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*** UPDATED x5 - $451,000 *** New DGA ads bash Jeanne Ives, Bruce Rauner

Thursday, Mar 15, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Interesting move

* Script…

When is a conservative leader too conservative for Illinois? Meet Jeanne Ives. She’s been rated as one of the most conservative in the state. Ives wants to ban abortions, she has an ‘A’ rating from the NRA, pushing to arm teachers and stop new gun laws.

And on immigration, Ives marches in lockstep with President Trump, trying to eliminate protections for undocumented immigrants.

Tell Jeanne Ives, her conservative policies are just too conservative for Illinois.

That’s pretty darned good. Devious, but good.

Gets her conservative message out there in the waning days. She should be happy with that.

* Same goes for this ad bashing Rauner

* Script…

Worst. It’s not a word we like to hear in Illinois. But worst is where Gov. Rauner has taken Illinois since he took office.

Today, our state has the worst unemployment rate in the Midwest and the worst credit rating of any state in the country.

What’s worse? Rauner racked up billions in unpaid bills, leaving Illinois taxpayers on the hook. Tell Gov. Rauner, his record is a lack of leadership in the worst way.

Classic Claire McCaskill play. Probably shoulda started earlier, though.

…Adding… From Wordslinger in comments…

Those are both great spots for Ives.

Notice how in the first one there is no standard, b&w scowling shots? Ives is in full color and smiling. That’s some serious concern-trolling.

Surprisingly good strategy and execution from a DC committee.

…Adding… I just realized one of the news references in the “anti” Jeanne Ives ad is Prairie State Wire - a Dan Proft paper.

That spot is pure trolling gold.

And, as a commenter pointed out, the anti-Rauner ad quotes the Illinois Policy Institute. Just ginning up that circular firing squad a wee bit more.

*** UPDATE 1 *** Check out this new Rauner ad bashing Ives. Harshest one yet

*** UPDATE 2 *** Heh…

Tomorrow, the Democratic Governors Association will launch two new television ads holding Governor Bruce Rauner and state Representative Jeanne Ives accountable for their failed policy agendas.

The ad titled ‘Worst’ focuses on how Bruce Rauner’s failed leadership has made Illinois worse economically and fiscally. Rauner’s two-year budget crisis led to more debt, a lower credit rating, and the worst unemployment rate in the Midwest.

The ad titled ‘Most’ lays out how Jeanne Ives’s policies are too conservative for Illinois. Ives supports banning abortion, overturning needed protections for immigrants, and would bring the failed policies of President Donald Trump to Illinois.

“Jeanne Ives and Bruce Rauner’s failed policies are a disaster for middle-class Illinois families,” said DGA Spokesman Sam Salustro. “Jeanne Ives’ positions are just too conservative for Illinois. And Rauner’s refusal to show leadership has made Illinois worse off fiscally and economically. It’s time for both leaders to start working for Illinois families, and not themselves.”

It would’ve been better if they’d tied Rauner to Madigan. /s

*** UPDATE 3 *** Money

According to Advertising Analytics, as of Thursday evening the DGA is set to spend at least $451,000 to air the ads from Friday through Tuesday, the date of the GOP primary.

Each ad is going to be running in “significant rotation,” said a DGA official who declined to specify whether one ad would run more often than the other.

It’s unclear how much impact the DGA’s ad will have at at time when it’s competing on incredibly congested airwaves. The governor’s race alone has seen more than $55 million in TV ad spending. For his part, Rauner himself has poured millions of dollars into meddling in the Democratic primary, financing attack ads hitting Democratic front-runner J.B. Pritzker.

*** UPDATE 4 *** Lynn Sweet last July

Illinois Democratic governor hopeful J.B. Pritzker donated $2 million in June to the Democratic Governors Association, the organization that’s officially neutral in the contested primary.

I reported on June 25 that the wealthy Pritzker, who has already poured millions of his own dollars into his bid, attended a major Democratic Governors Association fundraising event in Nantucket — and that all the Democratic contenders from Illinois were not invited.

*** UPDATE 5 *** Ives campaign…

Of course Socialists are attacking Jeanne Ives for being conservative. Democrat congressman Dan Lipinski is too conservative for the Democrat Party. Jeanne Ives wears attacks from the radical Left as badges of honor whether they come from Leftists at the DGA or the Leftist, fake Republican Bruce Rauner. The DGA is correct that Illinois is worse off than we were when Rauner was elected but that’s because Rauner pursued the big government, tax-borrow-and-spend policies combined with extreme Leftist social policies that the DGA otherwise supports. On policy, Rauner and the DGA are two sides of the same counterfeit bill.

  48 Comments      


Report: Regressive property tax adjustments made poor pay more, rich pay less

Thursday, Mar 15, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From Christopher Berry at the Center for Municipal Finance at The University of Chicago
Harris School of Public Policy

Abstract: This research brief proposes a method for estimating residential property tax shifting due to regressive assessments. Estimates for Chicago suggest that $2.2 billion was shifted from under- taxed properties onto over-tax properties from 2011 to 2015. Due to regressive assessments, the most expensive homes are the most likely to be under-taxed.

I estimate that roughly $800 million in property taxes was shifted from the top 10 percent of properties onto the bottom 90 percent during this period.

Go check it out.

…Adding… Chris Kennedy…

“The property tax racket run by Joe Berrios, Mike Madigan and their silent partner JB Pritzker is crushing Illinois families. Serial tax cheat JB Pritzker won’t speak out against this racket. This study confirms what I have been saying throughout this campaign because tax cheaters like JB Pritzker pay less everyone else pays more.

This is exactly the kind of abusive, insider leadership that we need to remove from the highest levels of our government.

And, we need a governor who will help lead the way. I am committed to doing just that. It’s a shame that JB Pritzker is so completely beholden to Joe Berrios that he forgives these outcomes and favors leaving Berrios in power. Together they will continue to tear apart our state and enrich only the wealthy and well-connected.

We need radical change and it starts with ending our state’s reliance on property taxes and funding our public schools fairly with state support.”

…Adding… Fritz Kaegi…

“This study vividly provides new detail on exactly how unfair and regressive Joe Berrios’ assessment system has become. Berrios has shifted billions in property taxes from the wealthiest property owners onto everyone else, taking money out of the pockets of working families and devastating communities. Neighborhoods lose people because of this theft, and it is neighborhoods on the South and West Sides of Cook County that are hit the hardest.

“This study only looks at residential assessments. We must also remember that Joe Berrios’ assessment system has created an enormous cost shift from downtown office skyscraper owners onto all residential owners.

“Joe Berrios’ assessment system caters to the wealthiest property owners, because they are the principal clients of the tax appeals industry that funds his campaign. This is pay-to-play at its very worst, and Prof. Berry provides vivid detail on the toll it has taken.”

* Related…

* Flawed Assessments Caused $2 Billion Shift in Property Taxes, Study Finds - Under Cook County Assessor Joseph Berrios, assessment system shaved $1 billion from Chicago’s most expensive homes, while owners of lower-valued homes picked up the tab.

  35 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 - Sens. Haine, Castro respond *** Rauner outlines “options” for future of Quincy veterans’ home, says “Nothing has taken long”

Thursday, Mar 15, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

Governor Bruce Rauner today detailed the latest CDC-backed remediation efforts at the Illinois Veterans Home in Quincy (IVHQ) and announced that the Capital Development Board is issuing an RFP for a Master Planning contract to explore building a new state-of-the-art facility on the Quincy campus.

He also revealed that the state intends to purchase a vacant nursing home a few blocks from the Quincy campus, renovate it, and prepare it for occupancy in the event residents need to be moved to protect them from potential Legionella infections. There have been no positive water tests for Legionella since completion of the latest remediation.

* During a press conference this afternoon in Quincy Mike Hoffman, the former CMS director who has been put in charge of fixing the problems at the veterans’ home, clarified that statement about buying the vacant nursing home.

“We have not signed a contract, we have not entered into an agreement,” Hoffman said. It could happen in the next month or two, he said.

“That’s not the plan yet,” Gov. Rauner also said today in Quincy about buying the nursing home down the street and moving the residents. “That’s an option that we want to have available.”

But, he said, that option could not accommodate all 352 veterans’ home residents because there’s not enough room.

So, Rauner said they’ll have a modular housing option on the veterans’ home campus itself, “With all new piping, all new facilities not connected at all to the existing water system.”

The governor claimed today that the modular housing option (with all new plumbing from a different water source) could be accomplished “in just a few months.”

OK.

Rauner also said he wants to work with the General Assembly to “try to streamline the procurement process” to get the all new facility built, which he expects to take two years. Yeah, well, I hope he puts Hoffman in charge of that and doesn’t try to deal with the GA on his own is all I’m saying.

* Gov. Rauner also got defensive when asked why these changes have taken so long

There is this false narrative I think for political purposes that somehow it’s too slow or why did it take so long. Nothing has taken long. We’ve implemented immediately, immediately everything that’s been recommended. So, there was nothing that somehow taken too long, or we didn’t do or we waited on. Nothing whatsoever.

As a reminder, twelve residents died in 2015 (partly because the administration took way too long to notify them of the outbreak), another one has passed away since then and 4 cases popped up last month alone.

* The governor was not asked about this today

A Republican candidate for Illinois Attorney General says there should be an independent investigation into the state’s handling of Legionnaires’ disease outbreaks at a veterans’ home.

Erika Harold is supported by Governor Bruce Rauner, who has defended his administration’s response to the outbreaks even though residents there keep getting sick.

At a forum for attorney general candidates [last week] streamed on facebook - Harold was asked if there’s potentially a case for criminal negligence by state officials. Harold says it’s too soon to know.

    HAROLD: I wouldn’t prejudge the evidence but I think there should be an independent investigation and see where the evidence leads.

*** UPDATE 1 *** Press release…

Senator Cristina Castro (D-Elgin) issued the following statement in response to the governor’s press conference at the Illinois Veterans Home at Quincy today:

“What is this guy talking about? Everything he said today was a contradiction of what we were told last week by his administration.”

“Last week we were told the nearby nursing home might not be option for housing veterans because the building is old and might have its own problems. Today we’re told it’s back on the table.

“Last week we were told a draft plan for fixing the Quincy campus would be done by the end of the month and a final plan ready by May 1. Today we hear about entirely new avenues that should be finalized by the fall.

“When is someone going to actually take charge and do something?

“This outbreak began in 2015. The governor already spent $60,000 worth of taxpayers’ money on two engineering reports only to now announce he’s throwing them out and spending even more on new experts to do new studies and offer up another new plan.

“I’ve got family members of deceased veterans contacting me because they’re frustrated and fed up with the Rauner administration.

“I don’t want to hear about plans and options and task forces and choices to be made at some future date. I want the governor to make a decision and do something right now.”

*** UPDATE 2 *** Press release…

tate Senator Bill Haine (D-Alton) released the following statement this afternoon following the governor’s press conference at the Illinois Veterans Home at Quincy:

“Classic bureaucrats. Three years after the crisis began they’re still talking about options and plans. There have been enough studies and reports and meetings. And that’s all the governor announced today. More studies and reports and meetings. The governor appears stuck on a political treadmill. Just do something already.”

  35 Comments      


*** UPDATED x5 - RGA, Rauner campaign respond - “Real buy” *** DGA to air TV ad tomorrow

Thursday, Mar 15, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I asked the Democratic Governors Association about this and they confirmed. They wouldn’t discuss content, but the rumor mill is on fire that it’s an anti-Rauner ad, which would be interesting timing if the GOP primary is actually tightening up. I’ll post it when I get it…



*** UPDATE 1 *** From the RGA…

Hey Rich,

Our ad watcher says the DGA ad is only $30k spread amongst Chicago, Champaign and Rockford.

Those can be upped, but we’ll see.

*** UPDATE 2 *** A reliable person says the RGA tracking is substantially off.

*** UPDATE 3 *** Another very good source who tracks this stuff closely said the DGA ad is “a real buy.”

*** UPDATE 4 *** Will Allison at the Rauner campaign…

“Washington Democrats have teamed up with Mike Madigan’s favorite Republican Jeanne Ives because they know they can’t beat Governor Rauner in November. Governor Rauner’s message of growing jobs, cutting taxes, and rooting out corruption in Illinois has Democrats running scared.”

You knew that had to be coming.

*** UPDATE 5 *** RGA…

“It’s panic time at J.B. Pritzker’s campaign. After the Chicago Tribune’s bombshell article revealing his offshore tax havens and then his disaster of a debate performance, Pritzker is calling in his well-connected friends to bail him out. Desperate times call for desperate measures.” – Republican Governors Association Spokesman Steven Yaffe

  27 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Drury says his poll has him at 8 or 9 percent

Thursday, Mar 15, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE *** Fight Back for a Better Tomorrow PAC, that dark money outfit run by Local 150, just reloaded with another $300,000 for more TV ads against Drury. That puts them close to a million, right where Drury is.

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* Remember this press release from yesterday?

On the heels of an internal poll showing Pat Quinn’s numbers plummeting and Scott Drury’s rising, Scott Drury’s campaign for Attorney General has begun airing a new statewide campaign ad

* Drury was cagey about his poll, but he did say this

Since the baseline survey, Quinn’s support has dropped by almost 20 percentage points. Raoul has gained 9 points. Drury has gained 5 points.

* Mark Brown got Drury to open up about that poll

Drury conceded he is still only at 8 percent or 9 percent overall, but said he’s reached double digits in the suburbs and Downstate.

In an interview, [million-dollar campaign contributor Steven Miller] said it was that momentum, coupled with a high percentage of undecided voters in the race (anywhere from 30 percent to 45 percent), that convinced him to make the investment.

A gain of five points means he started at 3 or 4, which is about where I had him last week.

Long way to go to get to first place, though.

  28 Comments      


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