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*** UPDATED x1 - Cullerton responds *** TRS lowers rate of return, state contribution to soar $300 million next year alone

Friday, Sep 21, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the Illinois Teachers’ Retirement System…

The Teachers’ Retirement System Board of Trustees today approved revisions to a number of assumptions contained in its actuarial model, including a reduction in the System’s long-term assumed rate of return on its $36 billion investment portfolio from 8.5 percent to 8 percent.

The major effect of the new assumed rate of return will be to increase the System’s long-term unfunded liability ratio from the current 54.8 percent to 57.6 percent. The lower rate of return also will increase the state’s required annual contribution to TRS in fiscal year 2014 and after. This contribution covers the annual cost of pensions as they are earned as well as the unfunded liability that has accumulated over time. The state contribution in FY 2014 is expected to rise from $3.07 billion with an 8.5 percent rate of return to $3.37 billion with an 8 percent rate of return. […]

In August, the System’s actuaries, Buck Consultants of Chicago, recommended reducing the assumed rate of return from 8.5 percent and outlined three options for a revised number – 7.75 percent, 8 percent and 8.25 percent. The Trustees delayed a final decision until September in order to allow further analysis by TRS staff and to ensure that all TRS trustees had a say in the final decision. On September 14 Gov. Pat Quinn named two new trustees to the Board, bringing the number of members to 13 for the first time in more than a year. [Emphasis added.]

That $300 million is a big jump for such a small decrease.

A chart…

* React from the Republican leaders…

“The Teachers Retirement System’s board decision today to adjust its estimated rates of return will drive our pension unfunded liability up by billions of dollars and the state’s obligation to pay into the systems each year by hundreds of millions. This is yet another reason that comprehensive pension reform has to be addressed now. We are disappointed in the Governor and democrat leaders for taking a pass on pension reform until January. We believe that is irresponsible. The more time they delay–the harder it will be to put together a comprehensive plan that tackles our crisis in a meaningful way. Today’s board action underlines the fact that our pension systems’ realities keep getting worse, not better. Even though TRS lowered its average rate of return to 8 percent, some financial groups such as Moody’s believe the rate should have been lowered even further to match current market conditions, which would have an even more detrimental effect on our state’s finances.”

*** UPDATE *** Senate President John Cullerton’s office responds to the Republican statement…

The last thing we need right now is more press releases and posturing on pensions. Until the political rhetoric and blame is replaced with a commitment and compromise from both parties, pension costs will continue to crowd out essential state services. A constitutional template for reform has already been put in place by the Senate. So when Republicans are ready to return to Springfield to vote on plan that reforms the system and addresses fairness, we will not delay to schedule a vote.

  8 Comments      


Eventually, you gotta govern

Friday, Sep 21, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Robert Bruno of the University of Illinois at Chicago described Mayor Rahm Emanuel’s battle with the teachers union quite well, I think…

“It appeared as if he was more interested in winning; that he was involved in a fight, and he wanted to beat the union. He wanted to beat them. He was looking for a victory, as opposed … to the ultimate goal was, what would it take to get a settlement, what would it take to get a deal with my partners.”

And he’s still at it. Aides are quietly pushing anti-teacher stories to reporters. He appeared in a million-dollar TV ad paid for by an anti-teachers union group. If that wasn’t a message to the CTU about his continued defiance, I don’t know what was.

It’s still a war to him. A campaign, if you will. Governing is more than warring and campaigning, however. And that’s a hard lesson that I don’t think he has yet learned, even with his much-vaunted White House experience.

He plays politics like the Hanson Brothers played hockey. That’s fine in a campaign. Not so good when running a big city.

…Adding… From a commenter…

The Hanson brothers were never arrogant. They seemed happy to meet with the public. They also were willing to listen to their coach when he (temporarily) thought the team should play old-time hockey and not brawl.

The Hanson brothers would be behaving much, much better than Rahm is.

  43 Comments      


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