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Early voting among yutes up 144 percent here

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* USA Today

Early youth voting in Illinois is up 144 percent over the 2014 midterms. More than 70 percent of the 6,200 undergraduates at the University of Chicago registered to vote through the TurboVote app. At the university’s early voting site, students waited up to an hour to cast their ballots.

Keep in mind that early voting has become far more common in recent years. But it still does probably show voter intensity.

* From UIUC today…



That’s in US Rep. Rodney Davis’ district, along with a whole lot of other Downstate campuses.

…Adding… I’m told the line at UIUC is now up to 400+ people and a three-hour wait. Gonna take a lot of pizzas to feed that crowd.

…Adding… Uh-oh…



Headline explained here.

…Adding… Tribune

““The big question: Is all this surge in early voting, is it just just to get it out of the way? Or has it more to do with a bigger turnout?” Orr said during a news conference with city officials Monday. “The buzz clearly is we’re going to have a bigger turnout. We see so many signs, but they’re not necessarily provable at this point. We’ll see that tomorrow.

“It’s hard for us to say, but we clearly, I believe, will break the normal 49 to 52 (percent turnout),” he said.

Marisel Hernandez, chairwoman of the election board that supervises Chicago voting, was a bit more cautious in her turnout estimate.

“I don’t know if you can have an educated guess, but we definitely will see over 50 percent, but as far as anything more specific than that, I’m hesitant to say,” Hernandez said. “We think that this election has generated a lot of interest, so we’re hoping for a good turnout.”

.

  61 Comments      


Todd Ricketts is on Erika Harold’s fly-around?

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* And no Gov. Rauner…



That’ll start the tongues a-wagging. You’ll recall all the speculation about a possible Todd Ricketts 2022 gubernatorial bid last month.

…Adding… The question mark in the headline doesn’t mean he might not be on the fly-around. He is on the fly-around.

  29 Comments      


Rauner wraps it up

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The governor is trying his best to raise expectations

At Honest Abe’s Tap & Grill in Morris, the governor spoke of an uphill battle back to a second term, while warning a victory by Democrat J.B. Pritzker will turn the state into a “nightmare.”

“People are counting us out now. They’re saying, ‘Oh the polls are showing this or that,’” Rauner said. “You know what? The polls are baloney. These polls don’t mean anything. The only poll that matters is on Election Day,” Rauner said. […]

“We had a supermajority against us and it was brutal,” Rauner said of the Democratic majority in both the Illinois House and Senate. “But you know what? Two years ago, thanks to your hard work, we picked up six seats in the General Assembly to knock Mike Madigan out of the supermajority. And you know what? what we’re going to do this time … we’re going to pick up nine seats in the House and knock Mike Madigan out. He’s not going to be the speaker of the House anymore.

“That’s what we’re going to do. We’re going to get him out,” Rauner said.

* Also in Morris

Discussing his opponent, Pritzker, Rauner said Pritzker could be indicted in the next few months because of a a tax scheme. The audience jeered at the mention of Pritzker, with one woman in the crowd shouting “Screw him,” and a man called him the Pillsbury Dough boy. Rauner said Pritzker could join his predecessors as an Illinois governor going to jail.

“And you know what ‘J.B.’ stands for then: Jail Bird,” Rauner said.

From the man who has repeatedly bemoaned the rhetoric in politics today.

* Decatur

“I was trailing in most polls four years ago … and I don’t think they are really accurate,” said the 62-year-old incumbent. “Everywhere I travel people say ‘Governor, you are on the right track.’” […]

“People say ‘Governor, stay strong, don’t give in. Madigan is the problem, he’s the one that has gotta go,’ ” Rauner said. “And a lot of times they will go on and say, ‘I am a Democrat, and I don’t normally support Republicans, but I love what you are trying to do.’ ” […]

In Decatur, Rauner already had convinced Shirley and Jim Cairns from Mount Zion, diehard fans who came to the cafe to see him and definitely plan on voting for him. They don’t believe in the polls, either.

“He’s going to get it, he’s going to win,” said Shirley Cairns as her husband nodded in agreement. “He deserves it because of all the changes he’s made and the fact he’s made Illinois a better state.”

The final RCP polling average in 2014 was Quinn +0.8.

Also, he could release his own internal polling if the public polling is “baloney.”

* Carbondale

During his visit, many tailgaters introduced themselves to Rauner and asked him to pose for a picture with them. Parents brought their children to meet the governor. One gentleman said the last governor he had seen up close was Dan Walker. […]

A few people declined offers to have their pictures taken with the governor, but they were polite about it. Some tailgaters ignored the governor as he walked by their tables and tents. Most partiers seemed pleasantly surprised by his visit.

“Everywhere we go, people will come up to us and say, ‘Governor, stay strong. Don’t back down. You’re on the right track. Madigan has got to go.’ And, a lot of times, they will go on and say, ‘I’m a Democrat. I don’t normally support Republicans, but I support you because we have got to stop that corruption and the tax hikes coming out of Chicago.’ So, it’s very exciting,” Rauner said.

* On tap today

* Gov. Bruce Rauner has a campaign stop scheduled in Spring Grove and an evening rally at Benedictine University in Lisle.

* J.B. Pritzker has campaign stops scheduled in Rockford, Moline, Belleville, Marion, Springfield and Peoria with other candidates on the Democratic ticket, including attorney general hopeful Kwame Raoul and Treasurer Mike Frerichs.

* The governor also did a round of morning show appearances…



…Adding… Gibson City

Rauner appeared heartened by the ovation he got from the lunchtime crowd at the Country Kettle Restaurant on a rainy Sunday afternoon. Four years ago, Rauner got 76 percent of the vote in heavily Republican Ford County and 50.3 percent statewide as he upended Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn. […]

“Don’t believe those polls,” he told diners at the crowded restaurant Sunday in an impromptu campaign rally. “We need to get out the votes downstate to cancel those votes in Chicago.

“They’re trying to bring in the big guns,” Rauner said in reference to a late Sunday afternoon rally in Chicago featuring former President Barack Obama and the statewide Democratic ticket.

“All the trends are with us. We’ve got to fight these guys,” Rauner said.

  49 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 - Durbin, Duckworth call for Shah’s resignation *** Was this the origin of the Quincy veterans’ home outbreak?

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* June of 2018

State and local public health authorities have looked high and low for the sources of fatal Legionnaires’ disease outbreaks at the Quincy veterans’ home. Now, Illinois Gov. Bruce Rauner is offering a new theory.

“Massive floods and tornadoes” and “a lot of dirt.”

But Rauner offered no proof, and experts who spoke to WBEZ were skeptical.

…Adding… The Pritzker campaign compiled a long list of the governor’s excuses. Click here.

* WBEZ now reports that the Rauner administration released 132,700 pages of documents related to the Quincy veterans’ home on Friday. Here’s one bit

Illinois Gov. Bruce Rauner’s administration knew the Quincy veterans’ home had bungled a water-system repair in violation of state health codes but chose not to cite the facility for a mistake that likely contributed to a fatal Legionnaires’ outbreak in 2015, state records show. […]

One email has Rauner’s public health director explaining how a bacteria-laden “broth of legionella” was mistakenly released into the Illinois Veterans Home water system before a 2015 outbreak killed 12 residents.

That discharge had been previously highlighted in state and federal reports. But until now, it had not been known the release was serious enough to be a “citable offense” under state rules — an important detail that could weaken the state’s position in a dozen negligence lawsuits brought by victims’ families. […]

Shah outlined how a malfunctioning tank used to supply the home with hot water sat dormant for more than a month, filled with water that had cooled to 80 or 90 degrees — a level he described as the “optimal growing temperature” for Legionella, the bacteria that causes Legionnaires’.

When the tank was repaired on Aug. 6, 2015 and put back online, the facility failed to empty out the stagnant water, which wound up being warmed to a temperature in which Legionella can still flourish. Gallons upon gallons of that water were then distributed “for normal use throughout the facility,” Shah wrote.

He likened it all to a “broth of legionella” and said it likely contaminated shower heads in the home within a week of the repair.

Go read the rest. The e-mail is here.

* Another story from WBEZ

A top Illinois public health official delivered a searing indictment of how Gov. Bruce Rauner’s office handled fallout from the Legionnaires’ disease crisis at the Quincy veterans’ home, alleging that secrecy, indecision and “never-ending conference calls” created a “mess,” state records show.

Emails sent earlier this year by state Public Health Director Nirav Shah’s chief of staff offer some of the most damaging evidence yet that Rauner’s office itself was responsible for withholding key information from state lawmakers and the media about successive Legionnaires’ disease outbreaks at the facility.

“The [governor’s office] should have followed our advice and just release [sic] the documents with no redactions. Now we have another mess created by them to deal with,” Shah’s underling, Erik Rayman, wrote on April 4.

Rayman’s note to Shah and others within their agency came in response to a WBEZ story about how Rauner administration lawyers were aggressively censoring public documents related to Legionnaires’ outbreaks at the home, which are now linked to 14 deaths.

*** UPDATE *** Press release…

U.S. Senators Dick Durbin (D-IL) and Tammy Duckworth (D-IL) today called for Illinois Public Health Director Nirav Shah to resign following reports that the Rauner Administration botched a water-system repair at Illinois Veterans Home (IVH) Quincy, which was in violation of state health codes, and then chose to deliberately withhold that information from the public and not cite the facility for a mistake. In newly released documents, Shah detailed the dangers present at the facility, noted that the violations warranted a citation, yet chose not to issue one. Additional reports indicate that Shah and other staff at the Illinois Department of Public Health found Governor Rauner’s office to be an obstacle in ensuring a prompt and comprehensive response to the deadly outbreaks and more focused on public perception.

“There was definitive evidence that a serious public health crisis was underway at the veterans’ home in Quincy in 2015, and the Rauner Administration and Director Shah chose to sit on their hands as veterans and staff at the home fell victim to these deadly bacteria. It’s an outrage that time after time the Governor and his team prioritized public relations over protecting vulnerable veterans, their spouses, and staff at IVH Quincy. Director Shah’s response to this tragedy reflects the height of irresponsibility and negligence, and it’s time for him to go,” said Durbin and Duckworth.

* Related…

* Quincy veterans’ home timeline

  37 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 - Underwood responds *** Poll: Hultgren trailing by 6 into the home stretch

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Siena College/New York Times poll of 428 likely voters has Democratic challenger Lauren Underwood leading incumbent Republican Congressman Randy Hultgren by 6 points, 49-43. MoE of +/-5 percent.

* Other stuff from the poll

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president?

    Approve 46%
    Disapprove 49%
    Don’t know 5%

Would you prefer Republicans to retain control of the House of Representatives or would you prefer Democrats to take control?

    Repubs keep House 46%
    Dems take House 46%
    Don’t know 9%

Much more here.

*** UPDATE 1 *** He should’ve dropped this oppo at least a month ago and followed it up with TV ads. Instead, he let Dan Proft release the information and is holding an election eve press conference. Political malpractice on Hultgren’s part…



*** UPDATE 2 *** From Lauren Underwood…

“We have fewer than 24 hours before Election Day and I’m traveling across the seven counties of the 14th District, visiting with voters and my team’s dedicated volunteers. Randy Hultgren clearly saw polling numbers that made him nervous, so he is staging a last minute press conference to discredit my professional work. Our voters deserve better than desperate political stunts from a career politician. They deserve honesty and responsiveness from their representative in Congress; Randy Hultgren has failed on both counts.

“The facts are simple: I’m proud to be a licensed registered nurse in the state of Illinois and two other jurisdictions. I specialize in public health nursing. I have spent my career fighting for affordable, quality healthcare. Throughout my clinical training and decade of nursing experience, I have spent thousands of hours working with patients. I look forward to carrying the values of the 14th District with me to Washington to make real progress on issues like health care that are important to the families of this community.”

Visit https://www.underwoodforcongress.com/facts to learn the facts.

  62 Comments      


*** LIVE COVERAGE ***

Monday, Nov 5, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


  Comments Off      


Speaker Madigan transfers $1 million to Kwame Raoul from personal campaign fund

Friday, Nov 2, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* It’s probably too late for Republican attorney general candidate Erika Harold campaign to run an ad about this, but it will likely dominate her fly-around on Monday…



If you click the link you’ll see Speaker Madigan made the contribution to Sen. Kwame Raoul’s campaign fund on Halloween. Kinda fitting. Not everyone is happy about this behind the scenes, I’m told, with one calling it “Clearly a power move.” Madigan could’ve washed that cash through the Democratic Party of Illinois, but for whatever reason chose to give directly to Raoul. Since Raoul could really use the money for late TV, he took it.

* This Tribune story from earlier today didn’t include the Madigan contribution

Harold, an Urbana attorney, bought limited broadcast TV advertising time in the Chicago market for the race’s final weekend. Her campaign late Friday also purchased cable advertising time in the Chicago market. […]

From Oct. 23 through Friday, Raoul has taken in more than $1.3 million in cash and assistance for his campaign. Oct. 23 marked two weeks out from the Nov. 6 election. The donations to Raoul included nearly $445,000 worth of phone banking assistance plus another $55,400 in cash from the Democratic Party of Illinois, $103,867 worth of mailings from the abortion-rights advocacy group Personal PAC, $200,000 from the Laborers’ union and $50,000 from the Teamsters union.

Over that same home stretch of the campaign, Harold reported taking in $166,850. Of Harold’s overall haul of $5.4 million, $3.5 million — or 64 percent — has come from Rauner and Rauner ally Ken Griffin, the founder of Citadel. Rauner has contributed $1.8 million while Griffin has given $1.7 million. […]

Raoul allies acknowledged privately that the contest would likely be among the closest of statewide races on the ballot, though they dismissed concerns that their candidate could be in danger. Internal polling, though, has shown that Raoul has consistently trailed behind the larger leads held by other Democrats seeking statewide office, particularly Pritzker, party operatives said.

…Adding… Harold campaign spokesperson…



  Comments Off      


NBC5 obtains Mendoza mayoral announcement video

Friday, Nov 2, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Mary Ann Ahern and Shelby Bremer with the scoop

Just days before Illinois Comptroller Susana Mendoza is slated to be on the ballot for a second term, a new campaign ad surfaced Friday showing her announcing a run for Chicago mayor, but her team insisted the ad was only made in preparation for a potential run.

“I’m Susana Mendoza and I’m running for mayor of Chicago,” Mendoza says in the seconds-long clip obtained by NBC 5, adding, “and I ask you to join me on this journey together.”

The ad, which Mendoza claimed was stolen from her campaign, surfaced four days before she is slated to be on the ballot in the midterm elections, running against Republican Darlene Senger for a second term as Illinois comptroller.

Mendoza’s campaign said the ad was simply made in preparation for a possible run, as she is still considering her options.

Worst. Kept. Secret. Ever.

Either this was stolen or leaked from within. Either way, somebody needs to upgrade their security before making a formal announcement for mayor.

…Adding… WBEZ also has the video…



…Adding… If you click here and go to the 18-second mark of a Mendoza comptroller campaign ad, you’ll see that she’s wearing that same gray sweater and appears to be in the same room as in the above ad. It seems possible that she cut these at the same time.

…Adding… From a November 23, 2010 candidate filing story written by Abdon Pallasch

Ald. Sandi Jackson (7th) hedged her bets, filing for both re-election to her aldermanic seat and for city clerk. She’ll have to drop one or the other by Monday, she said. She and her husband will talk about it over Thanksgiving dinner, she said.

State Rep. Susana Mendoza poked fun at Jackson’s double-filing as she filed her own candidacy for clerk.

“I filed for one office I’m really passionate about and that’s city clerk,” she said.

…Adding… ILGOP…

“Susana Mendoza is a liar. She said she would respect voters by focusing on the Comptroller’s race, but it’s clear that she only cares about her own ambition and climbing up the ladder. Mendoza has been misleading the people of Illinois, asking for their vote with no intention of serving her term. She should immediately drop off the ballot for Comptroller” - Illinois Republican Party Executive Director Travis Sterling

…Adding… Sun-Times

Eric Adelstein, Mendoza’s political consultant, stepped up to take the blame for the mayoral video.

“We were filming her comptroller ads and I suggested that, while she hasn’t made up her mind on the mayor’s race, she should record some lines so we had them and could move quickly if she decides ultimately to run. It’s a tight time-frame,” Adelstein said, noting the Nov. 28 mayoral filing deadline.

“She hasn’t made up her mind. One-hundred percent. l hope she runs … because the city could really use her energy, her drive and her vision. … But, maybe I jumped the gun by urging her to go out. … People should be focused on Tuesday.”

…Adding… Tribune

Asked if he had a mole in his firm, Adelstein said he didn’t know.

“There are a lot of people involved in these campaigns. Hopefully we get to the bottom of how that leaked out. It shouldn’t have,” he said. “But I don’t think it’s any surprise she’s been thinking about running, and said she’d make that decision after Tuesday, and a prudent candidate gets ready for any eventuality given how close the next one would be coming up … I know she has not made up her mind, but I had suggested she get prepared and get ready.”

  36 Comments      


Governor’s race roundup

Friday, Nov 2, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Interesting

After pouring a record-breaking $161.5 million into his own candidacy, Illinois Democrat J.B. Pritzker will close out his 18-month gubernatorial campaign with an ad that never even mentions his name.

In the final spot, first obtained by POLITICO, Pritzker doesn’t ask Illinois voters to go to the polls for him specifically. Instead, the ad urges “on Tuesday, vote Democratic.” […]

In a statement about the ad, Pritzker said he’s focusing on boosting Democrats up and down the ticket. Pritzker has already financed a massive statewide GOTV operation that is coordinating with Democrats across the state. While polls have consistently shown Pritzker holding a comfortable lead against Rauner, four Republican-held Illinois congressional districts remain toss-ups. The Democratic nominee for governor has also invested in the contest for attorney general, which pits Democrat Kwame Raoul against Republican Erika Harold.

The fact that Pritzker can take an unusual step of not including his name in his closing spot is a testament to the onslaught of ads that have carpeted every media platform available for 18 months. Viewers will likely recognize the narrator’s voice: it’s Pritzker himself. He also makes an appearance in the spot.

* The spot, per state law, does say briefly on-screen that it’s paid for by JB for Governor

* Script

Hard work, decency, looking out for our children’s future, creating opportunity. That’s what’s on the ballot on Tuesday. When you vote for Democrats, you can make clear health care is a right and pre-existing conditions should be protected. You can make sure that all kids get a quality education no matter where they live. You can send a message that it’s time for a change in Springfield and in Washington. On Tuesday, vote Democratic.

* Meanwhile, the Quincy Herald-Whig endorsed Gov. Rauner’s reelection today

With Rauner at the helm, we believe the state stands a better chance of navigating the difficult financial straits ahead.

We understand Pritzker holds what appears to be an insurmountable lead in polls leading into the election and that if elected, Rauner would face the challenge of working with a Legislature he largely has alienated.

We take the governor at his word, though, with his mea culpa and think he would be an important, much-needed check on single-party rule in the General Assembly.

With that in mind, we endorse Gov. Bruce Rauner for a second term.

* CBS 2

A campaign ad put out by Rauner’s campaign for governor this week showed his childhood home in suburban Deerfield, prompting CBS 2 to look into his past as a child growing up in the Chicago suburbs.

A Chicago Tribune article that ran in 1963 shows an 8-year-old Rauner with his family.

A check of Rauner’s birth certificate shows his birth year was actually 1956, a year earlier than the year widely-published.

Rauner’s campaign staff on Thursday acknowledged the mistake, and his Facebook page had been changed to the correct year on Thursday.

But it may take the rest of the internet some time to catch up, however. His Wikipedia page still cites his birth year as 1957.

Odd.

* Other stuff…

* ADDED: Rauner, Pritzker make final pitches as election winds down

* In campaign’s final days, Rauner finds common ground with Trump

* If Dems Need to Fight Dirty, Should They Take a Cue from Madigan?

* How would a graduated income tax work in Illinois? Here’s how three nearby states do it

* Care about education? A Chalkbeat voter guide to the Illinois governor’s race

* Marijuana In The Governor’s Mansion: Record Number Of Candidates Say Legalize It

* Livestock rules, taxes among Illinois election issues on minds’ of local farmers

* Efforts to turn Cook County Jail into a polling location persist following governor’s veto

* Bruce Rauner defends controversial TV ad, thinks recent polls inaccurate - The incumbent also discusses proposal to ease standards for coal plants

* Special Edition of Breakfast With… Illinois Governor Bruce Rauner

* Rauner fans support with Quincy stop

  17 Comments      


Two more closing ads

Friday, Nov 2, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I haven’t received anything yet from the Republicans in these two races, but here’s Lauren Underwood

* Script…

This is our community. We work every day to make it better for our children.

Our representative in Washington pledged to protect our health care, then voted to sabotage it. He told us he would stand up for our families, then he championed a tax break for the rich.

We were disappointed and we were emboldened. This is our community and our representative is not working for us.

I’m Lauren Underwood and I approve this message.

* Sean Casten

* Script…

Casten: “I’m Sean Casten, and I’ve spent my career building businesses that will leave a safer, cleaner planet to our children. But when Donald Trump was elected, I knew I had to do more.”

Narrator: “After 25 years, Peter Roskam can’t run on his record. He’s lost touch with the people who sent him to Washington.”

Casten: “In Congress, I’ll make decisions based on facts, not partisan politics. I’ll work with Republicans and Democrats to tackle our problems and I’ll be an independent check on Donald Trump.”

…Adding… Brendan Kelly

I’ve talked to folks all over Southern Illinois. There’s a faith that binds us, but that faith is being tested by Washington corruption.

Lifelong politician Mike Bost isn’t listening to us. He takes orders from his big donors: Banks, Pharma, Bruce Rauner. They get tax giveaways.

We get crippling debt, cuts to our Healthcare, Social Security, and Medicare.

I’m Brendan Kelly and I approve this message because it’s time to fight like hell, stop the corruption, and save Southern Illinois.

  9 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** DPI says its voter protection hotline has received over 700 calls

Friday, Nov 2, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* In past years, the Democratic Party of Illinois opened a hotline on election day to take calls about voting issues. The effort was expanded to a month this year. From DPI…

(T)he Voter Protection Program has received more than 700 calls and helped resolve dozens of voting-related issues. While a majority of the calls relate to vote-by-mail or general election questions, the staff intervened and helped resolve dozens of issues often with the assistance of the State Board of Elections. These include:

    Successfully intervening at a Will County early voting location, with the help of local officials, that was plagued by long wait times and even turned potential voters away;

    Intervening on the first day of voting when a local election authority incorrectly advised voters that a Drivers’ License was required to vote, which is not the case;

    Working with DuPage County election officials to ensure that ballots for disabled voters were made available at an early vote location.

* That Will County instance was interesting. I first heard of it from a legislator’s tweet…



* This e-mail was sent by the Will County Clerk’s chief deputy that afternoon..

To: Kathie Holubek, Crete Township Clerk
Michael Liccar, Crete Township Supervisor

Today was the first day for Early Voting at Crete Township Office Building. Our office has received numerous calls complaining about the long lines and inappropriate procedures taking place at this location. The clerk is making up her own policies for voting that are unlawful and unacceptable and must cease immediately.

I personally trained the Clerk (and staff) and it was never communicated that you can do any of the following:

    · No voters should ever be turned away if they have entered your building during the hours you have agreed to for Early Voting

    · All voters in line must be allowed to vote

    · No phone numbers or lists are to be written down for a call back when they can vote

    · No signs should be posted that voting is closed, especially if it is still within the hours you agreed to

As elected officials it is your duty to provide this service to your residents per the guidelines of the agreement you signed (copy attached). The Will County Clerk is asking for you to provide us with a phone number so we can call you after all voting is finished today in Crete to further discuss this matter. We await your response.

*** UPDATE *** That sign requiring a driver’s license to vote was in Cumberland County…

  12 Comments      


Protected: *** UPDATED x1 *** SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Friday, Nov 2, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

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