SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Quote of the day

Friday, Nov 9, 2012

* You may have noticed that I haven’t picked on Illinois GOP Chairman Pat Brady this week, despite his party’s big losses. One reason for that is, unlike the Democrats’ top guy, the Republican chairman is rather powerless. The losses cannot really be blamed on him.

Yes, his “Fire Madigan” mantra failed miserably. But lots of commenters have already dinged the guy for that. It didn’t work. At all. Speaker Madigan and President Cullerton picked up almost every seat they targeted, and then some. And while the new map put Democrats in play, it didn’t explain some outcomes, like Sam Yingling’s huge upset win against GOP Rep. Sandy Cole up in Lake County.

I’ve talked with Pat Brady many times over the years. He’s not a bad guy at all. And I was told that he offered to resign on election night because somebody, somewhere ought to man up and fall on his sword. I respect that.

I also respect this comment he gave to WBEZ

Part of Republicans’ brutal losses can be chalked up to the once-a-decade redistricting process, during which Democrats redrew political boundaries to their favor, Brady said.

But he also said Tuesday’s losses demonstrate that Illinois Republicans have a larger image problem.

“You can’t whine about the map. The map’s the map,” Brady said. “We need to take a cold, hard look at what happened, face the realities and do better, which we will.” [Emphasis added.]

* One of those realities the party needs to face is that making robocalls and even in-person calls hasn’t worked all that well. In 2010, the party claimed to have made 4 million calls to voters, urging them to cast their ballots for Republican candidates. This year, the party made the same claim about the same 4 million calls.

Our beloved Oswego Willy loves to talk about how the Republicans in this state can’t seem to get any sort of ground game going. For instance, here’s a comment from today about the 2010 campaign…

ILGOP needs to do the following:

Find more GOP voters in Cook, as simple as 4 more KNOWN votes per precinct in Chicago and Cook, given that “known” GOP voters and NOT voting, literally VOTING at a 100% turnout. (2034 Pcts in the City, 1673 Suburban Cook), that gets you 14,800 … Brady lost by just over 19,400, you now need to find 4,600 votes … in the entire state.

4 votes …4 voters … 2 houses of a couple that has a recorded GOP history and they didn’t vote … at all. Remember, not AGAINST Brady’s conservative views, they didn’t vote.

4 votes, and then the collars and the rest of the state should be ably to find the 5,000 to easily get over.

If you have a strong GOTV and Field Operation.

* As a group, Republicans just don’t walk many precincts. Some do, but not most. Still, focusing very hard on a smaller number of people could definitely help. And that can be done over the phone, and in mail, and in an efficient and aggressive vote-by-mail campaign.

It won’t solve all the party’s many, many problems. And it won’t insulate the GOP from the national freak show. But it would be a good start.

* Also, I mentioned this yesterday, but the party chairman cannot be timid about calling out the flakes. Chairman Brady could have helped insulate people like Bob Dold by publicly taking that goofball Joe Walsh to the woodshed after Walsh’s infamous “no exceptions” press conference. The far Right might’ve blown up, but it’s not like they’re in danger of voting Democratic.

Brady says he’s putting together an “after action” report. A realistic and effective GOTV program needs to be a big part of that. But he also needs to be willing to be a referee within his own party.

* Any other ideas?

- Posted by Rich Miller        

  1. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Nov 9, 12 @ 1:40 pm:

    Appreciate the cite, Rich.

    Gimme a minute, I do want to go a bit deeper, but I want to make sure I do it clearly.


  2. - wndycty - Friday, Nov 9, 12 @ 1:44 pm:

    While the Republican party needs to tone down the rhetoric that turns off women, people of color and their allies the GOP also has a policy problem.

    How is the party going to become more diversified/grow and look like Illinois/the US as long as it advances policies that drive away diverse groups of people?

  3. - Ahoy! - Friday, Nov 9, 12 @ 1:50 pm:

    Brady should resign, not because he’s a bad guy and not necessarily because the State GOP did not horrible on election night. The Illinois Republican Party simply needs new blood at every level. Brady should resign along with Cross and Rodogno (as long as people like McCarter aren’t there to replace them, if McCarter is the only person running, Rodogno needs to put up a fight). The simple fact is the party is extremely stale, they have no ideas and they need fresh blood to bring more excitement.

    Additionally, they need data junkies, young tech nerds and new ideas that transcend party line talking points. They don’t need to just call out the nut balls like Walsh, they need an active recruitment of better candidates, precinct committeemen, donors and volunteers. An analogy for analogy’s sake, they don’t need to paint the living room a different color, they need to rehab and modernize the entire house, it’s like they still have knob and tube wiring, leaking plumbing fixtures and bad wall paper.

  4. - wordslinger - Friday, Nov 9, 12 @ 1:53 pm:

    Knock off the Victim rhetoric, that somehow the country is full of moochers (especially black and Hispanic moochers).

    The fact is, even the worst of times, the great majority of all races work and sweat it every day. And poverty is a full-time job, too.

    The number of families on welfare has declined dramatically since 1996. Ain’t it’s no sweet ride to begin with.

    Stop with the racial stuff about the poor. Among families on welfare, 31.2% are white, 33.3% black and 28.8% are Hispanic. That’s about 6% of the population.

    And stop worrying so much about the gays. They don’t want to peak in your bedroom, and you shouldn’t peak in theirs.

    Heterosexual marriage among Americans and Western Europeans was pretty rocky long before gays voiced up, loudly, that they would like to get married, no matter what the bishops say.

    Nobody’s out to get you, not the poor and gays, anyway.

    So maybe no more proposals for urine tests for those on public assistance? Rubs me raw.

    And try to not let the knuckle-draggers act like their ob-gyns.

  5. - just sayin' - Friday, Nov 9, 12 @ 1:55 pm:

    “And I was told that he offered to resign on election night because somebody, somewhere ought to man up and fall on his sword. I respect that.”

    But he didn’t do it did he. Sheesh for crying out loud. An “offer” made to who exactly? Meaningless.

    Rich, you obviously see a different Pat Brady than regular Republicans see. He wants you to like him because of your considerable influence. Shocker.

    Rich, if the Sox had a wipeout season like the IL GOP just had, I think you would be calling for some heads. Just sayin’. Besides it’s not like Brady was working hard and doing a good job, and just failed. The state gop has been dead under his tenure. Sure he makes unsubstantiated claims about all the phone calls made and some gullible reporters believe it, but any Republican in the trenches will tell you the volunteer energy has been as nonexistent as it’s ever been. Pat Brady had no plan beyond an obsessive dislike of Madigan. He’s not party chairman material.

  6. - David Ormsby - Friday, Nov 9, 12 @ 1:55 pm:

    Perhaps if Brady took “a cold, hard look” at his goofy “Fire Madigan” message and polling data – before – it infected House campaigns, that may served the interests of House candidates more than “a cold, hark look” – after – a wipe out.

  7. - OneMan - Friday, Nov 9, 12 @ 2:07 pm:

    Stay the heck out of open primaries Pat, I know you don’t like Lauzen, hell every Republican in Kane County with a level of involvement knew that. But once you got involved it completely fed the ‘establishment is out to get me’ narrative.

  8. - Easy - Friday, Nov 9, 12 @ 2:14 pm:

    Gotv is turning out people who have committed to supporting your candidate. The GOP problem isn’t gotv–it’s pretty likely they turned out the voters who committed to GOP candidates. The problem is there aren’t enough GOP and Indy voters to win an election. When your national message is offensive to women and Latinos, it makes gotv really easy. Just find the old white males.

  9. - mokenavince - Friday, Nov 9, 12 @ 2:20 pm:

    As a Goldwater Republican we had 28% of the vote,
    as a party.Sadly we made gains won a few elections with middle of the road candidates,and then bam Rush took us way Right and here we are back at today at 28%. With candidates who sign pledges not to raise taxes and God knows what else.
    Is it that important to win an election at the wem of a stand up comedien. We can do better.

  10. - Precinct Captain - Friday, Nov 9, 12 @ 2:21 pm:

    For the ILGOP, the problem is organization and ideology. Organizationally, the party is weak and not cohesive. Ideologically, the party purposefully alienates hard working Americans who aren’t “traditional,” also known as straight and caucasian.

  11. - In 630 - Friday, Nov 9, 12 @ 2:28 pm:

    Stay out of the way on gay marriage and drop the weird anti-contraception stuff the culture warrior types push, marginalize anti-immigrant rhetoric.

  12. - thechampaignlife - Friday, Nov 9, 12 @ 2:30 pm:

    Unfortunately for Republicans, the downward spiral feeds on itself. Moderates get rejected by extremists in the primary which disenfranchises moderate voters. This cycle repeats until moderates are pushed out of running or voting entirely and nothing is left but the extremists. It’s not unlike a smaller city that loses a major employer and, as the population and revenues decline, taxes increase to support infrastructure and debts which were incurred during boom times and these taxes drive away even more people and businesses.

  13. - Oswego Willy - Friday, Nov 9, 12 @ 2:37 pm:

    Couple of points to start this off…

    I want to be clear that I am not advocating the “Army of Precinct workers!” “Rabid Republicans, who run every precinct, towing the line of the ILGOP.”

    Stop. Just stop.

    It has been mention so many times, the percentage of the vote and the RAW vote totals needed in Cook or in the Collars to Offset Cook, and the raw votes and percentages needed outside Cook and the collar counties.

    OK, all those numbers are important, and critical. Those numbers and percentages bake into a winning cake.

    What I have been advocating, and what I also fault is the fact that I would like to see actual voter contact, and not the 4 million calls that have no follow up, leading to votes.

    The Bill Brady collapse, for me on a “vote total / number” aspect goes back to 4 votes in Cook and Chicago.

    “Look at Brady, how can he get nearly 20,000 votes being so Conservative?”

    Did we, as a party, vote 100% of the Republicans we know are with us? Did we get every single known one? Not newly found ones … existing ones.

    That is the secret, in my opinion.

    While the known GOP identified voters is undesputably declining, the issue for me is how many people do we individually know did not vote and would have for our GOP?

    We in the GOP call upon everyone for “Personal Responsibilty”. Should we not hold each other to that in getting our voters to the polls? It is amazing to me, when you get a universe of resistered voters, then you break them down who voted in the Primary and ID themselves a an “R”, and low and behold, there may be as many as 10 in every precinct that didn’t vote for any number of reasons. Sick. Travel. Forgot. Worked late.

    So, I have said:

    * Voting EXISTING known identified Republicans at a more higer and acceptable rate of returm.
    * “Personal Responsibility” to get people you KNOW as a Republican to Vote, bring 1 more with you.

    I am giving the highlights, not the details, because, (1) who in their right mind is going to listen to me, (2) those two Dot points are your starting points, (3) I am sure Rich does not want this post turning into a 27 point Field Operations Study Guide.

    I will leave the field “Stuff” there, and respond if need be, or called upon, on the details as they may creep up.

    To the direction of the Caucuses, and the Party…

    I am all about the 30/60/Mansion. I am not recreating the wheel, heck, I am sure someone(s) had this idea dozens and dozens of times. My point is that is the focus.

    Forget Madigan. Forget the Moderate mantra. Forget the Conservative idealogue.

    The Caucuses need to study the 1996 Madigan playbook in the South Subrubs. Period. I can not lay out every aspect better than the complete process of how Madigan got those seats back.

    Learn it, Reverse it.

    If anyone wants to say the ILDems in either chamber are Cookie-Cutter, than please make that case, because I don’t see that at all.

    We in the ILGOP need to realize the 80% Reagan Rule has to live, or we eill die, and guess what, we ain’t healthy right now. At 80% of agreement, are you telling me we can’t control an agenda?

    So my second points:

    * Study 1996 Madigan - South Suburbs, Reverse it.
    * Actually live the Reagan Rule of 80%


    Where the Dems get us, is after the Primary, they fall in line. “If they are a Dem, I am with them. They won.”

    Have you seen the pictures or video of the “Unity Breakfast” after the GOP Primaries. Yikes!

    We have to get the Rank and File, Conservatives, Moderates, everyone to buy in that, “Look, I agree that 80% is better than 0%. We need 30/60 Mansion, it needs to be about US, it need to be about all of uf Republicans supporting each other.”

    That is the biggest hurdle.

    So …

    * “Unity mean Unity. We must Rally for Each Other (or some other thing, I can’t keep coming up with slogans, Geez!)

    Iam available for Birthdays, Graduations … or so you can fall asleep easier by listening to me.

    Just the Dot Points … but hope these make some think … or help some sleep.

    With respect to my GOP,

    Oswego Willy

  14. - Hacks - Friday, Nov 9, 12 @ 6:19 pm:

    Pat Brady made an incredible amount of enemies within the Republican Party. He made 2 huge errors.

    First, he alienated the big money guys who pool their money to run things. He told the ILGOP executive finance committee to shut up and give him the money, he was chairman. The McKenna-Fahner circle doesn’t work this way. They froze him out financially. Notice any big donations only happened once. Roeser was the only big money left. Not good.

    Second, he endorsed county chairmen, committeemen, and candidates in the primaries. This is a terrible idea for a state party chairman because he is alienating the other half of the party.

    The ILGOP no longer has any staff or office under Brady. They pay one guy part-time and camp at Sen. Kirk’s office. He’ll only stay if Kirk wants him to stay, but all he has is a big mouth.

    The ILGOP needs a McKenna/Fahner guy who can bring back the money and re-establish a functioning party. This frat-boy, big-mouth, no-stick nonsense doesn’t work. Brady has nothing but self-inflicted huge failures. His lack of building a working party, lost Bill Brady the Gov. race and the subsequent re-map.

    Also, none of the old State Party employees should be re-hired. Old money and new blood.

    But frankly, what SANE person would want to be in office in Illinois anymore? I would rather move to Indiana than be Governor of Illinois.

Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.

* Here we go...
* Question of the day
* Kirk's confidence
* Unclear on the concept; And pot, meet kettle
* *** UPDATED x2 *** The supreme power of video
* More lip service
* A union overreach?
* Duckworth fires back against Zopp for "cheap political" shot
* Republicans side with unions in court case
* Rauner pushes Gaming Board to back off fantasy sports site issue
* No known impact of Rauner opposition to refugees
* Benton circulating against McCann
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's blog posts

Visit our advertisers...







Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

* Fossil Q smart wearable lineup fully detailed and available for sale
* Samsung UK says the Galaxy TabPRO 8.4 won’t be updated to Lollipop
* Now Another U.K. Carrier Is Eyeing Mobile Ad Controls
* OnePlus X Ceramic Auction to give all proceeds to charity
* Sony Xperia M4 Aqua now available with US warranty for $200 on Amazon
* Five more languages added to Google Handwriting Input app
* LG Ray targets ‘3G markets’ with 5.5-inch screen, octa-core chip, unknown price

* Tommy Kahnle enters, Geovany Soto departs
* White Sox acquire Kahnle in deal with Rockies
* White Sox acquire RHP Tommy Kahnle from Rockies for RHP Yency Almonte
* White Sox acquire Kahnle in deal with Rockies
* KBO's Jae-gyun Hwang can be posted after all
* White Sox Charities all about opportunities
* White Sox add Aaron Rowand to minor-league development staff


Main Menu
Pundit rankings
Subscriber Content
Blagojevich Trial
Updated Posts

November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005


RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0


* Illinois makes tax-break deals with 3 companies.....
* Budget posturing continues - Journal930..
* Illinois makes tax-break deals with 3 companies.....
* Rauner Pursues Legal Options To Prevent Syrian .....
* Rauner Pursues Legal Options To Prevent Syrian .....
* Illinois Governor Pushing for Workers' Compensa.....
* Illinois makes tax-break deals with 3 companies.....
* Illinois makes tax-break deals with 3 companies.....

* Amtrak ramps up service, offers tips for holiday travel
* EXCHANGE: Fire training buildings adapt to versatile needs
* Bishop Hill Museum acquires early painting by folk artist
* State treasurer to hold online auction of unclaimed property
* Man gets 16 years for sexually assaulting a woman he knew
* U of Illinois group looking for chancellor led by professor
* Illinois makes tax-break deals with 3 companies
* Suburban Chicago teacher sentenced for child pornography
* N. Illinois University removes Bibles from campus hotel
* Bridge connecting St. Louis, East St. Louis set to reopen

* Springfield police chief sees problems with body cam law
* Lawsuit challenges Illinois ban on marijuana campaign money
* Number of Illinois inmates released on parole climbing
* Bryce Benton circulating petitions to challenge Sen. Sam McCann in GOP primary
* Executive Mansion roof repairs nearing completion
* Candidates begin filing petitions for March primary election
* Benton circulating petitions to challenge McCann in GOP primary
* Rauner administration says House Democrats holding local aid hostage
* Rauner says White House promises to answer refugee queries
* More honors for Auburn woman who saved man from train

* Shire prepares to make new bid for Baxalta
* Illinois makes tax-break deals with 3 companies
* America is thankful for ... stores open on Thanksgiving
* Four companies doing the right thing for shareholders
* American Chartered deal may be an outlier

* Mitchell: “Hideous” video tells an even more hideous story
* Marchers protest CPD handling of Laquan McDonald’s murder
* Mihalopoulos: Laquan McDonald video could define state’s attorney’s race
* Patrick Kane’s point streak nearing historic levels
* Uber cleared to serve O’Hare, Midway airports
* McCarthy: “Nonsense” to claim his firing of Dante Servin was politically timed
* Quickie quiz: Only player to score goal at United Center, Soldier Field and Wrigley Field?
* Black Caucus chairman: What took Alvarez so long to file charges?
* Veljko Paunovic announced as new Fire coach
* Blackhawks unveil Stadium Series uniforms

* 7 shot, 1 fatally, in shootings on the South Side
* Traffic halted, but few arrests, as hundreds march in Loop after video release
* Shooting video latest stain on Chicago's policing record
* A moment by moment account of what the Laquan McDonald video shows

* Michael Gerson: The Trump effect, still 'understated'
* Catherine Rampell: For millennials, first comes love — then what?
* Springfield police chief sees problems with body cam law
* Lawsuit challenges Illinois ban on marijuana campaign money
* Number of Illinois inmates released on parole climbing
* Lawsuit challenges Illinois ban on marijuana campaign money
* Kathleen Parker: Crazy is as crazy does
* Bryce Benton circulating petitions to challenge Sen. Sam McCann in GOP primary
* Executive Mansion roof repairs nearing completion
* Candidates begin filing petitions for March primary election

* Teacher of the week: LaDonna Hackler
* On the money, Nov. 25, 2015
* Younger Generation: Celebrating the achievements of young adults in East Central Illinois
* Joan Griffis/Illinois Ancestors: Latest Illinois newsletter available online
* 'I'll just work until close to Christmas, then I'll quit'
* Neighbors: Recognizing accomplishments throughout our communities
* That's entertainment: Spotlighting events around the area
* Tom Kacich: Locked-out workers will take first day off picket
* Talking turkey
* Leonard Pitts Jr.: Red cups, Syria and fears

* Referees struggle with respect amid growing hostility
* Vanishing China execs a vexatious mystery for HK market
* Brussels schools reopen, manhunt ongoing for Paris suspects
* Stocks rise with eye on Mideast, Thanksgiving holiday
* Dynamo Kiev gets empty stadium order for racist fan attacks

* House lawmakers overcome hurdle on key tra...
* Rodney Davis talks funding with Bloomingto...
* The agency that fought Illiana gets a new ...
* Rep. Dold takes educational cruise down Ch...
* Lawmakers decry high turnover rate of VA h...
* CBD Oil, and politics
* Simon considering state Senate bid
* Killer Congressman Tom MacArthur trying to...
* Shutdown? State may not notice
* Rep. Bob Dold

* Rauner Says Homeland Security to Address S......

* Kirk co-authors Government Transformation ......

* Sunday posts, pics and tweets.
* “The Driver’s Side” – News From The Motorist’s Perspective
* Laquan McDonald Protesters Produce Traffic Chaos Tuesday Night
* 4635 Broadway Begins Its Renovation
* A violent overtone to this week of thanks; will it be ugly Black Friday?
* Random thoughts.
* The cover-up of the killing of Laquan McDonald.
* Tuesday filing, unfiling update
* Mid-century modern homes in Chatham
* Watch the Organization

* Emergency Management Officials, National Weather Service Encourage Winter Preparedness - November is Winter Weather Preparedness Month in Illinois
* Keep Your Family Safe This Winter - November through February are leading months for carbon monoxide related incidents
* Governor Takes Bill Action
* Illinois Department of Labor Director Hugo Chaviano Awards Governor’s Award for Contributions in Health and Safety to the Illinois Refining Division of Marathon Petroleum Company LP
* State Regulator Elected Treasurer of Interstate Medical Licensure Compact

    Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller