Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » *** UPDATED w/ Video *** POLL: Brady leads Quinn, Kirk over Giannoulias, Home prices, National Guard
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
*** UPDATED w/ Video *** POLL: Brady leads Quinn, Kirk over Giannoulias, Home prices, National Guard

Friday, Apr 30, 2010

[Posted by Barton Lorimor. Video by Dan Weber]

* The latest Rasmussen poll puts Republican Sen. Bill Brady ahead of Gov. Pat Quinn by seven percentage points. Five percent of the respondents favor another candidate and 11 percent have yet to decide. From Rasmussen…

Brady posted a 47% to 37% lead over Quinn in early March just after the former was officially declared the GOP nominee by a 193-vote margin out of 750,000 cast.

The two are battling most notably these days over an income tax hike the governor has proposed as an alternative to a $1.3 billion cut in education funding.

Forty percent (40%) of voters in the state now approve of Quinn’s handling of the governorship, down three points from the previous survey. Fifty-eight percent (58%) disapprove. This includes seven percent (7%) who Strongly Approve and 28% who Strongly Disapprove.

* Rasmussen also showed Republican Congressman Mark Kirk leading state Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias in the U.S. Senate race…

Kirk now attracts 46% support in Illinois’ race for the U.S. Senate, up from 41% in early April. Support for Giannoulias is at 38%, virtually unchanged from the previous survey but down from March, when he earned 44% of the vote. Five percent (5%) currently support some other candidate, and 12% are undecided.

Kirk picked up 46% to Giannoulias’ 40% in the first survey after the two won their party primaries in February. But the race was a virtual toss-up by March. Still, despite the Broadway Bank controversy, Kirk has been unable to push past his previous high. Giannoulias got a much-sought-after boost of support from President Obama after the survey was taken, so it’s unclear at this point whether the bank issue has caused the candidate any long-term damage in a state that has trended Democratic in recent years.

* Meanwhile, homeowners believe their home is worth more than their mortgage….

Forty-seven percent said their house was worth more than they owe on the mortgage, but 44 percent believed they owed more than their house was worth.

And…

Other polls conducted by Rasmussen included a poll that questioned how the violence in some Illinois neighborhoods should or should not be handled.

It was determined that 37 percent were in favor of using the National Guard to fight crime in violent neighborhoods, while 48 percent were not. Sixteen percent were not sure.

Since the poll was conducted statewide, it was unclear whether those polled actually lived in the violent neighborhoods mentioned.

You may recall earlier this week state Reps. Fritchey and Ford suggested Gov. Quinn deploy the National Guard to Chicago to control violence. The governor said he would only send troops with Mayor Daley’s approval.

*** UPDATE 2 p.m. *** A day after the redistricting plan introduced by Senate Democrats was defeated in the House by two votes, Sen. Kwame Raoul had some harsh words for Gov. Pat Quinn. Raoul, who became chairman of the Senate Redistricting Committee last fall, spoke against Quinn for not falling behind the plan. Here’s Raoul speaking with CapFax intern Dan Weber on the Senate floor earlier today….


- Posted by Barton Lorimor        

31 Comments
  1. - Leatherneck - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 12:44 pm:

    Why haven’t any of the polls we’ve seen on the governor’s race even shown the Greens and Rich Whitney as an option (unless Whitney represents the “other candidate” that has 5% support)? It would be interesting to see what the numbers would be if the polls showed a three-way race.

    And with SLC saying recently that he might consider entering the race, I’m surprised no one has already put out a hypothetical 4-way gubernatorial race poll (with SLC and Whitney).


  2. - Ghost - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 1:04 pm:

    interesting that Brady has slipped a bit. If anything with what Quinn has ben doing he should have increased his lead.

    just imaginbe if Quinn actually compaigned….


  3. - Adam Smith - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 1:10 pm:

    Kirk has a roughly ten point swing without spending a dime, spending over 50% of his time in DC (doing the job he was elected to do), and as he racks up a big $$$ lead.

    Alexi has about 60 days to not just stop the slide but start a comeback. That will be hard to do without spending big money he can ill afford.


  4. - Amuzing Myself - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 1:14 pm:

    Ghost:

    You can’t possibly have been paying attention if you think there’s been nothing but Quinn bumbling. There’s been over a week of negative Brady tax stories, and Quinn has attacked Brady a couple of other times for the environment, jobs, etc. That Brady hasn’t seen much measurable harm this last week has to be encouraging for the Brady camp.


  5. - OneMan - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 1:22 pm:

    Alexi isn’t going anyplace. He is in to stay, however at this point if I was him I wouldn’t be thrilled with those number, no would I be that bummed.


  6. - fed up - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 1:35 pm:

    I thuink alexi and Quinn are both doing well considering what they have been dealing with recently.If nothing else pops up the recent problems will be forgotten come november.


  7. - RMW Stanford - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 1:37 pm:

    I would say that this poll, on it own, indicates very little movement in the Governor’s race since the last Rasmussen poll. The difference between 47%-37% and 45%-38% is pretty marginal and could be the results of a statistical quirks as much as any movements downward on Brady’s party or upward on Governor Quinn’s


  8. - VanillaMan - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 1:47 pm:

    I’m still surprised with Brady’s numbers.
    I just may have to get use to this.

    The poll is really bad for Giannoulais, high enough to stay in the race, and low enough that it won’t be much of a race. I think that is where it will remain too. Kirk isn’t making a mistake. Giannoulais is going to have to place defense for the rest of his campaign, or until Election Day.

    Both of these seats are gone while this economy, this mood, this trial, and these incumbants hang around. Six months isn’t enough. Blagojevich’s circus is just opening. This economy isn’t going anywhere. This budget crisis isn’t getting resolved. Doing nothing but fingerpointing isn’t going to do it for Democrats this time around.


  9. - Team Sleep - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 1:49 pm:

    I too am curious if there will be a bump from Obama’s “town hall” in Quincy. It certainly cannot hurt Alexi. Unless a politician is 100& radioactive (like Bush in 2007 or Blago in 2008), it never really works for a candidate to paint his opponent as “desperate” when bringing in or utilizing a friend.


  10. - Team Sleep - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 1:52 pm:

    Sorry, that should have been 100%.


  11. - Stallion - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 2:09 pm:

    Im with Quinn, Raoul is not the right guy to lead that legislation through… We need someone more educated, like say Kevin Joyce…


  12. - Steve-O - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 2:21 pm:

    Alexi’s getting out. It’s getting leaked out this afternoon.


  13. - Bill we hardly know ya - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 2:25 pm:

    We’ll see if Brady stays ahead once more voters find out he wouldn’t allow a woman to choose abortion, even in the case of rape.


  14. - fedup dem - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 2:38 pm:

    Note to Leatherneck & Co.: Rasmussen is notorious nationwide for its Republican slant in its polling methods and survey techniques. The pollsters there are far too busy trying to prop up GOP hopefuls to bother with any third-party candidate (unless forced to).


  15. - Niles Township - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 2:39 pm:

    Kwame needs to understand that the governor gets to say what he wants to, and doesn’t have to run it by him (maybe by Mike, but not by Kwame).


  16. - InDupage - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 2:48 pm:

    It’s all inside baseball at this point…Polls mean nothing until after Labor Day. That said, given the week Brady’s had, I’m a little surprised he’s still up that much.


  17. - Adam Smith - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 2:49 pm:

    Steve-O,

    It’s going to take a little more than that to get a rumor started. Besides, this is the first week where anything even remotely good has happened for Alexi since the primary. He may not have actually lost ground the last five days.

    Unless Alexi’s internals are much worse than the Rassmussen numbers, he should see how the next few weeks go.

    I still think he loses in November.


  18. - Stallion - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 2:58 pm:

    Niles-Township, well put.
    Im guessing that maybe Kwame is positioning himself for something..


  19. - VanillaMan - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 3:02 pm:

    I’m sorry Sen. Kwame Raoul went through all that work, but it wasn’t for nothing. The writing was on the wall earlier this month that he was going to have some problems, but I don’t think he saw Quinn’s two cents providing enough coverage for a couple shaky members.


  20. - VanillaMan - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 3:04 pm:

    Polls mean nothing until after Labor Day. Not anymore. Not in this day of manic fundraising. Being down in the polls squeezes off contributions for use after Labor Day.


  21. - wordslinger - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 3:07 pm:

    I think the Alexi/Kirk race is interesting. You’d think that Kirk, with his textbook resume, should be spiking against Alexi, who’s had a couple of months of really gut-punching bad news.

    Long way to November. Kirk’s going to have to get out there and connect at some point. Alexi, with nothing to lose, should rent the RV and have an excellent spring road trip across the state. He’s a very good retail candidate.

    Alexi’s a young man. He would be wise to gut this one out no matter what. Dropping out would be an admission of guilt about something. Getting up after you’ve been knocked down is admired by most.


  22. - OneMan - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 3:08 pm:

    Alexi’s getting out. It’s getting leaked out this afternoon.

    Yeah right….


  23. - Team America - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 3:09 pm:

    Um, Wordslinger, this is a blue state. Alexi’s supposed to be WINNING. The spike is on the wrong shoe.


  24. - Bubs - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 3:09 pm:

    Polls in April are about as helpful as World Series predictions. They give a rough idea, but you have to play the games. The only real impact is in fundraising.


  25. - JonShibleyFan - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 3:16 pm:

    “The writing was on the wall earlier this month that he was going to have some problems”

    Raoul was going to have some problems?


  26. - dupage dan - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 3:30 pm:

    Team America is right. Kirk is down 2 points just by being a republican in a blue state trying to wrest away control of “Obama’s” senate seat. The fact that he is up this much is due not so much to him but the horrific state of the democratic party right now. Alexi’s bank problem is behind the gap and it ain’t likely to get better.

    Steve-O is gone-O.


  27. - Downstater - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 3:49 pm:

    I think the poll numbers will further solidify once the Blago reality show (ie. trial) gets underway.


  28. - Bill we hardly know ya - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 6:07 pm:

    Heard Bill Brady took off for the Kentucky Derby today.

    Thank you Obama stimulus package.


  29. - wordslinger - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 6:30 pm:

    –Um, Wordslinger, this is a blue state. Alexi’s supposed to be WINNING. –

    After everything that’s gone on? Give me a break. I’m tool old to recognize the Blue and Red state nonsense — I remember, not too long ago when California and Illinois were solid GOP and Texas was Democratic.


  30. - Goodluck - Friday, Apr 30, 10 @ 11:38 pm:

    ===I’m still surprised with Brady’s numbers.
    I just may have to get use to this.===

    You think?
    It’s pretty hard to have a 58% disapproval rating and expect to win, you should have a number somewhat close to a majority of the voters who want to vote for you to expect to win.


  31. - Rich Miller - Sunday, May 2, 10 @ 11:08 pm:

    Steve-O, how did that prediction work out for you? Don’t pull that stunt again or you’ll find yourself banned.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* Rauner vetoes DHFS managed care performance audit bill as part of another big Friday dump
* Rauner vetoes Geolocation Privacy Protection Act
* Rauner plans three bond sales
* Caption contest!
* *** UPDATED x1 *** SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - HB40 update
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - More candidate announcements
* Logrolling?
* Ricketts' Wrigleyville rooftops benefit from "mom and pop" tax break
* It would've been a very tough campaign for Lisa Madigan
* Question of the day
* Legislative move shines light on antiquated law
* Chicago FOP wants halt to new use of force policy
* GOP turkey shoot event image with Madigan's visage pulled down
* Drury could benefit from contribution cap loophole
* *** UPDATED x1 - ILGOP responds *** Report: Madigan pushing back against pop tax
* Poshard backs Pritzker
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............
<


Loading


* Candidates scramble in unexpected open attorney.....
* Editorial: Pension problems persist for city..
* Bruce Rauner Stops In Lexington During Route 66.....
* Pritchard bill helps adults earn high school di.....
* Before his bid to become California governor, J.....
* Senator Brady Embarks on a Magical Mystery Tour.....


* Candidates scramble in unexpected open attorney general race
* Candidates scramble in unexpected open attorney general race
* Report: Payments for mental health treatment often denied
* Researchers to study pulmonary disorders in Sangamon County
* Shedd Aquarium highlights growing problem of marine debris
* Chicago man charged with pointing gun at city boot worker
* EXCHANGE: Woman creates balms, teas with plants from garden
* EXCHANGE: Creator of makeup line had paper route at one time
* Gary shooting leaves 1 dead, 2 hurt, car falling 23 feet
* Authorities: Skeletal remains belong to missing boy, 13

* Abortion bill is hot potato for Gov. Rauner
* New Illinois law will let adults earn high school diplomas
* Raoul enters AG race, apologizes for 'Miss America' comment
* AG candidate Raoul apologizes for 'bad characterization' of opponent
* Report: Payments for treatment of addictions, mental illness often denied
* Republican McClure will run against McCann in 50th Senate district
* Republican McClure will run against McCann in the 50th Senate district
* Rep. Drury leaves governor's race to run for attorney general
* Rauner signs revamp of EDGE business tax-credit
* Rauner to lawmakers: Help me balance the budget

* Like our roundup? Share it around.
* How Tock aims to get bigger piece of the restaurant reservations market
* Guess where manufacturing jobs are back?
* Downtown becoming one big candy shop
* Time for Preckwinkle & Co. to answer questions on soda tax


* SNEED: Lisa Madigan’s bailing out may have had more to do with father
* Man critically wounded in South Shore shooting
* Superstar saint’s relics expected to draw thousands
* Record-breaking heat wave to end this week — with a bang
* Police: Man killed in Austin drive-by shooting
* United Center to host international tennis tournament next year
* Josh Sitton out; Kyle Long, Markus Wheaton among Bears debuting
* Steelers will stay in locker room for anthem; Bears release statement
* Burglars targeting food vendors along lakefront
* Trump’s war of words with NFL rages on — all the way to London


* Merkel seen winning 4th term, nationalists strong in Germany
* NFL owners speak out in support of players, against Trump
* Over dinner, Chicago residents connect with homeless
* Use bug encounters as learning opportunities
* Guard Josh Sitton inactive for Bears against Steelers
* Chicago to host tennis' Laver Cup, all-star team tournament, in 2018
* LINDA C. BLACK HOROSCOPES for 9/24/17
* Bears issue statement on President Trump’s comments; Steelers to remain in locker room during anthem
* Man, 34, shot dead Sunday morning
* Laver Cup coming to Chicago


» State Week: IL Attorney General Candidates, The Soda Tax, and Courting Amazon
» State Week: IL Attorney General Candidates, The Soda Tax and Courting Amazon
» Governor Running Out Of Time On Location Tracking Regulation
» In Cook County, 3 Prosecutors Are Handling Hundreds Of Wrongful Conviction Claims
» An Accounting For Meteorological Violence Among Insurers
» Illinois Supreme Court Upholds Murder Conviction Of Drew Peterson
» State Sen Raoul To Run For Illinois Attorney General In 2018
» Suit: Pregnant Illinois Officer Forced To Take Unpaid Leave
» Palestinian Activist To Be Deported To Jordan From Chicago
» Looking For Analog: Old Button-Mashing Arcades Come Back For A New Generation


* Statehouse Insider: Illinois finances not the worst? Believe it or not.
* Angie Muhs: New content coming to Sunday SJ-R
* Our View: Path to health care reform is bipartisan compromise
* State employees, retirees have opportunity for giving
* Citizens weigh in on the community
* Abortion bill is hot potato for Gov. Rauner
* Bernard Schoenburg: Sen. McCann takes on Cellini in tiff with Bruner
* Guest Column: Let’s help Illinois get back on track with 'College Changes Everything' month
* Guest Column: Let’s help Illinois get Bback on track with 'College Changes Everything' month
* New Illinois law will let adults earn high school diplomas


* Modern Farmer September 2017
* Camp Jackson Fire rescues unconscious man from burning house
* Week in Review: Here are some stories you may have missed last week
* OUT & ABOUT: Open mic night at Cool Beanz in Rock Island
* Sept. 24 Asmussen Top 25
* OUTTAKES
* Mid-State team bands together
* Gallery: Photos from Outlook 2017
* Looking Beyond Tomorrow: Stories from Outlook 2017
* ACLU sends reminder to St. Louis county officials about ‘proper police conduct’


* GOP Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas says 'right now' he opposes Republican health care bill, further dimming measure's prospects
* The Latest: Poll: Social Democrats leave Merkel's govt
* Trump tweet, NFL response escalate drama of Sunday games
* Inconsistent Milan loses at Sampdoria; Inter and Lazio win
* Qualifier Gojowczyk wins maiden title at Moselle Open

* Hultgren pushes for CHIP funding ahead of ...
* Indivisible billboard targets Hultgren, Ro...
* Hultgren Comments on CAT Closure, Hurrican...
* Montgomery mayor hosts health care forum a...
* Good government - The Daily Progress
* Hultgren pleads for continued funding of f...
* Naperville's Lauren Underwood to run for R...
* What suburban members of Congress say abou...
* Rep. Randy Hultgren announces 2017 Congres...
* Congressman Randy Hultgren Visits Raue Cen...

* Durbin to speak Oct. 10 at SIU - Randolph ......
* Durbin to speak Oct. 10 at SIU - Daily Reg......
* Illinois receives $110M in emergency prepa......
* Durbin, Duckworth ask President Trump to c......

* Illinois receives $110M in emergency prepa......
* Durbin, Duckworth ask President Trump to c......

* Trump makes the threats. Democrats vote to back him up.
* Take a knee Sunday.
* Last Outdoor Movie In The Park At Buttercup Park On Saturday, September 30th
* Ora Oral Surgery Opens Its Uptown Branch On Monday
* Join Buena Park Neighbors Invites You to A Family Puppet Show and Clean & Green
* EXTRA: Rauner "gettin' his kicks" down Route 66; or at least a part of it
* Why Self-Esteem Is Self-Defeating
* Trump-supporting mayor's home vandalized with swastikas and resignation demands
* Higher cigarette taxes are fueling the illicit trade in non-brand cigarettes—and possibly terrorism
* Illinois Left panics over Graham-Cassidy; ignores state's shrinking insurer numbers


* Illinois Awarded Funds to Offer Advanced Training on Detecting Impaired Driving
* Illinois EPA Announces Upcoming Household Hazardous Waste Collection Events
* IEMA Highlights Emergency Preparedness for People with Access and Functional Needs in May - Ready Illinois website offers preparedness tips for people, caregivers
* First Lady Launches Illinois Family Connects
* Governor and Lt. Governor Unveil 2016 Journal of Local Government Shared Service Best Practices

  
* Pioneer Working to Resolve iOS 11 Compatibility Issue With Select Receivers
* How to Force Restart or Hard Reset the iPhone 8 and iPhone 8 Plus
* Chronicles of a Windows user gone iPhone (part 3)
* Folding Galaxy X (SM-G888) seen at Korean regulator
* Apple iPhone 8 and iPhone 8 Plus have arrived! (Video)
* Qualcomm loses two battles in patent war with Apple
* iPhone 8 Plus rated best camera, HTC U11 Plus rumors & more – Pocketnow Daily

* Giolito looking to slow Royals in rubber game
* Brad Ausmus worked out as well as Robin Ventura
* Abreu in exclusive company with 100th RBI
* White Sox slowed after fast start against KC
* Royals 8, White Sox 2: Jose Abreu reaches milestone
* Giolito looking to slow Royals in rubber game
* White Sox slowed after fast start against KC


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller