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Bustos staffer resigns after racist recording surfaces

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* As I told you earlier this afternoon, Bobby Schilling’s campaign released a recording of what it claimed were racist remarks by a staff member in Congresswoman Cheri Bustos’ Rock Island district office.

From Bustos herself…

“These comments are unacceptable on every front. I heard them for the first time this afternoon on my drive from Peoria to Rockford. The staff member on the recording offered her resignation and I accepted effective immediately. She is no longer employed in my office. I have begun sitting down with the African American leadership in our communities to express my outrage and disappointment over these comments.”

  30 Comments      


“Stealing the election” meme strikes again

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Several people have sent me this mailer from the IL GOP…


* As a commenter pointed out earlier today, this “stealing” claim not only sets up a “We was robbed!” battle cry after the election, but will also help fire up the base and get them to the polls before those Chicago thieves do their dirty work.

The funniest part for me, though, was that several Democrats received that mailer and then sent it to me. And one guy in a black precinct on the South Side told me over the weekend that several people in his building received the GOP flier.

Seems odd to me.

  44 Comments      


Poll: All ballot proposals have strong support

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Before we begin, here are the requirements for passing a constitutional amendment come November…

A proposed amendment shall become effective as the amendment provides if approved by either three-fifths of those voting on the question or a majority of those voting in the election.

The math is a bit tricky because people tend to skip over those questions. But anything with over 60 percent support right now is looking good, and both proposals have that.

I’ve pulled out all of the language about registered voters on this Paul Simon Public Policy Institute poll memo because I think they’re meaningless. We want to look at likely voters, so I rewrote it a bit. Also, keep in mind that this poll is ancient: September 23 through October 15. However, since there is no well-funded and active opposition to any of these questions, the responses are probably in line with current thought…

• Right to vote. Reflecting the current national debate over voting rights, respondents were asked if they favored or opposed the following provision: “No person shall be denied the right to register to vote or to cast a ballot in an election based on race, color, ethnicity, status as a member of a language minority, national origin, region, sex, sexual orientation, or income.”

Among likely voters, the results were 69.3 percent favored/strongly favored and 21.3 percent opposed/strongly opposed.

• Rights of crime victims. Respondents were asked, “Would you favor or oppose a constitutional amendment that would strengthen the Crime Victims’ Bill of Rights by increasing victims’ access to proceedings and increasing protections against harassment?”

Among the likely voters the results were 69.6 percent favored/strongly favored and 15.6 percent opposed/strongly opposed.

* The ballot questions are merely advisory, so any result over 50 will help it in the GA…

• Higher minimum wage. This question asked if voters would favor or oppose a proposal to raise the minimum wage in Illinois from $8.25 per hour to $10 per hour.

Among likely voters, 68.6 percent favored or strongly favored the proposed increase while 26.8 percent opposed or strongly opposed.

Partisan differences appeared: 89.9 percent of the Democrats favored or strongly favored while 67.0 percent of the Independents favored or strongly favored. Among likely Republican voters, 55.2 percent opposed or strongly opposed.

• Birth control: Tapping one of the most contentious political conflicts in the nation today, the respondents were asked, “Would you favor or oppose an advisory proposal to require all health insurance plans in Illinois to cover prescription birth control?”

Among likely voters, 59.3 percent strongly favored or favored while 32.6 percent opposed or strongly opposed. The most likely Democratic voters favored the measure by an 81.4 percent favor to 11.7 percent margin. The Republicans were nearly the opposite with 64.3 percent opposed or strongly opposed versus 28.1 percent who favored or strongly favored. The Independents were closer to the Democrats with 61.2 percent favorable and 33.0 percent opposed.

• Millionaire tax increase. In an attempt to measure support for the so-called “Millionaire’s Tax,” respondents were asked, “Would you favor or oppose an advisory proposal to add a 3 percent tax on all income above $1 million a year to provide additional funding to public schools?”

Among likely voters, 65 percent who favored or strongly favored and 30.2 percent opposed or strongly opposed.

83.3 percent of the Democrats favored or strongly favored the millionaire’s tax, with only 13.2 percent opposing. Two-thirds [66 percent] of the Independents favored or strongly favored, and 27.2 percent opposed. A strong majority [58.6 percent] of the Republicans opposed or strongly opposed this measure while only 36.2 percent of the Republicans most likely to vote favored or strongly favored.)

691 interviews with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.

  9 Comments      


General, you made this mess, now clarify it

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From a press release…

The Illinois Republican Party sent a critical “voter fraud alert” robocall this afternoon to Republican voters and election judges, asking for heightened vigilance following a rash of questionable issues at polling locations, including Republican voters watching in shock as their voting machines changed their votes from “Republican” to “Democrat.”

“This election is far too important for anything less than 100 percent transparency and 100 percent fairness. Not a single exception will be tolerated,” said Tim Schneider, Chairman of the Illinois Republican Party. “The people of Illinois are demanding a change from the failures of Pat Quinn and the Democrats in charge; we deserve nothing less than a clean and fair election.”

Voters are asked to immediately report any suspicious activity by calling or emailing TIPS@ilgop.org.

The ILGOP takes every report seriously, and is pursuing legal action where required.

Issues in the first week of early voting have included:

    Schaumburg, IL: On Monday, Jim Moynihan, GOP candidate for State House, tried to vote for himself and saw the voting machine try to record his vote for his opponent instead. Election officials blamed a mysterious “calibration error.” Several similar errors were reported around the state.

    Rockford, IL: On Tuesday, early voting in Rockford was suddenly shut down for hours because of two separate ballot issues.

    Rock Island, IL: Congressional Candidate Bobby Schilling reported as many as 20 instances of voting machines changing Republican votes to Democrat, prompting a complaint to the Board of Elections. In the same county, Republicans were forced to take legal action to ensure full transparency and openness for poll watchers.

    Danville, IL: Officials illegally began processing absentee votes last week, contrary to election law and a specific advisory from Attorney General Lisa Madigan.

Robocall text:

“Hello this is Tim Schneider, chairman of the Illinois Republican Party. I’m calling Republicans today with an important voter fraud alert. Across Illinois, we are getting daily reports of Democrats trying to help Pat Quinn steal the vote so he can stay in office. In some places, when you try to vote Republican, your vote automatically switches to Democrat. It’s outrageous. And I need your help to stop it. When you go to vote — during early voting this week or on Election Day next Tuesday, November 4th — keep an eye out for possible voter fraud. If you see something, say something. Call our voter fraud hotline at 312-201-9000. Again, that’s 312-201-9000. Thank you and this call was paid for by the Illinois Republican Party.”

Man, talk about over-blown. It looks like they’re setting up a “Fraud at Polls!” argument if Rauner loses a close one.

* We’ve talked about the one-off problem in Schaumburg already. It’s really a non-issue. No votes were actually tabulated the wrong way. We discussed Rockford as well. It was a ballot printing error that caused the delay in early voting.

The Rock Island situation is different because Bobby Schilling is claiming 20 complaints. He’s known for being a bit of an exaggerator, however, so I’m wondering if any of those complaints have been officially filed with the proper authorities. RICO obviously needs to get its calibrations in order, but, again, I seriously doubt that any votes were actually cast the wrong way.

* And that brings us to the Danville case

Danville election officials opened and processed a number of absentee ballots more than a week before the election, which local Republicans are calling a violation of state law and a threat to the fairness of the process.

Barbara Dreher, director of the Danville Election Commission, said this morning that her office has already put some absentee ballots through the tabulator, an electronic machine that processes the paper ballots. She said she knew it was a violation of a state statute, but absentee ballots were piling up in auxiliary bins in her office, in the Vermilion County Courthouse Annex in downtown Danville.

Putting them through the tabulator opened up space, she said.

Let’s be clear here: This is the way just about all county clerks did things for years. It’s not some new, nefarious plot. Only now that Attorney General Lisa Madigan decided that putting absentee ballots into the tabulator before an election somehow violates a state law passed nine years ago has this become an issue.

Yes, the county clerk election commission was stupid. And, yes, the Republicans will likely try to get those votes thrown out - and since the Democrats have sunk millions into their early voting effort, the GOP knows who will be hurt more.

* I’ve been trying to get some clarification out of Madigan’s office for days about this topic

Election results in DuPage County could take a day longer than usual for the Election Commission to tabulate after Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan’s recent opinion on the counting process.

Madigan’s statement, issued Oct. 15, said that ballots collected through early voting and absentee balloting cannot be counted before election polls close at 7 p.m. Nov. 4.

Specifically, the opinion said that running the ballots through tabulating equipment is a form of counting.

Joseph Sobecki, the DuPage commission’s assistant executive director, said waiting until 7 p.m. on election day will definitely impede how quickly they can report results.

“Most likely it would be pushed back about a day,” Sobecki said.

* More

Madigan, a Democrat, issued an opinion last week in response to some “procedural issues” about vote tabulation, spokeswoman Natalie Bauer said. The opinion says state law is clear that no vote-counting should start until 7 p.m. That includes running mail-in and early votes through equipment to prepare them for vote-recording, a process which, Madigan said, “clearly constitutes ‘counting’ as that term is ordinarily understood.”

James Allen, spokesman for the Chicago Board of Election Commissioners, which oversees nearly 1.4 million voters, said prohibiting any activity until close of polls would mean the state’s three-largest jurisdictions – Chicago, suburban Cook County, and suburban DuPage County – “would be delayed by multiple, multiple hours before reporting even one vote.”

Allen said the board is seeking clarification from the attorney general on whether its traditional system will suffice. A machine processes and sorts the ballots and puts the results in an encrypted file that can only be ready when linked to accompanying software – something the office doesn’t do until after polls close.

  32 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Bustos promises “action” after alleged racist staff audio surfaces

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

*** UPDATE *** The Bustos staffer has resigned. Click here for more info.

[ *** End Of Update *** ]

* From the Bobby Schilling campaign…

A constituent visiting Congresswoman Bustos’ official office in Rock Island last winter received a shocking response to a question about how the Congresswoman’s position on an issue reflect the views of constituents in new areas of the district, particularly Rockford.

The constituent recorded the conversation to reflect on it later. He asked a question on an issue and never expected such derogatory comments about the people of Rockford. He was so disturbed by the callous, cynical response he ended up giving a copy of it to the Schilling campaign. In the audio, which is attached, the constituent is told that Rockford is “very, very urban, very poor, very underprivileged,” and “Not people that spend a lot of time in church—more in jail than church.”

Here is a transcript of the dialogue from the audio clip:

    Constituent: But the other areas, like Rockford or Peoria or those areas?”

    Bustos’ Office: “You know, I don’t spend a lot of time in those areas. I don’t think–I’ve never heard anything in Rockford. You’ve gotta understand, the part of Rockford we have, though–”

    Constituent: “Is pretty rural? Or, pretty, no, urban, isn’t it?”

    Bustos’ Office: “Very, very urban, very poor, very underprivileged. Not people that, um, spend a lot of time in church [laughter]. More in jail [laughter] than church.”

Not good at all.

* Audio

* From Congresswoman Bustos…

“The comments on this audio tape are outrageous and do not reflect my values. In every office and on the desks of every one of my staff members, there is a sign that states: ‘We pledge to provide exceptional service, treat ALL people with dignity and respect, and work every day to improve our community.’ That mission statement is what I expect of all my staff. If someone ever fails to meet that expectation, I will take appropriate action.

“Our office is in receipt of the same audio that was released to the press today, but at present have not been able to validate the audio itself, the parties involved, or where and when it may have been recorded. Once this review is complete, and if it is determined that one of my staff members made these statements, action will be taken.”

  27 Comments      


Kelsey Grammer pushes constitutional amendment

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Big, big bucks are being spent to urge a “Yes” vote on the Crime Victims Bill of Rights constitutional amendment next month. Proponents have now lined up a celebrity spokesman. From a press release…

Kelsey Grammer may be best known for the roles he’s played in the television series Cheers and Frasier; but starting today, you’ll see him on airwaves with a more somber tone encouraging Illinois voters to vote ‘yes’ for the Crime Victims’ Bill of Rights. Grammer’s passionate involvement with this issue stems from the most horrific tragedies of his life. Grammer’s father, Frank Grammer, was murdered in 1968. Seven years later, his sister, Karen Grammer, was raped by four men and murdered in Colorado. […]

Grammer was not paid for his participation in this ad.

* The ad

* Script…

“I’m Kelsey Grammer. Nearly 40 years ago, my sister Karen was murdered. Since that time, I have done my best to keep the man responsible for her death behind bars. In Illinois, victims and their families don’t always have that right. With the Crime Victims’ Bill of Rights, victims and their families will be informed and heard before criminals can be paroled. I urge you to vote ‘yes’ on the Crime Victims’ Bill of Rights. These people have suffered immeasurable loss. It seems doubly criminal that they might lose their voice as well.”

Thoughts?

  13 Comments      


He’s stronger than you may think

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* WTTW

Cook County Commissioner Jesus “Chuy” Garcia is mulling whether or not to take on Rahm Emanuel and run for mayor, according to sources within the Democratic party, and within Chicago’s Latino and progressive communities.

“He’s certainly getting a lot of calls on it,” said one Latino elected official.

Garcia, considered a progressive, has served in City Council, the Illinois General Assembly, and most recently, as Commissioner of Cook County’s 7th District, encompassing largely Latino neighborhoods on the city’s southwest side and parts of Cicero. He was elected to City Council in 1986 as alderman of the 22nd ward and was a top ally of then-Mayor Harold Washington. In 1992, he was elected to the Illinois State Senate and touts himself as the first Mexican-American to hold that office. […]

One top Democratic party official said Garcia could quickly build name recognition if he got the support of Latinos, progressives, and labor unions – a coalition that the mayor is struggling with.

First, I just want to say that Chuy is one of my all-time favorite politicians. Love the guy.

* But I’d like to take this opportunity to point out something to the “progressives” who are so upset at the mayor, particularly over his refusal to support a $15 minimum wage. So, they’re bashing Emanuel for backing a $13 minimum while dumping millions to support Gov. Pat Quinn - who supports a $10 minimum wage?

Kinda screwy if you ask me. [Also, Rahm has given the progressive darling Quinn $225K since March - more than any other Illinois politician.]

The city, like just abut all major US cities these days, has moved far to the Left of where it was 10 years ago. Emanuel belatedly found that out the hard way and is now clearly recalibrating.

* Also, as far as the unions are concerned, Emanuel has considerable union support. AFSCME just got a new contract, and hizzoner is supporting AFSCME’s attempt to unionize taxi drivers. SEIU is backing the mayor on the minimum wage and other issues, and the trades are pretty much universally on board.

That leaves the CTU and some smaller unions on the outs with Emanuel.

* Racially speaking, to oversimplify things, you need two out of the three predominant racial demographics to win Chicago - whites, blacks or Latinos, or a combination of major subgroups within those blocs. I can see a path for Emanuel (as long as he continues the leftward recalibration) more than I can for Garcia (who will likely scare the big money types into ignoring Emanuel’s lurch away from them).

Chuy is one heckuva stump speaker, and I’d love to see him save the city from the cringe-inducing thumping that 2nd Ward Ald. Bob Fioretti will likely receive from Emanuel. I mean, who the heck hires a campaign manager fresh off his humiliating management of the failed remap amendment, for crying out loud?

But Garcia has never impressed me as much of a fundraiser. So, let’s see what kind of team he puts together before anointing him as the Second Coming.

  31 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Rauner wants Ebola travel ban

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Rauner one-upped Quinn on the Ebola scare today. From the twitters…


Rauner also said that the governor’s plan to require a 21-day home quarantine should’ve been done sooner.

The governor’s office says Gov. Quinn does not favor a travel ban.

* Meanwhile

Illinois Department of Public Health Director LaMar Hasbrouck said Monday the state’s approach strikes the “right balance” by enforcing a home quarantine only for the highest-risk cases.

The Illinois 21-day mandatory home quarantine won’t be used for medical workers if they wore personal protective equipment correctly while treating Ebola patients in West Africa.

Hasbrouck says Illinois wasn’t directly influenced by a New York doctor who went bowling before testing positive for Ebola. But he says that New York case “played into the urgency” for a public announcement.

Illinois has no confirmed Ebola cases and nobody is in quarantine.

*** UPDATE *** Rauner campaign statement…

Gubernatorial candidate Bruce Rauner today expressed serious concerns over Governor Quinn’s refusal to support a travel ban applied to countries affected by Ebola.

“I support Senator Kirk’s call on the State Department to issue a visa and travel ban on those attempting to travel from Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone,” Rauner said. “It is troubling that Governor Quinn would not support a travel ban particularly given that O’Hare is one of the world’s busiest airports. Pat Quinn has failed Illinois on jobs, on education, on taxes, and on crime; we can’t afford another failure on a potentially very serious public health hazard.”

Senator Kirk’s proposal is common sense and supported by the vast majority of people in Illinois and America. It has won bi-partisan support.

  37 Comments      


Hopefully, our problems are behind us

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* We had so many site outages last week, mainly from crushing traffic, that my hosting company recommended some changes. Here’s what they did…

We installed a front-end proxy server called Varnish. It should help with your database load by caching static pages, lowering the amount of database queries your SQL server has to process.

Whatever that is, I hope it works.

Just thought you’d like to know.

  16 Comments      


Question of the day

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From a press release…

Chicago, IL – Billionaire gubernatorial candidate Bruce Rauner is opposed to raising the minimum wage “depending on what day you ask him about it,” wrote Gapers Block this morning. Despite Rauner’s clear advocacy for lowering or outright eliminating the minimum wage, Rauner has falsely denied such a position and said he was misunderstood.

On Friday, after having months to reflect on his minimum wage position, Rauner made it clear that he remains strongly opposed to raising the minimum wage. Below is an excerpt of Rauner’s interview with the State Journal Register Editorial Board:

    SJR: “You’ve said you were ‘adamantly adamantly’ against raising the minimum wage. You’ve said it here many times.”

    Rauner: “Yes. Yes. Exactly because Illinois is not competitive. One of the reasons we have a higher unemployment rate than the states around us is because we have a higher minimum wage than the states around us.”

“Rauner has once again shown his true colors. If he gets his way, he’ll slash taxes for big corporations, defund education, and lower the state’s minimum wage,” said Neal Waltmire, Communications Director for Illinois Freedom PAC. “Rauner’s Wall Street agenda has been tried before and it led to the greatest economic crisis since the Great Depression. Make no mistake, Rauner’s heart is with Wall Street, not the hard-working families of Illinois.”

* Paul Vallas said today that Rauner “doesn’t get it”

“Bruce Rauner opposes the minimum wage because it cuts into profits,” Vallas said at a news conference outside the state Capitol. “He said a higher minimum wage is bad for the economy. How absurd.”

Vallas said 13 states that raised their minimum wage have seen better economic performance than the country as a whole.

…Adding… More of what Rauner said…

I want an answer, how do we grow, who do we increase our competitiveness? I’ve got the answers, and they’re two darned good answers, that’s what I do, come up with answers. Increase the national minimum wage so it’s above IL. Then we don’t hurt our competitiveness which is the reason I’ve been commenting on the minimum wage. I would support that. Great, then IL companies are now competitive and we can grow our economy. And we can help our working families. Or increase IL’s minimum wage but combine it with pro growth strategy - workers comp, tort, tax, so then businesses aren’t causing more unemployment, shedding workers, and leaving the state, we’re more competitive and then we can raise the minimum wage and have it better for everybody. So there’s answers, there’s solutions, bipartisan, I can get that done. Pat Quinn’s had six years to fix the minimum wage and he hasn’t.

* The Question: Do you believe Illinois’ higher minimum wage has damaged our economic competitiveness? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please.


surveys & polls

  58 Comments      


Possibly flawed poll results

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* As you know, I’m not a fan of polls conducted via online means. But since the New York Times and CBS News are putting their names on these YouGov polls, I figure we’d better cover them. This poll, like the last one, was taken over an extended period of time - 8 days in this instance, 10/16 - 10/23.

And, like Rasmussen Results, the YouGov poll only asked about “other” candidates, rather than list the Libertarian’s name. That’s not good at all.

With all that being said, the YouGov poll has Gov. Pat Quinn leading Bruce Rauner 45-41. That’s a bit wider spread than last month, when YouGov had Quinn up 46-43.

* Let’s look at some models. HuffPo poll tracker...

* TPM

* Real Clear Politics

  35 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Quinn orders 21-day Ebola quarantines

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From a press release issued late Friday night…

Governor Pat Quinn today ordered the Illinois Department of Public Health to require a mandatory 21-day home quarantine for high-risk individuals who have had direct contact with an individual infected with the Ebola virus while in Liberia, Sierra Leone or Guinea.

The mandatory quarantine order includes any high-risk medical personnel who have performed medical services to individuals infected with the Ebola virus. The order will be implemented by local health departments across the state.

Previously these high-risk individuals were subject to a voluntary quarantine.
“This protective measure is too important to be voluntary,” Governor Quinn said. “We must take every step necessary to ensure the people of Illinois are protected from potential exposure to the Ebola virus. While we have no confirmed cases of the Ebola virus in Illinois, we will continue to take every safeguard necessary to protect first responders, healthcare workers and the people of Illinois.”

This directive was issued to every local health department in Illinois earlier today.

* But a similar (although non-home) quarantine didn’t hold up in New Jersey

An American nurse who has tested negative for Ebola is being released after days in quarantine in New Jersey.

Kaci Hickox, who told CNN the quarantine was violating her rights, is being discharged, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie’s office said Monday.

New York and New Jersey both followed Illinois’ lead over the weekend and are now allowing for home confinement during the quarantine.

* More

Florida Gov. Rick Scott has approved an executive order mandating twice-daily 21-day health monitoring for people returning from Ebola-affected Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone. The order, signed Saturday, gives Florida Department of Health authorities the go-ahead to work alongside the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to identify people who have recently returned to Florida from those areas so they can be monitored, the governor’s office said in a news release.

Virginia is following suit. The state is implementing an “active monitoring program” for all returning passengers from Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone, “with a special emphasis on returning health care workers,” Virginia governor’s spokesman Brian Coy has said.

* There’s a new federal policy in place, and DC officials think it’s better than the state policy for one big reason

A top federal health official publicly criticized Christie and Cuomo on Sunday, saying the two states’ quarantine rule could discourage health workers from helping fight Ebola in Africa, which would ultimately endanger the United States.

“I’m concerned of the disincentive for the health care workers,” said Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases at the National Institutes of Health.

A federal policy starting Monday requires all travelers coming to the United States from Ebola-affected areas to be actively monitored for 21 days.

Your thoughts?

*** UPDATE *** The governor was asked about the new policy today…

“We definitely, definitely honor all of those heroes, men and women who go forward to help the health of others,” Quinn said. “At the same time, upon their return if they have been directly exposed, it’s just common sense that there be this 21-day period in someone’s home, where they are comfortable, in order to make sure everyone is not affected.”

Quinn emphasized that the home quarantine would allow visitors and is different from keeping someone in a designated site as in New Jersey, which he said was “very wrong.”

The governor said no one was in quarantine as of Monday morning.

  65 Comments      


Protected: *** UPDATED x1 *** SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Political events calendar

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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*** UPDATED x1 *** Another four-point margin

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* A second poll has Tom Cross leading Mike Frerichs by four points in the state treasurer’s race. This one’s from the Tribune

* But there’s some good news for Frerichs in the xtabs

The poll found Frerichs with 59 percent to 11 percent for Cross in Democratic-dominated Chicago, with 23 percent undecided. Cross, meanwhile, held the advantage in suburban Cook County, the traditional GOP-leaning collar counties and in the 96 counties outside the Chicago metropolitan area.

The large percentage of undecided voters in the city was reflected in Frerichs getting only 64 percent support from Democratic voters while 75 percent of Republicans backed Cross. Among independents, Cross held a 42 percent to 17 percent edge over Frerichs with 27 percent undecided.

If and/or when Chicagoans and Democrats come home, that’ll definitely boost Frerichs.

But that indpendent split is not good news for Frerichs.

* Meanwhile, the Illinois State Board of Elections voted 7-1 last week that the Frerichs campaign’s complaint against the Cross campaign “was not filed on justifiable grounds.” Frerichs alleged that Cross, “failed to file required A-1 reports, exceeded contribution limitations, and the political candidate of the committee maintained and established more than one candidate political committee for the office sought by the candidate.” The vote overturned a hearing officer’s recommendation.

* In other news, the Frerichs campaign wants you to know that Treasurer Dan Rutherford has endorsed Tom Cross. They want you to know this because Cross hasn’t yet put the endorsement on his campaign page.

*** UPDATE *** The hearing officer’s report is here

RECOMMENDATION

For the reasons set forth above, it is the Recommendation of the Hearing Examiner that the Board find as follows:

1) The Complaint has been filed on justifiable grounds as to the 7 expenditures listed above that Respondent indicated should have been attributed to Cross for Treasurer rather than Citizens to elect Tom Cross State Representative.

    Strategic Media Services $ 7,095.58
    Scientific Flight 2,594.82
    Nevins 2,461.15
    Quick Signs 340.00
    Sheraton 1,120.00
    Sheraton 206.65
    Enterprise 198.00

    TOTAL: $ 14,016.62

  19 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s cable TV buy report

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - This just in…

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Rockford endorsement just a drop in the bucket

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Gov. Pat Quinn finally received a “real” newspaper endorsement over the weekend when the Rockford Register Star weighed in

Northern Illinois might have reverted to cornfields if not for unprecedented investment by the state under the guidance of Gov. Pat Quinn.

— At one point, fewer than 200 workers were employed at Chrysler’s assembly plant in Belvidere. The factory was on the verge of closing, but it has bounced back with Quinn’s help and now has three shifts running with 4,500 employees.

— Woodward Inc. could have built its $300 million manufacturing campus on the other side of the state line. Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker tried hard to lure Woodward, but Quinn and his team helped the company expand in Loves Park. If Woodward had decided to build elsewhere, we wouldn’t have the Transform Rockford movement, which was created by Woodward CEO Tom Gendron and aims to make this one of the best places to live in the country in the next decade.

— AAR Corp. is building a 200,000-square-foot jet maintenance, repair and overhaul hub at Chicago Rockford International Airport. The MRO is expected to create at least 500 jobs, jobs that pay well. Quinn and his team, along with U.S. Sen. Dick Durbin, helped make that happen.

— Infrastructure projects like the Morgan Street bridge, South Main Street, passenger rail, and the widening of the Jane Addams Tollway are four examples of what Quinn’s done. Nippon Sharyo in Rochelle and his support of community health centers, such as Crusader Community Health, underscore his commitment to northern Illinois.

* But that’s as far as Quinn got. The State Journal-Register actually endorsed Rauner on Sunday

This brings us back to the idea of vision. In light of the state’s persistent fiscal challenges, which governor is best suited to jumpstart the economy and has a plan to do so?

We believe Rauner’s ambitious, growth-minded reforms may be the medicine this state needs to revive itself.

But our advice, should he be elected: forget about working the floor of the legislature or being in committee meetings, as he has vowed to do. Instead, he should surround himself with principled, highly regarded aides who know Illinois government and can convey his vision to lawmakers on his behalf.

The Decatur Herald & Review, the Bloomington Pantagraph and the Quad City Times all endorsed Rauner as well.

  52 Comments      


Death threats for pastor and a break-in at his church

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I was hearing from some folks last week that a detectable backlash was growing on the South Side against African-American pastors who are supporting Republican Bruce Rauner for governor. But some idiot or idiots got way out of hand, threatening Rev. Corey Brooks

“The death threats seem to be related to Bruce Rauner,” Brooks said at the church Saturday. “They say his name as well as mine and most of the references were in response to me in support of him. So it’s really derogatory, real racial, a lot of homophobic words. It’s real life threatening.”

Brooks said he received the five phone calls on Friday. He recorded one of them, and provided it to police. In that call, which was played for the Sun-Times, a man’s voice is disguised via a high-pitched filter. He is heard calling Brooks a “token n—–.”

“We on you boy, we on you. And you ain’t got nobody that can stop us, nobody. Who you go [to] the deacons? They can’t stop us. We going to beat your fat a– in front of your mama congregation Sunday. Yeah we going to steal the sheep of the hypocrite. You’s a hypocrite we going to beat your fat a– in front of your own congregation. Who you got that…f— we going to beat their a– too. They can’t protect you. You sell out you Uncle Tom a– n—–. You token. You a puppet for Bruce Rauner you puppet n—– a–. P—- a– n—–,” the voice says on the recording.

Brooks said he believes his family is in danger, which prompted him to move to a temporary home until the threats are investigated.

* And Brooks’ church was broken into Friday night

“I don’t know who did it,” Brooks said. He did, however, say it was quite a “coincidence” that a burglar smashed a glass charity box in his church and stole $8,000 at some point overnight Friday into Saturday, just hours after he received the threatening phone calls.

A maintenance worker found the church’s back doors shattered Saturday morning. The money was being collected to build a community center across from the church. Police said they were notified of the burglary.

Brooks said the burglary isn’t going to stop church services or the fundraising needed to build the community center.

* There will, however, be no more politicians at Brooks’ church for the remainder of the campaign

Brooks offered prayers for both Rauner and Quinn, but said that after Rauner’s appearance Sunday, politicians will no longer be invited to address his members — declaring that the nasty nature of the campaign has distracted from the church’s main mission.

* Rauner would only answer “We don’t know,” when asked by reporters if he thought the Quinn campaign was involved, but did say this

“I’m very concerned,” Rauner said. “It seems like right at the time of his involvement and support of our campaign, some very bad things are happening. It’s very upsetting.”

* Gov. Quinn had this to say

“I don’t believe at any time any threats or intimidation are proper in any election. I’ve said that before,” Quinn said. “I also think it isn’t right for any candidate to go around Illinois trying to cut the minimum wage and take thousands of dollars out of the pockets of people who live from paycheck to paycheck earning $8.25 an hour.”

* Jim Oberweis react

“No person in America should be threatened for exercising their constitutional right of free expression. I am extremely distressed that courageous pastor Corey Brooks and his family received multiple vile racist threats and their church burglarized for expressing a political viewpoint he believes would best improve his community. I have the privilege of being friends with Pastor Brooks and believe there is no one in Chicago who has done more to stop violence in his community and courageously tell the truth about inner city problems. We all need to stand with him against these unacceptable threats. In addition, we need the Department of Justice to immediately investigate and hold accountable the persons responsible.”

* Dick Durbin react

“I think it ought to be investigated at every level. There’s no room for intimidation in political campaigns, left, right or center. There’s no room for violence, including property violence. I believe there should be a complete investigation.”

“It’s worthy of taking up with the U.S. Attorney’s office so that they look into it.”

* Related…

* VIDEO: Bruce Rauner and Pastor Brooks talk politics and crime

* VIDEO: $8,000 Stolen from New Beginnings Church

* VIDEO: Pastor Stands With Rauner After Death Threats And Burglary Of His Church

* VIDEO: Rauner vs Quinn per the Preacher

  85 Comments      


Appearances do not equal reality

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My weekly, syndicated newspaper column

Perhaps the worst thing to happen to journalism over the years is its simplistic over-reliance on the mere “appearance of impropriety” to justify big, splashy stories.

No actual wrongdoing need ever be found, just something that might look a bit fishy to a reporter’s overly suspicious eyes.

It’s one of the nation’s most antidemocratic trends because it’s solely based on the foundation that everybody is corrupt. There’s no need to “prove” anything, just one or two distant connections is enough to justify destroying somebody’s reputation - which didn’t deserve protection anyway because everybody is so evil.

The most extreme local examples of this troublesome mindset appeared in the Chicago Tribune over the summer. The paper ran two front-page stories about alleged political interference in the teacher certification process.

One of the more egregious examples the reporters used to justify their hype was a legislative constituent who had contributed just a few hundred dollars over the years and then came up with a pretty darned good idea, pitched it to his state Representative, who passed it along to a fellow member. The bill was overwhelmingly approved and signed into law. Only someone who’d never been close to a legislative process for the past 200 years would deem that sequence of events corrupt, but deliberate ignorance is what drives this entire appearance of impropriety movement.

And that brings us to Dave McKinney, who resigned last week as the Statehouse Bureau Chief for the Chicago Sun-Times.

McKinney married political consultant Ann Liston in April. Months before, however, McKinney, Liston and her business partner Eric Adelstein constructed a super-strong “firewall” between Liston and Illinois politics. Adelstein formed a new company to handle all Illinois accounts and Liston would not participate in those campaigns nor receive any compensation. The Sun-Times signed off in January.

By all rights, that should’ve been the end of it. The Rauner campaign knew about McKinney’s marriage and never once complained, especially when McKinney was repeatedly and thoroughly gutting Gov. Pat Quinn over his botched 2010 anti-violence initiative.

Rauner’s campaign waited until October to play the “appearance of impropriety” card against McKinney when the Sun-Times ran a big story about how two people swore in affidavits that Rauner had issued threats against a top female executive at one of his investment firm’s companies.

After failing to derail the piece, the Rauner campaign launched an attack on McKinney, who was just one of the story’s three authors.

Rauner’s campaign falsely charged that Liston was directly involved with, and directly profiting from, anti-Rauner efforts in Illinois. McKinney should never have been put on the story, they claimed, even though two other reporters were involved, both from the local NBC TV affiliate, and the paper’s editors had thoroughly vetted and approved the piece.

Instead of just telling the Rauner people to go suck an egg, McKinney’s bosses sidelined the reporter for the better part of the week. Rauner had successfully used the “appearance of impropriety” attack against one of the state’s top political reporters just three weeks before an election. McKinney hired famed former federal prosecutor Patrick Collins, and was quickly taken off his informal suspension.

But the paper balked at putting McKinney back on his own beat. He was offered other positions at the paper, which he considered demotions. And then his editors initially refused to put his byline on a follow-up piece to the Rauner threat story. Appearances, ‘ya know. McKinney quit.

But the Sun-Times has its own “appearance of impropriety” problems. Rauner owned ten percent of the paper until last year. A published report claims Rauner purchased 900,000 shares of a once struggling business controlled by the chairman of the Sun-Times’ parent company.

Even worse, the paper’s publisher called the Rauner campaign’s allegations against McKinney, “spurious,” as well as “inaccurate and defamatory.” Yet that same publisher reversed his almost three year-old policy of never endorsing candidates and approved an enthusiastic endorsement of Rauner around the very same time, leading many to ask why he would back someone for the state’s top job after the candidate had “defamed” the guy who would be covering Rauner in Springfield if he’s elected.

One would hope that journalists and their editors would learn from this debacle. The appearance of impropriety is always in the eye of the beholder. It’s absolutely impossible to defend against if someone is willing to suspend all disbelief and push that angle hard enough.

But this mindset is just too deeply embedded to be abandoned so easily, even after it unjustly derailed a good man’s career.

* Related…

* Carol Marin: The job of reporters is to report: Though the Rauner campaign claimed the court found Christine Kirk’s lawsuit frivolous and unfounded, that’s simply not true. The judge dismissed the case on technical legal grounds and never weighed in — pro or con — on the truthfulness of the threat allegations. However, in a ferociously close election, a “scorched earth” philosophy is not unusual inside a campaign. And so the Rauner team went over our heads to our bosses at NBC5 and the Sun-Times and, in a last-ditch effort to kill the story, claimed that Dave’s wife, Democratic political strategist Ann Liston, was actively engaged in anti-Rauner efforts. It wasn’t true. Sun-Times management knew it. And so did NBC5. And together they published our joint report on television and in print.

* Rauner Denies Newspaper Accusations: Calling the matter an “internal” issue at the newspaper, Rauner said he had nothing to do with any of it other than routine complaints and comments which he characterized as part of the give-and-take of any campaign and media organization. “I don’t want to get in the middle of that,” he said Thursday in Bloomington. “I’ve had nothing to do with it.”

* Editorial: The Rauner, Sun-Times dust-up

* Editorial: Campaign takes a strange twist

Opinion: Sun-Times Squanders Trust Right When City, State Need it Most

  79 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition: Numbers; TV ads and a campaign roundup

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Good morning!

Monday, Oct 27, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Waylon

Tell me one more time just so I’ll understand

  21 Comments      


$3 million in one pop from Rauner

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the twitters…


Whew, baby.

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Reader comments closed for the weekend

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* If you’re going to the Lutheran Social Services of Illinois event tomorrow, I’ll see you there. If you still haven’t bought a ticket, click here. If you contributed and can’t go, thank you very much. If you can’t go and haven’t contributed, please click here.

* And since I know many readers will continue working on their respective campaigns hours after I shut down comments here tonight, how about we give those folks something to pep them up a bit? Mountain will play us out

She moved better on wine

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - State House fundraising report

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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*** UPDATED x1 *** Has the haymaker punch arrived?

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I received this text last night. I’m getting tons of texts these days, so for whatever reason I didn’t see it until this afternoon…

Just got a text from someone who saw a new Quinn ad on cbs 2 here in Chgo

Said it had a survivor of a nursing home victim talking to camera

I’ve been asking for the ad for the past couple of hours. Anybody seen it?

Hopefully, this post will break it loose from the Quinn campaign.

*** UPDATE *** It’s out. It’s OK. Don’t think it’s a killer punch, though

I’ll leave comments opened for a while so you can digest this one.

  37 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - State Senate fundraising report

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Third straight poll shows Rauner leading Quinn

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Illinois Chamber’s president sent his members an urgent e-mail today about a poll he’d commissioned…

The poll, completed just last night, shows Rauner receiving 44.9% support to 41.1% for Quinn and 6.4% for Libertarian candidate Grimm. The 3.8% margin is outside of the poll’s 3.36% margin of error.

* The minimum wage referendum result is no surprise, but the millionaire’s tax kinda is…

Please don’t overlook two referendums on the ballot that are intended to show support for proposals that would cause even greater harm to small businesses. One asks voters whether the minimum wage in Illinois should be raised to $10/hour.

Our poll shows that when voters are not educated on this issue - Illinois already has the highest minimum wage in the Midwest - a majority of voters support its surface appeal.

The second referendum asks if voters support a so-called “millionaires’ tax” which would increase income taxes on small business owners and entrepreneurs. Fortunately, it looks as if more voters recognize the negative impact of raising taxes on jobs creators. A majority opposing the tax in our poll.

* Other results…

US Senate: Durbin (D) 48.9%; Oberweis (R) 38.2%; Hansen (L) 5.7%

Attorney General Madigan (D) 50.6%; Schimpf (R) 32.9%; Koyl (L) 5.0%

Treasurer Cross (R) 36.8%; Frerichs (D) 32.9%; Shopek (L) 5.4%

Still lots of undecideds in that treasurer’s race.

* Methodology…

The survey was conducted over three nights from 10/21-10/23 by polling firm Cygnal. It includes 853 respondents for a margin of error of +/- 3.36%. 22% of respondents were contacted on cell phones.

  38 Comments      


Last call for tickets!

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I know some of you can’t make it to the Lutheran Social Services of Illinois’ 33rd Annual Amicus Certus celebration tomorrow night because you’re working campaigns, or it’s out in Arlington Heights, or whatever.

But, hey, how many times is an upstanding institution like LSSI gonna honor me for being a “true friend”? You should go.

Plus, how many times are you gonna see me in a tuxedo? By the way, check out the swank hall…

* So buy a ticket. If you don’t want to use the online form, just contact Ed Newton at 847-635-4656 or Edward.Newton@LSSI.org. You can be a sponsor as well by clicking here.

And if you legitimately can’t make it, click here and donate.

* The folks at LSSI have done a great job with the event and with ticket sales. I just figured I’d try to help out at the end by giving it one little extra push. So click here and get going!

Thanks.

  8 Comments      


Vast Majority of Illinois Voters Support Renewable Energy, Energy Efficiency

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement]

Based on a recent poll of registered voters in Illinois, there is overwhelming support for increasing the use of renewable energy and energy efficiency in Illinois:

    - 95% of voters support energy efficiency
    - More than 80% of voters support development of wind and solar energy

Nearly 100,000 workers in Illinois are employed in clean energy jobs. They are manufacturing wind and solar equipment; they are building and operating clean energy projects; and they are installing and upgrading energy efficiency systems that cut energy use and reduce electricity bills for Illinois families and businesses. That’s why:

    • More than 65% of Illinoisans believe renewable energy and energy efficiency will create jobs in Illinois.
    • More than 68% believe renewable energy and energy efficiency stabilize or reduce energy costs.

Voters prioritize a clean energy future.

    - 84% of voters want to move towards cleaner sources of energy.
    - 92% of voters support diverse energy sources rather than relying on just a few.


The message from Illinoisans is clear: Legislators should prioritize voter-supported renewable energy and energy efficiency and support policies that maximize job creation in Illinois’ clean energy economy.

The survey was completed by a bipartisan research team of Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (FM3) and Public Opinion Strategies. More info on this poll is available at ilenviro.org/cleanenergypoll.

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Sun-Times reporters want you to sign their petition

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the Chicago Newspaper Guild

Members of the Chicago Sun-Times newsroom have questions for Sun-Times CEO Timothy Knight and its parent company Wrapports board chairman Michael Ferro following the resignation of Chicago Sun-Times political reporter Dave McKinney. McKinney wrote for the Chicago Sun-Times for almost two decades. He co-authored a recent piece about litigation involving a former LeapSource business executive,who alleged that Illinois government candidate Bruce Rauner threatened her, her family and her future job prospects. The story ran with the backing and support of Sun-Times editors, McKinney wrote in his open resignation letter. However, McKinney said after the Rauner campaign pressured his superiors, he was yanked from his beat, placed on leave for a week and then was not allowed back to his political beat. Rauner is reported to be a former investor in Sun-Times Media. This situation raises ethical questions about what happens when politicians and investors interfere with news content.

* The petition

Mr. Michael Ferro and Mr. Timothy Knight:

We are deeply troubled by the situation leading up to Dave McKinney’s resignation. It raises incredible questions about whether Sun-Times reporters risk retaliation from management after writing stories unfavorable to a politician or our company’s investors.

We have basic concerns about whether we will be able to do our jobs moving forward without interference.

We want to know: did a politician or someone tied to that politician lodge a complaint with Mr. Ferro over a story? If there was indeed a breach in the firewall that is supposed to exist between owners and the newsroom, how do we know that will not reoccur? Would you or Mr. Knight address the newsroom to answers these questions and others?

Respectfully,
Chicago Sun-Times Newsroom and supporters

Get over there.

Any bets on how many BGA execs will be signing?’

Hat tip: Ahern.

  43 Comments      


Same song, different century

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I couldn’t embed it, so click the pic for a brief video of then Illinois Treasurer Pat Quinn campaigning at Eli’s Cheesecake Factory for then Arkansas Gov. Bill Clinton in 1992. Quinn could’ve given that same speech today, right down to the “Make the will of the people the law of the land” line. Today’s speech might be longer, however, since he’s now governor. You can skip the first 45 seconds or so if you want

  19 Comments      


Question of the day

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Illinois Review

Republican U.S. Senate candidate Jim Oberweis was interviewed today on Watchdog Radio with Ben Yount. When asked about his position on gay marriage, Oberweis said: “times change” and “attitudes change”. […]

…Oberweis is personally against gay marriage. A campaign spokesman told IR that Oberweis’ quote about times changing “refers to the ability of social conservatives to be able to stop the momentum toward government allowing it

* Tribune

Democratic U.S. Sen. Dick Durbin enters the final days of his campaign for a fourth term holding a substantial advantage over Republican challenger Jim Oberweis, a new Chicago Tribune poll shows.

The survey found Oberweis, a first-term state senator from the far western suburbs, making headway in his home base of the collar counties. But Oberweis is running into a political dynamic that’s been one of Durbin’s strengths over the years — a dual base of support. Not only is Durbin racking up big numbers in heavily Democratic Chicago, but he’s from Springfield and is holding his own downstate.

The math adds up to 50 percent for Durbin and 36 percent for Oberweis. Libertarian candidate Sharon Hansen had 6 percent, while another 7 percent of voters were undecided or supported someone else.

Oberweis is up for reelection in the Illinois Senate in two years.

* The Question: Do you think he’ll run for state Senate again in two years, run for something else or retire? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please. Those of you who choose “something else” should also state your predictions of what that “something else” might be.


survey tools

  38 Comments      


Quinn finally wins a newspaper endorsement!

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I’m not sure, however, that touting support from Illinois State University’s student newspaper is gonna look all that convincing in a TV ad

The Vidette Editorial Board chooses to endorse Pat Quinn for the position of governor of Illinois in the 2014 General Election.

Such crisp enthusiasm!

But, hey, at least the guv finally broke his losing streak… kinda.

* Meanwhile, Bruce Rauner finally chatted with the SJ-R’s editorial board today…


  34 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s cable TV buy report

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition: Crosstabs, TV ads

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Report: Another tie between Rauner and CS-T chairman

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Progress Illinois has some oppo on another business relationship between Bruce Rauner and Sun-Times parent company Chairman Mike Ferro

Ferro and Rauner have a long-standing relationship, having worked on a number of deals together, including purchasing the parent company of Sun-Times Media, Wrapports LLC. Prior to running for governor, Rauner sold his share of the company to Ferro for $5 million.

But what many do not know is that Rauner also invested millions into Merge Healthcare, for which Ferro’s company, Merrick Ventures, paid $20 million for a controlling stake in 2008.

Merge Healthcare was close to going under when Ferro jumped in to save the health records and imaging software firm. By 2010, Rauner owned 900,000 shares of Merge Healthcare. Other notable Chicago-area billionaires who bought into the struggling company, once stewarded by Ferro as chairman, include J.B. Pritzker and Matt Hulszizer.

Rauner has since divested from Merge Healthcare. But the business relationship is still a notable one considering the multi-millionaire once plunged millions of dollars into a struggling company owned by Ferro. And considering many question whether the Sun-Times’ recent decision to endorse Rauner, after the newspaper stayed out of the endorsement game for three years, has to do with the GOP candidate’s former ties to the newspaper and Ferro, one can only logically extend that train of thought to the Merge Healthcare deal.

Gov. Pat Quinn’s camp, along with numerous community groups and organizations in the state, have repeatedly requested that Rauner release his full tax returns and schedules from previous years as a means to ensure that the GOP candidate is clear of business relationships that could be a conflict of interest if he were to take office as governor. […]

Those cries for transparency could be validated and strengthened by the Sun-Times’ McKinney debacle, as Rauner’s ties to Ferro are at the very least questionable when looking at how the endorsement and the veteran reporter’s treatment at the newspaper has played out.

Discuss.

* Related…

* Few legal options for ex-Sun-Times reporter

  20 Comments      


Bost’s “anger,” Cook’s ratings, Foster’s ad

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Politico has a big profile of Mike Bost today

He’s preoccupied by the scrutiny into what’s become known simply as “the dog story” — the resurfacing of which, he insists, is the work of Democrats trying to damage him. As he pulled into his driveway on Sunday afternoon, after showing a POLITICO reporter around his neighborhood, his Labradoodle, Betty, darted in front of his car.

“What if I killed a second dog in front of a reporter?” he joked darkly as Betty scampered up the steps to his house.

During a parade in Mt. Vernon on Saturday, nearly a dozen people told Bost they’d seen the ads about his temper. But most of them seemed unconcerned. “I see you on TV,” one man said to laughter from the candidate. “Don’t you be getting mad at me!”

Another voter said the ads made her want to vote for Bost. “About time someone got mad,” she said.

* Let’s move along to Charlie Cook

IL-10: Brad Schneider (D) - Chicago north suburbs: Lake Shore
Toss Up. Schneider unseated Dold by just a point in 2012 with the help of President Obama’s 58 percent showing in this district, but some voters still think Dold is the incumbent. Unlike in 2012, Schneider has outraised Dold. But this year, Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn may not carry the 10th CD. Most polls continue to show the race tied or within the margin of error. It’s a total coin flip once again.

IL-12: Bill Enyart (D) - Southwest border: East St. Louis, Carbondale
Toss Up. Even though Enyart won by nine points in 2012, both parties now consider him the most vulnerable Democratic incumbent in the state. GOP state Rep. Mike Bost has simply outworked Enyart so far, and Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn is about to get clobbered in Downstate Illinois. Enyart benefited from a late surge in 2012, and Democrats have tried to pull out all the stops here once again.

In September, as expected, Democrats launched ads using infamous footage of a Bost temper tantrum on the floor of the Illinois State House. Some GOP operatives believe Bost’s outrage at the legislative leadership is actually shared by most voters in the 12th CD, so Bost tried to spin it to his advantage. Republicans believe Bost is still leading the incumbent, but it’s anyone’s guess.

IL-17: Cheri Bustos (D) - West: Rock Island, parts of Peoria and Rockford
Lean Democratic. Democrats are much more confident about Bustos’s reelection prospects than those of several others in the state. This is a Democratic-leaning seat by design, and Bustos is an energetic campaigner who has styled herself as a Blue Dog. However, Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn is badly behind in this district, and Bustos got some bad press for failing to forgo her congressional pay during the shutdown as promised.

Meanwhile, former GOP Rep. Bobby Schilling is back for the rematch with a new campaign team that includes experienced hands rather than his son, who managed the 2012 race. Republicans aren’t expressing as much enthusiasm for this race as they did a month ago, and a new We Ask America survey showed Bustos leading 55 percent to 39 percent. It’s not one of the GOP’s better opportunities at the moment.

* Lynn Sweet

Rep. Bill Foster D-Ill., a physicist, is running his first television spot in his race against state Rep. Darlene Senger, an upbeat piece starting Friday that portrays him as a little boy fixing an old TV set — with dials — and as a young scientist studying proton decay.

The two Naperville residents are battling for the 11th Congressional District seat, turf that includes portions of the western suburbs, including large chunks of Aurora, Joliet and Naperville.

The ad goes on to show the adult Foster who says his priorities in Congress are raising the minimum wage and changing the law so student can refinance student loan debt.

* The ad...

Kind of a weird segue to the minimum wage, but whatevs.

  18 Comments      


$580 MILLION EXELON RATE HIKE?? That’s the price tag for their nuke bailout…EVERY YEAR!

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement.]

“Exelon Corp. is urging state utility regulators to press for changes in power markets that would boost revenue at the company’s Illinois nuclear power fleet by about $580 million.” [Crain’s Chicago Business, September 24, 2014]

Exelon wants a $580 million rate hike!! $580 million…for what??? Even if ratepayers bail out Exelon’s plants with $580 million every year, they won’t even guarantee to keep the plants open.

Illinois’ businesses and citizens are still struggling and the last thing we need is a massive rate increase to bail out Exelon nuclear plants built during the Nixon administration and already paid for several times by ratepayers.

Even ComEd, Exelon’s own sister company, doesn’t agree with subsidized generation at above-market prices:

“ComEd has long believed that competitive markets will work in the best interests of our customers…so we are concerned about the negative impact on our customers from a requirement that would force utilities to buy subsidized generation at above-market prices.” [Crain’s Chicago Business, November 20, 2013]

Yet now Exelon is demanding an annual 580 million dollar bailout from ratepayers—industrial, commercial and residential—because they don’t want to face the risks of the market they championed when it helped Exelon. So much for the “best interests of our customers.”

Just Say No To Exelon’s $580 Million Rate Hike!!

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*** UPDATED x1 *** Rauner pumping dollars

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Natasha Korecki

In two days, Republican candidate for governor Bruce Rauner plowed another $3 million of his personal fortune into his candidacy for governor, bringing the venture capitalist’s total investment in his own campaign to more than $23 million.

So far in October, Rauner has steadily added $1.5 million every week, and now it appears to be ramping up. He’s put $9 million into his own campaign since Oct. 3, state finance records show.

That’s ever closer to onetime U.S. Senate candidate Blair Hull who spent a record $26 million on his failed candidacy. Hull, however, spent all of that money in the primary alone.

Thoughts?

*** UPDATE *** Kent Redfield crunched the numbers for the governor’s race to date. Click here to see his full report, as of 11 this morning.

But the most relevant piece is this…

  56 Comments      


Rauner pushing IDOT back into the news stream

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The IDOT revelations were mostly drowned out earlier this week by other campaign news and (in the Chicago area) by reports on that apparent mass murderer in Northwest Indiana. So, the Bruce Rauner campaign is trying to get the topic back into play, and they are succeeding

Republican governor candidate Bruce Rauner on Thursday said voters have a “duty” to oust Gov. Pat Quinn, pointing to a federal judge’s ruling that the court should oversee hiring at the Illinois Department of Transportation after allegations that patronage hiring at the agency increased under the Democratic governor.

Rauner maintained Quinn has failed to clean up state government after the impeachment and removal of ex-Gov. Rod Blagojevich, and indicated he’s open to the idea of compensating applicants who may have been unfairly passed up for jobs in favor of workers with political connections.

“I think that should be looked into,” Rauner said during a campaign stop in Bloomington as he continues to tour Illinois to promote early voting. “But what we’ve gotta do is change.”

“We’ve had six years now of Pat Quinn’s failure,” Rauner told reporters.

“We have a duty as voters to end that, hold him accountable, get him out of office,” he said.

* Sun-Times

One day after a federal judge was appointed to monitor hiring at the Illinois Department of Transportation, two state Republican senators raised questions about whether those fired are working in other state positions, and insinuated there may be “corruption” in other state departments. […]

“We have no idea what it’s going to cost, but rack that up with the salaries lost, opportunities, and the court costs, and we’re finally zeroing in on the cost of corruption in this state,” state Senate Republican Leader Christine Radogno said. […]

“We know who made those [hires], who indicated these people should be hired. We want to know, are they still doing it? And what about other agencies? We know about IDOT, but state government is a big place. There’s a lot of people who may want to be ‘taken care of’ in the last three months. We want to be darn sure these people are not being seeded through state government who do not belong there. And that is not covered under this particular monitor,” Radogno said. […]

[Quinn administration spokesman Grant Klinzman said] “Leader Radogno has never spoken with the Governor’s Office about this matter and it doesn’t appear that she even reviewed the OEIG [Office of the Executive Inspector General] report because if she had, she would have been informed that the Governor has already ordered a review of Rutan-exempt positions at all state agencies,”

Klinzman said Radogno can file a complaint on the OEIG website should she want a further investigation of other departments.

* AP

Gov. Pat Quinn says he’ll comply with a court-ordered monitor to review hiring at his administration’s Department of Transportation. […]

Quinn says he made reforms afterward, adding Thursday that the court-appointed monitor should work with the OEIG. […]

Republican Bruce Rauner claims it shows Quinn can’t be trusted to clean up government, which Quinn’s campaign rejects.

  21 Comments      


Gov. Quinn runs new TV ad featuring FLOTUS

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Rate it

* Script…

“I know Pat Quinn.

“His push for the minimum wage is essential.

“If you think women should get equal pay for equal work,

“If you want our kids to have quality pre-school, have a chance to go to college -

“If we want a governor who shares our values, then we need Pat Quinn as Governor of Illinois.

“Remember, you can vote early, starting on October the 20th.

“So let’s just get this done and vote for Pat Quinn.”

  36 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


No, your eyes didn’t deceive you

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* We had a massive site crash last night. Yesterday’s posts have disappeared. The crash appeared to be related to the outage from earlier in the week.

And, no, Bruce Rauner did not buy my hosting company.

At least, I don’t think so.

Carry on.

  69 Comments      


Good morning!

Friday, Oct 24, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Before the B-52’s were a national sensation, they were a regional band in Georgia. Yes, that New Wave, openly gay-themed crazy-good band was from Georgia - in the 1970’s, man. That couldn’t have been easy. Heck, it wouldn’t be easy now.

But here they are, before they signed their first recording contract, in an Atlanta night club in 1978 performing a song that would earn them musical immortality. This takes almost a minute to get going, so be patient and celebrate..

  22 Comments      


Oberweis now for gay marriage

Wednesday, Oct 22, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Has anyone done a wellness check on Dick Uihlein tonight?…


  32 Comments      


The patented Pat Quinn close has begun

Wednesday, Oct 22, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Here comes the Gold Star ad

Pat Quinn is the best political “closer” I’ve ever seen. He’s also a man of habit. We saw this exact same “Gold Star” ad in the 2010 primary and another in the general election.

So if history is any guide, we’ll soon see a big economic development story, a “You know me” ad and one last major negative hit on his opponent.

  23 Comments      


Question of the day

Wednesday, Oct 22, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* We’ve surpassed the 100 comment mark on the Dave McKinney resignation story, so it’s time for a fresh thread.

* The Question: What do you think happens next?

…Adding… The AP story is predictably “he said, she said”

An Illinois political reporter says he’s resigned after being put on temporary leave when Republican governor candidate Bruce Rauner’s campaign accused him of having a conflict of interest.

Oy.

…Adding More… From Jim Kirk, Sun-Times Publisher/Editor In Chief…

It is with reluctance that I accept Dave McKinney’s resignation. As recently as this Monday on our Op/Ed page, I stated that Dave is among the best in our profession. I meant it then and I mean it now. The pause we took last week was to ensure there were no conflicts of interest and was taken simply to protect Dave McKinney, the Sun Times and its readers as we were under attack in a heated political campaign. We came to the right result, found the political attacks against us to be false and we stand by our reporting, our journalists and this great newspaper.

I disagree with Dave’s questioning the integrity of this newspaper and my role as editor and publisher. I call the shots. While I’ve been here, our ownership and management have never quashed a story and they have always respected the journalistic integrity of this paper.

Yeah, he’s in charge. Rightio, pal.

  166 Comments      


McKinney resigns from Sun-Times: “I’m convinced this newspaper no longer has the backs of reporters like me”

Wednesday, Oct 22, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The media blackout on the Dave McKinney story has got to end. Right now. Dave just resigned his position as the Sun-Times Statehouse Bureau Chief and posted his resignation letter online

Faced with the Rauner campaign’s ugly attack, Sun-Times Publisher and Editor Jim Kirk immediately told the Rauner campaign that this “assault” on my integrity “border[ed] on defamation” and represented “a low point in the campaign.” In other statements, Kirk called the campaign’s tactic “spurious” and “sexist.”

Yet despite such strong rebukes, two days later, I was yanked from my beat as I reported on a legislative hearing focusing on Gov. Pat Quinn’s botched Neighborhood Recovery Initiative. My reporting for that day was then removed inexplicably from the Sun-Times website.

I was told to go on leave, a kind of house arrest that lasted almost a week. It was pure hell. Kirk told me that his bosses were considering taking me away permanently from the political and Springfield beats. He offered up other potential jobs at the paper, all of which I considered demotions. Because of my unexplained absence from my beat, colleagues started calling, asking if I had been suspended. Or fired.

Through all this, I simply wanted to get back to my beat, but the paper wouldn’t let me. And, Carol [Marin] and I were instructed not to contact you [Michael Ferro, Sun-Times Chairman] or [CEO] Tim Knight about the Rauner campaign’s defamatory allegations.

For guidance, I called Patrick Collins, a former federal prosecutor whose name is synonymous with ethics in Illinois. His involvement brought about an abrupt shift in the company’s tone from penalizing me to reinstating me. Ultimately, the company pledged I could return to the job with “no restrictions.”

Yet, on the first day back, I was advised I shouldn’t have a byline on a LeapSource-related story “right out of the gate” even though it was a legitimate follow-up to our initial story. While later relenting and offering me a contributing byline after I protested, the newspaper had failed an important test: It was not permitting me to do my job the way I had been doing it for almost two decades.

Was all this retaliation for breaking an important news story that had the blessing of the paper’s editor and publisher, the company’s lawyer and our NBC5 partners?

Does part of the answer lie in what Kirk told me – that you couldn’t understand why the LeapSource story was even in the paper?

Days later, the newspaper reversed its three-year, no-endorsement policy and unequivocally embraced the very campaign that had unleashed what Sun-Times management had declared a defamatory attack on me.

Readers of the Sun-Times need to be able to trust the paper. They need to know a wall exists between owners and the newsroom to preserve the integrity of what is published. A breach in that wall exists at the Sun-Times.

It’s had a chilling effect in the newsroom. While I don’t speak for my colleagues, I’m aware that many share my concern. I’m convinced this newspaper no longer has the backs of reporters like me.

  147 Comments      


Another one pops

Wednesday, Oct 22, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Yesterday, we discussed three opposition research reports on Bruce Rauner. The lindane story finally popped late last night, and now the baby medicine story is in Crain’s

The story is about how GTCR LLC, the private-equity firm that Mr. Rauner headed before he got in the gubernatorial contest — he’s the “R” in the name — increased thirteenfold the price of a medication used for premature infants with a heart defect. The huge hike, to nearly $1,500 from $77.77 for a three-vial treatment, came two days after GTCR gained rights over one of the few competing products. […]

“By acquiring its only competitor in the treatment of a serious heart condition affecting premature babies, Ovation has been able to charge dramatically higher prices for its drugs,” Acting FTC Bureau of Competition Director David P. Wales said in announcing the action. “While Ovation is profiting from its illegal acquisition, hospitals and ultimately consumers and American taxpayers are forced to pay millions of dollars a year more for these life-saving medications. The action taken today is intended to restore the lost competition and require Ovation to give up its unlawful profits.”

The FTC lost the case before Judge Ericksen. And it lost an appeal. In effect, Judge Ericksen ruled the two drugs weren’t competing against each other because physicians testified that the effectiveness of each drug, not its price, is what determined usage. And since the two did not share a market, there was no monopoly and no monopoly violation. […]

No, I don’t think Bruce Rauner hates old people, beats up women and wants sick babies to die, as Mr. Quinn’s ads suggest. But does his bottom-line fixation on making money leave enough room to care about those things? It’s a fair question to ask.

* Interestingly enough, commenters seemed in agreement that the other story, about workplace violence, strip clubs and the profit motive über alles, was by far the most interesting and outrageous to them

I read the second link first also, and thought “Oh my God!” This sort of stuff is the death knell for a candidate if enough people find out about it.

And

Rubbing toxic ooze in kids’ hair is bad. Republicans can see past it though.

But GOP voters are generally unaccepting of candidates who condone - nay, applaud - using the company account to visit strip clubs.

So, maybe that one’ll see the light of day, too.

  22 Comments      


Reality vs. reporting

Wednesday, Oct 22, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* For one reason or another, some members of the media have been reporting that Vice President Joe Biden would be campaigning with Gov. Pat Quinn today in the 10th Congressional District.

But Brad Schneider’s campaign has been saying that Paul Vallas, not Gov. Quinn, would be the one attending the rally ever since at least October 13th, when I received this notice…

Vice President Joe Biden will headline an early vote rally in Illinois’s Tenth Congressional District for U.S. Congressman Brad Schneider, U.S. Senator Dick Durbin and Illinois Lt. Governor Candidate Paul Vallas on Wednesday, October 22.

I have several more announcements with pretty much the exact same language in my in-box. Quinn wasn’t ever on the official schedule.

* But the Illinois Republican Party chose today to go with the reporting rather than the facts…

For the last week, Chicago media has been reporting that Vice President Joe Biden was coming to Chicago to campaign for Illinois Governor Pat Quinn and U.S. Rep. Brad Schneider, both facing tough re-election battles. Here’s how WGN News reported it on Monday:

    Democrats are sending in heavy hitters to bolster Quinn’s campaign, with President Obama in town Sunday and Monday, former President Bill Clinton here on Tuesday and Vice President Joe Biden in Chicago on Wednesday.

As recently as last night, ABC Chicago was still reporting Vice President Biden was coming to rescue Pat Quinn. And then this morning, the news broke – Pat Quinn is NOT attending!!

That’s right, Gov. Quinn is not attending a rally that was originally billed as part of the Quinn campaign’s rescue effort. Instead, Biden will only stump with one of his rubber stamps in Congress – Brad Schneider.

And we know why. Pat Quinn is VERY UNPOPULAR in the 10th Congressional District. And with Quinn pushing for an income tax increase right after the election, Brad Schneider wants Pat Quinn to stay as far away as possible.

* The NRCC sent out a statement today entitled, and I kid you not, “does Pat Quinn have cooties?”…

Brad Schneider sure thinks Pat Quinn does. Why else would the governor now suddenly be missing the Veep’s visit to Chicago today?

It was originally reported by WGN that Quinn would also be at the rally with Schneider and Biden, but now it’s being reported that Quinn’s not coming.

Could it be that Schneider is in the fight of his life and doesn’t want to be seen with the toxic gov? Or that Schneider doesn’t want to explain if he supports Quinn’s income tax increase?

Hey, considering polls taken for both myself and Congressman Schneider showing Quinn getting stomped in that district, I wouldn’t want the governor anywhere near me, either. That part is a fair hit.

But Quinn wasn’t a late cancel.

* And speaking of Paul Vallas, the Rauner campaign lobbed this one over the transom today…

Caption?

  30 Comments      


New anti-Rauner theme: “Wolf of Winnetka”

Wednesday, Oct 22, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I think this is the third time the Quinn campaign has pushed this theme today…

Bruce Rauner: “The Wolf of Winnetka”

Pattern of Layoffs, Outsourcing and Putting Profits Ahead of People - No Wonder He Can’t Name a Single Company That Created Jobs

On the heels of Monday’s debate when Bruce Rauner couldn’t name a single one of his businesses that has created jobs, Chicago Federation of Labor President Jorge Ramirez and other labor leaders joined Democratic nominee for Lt. Governor Paul Vallas to highlight Rauner’s real business record of laying off workers and eliminating jobs and voice opposition to his plan to hurt workers by enacting right-to-work-for-less zones.

When asked on two separate occasions during ABC7’s gubernatorial debate, Rauner could not name a single business he ran that created jobs. Not one.

“Bruce Rauner didn’t dodge this simple question because he didn’t know,” said Vallas. “He didn’t answer the question because creating jobs is not what he does - eliminating jobs and lowering wages are his real business philosophy. That’s how Rauner did business - he laid off workers and outsourced jobs. Those are not the sort of business skills that belong in the Governor’s Office.”

Furthermore, in the debate Rauner tried to cover up his well-documented (and showcased on his website) plan to strip workers of protections and force right-to-work-for-less zones across Illinois, something that did not go unnoticed by Illinois’ labor community.

“In 13 days, we will have to make a fundamental choice,” said Ramirez. “Do we want to elect an out-of-touch billionaire who is trying to buy his way into the governor’s mansion and dismantle the middle class? Or do we want to elect a Governor who over the last six years has fought to create jobs in Illinois, with Illinois leading the country in job creation in September. We need to move forward in a direction that will rebuild our middle class and protect basic rights like a living wage, health care and the right to join a union.”

* And they debuted the first in a series of YouTube videos…

Republican billionaire Bruce Rauner is the “Wolf of Winnetka,” a new Web video series debuting today. Illinois has never seen a candidate as out of touch as the Wolf of Winnetka and now he’s aiming for his next corporate takeover: the Governor’s Mansion.

Watch the first trailer - focusing on Rauner’s job-eliminating record

* Here it is

  57 Comments      


Redefining Bobby

Wednesday, Oct 22, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Illinois Review

Most Republican candidates expect the usual pro-abortion, “coat hanger” ads to hit their constituents’ mailboxes as Democrat groups attempt to confuse voters by gining up baseless fear just prior to an election.

However, Democrat Congresswoman Cheri Bustos and the Illinois Democrat Party may have sunk to a new low in putting out a mailer accusing her opponent - former Congressman Bobby Schilling - of trying to redefine rape.

Shocked by the audacity of Bustos and the Dems, and angry about the deliberate deceit, Schilling spokesman Jon Schweppe told Illinois Review the mailer is “completely false.”

“The bill in question about ‘redefining rape’ was H.R. 3, the No Taxpayer Funding for Abortion Act,” said Schweppe. “Bobby co-sponsored this bill and voted for it when it passed the House. It contained exceptions for cases of rape, incest, and when the mother’s life was at risk. It had nothing to do with rape. To say so is shamelessly misleading and false.”

Actually, to say so is true.

* From March of 2011

Last month, House Republicans proposed the No Taxpayer Funding for Abortion Act that would redefine rape so that women on Medicaid could only have abortion services covered if the rape was “forcible.” It would also deny abortion coverage to victims of incest who are 18 years of ago or older. Not surprisingly, people were outraged at the proposal and for weeks talk of the redefinition provision dominated discussions of the new Republicans’ anti-abortion agenda in the political blogs and the social media universe.

That was one bizarre DC fight over some creepy far-right conspiracy theories about women faking rape reports in order to get Medicaid coverage. The kooky language was eventually withdrawn, but it did, indeed, attempt to “redefine rape.”

  34 Comments      


Pat and Bruce

Wednesday, Oct 22, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Sun-Times’ Neil Steinberg hilariously bites the hand that feeds him

When it comes to a high office such as governor, however, I assume most readers don’t need a newspaper to tell them what their guts tell them. I assume you either are already a supporter — and I’ll try to be impartial here — of good old Gov. Pat Quinn, the homespun Democrat whom everybody knows and loves, working like a plough horse trying to correct the problems left behind by the jail-bound Rod Blagojevich, and, before him, the jail-bound George Ryan.

Or you back Bruce Rauner, the Republican multimillionaire who popped steaming from the C. Montgomery Burns mold, bursting onto the scene like a party guest flinging his cape at a cringing footman, demanding the governorship be given him right now, as his birthright, a kind of droit de seigneur.

Darn, I’ve blown this whole balance bit, haven’t I? No big mystery as to why. I’ve had many encounters with Quinn over the years, conversations and coffees and discussions about important issues facing Illinois. He struck me as decent, hardworking, moral — he signed the gay marriage law that Rauner said he would veto, despite Quinn being Catholic and enduring threats of excommunication from a church now scrambling to catch up with him. Two years ago I invited Quinn to a party; he came, and said some kind words.

I couldn’t invite Rauner two years ago because he wasn’t in the public eye. A late life conversion to the joy of public service, apparently. I’ve met the guy a few times, tried to initiate conversation, but it was as if the valet had tried to chat up a Rolls Royce owner while being tossed the keys. Rauner looked at me as if I were a bug.

Yikes.

* I’ve had drinks with both men. The governor and I whiled away part of an afternoon in 2008, back when he was the lieutenant governor and didn’t have much else to do. I moderated a forum on the proposed constitutional convention at a North Side tavern and he was the panelist arguing in favor (Doug Whitley of the Illinois Chamber argued the other side). He stuck around after the crowd left and we bellied up to the bar.

He was human, he was funny, he was warm and modest and he was very bright. It was all off the record, so I can’t go into more, but I very much enjoyed our conversation over a couple-tree adult beverages.

* A few months ago, Bruce Rauner took time off from campaigning to spend a few hours with me - no staff, just the two of us - on a mutual friend’s front porch. He was fine as long as we didn’t get anywhere near his talking points. Whenever that happened, you could see him stiffen up and go into bot mode.

Other than that oddity, it was some of the most fun I had all summer. We swapped stories about our lives and made each other laugh for hours. He was brutally frank and open about every question I had (other than those darned talking points). Like with Quinn, the conversation was all off the record, but my takeaway was that he was a well-raised, extremely likeable, unusually self-disciplined (even after a few beers) yet quite nuanced man who believed with all his heart that he was on the mission of his life.

* These two guys aren’t cartoon characters. One isn’t evil and one isn’t wearing a white hat. Like all human beings, both men have their flaws. But they also have many, many redeeming qualities. Sometimes, it’s helpful to remember that.

  58 Comments      


The lindane file

Wednesday, Oct 22, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Late yesterday afternoon, I posted a few pieces of opposition research on Bruce Rauner. The Rauner campaign sent over a memo last night about one of those stories, regarding a formerly GTCR-owned firm which marketed an anti-lice shampoo containing the pesticide lindane. You can read that Rauner campaign memo defending lindane by clicking here.

Lindane is powerful stuff. The EPA has banned its use as a pesticide. You can’t put it on your horse, but the FDA allows it to be used on your kid. It’s a second-line defense, meaning it’s only supposed to be used if traditional treatments fail. But it’s so toxic that it’s not supposed to be re-applied.

* Anyway, late last night, the lindane story finally popped loose in the Sun-Times

Dr. Jonathan Fliegel thought he was well within his rights when he joined other members of the American Academy of Pediatrics’ Michigan chapter at their state capitol a few years ago to urge lawmakers to impose restrictions on the use of a chemical called lindane.

He never imagined his activism as a citizen and physician in Michigan would result in getting sued in a federal case in Chicago.

The plaintiff in the 2006 civil lawsuit against Fliegel was an Illinois company called Morton Grove Pharmaceuticals Inc. It alleged that Fliegel, another pediatrician and environmentalists in that state had “negatively impacted” its business when they made statements about lindane.

The reason the case should interest you now is that Morton Grove Pharmaceuticals was owned at that time by the Chicago private-equity firm GTCR. And, as all but the most casual observers of Illinois politics know well by now, the “R” in GTCR stands for the firm’s founder and then-chairman Bruce Rauner, the Republican nominee for governor of Illinois in next month’s election.

Go read the whole thing.

I’ve been hearing rumors about this story for months.

* From the oppo file…

Morton Grove hired lobbyists to defeat lindane ban efforts in four states, including Illinois. In the spring and summer of 2005, MGP hired two lobbying firms – Winston & Strawn and Nicolay & Dart – to defeat a bill to ban the toxic lice shampoo, lindane. The lindane ban had sailed through the Illinois House with near unanimous support, but then MGP hired the high powered lobbyists and was able to kill the ban in the Senate.

The bill never made it out of committee in the Senate. Rauner’s firm sold the company in 2007 after profits dropped.

I’m told there’s more on this story, so perhaps you should stay tuned.

  43 Comments      


US judge orders hiring monitor at IDOT

Wednesday, Oct 22, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Uh-oh…


* Bruce Rauner’s campaign was quick with a response…

Bruce Rauner, who for months has called on Gov. Pat Quinn to allow a federal hiring monitor at the Illinois Department of Transportation (IDOT), today issued the following statement after a federal judge confirmed that Pat Quinn cannot be trusted:

“A federal judge just confirmed what we’ve known all along – Pat Quinn is corrupt and cannot be trusted to clean up state government. Pat Quinn is a phony reformer and a federal judge just confirmed it. I applaud today’s decision and commit that my administration will work closely with the federal hiring monitor to root out Pat Quinn’s patronage and corruption.”

  55 Comments      


Underdog endorsements

Wednesday, Oct 22, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Sun-Times has been tallying up newspaper endorsements this month. So far, Gov. Pat Quinn hasn’t received any, but a couple of underdogs have managed to score one each.

The Peoria Journal Star endorsed Sheila Simon for comptroller

We have no particular bone to pick with Topinka, and the polls have her far ahead. That said, Simon has solid credentials as a reformer in a state that desperately needs reform, butting heads with her own party over redistricting, legislative leader term limits, lawmaker economic disclosures, etc. The Simon family has a deserved reputation for being an incorruptible lot; if any of that is going to rub off on the Illinois version of the Democratic Party and the state government it now dominates, we’re convinced it must come from within.

She may be a long shot here, but Sheila Simon is endorsed.

* And the Northwest Herald endorsed Jim Oberweis for US Senate

Oberweis seems thirsty to make the tough decisions when it comes to significantly cutting spending and bringing down the deficit. He is endorsed.

* Meanwhile, speaking of Oberweis

U.S. Senate candidate Jim Oberweis raised relatively little campaign money in the last reporting period, digging into his own wallet for a $550,000 donation to bump up his total, reports show.

Oberweis, in the period ending Sept. 30, had $738,410 in net contributions, including his own more than half-million-dollar donation.

That means he garnered only $188,410 in contributions from other individuals and political action committees. […]

The total of gifts and loans to his campaign treasury stood at $1,556,400 on Sept. 30. He has already loaned and contributed $9 million in his five previous failed bids for major office, according to state and federal records.

That’s one expensive hobby.

  21 Comments      


Birth control, millionaires and the minimum wage

Wednesday, Oct 22, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* All of these videos have well over 100,000 views. I didn’t notice them until last night, when one popped up on a YouTube video I was watching. They’re all designed to publicize the statewide ballot initiatives and blast the Republicans. The first one we’ll look at is about employer birth control benefits

A mailer about the issue can be read by clicking here.

* Next up, the millionaire’s tax referendum

* And finally, the minimum wage

Discuss.

  56 Comments      


Good morning!

Wednesday, Oct 22, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* A legislator texted me last night asking if I’d post “Free Bird” some morning. No way, I said. I was in a band that played that song in high school. I’ve heard it about a billion times. I used to love it when I was a kid, but I just can’t listen to it anymore. It’s just so tired, so ridiculously overplayed, so… ugh. And my friends and I have long viciously mocked drunken tourists who inappropriately scream requests at Tom Irwin for their own favorite silly cover songs by shouting “Free Bird!!!” at them. Tom eventually wrote a tune called “Ain’t No Jukebox” in reply.

I looked around online for quite awhile (these morning music posts are taking up a huge amount of my time, by the way) and couldn’t find anything close to a fresh, vibrant cover, so I decided to post a killer acoustic tune by a direct descendant of Skynyrd’s red-hot southern insanity. Here’s Blackberry Smoke

Well, my fall from grace was a sight to see
Good turned to bad and bad turned to misery
I found out what it is and what it’s not
And all I ask for sure ain’t what I got

Well I’ve been rained on, rode hard and put up wet
Danced with the devil ’til I’m in debt
Took all I got and there ain’t much left of me
I’ve been knocked down, drug out and left for dead
Barely held together by a few old threads
Hey, I’m still here, but there ain’t much left to see
Well I’m still holding on and there ain’t much left of me

  33 Comments      


Rauner oppo watch

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Click here, and here for your late afternoon reading pleasure.

…Adding… More just came over the transom. Wanna guess who owned this company, which hired Illinois Statehouse lobbyists to defeat a ban on its product?

More than 50 countries have banned use of the chemical; In the U.S., the Environmental Protection Agency prohibits all agricultural uses of lindane. Oddly, it’s still OK to rub it into children’s hair.

  88 Comments      


Zorn nails it again

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This is the kind of insanity that the people hyping the Great Ebola Scare of 2014 are causing

School officials in Strong, Maine, have placed an elementary teacher on a 21-day paid leave of absence out of fears that the teacher was exposed to the Ebola virus during a recent trip to an educational seminar in Dallas, where a man recently died of the disease and two of the nurses who cared for him were infected.

So even though the seminar was held more than 9 miles from Texas Health Presbyterian Hospital where Thomas Eric Duncan was treated and died, and even though Ebola is transmitted only by direct contact with the bodily fluids of symptomatic patients, administrators in Maine acted “out of an abundance of caution” and sent the teacher home.

Even so… A quarantine of Texas… Hmm…

Nah. Wouldn’t work. Way too many of my favorite musicians and bands live there. Not to mention my brother and his family.

* Zorn continues with an Illinois angle

In Illinois, Rock Island County has asked a family to quarantine itself because their 21-year-old daughter has just returned from Liberia, even though she is exhibiting no symptoms and has said she was not exposed to Ebola.

The combination of hysteria and ignorance is breathtaking.

How hard is Ebola to catch? Duncan’s fiancee and family members didn’t catch it from him even though he was actively symptomatic in their small apartment in Dallas. They and some three dozen other people who had been in contact with Duncan in the early days of his illness cleared the three-week waiting period Monday and are no longer considered at risk.

How easy is Ebola to control if there is a small outbreak? Well, impoverished, developing Nigeria saw 20 cases in recent months — including eight deaths — but on Monday the World Health Organization declared the nation Ebola-free.

I noticed Drudge is practically Ebola-free this afternoon. Since even that notorious drama queen has finally calmed down a little, maybe everybody else can, too.

And I’m looking at you, Bobby Schilling - the first and what I think may be the only Illinois candidate desperate enough to play the Ebola card.

  26 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** If at first you don’t succeed…

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Some powerful trial lawyers have already forced one Illinois Supreme Court Justice to recuse himself from hearing the appeal of a $10.1 billion judgement against Philip Morris, but they haven’t been able to convince Justice Lloyd Karmeier to back away

Karmeier said no, noting that Tillery and Co. “do not allege I harbor any actual bias for or against” either party. Instead, he said, they contend “various factors have combined to create ‘an objective and reasonable public perception’ that I am biased in favor of” Philip Morris because of the “unprecedented sums” spent in his 2004 election.Karmeier further noted that financial records reveal no donations to his 2004 campaign by Philip Morris, despite Tillery’s claim that it was “bankrolling” it. […]

“The notion that” Philip Morris financed “my run for office 10 years ago is just that, a notion,” he said.

Karmeier said he also “cannot help but notice” Tillery’s motion “bear(s) an unmistakable similarity to materials filed by the plaintiffs” in another big judgment case, involving State Farm Insurance.

“The only difference here is that the respondents here claim that those same contributions should be attributed to (Philip Morris) rather than State Farm,” he wrote.

* As I told subscribers the other day, a new group called Campaign for 2016 dropped well over a half million dollars to try and derail Karmeier’s retention bid

* From a Karmeier campaign press release this afternoon…

It took less than a day for the shadow group known as “Campaign for 2016″ to emerge from the darkness, according to Retain Karmeier Campaign Manager Ron Deedrick.

“Now there is a public record of the political committee ‘Campaign for 2016,’ and it’s clear that a number of trial attorneys with deep pockets are working in concert to protect their investment in cases they are litigating,” Deedrick said. “A direct line can be drawn from those who seek to defeat the Justice and who have current cases before the courts, including the Illinois Supreme Court.

‘Campaign for 2016’ scored a $300,000 donation on October 16 from Chicago-area attorney George Zelcs. Zelcs is an attorney with the law firm of Korien Tillery, LLC based in St. Louis. Media accounts show that Zelcs is a lead attorney tied into a multi-billion dollar case that is now before the Illinois Supreme Court. The same media accounts also show that the class-action lawsuit could net more than $10 billion for the plaintiffs.

“The timing of this attack is questionable as well. The Justice entered an order back on September 24 that rejected the Tillery group’s efforts to obtain his recusal from the case,” Deedrick said. “This is likely a personal political response to the Justice’s order.”

*** UPDATE *** Another $500K was reported by the Campaign for 2016 this afternoon. An attorney with the above-mentioned Korein Tillery, the Power Rogers & Smith firm and Clifford Law Offices all kicked in.

  10 Comments      


Lower ratings for ABC 7 debate

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Most of the people who saw last night’s debate watched the delayed Channel 7 broadcast at 10:30. Lewis Lazare has the numbers

The Nielsen overnight ratings in the Chicago market showed the debate on Channel 7 winning the hour time slot that began at 10:30 p.m. — but only by the slimmest of margins. The debate notched a 4.2 average rating, while “The Tonight Show with Jimmy Fallon” was just behind with an average 4.1 rating. One rating point equals 35,000 households in the Chicago market.

Beating Fallon is nice, but that 4.2 is actually lower than CBS 2’s gubernatorial debate last week, which notched a 4.6.

A few folks did watch online, but we’re talking 147,000 households out of 4.8 million in all of Illinois, which works out to just 3.1 percent.

Again, media coverage and TV ads are how most people who care will find out about what happened last night.

  17 Comments      


Question of the day

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Pat Quinn + Bruce Rauner = ?

  98 Comments      


Bloomberg to spend $1.9 million on Dold

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Crain’s

Former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg is spending big money to sway another congressional race in Illinois.

Independence USA, a Washington-based super PAC he controls, is buying $1.9 million in television ads supporting former GOP Rep. Robert Dold, who is in a close race to reclaim his seat from Rep. Brad Schneider, a Democrat, in the North Shore’s 10th congressional district.

That’s the largest outside spending by a wide margin in the race, which has drawn national attention and outside spending by several groups. The Bloomberg PAC’s spending is almost $1 million more than an independent expenditure by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce in May that also was intended to aid Mr. Dold.

Whew.

  26 Comments      


Stand down… mostly

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* This Illinois Review story raised my eyebrows

Admitting his confidence in Cook County ballot integrity is shaken, State Representative Candidate Jim Moynihan (R-56), was shocked today when he tried to cast a vote for himself and the voting machine cast it for his opponent instead.

“While early voting at the Schaumburg Public Library today, I tried to cast a vote for myself and instead it cast the vote for my opponent,” said Moynihan. “You could imagine my surprise as the same thing happened with a number of races when I tried to vote for a Republican and the machine registered a vote for a Democrat.”

While using a touch screen voting machine in Schaumburg, Moynihan voted for several races on the ballot, only to find that whenever he voted for a Republican candidate, the machine registered the vote for a Democrat in the same race. He notified the election judge at his polling place and demonstrated that it continued to cast a vote for the opposing candidate’s party. Moynihan was eventually allowed to vote for Republican candidates, including his own race. It is unknown if the machine in question (#008958) has been removed from service or is still in operation.

“Clearly, I am concerned that citizens will be unable to vote for the candidate of their choice, especially if they are in a hurry and do not double check their ballot,” added Moynihan. “I cannot say whether or not this was intentional, but Cook County voters deserve better and should not have their right to vote suppressed.”

So, I called the Cook County Clerk’s office. The machine Moynihan used never “cast” a vote, the office says. After you touch each candidate’s name, the machine asks you to confirm your choice. When you’re finished, you get a list, then a printed list and you’re then asked to confirm your vote.

The problem was that the screen calibration was off. It was recalibrated, then put back into use without further complaints.

Also, IR didn’t mention this part, but the Daily Herald did

When he pointed it out to a judge, it was determined that the machine hadn’t been calibrated correctly, he said. He ultimately was able to vote for the candidates he chose by pressing the very bottom right hand corner of the screen. Pressing the center of each button resulted in the opposite candidate’s name registering.

* Meanwhile, a member of the Quinn campaign sent me an e-mail last night with the subject line: “Rauner’s voter intimidation gets underway” and a link

[Madison County Clerk Debbie Ming-Mendoza] said Phil Chapman of Highland inappropriately was taking people’s driver’s licenses to examine, inserting himself between the official election judges and chatting with the voters.

“He obviously did not know what his role as a poll watcher was. He was insinuating himself between the judges and talking to the voters,” Ming-Mendoza said.

She said he was also handling the official voting materials. She said she informed him several times he was only allowed to observe. He was not to handle anybody’s license or speak to voters.

“Every time I would leave, he would scoot his chair back up to the judge’s table. I had a couple of people come into my office and tell me they wanted to file a complaint,” Ming-Mendoza said. “I had to go back six times and tell him he needed to stop,” she said.

He eventually behaved himself and he apparently didn’t stop anyone from voting, so all’s well that ends well.

* But read further down

[Madison County] Democratic Party Chairman Allan Napp said he and other party officials have been getting reports from across the state of people standing outside polling places giving false information. Some are being told they have to have a social security card in order to vote. Others are being told that if they don’t vote, they don’t have to pay their next water bill, Napp said.

That’s a pretty darned bold accusation. Anybody else hearing stuff like that?

* Meanwhile

Tuesday afternoon, Republican candidate for Governor Bruce Rauner will be in Rockford to promote early voting. The irony is that voters in Winnebago County and Rockford won’t be able to do so.

A second error with the race for Winnebago County Forest Preserve Commissioner has forced the city and county to suspend early voting. Initially, absentee ballots had been sent out without the race at all. Officials with both the City of Rockford and Winnebago County elections office said they would mail new ballots out to those people who had already received absentee ballots with the race included.

However, officials tell ‘Eyewitness News’ the new ballots contain a new mistake. They instruct voters to vote for one candidate — rather than vote for two of the three candidates on the ballot. The race is for two seats on the Commission, not one.

As a result, early voting has been suspended until new, correct ballots can be printed.

Oops.

* The IL GOP wants the problem fixed…

“The Illinois Republican Party expresses its strong concern over reports that early voting has been halted in Winnebago County, including in the City of Rockford. The people of Illinois have a right to vote and no one should be able to deny them that right. With early voting underway, we call on the Winnebago County and Rockford County election officials to immediately restore the people’s right to vote in a manner that ensures every legal vote is accurately counted. The Illinois Republican Party will closely monitor the situation in the hours ahead to ensure county and city officials restore the people’s right to vote.”

* And Schimpf wants action, darnit, right now…

Republican Attorney General Candidate Paul Schimpf issued the following statement in response to the problem State Representative Candidate Jim Moynihan had casting his vote in Cook County and the suspension of early voting in Rockford and Winnebago County:

“Nothing is more critical to the success of our democracy than the integrity of our elections. I call on Lisa Madigan to immediately open investigations into these voting irregularities.”

Funny that he didn’t mention the Madison County stuff.

  28 Comments      


BLS: A strong couple of months

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Bureau of Labor Statistics had some mostly good news for Illinois today. Gov. Pat Quinn was all over it…

Governor Pat Quinn today issued a statement regarding the latest economic information released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The information made available today showed that last month Illinois led the Midwest – and was second in the nation – in job creation. It also found that Illinois has seen the nation’s largest drop in unemployment over the last year. In September, Illinois’ unemployment rate dropped for the seventh consecutive month, from 6.7 to 6.6 percent, the lowest level since June 2008 and down from 11.4 percent at the peak of the recession. In the last two months Illinois employers have created more than 40,000 jobs.

“Today’s news shows that the Illinois economy is making a comeback. We are making the tough decisions necessary to drive economic growth and the statistics released today show that Illinois is moving in the right direction.

“Illinois has seen the nation’s sharpest decline in unemployment over the last year, and our unemployment rate is at its lowest point in more than six years.

“Last month Illinois had the second best job growth in America. Illinois employers have added more than 300,000 jobs since the recovery began.

“It is clear that Illinois’ economy is growing stronger every day, and we have more work to do. Let’s keep our shoulder to the wheel.”

* 40,000 new jobs in two months is, indeed, some good news. The Illinois Policy Institute chose to focus on a problematic sector in its response…

Today, complete data showing Illinois’ unemployment levels were released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The September report shows mixed results, with Illinois gaining 19,300 net jobs but losing 2,800 manufacturing jobs. This expands on data released last week by the Illinois Department of Employment Security showing the state’s jobless rate dropping to 6.6 percent. The state’s net payroll job growth is one of the best monthly increases in the state over the past decade. However, Illinois still ranks worst in the Midwest for manufacturing job losses.

The nonpartisan Illinois Policy Institute’s Director of Jobs and Growth, Michael Lucci, issued the following statement on today’s jobless data:

“Illinois had a strong month for job growth in September. Gaining more than 19,000 payroll jobs in the state is a positive sign for Illinoisans who have been struggling to find work. However, Illinois has been incredibly slow in terms of putting people back to work compared to other states in the country since the end of the recession. At the current pace of growth, it will still take Illinois seven more years to recover the losses from the Great Recession.”

Below are some highlights from today’s jobs report:

    Illinois payroll jobs growth of 19,300 is the sixth-best monthly jobs increase for the state in the past decade.

    Despite the state’s workforce growing slightly by 5,800 in September, Illinois’ workforce participation rate is still at a 35-year low.

    Illinois has 130,900 fewer jobs since recession losses began in January 2008. This is the second-worst recovery in the country.

    Illinois has 99,000 fewer manufacturing jobs since January 2008, the worst record of any state in the Midwest.

If you look at the month of September dating back to 2004, you’ll see Illinois had 5.979 million non-farm jobs in 2007 - the peak. We’re at 5.863 million today - 116,000 fewer. Our September low point was 5.6 million jobs in 2009, so we’re 263,000 above that horrible nadir. At this current rate of growth, I’m not sure it’s gonna take us 7 more years to recover those lost jobs, as the Policy Institute claims.

Also, the participation rate is not entirely a red herring, but it mostly is. Conservatives are touting the economies of nearby states which have lower participation rates. From a recent Tribune editorial

The [July, 2014) numbers show the Illinois labor participation rate of 64.7 percent running ahead of the rates in Michigan (60.4), Ohio (62.8), Indiana (63.3) and Missouri (64.2). Illinois trails Iowa (70.1) and Wisconsin (67.8).

I do agree that the manufacturing sector losses need to be addressed, however.

  29 Comments      


Protected: *** UPDATED x1 *** SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Fundraising reports by targeted legislative districts

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Rate Sheila Simon’s new TV ad

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* OK, let’s try this again, shall we? Rate it

…Adding… Welp, it’s been taken off her YouTube account. It was there yesterday, I swear. I’ll try to get another copy.

…Adding More… While I find another copy, you can watch her debate last night with Comptroller Judy Baar Topinka…

  40 Comments      


Poe set to begin transplant process, faces “extended” recovery

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the House Republicans…

A date has been set for State Representative Raymond Poe (R-Springfield) to undergo an adult stem cell transplant that will replace his bone marrow and hopes to cure a blood disease. Last May Poe was diagnosed with Myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and has been receiving blood transfusions to offset his low production of red blood cells. Poe will undergo the transplant procedure at the University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center in Houston.

“I received word late last week that the hospital in Houston is ready to begin the transplant process at the end of this month,” said Poe. “In my absence, I want to reassure my constituents that my office will remain open and available to assist should the need arise. My staff of twelve plus years will continue to take care of all day-to-day operations and constituent services.”

Poe says he expects the hospital stay for the transplant to last approximately three weeks, followed by an extended recovery period. During his absence, Poe’s colleagues, State Representatives Rich Brauer, C.D. Davidsmeyer, Bill Mitchell and Wayne Rosenthal have all agreed to watch over his legislative district.

“We all wish Raymond well during his transplant procedure and pray for his successful recovery in Texas,” said State Rep. Rich Brauer (R-Petersburg). “Since we share district office space, my staff and I are in place to lend a hand to the needs of his district and constituents.”

“Raymond Poe has been a great friend and resource for me over the last couple of years,” said State Rep. C.D. Davidsmeyer (R-Jacksonville). “I am happy to help him and his constituents in any way, as we wait for his healthy return.”

“Raymond’s a true friend whose first loyalties are to the people of his district,” said State Rep. Bill Mitchell (R-Forsyth). “There’s not a more dedicated representative than Raymond Poe. We are working to ensure that his constituents’ needs are met while Raymond is away for treatment.”

“I wish Raymond all the best as he seeks treatment,” said State Rep. Wayne Rosenthal (R-Morrisonville). “I have the utmost respect and admiration for him and know that he will be back to serving his district before we know it. In the meantime, I will be at the ready to step in and assist in any capacity should the need arise.”

Good luck, Ray! Hang in there!

  24 Comments      


Rauner runs new TV ad touting newspaper endorsements

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the Rauner campaign…

Bruce Rauner today launched a new Chicago-area TV ad touting his sweep of newspaper endorsements over incumbent Gov. Pat Quinn.

Rauner has been endorsed by the Chicago Tribune, Chicago Sun-Times, Daily Herald, Shaw Media Newspapers, Crain’s Chicago Business, the Peoria Journal Star, the Champaign News-Gazette and the Belleville News-Democrat. In the 30-second spot, titled “Endorsed,” Illinois voters learn why independent news sources agree Bruce Rauner is the clear choice to lead our state back to prosperity:

    “The power to revive Illinois” – Chicago Tribune
    “Bruce Rauner gives Illinois hope” – Northwest Herald
    “Rauner will build consensus that considers all interests” – Daily Herald
    “A renewed sense of optimism” – Crain’s Chicago Business
    “Get Illinois roaring again for the sake of us all.” – Chicago Sun-Times

The ad

Thoughts?

  49 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 - “Comical” - “No interest” *** Despite shout-outs, Neely says she and Rauner haven’t talked

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* For the second time in a week, Bruce Rauner used Stephanie Neely’s name in a debate. Sun-Times

Both men also used the debate to try to win over the African-American vote.

Rauner repeatedly hit Quinn on his choice for lieutenant governor, saying Quinn passed up on City Treasurer Stephanie Neely, who is black. He also hit Quinn for what he saw as the effect his policies have had on the African-American community.

ABC 7

Rauner criticized the governor for not choosing City Treasurer Stephanie Neely as Quinn’s running mate and promised to hire Neely in a Rauner administration.

“Stephanie Neely, I know her. She’s talented, she’s a super star, I wish she was a Republican, she’s not,” Rauner said.

* NBC 5’s Mary Ann Ahern asked Neely about Rauner’s repeated debate shout-outs

Neely had been considered as Governor Pat Quinn’s running mate, but he choose Paul Vallas instead.

“I was honored when Gov. Quinn spoke to me,” she said in an interview with NBC Chicago’s Mary Ann Ahern. “He decided to go a different way and that is his choice and I’m not sour on him or politics because of it.”
GOP candidate Bruce Rauner mentioned Neely’s name to her surprise at last week’s debate focusing on African American issues.

“I was sitting there in the audience and I was like, ‘What?’” she said.

* More from Ahern’s Twitter feed


*** UPDATE 1 *** With a big hat tip to a commenter


*** UPDATE 2 *** From Fran Spielman’s story

On Tuesday, Neely said she was “amused” by Rauner’s comment, but not at all interested in joining a Rauner administration. She called herself a “card-carrying Democrat” who is supporting Quinn.

“I’m not sure what he’s trying to do with that, but I’m not gonna be drawn into that kind of craziness. I actually find it somewhat comical. I have a job. I’ve already accepted a job,” she said.

“We need to be debating what’s best for the state of Illinois — not trying to use me as some kind of go-to to make somebody else look bad. The state has some serious problems. We need to be debating that. I’m not part of that conversation.”

If Rauner was attempting to use Neely to siphon African-American votes from Quinn, it won’t work, the retiring treasurer said.

“The voting public in Chicago and Illinois is very smart. They’re not gonna be manipulated by things like that. They’re gonna look at the real issues and decide who’s the best governor,” she said.

  50 Comments      


Grimm on 150 - Minimum wage battles in other states - The return of “Matt the Welder” - Rauner on “right to work”

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Mark Brown chatted with Libertarian gubernatorial candidate Chad Grimm about Local 150’s pledge to help his campaign

“I thought it was genuine, and I don’t see it as being a problem,” Grimm told me late Monday on his way to a meeting where he was hoping to learn more about the extent of the union’s help.

After the meeting, Grimm reported he now expects the union’s additional support to come in the form of an independent expenditure campaign that it will control. Grimm said he’s good with that, too.

Rich Miller from CapitolFax reported this week that Local 150 would be spending “six-figures” on behalf of Grimm in a last-second push that most expect will work to the detriment of Rauner. Miller reported the money will be spent on direct mail and robocalls.

Although the Operating Engineers have traditionally supported both Democrats and Republicans in recognition of the mixed leanings of its members, the union has been campaigning determinedly against Rauner for the past year because of his anti-union rhetoric and policies.

* In other news, Illinois isn’t the only state with a minimum wage hike ballot initiative, reports the AP

In Alaska, Senate candidate Dan Sullivan opposed a federal minimum wage hike during the GOP primary campaign then came out for the state minimum wage measure in his general election race against Democratic Sen. Mark Begich.

Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor and his Republican opponent, Tom Cotton, have both endorsed the state-level ballot measure in Arkansas, but Cotton had previously said the issue should be left for voters to decide.

Democratic officials in Nebraska hope the wage issue makes a difference in the close race between Democrat Brad Ashford and Republican incumbent Lee Terry in an Omaha-based congressional district.

In South Dakota, where Democratic U.S. Sen. Tim Johnson’s retirement created an open seat, Democrat Rick Weiland helped carry signed petitions to the Secretary of State’s office to get the minimum wage issue on the ballot. His GOP opponent, former Gov. Mike Rounds, opposes it.

* Meanwhile, remember this self-made video from the 2010 campaign?

Well, “Matt the Welder” is back with another self-made ad that he’s posted to Facebook. Click here to see it.

…Adding… I don’t know why I didn’t put this relevant debate snippet in the post. From ABC 7…

Rauner acknowledged his support for “right to work,” or opportunity zones, as he now calls them. And the candidates renewed their now-familiar disagreement on raising the minimum wage.

“We’re going to raise the minimum wage this year, we’re going to get it done,” Quinn said.

“He’s a phony on the minimum wage. He’s playing political football to make it a political issue in the campaign,” countered Rauner.

  22 Comments      


A bevy of new congressional TV ads

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The DCCC has an updated version of its “truck ad” on the air in the 10th Congressional District…

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is launching its latest ad in Illinois’ 10th Congressional District, showing how Bob Dold is just another run-of-the-mill Republican who the Tea Party can rely on – since he has already voted to restrict women’s healthcare choices, limit access to birth control and defund Planned Parenthood, which reduces access to affordable health care for women like cancer screenings. The ad starts today.

The ad

The script…

[Narrator] Still not sure about the twenty fourteen Bob Dold?

More than just a run-of-the-mill Republican.

We’re talking lockstep, yes-man, tea-party-can-rely-on-me Republican.

With ten party-line votes against women powering his agenda…

Bob Dold would restrict women’s healthcare choices…

And limit access to birth control.

Bob Dold comes standard with votes that let insurance companies charge women more than men.

And would defund Planned Parenthood, driving away affordable healthcare like cancer screenings.

The twenty fourteen Bob Dold. Way out of the mainstream.

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is responsible for the content of this advertising.

* Moving right along, the DCCC has a new ad in the 12th as well…

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is launching a new television ad in Illinois’ 12th Congressional District highlighting how Meltdown Mike Bost’s reckless priorities represent everything the people of Illinois hate about Washington. From raising taxes to borrowing millions and underfunding the pension system, it’s clear that Meltdown Mike Bost would be part of the problem in Washington – not on the side of the middle class.

Ad

Script…

Over twenty years in Springfield, Mike Bost could have helped the middle class.

Instead, Bost became part of the problem.

Voting for Governor Ryan’s reckless budgets.

Raising taxes, borrowing millions, and underfunding the pension system.

Bost even voted for a golf course and skating rink – in suburban Chicago.

Mike Bost would make Washington worse.

* Same district, different party…

“Sending Bill Enyart back to Congress means more government spending paid for by Southern Illinois taxpayers. It’s time to shake up Washington and send Mike Bost to Congress. He’s a true leader focused on making things better for Southern Illinois families.” – Katie Prill, NRCC Spokeswoman

Ad

Script…

ANNCR: With Bill Enyart in Washington, nothing will change.

Enyart. Pelosi. Obama. They just run up more debt.

17 Trillion and growing.

Enyart supported Obamacare, $2 Trillion in new spending.

With big spenders like Bill Enyart, the middle class pays the price.

It’s time for a shakeup.

Mike Bost will work for balanced budgets.

Fewer burdens on the middle class.

Change Washington. Mike Bost.

* And over in Congressman Rodney Davis’ district comes this from his Democratic opponent…

Former Chief Judge and Congressional challenger Ann Callis today released a new television ad, “You.” In the ad, Callis speaks from the heart directly to voters about the choice they have in this election between a true public servant and a political insider who will do anything to protect his job. Callis slams Congressman Rodney Davis for his desperate attempts to distract voters by continuing misleading attacks on Callis’ family and judicial career.

Ad

Script…

(CALLIS): As a mom and a judge, in between putting bad guys in jail, I raised good ones. I want the best for them, and for you. That’s why I’ve focused on more jobs for Illinois and ending perks for politicians. But Rodney Davis is a politician who wants to protect his job, so he lied about my career and attacked my family. I’m Ann Callis. I approve this message because I think you deserve better. That’s the difference between us, and the choice in this election.

* From Davis…

No Labels, a national organization dedicated to a new politics of problem solving, has awarded its “Problem Solver Seal of Approval” to Illinois Republican Rodney Davis for his support of the group’s year-long effort to create a National Strategic Agenda, a roadmap for the country based on goals shared by both parties.

“In just his first term in Congress, Representative Davis has shown a firm commitment to problem solving,” said Bill Galston, a co-founder of No Labels. “It is this kind of leadership, coupled with the creation of a National Strategic Agenda, that is going to help us solve some of the big issues we’re facing as a country.”

No Labels is calling for America’s leaders to support a new governing process to build a National Strategic Agenda centered on four goals.

  10 Comments      


Quinn tax hike dodge count: 4

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sun-Times debate coverage

Rauner repeatedly criticized Quinn for raising the income tax in Illinois and warned that even if Quinn were defeated he would raise taxes.

Quinn was grilled on whether he would indeed try again to reinstate the income tax hike even if he wasn’t reelected on Nov. 4.

Quinn said he’s been open about his plan, a budget that he pushed in March that included a $500 property tax rebate but ultimately was unsuccessful.

“The worst tax is the property tax, it’s not based on ability to pay,” Quinn said.

* The Rauner campaign has a highlight video

  46 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition: Crosstabs, cable TV buys, ads

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Today’s number: 165

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the Tribune’s coverage of last night’s gubernatorial debate

But Rauner, who has run his campaign based on his business success, stumbled when asked to name a business investment that led to increased jobs in Illinois. Rauner did not list a single company, pointing the audience to the website of his former GTCR investment firm, saying it lists “hundreds of companies for everybody to see.”

* ABC 7 reported that Rauner did, however, provide a name after the debate ended

During his post-debate news conference, Rauner was able to mention one of his many companies that had created jobs. He mentioned Actient, a North Shore healthcare company financed at one point by Rauner’s firm, GTCR.

However, he was not able to provide any details about how many jobs that firm had created when it was owned by GTCR.

* From an April 29, 2013 Dow Jones report about GTCR’s sale of Actient

Actient has 165 employees, including 100 sales representatives

  64 Comments      


A grand good morning to you all!

Tuesday, Oct 21, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sometimes, you can just get too deep into the weeds of these crazy campaigns - the meaningless minutiae, the intrinsically harmful weirdness, the outlandish character assassination, the moment by instantaneous moment hyper-partisan negativity. When you feel that happening, you gotta step back, man; take a deep, cleansing breath, blow out all the irony and ask yourself: “Ain’t life grand?” Turn it up for Widespread Panic

The sun came out the other day
Through those dusty clouds
And in my mind I was a child
And it felt good!

  10 Comments      


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