|
Late afternoon radio blogging
Thursday, Oct 19, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller * I’ve been so busy today that I didn’t even notice that Chicago Public Radio’s 848 program hosted a debate today between Tammy Duckworth and Peter Roskam. You can listen by hitting the “play” button or download it here. The Daily Herald’s story is here. * From IIS: More than 500 religious groups around the state will help sign families up for All Kids * Also from IIS: State jobless rate hits lowest level in six years
|
|
Will he show? *** Updated x 5 ***
Thursday, Oct 19, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller [Updated and bumped to the top.] The press reports that Tony Rezko is expected to show up today for his arraignment. Sun-Times: A close adviser and top fund-raiser for Gov. Blagojevich is scheduled to show up at the first of two court hearings today on fraud and corruption charges. Sneed has some more clues. Sneed hears Rezko, who was months behind on his mortgage payments, made good on those overdue payments last week. “It’s an indication he planned on returning to this country and never expected to stay away,” said a source close to Rezko. The arraignment is scheduled for 10:30. Check the blog for updates as we get ‘em. *** UPDATE *** The hearing has been postponed until 3 o’clock and Rezko will supposedly be there. *** UPDATE 2 *** He’s back and in federal custody. AP: A fundraiser and political confidant for Gov. Rod Blagojevich was taken into custody without incident Thursday on charges of fraud and extortion, federal officials said. *** UPDATE 3 *** From a reporter inside: $1.5 million bond on the pizza case. The [other] arraignment is at 5 o’clock. Apparently, Rezko hasn’t said anything to reporters yet. *** UPDATE 4 *** Another dispatch from within the room from our same friend: Friends and relatives (three rows worth) say they have 2 million to put up in property for bond. *** UPDATE 5 *** The Tribune catches up: An indicted fundraiser and political confidant for Gov. Rod Blagojevich entered a not-guilty plea today in federal court in Chicago.
|
|
Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY (Part 2) - Lots and lots of TV ads (use all CAPS in password)
Thursday, Oct 19, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller
Enter your password to view comments |
|
Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY, Part 1 - Smith-Dagit; Cavaletto TV ad; AFP; Capparelli; Money; Axley-Kotowski; Murphy-Gutzmer; NW Suburbs; Parke-Crespo; Link-Fitzgerald; Munson-Bault; Gordon-Briscoe; Target feed (Use all caps in password)
Thursday, Oct 19, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller
Enter your password to view comments |
|
Question of the day
Thursday, Oct 19, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Stroger-Peraica. Final result. Explain. Bonus question: Hey, Cardinal fans, what happened to your guys last night?
|
|
Reform and Renewal, part 8,643
Thursday, Oct 19, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller The governor can’t really give this money back because it would set a precedent for Rezko’s millions. Gov. Rod Blagojevich said Wednesday that he would not return campaign contributions raised by an Arab-American organization even though an internal investigation determined the state employee who heads the group organized a Blagojevich fundraiser on state time. […] Like I said, if Blagojevich returned these tainted contributions the media and Topinka would demand that he return all the money raised by the indicted Tony Rezko. This situation [more info here] is a microcosm of much of what is wrong with the Blagojevich administration. Allegations of illegal fundraising, mixing campaign money and government, getting around veterans preference rules in the hiring of the guy in the first place. If he had gotten a state contract or put somebody on a state board it would just about complete the circle. Meanwhile, Esquire Magazine is endorsing candidates this year, but they don’t seem to know what they’re doing. From Bernie Schoenburg’s column: Perhaps indicating Esquire’s level of knowledge of Illinois politics, the magazine lists the Republican candidate as Jody Baar Topinka. […] Morons.
|
|
Bean picks up Trib nod
Thursday, Oct 19, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Congresswoman Bean got a big boost today with the Tribune endorsement. In 2004 the Tribune endorsed Melissa Bean over the longest-serving Republican in the U.S. House, with the expectation that she would be a pro-growth, pro-trade congresswoman. She has delivered. Have you noticed how many times the Trib has refused to endorse either candidate this time around? Newspapers, particularly the Trib, regard “no endorsement” as shirking their duties. But today the Trib decided not to endorse anyone in the Weller-Pavich race and the Hare-Zinga contest. They’ve done the same thing in several other congressional and Cook County board races. Anyway, back to Bean. The Sun-Times profiled the race today. While we’re talking congressional stuff, a National Review writer took a look at the last three polls in the 10th Congressional District.
The conclusion:
Good point. If the Constituent Dynamics poll is anywhere near accurate, however, it could reflect two things: 1) Races with two good candidates tend to tighten up in the closing weeks; 2) The national GOP trend is way bad.
|
|
Wal-Mart to expand drug program to Illinois
Thursday, Oct 19, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller This should shake up the Wal-Mart debate a bit. Wal-Mart Stores Inc. is expected to announce today it is expanding a program offering $4 prescriptions for some generic drugs to 14 more states, including Illinois, two weeks after rolling out the low-cost program in Florida. […] What do you think?
|
|
Morning shorts
Thursday, Oct 19, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller * Quote of the Week: Yes, our governor’s name really is Rod Blagojevich. Yes, he really likes to quote Elvis songs. And, yes, given current headlines, “Jailhouse Rock†might be on his iPod’s recently played list. * Brown: Illegal immigrants used as pawns in heated campaign rhetoric * Stroger would oust hundreds of workers - Says he’d request resignations of 500 county appointees * Health care key governor race issu * St. Louis-Chicago rail service improves * Gartel: Green gubernatorial candidate offers refreshing change for Illinois politics * Congressional race a hot topic in DuPage County * Only One Governor Earns Top Score on Cato’s Governors Report Card [Blagojevich got a D] * Stroger workers took signs: GOP * Bankruptcy fraud charges highlight ‘mortgage bailout’ scams * Quinn seeking hearing on ComEd exec compensation
|
|
Warning to all commenters
Thursday, Oct 19, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller No “page” rumors are allowed here. If you post one in comments you’re banned for life. No exceptions. Gone forever. Just give it a chance to come out on its own. You may be surprised and discover that it’s not at all what you thought it was. I’ve heard something completely different than the widespread scuttlebutt. Things have a tendency to morph in the rumor mill. “Everybody” was saying that it was gonna be in the NY Times or the Washington Post this morning. Nada. Bupkis. Hey, I know that it could also be true. The rumor is incredibly pervasive. But I have yet to see a totally credible, first person source on this. So until there’s absolute confirmation, go somewhere else for your “fun.” Also, from now on please don’t call or write me asking what the rumor is, no matter how well I know you. I won’t tell.
|
|
New poll has two races much closer than believed
Wednesday, Oct 18, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Constituent Dynamics has some fresh numbers for Illinois congressional races. You will recall that they already polled IL 6, 14 and 19 and came up with a few surprises. These new results are a lot different than commonly believed. Melissa Bean is thought to have a larger lead than this, and Mark Kirk is believed by nobody to be below 50. Still, we’re looking at 1,000 respondents in these (automated) phone polls. Both polls were conducted Oct. 15-16. * Bean-McSweeney, 47-44 - Crosstabs here [pdf] (They didn’t include the third candidate in the race.) * Kirk-Seals, 46-44 - Crosstabs here [pdf]
|
|
Rasmussen: 44-36-9
Wednesday, Oct 18, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Rasmussen did a poll last week before the Rezko indictment which found Rod Blagojevich leading Judy Baar Topinka 49-43-3. Unlike the Tribune, which also polled pre-Rezko, Rasmussen realized that his numbers were no good and did the responsible thing by going back into the field. The new poll is up (although it’s still behind a subscriber firewall) and Blagojevich leads Topinka and Whitney 44-36-9. Five percent say “other” and 6 percent say they’re unsure. Real Clear has the guv at 45, but I have the crosstabs and it’s 44. Here’s the most interesting aspect of the poll. 24 percent said they were “certain” to vote for Blagojevich, while 22 percent said they were “certain” to vote for Topinka. Nobody said they were certain Whitney voters.
|
|
“Ricky, get off my Trans Am!” *** Updated x1 ***
Wednesday, Oct 18, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Finally, a candidate for Illinois governor I can believe in… He won’t jump into bed with the special interests or organized crime… Your hero and mine… With a running mate who believes in the power of facial hair… Heck, even Honest Abe is backing Tim Nieukirk for governor of Illinois… How could you possibly not vote for a guy who puts John L. Lewis on his MySpace page? Hey, Henry, are you out there? Maybe AFSCME can finally endorse somebody in this race.
Illinois, I think it’s time to “Get Nieuked.” ![]() ![]() [And, by the way, if you do nothing else today, watch those first two videos. Brilliant.] *** UPDATE *** Oh, my goodness. They really have filed the paperwork.
|
|
Peraica’s new TV ad
Wednesday, Oct 18, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller I had heard that Tony Peraica’s new television ad was powerful. Illiterate voters might have a tough time with it, but other than that, tell us what you think And if you’re wondering when Stroger will begin airing TV ads, Carol Marin provided us with this tidbit today: …Stroger last week reportedly told a roomful of North Side Democratic committeemen that he’s running out of money, only has about $400,000 on hand, and needs at least $200,000 more to launch some TV ads in the final week before the election… ![]()
|
|
Question of the day
Wednesday, Oct 18, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller What’s your over-under on Green Party gubernatorial candidate Rich Whitney’s final vote percentage? Bonus Question: Handicap tonight’s Cardinals vs. Mets game.
|
|
Words
Wednesday, Oct 18, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Judy Baar Topinka says what she’s thinking, for good or ill. Here’s what she told the Daily Herald this week:
And this is what she told the Sun-Times:
|
|
Phony attack
Wednesday, Oct 18, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Alexi Giannoulias has apparently just graduated from the Rod Blagojevich School of Making Stuff Up. Democratic state treasurer candidate Alexi Giannoulias branded Christine Radogno a “Republican right-wing extremist” Tuesday as the GOP nominee continued blasting loans his family bank has made to convicted felons. […] I’ve covered Sen. Radogno for years and she is no “right-wing extremist.” Giannoulias’ credibility was already severely damaged in my eyes, but it’s just about gone now.
|
|
Cash-strapped Duckworth gets Trib nod, airs Obama ad *** Updated x1 ***
Wednesday, Oct 18, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Nobody has yet explained why Duckworth has found herself in such a cash crunch, but today’s Tribune endorsement ought to help raise a few bucks.
The Sun-Times has more on the cash crunch and her new TV ad. Just days after filing a report showing her Democratic congressional campaign short of funds, Duckworth plans to begin airing television commercials today featuring U.S. Sen. Barack Obama singing her praises and dubbing her Republican opponent’s ad less than totally honest. The national Dems began running their TV ad yesterday that blasts Roskam as a book banner. The Tuesday ad against Roskam features a woman billed as “Mary Kay Doyle, retired teacher,†chastising Roskam for favoring book bans. *** UPDATE *** Here’s the Obama ad: And here’s the DCCC ad attacking Roskam. ![]()
|
|
Morning shorts
Wednesday, Oct 18, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller * Stroger aide quits campaign after arrest * Marin: That doesn’t mean [Mike Quigley is] happy with the way this campaign is going. Quigley says Stroger is like “Bambi in the land of Godzillas. I think Todd’s tried harder as time went on when he saw he could lose, but fire in the belly? I think he’s still going through the paces for Dad. It’s extraordinarily sad to watch this.” * Sun-Times: Mayor Daley’s decision to pursue the privatization of Midway Airport is paying dividends for his chief fund-raiser in the black community. * State worker in trouble for allegedly campaigning on state time: In 2003, Shalabi got his job by the same method that brought in other politically connected candidates hired during the Blagojevich administration. He was hired to work in a county where there was a job opening, but then he was allowed to transfer to work closer to home. State records show that he was hired to work in Boone County, nearly 100 miles from his Lemont home, before he was transferred to Cook County in February 2004. * Lieutenant governor seeks hearing on ComEd exec compensation * Sims asks governor for clemency * Lipinski faces perennial candidate in 3rd district * Southtown: Gary Smith, 17, backed Blagojevich after conferring with his father. “He said he didn’t like Judy Baar Topinka, he liked Blagojevich. He said Blagojevich was for the people and Topinka could be, but she’s for herself now. So I voted for Blagojevich. He cares for the people, I can tell he does.” * Sweeny: Chicagoans are no strangers to scandals, but that doesn’t mean they like them * Kadner: Green Party’s Whitney gets attention of voters * Saluki Express makes its first run
|
|
US Rep. Jackson complains about Blagojevich
Tuesday, Oct 17, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Congressman Jackson has some harsh words about Gov. Blagojevich. U.S. Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr., a probable candidate for Chicago mayor who has blasted contracting and hiring scandals at City Hall, complained today about alleged corruption surrounding the office of Gov. Rod Blagojevich. That’s an interesting argument. He’s not so much complaining about the corruption itself as the impact the corruption has on the rest of the ticket - and to “democracy” in general. Whatever the case, it’ll give y’all something to talk about tonight.
|
|
What the… ? *** Updated x2 ***
Tuesday, Oct 17, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Today’s Tribune endorsement editorial, entitled “How to liberate Cook County,” started out predictably enough. Years of hard work by anti-machine reformers have led to this moment: the chance for a new president of the 17-member Cook County Board–plus a majority of at least nine steady votes for slashing bloat and improving services. The Tribune, which recently discovered that clout played a major role in the 2003 aldermanic election, details a litany of nasty politics by those bad ol’ county board members and even refuses to endorse either candidate in some races. And then we come to this paragraph: 11th District (South and Southwest Sides, southwest suburbs): This page has argued that incumbent Democrat John Daley has the knowledge and political skills to help engineer a radical overhaul and downsizing of county government. Daley’s familiarity with county finances brings with it a responsibility to be a dynamic force for reform. He is endorsed over Republican political consultant Carl Segvich. What do you think? Did the Tribsters completely wimp out or do you think they actually believe that John Daley - the brother of the mayor - is a potential anti-machine reformer? *** UPDATE *** Speaking of goofy newspaper editorials, remember the Northwest Herald’s strange endorsement of Pat Quinn because the paper mistakenly believed the LG was elected separately and Quinn could work with either a Repub or a Dem governor? Well, it wasn’t just the NW Herald. Other papers in the chain also ran the editorial before somebody figured out the oopsie and pulled it offline. I try not to nitpick because everybody makes mistakes. Stuff happens. But these are endorsements, so the bar is set much higher. Endorsements are supposedly thoroughly debated and carefully considered within the institution before publication. These are not stories written under impossible deadlines or unimportant blurbs that nobody cares about. Anyway, I was browsing through the NW Herald’s other endorsements today when I noticed this line in the paper’s glowing support for Dan Rutherford: Rutherford served 20 years in the House Um… actually, Rutherford served just ten years in the House. The NW Herald’s endorsement editorial which claimed Topinka has no property tax relief plan also caught my eye. You may not like Topinka’s property tax relief plan, you might think it doesn’t go far enough, you may not think it’ll work as promised, you may even despise her proposed funding source, but she does, in fact, have one. *** UPDATE 2 *** [Sigh.] I hate to keep at this, but I don’t think the SoS office has 37,000 employees, as claimed in the NW Herald’s Rutherford endorsement. Not even close. The real headcount is about 3,800.
|
|
Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY, Part 2 - Canvass results; Wintermute-Holmes; New & harsh TV ad in Granberg-Cavaletto
Tuesday, Oct 17, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller
|
|
Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Schock-Spears; Smith-Dagit; Link-Shields; Glengariff poll results; Axley-Kotowski; IFT radio ads; Gordon-Briscoe; Roth-Noland; Sullivan-Howland; Hospitals; Target feed (Use all caps in password) *** Updated x1 ***
Tuesday, Oct 17, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller
Enter your password to view comments |
|
Question of the day *** Updated x1 ***
Tuesday, Oct 17, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Let’s assume (probably correctly) that Judy Baar Topinka doesn’t have the money to air both positive and negative ads at the same time. Faced with this cash dilemma, if you were her would you continue airing negative ads or switch to purely positives? Explain your reasoning. Bonus question: Will hiring Lou Piniella make any difference at all for the Cubs or should the owners resign? By the way, the Glengariff Group also polled Illinoisans on the Cubs” The Chicago Cubs *** UPDATE *** Gov. Blagojevich’s campaign has a new super-positive ad. “According to my opponent,” the guv says up front, “I’m the worst person on earth and the world is coming to an end. Come one. Let’s get real.” ![]()
|
|
Duckworth low on cash, but Dems starting negative ads *** Updated x1 ***
Tuesday, Oct 17, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Tammy Duckworth is no longer running TV ads and is running out of money. After filling the airwaves with television commercials, Democrat Tammy Duckworth is heading into the crucial final weeks of the west suburban 6th Congressional District contest with a severely depleted campaign war chest. The Daily Herald story ponders whether Duckworth may have peaked too soon, but adds this nugget (albeit buried) that the Sun-Times missed. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which reserved $2.3 million to run ads blasting Roskam, starts airing its first ad today. Also, Andrew Sullivan writes that this NRCC ad is “all-but racist.” Notice the visual contrast between the alleged illegals and the white family who will have to “foot the bill” for them. Lovely. But effective. [Hat tip to a commenter] *** UPDATE *** Roskam’s own ad on immigration/Social Security/etc. is below. ![]()
|
|
Glengariff Group, treasurer’s race: 33-29-8
Tuesday, Oct 17, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller More numbers. In the race for state treasurer, the poll shows Democrat Alexi Giannoulias leading Republican state Sen. Christine Radogno 33 percent to 29 percent but that is within the 4 percentage point statistical margin of error. Green Party candidate Dan Rodriguez Schlorff polled 8 percent. […] I’ll post some trends on this a little later this morning.
|
|
Glengariff Group: 39-30-9 and 20 undecided
Tuesday, Oct 17, 2006 - Posted by Rich Miller Subscribers had these results yesterday and will get the full results this morning. AP: A new poll since a close adviser to Gov. Rod Blagojevich was indicted shows the incumbent Democrat with a 9 percentage point lead over his closest challenger, Republican Judy Baar Topinka, according to results released Monday. Discuss.
|
| « NEWER POSTS | PREVIOUS POSTS » |










