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Hare runs a better ad, but Schilling and the Repubs are pouring it on

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I was pretty tough on Democratic Congressman Phil Hare’s latest TV ad yesterday. He had it coming. But Hare now has a new ad up that whacks Schilling for not paying taxes while alleging that Schilling wants to raise payroll taxes. Rate it


The payroll taxes hit comes from a Chicago Tribune questionnaire that Schilling’s son says he filled out and “misphrased”

…Schilling responded to a question about the solvency of Medicare and Social Security by saying, “I believe that there will need to be an increase in Medicare and Social Security withholding taxes.”

The “not paying taxes” hit is about Schilling twice not paying his annual business franchise tax to the Secretary of State. Schilling’s corporation was officially dissolved both times. Click here for the documentation. This is a pretty minor offense, but Debbie Halvorson was hit with the same thing two years ago by Republican Marty Ozinga.

* Hare is going to need a solid hit because the National Republican Congressional Committee is about to dump about a million dollars into his race

POLITICO has learned that the National Republican Congressional Committee will take a bank loan of at least $6.5 million – but likely more—to expand its ad buys into seven additional districts beyond the 55 where the committee has already reserved time.

According to an NRCC source familiar with the effort, the newly-added targets include five Democrats whose districts until recently were thought to be out of reach this year: Minnesota Rep. Tim Walz, Georgia Rep. Sanford Bishop, Illinois Rep. Phil Hare, and Ohio Rep. Zack Space, and Colorado Rep. John Salazar.

* And Schilling had a pretty darned good quarter

3rd Quarter Total Raised: $375,262

Cash On Hand: $420,962

Total Raised To Date: $675,899

A recent poll by Public Opinion Strategies of 400 likely voters, conducted on September 26 and 27, with a margin of error of 4.9 percent shows Schilling and Hare tied at 37-38 percent. Schilling leads Hare by 18 points among voters who have heard of both candidates, and by 29 points among voters who have an opinion of both candidates. Pollster Glen Bolger said of this poll “Incumbent Phil Hare has real problems with the electorate in this district. Voters are upset at the direction of the country. Hare’s image is underwhelming. Incumbents at 38% on the ballot test don’t win unless they are successful at burning down their opponent.”

* All that cash is funding a brand new Schilling TV ad


* Hare hasn’t released his own fundraising totals yet, which sorta tells you something. But he is getting some help from the DCCC


* Related…

* Hare touts trade equalizer bill - Act targets China specifically for devaluing currency

* Congressman Says China Should Play Fair

* Video: Hare calls deficit, debt a “myth”

  25 Comments      


Poll: Kinzinger crushing Halvorson 49-31

Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

* As I told subscribers this morning, The Hill has a new poll showing the 11th Congressional District race isn’t even close. Congresswoman Debbie Halvorson is getting blown out by Republican Adam Kinzinger

Right now, the outlook for Halvorson appears grim. The Hill/ANGA poll found she trails Kinzinger by 18 points — 49 percent to 31. Another 18 percent of likely voters remain undecided.

Kinzinger also leads among most major demographic groups. He’s ahead by 26 points among male voters and by 11 percent among females, and leads in all age groups by 10 points or more. Kinzinger also holds a wide lead with independent voters — 53 percent to 24.

Click here to see the results. They ain’t pretty at all.. A few more questions from the poll…

* And we have a TV ad. Dan Seals


* And Seals’ Republican opponent Bob Dold has an Internet promo video claiming that Dold is pro-choice no matter what anyone else says


* Roundup…

* Candidates in 11th Dist. congressional race clash

* Southwest suburban congressional candidates clash on bailout, tax cuts

* Sun-Times: Foster for 14th District

* Randy Hultgren Speaks in Dixon, IL

* Manzullo defends NAFTA support

* Congressman Phil Hare Talks About Election

  32 Comments      


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Wednesday, Oct 6, 2010 - Posted by Rich Miller

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