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Poll: 44 percent of Illinoisans are loser-lovers

Thursday, Apr 8, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Public Policy Polling has released more results from their recent statewide survey. Here’s one that’ll surely get some tongues wagging…

Would you say you are a Chicago Cubs fan, Chicago White Sox fan, or St. Louis Cardinals fan?

44% Cubs
19% White Sox
22% Cardinals
16% Not a fan of any

The Flubs always win popularity contests. Too bad they can’t win actual ballgames.

Here’s the breakout along partisan lines…

* In less important news, opinions aren’t really set yet over whether the state should eliminate the office of lt. governor…

Do you think Illinois should eliminate the office of Lieutenant Governor?

39% Yes
37% No
24% Not Sure

* PPP also asked questions about corruption. One was whether Illinois has the most corrupt politicians in the country

57% of Illinois voters express that sentiment to 24% who disagree and 19% who are unsure. Republicans are the most solid in that belief, holding it by an 82/9 margin. But a majority of independents (53/27) and a plurality of Democrats (43/32) do as well.

And then there’s this

Perhaps the greatest indicator that Illinois is unusually corrupt is that fewer than half of voters in the state think Rod Blagojevich is the most corrupt Governor of the last half century. 42% of voters say he is followed by 29% for George Ryan, a total of 6% for older Governors Otto Kerner and Daniel Walker, and 22% who aren’t sure.

As you might expect opinions about who’s been most corrupt see a division along party lines- Democrats say it’s Ryan while Republicans say it’s Blagojevich.

Here’s the partisan breakdown…

* It’s no surprise that Attorney General Lisa Madigan is popular. It is a bit of a surprise that her favorables are under 50. However, as we’ve seen with other PPP polls, their favorable/approval ratings lag behind others…

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Lisa Madigan?

49% Favorable
23% Unfavorable
28% Not Sure

64 percent of Democrats, 28 percent of Republicans and 49 percent of independents/others have a favorable opinion of the AG.

…Adding… Go Sox.

  49 Comments      


Rasmussen: Brady leads Quinn 45-38

Thursday, Apr 8, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Another day, another bad news poll for Gov. Pat Quinn. Today’s result is from Rasmussen. Its early March results are in parentheses, preceded by yesterday’s Public Policy Polling results…

Bill Brady 45% (43%, 47%)
Pat Quinn 38% (33%, 37%)
Some Other Candidate 6% (N/A, 7%)
Not sure 9% (24%, 10%)

From the pollster

Both candidates barely eked out victories in hard-fought party nomination battles. But Brady can already claim support from 78% of his GOP base, while Quinn attracts only 64% of Democrats… Voters not affiliated with either of the parties prefer Brady to Quinn by better than three-to-one.

* From the toplines

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

38% Strongly approve
20% Somewhat approve (Total: 58%)
6% Somewhat disapprove
35% Strongly disapprove (Total: 41%)
1% Not sure

How would you rate the job Pat Quinn has been doing as Governor… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

9% Strongly approve
34% Somewhat approve (Total: 43%)
23% Somewhat disapprove
33% Strongly disapprove (Total: 56%)
2% Not sure

That’s a much higher approval rating for Quinn than PPP’s 25 percent. The difference may be due to Rasmussen offering intensity choices, while PPP just offered straight up approve/disapprove choices.

* Favorables

Quinn is viewed very favorably by 13% of Illinois voters, while 28% view him very unfavorably. Just five percent (5%) have no opinion of the governor.

Nineteen percent (19%) have a very favorable view of Brady, and nearly as many (15%) regard him very unfavorably. But nearly one-out-of-five voters (18%) don’t know enough about him to have any kind of opinion.

At this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with strong opinions more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers.

* Other questions

Some people believe a federal law requiring every American to buy or obtain health insurance is unconstitutional. Some states have announced that they will sue the federal government to fight that requirement. Would you favor or oppose having your state sue the federal government to prevent it from becoming law?
40% Favor
47% Oppose
13% Not sure

Generally speaking, how would you rate the U.S. economy these days? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?
1% Excellent
8% Good
40% Fair
50% Poor
1% Not sure

Are economic conditions in the country getting better or worse?
36% Better
33% Worse
24% Staying the same
7% Not sure

Rasmussen puts the “should the state sue the federal government to overturn health care law” question into a national context

Just 40% of Illinois voters think the state should sue the federal government, while 47% oppose the idea.

Nationally, 49% of voters favor their states suing the federal government over that requirement in the health care plan. Thirty-even percent (37%) oppose such a suit.

Methodology…

Illinois Survey of 500 Likely Voters Conducted April 5, 2010. Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

Thoughts?

  28 Comments      


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Thursday, Apr 8, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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