Clowns!
Wednesday, Oct 5, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* All of the following stories have been posted online since just yesterday. Let’s start with the Naperville Sun…
Residents should call 911 if they see someone dressed as a clown behaving suspiciously, according to a community alert posted on the DuPage County sheriff’s office Facebook page.
“The DuPage County Sheriff’s Office is aware of the recent ‘clown sightings’ occurring locally in our parks, on the paths and trails, and even on our roadways,” according to the alert, which features a photo of clown shoes and the sheriff’s office seal.
It warns residents not to confront any clowns and, “always maintain a safe distance.”
* Aurora Beacon-News…
School District 308 officials said a clown-related social media threat concerning Oswego Monday was a hoax. […]
The post involved a threat from a clown carrying black balloons.
* Lake County News-Sun…
The creepy clown phenomenon that has recently swept the nation hit Lake County Tuesday as police departments in Round Lake, North Chicago and Waukegan reported clown threats made on social media and in person at one Waukegan school during lunch recess, prompting that school to briefly be put on lockdown.
* Elgin Courier-News…
Carpentersville police and School District 300 officials issued statements Tuesday calling clown-related reports a prank and aiming to assure residents there have been no credible threats or known local sightings of red-nosed creeps.
* Chicagoist…
Closer to home, a “performance artist” was detained by UIC police—but not arrested or charged—after joining the trend, or making a pointedly meta commentary about the trend, or… something.
The pic…
* And this is from the Oak Lawn Patch…
Social media was all a-twitter Monday evening with the reported sighting of a creepy clown in Worth.
The Chicago Ridge Neighborhood Watch Facebook group posted a photo from a member’s daughter, who took a picture of the joker’s backside near 111th Street and Harlem Avenue, across the street from the Worth Police Department. […]
Sightings of people dressed as creepy, menacing clowns have been reported in 26 states, according to the Boston Globe. […]
Earlier Monday, the @IllinoisClown account tweeted that he was in Shorewood, heading for Plainfield.
* From @IllinoisClown’s feed today…
* Related…
* Phil Luciano: Creepy-clown hysteria hurts two local clowns
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* Press release…
ATTORNEY GENERAL MADIGAN & U.S. ATTORNEY JAMES LEWIS MEET WITH KANKAKEE COUNTY STATE’S ATTORNEY’S OFFICE TO ENSURE FAIR, OPEN & LEGAL ELECTION IN KANKAKEE COUNTY
Chicago – Attorney General Lisa Madigan, U.S. Attorney James A. Lewis for the Central District of Illinois and officials with the Illinois State Board of Elections today met with Kankakee County State’s Attorney Jamie Boyd and an official from the Kankakee County Clerk’s office to ensure a fair, open and legal election this fall that allows all residents to vote equally without obstacles or intimidation by law enforcement officials or offers in exchange for votes, all of which are prohibited by law.
“We are committed to ensuring that we hold a fair, open and legal election and that all voters’ rights are protected,” Madigan said.
“The voting process is central to our democratic system,” Lewis said. “We came to Kankakee County today and had a good discussion with the State’s Attorney and other officials intended to ensure that each and every person can vote fairly and properly.”
They discussed complaints, including allegations of some minority voters being subject to unnecessary requirements and misinformation about their ability to cast their vote, law enforcement officials intimidating voters and questioning people who drove them to vote, and offers in exchange for casting ballots.
Voters and county election officials are reminded that current law allows for voters to register to vote and cast their ballot at the same time during both the early voting process and on General Election Day following a Tuesday ruling by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 7th Circuit.
I’ll let you know if the local state’s attorney sends anything out.
* Meanwhile, the Illinois Republican Party blasted this out today…
Media Advisory: ILGOP Chairman Tim Schneider Holds Press Conference to Discuss Vote Fraud Investigation in Kankakee County
Schneider To Announce Launch of Voter Fraud Hotline
When: 2:45 p.m.
Where: 55 W. Monroe, Suite 940
Yesterday, the Kankakee County State’s attorney announced an unprecedented investigation into voter fraud following reports of individuals from Chicago offering gifts in exchange for votes for Rep. Kate Cloonen and Hillary Clinton.
Here’s what we know so far:
The State’s Attorney’s office began the investigation after the clerk’s office “reported three complaints from people who said they were offered bribes for votes.”
Several applications filed with the election authority appear to be fraudulently executed.
Kate Cloonen and Mike Madigan’s political team have lashed out at the Republican Party and personally attacked the State’s Attorney himself in order to distract from the allegations that Democratic candidates are benefiting from election fraud.
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* Sun-Times…
Chicago’s practice of appointing a school board violates the rights of all city taxpayers to elect who taxes them, disproportionately affecting minority voters, and has left the district in worse financial shape since 1995, when it was placed under mayoral control.
That’s according to former Gov. Pat Quinn and a handful of active Chicago Public Schools families and Local School Council members who plan to sue the city’s school board and the state Board of Education on Wednesday in state and federal court.
The group wants a judge to order elections to replace the mayor’s appointees on Chicago’s Board of Education, Quinn said by telephone Tuesday.
* Forrest Claypool’s response…
“Looks like gadfly Pat Quinn has latched on to his next failed endeavor. Coming from a governor who could have fixed the most racially discriminatory education funding formula in the nation but didn’t, and who failed miserably to address chronic education underfunding despite pushing through record tax increases, this is another absurd waste of energy and taxpayer dollars,” Claypool said.
He does make some decent points. But, man. Wow.
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More like this, please
Wednesday, Oct 5, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* The Southern Illinoisan…
At 40 years old, Landus Jackson walked out of Vienna Correctional Center on Tuesday morning wearing street clothes and a smile after spending the majority of his 30s behind bars — about 8 1/2 years total for drug- and gun-related offenses in Alexander County.
The first thing he did was wrap his arms around his 16-year-old daughter and then his father and cousin, who were there to greet him and take him home. But before the family headed out toward Mound City, with plans to get breakfast along the way, there was a brief ceremony for Jackson as state officials granted him his cosmetology license.
Though cameras and a celebration do not typically greet former inmates returning to society, Illinois Department of Corrections officials considered this a special occasion because Jackson, thanks to new regulatory changes aimed at reducing barriers to employment, has the distinction of being the first to leave a state prison with a professional license in hand.
“I just want to say this is a testimony, and I’m a witness that God is good,” Jackson said after state prison officials handed him that license. “… I want to thank Ms. Moyers as well. She’s been real good to me, real good.” […]
DOC Director John Baldwin, also in a statement, said he was “extremely proud” of this step taken by regulators.
“Everyone deserves a second chance and that is exactly what Landus is getting today — a fair shot at finding employment that will increase his odds of not returning to IDOC custody.”
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Unclear on the concepts
Wednesday, Oct 5, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From the Kankakee Daily Journal’s story on fraud and voter suppression allegations flying in that county…
Late last week, Kankakee County Clerk Bruce Clark said potential voters were being brought to the clerk’s office to vote early.
“Whoever it is should not be doing this,” he said. “People should be allowed to come in here and vote without being harassed.”
If Clerk Clark thinks bringing people to the polls to vote early is somehow fraudulent activity or “harassment,” then he needs to go back to election school.
* From another story on the topic…
The probe led Kankakee County to take drastic action: no more “I voted” stickers would be handed to voters. No more dinosaur handstamps either
Um, OK. But here’s what the state’s attorney actually said…
Effective immediately no “I voted” stickers will be issued to voters. This will end the practice of vote purchasers using the stickers as proof of voting.
That’s an all too common scam. They “buy” the stickers to avoid directly paying people to vote.
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A national minimum for workers’ comp?
Wednesday, Oct 5, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* NPR…
A “race to the bottom” in state workers’ compensation laws has the Labor Department calling for “exploration” of federal oversight and federal minimum benefits.
“Working people are at great risk of falling into poverty,” the agency says in a new report on changes in state workers’ comp laws. Those changes have resulted in “the failure of state workers’ compensation systems to provide [injured workers] with adequate benefits.”
In the last decade, the report notes, states across the country have enacted new laws, policies and procedures “which have limited benefits, reduced the likelihood of successful application for workers’ compensation benefits, and/or discouraged injured workers from applying for benefits.”
The report was prompted by a letter last fall from 10 prominent Democratic lawmakers, who urged Labor Department action to protect injured workers in the wake of a ProPublica/NPR series on changes in workers’ comp laws in 33 states.
The ProPublica/NPR stories featured injured workers who lost their homes, were denied surgeries or were even denied prosthetic devices recommended by their doctors.
That’s not a bad idea. Some states (like Indiana) have gone overboard with their lousy treatment of injured workers in an attempt to attract employers. Even Greg Baise at the IMA admits this.
The federal report is here.
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Because… Madigan!
Wednesday, Oct 5, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From Ryan Higgins…
Hi Rich,
We thought you and your readers might find our new site amusing:
www.MussmanLovesMadigan.com
We’ll be adding more content along the way.
Best,
Ryan
Ryan Higgins
Republican Committeeman, Schaumburg Township
Illinois Republican State Central Committeeman, 8th Congressional District
* From the page…
* They also include the Chicago Tribune’s endorsement of Mussman’s GOP opponent…
We were fans of Rep. Michelle Mussman and her “Mom on a Mission” slogan when she first ran for office in 2010. Now it seems she’s a mom on a mission to bankrupt the state. After running for office promising to whip Springfield into shape, she has voted for phony, unbalanced budgets, including House Speaker Michael Madigan’s spending plan in May that spent $7 billion more than the state would collect in revenue. Voters: You’ve been duped. Republican Jillian Rose Bernas of Schaumburg would be a proper check on state spending and would promote policies to attract to Illinois more businesses and jobs — maybe even bring back residents who’ve fled to other states. Bernas is endorsed.
Thoughts?
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* NBC 5 interviewed Comptroller Leslie Munger and she unveiled a new line of attack against her Democratic opponent Susana Mendoza…
Munger noted that her opponent has gotten substantial donations from unions and special interests. Additionally, the comptroller claimed Mendoza has received contributions from companies that she gave contracts to during her time as Chicago city clerk.
“She is getting donations and funding from organizations who she owes or does business with to benefit them,” Munger said. “So there’s definitely a pay-to play, quid pro quo-thing going on there.”
The Mendoza responded to the claims Tuesday afternoon, placing the onus on Munger for shattering the race’s fundraising limits.
“Susana has been in full legal compliance with both city and state limits,” Mendoza campaign manager Lauren Peters said in a statement. “It was Comptroller Munger who broke the cap so she could receive unlimited funds, including just receiving $5 million from two billionaire donors who are close friends of Governor Rauner, one of which has a contract with the state. The only quid pro quo here is that if Munger is re-elected, the comptroller’s office will continue to be a wholly owned subsidiary of the governor’s office, not the independent fiscal watchdog Illinois taxpayers need.”
Think that’ll be an effective TV ad? Remember, Munger now has $5 million to play with. She can probably afford to run two messaging tracks (positive and negative) at the same time.
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* From the twitters…
* Wordslinger posted a wicked rant on this topic yesterday that deserves front-paging…
=Ask us your questions on our plans to create jobs and grow the economy.=
OK.
–How do you plan to reverse the three-year slide in Illinois farm incomes?
–What actions will you take to prevent abundant and cheaper natural gas from replacing Illinois coal?
–How will you reverse technological advances in coal-mining to save Illinois jobs?
–Same question as above, when it comes to direct jobs and related service jobs being lost in the financial services sector on LaSalle Street?
–How do you intend to raise the world-wide price of oil (and gasoline) to make Illinois fracking profitable?
–Will you devalue the Illinois dollar to make Illinois exports more attractive?
–Do you intend to re-negotiate Illinois trade agreements with foreign nations?
–What’s the plan to combat the growing state teacher shortage with more enticing salaries and benefits for prospects? You know, like you do in the private sector when you have a labor shortage?
–How are you going to save Sears?
– What is the state plan to revitalize Illinois’ buggy-whip industry?
Obviously, I kid. The governor can’t do any of those things, nor can he reverse the global trend in manufacturing, despite all the mumbo-jumbo he continually spouts.
Here are some real questions:
–What scholarship should we read to fully understand your theory of centrally planned, state direction of “the economy?” Marx? Lenin? Mao? Goldberg?
–Where’s your capital plan? For infrastructure? For technology? How are you going to pay for it? Is that not a fundamental purpose of state government? What are you waiting for — you’ve been in office nearly two years.
–What is the GOMB whiz kids’ projections on job and economic growth if the State of Illinois was on a reasonable timetable for paying its record backlog of bills (set on your watch), pumping those billions directly into the state economy?
–Do you have any plans for job assistance for the thousands who have been tossed out of work due to your refusal for political reasons to honor contracts or fund higher ed at levels you, yourself, recommended in your proposed budgets? How much have those layoffs cost the state, fiscally and economically, in unemployment insurance costs and lost economic activity?
–Do you believe in the sanctity of contracts? For realsies?
–What is your master plan for Illinois universities and community colleges? For the social safety net? By your actions, you’re certainly up to something, but you’re just not being square with us peasants.
I’ll hang up and listen to your usual scattered-brain non-sequiturs…. I mean, “answers.”
Ouch.
* For the record, however, Word and I disagree somewhat about this topic. I believe there are several ways to retain businesses and encourage them to expand here rather than elsewhere. Obviously, I think the governor’s ideas go way too far and are mostly unrealistic given the political realities, but I do believe there’s plenty of room for compromise if anyone would freaking listen to each other.
* Related…
* Equal sweetener plant closing: Eighty-nine workers at Manteno’s Merisant plant — which produces Equal, the artificial sweetener — were told Monday the location will be closing its doors in mid-December and moving to a southeastern state… Of the company’s 89 Manteno employees, 70 were involved in production. A production worker earned between $16 to $24 per hour. The company, one of the mainstays of the Diversatech campus, operated three shifts, five days per week. Overtime work was not uncommon.
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Poll: Remap reform support at record high
Wednesday, Oct 5, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute’s latest poll…
· While term limits for legislators aren’t on the November ballot, they are on the hearts of voters. There are over 80 percent who favor a constitutional amendment limiting the number of terms a state representative or state senator can serve. There are 17 percent opposed. Gov. Bruce Rauner is pressing lawmakers to act.
· Recently, the state Supreme Court ruled that an amendment establishing an independent commission to draw legislative district lines was unconstitutional. However, 72 percent of likely voters support that idea, while 18 percent are opposed.
The Simon Institute has been polling on this question since 2010 and the support for redistricting reform this year is at a record high.
“The massive support for these… measures is evidence of just how upset Illinois voters are with the way things are done in Springfield,” said David Yepsen, the director of the Institute.
* Historical trendlines…
* The actual questions…
* A proposal to limit state legislators to a total of eight years of service, whether in the House of Representatives, the State Senate, or a combination of the two. Would you favor or oppose this proposal? [In 2010, 2011, 2012 the question was this “limit state representatives to five consecutive two-year terms and state senators to three consecutive four-year terms.” In year after it was worded the same - “a proposal to limit state legislators to a total of eight years of service, whether in the House of Representatives, the State Senate, or a combination of the two.”]
* Other people have proposed a constitutional amendment that would have legislative district maps created and recommended by a commission that is independent of the elected representatives. Would you favor or oppose this proposal?
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* From the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute…
Likely voters in Illinois overwhelmingly support a proposed state constitutional amendment requiring gas taxes be spent only on road projects, according to a poll by the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute at Southern Illinois University Carbondale… The sample of 865 likely voters was taken Sept. 27 – Oct. 2 and has a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.
· There are 80 percent of likely voters who support what’s been dubbed the “lockbox” amendment requiring that gas taxes, tolls and license fees be dedicated to roads, bridges and other transportation projects. Only 13 percent oppose it, and the rest are undecided.
Supporters argue state policy makers have sometimes shifted these dollars to non-transportation projects over the years, taking dollars from needed infrastructure projects. Opponents contend leaders need to have flexibility in the way they manage state finances and meet all the priorities they face.
Support is strongest downstate, where 87 percent support the measure. Seventy-eight percent support the measure in the Chicagoland suburbs and 73 percent in Chicago.
A lot of newspaper editorial boards have come out against the proposal (the SJ-R is the latest). I also don’t think it’s great policy, but I can see why this makes sense to voters who are frustrated with the General Assembly’s ability to do anything right.
* “On the ballot in November is an amendment to the Illinois Constitution that would make sure that funds from the gasoline tax, tolls, license fees, and other transportation levies can only be spent on roads, bridges, and other transportation-related projects. If that question were on the ballot today, would you vote for or against it?”…
*** UPDATE *** Press release…
Two new ads explain why Illinois needs to support the Safe Roads Amendment this November as a commonsense approach to protecting taxpayers’ investment in a stronger transportation system.
Citizens to Protect Transportation Funding – a coalition of business, labor and construction groups – today announced it has rolled out the new spots as part of its aggressive statewide public education campaign for a constitutional amendment on the Nov. 8 ballot to prevent transportation funds from being spent on anything but transportation.
A 60-second radio ad and 60-second animated ad explain the Safe Roads Amendment – what it is, how it works and why it’s needed.
The radio ad, titled “Common Sense,” explains that years of decisions to spend road money on non-road purposes has helped create a dire situation for the state’s network of roads and bridges. The constitutional amendment is an easy way to start to address the backlog of disrepair.
“With the Safe Roads Amendment, we can fix our roads without raising taxes,” the narrator says in the ad, now running in the St. Louis market and to run statewide in the final three weeks of the campaign.
The animated ad, titled “Spread the Word,” takes a closer look at the bipartisan push to address transportation needs through the amendment.
“Your vote will create a lockbox for transportation money, so that gas taxes, car registrations and other transportation fees we already pay can only be spent on transportation,” the narrator says in the video intended to educate and advocate for the amendment online.
These ads follow the 30-second TV spot titled “When,” running on stations around the state.
The radio ad is here. The animated spot is here.
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[Bumped up for visibility.]
* Tribune…
Same-day voter registration in Illinois is back for now after a federal appeals court on Tuesday stayed a judge’s order that blocked the practice for the Nov. 8 election.
The 7th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals asked attorneys to file briefs by Thursday on why the case should face an expedited appeal.
On Sept. 29, U.S. District Judge Samuel Der-Yeghiayan declined to reconsider his ruling that the same-day registration option benefited Democratic strongholds, like Chicago, and disadvantaged rural regions that may favor Republican candidates. The state law that created Election Day registration applied only to counties of 100,000 people or more with electronic poll books.
* Sun-Times…
The attorney general’s office on Sept. 30 filed a motion for a stay of the lower court ruling, pending appeal. A judge on Tuesday granted that motion, while also giving the defendants until Thursday to provide a statement about why they believe the appeals should be expedited, according to court records. […]
In its motion for stay, the attorney general’s office argued the legislation doesn’t deny equal protection or infringe on anyone’s right to vote.
“On the contrary, it enhances the right to vote by making it possible for people to register at the polling place on Election Day,” the attorney general’s office said in its motion.
The attorney general’s office also argued that the statute is constitutional and that it doesn’t deny anyone the ability to register or vote.
*** UPDATE *** Common Cause Illinois…
Common Cause Illinois and other members of the Just Democracy Illinois coalition applaud the appellate judge for halting a lower court judge’s decision, which would have stopped all Election Day voter registration in polling places. Illinoisans will continue to be able to register to vote at polling places on Election Day for the upcoming election.
“Common sense has prevailed as Election Day registration is restored in polling places across Illinois,” said Brian Gladstein, Executive Director of Common Cause Illinois. “To remove this option so close to an election would have caused irreparable harm, especially in under-registered communities. More than 110,000 people registered to vote on Election Day last March, and now Illinoisans will continue to have access to their elections.”
The challenge to Election Day Registration was a troubling tactic to limit voter turnout during a crucial election year. While this decision allows voters to register on November 8th, the appellate court will still need to decide the merits of the case at a later date.
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* The background is here. From a press release. All emphasis is in the original document…
Below is a statement from community leaders Gary Ciaccio, Mike Smith and former State Representative Lisa Dugan in response to allegations made by the Kankakee State’s Attorney’s Office on Tuesday:
“Since last Thursday, we have noticed illegal and unethical conduct by the Kankakee county state’s attorney, Kankakee county clerk and the Kankakee county sheriff’s offices. We took steps to ensure information was given to the Illinois Attorney General, the Illinois State Board of Elections and the Department of Justice regarding the actions of these local officials. We know many legally registered voters have been turned away from voting over the last few days. Since early voting for the 2016 general election began just a few short days ago, there have been numerous reports and eyewitness accounts of harassment and intimidation by local government officials of residents trying to participate in the democratic process of voting.
“We condemn attempts by anyone to engage in voter fraud, but we also will not tolerate attempts at voter intimidation aimed toward depriving local residents of their ability to vote. Everyone has a right to vote and no one should be subjected to intimidation. Our state and national constitutions exist for our protection as a people: to be protected from an overreaching government and to be protected from having our freedoms and our liberties taken from us.
“Again, we have ensured information was brought to the Attorney General and the Department of Justice to investigate these inexcusable incidents of intimidation and harassment against voters.”
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* Press release…
From the Office of Jamie Boyd, Kankakee County State’s Attorney
Date: October 4, 2016
For Immediate Release:
Re: Election Fraud
The Kankakee County State’s Attorney’s Office has opened an investigation into voter fraud. This unprecedented action was taken in response to reports of individuals from Chicago offering gifts to potential voters in exchange for a vote for Kate Cloonen, Hillary Clinton and others. Our office takes seriously the obligation to protect the rights of citizens to vote for the candidate of their choice, and to do so without undue influence from special interest groups. The investigation will also focus on the authenticity of vote by mail requests. Several applications have been filed with the election authority that appear to be fraudulently executed. These documents were also filed by people who are not voters in Kankakee County.
As a result of the information we currently have, and in an effort to end the ongoing practices aimed at illegally gaining a victory for specific candidates changes have been made to the processes. Effective immediately no “I voted” stickers will be issued to voters. This will end the practice of vote purchasers using the stickers as proof of voting. A register has been created to keep track of all individuals dropping off “vote by mail” applications so that contact information is available if questions arise regarding any applications.
Local police departments have been advised of the ongoing investigation, and are prepared to assist in the event of continued questionable activity. The Kankakee County Clerk will continue to vigilantly enforce the electioneering rules during the early voting and grace period voting in an effort to insure the integrity of the election process.
We are asking the public to contact our office with any information they are aware of regarding these or other questionable activities during this election season. We are especially hopeful that if someone is offered any gift in exchange for voting that our office will be notified immediately so that we may prosecute the offenders.
Cloonen has won her last two general election races by an average of about 100 votes each. So, this is huge.
I’ve asked the House Democrats for a response.
*** UPDATE *** Rep. Cloonen’s Republican opponent Lindsay Parkhurst…
“These reports of voter fraud in Kankakee are incredibly disturbing. Fair and honest elections are the bedrock of our democracy. It is truly deplorable when people try to corrupt our system in this manner. I call on Kate Cloonen to denounce these actions and confirm to the public that no one affiliated with her campaign had any knowledge or involvement with these alleged crimes.”
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Putting Ken Griffin’s wealth into perspective
Tuesday, Oct 4, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Crain’s…
Citadel chief Ken Griffin remained in first place in Illinois on Forbes’ new list of the 400 wealthiest people in the U.S.
Griffin has a net worth of $7.5 billion, ranking him 57th on the list, Forbes said today.
Read the full list here.
Twelve other Illinoisans made the list, four of them from the Pritzker family:
• Sam Zell, 117th, $4.7 billion, founder of Equity Group Investments
• J.B. Pritzker, 190th, $3.4 billion, co-founder and managing partner of Pritzer Group, a private investment firm
• Neil Bluhm, 204th, $3.2 billion, real estate and casino investor and a co-founder and chairman of Chicago-based Rush Street Gaming
• Thomas Pritzker, 214th, $3.1 billion, executive chairman of Hyatt Hotels
• Ty Warner, 274th, $2.5 billion, founder and CEO of Ty, a Westmont-based company that produces and distributes Beanie Babies and other plush toys
• Gigi Pritzker, 290th, $2.4 billion, co-founder and CEO of OddLot Entertainment, a film production and financing company
• Patrick Ryan, 290th, $2.4 billion, chairman and CEO of Ryan Specialty Group, a wholesale brokerage and specialty insurance firm in Chicago
• Mark Walter, 290th, $2.4 billion, CEO of Guggenheim Partners, a global investment and advisory financial services firm headquartered in Chicago and New York
• Joe Mansueto, 321st, $2.2 billion, chairman and CEO of Morningstar, a Chicago-based investment research and management firm
• Joseph Grendys, 335th, $2.1 billion, CEO of Koch Foods, a poultry processing company headquartered in Park Ridge
So, Griffin’s $3 million contribution to Comptroller Leslie Munger’s campaign last week is equal to 0.04 percent of his net worth.
To put that into perspective, if your net worth (what is owned minus what is owed) is $100,000, your equivalent contribution to Munger would be $40.
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Fun with numbers
Tuesday, Oct 4, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From the Mark Kirk campaign…
Duckworth Supports $60 Billion Spending Increase For Free Community College
At the Chicago Tribune Editorial Board Debate yesterday, Rep. Duckworth said she wants free community college but could not answer how much it would cost when asked by editorial board members.
Well, we found out how much it would cost: $60 billion dollars.
“Rep. Duckworth has advocated for a new entitlement program without even knowing the cost of it, so we helped her with the research. Duckworth’s plan would cost taxpayers $60 billion,” said Kirk For Senate campaign manager Kevin Artl. “As Senator Kirk said yesterday that while he wants to spend less, tax less and borrow less, Rep. Duckworth wants to spend more, tax more and borrow more, and that is the most important contrast for voters heading into November.”
Except that $60 billion is the projected cost over 10 years.
* And no word yet on how much this would cost…
Kirk, a retired Navy intelligence officer, said he wants the U.S. to create a safe haven for Syrian refugees in Jordan, with the help of the Jordanian government.
Duckworth said the idea “doesn’t even make sense” and would require “a massive increase in U.S. forces.”
“We can’t just be a nation that continually sends troops to war,” she said.
…Adding… Duckworth actually disclosed the cost in a press release at the end of yesterday’s debate…
Rapid Response #9: Tammy Duckworth Would Pay For Tuition-Free Community College By Closing Corporate Tax Loopholes
Today, Kirk Called Tuition-Free Community College For Deserving Students An “Entitlement”
CHICAGO —Tammy Duckworth has proposed how she would pay for her plan to make college more affordable: by closing a tax loophole that allows unlimited write-offs for executive bonuses, by closing the Carried Interest loophole, and by enacting the Buffet Rule to ensure millionaires pay their fair share. She would use the revenue to fully pay for the $60 billion cost of tuition-free community college for deserving students, in addition to making student loans more affordable and strengthening Pell grants.
Republican Mark Kirk on the other hand, today called tuition-free community college an “entitlement.” Tammy Duckworth considers it an investment in our future.
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Huge profits made on CPS market uncertainty
Tuesday, Oct 4, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Dow Jones Business News…
The Chicago Board of Education was desperate for cash. Two Wall Street players were willing to lend it — at a price.
J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. and Chicago-based Nuveen Asset Management have made realized and paper profits exceeding $110 million on purchases this year of $763 million in Chicago Public Schools bonds. The school system needed the money to replenish its dwindling coffers before the new school year and to build and repair facilities.
The school system’s bonds are a favorite for John Miller, Nuveen’s co-head of fixed income, who said the firm bought when the market feared a default, a concern he called overblown. “At the end of day, this school system is critically important to Chicago — to the whole country really,” he said.
“We took a period of market risk on behalf of our client when they needed it most and the market has recognized their improved financial position,” a J.P. Morgan spokeswoman said. […]
Prices of outstanding Chicago school bonds were hit in 2013 and 2015 after defaults by Detroit and Puerto Rico. Illinois Gov. Bruce Rauner called for a state takeover of the school system and for a potential bankruptcy filing over the past year and prices fell below 75 cents on the dollar.
Nuveen determined that the default risk was far lower than that implied by the bond prices.
Smart move by Nuveen and Morgan. They figured out what others missed: The governor was just jaw-boning and that his ideas wouldn’t actually be put into place. They wound up making out like bandits.
* Meanwhile, this is from an SEIU Healthcare union media advisory…
Taxpayers to Rauner: Yes or No — Will you stand up to banks on near $1 billion payout on toxic swap deals?
Coalition demands that governor call on bank CEOs to extend deadline on ‘toxic’ interest rate swap deals
SPRINGFIELD—College professors, students, home healthcare workers, child care providers and others will call on Gov. Rauner to save taxpayers a near $1 billion payout to big Wall Street banks, money that instead could fund vital social services and education programs now being slashed by the Rauner administration.
The coalition will make the demand during an 11 a.m. press conference on Tuesday, Oct. 4, in the Blue room at the State Capitol Building, 301 S. 2nd St. Several Wall Street banks hold documents called Letters of Credit on toxic interest rate swap loans. The letters of credit expire on Nov. 27, triggering an immediate payout of hundreds of millions of dollars in addition to additional fees and penalties unless the banks extend the letters of credit.
Wanna guess who initiated those “toxic” swaps? Rod Blagojevich, SEIU’s bestest pal. Somehow, that isn’t mentioned in the release.
* But Blagojevich’s involvement is highlighted by the governor’s office today…
Rauner Takes Steps to Reduce Risks from Blagojevich-Quinn Inherited Financial Deals
Administration Spent Last Year Working to Reduce Taxpayers Financial Risk
SPRINGFIELD – Over the past several months, the Rauner Administration has taken steps to reduce the state’s financial risk on interest rate swaps and letters of credit. The Governor’s Office of Management and Budget (GOMB) recently completed renegotiations with all the banks that hold the State’s swaps to reduce the state’s financial risk.
“Governor Rauner inherited these swaps and letters of credit, which have been hanging over the heads of Illinois taxpayers for years,” Rauner spokeswoman Catherine Kelly said. “The Rauner Administration has successfully negotiated better terms for Illinois’ taxpayers, which have reduced our financial exposure and increased our ability to direct the state’s limited resources to education and social services.”
The new terms are more favorable to the state and reduce the state’s financial risk. Under the new terms, the State is less likely to have the swaps terminated and owe a payout to the banks because the credit rating thresholds that allow the banks to terminate have been lowered. These new terms are better for the State than the terms agreed to by the Quinn administration in 2013 and the Blagojevich administration in 2003.
The Governor’s Office of Management and Budget has made negotiating with the providers of letters of credit a priority with the goal to renew or replace them prior to the expiration date of November 27, 2016. […]
In October of 2003, the Blagojevich Administration negotiated five separate, interest rates exchange agreements totaling $600 million. At the time they cost the state 4.16% in interest and fees, they now cost Illinois 6.79% in interest and fees.
The payouts the State would owe to banks now if all the swaps were terminated is approximately $150 million. If the letters of credit are not renewed or replaced, there would be additional obligations on the State.
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Ty Fahner behind LOLIllinois campaign
Tuesday, Oct 4, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Some folks may have seen this on a billboard or in their social media feeds…
* Greg Hinz found out who was paying for it…
But few things stay secret for long in politics, and after checking with political insiders, I was pointed to the Civic Committee, which ran a somewhat similar public reform campaign a couple of years ago using the name Illinois Is Broke.
I’m told the new campaign likely will cost at least $1 million, with ads running on the Chicago Tribune’s website and other media outlets statewide.
“We created this campaign to give Illinois citizens, no matter their politics, the opportunity to visibly demonstrate their concerns and frustrations over the failed leadership in our state,” committee President Ty Fahner says in a statement. “Our hope is that this campaign will be loud enough that they will have no choice but to hear us and act on a responsible, bipartisan budget. There is nothing laughable about doing nothing anymore.”
In a follow-up interview, Fahner said the group intentionally is not taking a position on whether the budget stalemate is more the fault of Gov. Bruce Rauner, who wants concessions on worker compensation and other labor issues before approving a tax hike, or House Speaker Mike Madigan, who says the budget should not be held “hostage.”
“We’re not giving them (that) advice,” Fahner said. “But they can’t solve problems if they don’t talk,” something that Rauner and Democratic leaders have rarely done since early summer.
Yeah, all they need to do is talk it out. Right. That’ll work. You’ve got a Randian governor hellbent on hobbling if not outright destroying the Democratic Party’s biggest sources of support (labor, trial lawyers) and a formerly centrist House Speaker who has moved significantly to the left since his primary challenge last spring (remember his CTU campaign signs?).
The governor is spending tens of millions of dollars to further tarnish Madigan in legislative campaigns, and one of Rauner’s allies is about to debut a “documentary” about the man. Madigan, for his part, is unloading on Rauner, comparing him to Donald Trump and using Rauner wherever he can to tarnish Republican candidates.
This war will end when those two guys want it to end, and not a minute before.
They should’ve just given me that million dollars. I could’ve gotten them the same results.
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* More data from that Paul Simon Public Policy Institute poll…
Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump by an overwhelming 53 percent to 28 percent margin among likely voters in the 2016 race for president in Illinois, according to a new poll by the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute at Southern Illinois University Carbondale.
Libertarian Gary Johnson garnered 5 percent and the Green Party candidate, Jill Stein, received 2 percent support. Nine percent said they remained undecided at this point.
The poll was conducted in the week after the first debate starting on Tuesday, September 27 and ending on Sunday, October 2. The sample included 1,000 registered voters, 865 of whom said they were likely voters. The likely voter sample has a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.
The poll also showed:
*Republican Senator Mark Kirk trailing his challenger, Democratic Congresswoman Tammy Duckworth. This race showed Duckworth with a lead of 48 percent to Kirk’s 34 percent among likely voters. The Libertarian candidate, Kent McMillen, received the support of 3 percent of the respondents while 2 percent said they would vote for the Green Party candidate, Scott Summers, and 10 percent remained undecided. […]
The poll showed Clinton winning by 67 percent to Trump’s 19 percent in the City of Chicago where Democratic candidates usually do well while Trump is more competitive downstate where the candidates are essentially tied (Trump 40 percent to Clinton’s 39 percent). Suburban Cook and the collar counties are where the balance of power resides in Illinois and Clinton is winning there by about 30 percentage points (Clinton 56 percent to Trump 25 percent).
In the U.S. Senate race, the geographic breakdown is 61 percent for Duckworth in the city of Chicago to 26 percent for Kirk. In suburban Cook and the collar counties, 51 percent plan to vote for Duckworth compared to 31 percent for Kirk. Downstate Kirk is winning with 44 percent compared to Duckworth’s 36 percent.
Discuss.
*** UPDATE 1 *** This Duckworth poll and all the other polls we’ve seen lately explain this move…
*** UPDATE 2 *** FiveThirtyEight now has Duckworth’s chances of winning at 87.3 percent.
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Poll: Mendoza leads Munger 40-32
Tuesday, Oct 4, 2016 - Posted by Rich Miller
* More from the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute’s recent poll…
In the race for state Comptroller, incumbent Leslie Munger is running to retain the seat she was appointed to by Governor Rauner upon the death of Judy Baar Topinka. She is being challenged by Democrat Susana Mendoza. Mendoza is leading by a 40 percent to 32 percent margin among likely voters. There is a large 22 percent of the voters who remain undecided. […]
Mendoza is leading in the City of Chicago at 52 percent compared to Munger’s 23 percent. Downstate the incumbent, Munger, is leading by 43 percent compared to Mendoza’s 28 percent. The balance of power is held in the Cook county suburbs and collar counties where Mendoza is leading by 42 percent to Munger’s 28 percent.
* That collar county result seems odd to me. Just keep in mind that subsets have much higher margins of error than do the full statewide results…
I’ve seen a couple of other private polls on this race that I wasn’t allowed to share, but they were both pretty close to the state’s generic partisan ballot. This one isn’t far off, either. And it’s why Munger’s TV ad campaign is absolutely crucial.
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* The Paul Simon Public Policy Institute has a new poll out. Let’s start with approval ratings for the governor and the two chamber leaders…
The advertising in many of the 2016 legislative campaigns in Illinois has focused largely on three people who are not on the ballot, that is, Governor Bruce Rauner, Speaker of the House Michael Madigan, and Senate President John Cullerton. The poll asked whether the respondents approved or disapproved of the job each was doing.
The results for Rauner show that his job approval ratings are underwater with 40 percent somewhat approving or strongly approving and 55 percent somewhat disapproving or strongly disapproving of the job he is doing.
However, the governor is more popular downstate where he is somewhat closer to positive territory with 45 percent approving and 51 percent disapproving of the job he is doing. In the suburban areas, Rauner is in negative territory with 55 percent disapproving and 39 percent approving.
The Governor’s biggest problem is in the City of Chicago where his disapproval outnumbers starkly overtake his approval (62 percent to 34 percent).
Speaker Madigan’s overall job approval ratings are also in negative territory with 63 percent somewhat disapproving or strongly disapproving and 26 percent somewhat approving or strongly approving.
Madigan’s best job approval ratings are in the City of Chicago where the ratings are 32 percent approve and 56 percent disapprove. His suburban Cook and collar county job approval ratings are 28 percent approve to 59 percent disapprove. Downstate yields the harshest assessment of the Speaker’s tenure with 73 percent disapproving and 20 percent approving.
In the recent negative ads wars, Senate President John Cullerton has not been the lightning rod that the Speaker has. There are 41 percent who disapprove or strongly disapprove of Cullerton’s performance while 26 percent approve and 29 percent aren’t sure.
* Notice the intensity of “strongly disapprove” on Gov. Rauner…
* Now compare that same intensity to Speaker Madigan’s ratings…
Yikes.
* And here’s Cullerton…
* OK, now on to Rauner by region…
* Compare that to Madigan by region…
Keep in mind that Madigan has a bunch of Downstate races where he has incumbents and some much-ballyhooed challengers.
Oof.
* Methodology…
The margin of error for the entire sample of 1,000 voters is plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. The margin of error for likely voters (n=865) is plus or minus 3.3 percentage points. This means that if we conducted the survey 100 times, in 95 of those instances, the population proportion would be within plus or minus the reported margin for error for each subsample. For subsamples, the margin of error increases as the sample size goes down. The margin of error was not adjusted for design effects.
Live telephone interviews were conducted by Customer Research International of San Marcos, Texas using the random digit dialing method. The telephone sample was provided to Customer Research International by Scientific Telephone Samples. Potential interviewees were screened based on whether they were registered voters and quotas based on area code and sex (<60% female). Interviewers asked to speak to the youngest registered voter at home at the time of the call. Cell phone interviews accounted for 60 percent of the sample. A Spanish language version of the questionnaire and a Spanish-speaking interviewer were made available.
Field work was conducted from September 27-October 2. No auto-dial or “robo” polling is included. Customer Research International reports no Illinois political clients. The survey was paid for with non-tax dollars from the Institute’s endowment fund. The data were not weighted in any way. Crosstabs for the referenced questions will be on the Institute’s polling web site, simonpoll.org.
More results in a bit.
…Adding… Some folks in comments are completely missing the point. Yes, Madigan doesn’t have to run statewide. No duh. But he has become the major “issue” in House campaigns throughout the state. If the House Democrats had a presidential or other statewide type polling as badly as Madigan is, they’d be running away from that person as fast as humanly possible in order to avoid being dragged down by him/her. But the Dems can’t run away from Madigan because that’s where they get their money.
Same goes for the Republicans, by the way. Not many viable House Republican candidates/incumbents are cheering on Gov. Rauner. He’s definitely a drag. He’s just not as big of a drag yet as Madigan.
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