economy.
House Majority PAC will begin airing today “No More Tantrums” today in Champaign.
The spot condemns Rodney Davis for throwing a temper tantrum after not getting his way, shutting down the government, and playing dangerous games with the economy. It ends with a call for Davis to end his wrongheaded approach.
* The Question: On a scale of 1-5, with 5 being most effective, how would you rate this TV ad? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please.
web polls
*** UPDATE *** Sun-Times…
Davis spokesman Andrew Flach dismissed the ad as politics.
“While the Democrats resort to playing political games, the House will continue passing legislation to fund federal government operations and bring an end to the shutdown,” Flach said.
“Our hope is that the president and the Senate will stop trying to score political points and come to the table to negotiate a commonsense solution to our nation’s fiscal crisis.”
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Two regions, two messages
Monday, Oct 7, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Gov. Pat Quinn addressed the Illinois Environmental Council in Chicago late last month. From the IEC’s Facebook page…
The Governor spoke about new green water infrastructure efforts, recreation liability, and all the green work that the state is doing under his leadership.
* A tweet from an attendee…
* But the speech angered Will Reynolds, who pointed out that Quinn talks up green advances in the Chicago area, but just the opposite in southern Illinois….
Environmentalists celebrated when Quinn vetoed a bill to provide rate increases for a coal-to-gas plant Leucadia Corp proposed in a heavily polluted area of southeastern Chicago.
But for southern Illinois, Quinn signed a bill to subsidize a similar coal-to-gas plant proposed near Mt. Vernon. When signing the bill Quinn claimed, “This important project will help revive the coal industry in southern Illinois.” The project eventually failed after plunging natural gas prices made it difficult for the company to find investors. […]
At an event in Springfield, not long after becoming Governor, Quinn encouragingly called climate change the great challenge of our time.
Yet, earlier this year, Quinn bragged about setting a record for coal exports that made Illinois the fifth highest coal producing state. The release from Quinn’s office highlights efforts by his administration to build more coal export infrastructure and promote coal in foreign markets including, “supporting trade missions to the markets which represent the best prospects for Illinois coal, and potentially encouraging foreign investment in Illinois coal properties.” That will often mean nations with weak or non-existent pollution standards.
The Governor signed several bills to boost coal mining, including one to allow a surface mining operation in a state park, and another to ease the permitting process for strip mines. No, that’s not a joke. He actually leased 160 acres of a state park in southern Illinois for a strip mine. […]
A recent report on green job growth included a graphic showing that all clean energy jobs created so far this year were in the northern half of the state. That didn’t happen by accident. Illinois’ economic development agency, DCEO, does good work promoting clean energy jobs in some areas. But, their agenda in southern Illinois is dominated by the Office of Coal Development (OCD).
* Here’s that graphic mentioned above…
* None of this is new. Illinois politicians have talked up coal in southern Illinois and the environment in the Chicago media market for as long as I can remember. Quinn may have elevated it to an art form, however.
Discuss.
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More on ADM
Monday, Oct 7, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Phil Rosenthal has the best reality check column on ADM that I’ve yet seen…
Yep. A company with a $24 billion market cap is haggling over a $24 million, 20-year incentive from a state that’s teetering on the edge of insolvency. Then again, that’s how she got rich, dearie.
“ADM has been minding its pennies and nickels and dimes over the years in order to make sure we remain competitive, because in the commodity business, it is extremely, extremely competitive,” Ray Young, the former General Motors exec who has been ADM’s chief financial officer since 2011, told state legislators at a hearing in Chicago last week. “We’re talking about pennies and nickels per bushel in terms of being able to make money or lose money. So from our perspective we need to be competitive in every aspect of our business.
We’re talking about a company that had 2012 net income of $1.2 billion on sales/revenue of $88.92 billion. That’s a super-thin 1.3 percent. Then again, the net profit is a thousand times higher than one year of the proposed state tax break.
* More…
“It is essentially blackmailing the state,” Currie said. “It essentially is saying if you don’t jump to, if you don’t go do this for us, we might think about going somewhere else.”
Actually, that threat comes from the EDGE requirements themselves, which force companies seeking that particular tax credit to actively consider locating the new jobs in another state. It is the equivalent of a sign around your neck telling passersby you will only give them money if they put a gun to your head. It does tend to encourage such behavior.
Yep. But it can also be a decent tool to help companies expand. Ford is a prime example of that.
* More…
The numbers tossed around concerning Archer Daniels Midland’s relocation of its headquarters to Chicago have Decatur keeping 4,400 of the 4,500 ADM jobs it now has, with 100 moving to Chicago or wherever the new headquarters ends up and another 100 new jobs to staff the proposed accompanying tech center.
But ADM had 4,800 workers based in Decatur at the end of 2011, before the head count was reduced through a combination of retirements and layoffs. Across the state of Illinois, the number of ADM workers went from 6,400 then to a little more than 6,000 today.
The trend is most definitely not our friend.
* A bit of history from the Decatur paper…
It does seem unsettling, at first glance, that any company wants incentives to move jobs from one community in the state to another. However, Illinois would be the loser if ADM were to relocate its world headquarters to another state.
And the politicians complaining about ADM’s request really have no one but themselves to blame. The state gave massive tax incentives to Boeing to lure their world headquarters to Chicago, a move that created, at most, 500 jobs. The state also gave incentives to Tate & Lyle to keep executive jobs in the state. Those jobs were moved from Decatur to Hoffman Estates. The state also has awarded incentives to other major corporations to stay. ADM is merely following the trail others have paved.
Past incentives don’t excuse this one, but why single out ADM when other companies have been at the state trough much longer?
* On the other hand…
• In the fiscal year ended June 30, 2012, ADM gave a total compensation package to CEO Patricia Woertz worth $9.4 million — nearly eight times the size of the annual tax break it is seeking.
• In February, ADM’s board voted to increase the company’s dividend payout to shareholders by 8.6 percent to 19 cents per share. On an annual basis, that would equal about $500 million.
• ADM’s bottom line has remained in the black even though over the last decade it paid more than $500 million in fines and legal settlements in a price fixing scandal that sent three top executives to prison. One of them was a key government whistle-blower in the case whose bizarre exploits were chronicled in a best-selling book, “The Informant,” and a hit Hollywood movie by the same name starring Matt Damon.
* Even so, some Republican gubernatorial candidates have offered support. Bill Brady…
“We have to face reality. We can’t be populist in this. The reality is because the governor has raised taxes so high, there are other alternatives (for ADM to relocate) out there,” Brady said in an interview on WGN-AM 720.
Quinn also vetoed lawmakers’ paychecks pending a plan to deal with the unfunded pension liability. A Cook County judge ruled the governor’s action unconstitutional, a decision Quinn has asked the Illinois Supreme Court to review.
“You don’t tie ADM to another issue that the governor’s failed on,” Brady said of the pension issue. “We need a governor who will move away from the populist point of view and do the right thing in each instance.”
Actually, the tax rate doesn’t really have much of any impact on ADM here. As I’ve pointed out time and time again, ADM pays little to no state income tax.
* Kirk Dillard…
“The workers compensation costs for ADM or Caterpillar or Illinois companies is 3, 4, 5 times higher than it is in surrounding states,” Dillard said. […]
“The governor has been the governor for five years. He’s had a legislature that’s completely controlled by his political party. Pension reform should have been done a long time ago,” Dillard said.
“The governor is pretty good at playing the hostage game these days,” Dillard said, referring to his failed attempt to withhold lawmakers pay until they passed a pension bill.
* Dillard’s running mate Jil Tracy is also on board…
When asked about the possibility of Archer Daniels Midland Co. receiving tax credits to move its global headquarters from Decatur to Chicago, Tracy said if ADM qualifies for the tax breaks then there’s no reason to oppose it.
“I think it’s important to listen and see if help is needed,” she said. “We have to be engaged, especially if other states are offering tax breaks.”
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* State Rep. Naomi Jakobsson (D-Urbana) explains her ideas for a progressive income tax…
While the [Illinois Policy Institute] has been saying that a progressive income tax “would increase the tax rate on 85 percent of Illinois taxpayers,” Jakobsson said her plan would mean lower income tax bills for 83 percent of Illinoisans.
“The ‘tipping point’ at which the rate would go over the present 5 percent would be at $106,000 per year,” Jakobsson said in the news release. “At the high end the rate would rise to 7.2 percent for a family earning $500,000 per year and continue to 8.5 percent for a family earning $2 million per year.”
Her tax schedule also would yield about 15 percent more revenue for the state, which Jakobsson has said could go to education and social services that have been cut in recent years.
Those rates wouldn’t be in the actual constitutional amendment, however. Legislators would be free to raise and lower the amounts.
* And I still believe that there’s very little chance that sponsors can get three-fifths in both legislative chambers to put this on the ballot. The Republicans in both chambers are adamantly against it.
And then there’s HR 241, sponsored by Rep. David McSweeney. The proposal states the belief that the Constitution shouldn’t be amended to permit a graduated income tax.
Rep. McSweeney’s resolution has 47 co-sponsors, meaning the other side will have to get everybody to vote for the proposal who hasn’t already signed on to the McSweeney measure. And while Senate President John Cullerton likes the idea, House Speaker Michael Madigan has been cool to it.
I’m just not seeing it yet.
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Durkin goes neutral in governor’s race
Monday, Oct 7, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* House Republican Leader Jim Durkin told Bernie that he’s switching to neutral in the governor’s race…
He said he’s been for state Sen. Kirk Dillard, R-Hinsdale, for governor in the past, but got the message as he took on his new leadership role that different members of his caucus support all four Republican nominees for governor, so “I’m going to keep my nose out of that.” […]
“This is going to be a very interesting cycle,” Durkin said. “And we’re going to rely upon hard work, aggressive fundraising, good candidates, and each party’s going to need a little luck, also. So, anyone can win.
“Governor Quinn showed he could win four years ago,” Durkin said. “Never underestimate the incumbent. But we’ve got four fine men who are running in the primary, and whoever is successful… we’re planning to partner up with and get them across the finish line.”
* Durkin told the Kankakee Daily Journal pretty much the same thing…
Kirk Dillard has been a friend and a great leader for years, but I told him that the House leader has to be neutral. I’m not going to stick my nose in the governor’s race. I do have a good vibe about Republican chances.
My hope is that we’re unified behind any nominee — Kirk Dillard, Dan Rutherford, Bill Brady or Bruce Rauner.
My job is to be a voice for this caucus (of Republicans). We want to emerge without scars and without bad feelings.
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Shutdown politics
Monday, Oct 7, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* An October 2-3 survey of 685 IL-13 voters by Public Policy Polling shows that freshman Republican Congressman Rodney Davis could be hurt by the government shutdown…
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Representative Rodney Davis is doing in Congress?
Approve …………………………………………………. 32%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 41%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 26%
Q2 If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote to re-elect Republican Rodney Davis, or would you vote for his Democratic opponent?
Rodney Davis …………………………………………. 43%
Democratic opponent……………………………….. 44%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%
Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Tea Party?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 38%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 49%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%
Q4 Do you support or oppose Congress shutting down major activities of the federal government as a way to stop the health care law from being put into place?
Support ………………………………………………….. 34%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 59%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 7%
Q5 Do you support or oppose Congress holding back on increasing the nation’s borrowing limit, which could result in a default, as a way to stop the health care law from being put into place?
Support ………………………………………………….. 35%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 52%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%
Q6 Would you be less likely or more likely to support Congressman Davis if you knew he voted to support shutting down major activities of the federal government as a way to stop the health care law from being put into place, or does it not make a difference?
Less likely ………………………………………………. 48%
More likely………………………………………………. 33%
No difference ………………………………………….. 15%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 4%
Q7 Now that you know Congressman Davis supported the government shutdown, I’ll ask you one more time: If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for re-elect Republican Rodney Davis, or would you vote for his Democratic opponent?
Rodney Davis …………………………………………. 42%
Democratic opponent……………………………….. 47%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 11%
Crosstabs are here.
Obviously, the election is still far away, and this generic Democratic matchup doesn’t take into consideration any weaknesses his general election opponent would have, but it does show some real signs of weakness. It also indicates that a GOP candidate further to his right would likely have a tough time next fall.
* Meanwhile, from the AP…
A southwestern Illinois congressman who is seeking re-election says he had no choice but to be the only U.S. House member to vote against a resolution allowing military chaplains to still perform their duties during the federal government’s shutdown.
Belleville Democrat Bill Enyart was the lone “no” vote of 401 that were cast in the House on the weekend resolution relating to military chaplains who’ve been furloughed since the shutdown began. […]
Enyart calls Saturday’s action “phony” and says it “didn’t do anything.”
* From WSIL TV…
The legislation passed almost unanimously in a vote of 400 to one, leaving Congressman Bill Enyart the odd man out.
“Shocked and upset,” says Illinois Representative Mike Bost.
A candidate for Enyart’s congressional seat, Bost says he’s disappointed by Enyart’s decision, especially since the U.S. House Speaker even asked him to reconsider.
“He was one, the only one, the only one in the United States,” says Bost. “Either that’s not understanding the job or being totally out of touch with your constituents.” […]
“It is phony,” [Enyart] says. “It is designed to do nothing but make these people feel good and to give them a political point that they’re doing something. They didn’t do anything.”
A retired two-star general, Enyart insists he’s more concerned about putting the government back to work.
“You can pray anywhere,” he says. “You can’t just dump your kid anywhere; you can’t just not go to the commissaries to buy groceries to feed your family.”
* In related news…
Most of the roughly 3,500 civilian employees who were furloughed last week at a southwestern Illinois air base as part of the federal government shutdown are headed back to work.
Scott Air Force Base spokeswoman Karen Petitt says the affected workers were notified Sunday that they should be back on the job Monday.
That came after Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel ordered 350,000 furloughed military personnel back on the job.
Take a deep breath before you comment, folks. Thanks.
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The hostage schtick
Monday, Oct 7, 2013 - Posted by Rich Miller
* My weekly syndicated newspaper column…
Gov. Pat Quinn refused to say for several days whether he’d support a $1.2 million a year tax break for Archer Daniels Midland to move 100 jobs out of Decatur and open up a world headquarters and new tech center in Chicago. But last week he made it clear that without pension reform, the ADM proposal would be a nonstarter and he would veto it.
“He won’t even consider the ADM bill much less get on board when pension reform has not been done,” said a Quinn spokesperson told me.
“The best way to help jobs in Illinois is to do pension reform,” Quinn himself told the Associated Press. “To distract legislators in any way from this issue of a lifetime is just plain wrong.”
Quinn didn’t say, probably because he wasn’t asked, whether he thought a vote on gay marriage during the upcoming fall veto session would also “distract legislators.” But a spokesperson later explained that pension reform was vital to the state’s economic interests, and gay marriage, while important, was not driving the state’s fiscal crisis.
And so the governor has seized yet another political hostage in his quest to ease Illinois’ enormous budget problems by reducing pension benefits for public employees and retirees.
Gaming expansion, including a new Chicago casino that Mayor Rahm Emanuel is practically slobbering over, was put on hold last spring because the governor threatened to veto it until pension reform was approved.
Then came his veto of state legislative salaries, which was recently struck down as unconstitutional by a Cook County judge. Quinn said he vetoed the salaries out of the state budget to prod legislators into passing a pension reform bill. It didn’t work. If coming up with a pension reform plan was that easy, it would’ve been accomplished long ago. Quinn is currently attempting to appeal the judge’s ruling directly to the Illinois Supreme Court.
And now comes ADM, one of the oldest companies in Illinois and one of the largest companies in the nation.
Quinn suggested to reporters last week that the company ought to help lobby for pension reform if it wanted its tax break.
Politically speaking, these are all no-brainers. Polls have shown that Illinoisans aren’t in love with the idea of more casinos. So, holding up gaming expansion has few political risks.
The General Assembly’s job approval rating is below Quinn’s, and that’s saying something because Quinn is one of the least liked governors in America. Vetoing legislators’ paychecks could rank right up there with the most popular thing Quinn has ever done, whether its constitutional or not.
And Republicans and Democrats alike have long had a strong distaste for “corporate welfare.” It just rubs people the wrong way to provide tax breaks to gigantic, profitable corporations while Illinois government has trouble paying its own bills.
The ADM tax break proposal hasn’t proved to be all that popular so far in the General Assembly, either. A company officer admitted to a House committee last week that it often pays less than $1.2 million a year in corporate income taxes, even though it made $1.2 billion in profits last year and $2 billion the year before. That was a startling admission, and didn’t please the committee’s liberal Democrats.
The subject was broached when some conservatives on the committee said they’d rather lower the corporate income tax rate than give out a special deal for one company. But lowering the tax rate - even eliminating it entirely - wouldn’t do the company any good. It wants that tax break.
However, ADM has hired some influential Statehouse lobbyists close to House Speaker Michael Madigan, Chicago Mayor Emanuel appears fully on board, and word is that an omnibus corporate tax break bill is being prepared. Despite the public resistance by legislators, the national embarrassment of losing ADM’s world headquarters to another state is probably enough to assume that this will eventually get done.
The political hostage phenomenon should be familiar if you watched the shutdown of the federal government over Republican opposition to Obamacare. The difference with Quinn is that the federal shutdown proved to be wildly unpopular with the American public, while the “hostages” Quinn is taking are prized mainly by people within the Illinois Statehouse, not by the public at large.
But, even if you don’t care, I’m here to tell you that this schtick of Quinn’s is really getting old. It’s juvenile when they do it in Washington, DC, and it’s juvenile when our own governor does it.
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