Capitol Fax.com - Your Illinois News Radar » Napoleon Harris poll shows Duckworth with gigantic lead
SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Napoleon Harris poll shows Duckworth with gigantic lead

Friday, Feb 19, 2016

* Why the heck would he release this?

An in­tern­al poll con­duc­ted by Lin­coln Park Strategies for state Sen. Na­po­leon Har­ris (D), ob­tained by the Hot­line, showed his Rep. Tammy Duck­worth (D-08) lead­ing the primary with 64% of the vote. Former Urb­an League CEO An­drea Zo­pp (D) took 6%, and Har­ris took 3% (Feb. 4-7, 800 LPVs, +/-3.5%).

A memo to Har­ris from the poll­ster said, “Duck­worth is in a strong po­s­i­tion (prob­ably a little stronger than I would have guessed)” but “there is tech­nic­ally a path.”

Technically a path? He’s at 3 percent in his own poll. Hilarious.

The full poll is here. Harris even released the results of negative push questions on himself. For instance, 65 percent said they’d be less likely to support a candidate who did not support gay marriage. And 84 percent said they’d be less likely to support a candidate “who has been accused of underpaying their employees.”

Oof.

That “path” looks awful tiny to me.

* According to the poll, voters are gonna stick with Duckworth

And on a scale from zero to one hundred percent, where 100 would mean you are absolutely certain and a 50 would mean you are unsure, what would you say are the chances you will end up supporting Tammy Duckworth in the Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate this March?

    Very strong chance (90-100%) 64%
    Strong chance (70-89%) 18%
    Fair chance (51-69%) 4%
    Even chance (50%) 13%
    Don’t know/refused (0-49%) 2%

* Favorables

Obama’s favorables are still huge among Democrats here, Rahm’s aren’t as bad as I thought they’d be and Harris and Zopp are almost non-entities.

* Presidential

Hillary Clinton 54%
Bernie Sanders 31%
Other 2%
(Undecided) 11%
(Refused) 1%

* We don’t usually get full polls like this, so let’s look at some other things

I am now going to read a few descriptions of different characteristics a candidate for U.S. Senate might have. Please rate each on a scale of 0 to 10, where 10 means that characteristic is a very important characteristic for a candidate for Senate to have, and 0 means that characteristic is not important at all for a candidate for Senate to have. You may use any other number between 0 and 10.

The responses

Illinois Democratic voters apparently say they want strong leaders who can bring people together. And they’re not much interested in state legislators, “outsiders” and those who own multiple businesses. Gee, I wonder why?

/snark

* And

Now I am going to read you a series of statements supporters of candidates running for U.S. Senate have made. Please rate each on a scale of 0 to 10, where 10 means that you agree strongly with that statement, and 0 means you do not agree with that statement at all. You may use any number between 0 and 10.

Responses

Again, the state’s Democratic voters want people who aren’t afraid to compromise, aren’t anti-business but aren’t in the pockets of the business lobby.

- Posted by Rich Miller        

18 Comments
  1. - @MisterJayEm - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 1:38 pm:

    “There is tech­nic­ally a path.”

    Bless his heart.

    – MrJM


  2. - Anonymous - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 1:38 pm:

    Duckworth is the perfect candidate to represent Illinois in D.C.

    4 in the Senate, then on to the White House!


  3. - NIU Grad - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 1:50 pm:

    Anything for attention at this point?


  4. - Omega Man - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 1:51 pm:

    Maybe Instead of “path” he meant “plank”.


  5. - Harold's Left-wing Dinner - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 1:58 pm:

    Okay, I’ll pluck the low-hanging fruit:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KX5jNnDMfxA


  6. - Commonsense in Illinois - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 2:00 pm:

    The only path I see is a huge sympathy vote… Why the hell would you release a poll that has you at 3 percent?


  7. - Commonsense in Illinois - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 2:01 pm:

    Hell…Rahm out polls Harris in favorable!


  8. - Will Smith wonders - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 2:02 pm:

    …is this stealth marketing for the film Concussion?


  9. - Soccermom - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 2:04 pm:

    Did they share this path to victory? does it involve something we might have seen in the movie “Contagion,” with Harris having natural immunity?


  10. - The Muse - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 2:05 pm:

    “Technically there is a path.” Reminds of the film Dumb and Dumber: “So you’re sayin’ there’s a chance!”


  11. - AlabamaShake - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 2:05 pm:

    **A memo to Har­ris from the poll­ster said, “Duck­worth is in a strong po­s­i­tion (prob­ably a little stronger than I would have guessed)” but “there is tech­nic­ally a path.”**

    Pollster: “And why don’t we do another poll to flesh out that path. It will be worth the cost!”


  12. - Century Club - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 2:35 pm:

    The wily Senator Harris damping down expectations. Now if he makes 10% on election night, he can give the Marco Rubio 3rd place is really 1st place speech.


  13. - Arsenal - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 3:07 pm:

    Has anyone suggested that Harris is only there to mitigate Zopp’s numbers? I mean, not that 64-9 is much better than 64-6, I suppose, but I really can’t figure out what else Harris is doing.


  14. - Rich Miller - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 3:11 pm:

    ===Has anyone suggested that Harris is only there to mitigate Zopp’s numbers?===

    Nah. People around him may have not discouraged him to run for this reason. But Napo isn’t that way. He’s got a large ego and he sees himself in higher office and has for years. He just hasn’t done what it takes to win, or even compete, apparently.


  15. - Arsenal - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 3:51 pm:

    Thanks, that makes sense, too.


  16. - Juvenal - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 4:26 pm:

    Look at the “access to education” question, Team Rauner.


  17. - Come on man! - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 4:35 pm:

    Why on earth would you release this?

    J


  18. - Come on man! - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 4:35 pm:

    Just boggles the mind.


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Reader comments closed for the weekend
* *** UPDATED x3 - Pritzker, Curran, Durkin respond *** IEPA issues construction permit to Sterigenics
* *** UPDATED x1 - AFSCME responds *** Janus files union dues refund appeal
* *** UPDATED x1 - "Terminated" by Pritzker administration *** Staff shakeup continues at ALPLM
* Today's number: 37 percent
* Question of the day
* Breaking news!
* Rate James Marter's new campaign video
* The birds are dying
* Wait. What? The Tribune wants downtown cannabis sales
* Opioid deaths declined overall here, but increased for blacks, Hispanics
* East St. Louis firefighter pension fund attempts to trigger state intercept law
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Yesterday's stories

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............

...............


Loading


Main Menu
Home
Illinois
YouTube
Pundit rankings
Obama
Subscriber Content
Durbin
Burris
Blagojevich Trial
Advertising
Updated Posts
Polls

Archives
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004

Blog*Spot Archives
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005

Syndication

RSS Feed 2.0
Comments RSS 2.0
WordPress




Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller