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Friday, Nov 4, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I explained to a friend the other day that the reason I yell “Oscar boy!” the way I do when I want my dog to come is because of this song. And now my friend walks around singing the song at a very high decibel level. It’s hilarious

If you don’t bring that seltzer
I’m goin’ tell Mister Meltzer on you

* And since it’s been a bit, here’s Oscar with another friend of ours a few days ago…

Oscar loves him some Herb.

Have a good weekend.

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Appellate court strikes down Chicago FOP’s vax lawsuit

Friday, Nov 4, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* First District Illinois Appellate Court

This case stems from the City of Chicago (City)’s implementation of a policy, announced on August 25, 2021, requiring city employees to be vaccinated against COVID-19. This policy extended to the sworn police officers who are members of the plaintiff labor organizations. The parties involved were all subject to collective bargaining agreements (CBAs), and the plaintiffs filed grievances before an arbitrator after the City refused to bargain to agreement or impasse about the terms and effects of the City’s vaccination policy. The arbitrator found that the City was authorized to unilaterally implement the policy under a management rights clause included in each of the CBAs, and the circuit court denied the plaintiffs’ motion to vacate that arbitration award on the basis that it was against public policy. On appeal, the plaintiffs argue they have identified several well-defined and dominant public policies that require us to overturn the arbitrator’s award. For the following reasons, we disagree, and affirm the judgment of the circuit court. […]

Because the Unions have failed to identify any well-defined and dominant public policy that is implicated by this arbitration award, the public-policy exception does not apply.

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Campaign notebook

Friday, Nov 4, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Illinois early vote totals…


* Chicago early vote totals…

The most up-to-date Early Vote and Vote By Mail totals in Chicago, night of Thursday, November 3, 2022.

The Early Vote total stands at 93,416 ballots cast.

Additionally, 89,208 Vote By Mail ballots have been returned to the Board – total VBM applications stands at 210,033.

The grand total is 182,624 ballots cast so far in Chicago for the November 8th General Election.

FOR COMPARISON:

As of June 24, 2022 (4 days out from the 6/28/22 Primary Election): 81,139 ballots cast

As of October 29, 2020 (4 days out from the 11/3/20 Presidential Election): 657,325 ballots cast

As of November 1, 2018 (4 days out from the 11/6/18 General Election): 193,754 ballots cast

Chicago, with 21 percent of the population, is still at just 17 percent of the total.

* Roll Call

Races shifting toward Republicans

• Illinois’ 13th District (Open; Rodney Davis, R, lost primary), from Lean Democratic to Tilt Democratic
• Illinois’ 17th District (Open; Cheri Bustos, D, retiring), from Tilt Democratic to Toss-up

* Sen. Darren Bailey was asked today what specifically he would do differently about K-12 education that what’s currently being done

Well day one agenda is to fire the entire State Board of Education and replace them with common sense people, because the State Board of Education has failed our children. Number two, I served on a school board for 17 years, I will make sure that parents’ voices are heard at the local level and I will make sure that local school boards respond to the concerns and the voices of the parents.

* ILGOP press release…

Yesterday, ILGOP Chairman Don Tracy joined suburban Republican leaders to speak out against the behavior of State Representative Jonathan Carroll in the wake of continued allegations:

“We would hope the Democratic leadership at the state, Congressional District, Township and Precinct level would share the belief with us that these allegations — which by the way were revealed far too late to be of political advantage to Republican candidate Rory Welch — need to be addressed expeditiously so that voters who have not yet gone to the polls can hear them, hear both sides and make their judgments in the voting booth. The time is now to demand this from Carroll; waiting until after the election would show callous disregard to the electorate we are supposed to serve,” said the 17 GOP leaders in their statement .

Most recently a former staffer of Carroll’s, Elly Fawcett-Neal filed a complaint with the Inspector General last month claiming that Carroll’s chief of staff pressured her to get an abortion . She was later fired.

Springfield Lobbyist Tiffany Elking claims that Carroll called her and threatened to thwart the legislative agenda of the PAC she represented unless her client Jay Edelson dropped an objection to a class action settlement where Carrol’s ex-wife served as co-counsel.

Further, he has been accused by his ex-wife in a sworn court filing of “refus[ing] to meaningfully financially contribute toward the support of his two minor children since the parties’ separation in October 2021.”

“These allegations detail potentially illegal behavior and reprehensible treatment of women. State Rep Carroll must immediately answer in detail each allegation publicly. If he fails to do that, he should immediately resign his seat and suspend his campaign.”

* Hoan Huynh is the Democratic nominee in the 13th Illinois State Representative District…



Mussolini?

* Isabel’s roundup…

    * Washington Post | A total lunar eclipse will turn the moon blood red on Election Day: Hours before citizens across the country cast their votes in a contentious midterm election, a sinister red moon will loom in the sky. The last total lunar eclipse of 2022 is set to stain the moon red during the wee hours of Tuesday morning. Residents across both coasts will be able to watch the spectacle for just under 90 minutes.

    * Daily Herald | What’s fiction, what’s fact about the SAFE-T Act and the elimination of cash bail: There’s not a hotter topic on the campaign trail in Illinois, or in law enforcement circles nationwide, than the SAFE-T Act, the sweeping criminal justice reform package that will eliminate cash bail starting Jan. 1. And with all that heat has come plenty of confusion and misinformation about what’s really in the bill and what it means for you.

    * Sun-Times | Beware of fake ‘newspapers’ packaged as the old-school real deal : Alarmingly, those disseminating false information have gotten wiser, learning how to relay their problematic narratives in packaging that can potentially confuse even the most discerning readers. Take the case of right-wing “newspapers” that have been infiltrating the mailboxes of Chicago area voters as we head into next week’s mid-term elections, as the Sun-Times’ Lynn Sweet reports.

    * Tribune | J.B. Pritzker, conquerer of worlds? The memeing of the Illinois governor gets weird: Among the lesser discussed subjects of the 2022 midterm elections has been a quiet campaign to elect J.B. Pritzker to the position of Great Khan of the Midwest and — well, who knows what the borders of his empire shall resemble once he conquers? As you’re probably aware, Pritzker is currently governor of Illinois, seeking a second term. He has made no formal announcement of his intent to deliver a horde into battle and crush Wisconsin or anywhere else. But that has not stopped Nomadic Warriors for Pritzker.

    * Crain’s | Thanks to early voting and vote-by-mail, 1 million ballots have been cast so far in Illinois: Just under 12% of Illinois’ registered voters—roughly one in eight—have already cast a ballot in the 2022 general election, according to the latest report from the State Board of Elections. Voting continues to be particularly peppy in portions of the suburbs while relatively light in Chicago proper, although the city has picked up some, too.

    * Daily Herald | Wheeler, Hanson vie to represent the redrawn 83rd state House distric : Voters in the redrawn state House 83rd District Tuesday will choose between someone who has been a legislator for the past eight years or a former Kane County Board member. Republican Keith Wheeler of Oswego, the Republican, has been in the state legislature since 2015. He currently represents the 50th District.

    * David Orr | Election deniers in Illinois are putting pressure on voting access. We can’t let them succeed. : Election officials across the country are bracing for possible disruption by extremist groups planning “aggressive poll watching.” They’re also resigning in large numbers in the face of harassment, threats and bogus charges of fraud — constituting a major loss of badly needed professionalism and experience and, in many cases, an opening for those who want to dictate election results of their own liking. On a smaller scale so far, similar efforts are afoot in Illinois, purportedly to promote “election integrity” but actually aimed at undermining confidence in our elections. WBEZ-FM 91.5 has reported on a coordinated campaign of “copycat letters from conspiracy theorists” going to county clerks across the state, threatening lawsuits and citing vague “evidence” that “America has not had a free or fair election since 2017.”

    * Illinois Times | 2022 Elections: When there is so much confusion in this nation’s politics, when misinformation itself is on the ballot and election deniers campaign for election, it is more important than ever to vote. A vote is an endorsement of the process, and marks each voter as a participant in a system under attack. If the process thrives this time, confusion and misinformation will eventually be defeated, and democracy will win this election.

    * Illinois Times | Much confusion over Amendment 1: Some people have taken to calling it the stealth amendment: an effort to amend the Illinois Constitution in a manner that will benefit organized labor. But just how it would work and what exactly it would do has many folks scratching their heads. Amendment 1, which voters will decide Nov. 8, would amend the state constitution to make it easier for labor unions to maintain membership and to protect benefits of workers who are mostly employed by local and state governments.

    * WICA | Candidates compete for position as Illinois’ chief financial officer: Comptroller Susana Mendoza is running for re-election against Republican challenger Shannon Teresi. A recent Nexstar, Emerson College and The Hill poll shows about 49% of likely voters said they would support Mendoza, while about 36% said they would back Teresi.

    * Sun-Times | With tensions high ahead of Tuesday’s election, top cop says there’s ‘no threats specific to Chicago’: Last month, federal authorities issued advisories warning about threats to both election workers and voters. A poll conducted in March by the Brennan Center, a nonprofit law and public policy institute headquartered in New York City, found that nearly 17% of poll workers reported being threatened. But on Friday, Chicago Police Supt. David Brown assured reporters there weren’t any “threats specific to Chicago,” adding that his department’s social media team continues to monitor for anything alarming.

    * AP | US Employers Are Hiring Briskly Even In Face of Rate Hikes: America’s employers kept hiring vigorously in October, adding 261,000 positions, a sign that as Election Day nears, the economy remains a picture of solid job growth and painful inflation. Friday’s report from the government showed that hiring was brisk across industries last month, though the overall gain declined from 315,000 in September. The unemployment rate rose from a five-decade low of 3.5% to a still-healthy 3.7%.

    * WTTW | Cook, DuPage County Boards With Tight Races Up For Grabs Next Week: There’s real competition in DuPage County where there’s an open seat for DuPage County Board chair. Republican Dan Cronin has chaired the DuPage County Board for the past dozen years, but he is not running for re-election, making it an open seat that Democrats hope to claim for the first time. State Representative Deb Conroy of Elmhurst says all 58 chairs of the DuPage County Board have been Republican men and it’s time to change that.

    * WBEZ | Five commonly asked questions about judicial elections: While the candidates listed on this section of the ballot might be more obscure, the decisions that judges make have a direct impact on people’s lives, including who might get custody of the children in a divorce and whether someone is sent to prison. So as part of our ongoing collaboration with Injustice Watch, we’re answering your last-minute questions about how judicial elections work and where you can find more information about the candidates on the upcoming ballot.

    * Daily Herald | Why three suburban congressional races have been among the hottest in the state: In the 6th District, 11th District and 14th District, Republican challengers are trying to unseat Democratic incumbents. The races have been costly, with most of the campaigns raising and spending millions to share their messages with voters through TV ads and other means. The three races also have been fairly messy, with the candidates — or their teams and supporters — trying to discredit their rivals in interviews, speeches, news releases and social media posts.

    * Herald Review | Crime, SAFE-T Act top focuses in race for the 96th: In sum, 60 House members voted in favor of the act, 50 voted in opposition, and three did not vote. Scherer’s was thus one of the deciding votes effectively passing the bill. Now, the Decatur Democrat is about to face a challenger who says it was Scherer’s SAFE-T Act vote that helped convince her to run. Lisa Smith, a political newcomer who ardently opposes the act, argues it will lead to multiple unintended consequences.

    * NPR | Why aren’t more moms running for office? One group is hoping to change that: This year, there are a record number of women who are nominees in races for governor and state legislatures, according to the Center for American Women and Politics at Rutgers University. Women — even more so those with young children — are still in the minority, Vote Mama’s research shows. This is despite the proven political power of mothers, University of Virginia a politics professor Jennifer Lawless said.

    * ABC 7 | Evanston residents to vote on ranked choice voting referendum in 2022 election: It’s called ranked choice voting. “Rank Choice Voting can make our politics more democratic and less divisive,” said Alisa Kaplan, Reform for Illinois executive director. “It’s great for voters because they can choose more than one candidate.”

    * The Hill | Large majority says they are concerned about political violence: Majorities of every political persuasion are “very concerned” about the phenomenon, including 75 percent of Democrats, 61 percent of independents and 56 percent of Republicans. Most Democrats and Republicans say that the opposite party is to blame for political violence, with 31 percent of those polled claiming that Republicans are responsible and 25 percent saying Democrats are responsible.

  12 Comments      


Report reveals 16 energy plants in Illinois with coal-ash dumps contaminating groundwater

Friday, Nov 4, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* The State Journal-Register

City Water, Light & Power’s Dallman power plant is among 16 plants in Illinois with coal-ash dumps that are contaminating groundwater at dangerous levels, according to a new report.

Environmental Integrity Project (EIP) and Earthjustice, two environmental nonprofits, released, “Poisonous Coverup: The Widespread Failure of the Power Industry to Clean Up Coal Ash Dumps,” which evaluated sites across the country. An analysis of groundwater monitors found Dallman responsible for arsenic in the groundwater at 14 times safe levels and boron at 10 times safe levels.

The worst site in Illinois is the Southern Illinois Power Cooperative Marion Power Plant in Marion, where groundwater monitors found cobalt in the groundwater at 63 times safe levels, thallium at 46 times safe levels and arsenic at five times safe levels.

Kincaid Power Plant in Christian County had two times the safe level of boron, the report concluded.

* The Energy News Network

The 2015 rules clearly state that coal ash cannot be permanently stored in contact with groundwater. Nonetheless, companies are planning to close about 200 such facilities with the ash left in place in unlined pits where it is known to be in contact with groundwater, according to the Earthjustice-Environmental Integrity Project analysis. Environmental groups argue that the law clearly indicates ash in such pits must be removed.

This is of particular concern since private drinking water wells draw from groundwater and are rarely tested for health and safety unless residents take such expensive testing upon themselves.( An interactive map produced by Northwestern University for the Energy News Network shows coal ash repositories and density of drinking water wells.) For example, Joliet, Illinois residents worry about contamination from coal ash stored in nearby Lincoln Stone Quarry and wonder whether to believe owner NRG’s promises that past problems have been remedied by pumps that change the groundwater flow.

“The problem is the pollution is largely invisible — if coal ash contaminants like arsenic and thallium are in your drinking water, you won’t see them, you won’t taste them,” Evans said. “It’s often undetected until it’s too late.”

Coal ash has been shown to be contaminating drinking water wells at at least 15 sites nationwide, including Town of Pines, Indiana, and Lansing, Michigan. In some cases, companies have provided residents with bottled water or paid to connect them to municipal water systems. North Carolina’s state coal ash law mandates that wells near coal ash repositories be tested and that almost all coal ash be removed to lined landfills.

* Indy Star

There are compliance failures at 16 leaking ash disposal sites across Indiana, according to the report. It is tied with Illinois for having the most problem pits, the report shows. […]

The federal coal ash rule was established in 2015 to reduce groundwater pollution from coal-fired power plants across the country. It came after two coal ash disasters in the previous decade in North Carolina and Tennessee that spilled millions of tons of coal ash.

The Obama administration passed the Coal Combustions Residual, or CCR rule, the first to regulate the storage and disposal of coal ash.

The Trump administration then weakened that rule in 2020, allowing utilities to take longer to comply with pollution reduction guidelines and making said guidelines less stringent. The Biden administration is strengthening that rule again.

* Circle of Blue reported on how mine cleanup is weakened by the decline of coal in October

In August of 1977, when the nation’s coal mine cleanup law went into effect, it reflected the market’s optimism. The Surface Mining Control and Reclamation Act allowed the states to hold a bond to pay for cleanups if the mining company couldn’t. Lawmakers figured that bankruptcies would be few and far between. To enforce cleanup, the law allowed states to revoke mining permits, a prized commodity.

Forty-five years later, coal is in free fall. Here in the Illinois basin — which straddles the Ohio River in parts of Indiana, Illinois, and Kentucky — one-third of the region’s coal is sold to power plants set to retire in the next decade. Every few weeks, another mine is idled or shut down. The threat of revoking permits no longer holds the force it once did.

The mine cleanup law, however, no longer reflects current conditions. It is still built for the industry’s roaring ‘70s. The issue boils down to the fact that the government is not collecting enough money to pay for cleanup.

At the moment, some of those costs are falling indirectly onto taxpayers, as environmental obligations are unloaded during bankruptcy restructuring. Between 2012 and 2017, four major companies — including Peabody energy, the world’s largest coal company, which produces 20 percent of the coal in Illinois — shed more than $5 billion owed for environmental cleanup, and health care for retired workers. 

  7 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Question of the day

Friday, Nov 4, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Heckuva job, Elon…


* The Question: Have you ever been hacked? Tell us what happened.

*** UPDATE *** She got her account back…


  12 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition

Friday, Nov 4, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

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Today’s clickbait

Friday, Nov 4, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Some folks received this text…

Click the link and it goes here

Cute.

Are you getting many campaign texts this season? Seems like I’ve received more than in the past.

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Can this AI generator predict our tweets?

Friday, Nov 4, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* I’ve been playing around with a new AI tweet generator this morning

Input any Twitter account and watch the AI write like them.

* @DarrenBaileyIL…

* @JBPritzker…

* @RepKellyCassidy…


* @JohnAmdor…

* @CapitolFax…

* @DanProft…

* @ThomasDeVore76…

Play around with it yourself and tell us the results.

  20 Comments      


Woman featured in Proft ad will respond to “malicious” Pritzker TV spot

Friday, Nov 4, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* ABC7 back in March

The family of a murdered Chicago Police officer is calling out Governor JB Pritzker as the parole board comes under renewed criticism over prisoner releases.

“I think Governor Pritzker has blood on his hands for releasing these inmates,” said Jean Cable, the niece of a murdered police officer. […]

Cabel still incensed more than a year after the Illinois Prisoner Review Board released convicted cop killer Johnny Veal. He was sent to prison for 100-300 years for the 1970 Cabrini-Green sniper killing of her uncle, Police Sgt. James Severin, and his partner Anthony Rizzato. […]

“What’s going on with the Illinois parole board? I don’t like it. I don’t know what they’re doing,” Cabel added.

* Dan Proft’s PAC released a TV ad about the case the other day

“My message to the governor,” Cabel says in the ad, “would be ’shame on you.’”

* Pritzker rebutted with his own TV ad

The Proft spot is called an “outrageous TV ad that should insult us all.” The ad points out that the governor cannot parole anyone and the announcer states “the [Proft] ad is 100 percent false.”

* Proft’s PAC today…

There will be a virtual PRESS CONFERENCE at 11AM CT Today hosted by People Who Play By The Rules PAC with JEAN CABEL, the niece of slain Chicago Police Officer Sgt. James Severin, to respond to a malicious commercial recently put out by sitting Illinois Governor JB Pritzker that attacked Cabel’s character. […]

Pritzker’s ad in essence calls the niece of Sgt. James Severin a liar, claiming that everything in her ad with PBR PAC is “100% false.”

In reality, everything in our ad is 100% true.

After a brief statement she will take questions from the media.

Our original ad with Jean Cabel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EfVwTA4cicI

At press time, the Pritzker campaign has not made their ad available on their public YouTube channel, not surprisingly, but we have it and will play it at the press conference.

I got the Pritzker ad from Proft’s PAC. Isabel will be covering the press conference, so stay tuned for any updates.

…Adding… Ms. Cabel at the press conference

The truth is that Governor Pritzker is directly responsible for the composition and integrity of his Prisoner Review Board. As a family member of a Chicago police officer who was killed in the line of duty in 1970, I have spent my entire adult life maintaining his honor and working tirelessly alongside with both families to keep two convicted cop killers in prison. My family and the family of Anthony Rizzato have been fighting this horrific battle for 40 years. My recent involvement in a political ad only stated that truth. The family of Jim Severin and Tony Rizzato have been associated with eight cooperative Governors of the state of Illinois all the way back to Governor Ogilvie. These governors understood what the judge was trying to say to future generations with a sentence of 100 to 300 years. This all stopped when JB Pritzker was put in office in 2019.

The governor’s office says that the case had “only one other parole hearing in 2014. We checked the file and there are not letters from previous governors in it.”

  23 Comments      


*** UPDATED x3 *** Tribune claims possible evidence of alleged illegal coordination

Friday, Nov 4, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Tribune story is here. From DPI…

For months, the People Who Play By The Rules PAC, run by one-time failed candidate and Florida resident Dan Proft, has been running ads funded by Dick Uihlein to support Darren Bailey’s run for governor. By law, PACs cannot coordinate with individual campaigns, but new reporting sheds light on Proft and Bailey’s relationship that begs the question: What is Dan Proft doing for the Bailey campaign and why?

Read highlights from The Chicago Tribune’s bombshell story below.

    • The political committee is an independent expenditure PAC and, by law, is not supposed to coordinate its spending activities with Bailey’s campaign. But the apparent efforts by Proft — who also co-hosts a conservative radio show for which Bailey has been a frequent guest — to try to intercede in a potential legal matter involving Bailey indicate he may be playing a larger role than previously acknowledged.

    • Proft also is involved in political mailers disguised as newspapers that have been sent to thousands of homes across the state, disseminating disinformation to disparage Pritzker. In 2016, a similar mailing effort funded by a former Proft independent expenditure PAC was cited by the Illinois State Board of Elections for illegal coordination with candidates.

    • An internal dispute between Republican governor candidate Darren Bailey’s campaign and a recently departed Bailey political worker has raised questions about the level of involvement the conservative leader of a Bailey-aligned political action committee has had with the Bailey campaign.

    • During those negotiations, Proft weighed in, apparently in an effort to quash the filing of a possible lawsuit in the matter that could become public and hurt Bailey’s chances.

    • Asked to clarify, the campaign did not respond.

With hundreds of thousands of Illinoisans already casting their ballots and thousands more headed to the polls this weekend, Darren Bailey’s campaign must answer about his relationship with Dan Proft. With just four days to go, voters deserve to know: Why did Bailey fire Brett Corrigan and why was Dan Proft involved in an internal HR dispute?

* This is an odd story all around

Corrigan declined to comment and referred all questions to his attorney, Scott Kaspar of Orland Park. Kaspar said Corrigan attended Bailey’s private Full Armor Christian Academy in downstate Louisville, Illinois, and lived with Bailey’s family on their farm in nearby Xenia. Corrigan on the campaign trail served largely as a “body man” for the Republican governor candidate, who is also a state senator, closely following Bailey at events and assisting Bailey as he needed. Since June 2021, state campaign finance records show, he was paid $18,861 by Bailey’s campaign.

But around mid-September, Corrigan left Bailey’s campaign — whether he was fired or left on his own is a matter of dispute, his attorney said. Corrigan now serves a similar role for GOP attorney general candidate Tom DeVore, whose campaign Corrigan joined almost immediately after leaving Bailey’s.

In an interview, DeVore said he was aware of a dispute between Corrigan and Bailey’s campaign and that the two sides were trying to reconcile their differences. DeVore had no comment when asked about any involvement by Proft.

The penalty appears to be a fine.

*** UPDATE 1 *** Pritzker campaign…

The best read of the law suggests the State Board of Elections could impose a fine of as much as $28,083,000 on the [Proft] PAC should they find a violation. We haven’t found examples of fines that large, but that amount should be possible under the IE statute, as described in more detail below.

If an independent expenditure committee (in this case, People Who Play By The Rules PAC) makes a contribution to candidate committee, the State Board of Elections assesses a fine on the committee equal to the amount of any contribution received in the preceding 2 years by the independent expenditure committee that exceeded the limits a [normal, non-independent] PAC may accept in an election cycle. 10 Ill. Comp. Stat. 5/9-8.6(d). For background, a normal PAC in IL may accept $12,000 per year from individuals, $24,000 per year from corporations, unions, or associations, $59,900 per year from candidate committees, $24,000 per year from party committees, and $59,900 per year from other PACS. Id. 5/9-8.5; see also IL State Board of Elections, Contribution Limits Per Election Cycle (Jan. 1, 2021), https://www.elections.il.gov/downloads/campaigndisclosure/pdf/contributionsummary.pdf. So, any contribution the PAC received in excess of those limits could be imposed against them as a fine in the event of a violation.

Because PACs may accept $12,000 per year from individuals, the excess of any individual contribution over $12k will count towards the fine. 10 Ill. Comp. Stat. 5/9-8.5; see also IL State Board of Elections, Contribution Limits Per Election Cycle (Jan. 1, 2021), https://www.elections.il.gov/downloads/campaigndisclosure/pdf/contributionsummary.pdf.

Since the People Who Play By The Rules PAC was formed in March 2022, it has reported $28,095,000 in contributions from Richard Uihlein—which is $28,083,000 above the limit Uihlein could give to a normal PAC as an individual. See generally People Who Play By The Rules PAC, Committee Details, https://www.elections.il.gov/CampaignDisclosure/CommitteeDetail.aspx?ID=meYU8YumQ1UjlydtIJRv9w%3d%3d (last visited Nov. 4, 2022). Should the State Board of Elections find that the PAC illegality coordinated with the Bailey Campaign, its fine could therefore exceed $28 million.

A $28 million fine? Whew.

*** UPDATE 2 *** The Democratic Party of Illinois has filed a complaint with the State Board of Elections, according to the Tribune, and the Dems have revised the possible penalty upwards to $42 million…

We’ve updated the figures to include all of Uihlein’s contributions to the PAC, including the one on the October A-1. Based on all contributions, the fine could exceed $42 million. Revised version below.

he best read of the law suggests the State Board of Elections could impose a fine of as much as $42,018,000 on the PAC should they find a violation. We haven’t found examples of fines that large, but that amount should be possible under the IE statute, as described in more detail below.

If an independent expenditure committee (in this case, People Who Play By The Rules PAC) makes a contribution to candidate committee, the State Board of Elections assesses a fine on the committee equal to the amount of any contribution received in the preceding 2 years by the independent expenditure committee that exceeded the limits a [normal, non-independent] PAC may accept in an election cycle. 10 Ill. Comp. Stat. 5/9-8.6(d). For background, a normal PAC in IL may accept $12,000 per year from individuals, $24,000 per year from corporations, unions, or associations, $59,900 per year from candidate committees, $24,000 per year from party committees, and $59,900 per year from other PACS. Id. 5/9-8.5; see also IL State Board of Elections, Contribution Limits Per Election Cycle (Jan. 1, 2021), https://www.elections.il.gov/downloads/campaigndisclosure/pdf/contributionsummary.pdf. So, any contribution the PAC received in excess of those limits could be imposed against them as a fine in the event of a violation.

Because PACs may accept $12,000 per year from individuals, the excess of any individual contribution over $12k will count towards the fine. 10 Ill. Comp. Stat. 5/9-8.5; see also IL State Board of Elections, Contribution Limits Per Election Cycle (Jan. 1, 2021), https://www.elections.il.gov/downloads/campaigndisclosure/pdf/contributionsummary.pdf.

Since the People Who Play By The Rules PAC was formed in March 2022, it has reported $42,018,000 in contributions from Richard Uihlein—which is $42,006,000 above the limit Uihlein could give to a normal PAC as an individual. See generally People Who Play By The Rules PAC, Committee Details, https://www.elections.il.gov/CampaignDisclosure/CommitteeDetail.aspx?ID=meYU8YumQ1UjlydtIJRv9w%3d%3d (last visited Nov. 4, 2022). Should the State Board of Elections find that the PAC illegality coordinated with the Bailey Campaign, its fine could therefore exceed $42 million.

*** UPDATE 3 *** From DPI’s filed complaint

Mr. Proft has consistently acted in “cooperation, consultation, or concert” with the Bailey Campaign. The examples are endless. For example, Mr. Proft co-hosts a conservative radio show in which Mr. Bailey has been a frequent guest. In one instance, Mr. Proft talks about the millions he has spent supporting the Bailey Campaign, with Mr. Bailey on the line, saying that he “supported Darren Bailey through the super PAC that I run in the primary. And I’m supporting him through the super PAC that I run into the general too.”

From the Bailey campaign’s statement to the Tribune

“The campaign hasn’t spoken to Dan since their general election efforts started,” Bailey campaign spokesman Joe DeBose said in a text

That answer begs the question about what the campaign did with Proft during the primary.

  30 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Now he belongs to the ages

Friday, Nov 4, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The original ad is here. From the HuffPost

Jimmy Kimmel spotted a pretty unusual political ad that was made for a candidate in Illinois but that’s getting attention far beyond the state’s borders for an unexpected endorsement.

It’s “not a major name,” Kimmel noted. “But a really good one.”

That name? Dick Bigger Jr., a farmer featured in a spot for Susana Mendoza, a Democrat seeking reelection as state comptroller.

* Full video is here, but this is a short clip

Kimmel should’ve used some of the outtakes.

* Longtime readers will remember Tim Nieukirk, who ran for governor in 2006 as a write-in. We profiled the “Get Nieuked” campaign’s YouTube “ads” on the blog and Fox News eventually did a piece on him. He even showed up for my bipartisan preelection party. I’ve invited Dick Bigger Jr. to this year’s event.

Tim’s first spot

“Ricky, get off my Trans Am!” still makes me chuckle. And “In bed with…” remains a classic.

Tim is getting married soon, by the way.

*** UPDATE *** Stephen Colbert also did a bit on it and he used some of the outtakes

Thanks to a commenter for providing the link.

  21 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Friday, Nov 4, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Open thread

Friday, Nov 4, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Happy Friday! Talk amongst yourselves but keep it about Illinois, please!

  29 Comments      


Morning briefing

Friday, Nov 4, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Democrats give big bucks to IL17 Eric Sorensen, IL13 Nikki Budzinski, IL6 Sean Casten and IL14 Lauren Underwood…


* A roundup to start your day…

More to come!

  7 Comments      


Live coverage

Friday, Nov 4, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


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Hinsdale hit by racist troll

Thursday, Nov 3, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Spotted in Hinsdale by a canvasser earlier this week…

* From the ADL

The phrase “It’s Okay To Be White” is a slogan popularized in late 2017 as a trolling campaign by members of the controversial discussion forum 4chan. The original idea behind the campaign was to choose an ostensibly innocuous and inoffensive slogan, put that slogan on fliers bereft of any other words or imagery, then place the fliers in public locations. Originators assumed that “liberals” would react negatively to such fliers and condemn them or take them down, thus “proving” that liberals did not even think it was “okay” to be white.

Whether the original trollers were white supremacist or not, actual white supremacists quickly began to promote the campaign—often adding Internet links to white supremacist websites to the fliers or combining the phrase with white supremacist language or imagery. This was not a surprise, as white supremacists had themselves used the phrase in the past—including on fliers—long before the 4chan campaign originated.

* And

In other words, it is the far-right attempting to create a larger, normalized presence; an in-real-life viral meme that will try to coax moderates toward the false narrative that “reverse racism” is real and progressives are hypocrites when it comes to the discussion of race, systemic racism and prejudice.

Rice is commonly used in these racist baggies to weigh them down.

  37 Comments      


Campaign notebook

Thursday, Nov 3, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Heh…


* Illinois early vote totals…


* Chicago early vote totals…

The most up-to-date Early Vote and Vote By Mail totals in Chicago, night of Wednesday, November 2, 2022.

The Early Vote total stands at 81,421 ballots cast.

Additionally, 83,142 Vote By Mail ballots have been returned to the Board – total VBM applications stands at 208,933.

The grand total is 164,563 ballots cast so far in Chicago for the November 8th General Election.

The city is now at 17 percent of the statewide total, up a point from before, but still short of its 21 percent of the total state population.

* First it was property taxes and now it’s DCFS…

…Adding… IPI has a video, too. Commenter “Union Thug” found it. Click here.

* Local sheriff who opposes SAFE-T Act because it will increase crime has several deputies who say they may resign en masse if local sheriff loses his reelection to an independent candidate

…Adding… The above was a newspaper ad, by the way.

* While we’re talking about sheriffs, this is from the official government Facebook page of the Stephenson County Sheriff’s Office

Bold.

* Back to the SAFE-T Act. The Tribune gets it right

[Republican Rich Janor] has repeatedly accused [Rep. Janet Yang Rohr’s, D-Naperville] of being soft on crime. He inaccurately claimed in a League of Women Voters forum in October that under the SAFE-T Act a police officer couldn’t remove a trespasser sitting in someone’s living room watching TV.

While the law mandates tickets instead of arrests for misdemeanors such as trespassing, an Illinois Supreme Court task force has said police retain the ability to remove a person before issuing a citation.

…Adding… Since we’re talking about the SAFE-T Act, this is from a text message today…

* DPI media advisory…

Vice President Kamala Harris will rally with Illinois Democrats at 2:00pm on Sunday, November 6th.

WHEN: 12:00pm doors, 2:00pm event start, Sunday, November 6, 2022

WHERE: XS Tennis and Education Foundation, 5336 S State St, Chicago

* Greg Hinz

The race for Congress in the west suburban 6th District, where incumbent Sean Casten, D-Downers Grove, faces GOP nominee and Orland Park Mayor Keith Pekau, has taken a turn toward the competitive after appearing to be solidly favorable for Casten. […]

The first sign that the contest had tightened occurred in late October when House Speaker Nancy Pelosi paid a visit for an event with Casten. And one of Pelosi’s big funding vehicles, the House Majority PAC, poured $630,000 into pro-Casten ads.

Since then, three different major national handicappers—Real Clear Politics, Politico and the Cook Political Report—have moved their forecasts in the GOP direction, though two of the three say Casten still has a real, if reduced, edge. […]

Casten’s folks say they always expected the race to narrow at the end, given that most of the newly remapped district was previously represented by someone else. Casten will continue to attack Pekau on issues like abortion while Pekau says he supports abortion in cases of rape, incest and risks to the mother’s life. But Pekau also praised the U.S. Supreme Court decision that allowed states to ban all abortions.

* Kevin McCarthy to stump for Pekau

* ILGOP Statement on President Biden’s visit to Illinois…

Today, President Joe Biden visits Illinois for a series of rallies to bail out sputtering Congressional Democrats in the Chicago suburbs. ILGOP Chairman Don Tracy issued the following statement:

“As the Biden economy sputters, races for suburban Congressional Democrats once thought safe are trending in the wrong direction. Now President Biden is making a last-ditch effort to dig them out of the hole they dug together. Senator Duckworth, Congressmen Sean Casten, Raja Krishnamoorthi, Bill Foster, and Congresswoman Lauren Underwood have all spent two years supporting the inflation-fueling Biden-Pelosi spending binge every step of the way. Now with historic inflation fueling skyrocketing gas and grocery prices, they can follow their spending binge to its final destination - out of office on the morning of November 9th.”

A recent New York Times poll indicated that 44% of likely voters cite the economy and inflation as their most important issues. The U.S. economy is facing its highest inflation rate in 40 years as a direct result of runaway spending by President Biden and Congressional Democrats that even respected Democrat economists warned could fuel the historic inflation we are now experiencing. Reps. Casten, Krishnamoorthi, Foster, and Underwood supported this spending agenda at every turn.

RealClearPolitics recently moved Casten (IL-6) and Underwood’s (IL-14) races from Lean D to toss-up as the Congressional Leadership Fund announced a massive seven-figure investment in Illinois’ 6th Congressional District race.

* Tom DeVore is on a panel at the Midwest Freedom Summit 2022 this Saturday in Itasca

America is facing challenging times. Inflation is skyrocketing, as the cost of everything from gas to groceries continues to rise. Everyday Americans are struggling to keep their heads above water with a shaky stock market and economic uncertainty. On the world stage, America’s stature continues to shrink, after a hasty and bloody exit from Afghanistan and a seemingly never-ending stalemate in Ukraine. As the nation finally exits the COVID pandemic and looks ahead to the 2022 mid-term elections and beyond, issues like abortion, gun control, and education remain top of mind for voters. In Illinois, voters face the opportunity to replace Gov. JB Pritzker after nearly four years of disastrous COVID policies that have left the state struggling to recover.

Amid these many challenges, conservatives from across the Midwest will come together for Freedom Summit 2022 on Saturday, November 5, 2022 — just a few short days before the critical mid-term elections. Attendees will have the chance to consider these important issues, as they are discussed and debated by some of the country’s most prominent conservative voices. This one-day event will feature speakers, break-out sessions, and book signings. As we prepare to head to the polls for thes critical mid-term elections, this event should not be missed.

Hear from keynote speakers Alex Berenson, Brandon Tatum, and Larry Elder, as well as break-out panels on the economy, the COVID-19 pandemic, election integrity, and much more.

Dan Proft is also a featured speaker. Dennis Reboletti, who is running for the Senate this year, will be on a panel with DeVore, Stephanie Trussell and Tyrone Muhammad (whose group got into that tussle with police the other day). It’ll be moderated by John Anthony, who was fired from IDOC for sexual harassment.

* Isabel’s roundup…

    * Chicago Tribune | President Joe Biden implores voters to save democracy from lies ahead of midterms: The president’s speech — focused squarely on the rite of voting and the counting of that vote — amounted to a plea for Americans to step back from the inflamed rhetoric that has heightened fears of political violence and challenges to the integrity of the elections. Biden was straddling two roles, speaking as both a president defending the pillars of democracy and a Democrat trying to boost his party’s prospects against Republicans. He called out the hundreds of candidates who have denied the 2020 election result and now refuse to commit to accepting the results of the upcoming midterms. “This driving force is trying to succeed where they failed in 2020 to suppress the rights of voters and subvert the electoral system itself,” Biden said. “That is the path to chaos in America. It’s unprecedented. It’s unlawful. And it is un-American.”

    * Chicago Tribune | Getting out the vote in 2022: Text messages, social media posts, rallies, door knocking and a drag show : As voting continues through Tuesday along with the TV ads, the campaigns for governor, their local party organizations and their allies are relying on traditional strategies such as sending teams to canvass door-to-door and phone banking. They are also using more recent techniques such as digital ads, social media and text messaging. “There are several thousand people knocking on doors across Illinois and making phone calls,” Bailey said in one of his near daily Facebook Live posts on Tuesday.

    * NBC | What Changes if the Illinois Workers Rights Amendment Passes, and When Would it Take Effect?: For all intents and purposes, the amendment will codify the right of workers to unionize into the state’s constitution. It would also prohibit state government from passing “right-to-work” laws, which are currently in effect in at least 27 U.S. states.

    * Quad-City Times | IL Comptroller, local officials call on state to timely pay families of fallen first responders : Surrounded by local police, firefighters, EMS personnel and elected state and local officials in Moline Wednesday, Mendoza detailed House Bill 5785, which aims to ensure timely compensation is given to the next of kin of those who perish in the line of duty. The bill would ensure a continuing line of funding is available without disruption, so there is no delay to the families.

    * Belleville News-Democrat | It’s the last day to request a mail-in ballot for the November election in Illinois: If you’re hoping to vote by mail in the Tuesday, Nov. 8, midterm in Illinois, Thursday is the final day to request your ballot electronically or by post. The deadline for ballot requests across the state is Nov. 3. You do not need an excuse to vote by mail in Illinois, and all registered voters are eligible.

    * Register-Mail | Halpin spends more than twice as much as Thoms in District 36 Senate race: A look at third quarter (July 1 to Sept. 30) contributions and spending of the two candidates shows Halpin with a clear financial advantage. Halpin spent nearly $1.9 million for his campaign during the third quarter, more than doubling the campaign spending for Thoms, $767,979.

    * Belleville News-Democrat | Here’s what happened when Madison County sent incorrect ballots to voters in this precinct: Madison County mistakenly sent ballots that included six judicial candidates for the Nov. 8 election to residents in one Edwardsville precinct, but County Clerk Debbie Ming Mendoza said efforts are underway to correct the mistake. Some residents of Precinct 3 received ballots that incorrectly listed judicial candidates in the newly created Subcircuit 1 of the 3rd Judicial Circuit. However, this precinct is not located in Subcircuit 1.

    * WAND | African-American voters in Champaign receiving false texts about voting locations: “These messages are not affiliated with the Champaign County Clerk’s office. They were sent by a third-party vendor of an organization called Black Voters Matter. Black Voters Matter contracted with a third-party vendor to send push notifications to voters,” said Ammons. The messages stated that the residents would now have to drive to Gifford, Illinois to cast their vote. “I have not had an opportunity to speak to anyone from Black Voters Matter or Movement Labs. We wanted to immediately jump on this to make sure that our voters here in Champaign County got the accurate information that they need to make sure they know that it did not come from the election authority here locally and what they can do to resolve the issue,” stated Ammons.

  38 Comments      


Big hugs to Sen. Bryant

Thursday, Nov 3, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Background is here if you need it. Sen. Terri Bryant (R-Murphysboro) has written an open letter to the women in Sen. Michael Hastings’ district

November 3, 2022
 
Dear voters of the 19th Senate District,



You deserve better.

 You deserve better than State Senator Michael Hastings.

You deserve better than to be represented by a man who has a dangerous track record of abusing, harassing, and bullying women.

You deserve better than to have someone who battered his wife, choked her, slammed her into a door, and elbowed her in the face in front of their small children serve you in the State Senate.

You deserve better than to be stuck with an elected official who is so arrogant that he refuses to step down from office even after Governor Pritzker, a man of his same party, came out publicly calling for his resignation.

You deserve better than a state senator, who despite his unbecoming behavior, has been enabled and tolerated by his protectors in Springfield, in which they spent $150,000 of your taxpayer money to keep one of his accusers quiet.

But beyond what you deserve, the women he has abused and harassed deserve something even greater from you this election. They deserve to be heard, understood, and supported. And you have the power to give them that on November 8.

You have the power to side with the staffer who was discriminated against. You have the power to stand with the woman who works in Springfield and who now refuses to have meetings with Sen. Hastings after an experience that left her shaken and intimidated.

But most importantly, you have the power to show support to a brave mother and survivor of domestic violence. The hell that this “husband” has put his former wife and children through and continues to put them through must come to an end.

You don’t know me, and you’ve likely never heard of me. And you may be wondering why I am writing this letter. I’m State Senator Terri Bryant. I represent one of the most southern senate districts in Illinois. So why am I reaching out to you—residents of a south suburban district? It’s because I, too, am a survivor. I know firsthand the kind of men who conduct this sort of disgusting behavior and believe me, these men have no place in such a prestigious office.

As a survivor of childhood domestic abuse, I grew up in a house where my mother and us children were the subjects of daily beatings from my stepfather, including one in particular that caused my mother to have a miscarriage. There wasn’t a moment of those five years that I remember my mother not having a busted lip or a black eye.

Since then, there’s not a day that goes by that the abuse and trauma doesn’t impact me. It doesn’t leave you and it never will. The triggers will come out of nowhere, just like they did a couple of days ago when I read the news about the violence Sen. Hastings committed on his then-wife and in front of his children. But over the years, I’ve had the wonderful support of many who have stood by my side.

And now, another woman, going through similar experiences, is in need of your support. You know what you need to do. Your choice this election has never been easier because in your heart you know.

WE ALL DESERVE BETTER.



Sincerely,



 Terri Bryant, 58th District State Senator

The first time I read that letter I kinda dismissed it as not exactly “news-worthy.” But then I read it more closely and the heart of the letter that I’ve highlighted, when Sen. Bryant related her own experiences and the triggers that “come out of nowhere,” well, that really got to me.

Try to put the politics and partisanship and individuals aside. It’s a strong message. We do, indeed, all deserve better, and I thought you’d like to read it.

  19 Comments      


Jesse White calls new Proft ad “highly offensive,” Ald. Beale slams Bailey and Proft “and their racist, fear-mongering propaganda machine”

Thursday, Nov 3, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I saw this Proft ad last night…

People Who Play By The Rules PAC has launched a new :30 TV spot, “Last Dance.” It will run on Illinois TV stations this week and can be seen on YouTube and on the PBR PAC Facebook page.

:30 TV Script:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r4V6R5H3i84

What’s more painful than watching this?

*Unmodified footage of Pritzker ineptly dancing on stage

Hearing what Pritzker says about Black elected officials when he thinks no one is listening.

ABC7 broadcaster, 2018: “Newly released FBI recording of Democratic gubernatorial candidate JB Pritzker is causing a deep split in the African-American community.”

“Of all the African Americans I can think that are sort of like qualified as least offensive, it’s Jesse White. Emil [Jones] is a little more crass.” -Pritzker from Blagojevich FBI tapes

Alderman Anthony Beale, 9th Ward, 2018: “This is a slap in our face, taking our community for granted. This is not the kind of leadership that we need at this time.”

PUNISH PRITZKER FOR HIS RACISM.

Paid for by People Who Play By The Rules PAC

* React from Secretary of State Jesse White…

I have known JB Pritzker for more than 30 years and I consider him a very good friend. I also consider him the best governor that Illinois has had in my lifetime.

As governor and as a private citizen, JB has supported not only the African-American community, but all communities throughout the state. I know where his heart is and he doesn’t have a racist bone in his body.

To manipulate a taped phone conversation and to use it in a political commercial, as it reflects the Governor’s views, is highly offensive.

I strongly encourage the people of Illinois to ignore this desperate political ad.

* Ald. Anthony Beale…

Last night I discovered that Dan Profit, on behalf of the Republican Party, has created a commercial that uses my image and words to disparage Governor JB Pritzker.

Profit did not gain my permission or consent to ues my image or words. Rather, he took a sentence said years ago out of context in a crass attempt to diminish the vote for Governor Pritzker by implying that I am critical of the governor.

Nothing could be farther from the truth. Over the last four years, I’ve had the opportunity to work closely with Governor Pritzker on a variety of issues––and I’ve seen firsthand the impact his administration’s investments have made in our communities. Darren Bailey, Dan Proft, and their racist, fear-mongering propaganda machine have never once stood up for Black and brown families, and their attempts to use us as political pawns in the final days of this election is sickening.

Dan Profit did not ask my permission to appear in this ad––and had he asked I would have unequivocally refused. I demand that he take this ad off the air immediately, and will be pursuing all legal remedies available.

Not sure if he has a legal leg to stand on, but what do you think of the ad?

…Adding… Natalie Edelstein at the Pritzker campaign…

“If your strategy five days from Election Day is attempting to suppress the Black vote, you’re losing.”

* Related…

* How anti-Pritzker PAC is trying to suppress the Black vote in Chicago: One interpretation could be that it’s just an attempt to persuade Black voters to support Bailey. However, since the fear-mongering flyers and signs do not push Bailey’s candidacy, the strategy appears to be to depress Black voter turnout for Pritzker, political operatives said. Democratic political consultant Ron Holmes, a veteran of many campaigns in Illinois where turning out the Black vote has been critical, said these Proft PAC appeals are “directly aimed at ensuring Black voters stay at home rather than vote for candidates who have been working in their best interests.”

  22 Comments      


Question of the day

Thursday, Nov 3, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Fox 32

A 21-year-old Chicago man is facing charges after police say he left a death threat on a voicemail for Gubernatorial GOP hopeful Darren Bailey.

State Senator Darren Bailey says it is the political rhetoric from Governor JB Pritzker that has helped create this kind of hatred. […]

“The divisiveness that JB Pritzker has created in our state over the last four years — the hatred that exists,” said Bailey. […]

Bailey also pointed to the controversial SAFE-T Act and what will happen, if this happens again.

“After Jan. 1, public officials can be threatened and not a lot can be done about it,” said Bailey.

* The Question: Your thoughts on this?

  55 Comments      


Thanks, @Gannett!

Thursday, Nov 3, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Election day is in five days and early and mail-in voting has been underway for a while now. So, let’s look at a few front pages of Gannett websites in this state, starting with the State Journal-Register

* Rockford Register Star

* Peoria Journal Star

Except for that what not to wear headline and the generic election day info “guide,” you’d barely know there was an election going on. And forget about news stories which help inform voters about who is running, what they stand for and why readers should care.

Gannett, you will recall, took over the printing of Dan Proft’s newspapers when the Daily Herald was embarrassed into dropping its contract with him.

* So, let’s take a look at one of Proft’s papers that Gannett is printing…



While basically blacking out local, state and national political coverage in their own actual newspapers, the company is printing all that political propaganda for cash. And it’s not just today. I visit those papers looking for content every day.

Such a responsible “news” company.

  53 Comments      


Tribune looks at turnout

Thursday, Nov 3, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Rick Pearson

Of the 677,000 early votes cast in Illinois through Monday, more than twice as many Democrats as Republicans have filled out ballots — 404,374 to 193,177, according to L2, a national firm that has spent more than 50 years researching voter data and demographics. The other roughly 80,000 voters had no previous partisan voting history. Since Illinois does not have true party registration, the figures are based on personal voting history in party primaries, including on June 28.

More than 80% of the early votes were cast by older voters, age 50 and above, with voters 65 and older, a reliable voting demographic, casting 56% of the early ballots. Female voters accounted for 55% of the early vote, and men made up 45%, the L2 analysis showed.

Geographically, 65% of the early votes were cast in the six-county Chicago metropolitan area, with 35% coming from Chicago and suburban Cook County, 10% from DuPage, 8% from Will and 5% apiece from Lake and Kane. McHenry County has cast 2% of the state’s early votes.

Of the early votes already cast, 35% of Democrats also voted in the June 28 primary compared with only 17% of Republicans who cast a primary ballot. That leaves the potential for a final flurry of balloting on both sides, with Republicans counting on a heavy in-person Election Day vote as races in the one-party blue state show signs of tightening.

I early voted yesterday for the first time.

  32 Comments      


Rate the new Pritzker ad

Thursday, Nov 3, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Here you go

* Script

Donald Trump wants you to vote for Darren Bailey.

Trump: “Darren has my complete and total endorsement.”

Why? Because Darren Bailey spread Trump’s lies about the 2020 election.

Like Trump, Bailey stands with the NRA against banning assault weapons.

And Bailey wants to outlaw abortion even in cases of rape or incest.

Bailey: “I’ve made a promise to President Trump that in 2024, Illinois will roll out the red carpet out for him, because Illinois will be ready for President Trump.”

  42 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition

Thursday, Nov 3, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Thursday, Nov 3, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Morning briefing

Thursday, Nov 3, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* A roundup to start your day…

    * Republican candidate Darren Bailey to vote Thursday after death threat: Bailey is expected to be voting in downstate Clay County, but a Chicago man is behind bars after he was charged with making a violent threat toward the GOP candidate. Prosecutors said that the suspect was angry after seeing TV ads about the gubernatorial candidate and then bragged on social media that he was a “political terrorist.” Bailey told ABC7 Chicago in an exclusive interview that the suspect mentioned Pritzker’s ads in the voicemail, and for that reason, Bailey says this threat falls at the feet of Gov. JB Pritzker.

    * “There will be more security”: “There will be more security. I am concerned, because it’s happening too frequently,” Durbin said in Decatur this week, giving another example: “Rodney Davis, Republican congressman. At baseball practice several years ago, (he) was assaulted by a gunman from the other side of the political spectrum. It’s unacceptable. Violence is unacceptable, whatever the political motivation. Period.”

    * Man who threatened to kill GOP candidate for governor Darren Bailey had been angered by political ad he saw at a bar, prosecutors say: Scott M. Lennox, 21, of the 3300 block of North Lake Shore Drive, was charged with threatening a public official, a felony, and two harassment offenses following his arrest earlier this week by Illinois State Police. A judge Wednesday afternoon ordered Lennox held on $75,000 bail.

    * Focusing on crime and economy, GOP seeks to chip away at Democratic dominance of General Assembly: While Democrats are almost sure to keep a majority in both chambers, Republicans are hoping to gain a greater voice in Springfield by cutting into the Democratic supermajority, which would require net gains of three seats in the House and six in the Senate. Second-term Senate President Don Harmon of Oak Park and rookie House Speaker Emanuel “Chris” Welch of Hillside each backed at least one incumbent who was defeated by a challenger in the June primary, and the general election will be an early indication of whether the party can maintain its overwhelming edge without indicted former House Speaker Michael Madigan at the helm.

    * CVS and Walgreens announce opioid settlements totaling $10 billion: The deals call for most of the funds from Woonsocket, Rhode Island-based CVS and Deerfield, Illinois-based Walgreens to be used to fight the opioid crisis through such efforts as expanding treatment and support programs for people with addiction, along with providing overdose antidotes and launching prevention efforts. In a conference call with analysts Wednesday, CVS Health CEO Karen Lynch said the deal sprang from mediation discussions that started last month.

    * Lynn Sweet: Avalanche of mail hitting Illinois voters, but funding behind partisan ‘newspapers’ not disclosed: In 2016, the Illinois State Board of Elections admonished Proft for not disclosing that his PAC was paying for the papers. On Aug. 15, 2016, according to state records, Local Government Information Services Inc., was incorporated in Illinois. The president of LGIS is Brian Timpone; the secretary is John Tillman, whose IPI received millions of dollars from Uihlein’s foundation. Timpone’s been connected to Metric Media LLC, a network of companies, including Local Government Information Services and Pipeline Media, where he is listed as a manager on state records.

    * State senator whose district includes Arlington Park opposes possible Bears TIF: Gillespie, an Arlington Heights Democrat who is sponsor of legislation to reform the controversial TIF process, questioned the need for the local property tax help during conversations about the NFL franchise’s possible move to the shuttered racetrack, where the team has proposed a $5 billion mixed-use redevelopment.

    * Senate candidates explain their ads: Hamilton said her campaign’s ads are responding to Turner’s distortion of Hamilton’s voting record. “I didn’t want to go negative,” Hamilton said. “I’m not going to just sit there and take it.” Hamilton said she stands by the content of her ads.

    * Election Day forecast: Illinois statehouse reporter Brenden Moore’s predictions: Pritzker, I think, will win relatively comfortably, though perhaps not by as much as some polls suggest given the electoral climate. Illinois leans Democratic and, with a legislative record that includes a minimum wage increase, recreational marijuana legalization and a plan to achieve 100% clean energy production by 2050, Democratic base voters have little to complain about with Pritzker. His stewardship of the state’s finances should appeal to moderate voters.

    * State 24th District Senate candidates differ on how to improve the business climate in Illinois: Lewis, currently a state representative in the 45th House District, says promoting business growth in Illinois is one of his top issues. The 54-year-old Bartlett resident says Illinois must make better use of its strengths, including the quality of its labor force and universities. He also wants to see fewer restrictions on business.

    * Biden in Illinois Friday to rally Democrats ahead of Tuesday vote; Harris in city Sunday: Biden will lead a get-out-the-vote event for Democrats with a focus on boosting suburban Chicago congressional incumbents — Reps. Sean Casten, Lauren Underwood and Bill Foster — who are in races that may be tightening.

    * Illinois Proud Boys Member Pleads Guilty to Assaulting Officer During Jan. 6 Capitol Breach: An Illinois man, a member of the Proud Boys, pleaded guilty today to assaulting a law enforcement officer during the breach of the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021. His actions and the actions of others disrupted a joint session of the U.S. Congress convened to ascertain and count the electoral votes related to the 2020 presidential election. James Robert Elliott, 25, of Aurora, Illinois, pleaded guilty in the District of Columbia to assaulting, resisting, or impeding officers.

    * Rep. La Shawn Ford weighs in on Illinois’ SAFE-T Act debuting next year: State Rep. La Shawn Ford joins Good Day Chicago to share his thoughts on the SAFE-T Act and detail what tweaks he would make to the new system beginning next year.

    * Editorial: For Illinois House: Pettorini, Dias, Reick, Weber, Robertson, Ness, West, Sosnowski, Swanson, Henry, Haskell, Hernandez, Haas, DeLuca, Stava-Murray, Wheeler: This is the fifth installment of the Tribune Editorial Board’s endorsements for Illinois House races in the Nov. 8 general election.

    * Pritzker, Durbin speak on ISU’s campus to endorse Chung, Koehler, encourage voting: Pritzker then endorsed Chung for state representative and emphasized her dedication to education. “She’s a mom, she’s a musician, she’s a member of the county board, she’s a teacher and someone who cares deeply about advancing this state,” Pritzker said.

    * Cristian Javier, Astros bullpen combine for second no-hitter in World Series history, beat Phillies 5-0: Javier and Houston’s bullpen combined on just the second no-hitter in World Series history, silencing a booming lineup and boisterous fans as the Astros blanked the Phillies 5-0 Wednesday night to even the matchup at two games each. The only previous no-hitter in the World Series was a perfect game by Don Larsen of the New York Yankees against the Brooklyn Dodgers in 1956.

* More to come!

  18 Comments      


Open thread

Thursday, Nov 3, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Good morning! As the race to Election Day enters its final stretch, how is Nov 8th affecting your part of Illinois?

  20 Comments      


Live coverage

Thursday, Nov 3, 2022 - Posted by Isabel Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


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« NEWER POSTS PREVIOUS POSTS »
* Roundup: Pentagon plans military deployment in Chicago after Trump threat
* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* Isabel’s afternoon roundup
* Numbers dump! Raja poll claims 20-point lead
* President says Chicago is 'probably next' after DC (Updated x4)
* Maybe it's time the state did something about this problem
* Roundup: RTA shifts $74M from Metra, Pace to CTA to buy time before transit cliff
* Catching up with the federal candidates (Updated)
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* Open thread
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - More news
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