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This just in… Sundown arrives and no Dillard lead… Franks on Hynes… Rosen claims Quinn “mandate”… 2 months?

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 5:03 pm - I received the following press release just six minutes before sundown, when Sen. Kirk Dillard had earlier predicted that he would be ahead in the count. He’s still behind, of course…

State Senator Kirk Dillard, Republican candidate for governor, today released the following statement in response to the current status of the Republican gubernatorial race:

“Yesterday was a real testament to the strength and power of our grassroots. Both Senator Brady and I were vastly outspent in this primary, but we are the ones still standing today. The strength of that grassroots support is how Republicans are going to take back the Governor’s seat this November.

But a winner has not been decided yet. Yesterday’s election was really close and the simple fact is that they are still counting the votes. There are hundreds of provisional and absentee ballots left to be counted along with several precincts votes to be reported. We believe every Illinoisan’s voice needs and deserves to be heard. We do not know who won yet and we probably won’t for several more days.

Rumors of a victory are not legitimate when votes are still being counted. I’m confident that when all of the ballots have been counted, I will be the Republican nominee for Governor.”

The “rumors” he’s probably referring to here are Sen. Bill Brady’s claim that he’s still about 430 votes ahead.

The AP count, which hasn’t moved since the last time I told you about it…

Illinois - 11143 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Brady , Bill GOP 155,210 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 154,701 20%

* 5:07 pm - Meanwhile, in the other gubernatorial race, we have yet to hear anything out of Dan Hynes, who is still seven thousand or so votes behind Gov. Quinn…

Illinois - 11143 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Quinn , Pat (i) Dem 454,665 50%
Hynes , Daniel Dem 447,235 50%

My intern Dan Weber asked Rep. Jack Franks a few minutes ago what he thinks Dan Hynes should do right now. Franks endorsed Hynes in the primary. Dan also asked Franks why he thought Hynes came up short. Have a look…


Last night, my intern Barton Lorimor talked to Quinn campaign finance director David Rosen about the election results. “I think that one person cannot divide the party any longer,” Rosen said. Rosen also called the victory a “mandate,” and said that even a “one-point” win would be a “mandate.” Watch…


* 5:18 pm - State GOP Chairman Pat Brady says the back and forth on this Brady/Dillard primary could take quite a while…

Republican state senators Kirk Dillard and Bill Brady remained only a few hundred votes apart, with Brady up slightly Tuesday afternoon. That photo finish is threatening a lengthy and costly recount, though neither campaign has said yet they are ready to pull the trigger.

“It could be a couple of months,” said Illinois Republican Party Chairman Pat Brady about a final outcome. “It depends on what happens today. We are not done yet.”

[Comments are now closed on this thread. Go here for a fresh one.]

  26 Comments      


GOP Unity Breakfast videos - And the NRSC goes after Giannoulias

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sen. Bill Brady talks to the press as he arrives at the Illinois Republican Unity Breakfast this morning. Brady said he considers Illinois be to a “center right” state…


* Sen. Kirk Dillard speaks to reporters about the margin of the race. He predicted “by sundown today, I’ll be in the lead”…


* Senate GOP Leader Christine Radogno talks to my intern Barton Lorimor about the results…


Chew on these for now, and I’ll upload more in a bit.

* The NRSC releases a YouTube video claiming that Alexi Giannoulias “would make Tony Soprano proud.” Watch it…


* OK, back to the breakfast. Jim Ryan supporter Joe Birkett talks to reporters…


* More vids from this morning…

* Mark Kirk’s address to the IL GOP Unity Breakfast

* Sen. Brady addresses the IL GOP Unity Breakfas

* Sen. Dillard addresses the IL GOP Unity Breakfast

  30 Comments      


Live-blogging the results, Part 5 - It ain’t over ’til it’s over, unless you’re David Orr

Wednesday, Feb 3, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 1:36 am - New numbers in the GOP governor’s race…

Governor - GOP Primary
Illinois - 11091 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Brady , Bill GOP 154,622 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 154,076 20%

546-vote margin. Dillard made up about 900 votes since the last tabulation. I think that was from the uncounted (by AP) votes in Lake County. Dillard is outpolling Brady 3-1 in the city and almost 4-1 in suburban Cook.

* The Tribune wasted no time in going after Scott Lee Cohen…

Scott Lee Cohen, a pawn broker and cleaning supply distributor, appeared to be edging out state Rep. Art Turner for the Democratic nomination [for lt. governor]. Cohen had 26 percent of the vote to Turner’s 22 percent, with 97 percent counted.

Cohen, a little-known candidate who financed much of the campaign with his own fortune, will have to answer questions during the general election race as more is learned about him. He was charged with a 2005 misdemeanor domestic battery charge.
He was accused of beating a woman, but the case was dropped a month later when she refused to show up in court to pursue the charges.

* As I told you earlier, Raja Krishnamoorthi refused to concede. But there’s little chance of overturning this one…

Comptroller - Dem Primary
Illinois - 11097 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Miller , David Dem 382,850 47%
Krishnamoorthi , Raja Dem 376,897 46%

That’s almost 6,000 votes. In the age of electronic balloting, that’s gonna be pretty darned tough, if not impossible to overturn. Here’s Rep. David Miller’s speech…


* 1:49 am - New numbers…

Governor - GOP Primary
Illinois - 11097 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Brady , Bill GOP 154,629 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 154,119 20%

510 votes. That’s a 36-vote pickup in the six precincts counted since the last update - 6 votes per precinct. If that trend holds, Dillard picks up a net 708 votes - meaning he has the potential of winning by 198 votes. LOL. Recount city, baby.

There are 117 GOP precincts still to be counted in suburban Cook and Chicago. Only one other precinct remains unaccounted for. I’m not sure where that one is, or maybe AP and I have different numbers for Cook/Chicago.

* Clinton County hasn’t yet counted 3 precincts. Brady is doing very well there, and if current trends hold, he picks up about 35 or 36 net votes.

* St. Clair County hasn’t yet counted one precinct. Based on current trends, that’s a couple/three votes net for Brady.

* 2:11 am - New numbers…

Illinois - 11118 of 11215 Precincts Reporting - 99%
Brady , Bill GOP 154,646 20%
Dillard , Kirk GOP 154,143 20%

503-vote margin. That’s only a seven-vote pickup, even though 21 precincts were counted. Not many Republicans in those precincts. Somebody on the Brady team might want to call Clinton and St. Clair counties and see if they can finish counting tonight, but he may not need it. Fun.

* 2:24 am - David Orr has suspended tallying. From a press release…

To allow for public viewing, tallying of results for suburban Cook County will resume on Wednesday, Feb. 3, at the Clerk’s election warehouse, 4545 W. Cermak, Chicago.

Counting of the remaining 24 of 1,937 precincts will begin at 9 a.m. All are welcome.

Unofficial suburban Cook County election results, suspended at 98.76 percent of precincts reporting, are available at cookcountyclerk.com.

That really sucks.

* I just got an e-mail from the Jim Ryan campaign…

ELECTION DAY:
Help Us Send 100,000 E-Yard Signs Today!
It’s Primary Election Day — and today the Illinois Republican voters will take a first step toward restoring honest, ethical authentic leadership to Springfield.
I would be honored to have your vote — and need your help to get our voters to the polls today.

That explains some things.

* Well, since Cook, Chicago, St. Clair and Clinton counties have all suspended counting, it’s time to end the blog portion of our program.

  45 Comments      


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