Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Obamarama - Putting the GOPs in play here
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Obamarama - Putting the GOPs in play here

Tuesday, May 29, 2007

This is exactly right

The unintended byproduct of Illinois moving up its primary to boost White House hopeful Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) is putting the state in major play for the GOP presidential candidates.

“It really is wide open on the Republican side,” said Illinois Republican Party chairman Andy McKenna. “It’s ironic,” he said. “A move to help Obama helps the Republican Party.'’

When Gov. Blagojevich signs the legislation setting Feb. 5 as the primary date, switching from March, Illinois joins more than 20 other states holding elections that day, creating a new national primary. While Obama has a near lock on Illinois, the three top Republican contenders — former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) — see Illinois as fertile territory and are establishing statewide campaigns.

In order to draw attention to Illinois, McKenna said the party is considering organizing a straw poll on Aug. 16, five days after the influential Aug. 11 Iowa Republican party straw poll.

Illinois may also steal some serious thunder from Iowa and New Hampshire’s Republican contests because early voting will begin here just after New Year’s Day - before anyone in those two goofy states cast a ballot. Hillary Clinton is most likely taking a pass on Illinois, of course, but her campaign is gearing up to focus on early voting opportunities in other big states, so there is a belief that the Republicans will do the same with Illinois…

Tucked away in a Hillary Rodham Clinton campaign memorandum that leaked out this week was a brief note about a quirk in next year’s primary election calendar that could have a profound effect on the strategies and spending of all the candidates.

The memorandum, by Mike Henry, the deputy campaign manager for Mrs. Clinton, made a case for ignoring Iowa’s first-in-the-nation caucuses next Jan. 14 and devoting the candidate’s limited time and resources to contests in much bigger states in the following three weeks, including Florida, Arizona, California, New Jersey, Georgia and Texas.

Mr. Henry noted that all of those states, and several others whose primaries are set for early February, will be mailing out millions of absentee ballots in the weeks before Iowans gather for their caucuses, potentially diminishing Iowa’s importance. Iowa, along with New Hampshire, which holds its primary a week after the Iowa caucuses, have jealously guarded their status as early arbiters of who’s hot and who’s not.

Thoughts?

- Posted by Rich Miller        

14 Comments
  1. - The Conservative - Tuesday, May 29, 07 @ 8:47 am:

    The only one that might gain in the GOP primary would be Mitt Romney, Rudy and McCain are not in the Conservatives interest at all. I agree the GOP is wide open. Perhaps some of the second level less known candidates might emerge.


  2. - so-called "Austin Mayor" - Tuesday, May 29, 07 @ 8:54 am:

    “The unintended byproduct of Illinois moving up its primary to boost White House hopeful Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) is putting the state in major play for the GOP presidential candidates.”

    I question whether this was an “unintended” consequence. I suspect that this significance boost for the IL-GOP was the carrot that got Republican votes for the date change.

    – SCAM


  3. - fedup dem - Tuesday, May 29, 07 @ 9:04 am:

    Rich, if you think that moving the primary to Feb. 5 will put Illinois into play for the hapless Republicans, you have been out in the sun a bit too long!


  4. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Tuesday, May 29, 07 @ 9:49 am:

    Technically, the GOP will be playing in Illinois, not putting it “in play.”

    I think the major consequence is that oodles of Independents will be drawn into the Democratic primary to vote for Obama. This will be especially true in African American precincts in Cook County, where you can bet that Congressman Jackson and others will try to use the turn-out surge to turn out some incumbent Democrats.


  5. - VanillaMan - Tuesday, May 29, 07 @ 9:52 am:

    Obama has the Democratic nod here in Illinois. We all know this - so there will be a heavy cross over for Giuliani overwhelming the normally conservative Illinois GOP.


  6. - anon - Tuesday, May 29, 07 @ 10:04 am:

    Pretty soon - and I’m not saying this will happen for 08 - all of the states will have their primary on Jan. 1. What’s to stop them?


  7. - i d - Tuesday, May 29, 07 @ 11:03 am:

    Being a very independent downstater, I have yet to find “my” candidate in either party. I do wish that Ralph Nader and other disrupters just stay the hell out of the field and leave the votes for serious candidates.


  8. - GOP'er - Tuesday, May 29, 07 @ 11:31 am:

    So we vote on the same day as 19 other states, and after some other states, including one big one, Florida. Ooooo, we’re really special.

    McKenna is both delusional and dishonest. Recall that he and his friends had once talked about moving our primary up to the last week of January. But he tries to “blame” the Dems for the Feb 5th date? What a buffoon.

    And who jabs the other side for picking an earlier date, and then in the same sentence talks about how wonderful it is. Something is seriously wrong with this guy.


  9. - Team Sleep - Tuesday, May 29, 07 @ 11:57 am:

    GOP’er, I agree. McKenna is bad for our party.

    I don’t think he’s delusional, though. It could make the main three GOP contenders somewhat interested in Illinois. This especially holds true for Rudy, who could easily capitalize if some clever campaigning and strategy is employed north of I-80. If anything, at least the GOP race won’t be decided by the time any red voters would have gone to the polls in mid-March.


  10. - steve schnorf - Tuesday, May 29, 07 @ 1:14 pm:

    Funny, all along I’ve believed the biggest missed consequence is letting R legislators get past their primaries very early, so they’re not quite so hamstrung in the spring session.


  11. - Bill Baar - Tuesday, May 29, 07 @ 1:32 pm:

    I think the major consequence is that oodles of Independents will be drawn into the Democratic primary to vote for Obama.

    Why? Obama’s win a given. The GOP contest will be very more interesting. A vote for Obama is historic but just about everyone who votes in Illinois has voted for him…including me.

    The GOP contest will be the interesting one and if you want to cast a vote with some potential consequence e.g. Giuliani as the GOP standard bearer, or for the first Mormon, or for a McCain who’s given much for this country…. the GOP contest will be where it is.


  12. - Dieter - Tuesday, May 29, 07 @ 1:46 pm:

    So far, not much has been done by GOP candidates in IL, except trying to raise money. If IL were in play, they would be thinking about setting up offices here June 1. I haven’t seen it yet, anyone else?

    As far as McKenna’s concerned, I don’t know if he’s delusional, but he certainly lacks leadership. He hasn’t come close to raising the money everyone though he would and he’s far from being telegenic.

    At the same time, the party has done little to re-unite factions and recruit candidates that can win.

    Until there’s a change at the helm, it will be status quo.


  13. - Team Sleep - Tuesday, May 29, 07 @ 3:24 pm:

    Dieter, Rudy has an executive director and a field coordinator. He obviously is taking Illinois seriously (enough) to sink some cash into his ops.


  14. - Levois - Tuesday, May 29, 07 @ 4:15 pm:

    Hmm why does Rich call Iowa and New Hampshire goofy?


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Question of the day
* Job gains flatten in third quarter
* Musical interlude: Mercedes Marxist
* Credit Unions: A Unique Concept for Financial Services
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Rumor patrol
* Because... Madigan!
* War of words intensifies between Ives and McCann
* *** UPDATED x1 - Bodyman responds *** Rauner's "one-day bodyman" resurfaces
* Two more big holes blown in discrimination lawsuit against Pritzker
* Pritzker campaign claims lawsuit doesn't get its facts right
* Republicans demand Madigan speak out, while lead plaintiff tells his story
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* *** LIVE COVERAGE ***
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............

...............

...............
<


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller