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Wednesday, Jun 18, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

“Republican Judy Baar Topinka leads by 11 points, but the underlying numbers in the crosstabs show significant strength for her re-election. Her lead among Independents is not surprising, but 21 percent of the poll respondents who said they considered themselves to be Democrats also support Topinka,” says We Ask America COO Gregg Durham. “Her 26.71 percent in the city of Chicago is especially strong. Still, the 11-point spread puts Democrat Sheila Simon smack dab in the middle of the hunt. But if Topinka continues to make headway in those key demographics, Simon will run out of real estate to use in catching up.”

JBT leads among indies 50-30. She leads among women 46-36. Simone has an ever so slight one-point advantage in Democratic suburban Cook, and JBT leads Downstate 56-31.

…Adding… The only real difference between this poll and other recent polls I’ve seen or been told about is in the suburban Cook result. My April WAA poll had JBT ahead 48-34 in suburban Cook. Other recent polling apparently shows similar results.

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Poll: Cross leads Frerichs 42-35

Wednesday, Jun 18, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Another We Ask America poll…

The poll, which has a margin of error of 3.07 percentage points, [surveyed] 1,021 likely voters […]

“Both the Comptroller’s and Treasurer’s offices don’t garner much earned media, and neither of the candidates for treasurer are that well known by the electorate, although Cross certainly has held a position that gives him wider state coverage,” says We Ask America Chief Operating Officer Gregg Durham. “That helps to explain his stronger-than-expected support among Democrats. Bottom line: We think it will be Labor Day or later until a clear picture will emerge in this race.” […]

Cross had support from 23 percent of Democrats while only 13 percent of Republicans crossed party lines for Frerichs.

Despite being from downstate Champaign, Frerichs trailed far west-suburban Cross among downstate respondents 46-32. But, should the pattern of this poll continue, Frerichs could offset any downstate losses with his strong showing in Chicago, where he led Cross 50-24.

Cross spent some bucks to win his contested GOP primary, so that’s playing into this as well as the likely Republican-friendly cycle itself. Cross leads among independents 42-24.

Cross also leads among women 39-35.

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