* I’m pretty sure he has a carry permit through his association with a private detective agency, but you can’t do this even with that…
State Sen. Donne Trotter on Wednesday was busted for bringing a handgun and bullets through an O’Hare Airport security checkpoint on his way to catch a flight to Washington D.C., sources told DNAinfo.com.
Trotter, who last week announced he would seek the Congressional seat vacated by former U.S. Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr., was charged with felony attempt to board an aircraft with a weapon, law enforcement sources said.
TSA agents discovered an unloaded .25 caliber pistol and a clip loaded with live rounds packed inside Trotter’s garment bag about 8 a.m.. Trotter told investigators that he worked the late shift for security for Allpoints Security and Detective Inc. the night before and didn’t realize the weapon and bullets were in his bag when he packed for his trip, sources said.
…Adding… WBEZ…
[Trotter] told WBEZ last week he was headed there for a national conference of black state lawmakers, and to tap his allies in Congress to hook him up with possible campaign donors for his 2nd Congressional District campaign.
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Question of the day - Golden Horseshoe Awards
Wednesday, Dec 5, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Best bartender goes to Mike at DH Brown’s…
Mike is the best bartender in Springfield! He is always watchful for a near empty beer bottle to quickly replenish. Most importantly he knows when a private conversation is taking place, whether it be among multiple lobbyist, legislators, or legislative staff and if he overhears certain aspects that are meant to be confidential, he keeps it confidential! He’s a great and trusted bartender that deserves a Golden Horseshoe after nearly 20 years of service at the best bar in town, D H Browns!
It helped that Steve Schnorf also weighed in with his support for Mike.
* Runner-up…
Jamie at Boone’s. She’s got a great personality and is always fun to hang around with after work. Great sense of humor too.
I also like that Jamie started a twitter campaign for herself.
This contest is getting outta hand.
* Best waitress is Annie at Sunrise…
I thought I would post here for her because she is so awesome and will stay open late for me so i can get a decent meal after a long session night. Also nice is that Annie is so far removed from the political climate that she will never ever see this until Rich gives her a 24k horseshoe and then she will only be confused.
* Runner-up goes to Jess at Brown’s…
She is always smiling and having a good time. Sometimes she even knows when I need another drink before I do, which, in my opinion, is one of the many marks of great service. And when the going gets tough, Jess is always there to make sure we have enough people to have a successful Bear Fight, which isn’t always in the best interest of the bar, the patrons, or the participants…but much appreciated nonetheless.
Congratulations to all. As you may or may not know, there’s no actual physical award. All you get is the recognition.
* OK, on to today’s categories…
* Best political bar in Springfield
* Best political restaurant in Springfield
Please provide responses to both categories. Also, remember that it’s not the number of nominations that matter, it’s the intensity of those nominations. So make sure to explain yourself or your vote won’t count.
Have fun.
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Cross won’t vote for budget veto override
Wednesday, Dec 5, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* House Republican Leader Tom Cross said yesterday that he won’t vote to override Gov. Pat Quinn’s budget vetoes…
In cutting the budget, Quinn proposed closing several facilities including the high-security Tamms prison and the women’s lockup at Dwight. The Democratic governor says the money should instead be spent on child-protection services.
Cross says an override vote is “purely symbolic.” It wouldn’t force Quinn to spend money on the prisons. It would simply restrict him from spending it elsewhere.
Cross says the state has money problems and “we have to recognize that someday.”
The Senate voted 35-16 last week to override the vetoes. It’s a sign that the bill might not be overridden today. We’ll see. Keep an eye on live blog for constant updates.
* Meanwhile, Gov. Pat Quinn refused to talk to reporters or address protesters yesterday in Decatur…
The fate of the Decatur Adult Transition Center and other facilities across the state remains uncertain, despite lawmakers in Springfield working to allot money for their operation.
Gov. Pat Quinn was in Decatur on Tuesday afternoon to speak at Richland Community College on an unrelated capital project for which funds were recently released. After finishing his remarks, the governor made a quick exit and did not speak to reporters or others in attendance.
Quinn cut $56 million from the budget and proposed shutting down several prisons and transitional centers across the state. But the Illinois Senate voted to reject the cuts last week, while the House may still call a bill to restore the money to the budget during its fall veto session this week. However, even if the House does reinstate the money, it would largely be a symbolic message. Quinn would not have to spend the money on prisons or facilities, though he couldn’t spend it elsewhere, either.
Students and other local politicians came to Richland to see the governor speak, while dozens of representatives of the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees union came to send a message to Quinn. As the governor took the podium, AFSCME members brought out signs in support of their workers at the facilities, as well as criticizing Quinn’s and other lawmakers’ attempts to reform pensions.
* He did speak in Peoria, however…
“We believe we’ve got to invest in clean water in the state of Illinois,” said Quinn. “We’re not too far from the Illinois River — that connects to great Lake Michigan, to the great river Mississippi — the mighty Illinois flows through our state.
“It is very, very important that we protect the Illinois River by making investments in wastewater treatment that we’re doing right here in Pekin, Ill.”
Ramble on, guv.
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Two opinions on Ford
Wednesday, Dec 5, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Dan Haley, the editor and publisher of the Wednesday Journal, a paper out of Oak Park, wrote a surprisingly strong column defending indicted state Rep. LaShawn Ford (D-Chicago) this week…
But here are the more telling facts: The houses LaShawn Ford bought to fix up and resell were all completed. He didn’t pocket the money and let the houses rot. He fixed the houses as he planned, and until the real estate market collapsed, he sold the homes and made payments on his line to the bank.
Sure, it isn’t good to owe a note to a casino. But the release of that fact by the feds is intended to suggest that Ford was living large and far past his means. That doesn’t seem the case. He lives in a modest home in “The Island” neighborhood of Austin. That’s south of the Ike and is about the most working class housing you can find.
What seems likely is that with Shore Bank’s failure, the FDIC scoured the bank’s books and came across the name of an elected official. They turned this modest case over to a U.S. Attorney’s Office that focuses lasers on hints of improprieties among the elected. And that led to this. Keep in mind that these charges go back to a time before Ford had even been elected to office. This isn’t political wrongdoing like all the rest of the Democratic hacks who’ve disgraced the West Side by selling their offices and have rightly gone to prison.
So why do I care? Because for 17 years we’ve published the Austin Weekly News and I’ve seen the greed and contempt of elected officials as they plundered the public purse while Austin reeled with crime and lousy schools and decaying services. It has been appalling.
And I know, because I’ve been there, that LaShawn Ford is different — different and better and decent at his core. He’s not a machine hack. He’s a fine man, almost certainly imperfect, but a person who is in government for all the reasons that should make us proud. This man talks about real issues of violence and guns, about education and opportunity. He doesn’t talk cautiously, craftily. He talks honestly and from the experience of living. He is present. He is visible. He knows real people and he listens well.
We could be jaded and say he got caught even if the wrong was small, common and mostly unintentional. So now he has to pay and we’ll move on to the next petty hack the machine serves up. Or we could be hopeful, perhaps even a bit naïve, and demand that actual justice — as in service and honor — be done and that a path gets cleared for LaShawn Ford to continue his work, perhaps humbled, but still strong and true.
This is a fight worth fighting. This is a man to stand up for.
* Contrast that opinion of a man who knows Ford to the opinion of one who doesn’t…
Another Chicago politician has been indicted, this one for bank fraud after he allegedly burned through hundreds of thousands of dollars that weren’t his on casino gambling, car loans and other high-rolling pursuits.
Illinois state Rep. LaShawn Ford, a Democrat, has not been convicted.
Still, blowing cash that isn’t yours so you can play Mr. Highlife is almost like saying, “I want to win the Moutza of the Month for November!” Isn’t it?
The ancient Moutza has nothing to do with the American finger, but everything to do with taxpayer contempt. And when we hapless taxpaying chumbolones extend our hands to such weasels, we offer the flat of our palms, our fingers spread wide. The Moutza.
“I believe I am innocent of the charges brought against me today,” Ford said in a statement Thursday.
That’s nice. We believe you, Rep. Highlife.
But we also believe in unicorns with long silvery flowing manes, and little forest imps with hairy feet who go on quests for golden treasure held by the evil dragon Smaug.
Mr. Ford, would you please talk to the hand? It’s pointed right at your face. See?
Nah!
Discuss.
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Edgar to pension critics: Back off
Wednesday, Dec 5, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* He certainly makes some good points…
Former Gov. Jim Edgar says the corporate titans who are pressing state officials to fix Illinois’ deep financial problems need to temper their criticism of the pensions received by government employees.
Edgar, a Republican who has served on some corporate boards, said he thinks some of the wealthy businessmen who have been pushing for a pension overhaul don’t understand that state workers don’t have the same types of compensation packages as those in private business.
“I think people in the private sector don’t understand there are some limitations in the public sector they didn’t have,” Edgar said. “I see what bonuses they get and things state employees don’t have.
“We never had profit-sharing. We never had stock options. We never had bonuses. All we really had was our retirement. They ought to be a little more understanding and not quite as harsh on state workers as they’ve been.”
Ditto for the Tribune editorial board, if you ask me, and nobody did.
* But as Doug Finke reminds us, Edgar was often in favor of increasing retirement benefits…
When a governor leaves office, he is required to submit a report to the General Assembly on the state’s condition and make any recommendations he deems advisable.
Some, like former Gov. JIM EDGAR, fulfill this requirement by preparing a book recapping their terms. Edgar called his book “Meeting the Challenge” which recounted his 1991-1999 term as governor.
On page 29, Edgar summarized what happened with state employees. While Edgar reduced the number of employees, the book noted that “a concerted effort was made to improve state employee benefits and make a career in government service more attractive.”
“The governor approved the most significant increase in pension benefits for state workers in a quarter century,” it went on. “As a result, Illinois moved from next to last among states in pension benefits to near the national average.”
The book also noted Edgar agreed to other improvements, like adding vision and dental coverage and long-term care insurance.
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*** UPDATE *** The response by Senate President John Cullerton’s spokesperson indicates that he believes the proposal is unconstitutional…
The Senate President is encouraged that members identifying ways to capture the local share of pension costs from local school districts. However, the larger proposal appears to impose unilateral pension reductions without offering voluntary acceptance by participants. We appreciate the efforts of Representative Nekritz and her colleagues but we will take a closer look at the plan to see if it can be squared with the pension clause.
*** UPDATE 2 *** . We Are One Coalition…
“We appreciate lawmakers’ latest attempt to move the pension conversation forward. As we have consistently stated, the We Are One Illinois coalition stands ready to work collaboratively toward a solution.
We were not consulted in the development of this plan, but our preliminary review suggests that there are significant problems with HB 6258 that need to be worked through. The pension debt was caused by the state’s failure to make actuarially adequate pension contributions, not by public employees, but like its predecessors, this proposal essentially balances the pension debt on the backs of teachers, police officers, nurses, caregivers, and other public servants both active and retired. It is also unclear at this juncture whether this proposal is constitutionally or actuarially sound.
We intend to thoroughly analyze this proposal’s elements and provide a more comprehensive response in the coming weeks.”
[ *** End Of Update *** ]
* Here are some dot points about the new bipartisan pension reform plan being floated by 20 rank and file House members…
* Cost of living adjustments would apply only to the first $25,000 of a pension if the retiree does not receive Social Security and $20,000 if he or she does. This change applies to both current and future retirees.
* Pensioners would receive no COLA adjustment until they reach age 67 or five years after they retire, whichever comes first. The summary says this provision will apply to retirees already receiving COLAs. So an employee who retired at age 58 and is now 60 would not receive another COLA adjustment until age 63.
* The retirement age would increase as follows:
Retirement ages in the current statute would apply to employees 46 and older.
One year would be added to current retirement ages for employees between 40 and 45 years old.
Employees age 35 to 39 would have to wait an additional three years.
Employees 34 and younger would have to wait an additional five years.
* Employee contributions to pensions would go up by 1 percentage point in fiscal year 2014 and 2 percentage points in fiscal year 2015.
* The salary that counts toward a pension would be capped at the higher of the Social Security wage base or the employees’ salary when the bill becomes law. […]
* School districts, community colleges and universities would take over the state’s pension cost at a rate of 0.5 percent of payroll per year.
* Pension systems would achieve 100 percent funding in 30 years.
* Courts could force the state, school districts and universities to pay their required pension contributions. “Other state funds” could be intercepted if the payments are not made as required by law.
* Once existing pension obligation bonds are paid off, annual bond service funds would be rerouted to pay off broader pension debt — about $694 million starting in fiscal year 2016 and $900 million per year in 2020.
* Sun-Times…
State Rep. Elaine Nekritz (D-Northbrook), a leader on pension issues in the House is spearheading the latest effort, is being joined by a group of lakefront Democrats and two Republicans - state Rep. Chris Nybo (R-Elmhurst) and state Rep. David Harris (R-Arlington Heights). […]
The cost shift, as it’s commonly known, is the component that could most easily blow up a pension-reform deal in January. Even though Nybo and Harris support the idea, they appear to remain in the minority among Republicans, who see that shift as a de facto property-tax increase of $20 billion or more on suburban and downstate school systems. […]
But Tuesday, Senate Minority Leader Christine Radogno (R-Lemont) said there has not been any softening within her caucus on the question of shifting pension costs to suburban and downstate school systems, and that a cost-shift is a non-starter for most Republicans.
“The fact of the matter is the proposal on the table isn’t acceptable to us. Period. The end,” she told the Chicago Sun-Times.
In the big picture, a shift of a half a percentage point of payroll a year is not a whole lot of money and surely ought to be manageable. It won’t be easy, but new union contracts and better budgeting could avert major property tax hikes.
…Adding… A good point by Rep. Nybo…
Nybo said that while the idea of passing some of the state’s financial problems on to local schools still makes him uneasy, rising pension costs for the state means it has less money to send to schools.
“Schools are going to be hit either way,” Nybo said.
* Meanwhile, it doesn’t look like local government pensions will be addressed any time soon…
Roselle Mayor Gayle Smolinski told the Daily Herald Editorial Board Monday that a delegation of suburban mayors trying to lobby lawmakers in Springfield last week for pension changes on the local level found little support.
State officials could be looking to solve their own pension problems first before considering mayors’ rising police and firefighter retirement costs.
“It was worthless,” Smolinski said.
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Tweeting instead of debating
Wednesday, Dec 5, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* A proposal to allow undocumented immigrants to obtain drivers permits sailed through the Senate yesterday on a huge bipartisan vote of 41-16…
During 50 minutes of floor debate on the measure, which now moves to the House, only one senator spoke in opposition.
“Equal protection under the law and under the Constitution certainly goes hand in hand with equal responsibility to follow the law. I am in favor of legal immigration but oppose illegal immigration,” said Sen. Chris Lauzen (R-Aurora).
“Now we’re expected to believe that folks who are already breaking the immigration law, the employment law, the traffic laws will now follow the insurance law,” he said.
But other Republicans backed the plan, including Senate Minority Leader Christine Radogno (R-Lemont), who was among 11 members of the Senate GOP to vote for the measure.
Lauzen’s speech…
* But while opponents stayed mostly quiet on the floor, Sen. Kyle McCarter was actively Tweeting during the debate…
I’m really not a fan of this. If you’re gonna Tweet about a debate, at least have the stones to get up and speak your mind to your colleagues.
But maybe I’m wrong. Your thoughts?
* Related…
* GOP support helps move immigrant driver’s licenses
* Illegal immigrant driver’s license getting bipartisan support
* Illinois Republican leaders jump on immigration reform bandwagon
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Paper partially retracts prison worker story
Wednesday, Dec 5, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* AFSCME reacted so strongly to the numbers included in a Belleville News Democrat story published this week that the paper has removed the story from its website and issued a partial retraction…
A Belleville News-Democrat article Sunday incorrectly reported the amount of overtime paid to guards and supervisors of the Tamms Correctional Center.
The amount of overtime paid from November 2011 through Oct. 31, 2012, was $425,281, according to payroll data from the Illinois Department of Corrections.
The article Sunday, and an editorial published Tuesday, incorrectly reported the state paid at least $884,000 in overtime to correctional officers, lieutenants, sergeants and shift supervisors.
The state did pay supervisors and guards $884,000 above base salary, but the figure includes overtime and “special pay,” according to IDOC. […]
The first sentence of Sunday’s article also incorrectly stated that there were more guards than inmates at Tamms. The overall security staff at Tamms was 221 and the total number of maximum and minimum security inmates was 227, according to IDOC figures.
The maximum security section had 208 security staff members and 138 inmates, the IDOC figures show.
Even so, as the retraction states, the maximum security section has far more staff than inmates.
* But this was not retracted…
In addition, there are 16 food supervisors earning an average of $71,600 a year working at Tamms. That’s the same number of food supervisors as at the Pontiac Correctional Center, which houses around 1,700 maximum- and medium-security inmates. […]
Meal preparation at Tamms consists mostly of food that is not cooked on the premises but comes in cans or packages from a Florida wholesaler, according to surveys by a prisoner advocacy group.
* AFSCME issued this statement before the article was partially retracted…
The Belleville News-Democrat has done a disservice to the public and misled its readers by publishing incorrect information in a recent report and editorial on Tamms Correctional Center. Contrary to the newspaper’s claim that employees were paid $884,000 for overtime worked from November 2011 to November 2012, in truth the figure is less than half that amount—just $425,000, according to information the union obtained from the Illinois Department of Corrections.
It should be noted that the newspaper failed to contact our union before publishing its false information. We have contacted News-Democrat editors and urged them to retract their report and editorial, correct them and issue an apology.
We are in the process of carefully scrutinizing all other purported facts cited in the article. It is clear that the paper’s central claim, that “there are more guards than inmates at Tamms,” is grossly misleading. The prison has approximately 234 inmates in its closed-maximum and minimum-security wings, and about 50 security staff per shift. To insinuate that there are ever more security employees on duty than inmates is false.
With respect to overtime, while some overtime is inevitable in any 24-7 facility, our union has long contended that regular reliance on overtime—especially forced overtime—serves no one, including employees who become exhausted, and should be reduced to the extent possible. It should be noted that existing overtime costs at Tamms are in line with the past—the FY 2011 overtime expenditure there was $340,000—and result from staff shortages. Right now at Tamms the state’s failure to hire needed employees in recent months has resulted in higher-paid correctional officers being temporarily assigned to clerical, food supervisor, supply and library positions that would pay lower wages if filled.
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Reform and renewal
Tuesday, Dec 4, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Way back in the early 1990s, I worked for Hannah Information Service. It was essentially a private LIS with “modern” features and additions.
In those days, the General Assembly’s LIS was a dial-up bulletin board system open 8 hours a day, five days a week. You had to consult a thick book and then enter long “libsynch” codes to pull up any information. It was truly a pain in the posterior and very inconvenient.
Hannah, a Michigan company, created a menu-driven system and kept it “live” 24/7. The company downloaded all of the info from LIS, made it much easier to read and resold it. I can still remember the day when we finally convinced LIS to install a 9600 baud modem, which we paid for.
This was pre “mouse,” so while there were no libsynch codes, you had to enter digits helpfully displayed on your screen to navigate to what you needed. For those days, it was easy-peasy.
I wrote the daily “Hannah Report” back then and also managed our team of committee reporters.
The committee reporters would take notes on all debates and record the roll calls. Committee roll calls were not publicly available in those days and lots of legislators were very upset that we were recording their votes. Actually, “upset” is not he word. They were furious, and there were multiple attempts to shut us down, particularly after my column got a whole lot more pointed.
* Anyway, I told you that story to give you some background about how important this seemingly innocuous development is…
The Illinois House Clerk is making committee roll call votes available soon to folks who visit the Illinois General Assembly’s website.
“This is a positive step toward greater transparency,” said longtime Statehouse observer Mike Lawrence. “It will help shift the focus of political discourse from rhetoric to records.”
I can’t believe it’s taken this long to get those official records online. The Senate has not yet followed suit…
Senate Secretary Tim Anderson said his chamber is not yet ready to begin publishing committee roll calls online. He added the chamber is experimenting with transmitting more committee data electronically and may post online committee roll calls in the future.
It should be done.
Back when I was at Hannah, I was once threatened with arrest for grabbing a paper copy of a Senate amendment which had not yet been voted on by a committee. The amendments were supposed to be “secret.” But they were only secret to the non-insider public. They’re now all online.
About a dozen years ago I came up with a business idea of transmitting House and Senate floor debate live on the Internet. I was blocked from doing that. But now you can even get House committee live streams online.
Progress here is slow. And not always sure.
* I always try to maintain a healthy skepticism on ethics reform attempts because so many have not produced the intended results. Other reporters often treat reformers like gods. But those alleged gods often don’t know the first thing about what they’re trying to reform.
But this doesn’t look like a bad idea at all. From a press release…
Lt. Governor Sheila Simon joined State Sen. Dan Kotowski (D-Park Ridge) [last week] to introduce ethics reform legislation that will overhaul the much-maligned financial disclosure forms filed by tens of thousands of public servants each year.
The bill proposes a new disclosure form – known as a Statement of Economic Interests – that would require filers to list outside sources of income, lobbyist relationships and loans made or accepted on terms not available to the general public, for the first time. It also closes loopholes that allowed filers to answer “not applicable” to almost all of the questions on the current version of the form introduced 40 years ago.
Simon said the goal of the new form is to help Illinois residents determine if elected officials, high-ranking employees and candidates hold any conflicts of interest. The new form will also be easier for filers to complete thanks to the plain-language questions, definitions of terms and obvious connections to information found on tax returns and investment statements.
“At over 40-years-old, it’s time our financial disclosure forms get a facelift,” Simon said. “This legislation is about making our Statement of Economic Interests more understandable for the people who fill them out, and making them more transparent for those who want to get information from them.”
* From the News-Gazette…
In a stunning statistic released by Simon’s office, it was revealed “none” or “not applicable” was the response to 75 percent of the answers to the questions on state forms. Simon said that the same answers were given 85 percent of the time in Cook County.
In other words, the disclosure forms don’t disclose much, if anything, either because the questions are so vague as to be easily avoided or people filling the forms out do not fear being held accountable for their misstatements.
That’s not unlike judicial disclosure forms. Judges are required to fill out reports detailing their outside income and reveal any possible conflicts of interest or violations of rules of judicial conduct. But no one checks the forms.
What Simon and Kotowski propose is a much more thorough set of questions that would seek information on officials’ outside employment, relationships with lobbyists and more exact details about the type and size of investments people hold.
It’s hard to determine possible conflicts of interest if you don’t know what interests could be in conflict. More complete disclosure would make a huge difference.
The bill is here.
* And a southern Illinois hiring scandal comes to an end with a small fine…
A former top state transportation employee has been fined $4,000 in connection with a summer job hiring scandal at the Illinois Department of Transportation.
Danny Clayton, who was removed from his $102,000 post as assistant regional engineer in the agency’s District 9 Carbondale office nearly two years ago, was found by the state’s executive ethics commission to have violated state ethics law.
At issue were allegations that Clayton tampered with tests used to grade potential employees of a 2009 summer jobs program. Investigators suggested Clayton may have altered scores or asked applicants to take tests a second time to boost their results.
Clayton also was found to have attempted to convince a co-worker to lie about the scandal to investigators.
That employee, Michael Bigler, blew the whistle on Clayton and told investigators he was being pressured by Clayton to cover up the tampering.
One can only now wonder if the executive commission will go after Gov. Pat Quinn for that ridiculous youth “jobs” program up north.
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Poll: Durbin doing well
Tuesday, Dec 4, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* The latest from Public Policy Polling…
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Dick
Durbin’s job performance?
Approve …………………………………………………. 51%
Disapprove……………………………………………… 34%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 15%
Q2 Generally speaking, in 2014, if the Democratic
candidate for Senate was Dick Durbin, would
you vote for him or his Republican opponent?
Dick Durbin …………………………………………….. 52%
Republican opponent ……………………………….. 38%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%
* From the pollster…
Durbin is in such good shape because 20% of Republicans support his work in the Senate, and 13% of them say they will probably vote for him in two years. Independents are split right down the middle on both fronts, including 42-42 on the re-elect.
Faced with actual opponents, Durbin does even better, though slightly more Republicans and independents are undecided than Democrats. Outgoing Rep. Bob Dold comes closest to matching the ideal Republican’s standing, with a 21-point deficit (54-33). Failed 2010 Tea Party contender Patrick Hughes is down 22 (53-31), and retiring Rep. Joe Walsh lags by 25 (54-29).
In all three actual head-to-heads, Durbin maintains the same 13% of the GOP’s support, and outdoes his 82% level with his own party by two or three points. The main difference is with independents. He jumps up two to five points with them for leads of nine points over Dold and Hughes and 18 over Walsh.
Granted, Hughes is a complete unknown—88% have no opinion of him, so he is truly generic. Still only 46% have an opinion on Walsh (14% favorable and 32% unfavorable), and 49% on Dold (21-28). So they stand more to gain than Durbin does. But when name recognition is equalized at this point, Durbin’s advantage actually increases to leads of 25 to 35 points, so combined with his strength and the Republicans’ relative unpopularity, he is unlikely to get much if any more vulnerable.
Barring unforeseen circumstances and/or a solid candidate, agreed.
* More results…
Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Bob Dold?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 21%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 28%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 52%
Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Patrick Hughes?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 4%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 8%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 88%
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Joe Walsh?
Favorable……………………………………………….. 14%
Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 32%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 55%
Q6 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were
Democrat Dick Durbin and Republican Bob
Dold, who would you vote for?
Dick Durbin …………………………………………….. 54%
Bob Dold………………………………………………… 33%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 13%
Q7 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were
Democrat Dick Durbin and Republican Patrick
Hughes, who would you vote for?
Dick Durbin …………………………………………….. 53%
Patrick Hughes ……………………………………….. 31%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 16%
Q8 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were
Democrat Dick Durbin and Republican Joe
Walsh, who would you vote for?
Dick Durbin …………………………………………….. 54%
Joe Walsh………………………………………………. 29%
Not sure …………………………………………………. 17%
* Methodology…
PPP surveyed 500 Illinois voters from November 26th to 28th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-4.4%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.
Crosstabs are here.
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STOP THE SATELLITE TV TAX!
Tuesday, Dec 4, 2012 - Posted by Advertising Department
[The following is a paid advertisement.]
The cable industry is asking lawmakers to place a NEW 5% tax on satellite TV service. HB 5440 is not about fairness, equity or parity – it’s a tax increase on the 1.3 million Illinois families and businesses who subscribe to satellite TV. They cannot afford another NEW tax – not now and not in this economy!
HB 5440 Will Hurt Illinois Families and Small Businesses
• Satellite TV subscribers will see their monthly bills go up 5%.
• This tax will impact every bar, restaurant and hotel that subscribes to satellite TV service, which will translate into higher prices, decreased revenues, and fewer jobs.
• Rural Illinois has no choice: In many parts of Illinois, cable refuses to provide TV service to rural communities. Satellite TV is their only option.
HB 5440 Is Not About Parity or Fairness
• Cable’s claim that this discriminatory tax is justified because satellite TV doesn’t pay local franchise fees could not be further from the truth. Cable pays those fees to local towns and cities in exchange for the right to bury cables in the public rights of way—a right that Comcast and Charter value in the tens of billions of dollars in their SEC filings.
• Satellite companies don’t pay franchise fees for one simple reason: We use satellites—unlike cable, we don’t need to dig up streets and sidewalks to deliver our TV service.
• Making satellite subscribers pay franchise fees—or, in this case, an equivalent amount in taxes—would be like taxing the air It’s no different than making airline passengers pay a fee for laying railroad tracks.
Tell Your Lawmakers to Stop The Satellite TV Tax
Vote NO on HB 5440
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HB 5440: Close the Loophole and Update Illinois
Tuesday, Dec 4, 2012 - Posted by Advertising Department
[The following is a paid advertisement.]
In Illinois, we all can see the budget outlook is bleak. Among many shortages, our state is facing a crisis in education that is threatening to leave a $200 million shortfall for Illinois students and educators.
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Alvarez questions
Tuesday, Dec 4, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Near the end of Mark Brown’s excellent column on the indictment of Mayor Daley’s nephew Richard Vanecko in the 2004 death of David Koschman is this…
Cook County State’s Attorney Anita Alvarez — who was a top deputy to her predecessor, Dick Devine, when the original decision was made to give Vanecko a pass — fought to prevent the appointment of a special prosecutor by denigrating the evidence against him. That was a mistake.
Alvarez was Devine’s chief of staff.
* Here’s what Alvarez said when she fought an appointment of a special prosecutor…
“I don’t see any evidence — despite the theories of the journalists who are writing about this case — of a grand conspiracy here either by the police or any prosecutor.”
But Cook County Circuit Judge Michael P. Toomin cited missing records in both the police and prosecutors’ files and the “fiction of self-defense… conjured up by police and prosecutors” when he decided to appoint a special prosecutor. For example…
Questions remain as to how the file for the Koschman case, in which David Koschman was killed by a punch thrown by Daley relative Richerd “R.J.” Vanecko seven years ago, disappeared from the State’s Attorney’s office when it was headed by Alvarez’s former boss and mentor, Dick Devine.
* This is Alvarez’s current explanation for blocking an inspector general’s investigation of her office…
The Sun-Times reported back in March that Alvarez blocked a county inspector from investigating how her office handled the case and why paperwork in the case went missing. Her press secretary cited “protocol” as the reason the request was blocked.
Alvarez now says she commissioned Chicago Inspector General Joe Ferguson. “Now I’m free to say, which I was not able to say eight months ago, was that we opened up a grand jury investigating this case.”
* But that wasn’t what she said when she sent the case to the Illinois State Police…
[Alvarez] said her office can’t examine the police investigation because her staff has been involved from the start, determining in 2004 there wasn’t enough evidence to charge Vanecko.
* The timing of her State Police decision looked suspect from the start…
Days before Alvarez sought the State Police investigation, City of Chicago Inspector General Joseph Ferguson had begun a separate probe of Koschman’s death and the way police handled it.
The day after Alvarez asked the State Police to investigate, her chief deputy, Hiram Grau, was appointed State Police director, effective April 11. Grau had been a Chicago Police deputy superintendent who supervised detectives at the time Koschman died.
The state cops eventually said they wouldn’t investigate.
* And then there was this…
A Cook County judge ruled Wednesday that State’s Attorney Anita Alvarez must turn over transcripts of six witness interviews related to the investigation of the 2004 death of David Koschman to attorneys representing Koschman’s mother, Nanci.
Alvarez has long contended turning over the interview transcripts would “would disrupt the ongoing criminal investigation” by her office and the office of City Inspector General Joseph Ferguson, “and further undermine an already-dim prospect of any future criminal prosecution.”
In his ruling, Judge Michael P. Toomin, said since Alvarez quoted the interviews in a court filing where she objected to having a special prosecutor in the Koschman case, he disagreed with her position. The Sun-Times reports Alvarez has turned over those transcripts to Ferguson’s office. Nanci Koschman’s lawyers said they need to review the transcripts to respond to Alvarez’s objections to a special prosecutor.
* But this is the same Anita Alvarez who went way overboard when she prosecuted a defense lawyer for a common act…
A lawyer on trial on charges she let a suspect in the slaying of a Chicago police officer use her cell phone in an interrogation room testified today she had no intention of obstructing the investigation and didn’t know it was against the law to bring the phone with her. […]
Vuckovic’s attorney, Leonard Goodman, told jurors no signs were posted at the headquarters prohibiting cellphones in the interrogation room.
The charges sparked controversy among criminal-defense lawyers who said they routinely bring their cellphones into police interview rooms and sometimes let clients make calls. Some veteran attorneys said they could not remember a similar case ever being pursued by police.
Vuckovic was eventually found not guilty.
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Is this all you got?
Tuesday, Dec 4, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Carol Marin writes about state Rep. LaShawn Ford, who was indicted last week on 17 counts of bank fraud and submitting false information to a bank. Each count carries a maximum 30 years in prison and a $1 million fine. Marin thinks this is a bit much…
The charge against Ford, according to one former fed I spoke to, is a relatively ordinary case that might not have made it into the top drawer of a prosecutor except that it involved a politician. […]
Moreover, can we talk just a second about the Department of Justice’s sense of proportionality?
President Barack Obama’s Department of Justice has done virtually nothing to hold Big Banks or Wall Street’s feet to the fire for the crash they caused. Too big to fail, DOJ hasn’t had the cojones to send them to jail.
But if Ford, whose own business foundered in the crash, is found guilty, he’s not looking at fines or penalties like some lucky billionaire bankers. He’s looking at prison time.
The assistant U.S. attorneys prosecuting Ford, Greg Deis and William Ridgway, have reputations for excellence and honor, but the decision to prosecute Ford was made at a higher pay grade than theirs.
And, by the way, did no executive at the failed ShoreBank have any knowledge of what Ford now stands accused?
So let me ask this again.
Is this the best the feds can do?
I agree. Repackage utterly worthless mortgages into AAA-rated securities and crash the entire world’s economy and smugly walk around free as a bird. Allegedly lie to a bank to get a bigger loan to rehab properties in a lousy West Side neighborhood and you’re looking at 510 years behind bars and $17 million in fines.
* To be clear, if Ford broke the law he broke the law. Tough luck for him. But it’s difficult these days not to think that we have two versions of criminal justice in this country: One for the super-wealthy untouchables who ruined the world’s financial system, and one for everybody else.
It’s not that Ford shouldn’t have been indicted. It’s just that I’d like to see the US Department of Justice use the same hardball tactics to round up some of the truly dangerous people in New York.
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Tamms has more guards than prisoners
Tuesday, Dec 4, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* What the heck?…
Tamms has 208 guards and supervisors in its maximum-security unit, or C-max, to handle 138 prisoners, for a security-staff-to-inmate ratio of 1.5-to-1. At Alcatraz in the 1940s, the ratio was 1-to-3, according to the U.S. Bureau of Prisons.
The Tamms security staff also clocked at least $884,000 in overtime since about this time last year, according to state payroll records for a one-year period ending Nov. 12. Overtime was accrued despite the fact that inmates in the solitary confinement supermax unit are held in their cells 23 hours a day and have no contact with other prisoners. […]
At the current 138 C-max inmate population level, it costs aproximately $85,000 just to guard one maximum-security prisoner per year excluding overtime… Most Illinois prisons have a per-inmate annual cost of between $15,000 and $24,000. It costs about $26.3 million per year to operate both units at Tamms, according to IDOC.
Sheesh.
They can’t move any more inmates out and close the prison because a southern Illinois judge has halted the transfers after AFSCME sued. So, we have 208 people guarding 138 inmates, and yet they’re still getting lots of overtime pay.
* And get a load of this…
In addition, there are 16 food supervisors earning an average of $71,600 a year working at Tamms. That’s the same number of food supervisors as at the Pontiac Correctional Center, which houses around 1,700 maximum- and medium-security inmates. […]
Meal preparation at Tamms consists mostly of food that is not cooked on the premises but comes in cans or packages from a Florida wholesaler, according to surveys by a prisoner advocacy group.
Laurie Jo Reynolds, head of the Tamms Year Ten Committee that has long opposed the solitary-only prison on humanitarian grounds, criticized the isolation that extends even to education at Tamms, where instructors conduct GED classes through the mail.
“Welcome to the AFSCME prison state: 16 food supervisors microwave packaged meals, two full-time GED instructors see no students, and 13 nurses” monitor men on suicide watch due to sensory deprivation,” she said. “Meanwhile, the full security staff guards a two-thirds empty prison.”
Unreal.
Just unreal.
The Senate overrode Gov. Pat Quinn’s budgetary vetoes last week, including cuts that would’ve led to the closure of Tamms. These new numbers ought to be seriously considered by House members this week before they take up the issue.
Look, Alexander County needs those prison jobs. No doubt about it. The place is one of the poorest regions of the state. Area legislators have done a commendable job to keep it open and I wish some sort of compromise could’ve been found. Maybe something still might be done. But, for now anyway, this has become a huge waste of money.
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Question of the day - Golden Horseshoes
Tuesday, Dec 4, 2012 - Posted by Rich Miller
* It’s time once again to start handing out awards, which have become highly coveted over the years.
Remember to always keep in mind that I judge your entries based on the intensity of your comments, not necessarily on the number of votes. So, if you don’t explain your vote, you’re actually hurting your nominee.
* First up, social staff…
* Best Statehouse-area bartender
* Best Statehouse-area waiter/waitress
Again, remember to explain your nominations and please try to nominate in both categories. Thanks.
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