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Budget fantasies and realities
Thursday, Dec 15, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller * The lede for the latest Bloomington Pantagraph editorial…
Illinois is neither technically nor legally bankrupt. It’s not even figuratively bankrupt. Bankruptcy is reserved for individuals and corporations that have no hope of increasing revenues to pay off their bills. Illinois is far from that point. Very far. Also, Illinois cannot legally declare bankruptcy. Yes, the state has a huge backlog of bills, but the Pantagraph and other editorial boards have made sure that a solution couldn’t be implemented for that problem. Yes, the state has a large unfunded pension program, but as I’ve written before, we ought to consider abandoning this notion that it must be permanently 90 percent funded when there’s no need to always have anywhere close to that much cash on hand. Yes, the state has a large number of bonds, but most of those bonds have identifiable funding streams. So, enough with the stupidity, please. Editorial commentary like that makes me want to demand that the General Assembly get rid of the sales tax exemptions on newsprint and ink. Come to think of it, yesterday’s report on how Illinois doesn’t connect tax incentives to job benefit requirements fits right in with that idea. You’d be hard-pressed to find an industry that has laid off a higher percentage of its workforce than print media over the past five years, or has stripped them of more benefits. …Adding… From a commenter…
The link…
Indeed. * Meanwhile, check out this fascinating poll from California…
Gov. Brown made huge budget cuts which brutally showed Californians what life is like without the proper revenue streams to fund the services that most everybody wants. There was some thought of doing that here back in 2009. The consequences would’ve been awful in the short term, but Illinoisans might’ve eventually realized that they have to pay for what they ask for. * And then there’s this…
While a serious problem, the math shows it’s not quite the disaster that the media is claiming. The fund needs $1.6 billion over 25 years. Without compound interest, that’s $64 million a year. The fund has 54,275 participants, so that works out to less than $118 per year, per contract, or less than $10 a month. Again, that’s without the magic of compound interest. A very modest fee increase coupled with perhaps an order to Illinois universities to accept what the program gives them, along with some much-needed internal reforms could wipe out that problem quite easily. * Related…
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*** UPDATED x1 *** New polls: Jackson up by 17 over Halvorson
Monday, Nov 21, 2011 - Posted by Rich Miller *** UPDATE *** Halvorson responds…
* Fako & Associates, Inc. has a new poll out…
These two polls only have 301 respondents each, so the MOE is a pretty high +/- 5.65 percent. * Here are the CD 2 trial heat toplines. The first result in each line is for robocalls, the second number is for live interviewers…
No longtime incumbent wants to be under 50 percent. Ever. But that’s still a decent sized cushion. * Name ID, favorability and Jackson job approval…
Not hugely great favorability and job approval numbers for Jackson, considering that he’s so well known. * President Obama’s job approval…
* That high presidential approval will be key if Fox Chicago’s recent report is accurate…
Discuss. * Full toplines and crosstabs…
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