Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      About     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact Rich Miller
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here. To inquire about advertising on CapitolFax.com, click here.
*** UPDATED x1 *** Things that make me wanna pound my head against the wall

Thursday, Oct 7, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE *** Sheesh

In a new Kirk ad, a mother complains about how, “our daughter was a freshman when I opened up the envelope (from the treasurer) and found that they’d lost more than half of our college savings.”

Problem is, the fund involved, known as Core Plus, only lost 38%, and half of that was recouped in a lawsuit. I’m not always great at math, but 19% or so strikes me as somewhat short of half.

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* Oh, for the love of Mike….

Giannoulias said he has been “absolutely, unequivocally consistent in all my statements for the last four years.

“I left day-to-day operations in 2005, and I fully left the bank about April 2006,” he said.

“Absolutely, unequivocally consistent”? Um, didn’t he tell the Tribune last week that he left the bank in May of 2006, not April, as he just told the SJ-R?

Dude, seriously, what is wrong with you?

* Speaking of wrong-headed types, check out the Tribune’s endorsement of Bob Dold

Though Democrats want to portray him as an arch-conservative, we’re convinced he will be in the moderate, pro-choice, independent mold of Kirk.

Forget about all the evidence that Dold is not being upfront about his core beliefs. Blame the whole thing on partisanship. Yeah. Good one.

* What the heck?

James Wright, who recently was forced out as the state’s executive inspector general, has a new job as the campaign manager for mayoral hopeful Gery Chico, the candidate told the Chicago News Cooperative on Wednesday. […]

Chico said he is not concerned that Wright has never run a campaign.

And Chico expects us to take him seriously? Dick Durbin is also clueless


Chico was an “outstanding candidate” in the 2004 US Senate primary? Is Durbin nuts? Chico got barely over 5 percent of the Cook County vote that year and four percent statewide. Sheesh.

* Speaking of the mayor’s race, Fox Chicago was so desperate to find another angle that it turned to a “futurist,” whatever that is

Houle believes that in Chicago and across the country, voters are sick of being pandered to and want someone who will tell them in blunt terms about problems and real solutions.

Rahm Emanuel is only “blunt” behind closed doors. His campaign won’t be anything like his private personality.

* Told ‘ya

He was never officially in, but today former state Senate President Emil Jones officially said he is not running for Chicago mayor.

That lasted what? Less than a week?

* Ummm

It’s not always possible to predict the positions of all the players in the game of politics in Illinois.

A case in point came to me in the form of a copy of an e-mail invitation from Mark Denzler, vice president and chief operating officer of the Illinois Manufacturers’ Association, to folks who were being encouraged to attend two fundraisers — one for Democratic House Speaker Madigan of Chicago, and the other for Senate Republican Leader Christine Radogno of Lemont. […]

When we spoke recently, Denzler said House GOP Leader Cross hadn’t asked for a fundraiser this year

Look, I know Cross has no love for the IMA, but maybe he could at least ask them to hold a fundraiser? Put them on the spot, maybe?

* Talk about being out of step with the times

[Democratic treasurer nominee Robin Kelly] linked two votes by [GOP treasurer nominee Dan Rutherford] —in 1995 and 1997 against lowering the DUI standard to .08 from .10—to more than $70,000 in campaign contributions he’s received since then from beer distributors and other liquor interests.

“Rutherford sold out safe roads for campaign cash,” blared a Kelly press release.

Mr. Rutherford responds that Ms. Kelly has to be “desperate” to drag up 15-year-old legislative votes. He opposes and still opposes .08 and the state’s mandatory seat-belt law, Mr. Rutherford says, but money has nothing to do with it.

He still opposes the seat-belt law?

* Finally, somebody else is whacking Rasmussen for not including all candidates in its Illinois polling

Rasmussen cannot justify its failure to name the “some other candidate” who has 1% more support than Jones. Disappointing. Rasmussen had a duty to name Labno in the interest of fairness to all parties, to ensure more accurate reporting by the media

Rasmussen is officially blacklisted by me until they start including everyone’s name in their polls. There’s no excuse for their behavior. “Rasmussen” is also a banned word in comments right now, so if you want to talk about them use: “The polling company that shall not be named” in comments or your post will be held automatically for moderation.

* The Daily Southtown asked candidates to list the five most recently played songs on their iPods and MP3 players

U.S. Senate candidate Mark Kirk (R-10th), of Highland Park, listed country, pop and jazz - from Taylor Swift’s “Love Story” to Tom Petty’s “I Won’t Back Down” to Big & Rich’s “Save a Horse, Ride a Cowboy.”

Taylor Swift? Really?


I’d really rather not say what I’m thinking right now.

* Roundup…

* Don’t be afraid to go Green this election

* Greens May Turn Blue Seat to Red

* Comptroller candidates vague about budget cuts

* Halvorson, Kinzinger debate bailout, tax cuts

* Potential Opponents Had Just About Enough Of Rahm’s Tour

* City Clerk del Valle wants Chicago voters to weigh in on legalizing video gambling

* Miguel del Valle Q&A

* Meeks meets with gay leaders

* With Fioretti expected to run for mayor, primary could be wide open

* Cook assessor candidates in attack mode

* Assessor Hopeful Points to Puerto Rican Roots

  68 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 *** Ads and videos: Personal PAC; Giannoulias; Kilbride; Hare; Foster; Cohen; Roeser

Thursday, Oct 7, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE 1 *** Gun control group Brady PAC Illinois is doing an initial round of 65,000 robocalls with the following message


“My husband, JIM Brady, is from Illinois,” Sarah Brady says in the call. “We’ve voted Republican many times, but we think BILL Brady’s gun policies are awful.”

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* Personal PAC has a powerful new ad featuring a rape victim. The ad is running on cable TV in the Elgin area. The group is holding a fundraiser later this month to raise money to put the spot and three others on the air throughout the Chicago region. Rate it


Script…

Jennie: When I was 18, I was raped. I don’t know what I would have done if I had become pregnant.

Narrator: As governor, Bill Brady would seek to outlaw abortion, and Brady opposes any exceptions, even for victims of rape and incest.

Jennie: Forcing a rape victim to carry a pregnancy is unthinkable, and scares me to death.

Narrator: The more you learn about Bill Brady, the worse it gets. We deserve better than Bill Brady.

* Alexi Giannoulias has a new TV ad that, once again, calls Mark Kirk a liar and a George Bush guy. Watch


* “Vote No Kilbride” has a new radio ad blasting the Supreme Court Chief Justice. Listen


*** UPDATE 2 *** Kilbride’s campaign responds…

Kilbride actually voted in support of the state’s position in one of the cases. Together with the Supreme Court’s majority, Kilbride voted to support a harsher sentence against the defendant in this case. The case is People ex rel. Waller v. McKoski. […]

In the Waller decision that JustPac skewered in the radio ad, Tom Kilbride wrote a concurrence opinion arguing the Supreme Court should issue its order through a supervisory order rather than through a mandamus writ - a purely procedural distinction that did not interfere with his support for the harsher penalty.

JustPac’s pretend criminals also flubbed explanations of the other two specified cases. In People v. Bannister, Kilbride questioned the wisdom of allowing testimony from a convicted murderer in a 13-year-old case. This convicted murderer was given a plea agreement vacating his two murder convictions and reducing his sentence in order to get his testimony. And in People v. Runge, Kilbride and Justice Charles Freeman joined a dissent authored by Justice Anne Burke. In this dissent, Burke argued a juror who cheered out loud for the prosecution in a capital case should have been excluded.

[ *** End Of Update 2 *** ]

* Justice Kilbride’s campaign has two new ads. Here’s one


The other one is here.

* The American Future Fund is now broadcasting its stock “Pelosi” ad in Democratic Congressman Phil Hare’s district


* Congressman Bill Foster’s new ad is called Beach


* Scott Lee Cohen stormed out of his own press conference yesterday


The full ABC7 report is here. More from WLS Radio

Independent candidate for governor Scott Lee Cohen lost his temper with the media during a campaign appearance Wednesday morning.

Cohen was angry because a reporter asked whether his plan to create more jobs could take 10 or 15 years.

“You know, I am so sick and tired of the negativity by the media. Do you see anybody that has a better plan? Do you? Do you see anybody out there trying to put the people back to work? You know, that’s enough, I’ve had enough, thank you very much for coming,” Cohen said.

With that Cohen walked away from the podium. He later came back to say what made him angry was a negative Associated Press story about his Rockford job fair Tuesday - a story that quoted attendees who said it was more like a campaign event.

* Jack Roeser’s Illinois Republican Renaissance PAC is trying its hand with Internet videos. This one’s called “Doctors for Brady”


* More videos…

* Hare vs. Schilling debate: Why should the Democrats have another chance?

* Hare vs. Schilling debate:Fair Trade

* SJ-R: Judy Baar Topinka, Republican for comptroller

* SJ-R: David Miller, Democrat for comptroller

* SJ-R: Jesse White, Democrat for secretary of state

* Governor Quinn Creates Elgin-O’Hare West Bypass Advisory Council

  60 Comments      


Question of the day

Thursday, Oct 7, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* More bad news for Democrats

“We’re down about 60,000 registered voters from where we were two years ago,” said Chicago Election Board Chairman Langdon Neal. […]

“We did a major canvass in which we verify our rolls to make sure they’re clean this summer,” Neal said. “So, we’ve cleaned the rolls so that our voting rolls are very accurate in terms of eligible voters, so that results in some loss of voters.” […]

Outside of Chicago there has been a spike in registration compared to 2006. In each of the collar counties, the numbers of registered voters is up: in DuPage, Will, Lake, Kane and McHenry counties the increase totals almost 110,000 new voters.

* The Question: How big of a GOP wave are you predicting for this year? Quantify it, please and explain.

  43 Comments      


Brady is tough on unions, except for the one that backs him

Thursday, Oct 7, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* During his Sun-Times editorial board interview this week, Bill Brady was asked about his lack of union support. He quickly pointed to his endorsement by the Fraternal Order of Police. Brady was then asked if he would support applying the same two-tiered pension system to police and firefighters that he supported for state workers and teachers. He didn’t answer directly, saying, rightly, that there are different issues with public safety folks on things like retirement age (although teachers and some others can make the same sort of claims).

Illinois Statehouse News looks at another angle on Brady’s FOP endorsement

[Brady] said as recently as the first gubernatorial debate on September 29 that he would not be cutting anything other than self-identified “waste” from public safety departments–a far cry from the “dime on every dollar” cuts he has proposed for other areas of government. […]

[FOP president Ted Street] said Brady assured union leaders at a private meeting in July that they would be at the table when cuts are made: a move he said “has never been done before.”

“Senator Brady has reached out and asked that I facilitate a meeting between State Troopers lodge (of the union)…and the Department of Corrections lodge…to come up with and organize cost-cutting measures,” Street said. “Senator Brady has offered us input, a voice of representation in the decision making process.”

Brady blasted Quinn for a deal the governor negotiated with the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees union shortly after the group endorsed him. The deal will prevent the state from laying off workers in exchange for furlough days, wage freezes and cost-cutting measures, identified by the union itself. […]

But he now finds himself accusing Quinn of selling out the people of Illinois for his suspect deals with political supporters, while negotiating a similar one on a signature issue. His two pronged attack now appears double edged.

Once you bring up a quid pro quo with your opponent’s endorsers, you subject yourself to similar scrutiny. It’s a fair hit.

* Meanwhile, the SJ-R took a look at the agreement between AFSCME and Gov. Pat Quinn’s administration and discovered that while it sets a $100 million budget reduction goal, it specifies just $10 million in immediate cuts

The immediate $10 million in savings will be met by “reduction in the use of overtime, expansion of the voluntary furlough program and by in-sourcing work that can be provided more economically if performed by state employees,” according to the agreement

A total of $50 million must be found by the end of this month.

* Gov. Quinn attempted to turn the tables on Brady over the Republican’s $50 billion pension bond scheme idea

Gov. Pat Quinn blasted Republican challenger Bill Brady today for leaving open the option of borrowing $50 billion to shore up state pension funds, saying it would lead to a massive tax increase.

Quinn seized on the issue in an attempt to turn the tables on Brady, who has hammered the Democratic governor for pushing an income tax increase and borrowing money.

Brady, a state senator from Bloomington, has refused to rule out a $50 billion pension loan. He has said all options should be on the table when it comes to ensuring the health of the underfunded retirement systems. The Brady campaign said it is not backing the idea, saying it would be an option only as part of a comprehensive package that could save the state money.

Quinn brushed aside such nuances, saying a $50 billion pension bond “will never happen as long as I’m governor.”

* The governor continues to announce state funding in campaign-style government events…

Gov. Pat Quinn is defending spending $50 million on a new initiative aimed at helping to rebuild struggling neighborhoods while the state has unpaid bills piling up.

The governor’s office says the new anti-violence initiative is a mix of federal money and state money that lawmakers gave Quinn discretion to spend.

It’s the second time in two weeks Quinn has announced he’ll spend some of that money.

The Chicago Democrat recently announced he would use $75 million to keep a temporary jobs program going while Illinois waits for Congress to approve more money for it.

Meanwhile

Nonprofit organizations that serve some of the nation’s most vulnerable citizens have been forced to freeze salaries, dip into cash reserves and cut programs because government funding is shrinking and often late in coming, according to a report released Thursday by the Urban Institute.

And human service nonprofits in Illinois have been among the hardest hit.

Nationally, 41 percent of human service nonprofits reported late payments from state, federal and local government sources in 2009, the survey found. In Illinois, that number reached 72 percent, highest in the nation.

And

Despite Gov. Pat Quinn’s call for cost-cutting throughout state government, at least two state agencies are planning to buy or lease new vehicles this month.

* And a group funded by Chicago-area business types is launching a radio and print ad campaign

Illinois Is Broke, an organization pretty much put together by the Civic Committee of the Commercial Club, this week began spending what I’m told is in the low-to-mid six figures on radio and print ads urging voters to “ask the candidates what they will do: fix the pensions, or just raise taxes?”

The radio version of the spot has a mother gently griping that, “Our family has to live within our means, but Illinois state government doesn’t.”

The ad then goes on to talk about “free health insurance” for state retirees and a state debt amounting to $25,000 per family.”

The spot doesn’t name any names, but it should be mildly helpful to GOP gubernatorial nominee Bill Brady — a Republican, like the bulk of those who paid for the ad are believed to be. But neither he nor Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn has been specific on what they’d do to close a hole of at least $75 billion.

* Related…

* Obama comes home for Alexi; to help Quinn: Quinn campaign spokesman Mica Matsoff told me that Obama cut a radio spot for Quinn — to start Monday — where he says he will be voting for Quinn on Nov. 2 and urging others to cast their ballot for Quinn… White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs said Wednesday during a briefing that Obama will be greeting Quinn when he lands at O’Hare. Matsoff said Quinn will be bringing two people who benefitted from his “Illinois to Work” jobs program to the tarmac to meet with Obama. While the Obama ad for Quinn starts Monday, on Wednesday, Vice President Joe Biden joins Quinn in Chicago for a ‘’Putting Illinois Back to Work'’ get-out-the-vote rally at the Chicago Journeymen Plumbers Local 130 Hall on the near West Side.

* Teachers union endorses Quinn

* Teachers endorsement means donations, volunteers: For candidate Pat Quinn, Wednesday was like walking into a room filled with money. The governor and his running mate, Sheila Simon, can expect six-figured campaign donations from the 103,000 member teachers’ union.

* Sun-Times endorsement: Quinn has best plan to serve all Illinoisans

* Morris Herald: Our choice is Sen. Bill Brady

* Brady brings GOP bid for governor to Alton: “We’re going to clean house in Springfield,” Brady said. “We’re going to get rid of all the political patronage bureaucrats, and we’re going to bring in real professionals to run Springfield for your benefit and not their personal interests.”

* Brady will be in Olney next week

* Brady, Schilling rally with supporters in Quincy, Pittsfield: “It’s you who are going to decide the future of this state, not the special interests,” Brady said, flanked by his wife, Nancy and running mate, Jason Plummer.

* Libertarian candidate for governor wants to get party’s message

* VIDEO: CBS 2’s Bill Kurtis reports on the Illinois Is Broke campaign (Part 1)

* VIDEO: CBS 2’s Bill Kurtis reports on the Illinois Is Broke campaign (Part 2)

* MFT Funds Released to Illinois Municipalities

* Pantagraph: Politicians do little as financial picture worsens

* Mitchell says he’ll vote ‘yes’ for local education sales tax hike

* McPier issues $1.1B in bonds

* McPier issues $1.1B in bonds to restructure debt, add hotel rooms

* Parents put out by DCFS bureaucracy

  27 Comments      


Morning Shorts

Thursday, Oct 7, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Poverty on rise in ‘burbs

Most suburbs examined experienced more than 50 percent increases in the number of poor from 2000 to 2008. In Aurora, the number jumped nearly 62 percent to 19,479, and in Joliet, it rose 39.5 percent to 15,266. […]

“Poverty rose in almost every Chicago suburban community that we looked at,” said Scott Allard, study co-author and associate professor in the U. of C. School of Social Service Administration. “More recent data would show that these trends have only continued.”

But few suburban communities have a social services infrastructure in place to address the challenges of increased poverty, he noted. In Cicero, there are 3,648 poor people per social service non-profit, the study revealed. In Carpentersville, there are 3,013 for every nonprofit, in Aurora, 1,299 for every one and in Skokie, 1,274 for every one.

* Blagojevich appointee pleads guilty in fraud case

Bamani Obadele, 37, stepped down as a deputy director of the Illinois Department of Children and Family Services in 2005 after an internal investigation found he had profited from state contracts.

In pleading guilty Tuesday to one count of mail fraud in federal court in Chicago, Obadele admitted he had DCFS vendors buy tote bags, magnets and other items from a promotional company he secretly owned. He also directed DCFS contractors to subcontract work to a company in which he held a board seat.

* Unable to post bail, Oglesby to spend another night in jail

* Who else will follow Huberman, Daley out the City Hall door?

* Huberman departure may be tied to Daley’s

Many of Huberman’s signature initiatives are still unrealized. The district is in the midst of creating a new teacher evaluation, implementing a $40 million anti-violence initiative, and trying out Huberman’s favored performance management system, which attaches performance metrics to everything from transportation to teaching.

* Huberman Says He’s Focused on Schools, Even As He Plans Exit

* Huberman’s Been Looking for Some Time: Source

* Daley Livid Over Huberman: Sources

* Mitchell: Now might be best time for CPS chief to fly coop

* Chicago Teachers Union Calls for Restructuring of District Leadership

* City Council calls on CPS to turn heat on at school sit-in

The protesters at Whittier Elementary School should not be made to suffer while staying in the building at 1900 W. 23rd St., said Ald. Daniel Solis, 25th. The parents on the site want another assessment of the building, which they have occupied since mid-September.

“But in the meantime, the Board of Education cannot make a very dumb mistake, in my (opinion), of turning off the gas because the issue of safety comes up again,” Solis said.

* Brown: If city’s so green, why not require water meters?

* Daley blasts real estate groups for stalling renter protections

* ‘L’ stop named for Mayor Harold Washington

* Sporting News names Chicago best sports town

* Naperville kills overnight parking

* Naperville City Council rejects ROLC zoning district

* Kendall might ask unions for concessions

* Boone County Board to see balanced budget proposal

* Central Illinois may gain 2,000 turbines in 5 years

* First Latina state senator visits SIUC Wednesday

* Airman with Chicago ties killed in Afghanistan

Twenty-three-year-old Daniel Johnson was a newlywed. He got married just four months ago.

Johnson died Tuesday as he tried to deactivate a bomb near Kandahar, Afghanistan when an improvised explosive detonated, injuring the sergeant and killing Johnson. He lived in northwest suburban Schiller Park before moving to California.

He had one of the toughest assignments in the military - explosive ordinance disposal - commonly known as the bomb squad. Every job is literally a life or death operation. But his family says he loved it.

* Suburban Airman Dies In Afghanistan

* Recipient was ‘born to lead,’ Obama says at ceremony

  9 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition

Thursday, Oct 7, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Thursday, Oct 7, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


Evening video

Thursday, Oct 7, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

[Bumped up for visibility.]

* This is a self-made video that’s already running on TV in Champaign. It’s going up around the state starting this weekend, the Pat Quinn campaign says. I think it’s one of the better ads of the season


  55 Comments      


Hare runs a better ad, but Schilling and the Repubs are pouring it on

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I was pretty tough on Democratic Congressman Phil Hare’s latest TV ad yesterday. He had it coming. But Hare now has a new ad up that whacks Schilling for not paying taxes while alleging that Schilling wants to raise payroll taxes. Rate it


The payroll taxes hit comes from a Chicago Tribune questionnaire that Schilling’s son says he filled out and “misphrased”

…Schilling responded to a question about the solvency of Medicare and Social Security by saying, “I believe that there will need to be an increase in Medicare and Social Security withholding taxes.”

The “not paying taxes” hit is about Schilling twice not paying his annual business franchise tax to the Secretary of State. Schilling’s corporation was officially dissolved both times. Click here for the documentation. This is a pretty minor offense, but Debbie Halvorson was hit with the same thing two years ago by Republican Marty Ozinga.

* Hare is going to need a solid hit because the National Republican Congressional Committee is about to dump about a million dollars into his race

POLITICO has learned that the National Republican Congressional Committee will take a bank loan of at least $6.5 million – but likely more—to expand its ad buys into seven additional districts beyond the 55 where the committee has already reserved time.

According to an NRCC source familiar with the effort, the newly-added targets include five Democrats whose districts until recently were thought to be out of reach this year: Minnesota Rep. Tim Walz, Georgia Rep. Sanford Bishop, Illinois Rep. Phil Hare, and Ohio Rep. Zack Space, and Colorado Rep. John Salazar.

* And Schilling had a pretty darned good quarter

3rd Quarter Total Raised: $375,262

Cash On Hand: $420,962

Total Raised To Date: $675,899

A recent poll by Public Opinion Strategies of 400 likely voters, conducted on September 26 and 27, with a margin of error of 4.9 percent shows Schilling and Hare tied at 37-38 percent. Schilling leads Hare by 18 points among voters who have heard of both candidates, and by 29 points among voters who have an opinion of both candidates. Pollster Glen Bolger said of this poll “Incumbent Phil Hare has real problems with the electorate in this district. Voters are upset at the direction of the country. Hare’s image is underwhelming. Incumbents at 38% on the ballot test don’t win unless they are successful at burning down their opponent.”

* All that cash is funding a brand new Schilling TV ad


* Hare hasn’t released his own fundraising totals yet, which sorta tells you something. But he is getting some help from the DCCC


* Related…

* Hare touts trade equalizer bill - Act targets China specifically for devaluing currency

* Congressman Says China Should Play Fair

* Video: Hare calls deficit, debt a “myth”

  25 Comments      


Rahm’s “data driven effort” vs. Meeks’ old fashioned “social networking”

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Rahm Emanuel has been asking Twitter denizens to send him questions, comments, etc. via the #TellItLikeItIs hashtag. It’s apparently part of his “listening tour.” He’s calling the Tweets and responses a “data driven effort” to find out what’s on everybody’s minds. OK. Whatever.

I posed this question

So, how about telling us who you’re supporting for county assessor? That might tell us a lot.

Our longtime commenter and blogger’s blogger OneMan followed up

I too am curious who you are supporting in the assessors race..

No response. Actually, there aren’t many real responses. Nobody’s asking many serious questions. So if you have a Twitter account, click here, if you dare, and pose a question to Rahm using the #tellitlikeitis hashtag in your question. Maybe he’ll even answer. Report back if you sent him a question and if whoever is running that Twitter account actually talks back.

* Here’s a suggestion

A new report claims Chicago has the most dangerous neighborhood in America, although the neighborhood in question is not particularly infamous for crime.

The report by geographer Dr. Andrew Schiller for the commercial real estate site NeighborhoodScout.com said a neighborhood identified as “W. Lake St.,” located on the Near West Side and bounded by Kinzie Street on the north, Washington Boulevard on the south, Damen Avenue on the east and Western Avenue on the west, is the most dangerous neighborhood in the country.

The report claims that the chances of being a victim of a violent crime in the neighborhood are 1 in 4. It says the neighborhood sees 257.72 crimes per 1,000 residents.

But official police statistics seem to show a different story. The “neighborhood” named the most dangerous in the report corresponds directly to Census Tract 280500, which ranks toward the middle for crime among city neighborhoods.

So, the supposedly most dangerous neighborhood in the country isn’t even close to the most dangerous neighborhood in Chicago? Somebody’s “data driven effort” just failed.

* Meanwhile, Rev. Sen. James Meeks continues his own listening tour by actually sitting down and talking with real, live human beings

In a move sure to surprise many people, but one that also signals just how serious he is about running for mayor of Chicago, Ill. state Sen. James Meeks (D-Chicago) traveled to Boystown Oct. 5 to meet with several LGBT leaders at the offices of Equality Illinois. […]

“One of the things I was asked was if I would keep the office of the mayor’s liaison to the LGBT community and the Chicago Gay and Lesbian Hall of Fame,” Meeks said. “I was very surprised that people would think that I would do away with that office or the Hall. It’s very important to me and the city, and I would definitely keep that.”

Meeks also said he told the leaders that he would support efforts to lessen bullying against LGBT students in schools. Education has been an issue that Meeks has focused on as a legislator – he threatened to run against former Gov. Rod Blagojevich in 2006 over education funding and has pushed comprehensive legislation to revamp the state’s tax system in order to fully fund public schools.

I think I much prefer the old school social networking to the “data driven effort.”

* Rahmup…

* New mayoral poll puts Emanuel, Dart far ahead

* Emanuel gets temporary address near downtown: spokeswoman

* Emanuel gets a Chicago condo

* Rahm Addresses Residency Question

* Mayoral Hopefuls Remind Rahm He’s Not the Only One

* VIDEO: Welcome Back, Rahm

* Black community looks for mayor candidate

* Brown: After Daley, watch for power to shift

* Back home in Chicago for his mayoral bid, Rahm Emanuel was met by jeers from the supporters of his rivals

* Emanuel snags Ben LaBolt as communications director for mayoral campaign

* Water board member stakes out city clerk run

  25 Comments      


Rove, Kirk both hit Giannoulias on Bright Start

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Karl Rove’s American Crossroads GPS has posted its new anti Alexi Giannoulias ad. The group is spending a million dollars on the spot this week alone


I’m told Bright Start polls very well against Alexi Giannoulias. That Rove spot was a rough hit. Mark Kirk’s new ad focuses on the issue as well and may be an even a rougher hit


Script…

Mark Kirk: “I’m Mark Kirk and I approved this message.”

Nancy Wohlhart: “Our daughter was a freshman when we opened the envelope and found they had lost over half our college savings.”

AVO: “Alexi Giannoulias was in charge of Bright Start.”

Nancy Wohlhart: “Our money was supposed to be in a safe fund. But instead, Giannoulias stood by while they lost more than $70 million.”

AVO: “Giannoulias bragged about his financial expertise in commercials.”

Nancy Wohlhart: “A lot of people suffered because Alexi misled us. We’ll never recover our daughter’s college savings.”

* The DSCC has a new Internet promo video about the upcoming debates


* Speaking of debates

An upcoming debate between Illinois candidates for U.S. Senate has been canceled, as organizers say Democratic candidate Alexi Giannoulias has turned down a request to participate.

The debate, originally scheduled for Oct. 21 at the WSIU broadcasting studios in Carbondale and co-sponsored by The Southern Illinoisan, was meant to include senatorial candidates from all three of Illinois’ legally established political parties, but Giannoulias’ withdrawal caused organizers to cancel the event.

David Yepsen, of SIUC’s Paul Simon Public Policy Institute, said the Giannoulias campaign refused to participate in the debate because the Libertarian candidate for U.S. Senate, Michael Labno, was not allowed to join the discussion.

“It’s disappointing, but these things happen in politics,” Yepsen said. “The rules we put together were that we would invite any candidate of an established political party. We’re not going to change the rules for one candidate.”


Greg Hinz

I wonder if Team Giannoulias has forgotten a lesson that former Sen. Carol Moseley-Braun learned the hard way the year she lost her re-election bid: Downstate still counts, and Downstaters don’t like to be ignored.

True.

* Roundup…

* Campaign watchdogs want IRS to probe Rove’s American Crossroads

* Karl Rove-Backed Group Spends as Much as Political Parties

* US Chamber of Commerce under fire for foreign cash

* ZORN: Giannoulias consistently vague about his job at the bank

* VIDEO: Alexi Giannoulias Can’t Name Spending He Would Have Voted Against

* The Race for Obama’s Senate Seat

* Kirk characterizes self as ‘consensus builder’

* GOP candidate Kirk says he can build consensus in U.S. Senate

* Northwest Herald: U.S. Senate: Mark Kirk

* Giannoulias Offers Dinner With the President

* VIDEO: Mark Kirk on why he is running for US Senate

  42 Comments      


Plummer still hasn’t come up with a decent excuse

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Carol Marin takes off after GOP lt. governor nominee Jason Plummer for his new answer to a question he’s been dodging for months: His refusal to release tax returns, as every gubernatorial and (almost every) lt. gubernatorial candidate for decades has done

“I’m coming from the private sector,” answered Plummer. “I didn’t serve in the public sector last year.”

I fully agree with Carol’s next line: “Huh?”

Marin continues…

But even former Gov. George Ryan, now in prison, and Rod Blagojevich, who’s heading there, disclosed their income taxes.

And as Sun-Times Springfield Bureau Chief Dave McKinney pointed out to Plummer, Blagojevich’s tax forms provided the public with the first clue that convicted influence peddler Tony Rezko was paying Patti Blagojevich.

That was an excellent point by McKinney. It blows away Plummer’s argument that all we need to know is in his Statement of Economic Interests report filed with the state. And that argument doesn’t hold much water, either…

“That’s the most incomprehensible, terrible, convoluted form known to man,” scoffed Dennis Czurylo, a former supervisor for the IRS Criminal Investigation Division who has put many a politician in jail. “Government purposely uses these obscure and useless forms,” he said, because they “don’t disclose what a federal tax form does,” things like debt and land trusts.

And here’s another new argument that I haven’t seen before…

Plummer didn’t mask his exasperation, telling the Sun-Times, “When we’re elected on Nov. 2, I’ll be more than happy to use . . . your interest in my tax return as leverage to force a lot of folks in Springfield to show their tax returns.”

Watch it all here.

Sheila Simon responds

“It’s not too much to expect from a candidate for statewide office [that] their priority would be statewide office and representing the people of Illinois rather than protecting their family’s business interest,” said Simon, whose late father, U.S. Sen. Paul Simon, would divulge tax records that showed how much income she made as a teen-age babysitter and how much her adolescent brother made from his paper route.

“It says his priorities are different than mine and the governor,” Simon said of Plummer. “We’ve disclosed this without being asked and disclosed it fully.”

* Down-ballot roundup…

* Tribune: For the Supreme Court

* Tribune: For the appellate court

* Strong contrast in Illinois lieutenant governor candidates

* Eaton: More Republicans should follow Topinka’s lead into black communities

* Jesse White backing Kelly for treasurer

* Tribune: For the Cook Board

* VIDEO: Roger Keats in Humboldt Park

* Write-in candidate for Illinois governor seeks to be heard by voters

  51 Comments      


Question of the day

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From today’s Sun-Times

GOP gubernatorial hopeful Bill Brady said Tuesday he would not stand in the way of a public school board should it want to teach creationism.

“I believe knowledge is power, and I believe local school districts should establish the curriculum when it comes to those things,” Brady told the Chicago Sun-Times editorial board in a wide-ranging interview session with running mate Jason Plummer.

This is not really new news. He’s said it before. You can watch the entire Sun-Times editorial board endorsement session if you’d like



* Question: Do you agree with Brady that it ought to be OK with the state if a local school district decides not to teach evolution and substitutes it with creationism? Explain.

* Bonus Question: Do you think this will make much difference in the campaign? Explain.

If you’re going to answer the bonus question, please make sure to answer the actual question, first. Thanks.

  97 Comments      


A good idea, but it’s probably for the long term

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* John Kass writes again today about a forensic audit. He’s talking about Chicago, but the idea is part of Bill Brady’s gubernatorial campaign platform as well. Brady uses the proposal to deflect questions about his budget details, saying he needs to see the results of such an intense audit before he can make any decisions.

Now, I am not opposed to the idea at all, but here’s the thing: A normal Auditor General agency audit takes months to complete. A complicated and detailed forensic audit of the entire state government all at once might take years. Whatever the case, there’s just no way I can figure that Brady could launch a complete forensic audit after he’s inaugurated in January and get the results back before introducing a new state budget in March or April, or even May or June.

* Gov. Christie said yesterday that Brady was doing the right thing by not talking in any detail about his budget plans

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, a rising star in the Republican Party, says state Sen. Bill Brady should not offer too many details about how he would cut Illinois’ $13 billion budget deficit if Brady is elected governor.

Christie, who endorsed fellow Republican Brady at Abraham Lincoln Capital Airport Tuesday, said Brady shouldn’t worry about criticism that his budget plan lacks specifics.

“I heard the same things … a year ago right now,” Christie told reporters. “What I said was, ‘I am laying out for the people of New Jersey the direction that I’m going take the state. And I’m not going to sit here now and talk about each and every specific cut and how it all adds up as if I’m a CPA.’

“Candidly, I’m really happy I didn’t. Because the problem I found in New Jersey was much worse than my predecessor advertised, and anything I would have said would have had to have been thrown right in the garbage in January 2010.”

Video


* The good news? Illinois sold a lot of bonds overseas. The bad news? We’re paying a higher interest rate than Mexico and Portugal

Illinois capital-markets director John Sinsheimer and Citigroup Inc. bankers took a globe-girdling trip from the U.K. to China in June to persuade investors that the state’s $900 million of Build America Bonds were a bargain.

The seven-country visit worked. The state sold one-fifth of the federally subsidized securities abroad the next month, tapping investors who are the fastest-growing source of borrowed cash for U.S. municipalities. Illinois, with the lowest credit rating of any state from Moody’s Investors Service, dangled yields higher than Mexico, which defaulted on debt in 1982, and Portugal, which costs more to insure against missed payments.

* More bad news

To retire the fiscal 2010 bills by the end of the year, [Comptroller Dan Hynes] warned that the state must complete its up to $1.75 billion tobacco bond sale because the budget relies on at least $1.2 billion from the deal. Illinois recently named a finance team for the transaction. The state also must make additional interfund transfers and collect additional revenue from a tax amnesty program.

“A significant failure of any of these sources will place remaining fiscal year 2010 obligations in jeopardy,” Hynes warned. “This would create a scenario in which unsatisfied payees could be forced to seek legal and judicial remedies to obtain payments in amounts unprecedented in the state’s history.”

The comptroller said barring any major changes, the state’s liquidity crisis will continue through the fiscal year and Illinois could end the year with an even larger bill backlog of $8 billion as additional debt service comes due. That number could rise if no action is taken to address a $3.7 billion pension payment. […]

However, Hynes warned: “The structural imbalance in the current budget, combined with higher debt service costs and the loss of federal stimulus revenues, creates the very real possibility that the governor and General Assembly will face a working deficit of $15 billion or more when the fiscal year 2012 budget is crafted early next year.”

Oof.

But, hey, I suppose if Bill Brady is elected we could just sell $50 billion in pension bonds

Republican governor candidate Bill Brady has been blasting Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn for taxing, spending and borrowing, but Tuesday the challenger refused to rule out borrowing a record $50 billion to shore up state finances.

“All options have to be considered,” Brady said.

Yeah. That’ll be no problem, considering the inflated interest rate, the ever-worsening deficit and still-horrible revenues.

Nobody is gonna buy that many bonds from this state without a definable revenue stream. Brady has said he’d pay them off with “natural revenue growth.” As I pointed out yesterday, there is no revenue growth.

* Meanwhile

Gov. Pat Quinn’s administration has finalized a deal with the state’s largest employee union that will prevent layoffs until 2012 despite repeated calls from Republican challenger Bill Brady for Quinn to abandon the plan.

The agreement between the state and the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees was finalized on Sep. 24, and was signed by union director Henry Bayer and James Sledge, head of Illinois Central Management Services.

Under the deal, the state cannot layoff workers or close facilities until July 2012. In exchange the union says it has agreed to cut costs by at least $170 million by cutting healthcare costs, restricting overtime and other yet-to-be-identified measures. Quinn’s office hopes ongoing negotiations will push savings higher.

Too often, this governor walks right into the punches.

* And kudos to the AP for attending one of Scott Lee Cohen’s much-hyped job fairs

Martina Love had two words to describe the job fair hosted Tuesday by Scott Lee Cohen, the independent candidate for Illinois governor: “false advertisement.”

Out of work for a year, the 23-year-old said she’s looking for a “real job” at a factory or somewhere else, not selling jewelry or enlisting in the military like recruiters at Cohen’s Rockford-area job fair were offering.

“If he’s supposed to be a governor, I would think that he would have had more things in here knowing how the economy is,” said Love, who used to work at phone customer service company.

The job fairs are a cornerstone of Cohen’s campaign for governor, but the job seekers who lined up Tuesday to talk to more than a dozen companies weren’t necessarily interested in helping him gain employment as Illinois’s chief executive.

Go read the whole thing.

* Related…

* Unemployment And The Output Gap

* New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie Endorses Bill Brady

* New Jersey governor stumps for Brady

  28 Comments      


Brady to launch three new TV ads

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Bill Brady has three new TV ads that will begin running this evening. The first one is a tough hit on Pat Quinn’s early release program. Rate it


* This is a related, 15-second spot featuring Brady speaking to the camera about protecting personal safety


* And the third is another ad featuring Brady’s daughter Katie


  47 Comments      


Poll: Kinzinger crushing Halvorson 49-31

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* As I told subscribers this morning, The Hill has a new poll showing the 11th Congressional District race isn’t even close. Congresswoman Debbie Halvorson is getting blown out by Republican Adam Kinzinger

Right now, the outlook for Halvorson appears grim. The Hill/ANGA poll found she trails Kinzinger by 18 points — 49 percent to 31. Another 18 percent of likely voters remain undecided.

Kinzinger also leads among most major demographic groups. He’s ahead by 26 points among male voters and by 11 percent among females, and leads in all age groups by 10 points or more. Kinzinger also holds a wide lead with independent voters — 53 percent to 24.

Click here to see the results. They ain’t pretty at all.. A few more questions from the poll…

* And we have a TV ad. Dan Seals


* And Seals’ Republican opponent Bob Dold has an Internet promo video claiming that Dold is pro-choice no matter what anyone else says


* Roundup…

* Candidates in 11th Dist. congressional race clash

* Southwest suburban congressional candidates clash on bailout, tax cuts

* Sun-Times: Foster for 14th District

* Randy Hultgren Speaks in Dixon, IL

* Manzullo defends NAFTA support

* Congressman Phil Hare Talks About Election

  32 Comments      


Morning Shorts

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Huberman to leave as CPS boss before May

All this threatens to occur over a critical set of months, when CPS traditionally devises its budget, prepares for state tests and decides which schools to close. It must tackle the tasks with an administrative staff decimated by budget cuts, teachers left disgruntled by cost-saving layoffs and the specter of even worse budget woes next school year.

* Chicago Public Schools CEO Ron Huberman Not Leaving Post Soon

He said he would likely stay through January, when a new school year begins for some CPS students. He said any time there is a transition in leadership, there is some consideration of who else will leave, but speculation he will leave soon is untrue.

* Schools chief Huberman denies report of early departure

* Huberman on CPS post: ‘Nothing imminent’

* Chicago Public Schools Chief ‘Nervous’ About Safety at Whittier

* CPS: Rehiring Tenured Teachers Could Cost Millions

* Chicago Public Schools Plan to Appeal Ruling on Layoffs

* Daley touts $34 million to raise pay for best teachers

* After blaming ‘the process,’ Stroger fires arrested aide

* Mayor Daley moves to fix a part of city’s water-billing mess

* Cook Board rejects full sales-tax rollback

Calling threats of a $300 million deficit in the upcoming 2011 budget a “fallacy and “scare tactics, Riverside Republican Commissioner Tony Peraica called for the full rollback Tuesday of the sales tax, which the county board reduced by half this summer.

* One Chicago Neighborhood Named Most Dangerous in the Country

A real estate advising company says a neighborhood bordered by Damen and Western Avenues on the east and west and Kinzie Street and Washington Boulevard to the north and south has the highest predicted rates of violent crime in the nation.

* America’s 25 Most Dangerous Neighborhoods

* Medicare drug costs up 10%

* CTA might rename stop for Mayor Washington

* Mount Prospect issues 35 layoff notices

* U-46 taps analyst for finance post

* Kaneland school board names trustee

* Kane prosecutor to leave for Kendall

* Naperville OKs plan to buy DuPage Children’s Museum building

* U. of I. faculty members, students may ask trustees to reconsider William Ayers

* Carbondale City Councilman Lance Jack resigns, wins liquor license

  4 Comments      


For the hacks

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Many of you who read this blog run the campaigns, walk the precincts, make the calls, coordinate the schedules, dig the dirt or dish it, deal with goofy candidates, or are a candidate yourself. I’d like to take this opportunity to say my hat is off to you.

The election is less than four weeks away, but you’re certainly weary from the never-ending days and nights. You’ve no doubt been busting your hump for weeks or months on end. Living on coffee, cigarettes, cold pizza and warm beer. Your candidate may be behind, or maybe you’re in a close race and fighting for what feels like your very life.

For the hacks in the streets, it’s starting to get chilly outside. Soon, it’ll be downright cold, which will be murder on your frozen knuckles (Hint: Kick the door, don’t knock, it’ll save those knuckles). You’ve probably been chased by a dog at least once by now. You may even have been bitten (try to remember to carry dog biscuits in your coat pocket). Some idiot has undoubtedly pulled up half the yard signs you placed the last time you were there. Stay calm. They can make more signs.

You may be losing your patience and your voice, but you can smell something familiar in the air: “The end.” People are finally paying attention and you’ve been feeling that ol’ adrenaline rush. You’re gonna need it. It’s the only thing that’ll keep you going through the miserable days ahead.

No matter. You press on. You may not even like your candidate, but it’s always ever onward. Sometimes - maybe more often than you might care to admit - you don’t even know why you’re pushing yourself so freaking hard. Campaigns are never easy, always unpredictable, maddeningly emotional, completely exhausting. Worse yet, nobody on the outside really understands your choice. Some even disrespect you for it. But it’s what you do, and, God help you, you love it.

You live a zero-sum life. You win or go home. There’s no silver medal. And the rewards aren’t all that great unless you are one of the chosen few. For everyone else, it’s just more work. Always, more work. But that rush you get when you win beats the heck out of trading in your way of life for some mundane sideline existence. You can’t just be someone who wouldn’t bother to invest their own sweat in this insanely bizarre American process.

So, whoever you are and whichever campaign you’re working for or with, this video is for you


Now, go out there and kick some butt. :)

[Hat tip to a commenter.]

  57 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


« NEWER POSTS PREVIOUS POSTS »
* Isabel’s afternoon roundup
* AG Raoul says legislature cut his funding by $10 million
* Illinois again operates from its familiar regulatory playbook
* That site is just ridiculous
* Boutros to former federal prosecutors: There's now more work for everyone
* Rate the idea
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* Good morning!
* Selected press releases (Live updates)
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
June 2026
May 2026
April 2026
March 2026
February 2026
January 2026
December 2025
November 2025
October 2025
September 2025
August 2025
July 2025
June 2025
May 2025
April 2025
March 2025
February 2025
January 2025
December 2024
November 2024
October 2024
September 2024
August 2024
July 2024
June 2024
May 2024
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
September 2023
August 2023
July 2023
June 2023
May 2023
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0




Hosted by MCS | SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax | Advertise Here | Mobile Version | Contact Rich Miller