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WLS accuses Quinn of playing “terrorist card” - Hynes does Quinn robocall - Peraica, Tobolksi tangle - Giannoulias files FOIAs

Monday, Nov 1, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* WLS Radio claimed today that Gov. Pat Quinn “plays the terrorist card on election eve.” Here’s the quote they’re using

“I think we want to tell the terrorists that Democracy is alive and well in Illinois, the Land of Lincoln, government of the people. The best way for the people to speak is at the ballot box,” Quinn said.

The Quinn campaign’s response…

The Governor isn’t ‘playing’ any card. In response to Friday’s events, he’s also spoken about the necessity of people turning out to vote to preserve our robust democracy. Voting is all about making your voice heard. He’s being asked about it by reporters and by voters along the campaign trail.

It sounds to me like Quinn was asked about terrorism and responded. We’ll see. That’s a horrible headline on the day before the election, however.

* Speaking of Quinn, his vanquished primary opponent Dan Hynes did a robocall for the governor. According to the campaign, this is going out to Hynes’ primary supporters…

Download Link Hynes robo

* Roe Conn had Tony Peraica and his Democratic opponent McCook Mayor Jeff Tobolski on his show today to talk about Peraica’s Saturday night arrest. You can go to their site to listen or click the image below…

Download Link Peraica vs. Tobolski

It really heats up about half way through.

* The Alexi Giannoulias campaign just did something a bit different. It has begun sending Freedom of Information Act Requests to county clerks. Read the campaign’s Champaign County request by clicking here. I followed up with an e-mail to Champaign County Clerk Mark Shelden, asking him whether he’d ever seen something like this before. Here is Clerk Shelden’s response…

Never been done before in my 13 years.

A little more background. Section 302 of HAVA requires that provisionals be confidential. I believe that request is not legal.

The rest is very interesting. In a discovery recount, the requester can ask for these items for 25% of all precincts. I’ve often wondered what would happen should someone FOIA it. Now we’re finding out. A very strong argument can be made that the section of the election code regarding discovery recounts trumps FOIA.

None of the clerks are going to deal with this pre election. And I’m sure we’re all hoping, more than even before, that a 2-3 point win on either side makes the issue go away.

* The governor responds to this morning’s PPP poll which has him trailing by five points

.“I don’t interpret it very kindly. I know what our own polls show, and I think we’re surging. I’ve seen that, not just in our own poll, but three or four others. I think this past week, we’ve surged every day,” the governor told reporters this morning at Midway Airport.

* And a big, big roundup…

* US mid-term elections: A campaign in the shadow of terror

* Pantagraph: We recognize, but can’t define, career politicians

* Southtown Star: Nearly there: Get out and vote Tuesday

* Tribune: Time to deliver

* McCarron: Mighty glad this election cycle is over

* Economy, political ads may take toll at the polls

* Polling places must ensure voters’ rights

* Will Election Day be independents’ day?

* Experts expect turnout in Illinois below 50 percent

* Kadner: Dress up, shout and play let’s have an election

* Stock Up on Munchies for L-o-n-g Election Night

* Washington: Get ready for a long election night

* Krug: Fearless forecaster back for another swing

* Hinz: Election tea leaves, Rahm’s big new hires, and a 9th Congressional District foul

* Illinois pols make final pitch after a busy campaign weekend

* Candidates in Final Push for Votes Before Election Day

* Candidates looking for last-minute support

* Starting Lineup: The Calm Before The Storm

* US mid-term elections: A campaign in the shadow of terror

* Dems hope to limit losses in campaign’s last hours

* Candidates in Final Push for Votes Before Election Day

* Candidates look to scare up votes on Halloween

* Erickson: Will Election Day bring trick or treat to Illinois?

* Voters to vote twice for U.S. Senate

* Obama returns home to make final pitch to voters

* Obama sees tight races, urges turnout

* Democrats Pin Hopes on Turnout Effort

* What Election Day 2010 means to Illinois

* Sawyer: Fight negative ads; vote

* ‘My Opponent Is An Evil Piece of …’

* Ten things to know about the candidates for U.S. Senate

* Close, bitter Senate races could have significant down-ballot effects

* Giannoulias’ path to Senate bid: Charisma, youth, a ‘fresh take’

* Immigration issues split Kirk, Giannoulias

* Kirk’s path to Senate race: A military man touts his experience

* Republicans Kirk, Brady rally in Northbrook

* Kirk, Brady team up to rally Republican voters

* GOP candidates stop in Quincy

* Undocumented youths try to derail Senate hopeful Mark Kirk

* GOP gets boost from upset victor Sen. Scott Brown

* Dump Kirk for Libertarian, Dems urge

* Journal Courier: Voters, it’s your turn

* Final vote push takes Quinn, Brady beyond their bases

* Gubernatorial candidates weigh in on outdoors issues

* Jobs, budget deficits define state-level races

* Nation’s Governor Candidates Vague On Deficits

* The defining moment
for Illinois’

* Ten things to know about the candidates for governor

* Bloomington once fertile ground for gubernatorial candidates

* Brady pledges to fire Blagojevich hires if elected governor

* Details lacking in Brady’s pledges to change the ISBE

* Election Eve Rally in DuPage County

* Bill Brady Visits Stateline

* Jindal travels to Iowa, Wisconsin, Illinois

* Sun-Times: Brady promises cuts that just don’t add up

* Quinn, Cohen clash in radio debate

* Rich Whitney, Lealan Jones, and the ILGP File Suit Against WTTW over Debate Exclusion

* SJ-R: Don’t waste protest vote on Cohen

* Famous dad gives Sheila Simon inroad with elderly Aurorans

* In this state, you never know when No. 2 will become No. 1

* Marin: Tuesday will steer Lisa Madigan’s future

* Foe says Topinka part of the problem

* Trim fat, Republican in treasurer race says

* Rutherford and Topinka make campaign stop in Quincy

* Republican candidates take part in campaign rally at Quincy airport

* Down-ballot candidates try to get some attention ahead of Tuesday

* Illinois tops in big dollar court races

* Fact-checkers weigh in on ads

* Money rolls in, campaign ads roll on

* Pantagraph: Big money threat to independence of our judiciary

* Harper endorsed for 13th

* Dan Kairis on the national debt

* Randy Hultgren on the national debt

* Marks hopes for write-ins in 14th race

* Control of Illinois House, Senate at stake

* 14 state races pass $1 million fundraising mark

* Economy key issue in 18th Congressional District

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Protected: *** UPDATED x1 *** SUBSCRIBERS ONLY: Numbers and TV ads

Monday, Nov 1, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Behind the numbers: Absentees, money, GOP calls, lobsters, pensions, Twitter, fumigation

Monday, Nov 1, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Illinois Manufacturers Association totaled up all absentee ballot requests through October 31st by county, added them to the early voting tallies and came up with the following numbers

* Republicans: 156,177
* Democrats: 230,537
* Independents: 178,902

Mind you, requests aren’t the same as actual absentee votes. They define independents as people who didn’t vote in the primary or who have bounced around in the past three primaries. The county-by-county numbers are here.

This is a far better showing for Republicans than in the past. And they’ll probably get the majority of those independents as well.

[I misunderstood the IMA e-mail and had to rewrite the above section. The numbers the IMA gave me today are the grand totals.]

* This is kinda apples and oranges. From the Illinois Campaign for Political Reform

The record for money raised by candidates for governor in an Illinois election has been shattered by 2010 candidates. […]

Republican Bill Brady tops the chart at $15.1 million, followed closely by Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn at $13.2 million. Independent Scott Lee Cohen reports $3.3 million, Green nominee Rich Whitney shows $45,000 and Libertarian Lex Green reports $24,000

Four years ago, Rod Blagojevich had about $17 million for the fall campaign, including his cash on hand at the end of June. This is the same way the ICPR figured this year’s numbers. But Blagojevich started running TV ads against Judy Baar Topinka in April. He spent almost $3.7 million on media buys between April 1 and the end of June and another $173K in mail. So, his actual “fall” spending was about $21 million.

Plus, there was no millionaire independent spending money hand over fist like this year. So, yeah, it’s a record on paper, but that isn’t the entire story.

Also, the Republican Governors Association accounts for a third of Brady’s cash.

* Back on October 20th, Fox News reported that Illinois Republicans have outperformed every other state party in terms of voter contact. The Republicans’ Illinois Victory program has called “almost three million” voters since the summer, the station reported. The party posted the video on its YouTube site with the headline: “FNC: Nearly 3 Million Calls by Illinois Victory! ” Watch


* And here’s Illinois Republican Party Chairman Pat Brady today

“We’ve stayed under the radar until now,” said Illinois GOP Chairman Pat Brady. “But we lead every other state in the number of phone calls we’ve made — 4.4 Million. And we’ve identified 2.5 million Republican voters.”

That means they’ve made over 100,000 calls a day since October 20th. Hmm. But how many are completed calls? I decided to check with the state party this afternoon.

Of those 4.4 million calls, a bit under 2 million were actually completed. Of those, they’ve identified the leanings of a little over 929,000 people, whether those be Republican, Democrat or whatever. They have a GOTV universe, they say, of 2.5 million. That would include hard “Rs” who’ve voted in primaries.

* From a Tribune editorial

Statehouse pols have obligated so many of your tax dollars to prop up their bureaucracy and assure themselves of sweet retirement that there’s no money to pay the caretakers of our sick, disabled and mentally handicapped citizens. Those citizens can’t afford lobbyists.

Illinois has the lowest state employee per capita ratio in the nation. Propping up the “bureacracy” is only a real problem in their minds.

And the “caretakers” of our sick, disabled and mentally handicapped citizens pretty much all have lobbyists, contrary to the Tribune. The Illinois Hospital Association, the Illinois Council on Long Term Care, Illinois State Medical Society, Illinois Nurses Association, Lutheran Social Services, SEIU, Voices for Illinois Children, The ARC of Illinois, Illinois Association of Rehabilitation Facilities, National Association of Social Workers, United Cerebral Palsy of Illinois, Illinois Networks of Centers for Independent Living, the Illinois Association of Public Health Administrators, the Illinois Cannabis Patients Association… Shall I go on?

Angry people don’t think. And the Tribune editorial board is a good case in point.

* This Tribune story overlooks an important point

The Illinois State Universities Retirement System and the Illinois State Employees’ Retirement System, two of the three largest funds, each reduced their assumed annualized rate of return to 7.75 percent, from 8.50 percent, while the much smaller Illinois Judges’ Retirement System lowered its goal to 7 percent, from 8 percent. […]

For the university pension fund, the change will push its liability level up by $2.4 billion, or more than 8 percent, to $30.1 billion, which in turn will reduce its funded level to 40.24 percent, from 43.75 percent. And the state’s annual contribution will rise by nearly $100 million, or more than 11 percent, to $980 million, according to William Mabe, executive director of the university pension system.

Yes, the move pushes up the unfunded liability. But by lowering the expected annual rate of return, that means the interest rate the state pays to the pension funds for our unfunded liability amount is also lowered. The magic of compound interest means that, over time, this may actually save the state some cash.

* Um, no

Can Twitter predict elections? New media guru Dan Zarrella says yes, Twitter can. He checked out a random sampling of recent campaigns and compared which candidates had the most Twitter followers, and in 71% of the races, the one with the most Twitter followers won. So we began checking out Illinois races to see if Zarrella’s theory can be right. Is Twitter that influential? Or does Twitter simply reflect “the word on the street” and thus, the “votes in the polls”?

If Twitter numbers indicate anything in Illinois gubernatorial race, Bill Brady’s walking away with that one. “Bill_Brady” shows 1888 Twitter followers and “ILGovPatQuinn” shows only 10 followers. A spoof, “PatQuinnsBrain” has more followers than the governor’s does. We couldn’t find a campaign account for Quinn in a quick browse, so, it doesn’t look good for Quinn if Twitter numbers matter.

Actually, if they had just gone to Quinn’s campaign page, you’ll see a prominent link to his Twitter account. Quinn has 1,151 followers.

* Bill Brady says he will fire at least 300 Rod Blagojevich holdovers if elected. However, the House’s “fumigation bill” targeted 750 employees

The Illinois House voted unanimously last year for a “fumigation” bill introduced by Speaker Michael Madigan, D-Chicago, to remove about 750 employees who are “double-exempt.” The employees are not covered by civil service and are not protected by U.S. Supreme Court decisions against patronage firing. […]

Brady said Saturday the number of targeted appointees is “at least 300, if not more.”

Maybe he needs an audit.

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Smith says he’s fine and more news

Monday, Nov 1, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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*** UPDATED x2 *** PPP: Kirk up by four, Brady up by five

Monday, Nov 1, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

[Updated and bumped up because some people missed this post in the clutter.]

* From the pollster

Republicans continue to lead the races for both Governor and Senator in Illinois, albeit by close margins. Mark Kirk is ahead of Alexi Giannoulias 46-42 for the state’s open Senate seat and Bill Brady is ahead of Pat Quinn 45-40 for Governor.

There are three main reasons Republicans are headed for big gains across the country this year and the Illinois races exemplify all three of them:

-Independents are leaning strongly toward the GOP. Kirk leads Giannoulias 46-31 with them and Brady has a 45-27 advantage over Quinn with them.

-Republican voters are much more unified around their candidates this year than Democrats are. 87% of GOP identifiers are planning to vote for Kirk while only 78% of Democrats are planning to vote for Giannoulias. In the Governor’s race 86% of Republicans support Brady while Quinn’s only getting 75% support from his party.

-Republican voters are much more likely to head to the polls this year than Democrats. In 2008 Barack Obama won Illinois by 25 points. Those who say they’re likely to vote this year only supported him by 14 points. That’s a strong indication that many of the voters who were a part of the Obama ‘wave’ are staying at home this year.

No matter who wins either of these races Illinois voters will be left with a Governor and Senator that they don’t like. Giannoulias’ favorability is 35/49, Kirk’s isn’t much better at 39/45. Quinn’s approval is 32/54 and that’s a good thing for Brady because voters don’t like him either, giving him a favorability of 39/45.

The presence of the third party candidates in the race seems to really be hurting Giannoulias. In a straight head to head between him and Kirk he trails by only a 46-45 margin. But a fair number of progressive voters who don’t like Giannoulias but can’t bring themselves to vote for Kirk are supporting the minor candidates in the contest.

As for Quinn he’s made an impressive comeback over the course of the campaign and his prospects certainly look a lot better than they did back in the spring and summer. But at the end of the day it’s an open question whether an incumbent Governor with a 32% approval rating can win reelection, no matter how blue their state or weak their opponent.

* Crosstabs are here.

*** UPDATE 1 *** From CQPolitics

An Anzalone Liszt Research poll taken for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign committee from Oct. 27 and 28 shows Democrat Alexi Giannoulias leading Republican Mark Kirk 39 percent to 37 percent, a statistical tie since the poll had a margin of error of 4.9 points.

The same poll of 400 likely voters found Libertarian candidate Michael Labo with 4 percent, Green Party candidate LeAlan Jones with 3 percent, and 16 percent of voters undecided. It’s a small shift from the Anzalone Liszt poll taken Oct. 20 to 24, which showed Giannoulias with 38 percent and Kirk with 36 percent.

…Adding… Please, ignore this stupid YouGov “poll.” First, it’s not a poll. It’s an opt-in Internet survey. Second, they only allow the choice of two candidates in each race. This is a multi-candidate race. PPP noted, for instance, that the third partiers were taking votes away from Giannoulias. Either way, though, this is not a poll. Repeat: This YouGov thing is not a poll.

*** UPDATE 2 *** Fox News has a new poll

Rep. Mark Kirk doubled his 2-point lead in last week’s Fox News battleground state poll of likely voters, and now leads Democratic candidate Alexi Giannoulias 46 percent to 42 percent.

Giannoulias continues to suffer from Democratic defections to Green Party candidate LeAlan Jones, who drew 6 percent support, including 8 percent of Democrats.

In the state’s gubernatorial election, Republican state Sen. Bill Brady added a point to his margin over incumbent Gov. Pat Quinn from last week’s poll. Brady now leads Quinn by 6 points, 44 percent to 38 percent. In this race, the Democrat is suffering at the hands of two minor candidates, the Green Party’s Rich Whitney and independent Scott Lee Cohen.

Whitney and Cohen are taking a combined 10 percent of the vote, largely from Democrats or liberal-leaning voters. Cohen, a successful pawnbroker, won the Democratic nomination for lieutenant governor but was chased out of the race by Quinn and others after allegations of domestic violence emerged.

Click here for toplines and click here for xtabs.

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*** UPDATED x1 *** Compare the “You know me” ads, plus I’m no longer buying pistachios

Monday, Nov 1, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Let’s compare a couple of TV ads. Pat Quinn’s “You know me” ad from the last week of the Democratic primary


Gov. Quinn’s TV ad from the last week of the general election


The older ad seems to have been shot in much softer light than the new ad, which was shot in half shadow. The old ad was filmed in a home. The new spot was shot in front of a dark backdrop. The background music behind the primary ad helped make the spot more emotional. Quinn mentioned Dan Hynes by name back then, no such mention of Bill Brady now. His veterans work was played up before, but it’s almost all about “jobs” now.

I think the primary ad was better. Back then, it made me sit up and take notice. This new one leaves me sorta empty inside. Your thoughts?

* Meanwhile, I’m never buying pistachios again


He’s a good actor and really has a presence on TV. He’s also a convicted liar. I love pistachios, but no more will my lips touch them.

* Speaking of the criminal, Pat Quinn’s campaign posted audio of Blagojevich telling WBBM Radio years ago that Quinn is “not a member” of his administration. Listen


*** UPDATE *** I don’t know why, but I kept forgetting during the weekend to post this radio spot the president cut for Giannoulias…

Download Link Obama ad

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Question of the day

Monday, Nov 1, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* It’s the day before the election. You’ve seen all the polling, but now we have some prognostications.

Bernie Schoenburg picked Pat Quinn and Mark Kirk to win, as well as Phil Hare. Kurt Erickson chose Bill Brady as the winner. Peter Brown of Quinnipac said Mark Kirk is slightly favored. Russ Stewart picked Bill Brady and Mark Kirk and chose Bobby Schilling over Hare as well as Bob Dold over Dan Seals. Chris Krug picked Quinn and Giannoulias, plus Melissa Bean over Joe Walsh. Laura Washington says get ready for a long night. 538 projects Kirk, Brady, Seals, Bean, Hultgren and Schilling. Zorn appears to predict Brady.

* The Question: Who are your final picks to click on election day? Explain.

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Morning Shorts

Monday, Nov 1, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Recession hasn’t bottomed out on Main Street

* Debts drive record numbers in suburbs to file bankruptcy

* Filing bankruptcy could cost you a lot now and later

* Lessons of the recession: ‘Thou shall not use thy house as an ATM’

* The corruption case you barely heard of

The federal investigation dubbed “Operation Crooked Code” so far has led to the convictions of 21 people — including 15 city building and zoning inspectors. The 21st conviction came just last Thursday, when a federal jury convicted developer Dumitru Curescu of bribery.

Despite those successful cases, Crooked Code hasn’t been as high-profile as investigations of the city’s Hired Truck Program or city hiring or the Operation Silver Shovel probe, largely because it involves corruption on a smaller scale — rank-and-file city workers taking bribes to overlook building-code violations on neighborhood housing projects.

* Area towns top state, nation on census return rates

All of the towns in The Beacon-News circulation area were above the national and state averages for returning the census forms by mail. Sugar Grove and Geneva had the highest rate of return at 87 percent; Aurora had the lowest rate at 77 percent.

* Tribune Co. faces new challenges to restructuring plan

* Tribune Co. creditors file 3 competing reorganization plans

* Ameren reports 3rd quarter loss

* Illinois to benefit from federal health-care aid for some retired workers

* Illinois hospital report card adds new information

* Stroger plan surprises commissioners

A proposal by Cook County Board president Todd Stroger calling for a change in the way the medical examiner is appointed has commissioners puzzled. […]

Trouble is, according to the medical examiner’s Web site, this already is the case in Cook County. And it’s been that way since the mid 70’s.

* Stroger urged to fight jobless claim

* IRS slapped Daley nephew with $157,962 lien on summer home

* Conrad Black gets 2 convictions reversed

* Schools: Report card not good measuring stick

* 5 Dead, 21 Hurt In Halloween Weekend Shootings

* Navistar announces plans for facility

* Aurora police union angered by possible officer layoffs

* Batavians to vote on downtown rec center

* Democrats, GOP getting testy over Will County budget

* Two finalists named for Kane state’s attorney job

* Rockford Airport gets $8M grant

* Quincy’s early retirement program expected to save $5.18 million over next five years

* Lincoln schools look into sales tax

* High-speed rail construction to reach Chatham on Monday

* Former ESL employee denies cooperating with Feds to get lighter sentence

* Race for obscure post tests Chicago-style politics

The race for the obscure but powerful post of county assessor pits an old-school Democratic Party stalwart criticized for helping hire family members to government jobs and accused of arranging tax breaks for friends against a self-styled reformer who worked as Mayor Richard Daley’s chief of staff.

* Emanuel urges city reforms on no-bid contracts

* Sources: Health has Fioretti rethinking mayoral run

* Ald. Fioretti might not run for mayor

* Cynthia Plaster Caster runs for Chicago mayor

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No matter who the next governor is, he’ll need a guy like this

Monday, Nov 1, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My syndicated newspaper column is incredibly difficult to write the Friday before an election, when it’s due. Most of the dailies publish it before election day, but several weeklies run it on Wednesday or Thursday. So, I have to come up with a “timeless” topic. I’ve been meaning to do this column for years, but never got around to it. Since I needed a topic that would still be valid no matter who won tomorrow, I pulled it off the back burner

I will never forget the night Paul Lis was fired.

My parents were at my house, but I refused to budge from my barstool because I couldn’t miss this. Not for them. Not for anybody.

Lis was a bigtime political fixer back then. He has known just about everybody who was anybody in Illinois and Chicago politics. He’s been an informal adviser to many of the old top dogs, and at the time he was fired he was working for Gov. George Ryan, Senate President Pate Philip and House Republican Leader Lee Daniels. Ryan was trying to pass a bill to toughen an assault weapons law, but Philip and Daniels were having none of it.

Lis was siding with Ryan, but Philip, a legendary conservative who loved his guns, was furious at both the governor and Lis, whom Philip falsely blamed for hatching the idea. When Pate strolled into the tavern, I figured things were about to explode. And then Pate stomped right up to Lis and after a brief and heated conversation announced that Lis was fired.

“You can’t fire me!” Lis roared back, adding that, technically, he reported to Philip’s chief of staff and campaign manager.

Pate insisted that he could, indeed, fire Lis, and a series of unprintable expletives were exchanged. The entire bar was silent as everyone watched this extraordinary event unfold. A Senate President is not often yelled at in public, at least not in Springfield.

Lis has always been well known in political circles for his sharp tongue. He loves his cigars and in the old days would play with his false teeth while he talked. He doesn’t care a whit what you think of him. And he loves humbling the haughty.

But Lis is also one of the brightest guys around. The truly smart people understand this, and they listen to him even when they totally disagree.

Lis tried to warn George Ryan over and over about the sort of people the doomed governor surrounded himself with. Ryan listened on every other topic but this one, probably to his undying chagrin.

A born contrarian, Lis would usually argue the other side of issues with Ryan just to make sure that the positions Ryan eventually took were well thought out. He describes his role as “the skeptic in the room who had to be persuaded.” Lis would also regularly burst into Ryan’s office when he thought the governor was making a mistake.

“Strength,” Lis says, “Is the ability to advance your agenda.” And when you fail to get things done, you look weak, no matter the reason.

Gov. Pat Quinn is a prime example. Quinn operated with huge Democratic majorities in both legislative chambers. But too often Quinn and his people tried to push proposals “and then were forced to abandon them because they had not done their homework,” Lis complains. He’s right. Rod Blagojevich had the same problem with surrounding himself with enabling know-nothings. They let him do whatever he wanted, right up until his arrest and impeachment.

Quinn, Lis says, never had the opportunity to really grow. He went from one low-level government job to another and then was suddenly thrust into the governorship. And the “people who enabled him in his lesser positions, continued to enable him,” Lis grumbles.

He has the same fears about lack of growth regarding Quinn’s Republican opponent Bill Brady, who has always been basically a backbench legislator without any real governmental responsibilities. To say the least, Lis is not optimistic about the future.

I always figured Pate Philip would hire Lis back, but he didn’t and as a result he was never quite the same leader he’d been. If George Ryan had listened to Lis more, he might not be in prison today.

The point is, whoever our new governor is (I’m writing this before election day), he needs to hire at least one crazy, brilliant, experienced, fearless contrarian like Paul Lis and then listen. He doesn’t have to agree, but he must listen.

Paul says he’s too old for the task, and he’s now married to a wonderful woman. If you’re going to do that job, Lis says, you have to be single. A spouse might not understand that your boss fired you after you called him a freaking half-wit at the top of your lungs while your false teeth fell to the barroom floor.

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition

Monday, Nov 1, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Monday, Nov 1, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Sunday evening roundup

Sunday, Oct 31, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Everybody wants to know what turnout is gonna be. Here are some predictions

In 2006, the last election in which both a governor and a U.S. senator were being elected, turnout was 48.6 percent. In 2002, turnout statewide was 51.8 percent.

Experts are predicting a lower number.

“I’d be surprised if it clears 50 percent,” said political scientist Brian Gaines of the University of Illinois Institute for Government and Public Affairs. “I think we’re talking more like 47 or 48 percent.” […]

The 23 percent turnout in February broke the previous record low of 25 percent in 1978 and 2006 Illinois State Board of Elections officials are predicting turnout levels to be similar to recent gubernatorial election years.

“Voter turnout in the last six contests for governor has been stable,” Executive Director Dan White said.

* A flier was handed out at Catholic churches all over Illinois today with the issue positions of the gubernatorial candidates. Click here for the full view, and here are Bill Brady’s responses…

* Gov. Pat Quinn didn’t respond at all…

That can either be good or bad, depending. If Quinn had filled it out, he’d be on the opposite side of the Catholic Conference on three huge issues - abortion, vouchers and civil unions - and everyone would know it. By not filling it out, though, he disses the largest, most powerful religious organization in the state.

* Crain’s Chicago Business
whacks JUSTPAC but good

The business community can’t sit by while an organization purporting to represent its interests perpetrates a smear campaign against an Illinois Supreme Court Justice.

The Illinois Civil Justice League is working to oust Justice Thomas Kilbride because he voted to strike down a recently enacted state law limiting damage awards in medical malpractice cases. The organization waged a long fight for malpractice caps, a goal shared by many in the state’s business community.

But the Civil Justice League’s attack ads don’t talk about Justice Kilbride’s vote against caps. Apparently the group doesn’t think the issue will motivate folks to come out and vote against him.

Instead, the organization slurs him with the baseless charge that he’s soft on crime, an allegation much more likely to rile voters. Television commercials paid for by its political action committee falsely cast Justice Kilbride as a protector of criminals.

* But the Illinois Republican Party took Kilbride to task

Kilbride’s latest campaign piece includes the image of an elephant (the GOP logo) and the words, “Election Alert for Republicans.” He then goes on to reference “we” multiple times, as if to suggest he is a Republican.

“Kilbride is as much of a Republican as Barack Obama,” said [state GOP chairman Pat Brady], noting that Kilbride joined the other Democrats on the high court in 2001 in upholding the legislative remap drawn by Democrats. “This may be Halloween weekend, but the mask has to come off.”

Brady said he and other Republican officials are considering filing a complaint with the Illinois Supreme Court in response to Kilbride’s violation of Supreme Court rule 67, Canon 7, which says all judges and candidates shall not, “knowingly misrepresent the identity, qualifications, present position or other fact concerning the candidate or an opponent.”

* And, now, some videos. A CNN reporter says “senior advisers” to President Obama are “very nervous” about Illinois’ US Senate race. Watch it


* Scott Lee Cohen fires up Rev. Meeks’ congregation


* The audio isn’t great on these next two, but here is Gov. Pat Quinn’s speech last night to the Obamarama GOTV event


* Alexi Giannoulias’ Obamarama speech


* Or, if you prefer, you can listen to just the audio clips by clicking on the images…

Download Link Gov. Pat Quinn & President Obama

Download Link Alexi Giannoulias

* ABC7’s Sunday evening report


* Is Gov. Quinn’s election night party really starting an hour before the polls close? Yep…

At 6 o’clock, you’d think they’d want as many people as possible out at L stops and polling places, and making phone calls and knocking on doors.

Bill Brady’s party won’t open the doors to his attendees until 7:30 Tuesday night, according to a press release.

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY: Dirty Democratic Halloween tricks?

Sunday, Oct 31, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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*** UPDATED x5 *** Tony Peraica busted for alleged yard sign vandalism - Stickney cops will be crucial

Sunday, Oct 31, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Cook County Commissioner Tony Peraica was arrested last night for allegedly vandalizing yard signs of his Democratic opponent, McCook Mayor Jeff Tobolski. The coppers’ story

[McCook Police Chief Frank Wolfe] said that an officer about 11:15 p.m. Saturday spotted a white van leaving the home of an 83-year-old woman, who doesn’t drive, on the 8400 block of Joliet Road. When it failed to use a turn signal, it was stopped, he said.

The officer noticed a Tobolski sign at the woman’s home had been destroyed, and Peraica was a passenger in the vehicle, Wolfe said. While the officer talked to Peraica, the owner of a building about a block away said someone had similarly vandalized a sign on his property, the site of a restaurant, the chief said.

One of the building owner’s tenants then told police he saw Peraica get out of the van and vandalize the sign at the restaurant, Wolfe said. Peraica was arrested, charged with criminal damage to property and released early Sunday morning pending a Nov. 22 court date.

Peraica’s story

Cook County Commissioner Tony Peraica (R-16th) charged Sunday that he was arrested in McCook on charges concocted for political retribution. […]

Peraica said the episode was directed by Tobolski and that the mayor made calls to the police station while Peraica was being held. Peraica said some officers were apologetic about the arrest.

“They were incredulous that they were being told what to do. Clearly the mayor was directing the whole show,” he said.

Peraica said he was riding in a volunteer’s van and that a McCook squad car began following it almost as soon as it entered the town. He said the volunteer posted some signs on public property but that police pulled over the van after a few minutes.

Tobolski’s press release statement…

After being pulled over in Stickney for tearing down opponent Jeff Tobolski’s campaign signs a call went out to local police for suspicious behavior of a white chevy mini van. McCook police caught Tony Peraica red handed on an elderly woman’s private property with a broken Jeff Tobolski campaign sign.

“I was shocked when I heard the news late last night. This clearly is the erratic behavior of a desperate man. This just goes to show you the length that Tony Peraica will go to steal an election. The voters of the 16th District have to see that he is unfit to serve in any public office.”

If the Stickney cops back up the McCook police chief, Peraica is in big trouble, man.

*** UPDATE 1 *** I just got off the phone with McCook Police Chief Frank Wolfe.

Wolfe says that a Stickney officer on patrol last night heard a person yell something like “Hey, cut it out! What’re you doing?” and observed a white Chevy van and a person entering the van with a pole in his hand.

The Stickney officer, according to the McCook chief (who has since spoken with Stickney police), gave the man a verbal warning and then apparently put the event on the radio.

Chief Wolfe said his officers heard the warning and shortly thereafter saw a white Chevy van backing out of a private residence. When the van failed to use its signal, the McCook police stopped the van. The occupants claimed they were posting Peraica signs, but there were no such signs in the area, according to the chief.

One of the officers then noticed that a Tobolski sign had been vandalized at the house where the van had been parked. According to the chief, the yard sign was strongly reinforced. That’s where the pole comes in. Apparently, they were using the pole to knock down the signs.

The owner of a business a block or so away then approached the police, Chief Wolfe said, and claimed that somebody destroyed two signs on his property and said that his tenant was a witness. The tenant was quickly brought to the scene and, according to Chief Wolfe, the tenant identified Peraica, who was then arrested.

Oops.

*** UPDATE 2 *** Ray Hanania has the mugshot

*** UPDATE 3 *** The Stickney Police Department has issued a press release which appears to back up the McCook story

On October 30, 2010 at 22:43 hours a Stickney Police unit, while on patrol observed a subject walking with a long pole towards a political sign in the area of 6500 block of Pershing Road on the north side of the street, in Berwyn. When the subject noticed the officer he turned and walked back to his white minivan. The officer stopped the subject. The male subject, identified as Mario Mrcela of Chicago Ridge. The officers on scene did not observe the subject damaging any signs. The minivan was occupied by an unknown male subject. The subject was released without charges.

Released under the authority of:

Deputy Chief of Police
Frank Figueroa
Stickney Police Department

I called Deputy Chief Figueroa and he gave me a few more details. Figueroa said the officer heard someone yell something along the lines of “Hey! What’re you doing? You’re going to break that!”

This all seems to fit. Peraica is claiming he wasn’t doing anything wrong and was set up by the McCook coppers, but it surely doesn’t look good for him right now.

*** UPDATE 4 *** From ABC7


*** UPDATE 5 *** Peraica’s press release

When passing through McCook at about 11 PM, on our way to Willow Springs, a marked McCook police car almost immediately began to follow us as we were going south on Joliet Road. We were followed for about half mile, pulled over without reason given and harassed. Police searched the vehicle, found nothing, and were about to let us continue.

Then, a police sergeant came to the scene followed by another, third police car, with a male wearing only jeans who pointed to me and alleged that I caused criminal damage to his property –a cardboard sign. This apparently inebriated male, who was barefoot and without any clothes above waist, proceeded to say that he saw me damage his cardboard sign. None of this is remotely true. I never even got out of the van.

The arresting officer was apologetic but was ordered to do this and had to follow orders.

This is a blatant abuse of police authority by a desperate candidate who is using his police department to engage in political retribution just because he can. This kind of behavior has no place in our democracy.

If elected officials abuse their authority like this to trump up phony charges against other elected officials, and get away with it, what will they do to an average citizen who does not have the ability to respond or fight back.

I have been fighting corruption and illegal behavior for many years in Cook County and this is just another example of such behavior.

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