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Biggert poll shows huge lead over Republican foe

Friday, Mar 2, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller

* A Cook County judge ruled the other day that US Rep. Judy Biggert’s Republican primary foe Jack Cunningham should be returned to the ballot after being kicked off by the Board of Elections. Biggert’s allies are appealing, but the incumbent’s latest poll shows she has pretty much nothing to worry about. From a polling memo written by Linda DiVall and David Kanevsky at American Viewpoint, Inc.

The following outlines the key findings from a survey of likely GOP primary voters commissioned by the Judy Biggert for Congress campaign. Interviews were conducted February 26-27, 2012. The margin of error for the entire sample (n=300 likely GOP primary voters) is +5.66% at the 95% confidence level. The margin of error among sub-groups is greater.

Judy Biggert leads the primary by over fifty points.

    • Judy Biggert leads Jack Cunningham 69%-18%, with 13% undecided, including 44% who would definitely vote for the Congresswoman. Biggert leads across the district and with all ideological and demographic groups.


Judy Biggert has some of the best ratings we’ve seen for a Republican incumbent.

    • Congresswoman Biggert has incredibly strong ratings with very low negatives, both on her image (73% favorable – 12% unfavorable) and job approval (69% approve – 16% disapprove). Additionally, Biggert has a solid re-elect rating of 58%. Nowadays a lot of incumbents manage to win re-election with re-elect scores under 50% or 45%, but it’s tough to beat an incumbent who is well over 50% on the re-elect.

* In other news, Republican Congressman Bobby Schilling decided to lay off constituent service workers in favor of spending more money on congressional mailers

New figures released Wednesday in the U.S. House of Representatives Clerk’s Quarterly Statement of Disbursements showed the overall cost cuts were even deeper than Schilling’s staff disclosed in Sunday’s story. Schilling slashed personnel and salaries to trim his office expenses 16.7 percent less in his first year than former Rep. Phil Hare spent in his last. Cuts like that are big news. For that, taxpayers may say, “thanks.”

To achieve those savings, Schilling chose to hire fewer district staff and pay them less than his predecessors or contemporaries. For that, some taxpayers may say, “thanks.” Others might wonder whether the discrepancy is worth it.

Schilling achieved these savings while spending significantly more on constituent mailings. He spent $316,180 on mailing in his first year in office, about twice as much as Hare spent over four years.

That’s news, too. Some taxpayers might appreciate the new congressman’s more frequent communication. Others might wonder why the congressman cut salaries for constituent services, while ramping up the mailings to unprecedented levels.

The cynical way to look at this is to say that maybe Hare should’ve spent more government money on mailers and he might’ve held onto his seat.

* This is one of the first times I’ve seen Republican Joe Walsh actually lash out at either one of his potential general election challengers. From a campaign e-mail…

Congressman Walsh: “We’re Still Wondering Where Tammy Stands on the Budget”

Raja’s response came in and he supports the President’s budget. Clearly, I do not. But, despite our distinct disagreements, I respect Raja for making his position clear to the people of the 8th District.

The question remains, what does Tammy think? Her press machine has been in overdrive promoting her recent endorsement by Mayor Emanuel but eerily silent on the major question of whether or not she endorses the President’s budget. Unfortunately, the media have not asked her opinion on the matter despite affording her plenty of coverage on Rahm’s endorsement. Why is it that Tammy hasn’t taken a position and how come the media hasn’t asked her?

* Related…

* Beavers: ‘I’ll give everybody a story’ after 3 p.m. arraignment

* Emanuel Endorses Mitchell In 26th District Race

* ACU Ranks Manzullo #1 Conservative Illinois Member of Congress

* How To Vote By Mail (Video)

* Sheyman Raises $200,000 Since Jan. 1

* Dorothy Brown tries to fend off Rick Munoz in bitter Cook County Circuit Court Clerk race

* Mudslinging Continues To Heat Up Court Clerk’s Race

* Edgar endorses Smithburg

* 10th District Dems To Hold Political Convention This Weekend

* Congressional candidates speak at forum

* 7 Mixed Martial Arts Fighters Suing Cook County Board of Review Candidate

* CAMPAIGN AD: Kent Gaffney. The Numbers Guy.

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