* The last poll taken in this race is here. The last Fabrizio Lee poll is here. New one…
Since the last Fabrizio Lee poll, taken three weeks ago, Bailey’s lead has grown by 13 points. Since the last public poll, taken 10-13 days ago, Bailey’s lead is up by 2 points, which is likely just background noise.
Sullivan’s support has grown by just four points since the last Fabrizio Lee poll. He’s up five points since the last public poll.
Irvin’s support has dropped by six points since the last Fabrizio Lee poll, and it’s fallen by three points since the last public poll.
Your thoughts?
…Adding… I told you about Sullivan’s ad buy yesterday, but here’s Politico…
Jesse Sullivan is hoping for a big surge in the final days of the statewide GOP race for governor, though you wouldn’t know it from his TV ad buys. According to ad spending documentation provided to Playbook, Sullivan is spending $680,000 over the next week on TV, but nearly all of it — $568,000 — is being spent in the Chicago area.
Similar move: Fellow Republican Richard Irvin also pulled back on advertising downstate to focus on Chicago. This week, Irvin is spending $430,000, with $412,000 of it in Chicago.
Darren Bailey, the GOP frontrunner in recent polls, is spending $312,000 in Chicago and another $160,000 across the rest of the state. The downstate Republican is seen as already having sewn up the southern part of Illinois.
And in case you’re wondering, Democratic Gov. JB Pritzker is spending more than all of the Republicans combined — about $1 million in the Chicago area and $600,000 across the rest of the state.
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* Griffin is from Daytona Beach. Robert Channick from the Tribune…
Billionaire hedge fund manager Ken Griffin is moving his company’s headquarters from Chicago to Miami.
In a note to employees Thursday, Griffin said his investment firm, Citadel, will relocate to new headquarters in Miami’s financial district after more than 30 years in Chicago. Citadel, which has about 1,000 employees in Chicago, will maintain an office in the city, but many are expected to shift with the corporate locus to the Sunshine State, where Griffin, a Florida native, recently moved with his family.
“Chicago will continue to be important to the future of Citadel, as many of our colleagues have deep ties to Illinois, Griffin said in his note. “Over the past year, however, many of our Chicago teams have asked to relocate to Miami, New York and our other offices around the world.”
Yeah, it’s about the employees.
…Adding… From what I’m being told, Griffin, who was already looking at leaving, decided to hang it up when he saw Dick Uihlein so willingly team up with Gov. Pritzker. The party, at that point, was just not worth saving.
…Adding… Tribune…
In a statement Thursday morning, Irvin blamed Pritzker for Citadel’s departure and for refusing “to acknowledge what everyone sees, which is that his high-tax, pro-criminal administration is literally driving jobs and businesses out of state.”
“In the last month alone, Illinois lost Boeing, Caterpillar and now Citadel,” Irvin said, noting recent announcements by the defense contractor and airplane-maker and Caterpillar Inc. are moving their corporate headquarters to Virginia and Texas, respectively.
Adding a pitch for his candidacy, Irvin said, “It’s a clear pattern that shows no signs of ending unless we beat Pritzker in November, and I’m the only person in this race with a proven record of success to take Illinois back.”
Illinois House Republican leader Jim Durkin said Griffin’s departure was a sign of the state’s modern-day business climate.
…Adding… DGA…
“After propping up Richard Irvin’s hollow campaign for months, Ken Griffin’s running home to Florida just days before the primary so he doesn’t have to face the music,” said DGA Illinois Press Secretary Yael Sheinfeld. “With a vote of no confidence from their biggest fan, the Irvin campaign has their work cut out for them before Tuesday’s election. But no matter who nabs the nomination, Illinoisans know Gov. JB Pritzker is the only proven leader for our state.”
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LIVE COVERAGE
Thursday, Jun 23, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller
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Campaign notebook
Wednesday, Jun 22, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Tom DeVore added the red highlighting on this piece when he posted it to Facebook and thanked the Democratic Party of Illinois for the exposure. This primary just gets weirder and weirder by the day, man…
The governor and DPI are empowering the Republican fringe. Hope that doesn’t backfire on them.
…Adding… From the Steve Kim campaign…
Illinois Democrats began sending mail pieces today in an effort to promote Steve Kim’s primary opponent, a downstate lawyer embroiled in personal lawsuits and character questions. In what has become a habit for JB Pritzker and his Democrat allies, they are meddling in another Republican primary to get the nominee who is easier to beat in November.
Steve Kim is the biggest threat to Kwame Raoul’s incumbency, and JB Pritzker knows it. An experienced attorney, Steve isn’t afraid to take on the corrupt political machine that Illinois Democrats have cultivated for decades.
* More outside money boosting Mary Miller and dinging Rodney Davis…
* 2019 story about Mary Miller’s first congressional race…
Gray is one of six Republicans and four Democrats who filed for the post. One of the other Republicans is Mary Miller, wife of state Rep. Chris Miller, R-Oakland. Rep. Miller was at the Statehouse on Wednesday and had a quick answer when asked why his wife would be better for the district than Gray.
“The biggest thing is, she actually lives in the district that she’s running for,” Miller said. “That’s always a bonus. She’s lived there for 40 years and knows the people there.”
One entry in Gray’s resume is being Trump’s Illinois and Missouri state director leading up to the 2016 primaries. That didn’t sway Rep. Miller, who said living outside the district would be a political “death sentence.”
“I think the old term was carpetbagger,” he said.
Rodney Davis campaign today…
“Politician Mary Miller is a carpetbagger because she’s running in a district she doesn’t live in, and Mary’s husband Chris agrees. He attacked another Republican not too long ago for being a ‘carpetbagger’ since they didn’t live in the district, also calling it a political ‘death sentence.’ Chris Miller says a lot of things, but he’s right on this issue. Mary Miller just wants to be in Congress. She doesn’t care about her community since she’s abandoning her neighbors and most of her constituents to run somewhere else. Rodney Davis is the only Republican candidate in the 15th District who actually lives in the 15th District.” - Aaron DeGroot, Davis campaign spokesperson
* Snarky email…
Hi Rich,
Newman got endorsed by her Field Director, Ben Goldberg along with 11 other former Warren volunteers.
This could shake up the race in the closing days.
* Click here for the full report. NALEO…
The National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials (NALEO) Educational Fund today released its 2022 Illinois and Chicago Latino Voter Profile, offering a comprehensive analysis of the Latino electorate in Illinois and Chicago — including demographic trends and population growth. With the Illinois Primary taking place next week on June 28, the profile examines the political factors shaping the state’s Latino electorate, such as the outcome of the 2020 Census and the recent redistricting. The profile also includes projections of how the Illinois Latino population is expected to show up to the polls for the state’s November elections.
According to the projections, more than 353,000 Latinos in Illinois will be casting ballots this November, mirroring 2018’s historic turnout numbers and marking a 62.2 percent increase from 2014. In addition, Illinois’ Latino voters are expected to be younger than non-Latino voters, with 18–24-year-olds comprising 15 percent of registered Latinos, compared to 7 percent of non-Latinos. Similarly, 25 percent of Latino registered voters are 25–34-year-olds, compared to 16 percent of non-Latinos.
“Latino candidates are poised to make history in November, with the prospect of two Latinos being elected to Illinois’ congressional delegation for the first time,” said NALEO Educational Fund CEO Arturo Vargas. “Latino turnout may build on the momentum of past political seasons like that of 2018, but this momentum will not be sustained without early and robust engagement of Latino voters by candidates and campaigns. Latinos value electoral participation and care about the people who represent them, and it is critical that those seeking their votes address the community’s needs and priorities.
Key Findings Include:
• More than 353,000 Latinos in Illinois will cast their ballots in November 2022, marking a 62.2 percent increase from 2014.
• The Latino share of all Illinois voters in 2022 is expected to be 7.9 percent, which mirrors the Latino share in both 2018 and 2014.
• Twelve percent of voting-age citizens in Illinois are Latino.
• Latino registered voters in Illinois tend to be younger than non-Latinos, with 18–24-year-olds comprising 15 percent of registered Latinos, compared to 7 percent of non-Latinos. Similarly, 25 percent of Latino registered voters are 25–34-year-olds, compared to 16 percent of non-Latinos.
• Between 2010 and 2020, Illinois’ population decreased from 12.83 million to 12.81 million, decreasing 0.1 percent. During the same period, the state’s Latino population grew from 2 million to 2.3 million, increasing 15.3 percent. By comparison, the state’s non-Latino population decreased by 3.0 percent.
• In 2021, 134 Latinos served in elected office in Illinois — with 87 percent serving at the local level, including county, municipal, school board, and judicial officials.
Several factors will further shape the political landscape for Illinois’ midterm elections, including the redistricting that followed Census 2020, the competitiveness of congressional and statewide contests, and the effectiveness of voter engagement efforts targeting the Latino community.
* Press release…
With less than one week left until the June 28th primary, Liz Brown-Reeves, candidate for 15th Democratic State Central Committeeman, is finishing strong with major endorsements and union support.
“There is no one in the 15th Congressional District who better represents the values of Democrats and can position our party for success during these uncertain times, and that is why I am proudly endorsing my good friend Liz Brown-Reeves for Democratic Central Committeeman,” said former State Senator Andy Manar. “I have known Liz for twenty-two years, and in that time she has fought tirelessly to get things done in the statehouse on behalf of working families and organized labor. From running campaigns to fundraising for candidates up and down the ballot, she has the experience we need right now when so much is at stake for both our party and our democracy.”
As part of his endorsement, Manar contributed $30,000 in support of Liz’s campaign.
Manar joins the long list of supporters for Liz Brown-Reeves’s campaign including:
Governor JB Pritzker
Secretary of State Jesse White
Former Congressman Jerry Costello
Assistant Majority Leader Representative Jay Hoffman
Senator Doris Turner
Former State Representative Julie Curry
UA (Plumbers & Pipefitters) Illinois PAC
IBEW Local 15
Painters District Council 14
Laborer’s (LIUNA) Midwest Union
Police Benevolent & Protective Association
Mid-America Carpenters
Chicago Land Operators & Joiners
SMART Union
“I am so humbled and excited to receive the endorsement of former Senator Manar. No one has done more for the citizens of downstate Illinois than Andy,” said Liz Brown-Reeves. “Organized labor has also been the backbone of my career and I would not be where I am today without the partnership and support of unions throughout Illinois.”
* Sad news…
John Fritts, former Lee County treasurer and campaign manager for a his cousin, 74th District candidate Bradley J. Fritts, died Monday in a two-car crash in rural La Salle County near Earlville. […]
“John, who was managing Brad’s campaign for Illinois State Representative, was killed in a car accident in Earlville, IL Monday afternoon. Several family members were also in the car and Brad was sent to the hospital with non-life threatening injuries.
“Please keep the family in your prayers as they deal with this sudden tragedy. John is known best for his smile. We love him very much.”
* More…
* Nicolosi campaign accused of forging signatures of senior home residents: According to a criminal complaint filed on April 21st, five residents of the Cedarhurst Senior Living Center, 7130 Crimson Ridge Drive, are victims of aggravated identity theft against a person 60 years of age or older for signatures that appear on Nicolosi’s petition.
* Jesse Sullivan visits Peoria for ‘Save Illinois Rally’
* Illinois secretary of state Democratic primary: Valencia squares off with Giannoulias and Moore
* 27th House Democratic primary may be winner-take-all affair with no Republican filed
* Cook County Assessor Fritz Kaegi touts fairer property tax valuations; challenger Kari Steele says he’s broken reform promises, created ‘chaos’
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Today’s quotable
Wednesday, Jun 22, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller
* The Better Government Association’s David Greising on WBBM today…
Tom Cullerton had, until he was charged a couple of years ago, he was thought of as a sort of a reformer and a progressive in the state legislature.
That’s… an interesting take. “Reformer” and “progressive” were not two words I would’ve ever used for him.
…Adding… Milhiser was a US Attorney based in Springfield and didn’t rack up a whole lot of corruption scalps…
Tom Cullerton is the latest to be put behind bars for his role in a corruption scheme, highlighting the pervasiveness of this problem in Illinois government. Republicans and Democrats alike can be corrupted, and it’s why we need a corruption-buster like John Milhiser in statewide office to root it out from the inside.
As a career prosecutor, John knows how to root out corruption and provide effective services as a chief executive of a large, multi-county office. He oversaw the U.S. Attorney’s office in the 46 county Central District, and is ready to take on the challenge of providing efficient services to all 102 counties as Secretary of State.
John Milhiser released the following statement on Tom Cullerton’s sentencing:
This sentence shows that we can’t just prosecute our way out of corruption, we need to root out corruption from inside and start to change the culture of Illinois government. This problem is pervasive through government, Republicans and Democrats, and it needs to change to restore the people’s faith in our leaders. As your Secretary of State, I promise we will have zero tolerance for public corruption so you know that every penny that comes through my office is focused on providing you the high-quality service you deserve.
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LIVE COVERAGE
Wednesday, Jun 22, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller
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Kellogg’s moving HQ to Chicago
Tuesday, Jun 21, 2022 - Posted by Rich Miller
* You gotta wonder if Gov. Pritzker will also downplay this as just “office personnel.” /s…
Battle Creek-based Kellogg Co. plans to split itself into three separate companies, with the headquarters of the largest company in Chicago. […]
The cereal and plant-based businesses would remain headquartered in Battle Creek, the company said. The global snacks business would maintain campuses in Battle Creek and Chicago, with Chicago being its corporate headquarters.
Kellogg Chairman and CEO Steve Cahillane will remain chairman and CEO of Global Snacking Co. Names and management teams for the other new companies will be announced later, the company said. […]
Kellogg executives have made some recent high-profile home purchases in the Chicago area, including the $5.62 million purchase of a five-bedroom mansion by Cahillane in the Lincoln Park neighborhood, Crain’s Chicago Business reported. Chief Growth Officer Monica McGurk bought a house in suburban Winnetka for $2.05 million.
Anyway, your thoughts?
…Adding… Wondering what the departing Cat execs think of this…
President Biden is the “acting” president because he didn’t win legally; Texans should vote on seceding; the Voting Rights Act of 1965 should be repealed; any gun control is a rights violation: this is the world as seen by the Republican Party of Texas, according to its newly adopted party platform.
“We can’t compromise with Democrats who have a different and incompatible vision for our future,” Matt Rinaldi, the state GOP chairman, said, according to The Texas Newsroom. “We need to be a bold and unapologetic conservative party, ready to go on offense and win the fight for our country.”
The Republicans’ 2022 platform is outlined in a 40-page document that addresses state issues but also much broader priorities — such as calling for the U.S. to leave the United Nations. Delegates approved it over the weekend, at the party’s convention in Houston.
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