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*** Comments opened *** Attack on Rauner begins with wordy, 12-page mailer

Saturday, Feb 8, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sun-Times

A “shock and awe” anti-Bruce Rauner campaign that is promising to turn the tide in the gubernatorial primary has officially launched with a full color, 12-page, tabloid-styled pamphlet hitting half a million Illinois Republican households beginning Saturday.

Laid out in an oversized, 11-by-17 format, the ad is an extensive trashing of the Republican front-runner in the four-way GOP primary, attacking Rauner’s support for abortion rights and calling Rauner’s wife “radically pro-abortion.”

Calling the wealthy venture capitalist “the insider’s insider,” the ad trots out Rauner’s weaknesses — from his ties to Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel, to his hundreds of thousands of dollars in donations to Democrats to his flip-flopping on the minimum wage to clouting his daughter into a Chicago public high school.

“This is the opening salvo to what is going to be a shock and awe campaign,” Steven Shearer told the Sun-Times on Friday.

The very long, wordy mailer is here.

* From an e-mail from Steve Shearer, who sent me the mailer last night…

These tabloids are a signature piece of campaigns I run. Over the years I’ve done these in 48 races. 45 of those candidates have won… There was a possibility of some people receiving in the mail tomorrow but more likely on Monday.

This is, indeed, a signature piece for Shearer and this sort of thing has been effective in the past.

But, man, is it ever long and wordy. And it ain’t on TV.

So, “shock and awe”? When it hits TV, maybe. And “promising to turn the tide”? We’ll see.

  90 Comments      


Reader comments closed for the weekend

Friday, Feb 7, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My favorite song from the first record I ever owned. Check out Ringo’s expertly swinging hi-hat work and the way he joyously kicks that bass drum hard leading into the chorus, Paul playing the first integral bass guitar chords in rock ‘n roll history and John’s oh so smokey voice. Awesome stuff

The words you long to hear

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*** UPDATED x1 *** Just a hiccup?

Friday, Feb 7, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Dan Rutherford’s running mate Steve Kim was asked by the Daily Herald about the allegations against his boss

Kim called the Rutherford allegations a “hiccup.”

“I think our base is more energized than ever before,” Kim said.

*** UPDATE *** I told subscribers about this earlier today

This week, employees in Rutherford’s office were submitting to interviews for the internal review.

“They’re being pretty frank about it,” one source with knowledge of the interviews said. “They’re scared about it but they’re doing it.”

This doesn’t look like it’s gonna end well for anybody involved.

  32 Comments      


While the GOP candidates duke it out, Quinn spreads good news

Friday, Feb 7, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This is just from the past two hours in my Bing News feed

* New Health Tech Incubator to Open in Chicago

* Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn to host Mexico officials to promote trade and culture

* Quinn announces Barrington Rd. interchange funding

* Gov. Quinn giving $14.5 million to fix up Triton College building

* $68 million improvement project planned for I-90 and Barrington Road

Discuss.

  20 Comments      


Question of the day

Friday, Feb 7, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* As we discussed last week, longtime Statehouse lobbyist Dick Lockhart’s 90th birthday party was this past Wednesday.

One of the most popular speeches of the night was delivered by Bob Myers, of the Associated Beer Distributors of Illinois. Most of Bob’s speech was him reading from “Lockhart’s Logic,” a list of do’s and don’ts for lobbyists honed by Lockhart over the centuries. Here’s Bob reading the list

* If you can’t watch videos at work, here are some of the rules…

“Credibility is a non-renewable resource. Once gone, it is gone.”

“A legislator and his ego are never parted.”

“If you can’t defeat a bill, dilute it. If you can’t dilute it, delay it.”

“It is better to be the key to a locked door than it is to try to beat the door down.”

“Fear and/or greed generate most legislation.”

“Everything is temporary.”

“Necessity is the mother of strange bedfellows.”

“Coalitions are temporary love affairs, seldom consummated or even blissful, and they frequently lead to seductions by clever suitors.”

“No bill should be called before its time.”

“Legislation is not only the art of compromise, compromise is also an art.”

“Say ‘Thank you’ often, and mean it.”

* The Question: Can you think of any other do’s and don’ts not covered here?

  34 Comments      


And then everything changed

Friday, Feb 7, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Fifty years ago today

  19 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** No Democratic gubernatorial debates

Friday, Feb 7, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* No surprise at all

Gov. Pat Quinn won’t debate his lone Democratic challenger ahead of next month’s primary.

Activist Tio Hardiman wrote Quinn a letter requesting debates ahead of March 18, saying the public “deserves a serious debate.”

Quinn campaign spokeswoman Leslie Wertheimer said Friday she hadn’t seen the letter but no debates were to “take place.”

Politically, I guess I can’t blame Quinn. But, I’d really like to see a debate between those two.

*** UPDATE *** The News-Gazette is upset at Congressman Rodney Davis for not debating his Republican primary opponent

The local League of Women Voters is holding a forum for Democratic and Republican congressional candidates on Feb. 20 at the Champaign City Building. It starts at 7 p.m. Five of the six Democratic and Republican candidates are expected to be there.

Davis won’t be because he lacks sufficient respect for his opponent and the public to show up.

  29 Comments      


Quinn: Illinois has eleven athletes at Winter Olympics

Friday, Feb 7, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From a Gov. Pat Quinn press release…

There are 10 Blackhawks hitting the ice in Sochi, playing for five different nations, including Patrick Kane on Team USA. Kane was part of the silver medal-winning 2010 Team USA. Blackhawks fans can also watch Jonathan Towes, Duncan Keith and Patrick Sharp on Team Canada; Niklas Hjalmarsson, Marcus Kruger and Johnny Oduya on Team Sweden; Marian Hossa and Michal Handzus on Team Slovakia; and Michael Rozsival on Team Czech Republic. Toews, Keith, Oduya, Kane, Hossa, and Handzus have played in previous Olympic Games for their respective countries.

Eleven Illinois athletes are in Sochi as part of the U.S. Olympic Team. Illinois’ Team USA athletes include both past Olympic medalists and those competing at the Olympics for the first time. The Illinois Olympic athletes are:

    Megan Bozek, hockey, age 22 (Buffalo Grove): Megan attended the University of Minnesota. She is a member of the U.S. women’s national ice hockey team. This is her first Olympics.

    Jason Brown, figure skating, age 19 (Highland Park): Jason is a student at the University of Colorado, Colorado Springs. He has won medals in both national and world championships. This is his first Olympics.

    Kendall Coyne, hockey, age 21 (Palos Heights): Kendall attends Northeastern University in Boston. She is a member of the U.S. women’s national ice hockey team. This is her first Olympics.

    Shani Davis, speed skating, age 31 (Chicago): Raised on Chicago’s south side, this will be Shani’s third Olympic Games. He is a two time Olympic Gold Medalist (2006, 2010) as well as a two time Olympic Silver Medalist (2006, 2010).

    Aja Evans, bobsled, age 25 (Chicago): Aja competed in track and field as a college athlete at the University of Illinois. She is part of an athletic family which includes her father, the first black national collegiate champion in swimming; her brother, a Minnesota Vikings player; and her uncle, former Cubs star Gary Matthews. This is her first Olympics.

    Gracie Gold, figure skating, age 18 (Chatham): Gracie is the 2014 U.S. national champion. She has a fraternal twin sister who is also a competitive figure skater. This is her first Olympics.

    Brian Hansen, speed skating, age 23 (Glenview): Brian won a silver medal as part of the team pursuit at his first Olympic games in 2010. He currently attends Marquette University.

    Jonathan Kuck, speed skating, age 23 (Champaign): Jonathan is a physics major at the University of Illinois. He won his first silver medal in the team pursuit at the 2010 Olympic Games.

    Emery Lehman, speed skating, age 17 (Oak Park): Emery is a senior at Oak Park and River Forest High School. He took up speed skating at age nine in an effort to improve his ice hockey skills. This is his first Olympics.

    Patrick Meek, speed skating, age 28 (Northbrook): Patrick is an alumnus of the University of Utah. He comes from a family of avid speed skaters which includes his sister, father and grandfather. Meek participated in the 2006 and 2010 Olympic Trials and qualified for his first Olympics this past December. This is his first Olympics.

    Ann Swisshelm, curling, 45 (Chicago): Ann competed at her first Olympic Games in 2002 and is a national and world curling champion. Ann began curling at age 10 and is a graduate of Drake University.

Eleven seems kinda light to me.

Learn more here.

…Adding… The Senate Democrats have more here.

  36 Comments      


Today’s quote

Friday, Feb 7, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Republican House candidate Landon Laubhan of Springfield

“If you can’t trust a teacher to carry a concealed weapon and protect students, who can you really trust?” he said. “I’ll put a teacher with a gun up against a bad man with a gun any day.”

Laubhan said he is fully confident that law enforcement will be able to screen out people who should not be able to carry concealed guns. He isn’t a gun owner, he said, but “I don’t have to own a gun in order to love the Second Amendment.”

I can think of a few teachers in my own past who I wouldn’t trust with a concealed gun in class.

And he’s not a gun owner? Curious.

  85 Comments      


Nukes versus wind and an upcoming power play

Friday, Feb 7, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From Crain’s

The clock is now ticking for Exelon Corp.’s Clinton and Quad Cities nuclear power plants.

CEO Chris Crane said the company would have to decide by year-end on whether to shutter nuclear facilities that currently are losing money due to persistently low wholesale power prices. Analysts have identified the downstate Clinton plant and Quad Cities as the two in Illinois that fit this description. […]

A number of state politicians, including Senate Energy Committee Chairman Mike Jacobs, D-East Moline, who represents the district including Quad Cities, would want at least to explore ways to keep open the plants, each of which employ hundreds of union workers and contribute millions each year in local taxes.

Mr. Crane has been a vocal critic of state and federal subsidies to wind farms that are competing with Exelon’s plants. Tax credits enable wind farms in areas of the country that have a surplus of power, like Illinois, to run profitably even when wholesale prices are zero.

Those two possible plant closures would, indeed, be a major blow to the respective regional economies.

* Exelon wants to make its decision by year’s end, and the threat of closure could prompt legislative action

If lawmakers entice the company to enter into negotiations on what it would take to keep the plants open, given the deadline Mr. Crane laid down on closure decisions, a bill would have to be acted on in the legislative veto session that takes place in November.

That two-week session would be a challenging venue for acting on such a request, which inevitably would be highly controversial and would open the door to requests from every energy-related interest group.

No kidding.

  27 Comments      


Today’s numbers are grim

Friday, Feb 7, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the Decatur Herald & Review

Decatur has the second fastest-shrinking economy in the United States, according to a study by the U.S. Conference of Mayors.

The study shows that Decatur had a decline in what is called Gross Metro Product of 4.8 percent in 2013. Gross Metro Product is similar to the gross domestic product, although measured on a city level. At any rate, a decline of nearly 5 percent isn’t good.

The news isn’t predicted to get much better in 2014. The study projected that the GMP would improve by only .8 percent in Decatur.

The employment statistics aren’t really news to folks in Decatur, although some might be surprised to learn that the 4.2 percent drop in employment was the worst in the nation.

There are some bright spots in the future. The “Midwest Inland Port” project ought to boost employment.

But Decatur also needs to try and stop its young people from leaving. Jobs are hugely important, of course, but, as with far too many small cities, there’s just not much of anything going on in that town and no apparent effort by city leaders to get anything going. Decatur used to have a thriving local music scene, for instance. No more. A couple of years ago, I was heading to Decatur and asked a local political leader if he could recommend a good restaurant. He couldn’t.

Making the city more livable won’t cure all its problems, but, hey, why not at least try anyway?

  38 Comments      


Dillard’s nuanced tax stance

Friday, Feb 7, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Most folks in the media have so far interpreted Sen. Kirk Dillard’s views on the “temporary” income tax hike as far less nuanced than it actually is. For instance, this is from Dillard’s campaign website

“I did not vote for that bill (increasing the tax from 3 to 5 percent), which was brought up in the middle of the night on the last day. The Democrats said they were going to use the funds to pay off old bills. That didn’t happen.”

We should roll back the income tax.”

If elected, would appoint a blue ribbon committee of business leaders, farmers and taxpayer advocates to rewrite the Illinois tax code, which he calls archaic. Would have very few politicians on the committee.

Does not take “no new taxes” pledges because he wants to keep his options open, but opposes the planned progressive income tax, “which would be nothing but a massive tax increase.” [Emphasis added.]

* Ben Yount reported Dillard saying this last July

Kirk Dillard is flying around Illinois, announcing his run for governor by loudly proclaiming that he will not raise taxes if elected.

But the suburban Republican state senator is admitting quietly that he may not roll back Illinois’ 67-percent income tax increase from 2011.

“I said I’m not going to sign an increase in the income tax,” Dillard explained Monday at his campaign stop in Decatur. “Everything is going to be on the table.”

* From last November

“The Senate Republican caucus has a plan that shows you how you phase out that tax. It lays out a menu of options,” [Dillard] said.

* This week

Republican gubernatorial candidate Sen. Kirk Dillard on Thursday held out the option of a short-term extension of the temporary income tax hike as he works for an overhaul of the state’s tax structure.

Speaking to The State Journal-Register editorial board, Dillard made it clear he wants the tax hike to expire and pledged it would during his term as governor if elected.

However, with the bulk of the tax set to expire at the end of the year and no clear indication of what lawmakers will do about it, Dillard said a short-term extension might be an option.

“You could do something on a temporary basis while you wait for the (tax overhaul report),” Dillard said. “You can let it go and see how big your budget hole gets, or you can keep it for another six months.”

* And, of course, he also said earlier in the week

Dillard also left the door open for the potential broaden the sales tax [to include services]. “Everything needs to be looked at,” said Dillard

Discuss.

  24 Comments      


Caption contest!

Friday, Feb 7, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel poses with Democratic state treasurer candidate Sen. Mike Frerichs…

  104 Comments      


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Friday, Feb 7, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Friday, Feb 7, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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ISP makes big drug bust

Thursday, Feb 6, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Not to make light of this at all or encourage such behavior whatsoever, but somebody once told me that you should never break more than one law at a time to reduce your chance of being caught. Prolly good advice. From a press release…

Illinois State Police (ISP) officials today announced the seizure of more than 62 pounds of cocaine and heroin. The large load of narcotics was uncovered during a traffic stop stemming from a speeding violation.

On Sunday, February 2, 2014, at approximately 12:42 a.m., an ISP District 17 trooper observed a black 2014 Ford Explorer that was speeding eastbound on I-80 near milepost 72. The vehicle was stopped and during the traffic stop, the trooper detected an odor of burnt cannabis while speaking to the driver of the vehicle, Patrick S. Romolt, 41, of Arizona. A subsequent search of the vehicle yielded a small amount of cannabis and two duffle bags containing over 62 pounds of a suspected substance that later tested positive for both cocaine and heroin.

“Criminal organizations will go to any extent to transport narcotics across interstate lines and it’s up to law enforcement to try to stay one step ahead of them at all times,” said ISP District 17 Captain Robert Atherton. “This seizure underscores our unwavering commitment to the dismantling of these illegal criminal enterprises that can lead to violence and fatalities,” Atherton added.

Following the discovery of the illegal drugs, agents from the ISP Zone 3 Criminal Patrol (CRIMPAT) Unit, Will County Cooperative Police Assistance Team (CPAT), Joliet Metropolitan Area Narcotics Squad (MANS), Kankakee Area Metropolitan Enforcement Group (KAMEG) and the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) responded and assisted in the investigation.

Romolt was charged federally with Possession of more than 5 kilos of Cocaine with Intent to Distribute. A second occupant of the vehicle was released without being charged.

  24 Comments      


Getting a little better

Thursday, Feb 6, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Bloomberg

Illinois paid a 26 percent smaller yield penalty to issue $1 billion of general-obligation bonds, a sign investors are rewarding lawmakers for passing a bill to mend the worst-funded state pension system.

The sale included debt maturing in February 2024 that was priced to yield 3.81 percent, down from an initial 3.87 percent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The interest rate is 1.13 percentage points above benchmark 10-year municipal bonds.

* From the governor’s budget office…

The state received $5.5 billion in orders for the $1 billion offer from 109 individual investors, including six life insurance companies which are highly selective investors. The average interest cost (TIC) was 4.46%, compared to an average interest cost (TIC) of 5.05% the state achieved for a $1.3 billion bond offer in June, prior to the passage of the pension reform legislation.

The average interest cost on Thursday’s sale ran about 50 basis points – or half a percent — better than the spread from the 10-year MMD June sale.

The sale was so over-subscribed that the final amount of bonds sold was actually $1,025,000,000.

“We are gratified by the support investors have shown in the state and in the steps we have taken to stabilize Illinois’ finances, most notably the passage of the comprehensive pension reform plan,” said Illinois Director of Capital Markets John Sinsheimer.

  14 Comments      


Illinois’ Report Card Grade Shows Emergency Care Environment in Critical Need of Improvement

Thursday, Feb 6, 2014 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement.]

A new state-by-state report card evaluating America’s support for emergency care has been released, and the results for Illinois are dire: Illinois is ranked 45th in the nation with a grade of D.

This ranking is a striking decline from the 27th place and grade C Illinois received in 2009. The message is clear: Without action, the emergency care environment in Illinois continues to worsen — threatening access to life-saving care for the citizens of Illinois.

Review the complete results of “America’s Emergency Care Environment, A State-by-State Report Card – 2014” produced by the American College of Emergency Physicians online at emreportcard.org.

Emergency care is the safety net of the health care system, and state support is key to maintaining this safety net. The 2014 Report Card shows the lack of support and limited resources in Illinois have stretched it to breaking point. Without significant changes, access to care for Illinois citizens is threatened. Don’t let the safety net break: Support medical liability reform and disaster relief funding to keep emergency departments open and resources available when you need them most.

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Dillard placing new ads on social media

Thursday, Feb 6, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sen. Kirk Dillard’s campaign has no money for TV ads, so they’re buying social media ads. From a press release…

Republican candidate for Illinois Governor Kirk Dillard today launched a new digital strategy with a series of online ads that will target key voting groups ahead of the March Illinois Primary. The first ads being placed on social media sites and search engines will focus on opponent Bruce Rauner.

“We’re heavily invested in a digital strategy that will drill down to the precise voting demographic that we need to reach,” Dillard-Tracy Campaign Manager Glenn Hodas said. “In the case of these first few ads, people will see a much different picture of Bruce Rauner than the heavily sanitized version he’s presenting of himself.”

The ads will be placed on Facebook and Twitter as well as YouTube, Google and other display ad networks. Using demographic data points of likley primary voters that the campaign has compiled, these ads will be targeted at the individual level.

“This is an extremely effective way to reach voters who are actually looking for information about the campaign,” Hodas said. “We believe these ads along with our targeted email strategy will help get our message across in this very competitive Primary.”

Among the messages conveyed in the new ads is one that says Rauner is spending millions of dollars on TV ads to get Republican voters to forget: “…Forget the small fortune he gave Mike Madigan to defeat Republicans…forget he bent the rules to get his kid into an exclusive school…forget his ties to a convicted influence peddler…forget he helped Rahm Emanuel…and he’s betting you’ll forget when he ducks tough questions.”

The video concludes with, “Republican voters, don’t forget the real Bruce Rauner.”

“We know we can’t match Rauner on television,” Hodas said. “But, we know that with this efficient digital strategy, we don’t have to. We expect these ads and the videos to reach tens of thousands of likely Primary voters across Illinois.

* Let’s have a look at these ads, two of which have a liberal bent, if you ask me.

* Daddy Warbucks

* Don’t Forget

* Bad Credit

  78 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Question of the day

Thursday, Feb 6, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE *** Sun-Times

The employee behind allegations leveled against Illinois Treasurer Dan Rutherford said his attorney is preparing to file a lawsuit early next week.

The attorney, Christine Svenson, previously said she intended to file something on Friday. […]

Meanwhile, the Sun-Times has learned that the employee, who is an attorney, has just accepted a position with Cook County Recorder of Deeds as a labor counsel.

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* Dan Rutherford speaks about the allegations against him and his inability to respond

“It makes it very difficult because I cannot mention the name of the accuser or the allegations,” Rutherford said. “I’m following the appropriate legal proceedings, and I am precluded from discussing anything about the accuser or the allegations. It makes for a very complicated moment for me right before the election.”

* Sen. Kirk Dillard and Sen. Bill Brady also talked about the allegations

Two of Illinois Treasurer Dan Rutherford’s Republican primary opponents for governor both used the word “bizarre” to describe a drama first brought to light by Rutherford himself that features an anonymous person making unspecified accusations against him. […]

Another of the candidates, state Sen. Kirk Dillard of Hinsdale, said Wednesday that while anonymity can be important while an accuser’s allegations are investigated, it makes this case “more bizarre.” The treasurer’s office employee’s attorney has talked on the radio about some of the allegations while the accuser has gone unnamed.

“Normally we respect anonymity, but in this case the accuser is talking to media and apparently wants to be anonymous with a small ‘a,’” Dillard said. […]

“Obviously, the whole thing is bizarre,” said candidate for governor and state Sen. Bill Brady of Bloomington, adding that both Rutherford and the accuser have a right to a fair shake.

“The sooner this gets out, the fairer it is to everyone,” Brady said.

* NBC 5 ran a story about the accuser’s explosive resignation letter last night and included this piece of info

The employee’s name has not been revealed, however NBC 5 Investigates has discovered the employee’s wife filed for divorce in recent years and together they filed for bankruptcy.

* I’ve already said that I’m not at all comfortable with the way this story is playing out. Rutherford started the weirdness with his aggressive allegations at a press conference last Friday claiming that his accuser was essentially running an illegal, politically-motivated shakedown scheme.

Rutherford is claiming to be a political victim here, but we may very well have a real victim (or victims) on our hands and I do not feel at ease with outing anybody at this specific moment in time.

Some commenters have pointed to how the media was used by partisans to drag Anita Hill out of the shadows after she privately accused Clarence Thomas of sexual harassment. For one, this ain’t DC. I absolutely hate that town. And, anyway, that’s hardly a reasonable precedent, to say the least.

Some commenters clearly want the accuser’s name out there so they can pick him apart. I’m not willing to immediately succumb to that bloodlust.

* But is keeping the accuser’s name out of the media fair to Rutherford? Nope. But, hey, sometimes life just ain’t fair.

I’m not the least bit willing to put my decision to a vote, but I am curious about your opinion, so…

* The Question: Should the Illinois media publish the name of Dan Rutherford’s accuser now? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please.


polls & surveys

  69 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Brady calls his remarks “insensitive”

Thursday, Feb 6, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This seems like a pretty good walk-back

State Sen. Bill Brady, a Republican candidate for governor, said Wednesday his comments about some people not wanting to return to manufacturing jobs because they were enjoying their unemployment insurance were insensitive.

“I think it was insensitive that I didn’t take into consideration there are a number of people out there looking for jobs who don’t want to be on unemployment,” Brady, of Bloomington, told the editorial board of The State Journal-Register. […]

At a forum Tuesday in Naperville, Brady said that the “No. 1 issue I run into when I travel around to manufacturing plants particularly” is that employers say, “‘I can’t hire my people back.’ They say, ‘They’re enjoying … their unemployment insurance,’” Chicago-based public radio station WBEZ-FM reported. “So we’ve got to motivate people to get back into the workforce.” […]

Brady said Wednesday that he was “talking to a group of manufacturers, some of which in the group had said this to me along different travels in the state.”

“We need to take care of people who are dealing with the difficulty of job displacement and help them get onto a path, but we have to make sure they continue to be motivated to find gainful employment,” he said.

The average unemployment benefit is $300 a week.

*** UPDATE *** Eric Zorn asked Illinois Manufacturer’s Association COO Mark Denzler about this

Senator Brady was correct that the Illinois’ Average Weekly Wage is 9th highest in the nation. According to the US Department of Labor (first quarter, 2012), Illinois’ AWW was $322.44. In comparison, other states are Wisconsin at $277.80 (31st), Missouri at $239.21 (43rd), and Indiana at $302.60 (21st). Hawaii is the top at $424.61.

Additionally, he was correct in noting that Illinois’ duration of benefits at 18.8 weeks is the 9th highest in the country. Other states are Indiana at 14.4 weeks (44th), Wisconsin at 16 weeks (27th), and Missouri at 16.5 weeks (24th). Delaware is the top at 21.7 weeks.

We do hear from manufacturers that they have a hard time finding employees and some have noted problems with UI. With extended UI benefits, some workers choose to delay the start of a job search which limits the pool of applicants. For example, if a worker is eligible for 26 weeks of unemployment, they may wait until week 16 or 18 to begin a job search rather than looking immediately.

I personally know of an individual (acquaintance) in Decatur who has turned down three separate manufacturing jobs in the last three months. He lost his job and has been called for manufacturing jobs that pay $13-15 per hour. I was with him on one occasion when he got the call from the temp agency. He indicated that after taxes, paying the cost of fuel (job was 20 miles away), and working the 2nd shift, he would rather stay on unemployment because it was essentially a wash.

  56 Comments      


Very little fire behind the smoke

Thursday, Feb 6, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Tribune has a long and involved story about a Bill Brady family investment

State Sen. Bill Brady voted in November for tax subsidies that helped revive his family’s struggling real estate investment in a central Illinois town, raising issues of potential conflict of interest as Brady seeks the Republican nomination for governor.

A developer building an assisted-living complex in Gibson City said the subsidies are crucial to making the project work. And he paid Brady’s family a premium for the land he needed, just a few months before the senator’s vote.

Illinois law allows lawmakers to vote on matters that could benefit their private interests, requiring only that they consider whether to abstain. Brady says he saw no conflict of interest in his Nov. 7 vote because his mother, a real estate agent, owned the land at the time.

“I had an interest, but I don’t have an interest now,” Brady told the Tribune recently when asked about his vote. But the assisted-living developer told the newspaper he dealt only with Bill Brady when he bought the land.

Nancy K. Brady had acquired the property after the business run by her sons could not develop the land and turned it over to the bank that lent them the money.

* The trouble with this story is that the reporters relied on the appearance of impropriety, but didn’t talk to any of the bill’s actual sponsors to see how this played out at the Statehouse.

The proposal was originally sponsored in the House last August by Rep. Josh Harms (R-Watseka), who represents Gibson City, where the TIF district is located.

Rep. Harms told me he never once heard about the Brady family involvement in that TIF and never spoke to Sen. Brady about the legislation. The town’s mayor asked him to sponsor the bill, which extended the TIF district’s life. The mayor wants to build the first assistive living center in Ford County, so it’s kind of a big deal locally.

* In November, the House rolled several TIF district extension proposals into one bill, which was co-sponsored by Rep. Harms. Sen. Napoleon Harris was the chief Senate sponsor. Sen. Harris said today that he never talked to Brady about the bill.

The hyphenated co-sponsor of the Senate bill is Sen. Jason Barickman, who, like Rep. Harms, represents Gibson City. Barickman was the Brady family attorney for several years, so he was naturally aware of the family’s interest in that land.

But, Barickman said that Gibson City’s mayor asked him to pass the TIF extension bill. Barickman said that at no time did Brady ever say he needed this bill to benefit his family, or words to that effect. He said either Sen. Harris or a Senate staffer told him “that his bill was going to move and I had an opportunity to attach Gibson City to it.”

Sen. Brady voted for the bill, but it passed the Senate unanimously.

I agree he should’ve voted “Present,” but there’s no state law requiring that.

  17 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY: Tracking poll results

Thursday, Feb 6, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Fun with numbers

Thursday, Feb 6, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Lee Newspapers

Adam Pollet, director of the Illinois Department of Commerce and Economic Opportunity, said statistics show Illinois did not lose jobs in 2012, which has become a key argument among GOP lawmakers and Republican candidates for governor heading into the 2014 elections.

“We are a net importer of jobs,” Pollet told members of the House Revenue Committee. “We gained 1,400 jobs from business relocation in 2012. Since May 2013, we have led the Midwest in the number of jobs created. We are not losing jobs in Illinois.”

“This narrative that businesses are leaving the state is just not factually true,” Pollett said. […]

According to a report cited by Pollet, 283 businesses moved out of Illinois in 2012, while 275 businesses moved into the state. But, the new businesses had more jobs than the ones that moved elsewhere.

Look, I hate this goofy “death spiral” rhetoric more than just about anyone.

But, c’mon, man. Businesses are leaving the state. Pollet’s own numbers clearly show that. We may be a “net importer,” but we’re most certainly losing a lot of businesses.

  30 Comments      


Quote of the day

Thursday, Feb 6, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Billionaire investor Sam Zell talks to Crain’s

Zell also said venture capital pioneer Tom Perkins was right in claims made last month that wealthy Americans are being unfairly targeted by critics. Perkins, who drew controversy for comparing treatment of the very rich to the persecution of Jews in Nazi Germany, has apologized for that analogy, though he stood by his message about income inequality.

While Zell said “persecution” isn’t the right way to describe treatment of the top 1 percent of earners, he sees envy of the rich and class warfare as growing problems in America, blaming government regulations for a widening income gap.

“The 1 percent are getting pummeled because it’s politically convenient to do so,” Zell said. People “should not talk about envy of the 1 percent, they should talk about emulating the 1 percent. The 1 percent work harder, the 1 percent are much bigger factors in all forms of our society.”

  76 Comments      


Money reports

Thursday, Feb 6, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From a press release…

Warning: $200k of Mudslinging On the Way from DGA

CHICAGO – Last month, the Democratic Governors Association (DGA) funneled more than $103,500 into an attack PAC to be used against the Republicans running to replace Gov. Pat Quinn. Late yesterday, the DGA doubled down with an additional $96,500, bringing the total to $200,000 - so far.

According to Illinois Republican Party Chairman Jack Dorgan, the DGA should focus more on dismal job that Pat Quinn is doing, rather than trying to mislead voters by sneaking around in the Republican primary.

“It’s no secret that the DGA is panicked about Pat Quinn’s re-election. They should be. He’s one of the most unpopular governors in the country, and his leadership has been a disaster for Illinois,” Dorgan said. “But the voters deserve better than $200,000 in DGA mudslinging during the Republican primary to replace him.”

The PAC he’s talking about is here.

And $200K ain’t much, if you ask me. They’re gonna need a lot more than that to do any damage to Bruce Rauner.

* Meanwhile, the Daily Herald looks at the money race in the Republican US Senate primary

Campaign finance reports filed Friday reflect Oberweis’ $500,000 donation to his own campaign, as well as $105,000 in contributions from others in the last three months of the year.

Truax raised about $107,000 in the same amount of time.

Truax did report raising $107K in the fourth quarter. However, you have to be extra careful when looking at federal candidate disclosure reports.

$18,200 in Truax contributions during the fourth quarter were specifically set aside for the general election. In the third quarter, the money Truax raised included $21,800 for the general election.

Truax reported having a little over $44K on hand at the end of the fourth quarter. But he can’t use $40,000 of that until after the primary ($18,200 plus $21,800).

So, the bottom line is that Truax had only about $4K on hand for the final push.

Yeesh.

* Also, it’s worth pointing out here that Jim Oberweis loaned himself a half million dollars. That means he may have to eventually approach PACs and others to help pay off his debt to himself.

This is common practice in campaigns.

Bruce Rauner, on the other hand, is breaking tradition and flat-out contributing money to his campaign. None of his bigtime contributions to himself are listed as loans. I asked the Rauner campaign about this the other day and this is the e-mailed reply…

He’s not planning on raising money to pay himself back. He’s asking other people to contribute to his campaign, so he believes he should do the same thing.

If you got it, you got it, I suppose.

  8 Comments      


The benefits of not selling cigarettes

Thursday, Feb 6, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Joe Cahill has an interesting insight into the decision by CVS to stop selling cigarettes at its pharmacies. He calls it a “smart strategic play.” Here’s why

CVS Caremark, which is based in Woonsocket, R.I., and Walgreen are working to position themselves as go-to partners for health care providers. But there’s a problem. Partnerships with drugstores require hospitals to get over their reservations about joining forces with purveyors of a chief cause of sickness and death. Cigarettes have been a drugstore staple for generations.

That just changed. Hospitals looking for a partner now can choose between a leading national chain that sells cigarettes and one that doesn’t. All other things being equal, I think hospitals will take the chain that doesn’t sell cigarettes.

CVS Caremark’s chief medical officer emphasized the strategic rationale in an interview yesterday with the Wall Street Journal. Troyen Brennan said cigarette sales often come up in discussions with potential hospital partners, adding, “They’re a little bit suspicious of us because we sell cigarettes.” Dropping smokes, he said, “gives us a competitive advantage because it shows our commitment to health care.” […]

President Barack Obama, U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius, the American Medical Association and the American Cancer Society all praised CVS yesterday, underscoring Walgreen’s growing isolation from the broader health care community on the issue. […]

Walgreen is in a tough spot. While it doesn’t break out sales numbers, cigarettes almost certainly mean more to the bottom line at Walgreen than they do at CVS Caremark, which also operates a large pharmacy benefit management business in addition to 7,600 drugstores.

Thoughts?

  37 Comments      


Rutherford: No deadline for internal probe

Thursday, Feb 6, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Lee Newspapers

As the clock ticks down on the March 18 Republican primary election, state Treasurer Dan Rutherford says there is no timeline for an independent investigator to finish a probe into misconduct allegations made by a former employee.

In an interview Wednesday, the Republican gubernatorial candidate told the Times’ Springfield Bureau that he hopes the investigation moves quickly so he — and voters — can fully concentrate on the final weeks of the four-way GOP primary race.

“We have instructed him to be expeditious but thorough,” Rutherford said.

I’m hearing maybe the middle of next week.

* And this is a hard dose of reality

Rutherford said the situation has not hurt his fundraising. He said he received more than $4,700 in unsolicited contributions at non-fundraising events in recent days.

“It’s made me even stronger,” Rutherford said. “I’ve gotten hundreds of emails saying … ‘keep up the fight, give ‘em hell, Dan.’”

By contrast, Rauner has reported receiving $350,000 in large donations since Friday.

$4,700 vs. $350,000. It’s been that way for months.

  56 Comments      


Rate Dan Rutherford’s first TV ad

Thursday, Feb 6, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* As we discussed yesterday, this is a “modest” buy airing Downstate

Dan Rutherford - Jobs (30 Second Commercial) from Dan Rutherford on Vimeo.

  47 Comments      


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