Saying the quiet part out loud (Updated)
Friday, Jul 12, 2024 - Posted by Rich Miller * Andy Shaw…
Emphasis added. * Meanwhile, I’m not at all saying that President Biden is not in political trouble and that he’s not weighing down his fellow Democrats. He’s obviously in trouble and people are most definitely freaking the heck out. All I’m saying is hyping a partisan congressional district poll of just 309 likely voters taken 9-10 days ago and calling it “new” doesn’t really add much to the debate, but does feed into the national news media/consultant narrative…
…Adding… The 11th is no longer the overwhelmingly Democratic district it was in 2020. When you look at the district’s current precincts, Biden won in 2020 by 15 points - which is 11 points less than he won the old district. Also, while JB Pritzker won the district in 2022 by about 13 points, he only won it by 2.5 points in 2018. Foster won the new district in 2022 by 13 points. I should’ve checked those numbers in the quoted story above, but made the mistake of relying on what was written.
* Also, reputable polls in battleground states haven’t yet shown a dramatic impact on down-ballot races. And then there’s this from yesterday…
Deep breaths, please.
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Poll: 65 percent of Illinoisans oppose public funding for new Bears stadium
Monday, Jun 24, 2024 - Posted by Rich Miller * Crain’s…
* Crain’s is always looking for a silver lining on this topic, but the numbers are nothing to write home about…
* Take note of the “Does not matter” and “Makes no difference” responses… More here.
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