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Rate Rauner’s new radio ad

Wednesday, Oct 15, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Some commenters mentioned a new Bruce Rauner radio ad, so I asked the campaign for a copy. Here’s “Throw Me Out”..

* Script…

NARRATOR: What is Pat Quinn promising Illinois the day after the election? Another massive tax hike, this year. Here’s what Quinn said when the media asked him about his plan to raise income taxes on every Illinois family.

QUINN: It’s gonna happen in 2014, in November and December.

NARRATOR: Pat Quinn broke his promise and raised taxes before. This time he’s not even bothering to lie about it.

QUINN: It’s gonna happen in 2014, in November and December.

NARRATOR: Quinn’s tax hike would raise income taxes on every working man and women in Illinois. Every single one.

QUINN: It’s gonna happen in 2014, in November and December.

NARRATOR: After 100 years of failure, Pat Quinn wants four more years? And even more tax hikes this year.

RAUNER: Here’s the deal. Give me a shot to deliver more jobs and lower taxes, and if we don’t get it done, throw me out in four years.

NARRATOR 2: Bruce Rauner, shake up Springfield, bring back Illinois. Paid for by Citizens for Rauner, Inc.

…Adding… My own thought is that if you’re upset about the income tax hike, you’re not voting for Quinn anyway. I’m not sure how many new voters this brings to the fold, but, hey, I could be wrong. Your own take?

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Broadcast TV ad, AFP mailers

Wednesday, Oct 15, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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“The black vote”

Wednesday, Oct 15, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* ABC 7

In a debate at the DuSable Museum of African American history, candidates for governor vied for the black vote that Republicans are not conceding this year.

“Governor Quinn, in my opinion, is taking the African American vote for granted,” said Rauner.

Rauner told the majority African American audience and panel that blacks had not fared well under incumbent Pat Quinn’s leadership.

“Brutally high unemployment, deteriorating schools, lack of a proper social services,” said Rauner.

I’m not sure how you can accuse Quinn of using an anti-violence program to buy black votes four years ago and still say he takes the black vote for granted. Should he do another NRI or something?

* Tribune

[Rauner said] the Democratic governor “could have and should have” made Stephanie Neely, the black city treasurer of Chicago, his running mate but threw her “off his ticket” in favor of former Chicago Public Schools chief Paul Vallas.

“African-American families are suffering in Illinois — brutally high unemployment, deteriorating schools, lack of proper social services and rampant cronyism and corruption that’s taking away job opportunities from African Americans,” Rauner said.

The Neely snub definitely upset some members of Chicago’s African-American elite, so that was a good line for Rauner that’ll play well with a small group of folks. I wonder how Neely feels about Quinn and/or Rauner today?

* AP

Quinn was asked how he’d help build trust among minorities with law enforcement.

He noted his record of trying to clear the clemency backlog of more than 2,500 cases that built up under his predecessor, saying he’s considered cases “based on justice and mercy.”

“That is part of helping ex-offenders who have made mistakes, who have served their time, get a fresh start,” he said.

But Rauner said Quinn has failed on crime, public safety and the prison system, saying the best way to reduce crime is to grow the economy to create jobs.

“We have crime because we have a lack of opportunity,” he said.

Neither candidate actually answered that question, and it’s a very important one in the community.

* But, speaking of “creating jobs,” Mary Ann Ahern reported that some participants in a loud and rowdy protest outside the governor’s debate admitted to being paid to attend. That was confirmed by Natasha Korecki…


Ward is pretty well known in some South Side circles as an agitator.

Ward didn’t say who was paying him, but said it wasn’t the Rauner campaign, even though he had a bus to take them away…



I’m told by one reporter who was there that it appeared Rauner’s people asked the protesters to stop and they complied.

* Meanwhile, Rauner’s campaign is blanketing the interwebtubes with some new YouTube videos of prominent African-American supporters. I’m seeing these ads almost everywhere I navigate today. The full list is here, but let’s just watch a couple of them. Pastor Corey Brooks

* Rev. James Meeks

* President Obama will appear with Gov. Quinn this weekend on the South Side. And he had this event scheduled for today…

As part of his Birth to Five Initiative, Governor Pat Quinn will announce an investment in early childhood education in one of Illinois’ most underserved communities.

WHEN: 11 a.m.

WHERE: Gads Hill Child Development Center
2nd Floor
2653 W. Ogden Ave.
Chicago, 60608

  45 Comments      


Some riveting TV

Wednesday, Oct 15, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* For me, anyway, the best part of last night’s debate was near the end, when the two candidates were allowed to ask each other questions

“On the 27th of February of 2001, Mr. Rauner, you fired a woman executive at your firm for not laying off enough workers, and you threatened her. You said you would bury her. You said you would bankrupt her and her family. You said you would hurt her and her family,” as Quinn asked the question, Rauner shook his head, smiling.

“Why did you say that Mr. Rauner? It’s never right to threaten anyone.”

The crowd laughed a bit in reaction to Quinn’s last comment, teeing up Rauner to unleash a visceral attack at Quinn.

“Gov. Quinn, this is more of the baloney you throw out continuously. I can’t keep up with the lies that you spin.

“Let me be clear, you are running an ad about a false accusation, a frivolous lawsuit that was thrown out in court by a judge who dismissed it on summary judgment,” Rauner retorted.

“You are taking an accusation and spinning it into an ad because you can’t run on the truth. The truth is, you’re the worst governor in America. You are failing the people of Illinois … You can’t run on your record, you’ve got to make up lies about me in order to win.”

Rauner shouldn’t have laughed when Quinn asked the question, but he sure as heck did fire back with both barrels.

* A “body language expert” opined to Fox 32 that Quinn “looked like a beaten dog”

WFLD, Chicago’s Fox affiliate, spoke with a body language expert who said Quinn’s appearance, especially in the last two minutes, was “pretty bad.”

“It was as bad as I’ve ever seen anyone get beaten up in a debate,” said Perry Myers, president of MSI Detective Services. […]

“You’ve failed in every regard,” Rauner said in the final minutes of the debate. “You can’t run on your record-you have to make up lies about me.”

Myers noted the Rauner was “much more confident” than Quinn, who could not look the Republican candidate in the eye. “[Quinn] was shaking with every word,” Myers added.

Watch

It’s my own view that Quinn really doesn’t like direct, face-to-face conflict, so that may be why he seemed so timid about asking the question. There have been times in the past when he’s been so angry at me over something that he wouldn’t even look at me when I asked him questions during press conferences. He’s just that way.

  76 Comments      


Kirk boosts Dold in new ad while Schneider poll claims big lead

Wednesday, Oct 15, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sen. Mark Kirk appears in a new TV ad for Republican congressional candidate Bob Dold. Kirk represented much of this district when he was in Congress. Have a look

* Meanwhile, Lynn Sweet obtained a polling memo from Democratic Congressman Brad Schneider’s campaign

· In a rematch of their 2012 contest, Democratic Congressman Brad Schneider now leads former Republican Congressman Bob Dold by a solid 8-point margin, 48% to 40%, while 11% of likely voters remain undecided with less than four weeks to go until Election Day.

· At the top of the ticket, Democratic U.S. Senator Dick Durbin is leading Republican Jim Oberweis by 12 points, 52% to 40%, but Democratic Governor Pat Quinn trails Republican Bruce Rauner by 7 points, 40% to 47%.

· On a generic ballot citing no specific candidates, an unnamed Democrat for Congress leads an unnamed Republican by three points, 45% to 42%.

· Voters are more likely to view Schneider’s performance in Congress positively (5% excellent/37% good) than negatively (25% not so good/13% poor).

· Despite being the incumbent, Schneider (13% never heard) is actually less familiar to voters than Dold (3% never heard), providing the Democrat more room to grow.

As I’ve pointed out before, Gov. Quinn should be doing well in this district and he’s getting pounded by Rauner.

* And this is from the Schneider campaign…

U.S. Congressman Brad Schneider (IL-10) launched a new broadcast TV ad highlighting his Democratic priorities, including protecting a woman’s right to choose, preserving our environment and strengthening Medicare.

The new ad, “A Good Fit,” will be paired with the “On the Floor” TV ad currently running on broadcast that hammers Schneider’s opponent Bob Dold for his reliable Republican record, including his votes to defund Planned Parenthood and end the Medicare guarantee.

* The new ad

* Script…

Husband: Let’s try this again.

Wife: OK

Husband: OK, Brad Schneider and the Democrats, protecting Lake Michigan

Wife: And our drinking water…

Husband: Retirement security…

Wife: Puts the middle class first and protects my right to choose.

Husband: Equal pay…

Wife: and marriage equality…

Husband: Definitely more our style

Wife: It’s a keeper.

Husband: It matches the couch.

Wife: It’s a perfect fit.

We’ve already discussed the companion ad, but it’s here if you want a refresher.

  39 Comments      


Diana Rauner tries to soften husband’s image

Wednesday, Oct 15, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The GOP gubernatorial candidate’s wife is featured in a new ad that’s likely intended to blunt the impact of Gov. Quinn’s harsh TV spot about the alleged threats of a female executive…

Bruce Rauner today launched a new TV ad featuring his wife Diana reminding voters why Pat Quinn and his special interests allies are attacking Bruce with false negative smears.

“When Bruce decided to run for governor, we knew it would be rough,” Diana Rauner says in the new 30-second spot titled “Hope.” “False vicious attacks – the machine politicians will do whatever it takes to keep power. Bruce doesn’t owe anybody anything and that scares special interests. But he’s smart, honest, successful – everything our state government isn’t. I’m Diana Rauner, if you’re ready to turn our state around and create new opportunities for our kids and our future, then I hope you’ll vote for Bruce.”

* Will it work? Rate it

  94 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - More TV ads

Wednesday, Oct 15, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Post-debate spinning

Wednesday, Oct 15, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* During last night’s debate, Bruce Rauner refused to answer repeated questions about whether he’d ban assault weapons. I thought the questions were a bit silly because he’s already said he didn’t favor a ban, but it’s an issue in the Chicago-area, and Quinn will attempt to take full advantage today

Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn is drawing on the support of families of mass-shooting victims to highlight the issue of gun control in his re-election bid against Republican Bruce Rauner.

Quinn’s campaign is planning a Chicago event Wednesday with Sandy and Lonnie Phillips, the parents of a young woman killed in the 2012 theater shootings in Aurora, Colorado. The event also will feature families of Illinois victims of assault-rifle shootings.

* Meanwhile, the Rauner campaign released this video last night about Gov. Quinn’s repeated attempts to evade questions about whether he’d back a post-election extension of the income tax hike. Again, kind of a silly question because of course the governor plans to make another push to pass the extension if he wins, and won’t be able to get it done if he loses. But, anyway, here’s the YouTube video

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition: Mail-in ballot analysis, Crosstabs, TV ad, Cable TV Buys, Events List

Wednesday, Oct 15, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax

Wednesday, Oct 15, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Good morning!

Wednesday, Oct 15, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller

* “My mama said that every man is only worth his unbroken word,” laments Daniela Andrade in her gut-spilling, knife-sharp original “Don’t Care,” which has close to a million YouTube views. Let’s ease our way into Andrade’s unselfconsciously literate planet this morning by tuning into her and Gia Margaret’s seminal and beautifully melodic cover of Springsteen’s “Dancing in The Dark”

Man, I ain’t getting nowhere
I’m just living in a dump like this

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