* Why the heck would he release this?…
An internal poll conducted by Lincoln Park Strategies for state Sen. Napoleon Harris (D), obtained by the Hotline, showed his Rep. Tammy Duckworth (D-08) leading the primary with 64% of the vote. Former Urban League CEO Andrea Zopp (D) took 6%, and Harris took 3% (Feb. 4-7, 800 LPVs, +/-3.5%).
A memo to Harris from the pollster said, “Duckworth is in a strong position (probably a little stronger than I would have guessed)” but “there is technically a path.”
Technically a path? He’s at 3 percent in his own poll. Hilarious.
The full poll is here. Harris even released the results of negative push questions on himself. For instance, 65 percent said they’d be less likely to support a candidate who did not support gay marriage. And 84 percent said they’d be less likely to support a candidate “who has been accused of underpaying their employees.”
Oof.
That “path” looks awful tiny to me.
* According to the poll, voters are gonna stick with Duckworth…
And on a scale from zero to one hundred percent, where 100 would mean you are absolutely certain and a 50 would mean you are unsure, what would you say are the chances you will end up supporting Tammy Duckworth in the Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate this March?
Very strong chance (90-100%) 64%
Strong chance (70-89%) 18%
Fair chance (51-69%) 4%
Even chance (50%) 13%
Don’t know/refused (0-49%) 2%
* Favorables…
Obama’s favorables are still huge among Democrats here, Rahm’s aren’t as bad as I thought they’d be and Harris and Zopp are almost non-entities.
* Presidential…
Hillary Clinton 54%
Bernie Sanders 31%
Other 2%
(Undecided) 11%
(Refused) 1%
* We don’t usually get full polls like this, so let’s look at some other things…
I am now going to read a few descriptions of different characteristics a candidate for U.S. Senate might have. Please rate each on a scale of 0 to 10, where 10 means that characteristic is a very important characteristic for a candidate for Senate to have, and 0 means that characteristic is not important at all for a candidate for Senate to have. You may use any other number between 0 and 10.
The responses…
Illinois Democratic voters apparently say they want strong leaders who can bring people together. And they’re not much interested in state legislators, “outsiders” and those who own multiple businesses. Gee, I wonder why?
/snark
* And…
Now I am going to read you a series of statements supporters of candidates running for U.S. Senate have made. Please rate each on a scale of 0 to 10, where 10 means that you agree strongly with that statement, and 0 means you do not agree with that statement at all. You may use any number between 0 and 10.
Responses…
Again, the state’s Democratic voters want people who aren’t afraid to compromise, aren’t anti-business but aren’t in the pockets of the business lobby.
- @MisterJayEm - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 1:38 pm:
“There is technically a path.”
Bless his heart.
– MrJM
- Anonymous - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 1:38 pm:
Duckworth is the perfect candidate to represent Illinois in D.C.
4 in the Senate, then on to the White House!
- NIU Grad - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 1:50 pm:
Anything for attention at this point?
- Omega Man - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 1:51 pm:
Maybe Instead of “path” he meant “plank”.
- Harold's Left-wing Dinner - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 1:58 pm:
Okay, I’ll pluck the low-hanging fruit:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KX5jNnDMfxA
- Commonsense in Illinois - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 2:00 pm:
The only path I see is a huge sympathy vote… Why the hell would you release a poll that has you at 3 percent?
- Commonsense in Illinois - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 2:01 pm:
Hell…Rahm out polls Harris in favorable!
- Will Smith wonders - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 2:02 pm:
…is this stealth marketing for the film Concussion?
- Soccermom - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 2:04 pm:
Did they share this path to victory? does it involve something we might have seen in the movie “Contagion,” with Harris having natural immunity?
- The Muse - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 2:05 pm:
“Technically there is a path.” Reminds of the film Dumb and Dumber: “So you’re sayin’ there’s a chance!”
- AlabamaShake - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 2:05 pm:
**A memo to Harris from the pollster said, “Duckworth is in a strong position (probably a little stronger than I would have guessed)” but “there is technically a path.”**
Pollster: “And why don’t we do another poll to flesh out that path. It will be worth the cost!”
- Century Club - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 2:35 pm:
The wily Senator Harris damping down expectations. Now if he makes 10% on election night, he can give the Marco Rubio 3rd place is really 1st place speech.
- Arsenal - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 3:07 pm:
Has anyone suggested that Harris is only there to mitigate Zopp’s numbers? I mean, not that 64-9 is much better than 64-6, I suppose, but I really can’t figure out what else Harris is doing.
- Rich Miller - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 3:11 pm:
===Has anyone suggested that Harris is only there to mitigate Zopp’s numbers?===
Nah. People around him may have not discouraged him to run for this reason. But Napo isn’t that way. He’s got a large ego and he sees himself in higher office and has for years. He just hasn’t done what it takes to win, or even compete, apparently.
- Arsenal - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 3:51 pm:
Thanks, that makes sense, too.
- Juvenal - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 4:26 pm:
Look at the “access to education” question, Team Rauner.
- Come on man! - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 4:35 pm:
Why on earth would you release this?
J
- Come on man! - Friday, Feb 19, 16 @ 4:35 pm:
Just boggles the mind.