|
*** UPDATED x1 w/corrected numbers *** Rasmussen: Giannoulias over Kirk 44-41
Wednesday, Mar 10, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller *** UPDATE *** I just got off the phone with Fox Chicago. They accidentally misreported the numbers this morning. The actual numbers are…
The poll was taken March 8th (the same day as the Quinn/Brady poll) and the margin of error is +/-4.5. [ *** End of update and text corrected below to reflect update *** ] * A new Rasmussen poll has Alexi Giannoulias leading Mark Kirk Rasmussen hasn’t posted the numbers as of 10 o’clock this morning, but I’ll check back later. [UPDATE: Check back after four o’clock for the full poll results.] So, what the heck is going on? Yesterday’s poll, presumably of the same set of voters, had the governor’s race a lopsided 47-37 Bill Brady lead over Gov. Quinn. I originally thought that the Quinn/Brady poll was an outlier, but Rasmussen’s US Senate numbers are in line with recent polling… Again, if Rasmussen polled the same people for US Senate that they polled in the governor’s race, then this is a screwy year, baby. Screwy. * Anyway, back to the Senate poll. Here are Rasmussen’s numbers for the current poll with their February, December and October results in parentheses…
That’s a huge apparent swing for Giannoulias/Kirk in the past month - a month when the Democrat has been hammered incessantly over his family bank’s troubles. Today was no exception. Tribune…
NBC5…
WaPo…
And Carol Marin predicted today that there will be pressure on Giannoulias to get out of the race…
Not with those numbers, he won’t.
|
|
Rasmussen: Brady over Quinn 47-37
Tuesday, Mar 9, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller * Rasmussen has a new poll, but it’s a bit weird…
Here’s why…
We’ve known for a while that Quinn had trouble with women, but I cannot possibly see how the Democrat is trailing among women to a Republican by 17 points, while losing by just 3 among men. The crosstabs (subscribers only) show Brady ahead of Quinn 50-33 among women and 45-42 among men. The crosstabs also show Quinn leading Brady among Democrats 63-21, while Brady leads Quinn among Republicans 82-10. The only other poll we have is the Research 2000 for Daily Kos which had Quinn up 47-32 - an almost reverse image of this one. So, go figure. Even Rasmussen has a bit of trouble with these results…
* Meanwhile, Rasmussen has support divided over whether the LG’s office should be eliminated…
|
| « NEWER POSTS | PREVIOUS POSTS » |







