Gov. Quinn concedes
Wednesday, Nov 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Saying we should “respect” those who waited and “persevered” to cast their ballot, Gov. Pat Quinn said “it’s clear that we do not have enough votes to win the election.”
Quinn said he was appointing his chief of staff to be a liaison to the Rauner transition team.
The governor said he would work to pass the minimum wage in the closing days of his administration. “That’s a good thing to be fighting for. So I’ll see you soon.” He took no questions.
…Adding… As of 3:39 pm, the governor has yet to call Bruce Rauner to congratulate him and offer to help with the transition. Also, notice that Quinn never once mentioned Rauner’s name or, as a commenter pointed out, congratulated Rauner on his win.
…Adding More… Raw audio…
…Adding Some More… Bruce Rauner…
“I thank Governor Quinn for his many years of service to Illinois and appreciate his commitment to making this a smooth transition. I look forward to getting to work to make Illinois the most compassionate and competitive state in the nation.”
* Bernard Cherkasov, CEO of Equality Illinois…
The people of Illinois have spoken, giving Bruce Rauner the chance to lead. As do all Illinoisans, we hope that as Bruce Rauner turns to governing he will recognize that he serves everyone in the state, including LGBT individuals and their families, and the clear majority of Illinoisans who support LGBT equality.
As Mr. Rauner wraps up his political campaign, Equality Illinois will be ready to work with him to advance equal treatment and social justice for all in the Land of Lincoln.
Equality Illinois also congratulates Governor Pat Quinn on running a campaign and an administration that embraced all Illinoisans.
Under Pat Quinn’s leadership, we advanced protections for students from bullying and violence in schools, we made history by recognizing marriage equality, and countless people got a job, a home, insurance, a mortgage, a business opportunity because of anti-discrimination vigilance by the Quinn administration. We made great strides toward fairness and equal treatment for all. We thank Governor Quinn for his years of service.
* Mayor Emanuel…
“Governor Quinn has been a great partner to the City of Chicago. I would like to thank him for the work he has done on behalf of our residents, and I will stand shoulder-to-shoulder with him as we fight to raise the minimum wage over the next two months. I would also like to congratulate Governor-elect Bruce Rauner. We must work together on behalf of all Chicagoans and put progress ahead of politics to move Chicago and Illinois forward.”
* Video…
Click to view
* Christine Radogno, Illinois Senate Republican Leader…
“On behalf of the Senate Republican caucus we wish our heartiest congratulations to Governor-elect Bruce Rauner. We look forward to working with Bruce and his administration to return Illinois to greatness. We will also offer our full support during this time of transition. We extend our appreciation to Governor Quinn for his years of service to the people of Illinois.”
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Karmeier “cautiously optimistic” about victory
Wednesday, Nov 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From a press release…
The Karmeier Retention Campaign Manager, Ron Deedrick offered the following statement on November 5, after the unofficial retention numbers came in on Justice Lloyd A. Karmeier’s successful bid.
“Justice Karmeier has been retained and he is thankful for the voters of the Fifth Judicial District for sending him back to Springfield to be their southern Illinois voice at the state Supreme Court,” Deedrick said. “The numbers are close, but the 60 percent threshold has been achieved and we are cautiously optimistic that the numbers may continue to edge up.”
Last I heard they were at 60.4 or something.
…Adding… BND…
The unofficial totals of the 37 counties compiled by the News-Democrat show 225,825 ballots were cast to retain Karmeier with 146,754 against retention. That’s 60.6 percent of voters approving retention for Karmeier. He was required to get 60 percent of the vote. […]
But that may not be the end of the fight, Deedrick said. He expects recounts and legal challenges to the results.
In the month before the election, Karmeier faced an anti-retention campaign, with lawyers from the Korein Tillery law firm donating $1.2 million. Korein Tillery won a $10 billion verdict, including $1.77 billion in legal fees, against cigarette maker Phillip Morris in a Madison County class action lawsuit. That case is currently under appeal.
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[The following is a paid advertisement.]
“Chicago-based Exelon’s profit rose 26 percent in the third quarter…The country’s largest owner of nuclear power plants, Exelon reported net income of $993 million…”[Chicago Tribune, October 29, 2014 – emphasis added]
Just this past week, a Crain’s analysis revealed that contrary to their claims, Exelon may not be in dire straits after all:
“The analysis…raises questions about whether the state effectively will be asked to compel ratepayers to subsidize a profitable enterprise.” [Crain’s, October 27, 2014 – emphasis added]
Illinois’ businesses and citizens are still struggling. The last thing we need is a massive rate increase to bail out Exelon nuclear plants built during the Nixon administration and already paid for several times by ratepayers.
Even ComEd, Exelon’s own sister company, doesn’t agree with subsidized generation at above-market prices:
“ComEd has long believed that competitive markets will work in the best interests of our customers…so we are concerned about the negative impact on our customers from a requirement that would force utilities to buy subsidized generation at above-market prices.” [Crain’s Chicago Business, November 20, 2013]
Just Say No To Exelon’s $580 Million Rate Hike!!
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Rauner announces transition team
Wednesday, Nov 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From a press release…
Governor-elect Bruce Rauner today announced Lieutenant Governor-elect Evelyn Sanguinetti as chair of his gubernatorial transition and also announced the senior leadership team.
“I am committed to assembling a diverse and talented team to drive results for our state and bring back Illinois,” Bruce Rauner said. “There is no one better prepared to help me achieve our administration’s goals than Evelyn. She has been my partner throughout this campaign and will continue that role as we prepare to take office.”
Senior Members of Transition Team
- Evelyn Sanguinetti, Chairwoman
- Mike Zolnierowicz, Transition Director
- Chip Englander, Senior Advisor
- Nancy Kimme, Transition Advisor
- Mike Schrimpf, Communications Director
“I look forward to working with the Governor-elect to build an administration that reflects our state’s diversity and is prepared to lead on Day One,” Evelyn Sanguinetti said.
The transition committee is also committed to disclosing and capping all contributions to the effort. More details about the transition will be announced in the near future.
Kimme is the only person on that committee with extensive state government experience.
…Adding… I was on the phone when I posted this so I was a bit distracted. Mike Z, Chip and Schrimpf are top notch staffers. They’ll be able to handle their roles. The object is to recruit the best and the brightest people they can to advise the candidate in the coming weeks. They should be able to do that, as long as they listen to Nancy.
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* How many times have we heard Gov. Pat Quinn repeat that line?
Google returned 8,900 results.
I can somewhat understand why Gov. Quinn didn’t concede last night. His campaign repeatedly pleaded with voters to stand in line for hours. Some folks waited until 3 o’clock this morning to vote. I can see why he wouldn’t publicly walk away while people who are loyal to him are sacrificing time away from their loved ones.
* But, it’s now Wednesday afternoon, and Quinn is trailing by five percentage points with 99.5 percent of the precincts reporting. Maybe he closes the gap by a little, but the “will of the people” is obvious.
Governor, you and your opponent tore this state in half with a hundred million dollars in negative advertising. It’s time you helped heal those divisions that you helped create. It’s time to pick up the phone, call Bruce Rauner and concede. I have his number if you need it.
*** UPDATE 1 *** From the governor’s office…
GOVERNOR’S PUBLIC SCHEDULE
**Wednesday, November 5, 2014**
CHICAGO – Governor Pat Quinn will address the media.
WHEN: 3:30 p.m.
WHERE: James R. Thompson Center
15th Floor – Blue Room
100 W. Randolph St.
Chicago, 60601
*** UPDATE 2 *** WGN says they will live stream the event. Click here.
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* There’s no public schedule for Bruce Rauner today…
Late last night, Rauner spokesman Mike Schrimpf said nothing was scheduled for today.
“Focus now on transition and governing. Won’t rush that,” he said in an email.
* Tribune…
Rauner’s transition to governor actually began months before Election Day, said one campaign insider who was not authorized to speak publicly, with a closely held assemblage of veterans from previous Illinois Republican governors and GOP insiders. Their work included shaping the potential personnel in a Rauner cabinet. […]
Earlier this week, Rauner said part of his immediate work was to “assemble a superstar ‘A’ team to turn the government around.”
“This matters so much to me, I’m just on a mission. I’m going right to work,” he said.
* Bernie…
Rauner’s administration will likely bring a full roster of new department directors, and Rauner’s past tough talk about “government union bosses” certainly raises questions about how any negotiations with state workers will go. […]
Rauner may well reach an accommodation with Madigan over time, said former Gov. Jim Edgar, a Republican who backed Rauner. […]
Madigan wouldn’t speak to me for four months after I was elected,” Edgar told reporters in Springfield on Monday. “We finally reached an accord. … He knew I was the governor. I wasn’t leaving. … I think once he realized he could trust my word, that I wasn’t going to change my mind every day,” they were able to work together.
“He would still take me to the mat a few times, and I would take him right back,” Edgar said. “But again, I think we worked out a mutual respect and we were able to get things done.”
* From Rauner’s speech last night…
Just a few minutes ago, I placed two very important phone calls. I called Speaker Madigan. I called President Cullerton and I said to them: This is an opportunity for us to work together.
This is an opportunity to work together on a bipartisan basis, to solve the problems, the challenges facing families in Illinois.
I thought that was an important moment, even though the mention of Madigan’s name prompted loud boos from the audience. Rauner made it clear, I thought, that he was going to try and unify the state.
* But then I read the Sun-Times…
A Madigan spokesman, however, said he was “not aware of any call.”
I called that spokesman this morning and he made it clear that he didn’t want to make too big of a deal about it. He hadn’t asked Madigan about the call and Madigan had made no mention of it. He has another call into the Speaker and he has promised to ask if Rauner did, indeed, talk to him.
As far as Cullerton goes, a member of Rauner’s staff reached out to a member of Cullerton’s staff last night, but the two men haven’t yet spoken, I was told.
* Either way, Rauner did his best to say something positive last night, to show he was ready to move forward, even if it was only symbolic.
*** UPDATE *** Madigan’s spokesman said “We don’t see anything that suggested Rauner called Madigan last night or today.”
OK, I’m changing my mind on this. That’s not a good way to kick off a relationship with the Speaker.
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Question of the day
Wednesday, Nov 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* In your opinion, who (or what) were the three biggest losers yesterday and why?
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Once again, it’s the economy, stupid
Wednesday, Nov 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* I have my own take on the minimum wage issue for subscribers, but I like this one, too…
The lesson of Tuesday’s minimum wage votes is that Democrats can do more on the minimum wage, not that they can help themselves politically by talking about it more. Just because a proposal is popular does not mean it can be a keystone in your economic agenda. As Kevin Drum of Mother Jones has noted, Democrats have an economic agenda that is heavily attuned to the poor; it’s much less clear what they would do for the middle class.
Many policies that help the poor are favored by the middle class. But if politicians want to win the votes of the middle class, they have to campaign on issues that affect them directly. Minimum wage increases do not serve that political end.
* So, yeah, the minimum wage hike referendum passed with almost 67 percent of the vote, but the candidate most associated with that referendum, Pat Quinn, lost by five points.
Quinn simply did not have an economic message that resonated strongly enough with the middle class.
* Here’s a striking result: 2010 exit polling showed that 26 percent of respondents belonged to union households. That number rose to 32 percent in 2014 exit polling. So, unions did a good job of getting their folks to the polls.
However, Bill Brady won 31 percent of union households in 2010. Bruce Rauner won 41 percent of union households this year.
* Or check out this one: In 2010, Brady got 39 percent of the vote from those who made less than $100K a year. This year, Rauner took 46 percent of that group.
* In 2010, 49 percent of those who said they were worried about economic conditions sided with Bill Brady. This year, it was 54 percent for Rauner.
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And the winner is…
Wednesday, Nov 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* US Sen. Mark Kirk’s 2010 win proved that a pro-choice moderate could win a GOP primary and go on to win a general election. Kirk deployed several of his staff members to the Rauner campaign and they not only helped keep the messaging on track (Lance Trover, Rich Goldberg), but put together what turned out to be one heck of a field operation (Mike Z). Trover and Z are actually Topinka people, and her 2010 comeback was as important as Kirk’s win, so she shares in this as well.
From Kirk’s statement last night…
“For the first time in a long time, I am optimistic about the future of Illinois,” Kirk said. “In a show of unity, I will host Governor-Elect Rauner, Mayor Emanuel and Senator Durbin to lunch so we can immediately begin to work in coordination for our great state.”
So, other than people who actually won their own races yesterday, Kirk is my “biggest winner” of 2014. And he’ll need a strong gubernatorial ally to help fend off the right wing and the Democrats in 2016, if he decides to run again.
The RGA comes in a close second, in my book. Former RGA staff were crucial to Rauner, and the huge RGA checks didn’t hurt, either.
* Your own thoughts on biggest winners? Let’s focus on the positive here, please.
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Madigan declares victory
Wednesday, Nov 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* As I told subscribers earlier today, Bruce Rauner funded two campaigns, his own and the House Republican effort. He went one for two. Despite all the cash, all the outside help (including from Dan Proft’s Super PAC), it appears that Speaker Madigan did not lose a single seat. From Illinois Public Radio…
With Bruce Rauner’s win, Illinois Republicans have something to celebrate. But they failed to make gains in the General Assembly, which could have big repercussions for Rauner down the line. […]
Rauner had tried to help Republicans make dents in Democrats’ power hold on the General Assembly — contributing money to races, and to the state party.
It didn’t work.
House Republicans failed to gain even a single seat. Which means House Speaker Michael Madigan will continue to preside over a bare minimum super-majority.
Democrats in the Senate lost one member — incumbent Mike Jacobs, of the Quad Cities. But they still have 39 of the Senate’s 59 seats.
* Tribune last night…
The suburban battlegrounds featured Democratic Rep. Katherine Cloonen of Kankakee in a tight race against Republican Glenn Nixon of Bourbonnais; Democratic Rep. Carol Sente of Vernon Hills who was holding a strong lead when Republican Leslie Munger of Lincolnshire conceded Tuesday night; and Democratic Rep. Scott Drury of Highwood held off Republican Mark Neerhof of Lake Forest, who conceded.
In Lake County, Democratic freshman Rep. Sam Yingling of Grayslake appeared to beat Republican Rod Drobinski of Wauconda, who conceded.
In DuPage County, freshman Democratic Rep. Deb Conroy of Villa Park was leading Heidi Holan of Glen Ellyn, and Democratic Rep. Martin Moylan of Des Plaines was leading Republican Mel Thillens of Park Ridge. […]
In western Illinois, Democratic Rep. Mike Smiddy of Hillsdale faced Republican Jim Wozniak of East Moline. In central Illinois, Democratic Rep. Sue Scherer of Decatur faced Republican Mike Bell of Edinburg.
The only one kinda-sorta race in doubt right now appears to be Cloonen. But the HDems are confident they have enough provisionals to win it.
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Undervote? What undervote?
Wednesday, Nov 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Lots of folks thought there would a huge under-vote in the governor’s race. It was just so nasty, so mean, so devoid of heart and spirit. People would just skip over it.
But, guess what? With 99.5 percent of the votes counted, more people voted in the governor’s race than in any other statewide contest…
US Senate - 3,439,117
Governor - 3,464,622
AG - 3,442,333
SOS - 3,454,120
Comptroller - 3,423,838
Treasurer - 3,370,406
Thoughts?
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Some congressional take-aways
Wednesday, Nov 5, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Man, was this ever a thumping…
U.S. House District 12
100% of precincts reporting
Bost 106,435 (52.7%)
Enyart 84,136 (41.6%)
Bradshaw 11,47% (5.7%)
Eleven points?
Sheesh.
* And so was this…
U.S. House District 17
100% of precincts reporting
Bustos 108,228 (55.2%)
Schilling 88,004 (44.8%)
* Lots of mixed messages this year. Bustos wins, but her own state Sen. Mike Jacobs loses. And yet Rep. Mike Smiddy, who represents half of Jacobs’ district, wins.
I think what we can take away is that the candidate mattered this year much more than the party, or the incumbency factor or even the district (Smiddy’s district leans Republican) or etc. Enyart, Schilling and Jacobs just all got out-worked, out-thought, out-messaged, out-everything.
* One more…
U.S. House District 10
100% of precincts reporting
Dold 93,036 (51.8%)
Schneider 86,572 (48.2%)
Schneider’s campaign trumpeted his Democratic Party affiliation - in a Republican year.
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Not sure what happened…
Tuesday, Nov 4, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* All of a sudden, comments closed down. I can’t open them up. Working on it. Sorry.
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* I’ll be adding to these categories in a bit as some links don’t appear to be live yet. Let’s start with election results…
* Illinois Election Data
* NBC 5
* Sun-Times
* CBS2
* Tribune
* Daily Herald
* Live TV…
* WGN
* ABC7
* BlueRoomStream.com
* I’m going to do something different tonight and put election results into our ScribbleLive news feed so you won’t have have several different posts open all at once. But pay attention, because things will move by pretty darned fast. I’ll put all winners into a separate post and update that as we go along. Have fun, campers…
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3-7 pm Precinct Reports
Tuesday, Nov 4, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* The spokesman for the Chicago Board of Elections said today that data he has seen show that the city’s turnout will not match Chicago’s 2010 number of 53 percent. However, he cautioned that this was preliminary data which could be too low because of some issues feeding some ballot machines.
Greg Hinz has more…
But, in calling around a bit, it looks like much of the record early voter turnout in Chicago and Cook County may have reduced the number of people who show up at the polls today, rather than representing a net increase in total voting.
Ergo, Cook County Clerk David Orr tells me that his best “guess” — and he used that word — is that turnout will be in the 51 percent to 52 percent range, or “about average.” Meanwhile, figures at the Chicago Board of Elections so far raise doubts whether the city will exceed its 2010 total of 706,000 votes cast. And downstate, where the Rauner campaign never fully caught on, turnout has been whacked some by heavy rain showers much of the day.
That means Mr. Rauner really, really will need to run up figures in Chicago’s five suburban collar counties: Lake, DuPage, Will, McHenry and Kane. And Mr. Quinn really will need to keep Mr. Rauner below the 20 percent figure in the city that a lot of observers have been emphasizing.
As usual, there are some problems, with a handful of precincts in the city and Cook County to be kept open late. The worst seems to be in the city, where someone called some election judges, apparently all of them Republicans, and gave them bad instructions. That in turn led to a high number of judicial no-shows this time, though at least one precinct, in the 49th Ward, didn’t open because the doors were locked. Fire department officials pried the doors open.
* Keep those reports from your own precincts and polling places coming, folks!
…Adding… A Lake County judge has ordered county same-day registration/voting must stay open until 9 o’clock tonight. Click here to read the order.
…Adding More… The I-Team has more on those mysterious robocalls which have caused so many Chicago election judges to not show up for work today…
“This one is a new dirty trick,” Allen said of the calls.
The ABC7 I-Team learned Tuesday that some Chicago election judges were told in the false calls to report to a Cook County Republican Office on the Southwest Side for additional “training.” When the I-Team arrived there, a man who said he is the landlord told him the GOP staff had just packed up and left. However, a Republican operative who worked there said he made personal calls to judges, too.
“Asked them, have they had their training yet? I mean, you know, the training for the judge. And then ask them had they voted early and if not tell them that they have until Saturday, this past Saturday, to vote early,” the man said.
Robocalls also directed election judges to an address on 79 th Street near another GOP office, where the deputy chairman of the Cook County Republican Party said they had a training session on Sunday.
“Both parties have meetings with their election judges to work the polls, work the precincts,” Darnell Macklin, vice chairman of the Cook County Republican Party, said.
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TrackBill – An Introduction
Tuesday, Nov 4, 2014 - Posted by Advertising Department
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Something to do on a slow day
Tuesday, Nov 4, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From a pal…
Hey, Rich. Have you seen a website called empowermebruce.com?
A friend got a call telling her she could win $100 for the educational institution of her choice by visiting the site and answering six questions. The questions turn out to be about a person’s workplace style — collaborative, detail-oriented, etc.
The call and site briefly mention Rainer but don’t do a hard sell. Weirdest thing I’ve ever seen. I can’t figure out what it’s supposed to accomplish.
* Election day is a pretty slow news day until after the polls close, so, OK, let’s check it out. From the EmpowerMeBruce site…
Our goal is simple: To help YOU empower YOURSELF so you will be better able to EMPOWER OTHERS.
With just six clicks, your name, and an email address, EmpowerME sends you a report that shows your primary and secondary Personal Style Types. Then it dives into how you can better communicate and influence others like you, but also those who differ from you so you can be more effective in your work, play, and family life settings.
And all those who complete the EmpowerME site are entered into a drawing where winners receive a $100 check they can donate to the Illinois school, college, or university they choose. Imagine how good it will feel supporting this worthy cause. Bruce Rauner knows this feeling. He has been supporting education for Illinois youth for many years.
Be sure to make your vote count for Bruce today.
* Click on the “red star” and you get this page…
Welcome to EmpowerME
EmpowerME is a WorkSTYLE PROfiler that delivers a three dimensional report of your personality, work style, and behavior. It offers coaching on how to better communicate and influence the people in your work, leisure, and home lives.
Provided in support of Bruce Rauner for Governor, this experience empowers you to better empower others– the path that let Bruce to his personal and business success, and will lead Illinois to a successful future once Bruce is elected. Completing the WorkSTYLE PROfiler qualifies you to enter the Empowering Education drawing where 10 winners receive $100 they can contribute to the Illinois educational institution of their choice.
Be sure to make your vote count on November 4. Vote Rauner for Governor.
* Then you enter your first and last name and are taken to another page…
Welcome to the Personal WorkSTYLE Profiler
For the next six questions, pick the ONE button that BEST FITS how your typical work behaviors compare to the descriptions in the left and right definition boxes. For example, if you think the left side box exactly fits your behavior pattern at work, click the button labeled ‘Exactly like above’. If you think your behavior is more like the description in the right to the right, but not all the time or exactly as described, then pick the button that best fits. If your work behaviors are an even mix of both definitions, then pick the ‘Balanced’ button.
* The options are…
Maintain a consistently controlled and calm exterior even when being challenged, ignored, insulted, or interrupted.
And…
Become highly animated when challenged or ignored | Respond directly and aggressively when someone disagrees or argues with you | Use dramatic physical gestures to emphasize points and make sure people pay attention
* They ask you more of these personality questions and then when you finish…
Thank you for taking the EmpowerME Assessment. A copy of your WorkSTYLE report will be sent to the email you entered at the beginning of the assessment.
And please remember to make your vote count for Bruce today so Bruce can EMPOWER US ALL as the next Governor of the State of Illinois.
* I checked with the Rauner campaign and they had never heard of it. “Not us.”
Hmm. Well, when you take the test, you’re on a domain owned by PeopleAssessments.com. From the company’s site…
PeopleAssessments provides assessment solutions for companies that want to hire better people, faster, for less total cost.
We balance a commitment to science-based best practices with a passion for leveraging the power of the web. Our goal– drive wasted labor effort from talent decision processes so you can lower costs while raising the bar on talent quality and attract more of the top talent to your brand.
* I called the company and the phone was answered by Tom Janz, the firm’s chief scientist.
Dr. Janz said the study was paid for by “a friend of the candidate” who thought this might be helpful. But they got such a late start that they weren’t able to roll it out until this afternoon.
Janz said the study is similar to a “Wilson” type of self-completed questionnaire.
* But what was the point? Janz said the original goal was to goal understand individual voter personality types and then match candidate messages to them based on their types.
So, to simplify it, if a person was a bold, salesman kind of person, the message would be short bullet points for why Rauner was the best candidate. If it was a more academic respondent, he or she would be sent detailed reasons. Etc.
It’s about “tooling the process of the message,” Janz said. But, unfortunately, the project came to him too late to matter much.
Thoughts?
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* Stephen Chapman…
One reason this year’s campaigns were so nasty and personal, particularly here in Illinois, is that on many issues, the differences among the candidates are not enormous. It brings to mind the old adage that the reason academic politics are so vicious is that the stakes are so small.
The Illinois governor’s race is a good example. Bruce Rauner has come out for abortion rights, a higher minimum wage and the preservation of gay marriage despite being a Republican. Pat Quinn has cut state government employment, signed a pension reform law and imposed a quarantine on health care workers who have treated Ebola patients, even though he’s a Democrat.
Each has to attack the other guy on something, and often it’s been something peripheral to the business of governing. Both have tried to win more on style than on substance.
Partly, yes, but Quinn has bashed Rauner on issues like the minimum wage where Rauner has bounced all over the place. Rauner has directly attacked Quinn over the state of the economy and the budget.
But on the other hand, Chapman makes a good point. Both men want a big capital plan, both men want to increase spending on things like schools and universities. Both men agree that the tax hike cannot be allowed to expire all at once.
The big difference is how they each intend to arrive at those destinations. Quinn’s plan is to keep the income tax right where it is. Rauner’s plan is quite a bit fuzzier, to say the least.
There are also some obvious style differences between the two men which I don’t really need to go into here at length because they are so obvious. So, it’s logical that this would be part of the campaign.
* In other stuff, the governor has repeatedly touted all the jobs created at Chicago’s Ford factory, but some workers got a pink slip in a highly unusual way last week…
Nearly 100 workers at Ford’s Chicago Assembly Plant got a robocall on Halloween telling them their services were no longer needed and they were terminated.
It wasn’t a trick or a morbid prank.
Dozens of workers missed the call or didn’t believe it, so they showed up to work Saturday anyway, according to an autoworker who wished to remain anonymous. They found their ID badges had been disabled and were told by security they had been fired.
Yikes.
*** UPDATE *** From Ford Motor Co…
“As part of our business process, we have temporarily adjusted our workforce numbers at Chicago Assembly Plant by approximately 90 team members. Our goal, as always, is to return the workers back to their positions as soon as possible based on the needs of our business.”
Is it part of Ford’s normal business practice to notify employees of layoffs through Robo call? No. We do not typically use Robo call to notify employees of layoffs. The plant elected to use Robo call in this situation because it is temporary in nature and we intend to recall all employees as soon as possible.
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[The following is a paid advertisement.]
“Chicago-based Exelon’s profit rose 26 percent in the third quarter…The country’s largest owner of nuclear power plants, Exelon reported net income of $993 million…”[Chicago Tribune, October 29, 2014 – emphasis added]
Just this past week, a Crain’s analysis revealed that contrary to their claims, Exelon may not be in dire straits after all:
“The analysis…raises questions about whether the state effectively will be asked to compel ratepayers to subsidize a profitable enterprise.” [Crain’s, October 27, 2014 – emphasis added]
Illinois’ businesses and citizens are still struggling. The last thing we need is a massive rate increase to bail out Exelon nuclear plants built during the Nixon administration and already paid for several times by ratepayers.
Even ComEd, Exelon’s own sister company, doesn’t agree with subsidized generation at above-market prices:
“ComEd has long believed that competitive markets will work in the best interests of our customers…so we are concerned about the negative impact on our customers from a requirement that would force utilities to buy subsidized generation at above-market prices.” [Crain’s Chicago Business, November 20, 2013]
Just Say No To Exelon’s $580 Million Rate Hike!!
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*** UPDATED x1 *** More shenanigans
Tuesday, Nov 4, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* CBS 2…
City election officials had to send out scores of standby election judges on Tuesday, after a shortage of workers at polling places throughout Chicago.
Chicago Board of Election Commissioners Chairman Langdon Neal said at least one precinct in all 50 wards had a problem with election judges not showing up, and the city had to enlist the help of 250 standby judges.
Neal said the problem should not affect elections. City election officials were contacting voters they believe were not able to cast ballots Tuesday morning due to polling places opening late, and asking if they could come back to cast a ballot later Tuesday.
* Background on the robocalls…
A barrage of automated phone calls offering false instructions to scores of election judges was “a serious attempt to disrupt” Chicago voting operations in the run-up to Tuesday’s vote, elections officials said.
Between Friday and Monday an unknown number of judges — the paid partisan employees tasked with operating polling stations — received the misleading robo-calls, according to the Chicago Board of Election Commissioners.
“Given the level of response that we received, we suspect it was a large number of people — we don’t know how large,” Jim Allen, board spokesman said Monday.
Some of the judges received calls informing them that they needed an additional training session before they could work a polling station, board chairman Langdon Neal said. Only one three-hour session is required.
* But there was also a second set of calls…
the second call told judges they serve for one political party and they must vote the same party.
As I told subscribers today, the people receiving those calls were Republicans, making it unlikely that the Democrats were behind it. But one never knows, I suppose.
* In other news, remember the racist mailer sent into Rep. Fred Crespo’s district? The Democrats denied it came from them and did robocalls over the weekend to make sure Crespo didn’t get blamed. The Daily Herald followed up…
Hanover Park Village President Rodney Craig backed Crespo’s contentions Sunday. He said he visited [Republican candidate Ramiro Juarez] at his office Saturday and confronted him about the mailer. Juarez, he said, blamed the flier on a volunteer working for his campaign.
“He said, ‘It’s (a campaign volunteer), he’s out of control,’” Craig said.
State election record show Craig made donations totaling $700 to Crespo’s campaign in 2010 and 2011, but he said he has no role in this year’s campaign.
Juarez denied making that statement to Craig and blamed the accusation on bad blood between the Hanover Park mayor and the volunteer.
* Meanwhile…
In at least three locations — in the 1st, 2nd and 42nd wards — there were reports of counting machines not accepting the ballots. That forced some voters to cast traditional paper ballots.
In the 1st Ward’s 25th precinct, the automated ballots were put aside to be counted later. The counting machine was reading “jammed,” said Larry Ligas, a poll observer for the campaign of GOP gubernatorial candidate Bruce Rauner. No ballots were damaged by the malfunctioning machine, Ligas said.
“The judges were incompetent,” Ligas said.
*** UPDATE *** From the DCCC…
* But this is what I put on the ScribbleLive feed…
I just checked with the East St. Louis Election Commission. There was an issue this morning about GOP poll watchers demanding to verify voter signatures. This is the first time that outside poll watchers have worked ESL, the director said, so there was confusion. The director has visited the three precincts where this was an issue, calmed everybody down, briefed everyone about the law, and notified the state’s attorney. I’m told by others that the problems have been solved, and the director agreed.
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9:30-Noon precinct reports
Tuesday, Nov 4, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* More fresh thread. Please tell us where your precinct is. Give us the weather, the turnout, the “feel” of the place, as well as the number and effectiveness of the precinct workers. Thanks!
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Predictions and punditry abound
Tuesday, Nov 4, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Larry Saboto moved the governor’s race from pure tossup to slight advantage to Gov. Quinn. It’s getting some play on Twitter, but I dunno. It’s just one more bloviating pundit from a far-away island, as far as I’m concerned…
We can’t quite believe it, but Gov. Pat Quinn (D) may actually survive. Despite ugly approval ratings, Quinn is running essentially even with businessman Bruce Rauner (R). Illinois is a blue state, and in what is pretty much a coin-flip, we’re taking Quinn. LEANS DEMOCRATIC
* The national angle from McClatchy…
Will voters throw incumbent governors out? There’s a long list of vulnerable Republicans, notably Wisconsin’s Scott Walker, Michigan’s Rick Snyder and Kansas’ Sam Brownback, as well as Democrats Pat Quinn of Illinois and John Hickenlooper of Colorado. All are in jeopardy; if all or most fall, the story line becomes a voter rejection of incumbents, regardless of party.
* Zorn…
A decisive number of voters are ready for a change at the top in Springfield, even if they’re not at all sure what that change would entail. They want to give someone else a chance to try to ride herd over the Democratic legislature, even though they’re unclear on exactly who that someone else is.
On the other hand (and who really knows?) a majority could vote vote against Quinn and the governor might still be reelected. Why? That Libertarian Grimm.
* Bernie…
But having Libertarian candidate Chadd Grimm on the ballot, I believe, along with most observers, will take more from Rauner.
This leads me to my usual role the weekend before an election of predicting outcomes of major races. My predictions are not endorsements, and the fact that I’ve complained about Rauner’s campaign style doesn’t stray from some past things I’ve written. In my November 2006 predictions, I said that Rod Blagojevich would win a second term despite my determination, in that column, that he had “placed himself behind the bubble of officialdom.” He beat Republican Judy Baar-Topinka and won that ill-fated term.
This time, I think factors such as Rauner’s 16-month-old talk about unions will help drive Democratic turnout and — as weird as it seems — give Quinn another four years. We’ll see.
On the other hand, national headwinds appear pretty darned strong against the Democrats and Rauner has run an infinitely better campaign than Bill Brady did four years ago.
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8:30-9:30 precinct reports
Tuesday, Nov 4, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Let’s start a fresh thread. Please make sure you say where your precinct is. Give us the weather, the turnout, the “feel” of the place, as well as the number and effectiveness of the precinct workers. Thanks!
…8:59 am… Springfield weather…
Sangamon County Clerk Joe Aiello said he’s sticking with his projection of a 56 percent voter turnout today despite inclement weather he suspects is having an effect on early voting. […]
He said he had been at several east side polling places early today and that turnout was “slow” — less than 10 percent — in those precincts.
“The rain is probably keeping some people away,” he said.
But with showers expected to end by early this afternoon, voting should pick up, he said.
…9:06 am… AccuWeather radar screen cap at 9:05…
…9:08 am… Bruce Rauner votes…
…9:16 am… Sun-Times…
At a polling station in the Uptown neighborhood, several voters said this campaign season’s unusually negative rhetoric didn’t deter them from voting.
“Hey, I’ve got fast forward on my commercials and DVR,” said Janis Tiffin, 67, a retired architect. “I don’t watch any of that.”
Craig Shaw, 30, said he felt like he didn’t have an excuse not to vote — since he lives just down the street from the polling station. […]
Caitlin Binder-Markey, 29, a teacher, said her motivation to come out to vote include fears about losing her pension and protecting her right to birth control.
I’m gonna have a ScribbleLive feed for our next round of precinct reports.
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Good morning!
Tuesday, Nov 4, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Have you been pushing yourself past all limits since you can’t remember when in preparation for today, but are now in dire need of one last, great, adrenaline-fueled election day push? Well, come wit it now…
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Another Quinn closer
Monday, Nov 3, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* I saw this ad Saturday night in Chicago. Yet another closer TV ad and another traffic change from Gov. Quinn…
* Background…
A governor can make a decision that changes everything—in just 30 seconds.
Bruce Rauner says he’ll cut the minimum wage, but not before he gives himself and billionaires like him a $1 million tax break. His budget plan would lay off 1 in 6 teachers.
Governor Pat Quinn will raise the minimum wage, and he’ll never cut our kids’ education to give a tax break to the wealthy.
That’s the choice in this election—you decide.
* And here’s some of what the governor was up to today…
I’ve asked he Rauner campaign if they had anything new. I’ll share if they do.
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Question of the day
Monday, Nov 3, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Sum up this campaign season in one word, and one word only. No “new” words, please.
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Fumbled, recovered, score
Monday, Nov 3, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Statehouse reporters repeatedly asked former Gov. Jim Edgar about his past derogatory statements about Bruce Rauner, back when Edgar had endorsed Kirk Dillard in the GOP primary.
Over and over, Edgar successfully deflected the questions, saying that the choice today is between Bruce Rauner and Pat Quinn. But then he kinda slipped up…
“I wish he had more government experience”
Oops.
But then he quickly recovered…
“But that doesn’t guarantee…Pat Quinn’s had a lot of government experience and I don’t think he has done that well. It’s why we need to make the change.”
* The exchange begins at the 27:45 mark…
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All we might know is, it’s gonna be close
Monday, Nov 3, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Be careful with this analysis. From Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight blog…
Quinn, of Illinois, looked to be in the most danger of these three incumbents. My polling-based analysis in early summer had him with a 25 percent chance to beat Republican Bruce Rauner. At the time, however, I warned that Quinn probably had a better shot than early polls suggested. Quinn is a Democratic governor in a Democratic state. He won in 2010 despite an approval rating of 40 percent (at best) and with only about 15 percent of voters saying the state was heading in the right direction.
This year, Quinn’s approval rating is again between 35 percent and 40 percent. And again, he looks like he may win. His campaign has somewhat successfully painted Rauner as an out-of-touch millionaire. According to a recent Chicago Tribune poll, voters are more likely to say Quinn is in touch with people like them. They also view him as more honest than Rauner, even if they think Rauner can better handle the economy.
The fight between an incumbent people don’t approve of and a challenger with his own flaws has resulted in a close race, but one in which Quinn is a favorite. The FiveThirtyEight model gives him a 66 percent chance of winning.
They’ve got Quinn winning by just 1.3 percentage points.
* Quinn won four years ago 46.79 percent to 45.94 percent - a margin of just 0.85 percent.
Gov. Quinn will probably need to increase his 2010 percentage to win this year because there were three other candidates on the ballot last time who took a combined 7.27 percent of the vote. Unless the Libertarian can reach that number, Quinn has to better his numbers in the face of strong GOP headwinds and a gazillionaire opponent.
Either way, we’re talking little bitty numbers here. Tiny fractions of percentage points here and there can win this thing or lose it.
According to 2010 exit polling, Democrats made up 44 percent of the electorate, Republicans were 32 percent and indies were 24 percent. Needless to say, Quinn didn’t get many independent votes. He had to scramble like mad.
* There was a big spike over the weekend in Chicago, where early voters, absentee returns and grace period voting totaled 33,625. Lines were long everywhere. I figure another 6,000 more absentees will eventually be mailed in, based on past performance, but that could increase as well. So far, 39,638 more Chicagoans have voted before election day than in 2010.
But also keep in mind that some very GOP-leaning townships in suburban Cook are reporting huge early vote/absentee numbers, as are the collar counties. Downstate remains a question. Anecdotal info abounds. The unions in Madison and Rock Island counties did an extraordinary job with the early vote, for instance.
Again, a million different factors are at play here. FiveThirtyEight predicted Bill Brady would win last time with 51..5 percent of the vote to 44 for Quinn. His model had 86.7 percent confidence in 2010, but 66 percent today.
* Also, Sun-Times…
After delivering a speech to volunteers in Chicago, Durbin spoke of the Democrats’ bid to target so-called “drop-off voters” as well as the party’s field operation. The party identified 900,000 people who have voted in a presidential election but tend to skip off-year elections. Each of those voters were contacted three times, Durbin said.
Durbin said on Saturday alone, Democrats knocked on 142,000 doors statewide. […]
More than 430,000 people have turned out to vote early in Illinois, breaking a record set in 2010. Both Republicans and Democrats claimed the news was good for their side.
“We feel great. We (knocked on) 90,000 doors yesterday,” which is more doors than in 2010, Rauner campaign manager Chip Englander said. “We have the largest grassroots force that has ever been in Illinois. We have over 10,000 volunteers in every corner of the state. I think it’s been unmatched by anyone, ever.”
Yes, the Democratic program is much bigger than the GOP program, but that’s because the GOP program is brand new. It’s something they didn’t have in 2010.
…Adding… These are not Democratic bastions, to say the least…
In suburban Cook County, more than 169,000 voters have cast early ballots, Cook County Clerk David Orr said.
The busiest early-voting sites in suburban Cook County were Orland Township, with 8,222 voters, followed by Arlington Heights (7,740 voters) and Northbrook (6,289).
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TrackBill – An Introduction
Monday, Nov 3, 2014 - Posted by Advertising Department
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*** UPDATED x1 *** Unclear on the concepts
Monday, Nov 3, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* This Chicago Sun-Times editorial made me chuckle today…
Should the state Constitution be amended to tax the incomes of millionaires an extra 3 percent, money that would go to schools? We urge a strong Yes vote on the concept embedded in this question, even if you disagree with the particulars. Illinois should move to a progressive or graduated income tax system, one that imposes higher rates on higher earners and is based on the ability to pay.
This is the same newspaper which endorsed Bruce Rauner, who is flatly against a progressive tax, including a millionaire’s surcharge.
* Meanwhile, from a Tribune editorial…
That bogus budget has Illinois spending nearly $36 billion this fiscal year, with $8 billion of that coming from the income tax increase. The Jan. 1 partial rollback will shave second-half revenues by about $2 billion. What to do?
Recall that the taxers of 2011 have continued to raise spending. The threat of an aggressive cost-cutter being elected governor explains why so many vested interests fear one outcome in the race: As we’ve noted, different candidates have different ideas about what Springfield “needs” or “must have” or “can’t possibly cut.”
With Illinois in an emergency, its credit rating dismal and its economy moribund, we’d take hard looks at capital spending (read: politicians’ pork projects) from general funds, the eligibility of Medicaid recipients, the salary structure of state government and all the multimillion-dollar line items that Springfield’s apologists dismiss as too insignificant to deliver big savings. When you only have to cut $2 billion, every million helps. (Mr. Madigan, about that $35 million for a school in your district ….)
Illinois collects $18 billion a year in income taxes and $8 billion in sales taxes. That gouges working-class and middle-class families more on how much they work than on what they consume. We would expand Rauner’s proposed broadening of the sales tax to include virtually all consumer services, which account for two-thirds of Americans’ consumption. Done right, broadening the sales tax base while letting Quinn’s income tax surcharge die could let the sales tax rate drop.
* Look, cutting $2 billion worth of programs in the second half of a budget year is like cutting $4 billion for the full year. That’s painful, no matter how you look at it. And the longer you wait to do it (the budget address isn’t until late February) the harder it becomes.
Sure, you can do some things, like no new capital projects (but you still gotta pay off the bonds from the rest of the projects), you can move money around with interfund transfers, slice here and dice there, put off paying bills, etc. and limp through the rest of the fiscal year. You could ask AFSCME to reopen the contract, but good luck with that, so there will be no real savings until the following fiscal year or unless the GA goes along with any schemes to bust the union.
And the following fiscal year is where the real pain comes - particularly if too many cans are kicked down the budgetary highway - and that’s why Rauner is now saying he’ll gradually step down the tax hike instead of eliminating it immediately.
* And, yes, spending has gone up in the past four years mainly because the state is finally making its pension payments and the GA and the governor refused to cut education funding. And despite some big cuts to Medicaid, growth is still high.
Also, implementing a brand new service tax right away just can’t happen. Most of these businesses have never, ever paid sales taxes. Getting that program up and running just can’t be done overnight. You can hike income taxes and implement it right away (even do it retroactively) because the system is already in place. But it’ll take time for barbers, laundromats, lawyers and everyone else to get up to speed on a totally new tax (not to mention the time it’ll take to pass a tax like that).
And a service tax will only replace about a quarter or so of that $8 billion in revenues lost when the income tax hike goes away.
* The Tribune is also conveniently forgetting that Rauner wants to massively increase education and higher education funding and has promised spending increases for IDNR, DCFS, IDOC and lots of other stuff, including a huge new capital plan. That will necessitate even more cuts elsewhere or more revenues.
Getting back to the Sun-Times editorial for a moment…
Raise minimum wage to $10 an hour by Jan. 1
As noted in our recent endorsement of a $13 minimum wage for Chicago, it’s past time to raise the minimum wage. Both Chicago and the state need a higher wage, if only to make up for an stagnant low wage that hasn’t kept pace with inflation. We urge a Yes vote to send a strong message to state legislators to get cracking.
That’s diametrically opposed to an editorial the Sun-Times published just last year...
Right now, Illinois’ minimum wage of $8.25 already is $1 higher than Kentucky, Indiana, Iowa and Wisconsin and 90 cents higher than Missouri. In fact, Illinois’ minimum is the fourth-highest in the nation. Raising it any further would put the state at too much of a disadvantage in the competition for jobs.[…]
Any hike in the hourly minimum wage should be done nationally
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Not a bad idea at all
Monday, Nov 3, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* From the good ideas that are probably going nowhere department…
As you’re aware, the governor has crisscrossed the state during the closing weeks of the election doling out pork barrel projects, ranging from roads to new buildings for universities.
It’s a time-worn campaign tactic that shows off the power of incumbency.
One state lawmaker wants to put it to an end.
Under legislation introduced Tuesday by state Rep. Anthony DeLuca, D-Chicago Heights, no executive branch constitutional officer or member of the General Assembly would be allowed to make public announcements of any state grant or state-funded project of any kind within 60 days before a general election.
It’s weird that Rauner didn’t really use the quotes from a state employee who acknowledged he was hoping to announce projects before election day. Quinn handed out tons of pork after that quote, but Rauner sent out only a couple of early press releases and never followed up after Friday’s big spending binge by Quinn.
DeLuca’s bill, by the way, is here.
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A picture is worth a thousand, um, mailers…
Monday, Nov 3, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* A reader sent along a photo of all the direct mail he’s received this fall. His explanation…
I live in Carol Stream, in the 46th district. Probably 75% of this is Deb Conroy/Heidi Holan back and forth.
The pic…
* And, while we’re at it, this was sent by Republican House candidate Leslie Munger’s campaign manager…
Rich,
Here’s a picture for your files. Taken yesterday in Grayslake, Illinois, Route 120 (see attached).
We couldn’t figure out why all of Bob Dold’s large yard signs sit perpendicular to the road and Brad Schneider’s signs face parallel. It turns out they had a printing error and all of Schneider’s large signs are printed upside-down on the back.
The pic…
Oops.
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Personal PAC responds to Diana Rauner
Monday, Nov 3, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* If you were hanging out at the blog this weekend or are trying to catch up on all the posts today, you know that Bruce Rauner’s wife Diana launched a diatribe against Terry Cosgrove and Personal PAC for supporting Gov. Quinn instead of her husband. Planned Parenthood responded and now Personal PAC’s chair has also responded…
Dear Friend of Choice and Personal PAC:
Some of you may have received an email or letter from Diana Rauner on Friday taking issue with Personal PAC’s endorsement of and efforts to re-elect Pat Quinn, the most pro-choice, pro-family and pro-woman Governor in the entire country. With so much at stake on Tuesday, I felt compelled to write to all of you one final time to set the record straight.
Personal PAC is a single issue, non-partisan political action committee, and we have endorsed and worked hard to elect countless pro-choice Republican and Democratic candidates over the past 25 years. In that time, we have learned that just like a woman can’t be a little, somewhat or mostly pregnant, a candidate can’t be a little, somewhat or mostly pro-choice. You either believe and support, in word and deed, reproductive rights for all women, or you don’t and Bruce Rauner does not, by his own admissions and his own actions.
In this campaign, Personal PAC has focused on the facts—what have the candidates said, what have they done, and how have they spent their money. We have put those facts into the public record through emails, direct mail, newspaper, television and radio. The Rauners have had every opportunity to refute those facts, but they have not done so publicly. Here are a few examples:
* Bruce Rauner personally selected a Lt. Governor running mate from the far right-wing of the Republican party who opposes legal abortion. 25% of all Lt. Governors in the U.S. become Governor. Pat Quinn is our very own example of this fact.
* Bruce Rauner has given millions of dollars to right-wing anti-abortion organizations and candidates, including Tea Party candidates, who not only work to make abortion illegal, but are now denying women access to birth control. His money has done immeasurable damage to women all over the country.
* Bruce Rauner recently met with a group of anti-abortion activists and told them “I believe life begins at conception.” So-called Human Life Amendments putting “life begins at conception” into law would outlaw all abortion and most forms of birth control.
There is more, but I think you get the picture. These are not the deeds or words of a pro-choice candidate.
We applaud Diana Rauner for her pro-choice views. But she is not on the ballot, Bruce is. History has shown that even with pro-choice spouses like Laura and Barbara Bush, both Bush presidencies did not result in any progress for reproductive rights.
I also have to address the baseless personal attacks on Terry Cosgrove, Personal PAC’s President and CEO and my friend. It is not an overstatement to say that Terry has given his life to defending reproductive rights for the women in our state. Before coming to Personal PAC, Terry was an activist and leader in many human rights issues, including helping to write and pass two of the earliest Human Rights Ordinances in the country, serving as Chair of the Urbana Human Rights Commission in the late 1970s, serving as chair of Illinois Men for the ERA, raising money for women athletes to successfully file a lawsuit against the University of Illinois for violating Title IX, and filing the first successful legal action in the country challenging discrimination in public accommodations based on sexual orientation. He continues his work year after year, despite receiving death threats and having his nose and collar bone broken by bigots. Terry’s appointment to the Illinois Human Rights Commission in 2011 was based on these unmatched credentials. For Diana Rauner to question Terry’s commitment and integrity is outrageous.
Governor Quinn knows that sound economic policies begin with sound reproductive health policies. I hope you and everyone you know will stand passionately with the women of Illinois and proudly cast your vote for Pat Quinn.
Thank you very much for your attention to this important matter. Feel free to forward this on and remind your family and friends to vote on Tuesday!!
Sincerely,
Melissa Widen, Chair
Personal PAC Board of Directors
* Related…
* Social issues catch up to Rauner, the man with no social agenda< /blockquote>
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* Former Gov. Jim Edgar will campaign with Bruce Rauner today in Bloomington, Springfield, Moline, Rockford and Lincolnshire. The Quinn campaign is attempting to tamp down some of Edgar’s impact…
Top 4 Jim Edgar Quotes on Out-of-Touch Billionaire Bruce Rauner
Quinn for Illinois Responds
CHICAGO - As former Republican Gov. Jim Edgar joins Bruce Rauner on the campaign trail today, the people of Illinois were reminded of how Edgar really views out-of-touch billionaire Bruce Rauner’s candidacy.
This spring, Edgar correctly criticized Rauner’s campaign as divisive and one that was designed to appeal only to top-tiered income getters. Here’s our top 4 favorite quotes from Edgar about Rauner
1. “Governor to a bunch of rich Republicans”
Edgar stated: “If you’re governor for the state of Illinois, you’re governor for everybody. You just can’t be governor to a bunch of rich Republicans,” and time has borne these warnings out.
Confirming Edgar’s concerns, Rauner’s campaign platform has included lowering the minimum wage, giving impassioned defenses of outsourcing American jobs and a very unfair tax plan that would blow a hole in the budget, slashing education for working families while increasing the burden onto the backs of the middle class to give the wealthy tax breaks.
2. “We cannot afford a governor who has to learn on the job”
Edgar also questioned Rauner’s experience to be governor - experience that later was revealed to include outsourcing jobs overseas, laying-off workers and irresponsibly slashing care at hi nursing homes. Edgar said: “We cannot afford a governor who has to learn on the job.”
3. Rauner will “divide the state”
Edgar cautioned against Rauner’s hostility toward workers by noting Illinois can’t afford a leader that will “divide the state.”
4. One Reason Rauner is a Contender in Governor’s Race: “Money”
Edgar also noted - in a single word - the single reason Rauner was in this race to begin with: “Money.”
Below is the response of Quinn for Illinois Deputy Press Secretary Izabela Milkto:
“Governor Edgar had it right when he made clear that billionaire Bruce Rauner would be a candidate who would put the interests of the wealthy like him over the interests of the rest of Illinois.
“Mr. Rauner proposes lowering the minimum wage, defends shipping jobs overseas and has put forth a tax plan that gives himself a $1 million tax break while transferring the burden onto the backs of working Illinois families.
“As Governor Edgar made clear earlier this year, Rauner can’t be trusted to look out for working families. We wholeheartedly agree.”
And they have a video…
You can bet that the Edgar appearance will be a net plus for Rauner, despite Quinn’s attempts to make it a negative.
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Polling, schmolling
Monday, Nov 3, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Sun-Times…
A new poll conducted just days before Tuesday’s election shows the race between Gov. Pat Quinn and Republican challenger Bruce Rauner is “too close to call.”
The poll, released by Public Policy Polling, shows Quinn getting 47 percent support, while Rauner comes in at 45 percent. Libertarian candidate Chad Grimm is polling at 3 percent, while 5 percent say they’re undecided. The poll, conducted Saturday and Sunday among 1,064, has a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.
* From PPP…
Pat Quinn is one of the most unpopular Governors in the country. Only 31% of voters approve of the job he’s doing to 54% who disapprove. But he’s still clinging to a slight lead for reelection over Republican challenger Bruce Rauner, 47/45. Only 58% of Democrats approve of the job Quinn is doing, but 83% are nevertheless voting for him. Rauner is under water on his favorability but still in much better standing than Quinn, at 39/42. This is a race where the Libertarian candidate could play spoiler for GOP hopes. Chad Grimm is only polling at 3%, but those voting for him say they would pick Rauner over Quinn 54/14. In a head to head without him Quinn and Rauner would be tied at 48.
PPP surveyed 1,064 likely voters in Illinois
* But check this out…
* OK, now look at the difference in results between phones and Internet…

Iffy, to say the least.
* And here’s one that the Rauner campaign is shopping…
* They have Rauner leading…
But what about that methodology?…
That means, of course, that new voters aren’t contacted.
Ogden & Fry is owned by Tom Swiss, the Chicago Republican who attempted to fly under the radar a couple of years ago in the Democratic primary and lost. His company is mainly about robocalls and the like, although he did come pretty close on the Chicago mayor’s race a few years ago.
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Good morning!
Monday, Nov 3, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* I saw AC/DC open for Aerosmith in 1978. I’d never heard of them before, but they totally blew Aerosmith off the stage.”Frenetic” is a word that comes to mind. I had to know more. Who were these guys?
And when Bon Scott died a couple of years later, a bunch of us got together and lowered our high school’s flag to half mast…
And you could hear the fingers pickin’
And this is what they had to say:
Let there be light
Sound
Drums
Guitar
Let there be rock
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The home stretch
Sunday, Nov 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* The Quinn campaign sure has a lot of closing ads up right now…
* Governor Pat Quinn TV Ad - “Hoops” (in heavy rotation)
* Quinn for Illinois TV Ad - Bruce Rauner “No” (15 seconds)
* Governor Pat Quinn TV Ad - “Gloria” (Español)
* Governor Pat Quinn TV Ad - “Lots of Jobs”
They’re all over the map.
* Meanwhile, Tribune…
Republican governor candidate Bruce Rauner on Saturday sought to tap into long-simmering regional rivalries as he urged Downstate supporters to “block that Chicago political machine” by voting for him over Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn, who in turn looked to first lady Michelle Obama for help in the final weekend of the campaign.
Launching a three-day statewide tour in Quincy, Rauner sought to reinforce a campaign theme that Illinois has had enough of Quinn and three other Chicago Democrats: his imprisoned predecessor Rod Blagojevich, House Speaker Michael Madigan and Senate President John Cullerton.
“Those four guys are the Chicago political machine,” said Rauner, who was joined by wife Diana and running mate Evelyn Sanguinetti. “They’ve controlled our state government for decades and decades … and they’ve driven our state into the ground.”
Rauner made no mention of Mayor Rahm Emanuel, a personal friend who nonetheless endorsed Quinn, though the governor has so far refused to return the favor.
* Daily Herald…
Quinn stopped Saturday evening in Waukegan, more than 100 miles from where he started the day with a rally with Michelle Obama in Moline, on the far western border of the state.
Just last week, Quinn dispatched a top state school official to Waukegan Unit District 60, where a teachers strike had worn on for nearly a month, and a tentative agreement was reached that day.
“I think the governor is well-respected in Waukegan right now,” said state Sen. Terry Link, a Waukegan Democrat.
Rauner will come to north suburban Lincolnshire Monday for his final rally before Election Day. He’ll be joined by U.S. Sen. Mark Kirk, suburban Republicans running for Congress and former Gov. Jim Edgar.
* Tribune…
On the final weekend before Election Day, U.S. Senate candidate Jim Oberweis met with friends Saturday at a “soft opening” of a new Oberweis Ice Cream and Dairy store in Bolingbrook, one of many stops on his campaign schedule. […]
Durbin, 69, appeared with first lady Michelle Obama at a get-out-the-vote rally in Moline, in western Illinois. The rally drew Gov. Pat Quinn, U.S. Rep. Cheri Bustos and other Democrats on the ballot Tuesday. […]
Oberweis launched his day with two stops in Wheaton: an American Legion pancake breakfast at the Cantigny Park Visitor Center and the French Market, an outdoor venue where bakery goods, fruits and vegetables, French tea towels and other trinkets are sold.
* Other stuff…
* Schilling Releases Final Ad: “Why I’m Running”
* Rauner campaigns downstate while volunteers phone bank
* Early voting ends Sunday for election
* Advocates push voting ahead of Election Day
* Schock wins in race to raise money
* Several issues await Quinn-Rauner winner
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Today’s number: 0
Sunday, Nov 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Back in 2010, Gov. Quinn was so desperate for campaign cash that he borrowed $100,000 from his mom. He also borrowed hundreds of thousands of dollars from people like Emil Jones and Ed Burke.
This year, he hasn’t borrowed a dime. The cash has been flooding in. Yes, he’s being outspent by Bruce Rauner, but at least he hasn’t needed to ask his mother for a loan.
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Run away! Run away!
Sunday, Nov 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* Rep. Frank Mautino (D-Spring Valley) has had an unexpectedly tough campaign this year. So that may explain his refusal to answer a question posed by the Ottawa Times…
Would you work for or against the reelection of Mike Madigan as Speaker of the House?
Mautino: If the speaker is re-elected in his district and the Democrats maintain the majority in the House he will most likely be re-elected. I will work with whoever is speaker and governor to ensure that the people of La Salle, Bureau, Putnam and Livingston counties receive the necessary funds, services and relief in times of need in order to keep the Illinois Valley moving forward.
Frank is a Deputy Majority Leader, for crying out loud.
* His opponent’s answer…
: Speaker Madigan has a low approval rating of 23 percent for a reason. The people of Illinois do not respect him and want him removed from office. I would, indeed, try to convince my Democrat counterparts to vote for someone else.
Illinois lacks a balance of power and has for many years. This is why Illinois is in deep trouble. If Speaker Madigan wants anything, he tells his budget point man (my opponent) to write it into the budget and the super majority passes it. In this last budget, my opponent approved spending nearly $3 billion more than the expected Illinois revenues. Yet, this irresponsible budget passed without a single favorable Republican vote. This lack of fiscal accountability proves that Speaker Madigan and my opponent should not be re‑elected.
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* From Paul Fichtner…
Rich, never wrote you before. I am an incumbent candidate for DuPage County Board. Imagine my surprise when driving through my district all my 4×4 signs were down. All of my signs and the dem’s signs too. Both parties, but since the Dems had so very few signs up to begin with (1 out of 5 I would say) we were clearly hurt more. The message was clear. We must be doing well. Winger, me, Cronin.
I got a tip they were all at the IDOT HQ in Oak Brook. I drove out there, gate was open saw what you see in the picture I took, took my signs back and put them up again.
IDOT crew was confronted as they were taking some signs in Addison township. Signs that were clearly on private property. In fact ALL signs of our candidates had permission from property owners. Didn’t matter. They said they had orders from Cook County (IDOT HQ I presume). 2 more days!
The signs…
I’ve reached out to IDOT for comment. I’ll let you know what they say.
*** UPDATE *** From IDOT…
The signs were removed following complaints that they were interfering with motorist visibility. They were found to be in the public way and in violation of IDOT motorist safety policies. They were moved to the local IDOT yard where they will be available for pickup for 30 days.
[ *** End Of Update *** ]
* From a reader…
Greetings,
We received a Robocall from Fred Crespo (D-Hoffman Estates) last night claiming that a mailer that made offensive racist assertions (and supposedly from the Crespo campaign) had been sent to his constituents by an “unknown party.”
The call didn’t mention his opponent’s name and stated that the state AG and election board would look into it.
We hadn’t noticed any such mailer (but that stuff hits the bin on sight, from both parties). Have you heard of this? Is there such a mailer out there?
We’re satisfied with Crespo’s representation, but would like to know if this is a dirty trick, or damage control.
Thanks!
[Name redacted]
Hoffman Estates
The House Democrats say the mailer, which is here, was obviously made to look like a Crespo piece, but most definitely wasn’t theirs. They’ve traced the bulk permit to a Glendale Heights printer/mail house.
* From a reader…
Interesting piece of mail today. Doesn’t say who paid for it, had my wrong polling place, and says I can change my voter registration at my polling place on Election Day, which I don’t think is accurate?
He’s correct, that’s not accurate. But I talked to someone else today whose wife received the same mailer. Her polling place was accurate.
It’s one of those “voter shaming” mailers we’ve talked about. But the shamers need to get a better polling place list and learn Illinois law…


* From a Republican reader…
Rich, in the Yingling-Drobinski race, it looks like the Realtors (of which Sam is one) are falsely sending out mailers identifying Yingling as a Republican. I have to believe this is on purpose and it’s consistent with many stories of Sam self-identifying as a Republican at people’s doorsteps when he feels it is advantageous, not only this cycle but the last one too. I am trying to get the other side of the mailer for you but I wanted to give you the heads up.
We expect the candidates to lie but a group like the Realtors is a little different.
It’s either a shenanigan or a big goof…
[If you’re having trouble seeing that mailer, click here.]
* And a Democratic reader sent this mailer along…

His note…
Dude the Rauner people need to get the targeting right.
1. Pat Quinn is happy because I voted…for him. Voted the first day of early vote.
2. I am an elected Democratic PC, scrub your lists man.
3. HRO and DPI both stopped mailing after I early voted. Apparently Rauner didn’t pull the record.
…Adding… Tribune…
Earlier, Quinn announced the state would spend $2 million to help build a new homeless shelter in Humboldt Park and another $2 million for a health center in Garfield Park.
Quinn doled out money following a weeklong blitz of jobs announcements, including those from several businesses that received state tax breaks or incentives to grow or relocate in Illinois. The good news tour sparked criticism from Rauner, who said the governor was using his government office to help boost his political campaign, attacks Quinn shrugged off.
* Other stuff…
* Bernard Schoenburg: Bell accuses Scherer of ‘illegally’ taking tax break while he got same exemption
* Little Pavel Gets a Letter - Join us, as our young campaign volunteer learns about voter intimidation
* Former Bustos staffer caught making racist remarks blames others
* Carol Marin: Campaign hits, runs and errors
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Sunday caption contest!
Sunday, Nov 2, 2014 - Posted by Rich Miller
* My traditional pre-election party was last night. Staff, consultants and other players from both sides of the aisle gather together the Saturday before an election. No other media and no candidates are allowed. We’ve never once had a fight, or even much of an argument (although there was one hookup years ago). Hacks understand each other, which is why the party always runs smoothly. Thanks to everyone who showed up.
These two guys were at the party last night and got along famously. If it wasn’t for the gathering, I doubt they’d ever run into each other. But they’re both at the center of one of the weirdest aspects of this super-weird campaign. As you know, Local 150 of the Operating Engineers Union is attacking Bruce Rauner Downstate for being pro-choice as part of its “support” for the Libertarian Party candidate, while Personal PAC is attacking Rauner in Chicagoland for not being pro-choice enough.
* I give you Marc Poulos of Local 150 and Terry Cosgrove of Personal PAC…
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* Yesterday, you will recall we talked about Diana Rauner’s e-mail to her supporters…
From: Diana Rauner
Sent: Friday, October 31, 2014 4:04 PM
Subject: Bruce Rauner is pro-choice!
Hi friends, so sorry to flood your inbox, but you know how committed I am to reproductive rights; and I can’t stand to sit by while Personal PAC unleashes yet another round of attacks against Bruce. Here are the facts:
Bruce has been one of the largest supporters of the ACLU Reproductive Rights Project for over 20 years. He has been a major supporter of Planned Parenthood both locally and nationally for a similar time, such that Cecile Richards told her local staff in Illinois earlier this year, “if I hear anything negative about Bruce Rauner my head will explode.”
* Cecile Richards is the president of Planned Parenthood. So, I reached out to her yesterday and her spokesman sent me this in reply…
Planned Parenthood Action Fund Statement Supporting IL Gov. Pat Quinn’s Re-Election
WASHINGTON, DC — Planned Parenthood Action Fund and Planned Parenthood Illinois Action today said the groups are working hard to re-elect Governor Pat Quinn because he is a longtime, steadfast champion for women’s health and rights. Following is a statement issued today from Cecile Richards, President of Planned Parenthood Action Fund:
“Governor Pat Quinn is a longtime a champion for women’s health and rights. He has fought for access to birth control, sex education in our schools, Planned Parenthood’s ability to provide services across Illinois, and access to safe and legal abortion. That’s why Planned Parenthood Illinois Action endorsed him, and it’s why I’m proud to stand with Governor Quinn. Women in Illinois need Pat Quinn in the statehouse, and we are working hard to re-elect him.”
Notice, however, that there is no attack on Rauner in this statement.
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