Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Polls
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      About     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact Rich Miller
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here. To inquire about advertising on CapitolFax.com, click here.
Poll: Just 8 percent of Illinoisans think crime is most important issue, plus lots more

Thursday, Jan 8, 2026 - Posted by Rich Miller

* As usual with statewide polls, crime is way down the list of issues important to voters



I wish they would’ve asked about property taxes.

* On to other results. Darren Bailey leads the race in the Republican primary



Lots of undecided voters, but he’s retained more than half the support he had four years ago, when he won the primary with 57 percent.

* Gov. JB Pritzker’s approval rating



Pritzker appears to be an outlier in the region. Ohio’s governor had a 26 percent approval rating while 45% disapproved last fall in another Emerson poll. Also last fall, Indiana’s governor had a 24 percent favorable rating with 43 percent unfavorable, “while 22 percent had no opinion and 11 percent had never heard of him.” Last summer, a Marquette poll had Wisconsin’s governor at 48 percent approval and 46 percent disapproval, but 55 percent didn’t want him to run for a third term. And I’m figuring the Minnesota governor’s numbers were deeply in the tank since he bowed out of the race.

* President Trump’s approval rating



* Some more



* The methodology

The Emerson College Polling/WGN-TV Illinois survey was conducted January 3-5, 2026. The overall sample of Illinois likely primary voters, n=1,000, has a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE), of +/- 3 percentage points. The Democratic Primary consists of a sample size of n=568, with a credibility interval of +/-4%. The Republican Primary consists of a sample size of n=432, with a credibility interval of +/-4.7%. The data sets were weighted by gender, education, race, age, and region based on U.S. Census parameters and voter file data.

  9 Comments      


Poll: 58 percent oppose public funding to help build a new Bears stadium

Thursday, Jan 8, 2026 - Posted by Rich Miller

* WGN-TV/Emerson College poll taken January 3-5 of 1,000 Illinois residents with a MOE of +/- 3 percent

  15 Comments      


Candidate roundup: Raja’s numbers may be dropping, but still leads; Nobody knows the GOP Sen. candidates; 3 Dem Sen. candidates want Noem impeached; Old Miller poll; More

Thursday, Jan 8, 2026 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* [From Rich: This post glitched out on us, so I’m reposting it. I disagree with this assessment about Krishnamoorthi. Raja’s own poll a month ago had him at 42 percent. He’s not doing great, particularly after spending something like $13-14 million. Then again, the other two are in single digits and he is slightly leading Kelly among Black voters] WGN-TV/Emerson College poll taken January 3-5 of 1,000 Illinois residents with a MOE of +/- 3 percent


* Meanwhile

Sheesh.

* All three Democratic US Senate candidates support Noem’s impeachment. US Senate Candidate Rep. Robin Kelly…

Today, U.S. Rep. Robin Kelly (IL-02) announced plans to impeach Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem following the fatal shooting by an ICE officer in Minneapolis.

“Secretary Kristi Noem is an incompetent leader, a disgrace to our democracy, and I am impeaching her for obstruction of justice, violation of public trust, and self-dealing. Secretary Noem wreaked havoc in the Chicagoland area, and now, her rogue ICE agents have unleashed that same destruction in Minneapolis, fatally shooting Renee Nicole Good,” said Rep. Kelly.

* Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi


* Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton



* Month-old polling from the 2nd Congressional District released by Democratic candidate Donna Miller

A recent poll of 400 likely 2026 Democratic primary voters in Illinois’ 2nd Congressional District conducted by Global Strategy Group shows that this race is wide open and that with the right resources to introduce her to the district’s voters, Commissioner Donna Miller has a clear path to victory.

Emphasis added because in the third quarter of last year, Miller only raised about $240,000 and reported having just $150,000 cash on hand. That’s not a lot of money and the election is less than 10 weeks away, with mail-in voting starting in about 4 weeks.

Back to the release

At this stage in the campaign, nearly all of the candidates are unknown by the majority of the electorate. That leads to nearly half of the electorate being (44%) undecided in the initial vote. Just over one-in-four voters are familiar with Donna Miller, though those who know her view her very favorably (24% favorable/3% unfavorable). Jesse Jackson Jr. - the only candidate with serious name ID - currently leads the race (24%), with Donna Miller (9%), Yumeka Brown (9%), Willie Preston (6%), Robert Peters (5%), and Patrick Keating (2%) following behind.

Despite his significant name ID advantage, Jackson Jr.’s vulnerabilities are abundant. The most established candidate - Jesse Jackson Jr. - has a mixed reputation: while over 8-in-10 voters know him, nearly half of those voters view him unfavorably (44% favorable/42% unfavorable). His negative ratings are driven by white voters and voters outside of the city of Chicago.

I’ve reached out to Miller’s campaign for the crosstabs.

* 9th CD candidate Bushra Amiwala’s response to Rep. Jan Schakowsky’s endorsement of Daniel Biss…

“Daniel Biss’s habit of waiting to be bold only when it is safe has earned him another endorsement. That may be politically cautious, but it is not progressive leadership.”

“I ran because IL-09 needs more than careful positioning. A campaign built on real solutions, on affordability and quality of life, and on ensuring taxpayer dollars are not used to benefit foreign entities or corporations, will be polarizing. That is the cost of saying something that actually matters.”

“But this race is not about preserving what is comfortable. It is about moving forward. We should not settle for a quieter, safer version of progress when our community deserves a stronger voice. We cannot go backwards.”

* ONE People’s Campaign…

ONE People’s Campaign (OPC) has announced a dual endorsement of Senator Mike Simmons and Mayor Daniel Biss for the 9th Congressional District. In a crowded field of candidates, the progressive organization’s decision shows that their members believe the choice clearly comes down to these two progressive champions with extensive legislative experience and deep roots in the 9th district. Mayor Biss and Senator Simmons bring the fighting spirit and strong track record that this moment of crisis demands. […]

To arrive at this decision, OPC’s members carefully considered the crowded field of 17 candidates before arriving at this decision. They felt strongly that both Senator Simmons and Mayor Biss met the criteria for an endorsement. “While we ultimately decided not to endorse a single candidate, the stakes of this race were too high for us not to share what we learned in this robust endorsement process. By endorsing both Mayor Biss & Senator Simmons, we encourage our members and voters across the district to narrow their decision in this crowded race to one of these two exceptional candidates,” said Kerry Fleming, OPC Board Member and 9th CD resident. […]

ONE People’s Campaign will mobilize its volunteers to share their choices for the 9th Congressional District, as well as their endorsement of Sunjay Kumar in the 13th State House district race, with our neighbors and members. Through door knocking, phone banking and texting OPC will connect with voters about the issues they care about and share why their endorsed candidates will help them win the resources their communities deserve.

* Background is here if you need it. The Daily Northwestern

Several Democratic primary candidates for Illinois’ 9th Congressional District released a joint statement condemning “organized efforts” seeking “to pressure a fellow Democratic candidate to withdraw from the race” on Tuesday afternoon.

Skokie school board member Bushra Amiwala, Mayor Daniel Biss, former FBI negotiator Phil Andrew, ex-tech strategist Nick Pyati, economist Jeff Cohen, public health professional Justin Ford and Chicago 50th Ward Committeeman Bruce Leon signed the statement, which was released in an email from Amiwala’s campaign.

“Recent reports and conversations within our communities suggest that organized efforts are underway to pressure a fellow Democratic candidate to withdraw from the race,” the candidates wrote in Tuesday’s statement. “While vigorous persuasion and debate are part of politics, coordinated pressure campaigns aimed at forcing candidates out undermine the democratic process and erode trust among voters.”

Ford provided The Daily with an updated version of the statement, including progressive content creator Kat Abughazaleh’s signature, Tuesday evening. He told The Daily that candidates who did not sign the letter don’t necessarily disagree with its message.

* Raja Krishnamoorthi has been endorsed by the American Federation of Government Employees. Press release…

Today, the American Federation of Government Employees (AFGE) formally endorsed Raja Krishnamoorthi for U.S. Senate. Representing 820,000 members across 900 local unions nationwide, AFGE becomes the first national labor union to weigh in on the primary — a major milestone that further solidifies Raja’s standing as the undeniable labor candidate in the race.

* Politico

In IL-08: Junaid Ahmed has been endorsed by Washington state Congresswoman Pramila Jayapal, a nationally recognized progressive leader and chair emerita of the Congressional Progressive Caucus.

In IL-08: Melissa Bean has been endorsed by Elect Democratic Women in her bid for the 8th District seat.

In IL-08: Neil Khot leans into his immigrant roots in a six-figure TV-led media buy in the competitive Democratic congressional contest. Watch here.

In IL-09: Kat Abughazaleh is out with a paid media advertisement running on cable and digital platforms across Illinois’ 9th Congressional District. The ad takes a poke at “career politicians.” Watch here.

* WMBD

A Republican Senate candidate said it’s high time for Illinois to become a two-party state again, focusing on a message of affordability. […]

“It’s a real opportunity for an Illinois Republican to secure one of those offices and make Illinois a two-party state again and I happen to think that I am the best qualified of all the Illinois Republicans to win that seat,” [Don Tracy] said. […]

“That is a huge issue for all families, especially working families here in Illinois. Health care inflation, health care expenditures are approaching 20% of gross national product,” he said.

However, his solutions would not include support of the Affordable Care Act.

* WGLT

The U.S. House is expected to vote Thursday on a Democrat-led plan to extend Affordable Care Act [ACA] subsidies after Congress allowed them to lapse in December.

U. S. Rep. Eric Sorensen, a Democrat from Moline, said he’s willing to consider some limits or cost controls that would help the plan pass in the Senate, where 60 votes are required for approval.

“We need something. Something is better than nothing,” Sorensen said during a virtual news conference on Wednesday. […]

“It’s unacceptable because these are real families, these are real people. These are people with disabilities. These are senior citizens. These are kids,” Sorensen said.

* More…

    * Press release | Rep. Kelly announces death of stepdaughter: U.S. Rep. Robin Kelly (IL-02) released the below statement following the death of her stepdaughter Lauren Horn at the age of 38: “My family and I are completely heartbroken. Lauren was one of my bonus daughters, an absolute blessing to me ever since we joined families over 20 years ago. She was a beloved mother, sister, and daughter. I will forever miss her.”

    * Press release | Senator Fine to File Legislation Barring ICE Officers Hired By Trump from State and Local Law Enforcement Jobs: In the wake of the unspeakable tragedy in Minneapolis, Minn., State Senator Laura Fine (D-Glenview) will file legislation barring anyone hired by Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) under Donald Trump from obtaining employment in state or local law enforcement positions in the State of Illinois. This proposed state law continues her efforts to hold Donald Trump accountable and rein in the lawlessness of federal immigration officials. “ICE is out of control and Donald Trump must be held accountable as communities like ours and across the country are torn apart by fear and violence,” Senator Fine said. “These officers are complicit in the President’s authoritarian campaign and we must do everything in our power to stop it while preventing further violence and loss of life. In Congress, I’ll lead the effort to hold every single person accountable for their role in Donald Trump’s lawlessness, including federal law enforcement officials who target American citizens exercising their first amendment rights. Enough is enough.”

    * WBEZ | Open Seat in Illinois: U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Debate: The University of Chicago Institute of Politics, WBEZ, the Chicago Sun-Times and International House are convening the three frontrunner Democratic candidates for the open U.S. Senate seat in Illinois in advance of the March 17, 2026 primary elections. Join us in person, virtually or on air on Monday, January 26 for a free, live candidate debate at International House on the University of Chicago’s campus. The debate will be co-moderated by Chicago Sun-Times national political reporter Tina Sfondeles and IOP senior director Jennifer Steinhauer and hosted by WBEZ’s In the Loop host, Sasha-Ann Simons.

    * Journal & Topics | All 8 Democrats Running In 8th Congressional Primary Agree To Debate: All eight candidates running in the Democratic Primary for the 8th Congressional District have confirmed their participation in a 7 p.m. Thursday, Jan. 15, debate at the National India Hub in Schaumburg. The event, co-organized by Indivisible Elk Grove Township, requires an RSVP to be completed in advance online. For those unable to attend in person, the event’s moderator, local Gen Z podcaster Ishaan Srivastava, will live-stream the debate on the Ishaan S. Show on his YouTube Channel.

    * NPR Illinois | Economics and energy take center stage in this year’s 13th congressional district campaigns: After an August meeting with constituents at the Champaign Public Library, Budzinski said she wants to continue focusing on economic policies in her next term. “It’s a tax credit for small businesses that hire apprentices, again, helping to make more opportunities a reality for young people who want to get into the workplace here in central Illinois,” she said.

    * Daily Herald | Democratic candidate for 3rd Congressional seat removed from ballot: The Illinois State Board of Elections decided Chicago Democrat Mark J. Pasieka Sr.’s name shouldn’t appear on ballots in the 3rd Congressional District. Conversely, the board ruled in favor of Naperville Republican Michael Pierce in the 11th District. An objection to Pasieka’s candidacy was jointly filed by Addison resident Maria D. Sinkule and Chicagoan Jason Christopher Dones. They said Pasieka didn’t get enough signatures of registered 3rd District voters to qualify and raised concerns about notarizations on the petitions.

  10 Comments      


PREVIOUS POSTS »
* Isabel’s afternoon roundup
* Pritzker moves from 'prerequisite' that Bears must 'pay off what's owed on the existing stadium,' to 'That is not the core issue'
* Illinois drought worsens
* If you're coming to Springfield today, avoid southbound I-55 near town
* Catching up with the federal candidates
* Credit Unions: Expanding Access To Responsible Credit
* It’s just a bill
* The Illinois Supreme Court's patronage system needs reform
* Showcasing The Retailers Who Make Illinois Work
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* Good morning!
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today's edition
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Selected press releases (Live updates)
* Live coverage
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
January 2026
December 2025
November 2025
October 2025
September 2025
August 2025
July 2025
June 2025
May 2025
April 2025
March 2025
February 2025
January 2025
December 2024
November 2024
October 2024
September 2024
August 2024
July 2024
June 2024
May 2024
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
September 2023
August 2023
July 2023
June 2023
May 2023
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS | SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax | Advertise Here | Mobile Version | Contact Rich Miller