Government workers have been a relative stronghold in an otherwise shrinking labor movement. More than a third of the public sector workforce is unionized, compared with less than 7 percent in the private sector.
A survey by the AFSCME — the union Janus would have to pay into — found that if agency fees were no longer mandatory, 15 percent of employees would stop paying them while 35 percent would continue to pay. The balance of workers were “on the fence.”
I just wanted to let you know about our May 2018 study on the Janus decision with Professor Robert Bruno at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.
Here is an online version of the press release. […]
We find that the ruling could have devastating effects on paychecks and the national economy. Toplines for Illinois specifically are that we expect unionization to fall by 49,000 members, public sector wages to fall by 3.5% on average, and the economy to shrink by $750 million to $2 billion.
Frank Manzo IV
Illinois Economic Policy Institute
Midwest Economic Policy Institute
The analysis is here.
*** UPDATE *** Hmm…