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Pot protest planned for Thursday

Monday, Dec 14, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Media advisory…

BLACK CANNABIS INCLUSION ACTIVIST PROTEST GOVERNOR
Thursday Dec. 17TH 10AM
GOVERNOR’S OFFICE
100 West Randolph

A group of mostly Black and Latino activists upset over the Pritzker administration’s decision to allow the participants in the rigged Lottery to keep their multiple chances to win a dispensary license will protest Thursday and demand equal opportunity.

Allowing minorities in the lottery is not enough if the Governor Allows the insider groups with their suspicious “Perfect” scores to keep as many as 78 chances to win the lucrative licenses. It is obvious that the companies connected with the politicians and Major cannabis companies will easily win with those odds.

We are asking the Governor to keep his word and fix things now instead of kicking Black applicants down the road during harsh economic times. The Trailer Bill should be retroactive and limit the insiders to 10 chances, end the Slave Master clause (promise to hire) and treat all citizens fairly. For more info contact former State Senator Rickey Hendon

  10 Comments      


*** UPDATED x3 - Durkin returns fire - Madigan swings back *** And that’s all she wrote for the Madigan investigative committee

Monday, Dec 14, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* No Madigan subpoena, no Madigan charges. Adjourned…


As one on-scene reporter noted to me, the House Republicans started this process by using Madigan’s rules against Madigan and the HDems ended it by using Madigan’s rules against the HGOPs.

I’m assuming we’ll see some press releases.

[Also, typos are inevitable and unfixable on Twitter, so give the guy a break.]

*** UPDATE 1 *** Press release…

State Representative Deanne Mazzochi (R-Elmhurst) released the following statement after the House Special Investigating Committee’s unexpected final hearing:

“One can only assume that my colleagues on the committee vigorously workout, because the hoops that Chairman Welch and his fellow Democrats are jumping through to justify the information in the emails we received from ComEd and the admitted federal deferred prosecution agreement are impressive. Actually beyond impressive and bordering on “hard to believe”.

If you’ve read these emails, the conduct of the Chairman defies belief. Today he once again spent valuable committee time prescribing all of the reasons why a subpoena to acquire witness testimony might not work. He’s apparently creating a justification for not doing anything. So the leader of this House ethics investigation is saying that an investigation is too hard and therefore we shouldn’t do it. Allow that notion to search for logic in your brain; too hard equals, we can’t and shouldn’t.

If, as my colleague Rep. Manley claims, there is nothing untoward about the Speaker’s conduct in his relationship with ComEd, then why won’t he assist the committee in clearing his name? In fact, why wouldn’t he insist on it. Why wouldn’t his allies on the committee who see no untoward behavior want his name fully cleared? An investigative committee is charged with doing all it can to get information relevant to its duty, not shying away from it. It takes neither a lawyer or a soothsayer to connect the dots as to why that isn’t the case with this committee.

This is why people continue to lose faith in the integrity of Illinois government. I don’t blame them for their frustration and their disillusionment. I’m feeling the same way.”

* Another…

Illinois House Republican Leader Jim Durkin released the following statement on the abrupt conclusion of the Special Investigating Committee:

“The Democratic Party shows again today there is no limit to the lengths they will go to protect Speaker Madigan. Chairman Welch, Rep. Hernandez and Rep. Manley have turned the rule of law on its head by refusing to investigate the charges and demand the testimony of Speaker Madigan in this scandal. I call on Governor Pritzker to finally demand Speaker Madigan resign as it is clear he refuses to answer any questions about his corrupt practices.”

*** UPDATE 2 *** Press release…

Statement from Speaker Madigan on the conclusion of the Special Investigating Committee:

“Jim Durkin insisted on initiating this political theater, and through this process we’ve come to learn that he was involved in the very conduct he claims to be so offended by – recommending people for various jobs. If Jim Durkin actually believes it is conduct unbecoming of a legislator to recommend people for jobs or help constituents, he might want to review his own hypocritical behavior. Rather than finger pointing, I suggest we focus on the important work that lies ahead of us.”

*** UPDATE 3 *** Press release…

Statement from Eleni Demertzis in response to Madigan:

Public Official A should know this was not about job recommendations. It was about a nine year bribery scheme to bribe and influence Himself and no one else. To date, there have been five indictments and all of these charges lead back to one person, Public Official A.

  36 Comments      


COVID-19 roundup

Monday, Dec 14, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

Today, the State of Illinois has received the first shipment of the Pfizer coronavirus vaccine at the Illinois Strategic National Stockpile (SNS). The state received approximately 43,000 doses in the first shipment and expects additional shipments in the coming weeks. The vast majority of doses in this shipment will be delivered from the SNS to Regional Hospital Coordination Centers around the state that will serve as pick up locations for local health departments to begin distribution to healthcare workers in their jurisdictions, with the remaining portion going directly to predetermined local health department(s).

Chicago received a direct shipment from the federal government today as well. Four additional local health departments around the state will also receive direct shipments from the federal government later this week: Cook County Department of Public Health, Lake County Health Department and Community Health Center, Madison County Health Department, and St. Clair County Health Department. These direct shipments account for the state’s initial expected allocation of 100,000 doses.

“Today marks a momentous occasion – not just this year, but in American history. Eleven months after scientists the world over first got their hands on the genetic sequence of this virus – and we are seeing the beginning of the end of this pandemic,” said Governor JB Pritzker. “I want to offer my gratitude not only to the researchers who fueled this moment, but also to all the truck drivers, pilots, logistics specialists, warehouse operations managers, and law enforcement officers who have spent the last few days and weeks deploying the largest national mission in a generation. May we all take a moment to feel hope today.”

Due to heightened security protocols for the distribution of the vaccine, the state has provided B-roll video

* B-roll

* Peoria Public Radio

The Tazewell County State’s Attorney [Stewart Umholtz] said Gov. JB Pritzker’s threat to take action against businesses violating his COVID-19 executive orders raises “serious concerns.” […]

Umholtz believes coercive actions aren’t necessarily helpful. He said he prefers a good neighbor policy over government intrusion.

However, Umholtz said his office has discussed Tazewell County’s potential liabilities for violating Pritzker’s directive with local leaders. He adds the county “may chose to limit its exposure” – when considering Restore Illinois enforcement. […]

Tazewell County Sheriff Jeff Lower questions the lawfulness of the governor’s executive orders, and said he won’t enforce them.

* WBEZ

COVID-19 deaths among Illinois nursing home residents are surging and near their highest level but, as the pandemic wears on, those cases are making up a smaller fraction of the state’s total coronavirus death count.

Over the past five weeks, nursing home residents have accounted for 42.8% of the total fatalities, according to a WBEZ analysis of state Department of Public Health data. That’s down from 66.4% during a five-week period ending June 19.

“I think that does suggest that nursing homes are doing something right,” said Ronald Hershow, who directs epidemiology and biostatistics in the University of Illinois at Chicago’s School of Public Health. “They have improved their approach to this health issue over time.”

* Great idea in Indiana

Carmel began testing wastewater for the virus that causes COVID-19 in May, hoping to build a reliable early warning system ahead of any spikes in cases.

Wastewater is one of the places where the COVID-19 virus exists, because traces of SARS-Cov2 have been found in human waste. Testing wastewater can be a strong indicator of how many people within a community have the virus that causes COVID-19, regardless of whether they have symptoms or have been tested.

“It doesn’t tell us how many people have COVID,” said Mayor Jim Brainard. “What it does it tell us the amount of the virus that’s in our waste stream doubled or cut or went up by 10% or went down by 10%.”

* Interesting development

A blood test has been developed that can predict whether Covid patients will need intensive care – or are even likely to survive – shortly after they develop symptoms.

If validated in real-life hospital settings, the test could enable doctors to direct life-saving treatment to the most needy patients sooner, boosting their chances of survival. It could also bolster doctors’ confidence in the face of difficult decisions, such as whether to offer palliative care or an ICU bed when hospitals are close to capacity.

* Chicago Tribune live blog headlines

Pandemic necessitates new procedures, but calls are down in 2020 for south suburban paramedics

Health care workers begin receiving COVID-19 vaccine as largest vaccination campaign in US history now underway: ‘I feel hopeful today’

Zoom scavenger hunts, Champagne deliveries: With office parties canceled, Chicago companies get creative

Cook County to detail plans for vaccine distribution as doses to begin arriving in Illinois

Violent crime rate doubles on CTA rail system in 2020, even with stepped-up police efforts and far fewer riders

* Sun-Times live blog headlines

Activists want Pritzker, Lightfoot to fix ‘big mistakes’ in vaccine distribution plans

COVID-19 vaccine shipments begin in historic U.S. effort

Tree sales soar ahead of coronavirus Christmas: ‘We didn’t really see it coming’

127 more Illinois coronavirus deaths Saturday as state prepares to receive first vaccine doses

COVID-19 vaccine shipments set to arrive in states on Monday

I volunteered for COVID-19 vaccine trials. We need public education to build trust in the vaccine.

* NBC Chicago live blog headlines

Chicago-Area Hospitals Prepare for First Shipments of Coronavirus Vaccine

Here’s What We Know About the COVID-19 Vaccine So Far

Small Business COVID-19 Relief Grant Application Deadline Looms

Positivity Rates Fall Across State Healthcare Regions, Increase Only in Chicago

Illinois Reports 7,216 New Coronavirus Cases, 115 Additional Deaths Sunday

  37 Comments      


Question of the day: Golden Horseshoe Awards

Monday, Dec 14, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The 2020 Golden Horseshoe Award for Best House Democratic Campaign Staffer goes to Tiffany Moy

Tiffany Moy is superb. Extraordinary. Impeccable. Awesome.

She is the consummate professional— always prepared, calm, smart, savvy. She is the total package.

It can’t have been easy for her to navigate between the Speakers folks and Terra Costa Howard‘s campaign, but she managed with almost unimaginable grace. She remained good-humoured during some really difficult days, she was unflappable in the face of staff drama, and she rejoiced at the victory, without betraying a hint of the challenges she faced inside DPI.

Runner-up is Jon Maxson.

* The 2020 Golden Horseshoe Award for Best Senate Democratic Campaign Staffer goes to Nick Gianinni

(T)ook a progressive Latina and got her a win in Kane, Kendall and DuPage county. Not an easy task.

Runner-up is Keenan Irish.

Congratulations to all!

* On to today’s categories…

Best House Republican Campaign Staffer

Best Senate Republican Campaign Staffer

As always, do your best to nominate in both categories and make sure to explain your votes or they will not count. Thanks.

  32 Comments      


7,214 new confirmed and probable cases; 103 additional deaths; 4,951 hospitalized; 1,070 in ICU; 8.7 percent case positivity rate; 10.3 percent test positivity rate

Monday, Dec 14, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The downward curve continues ever so slightly. Press release…

The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today reported 7,214 new confirmed and probable cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including 103 additional deaths.

    Boone County: 1 male 80s
    Cook County: 1 male 20s, 1 female 40s, 2 males 40s, 3 females 50s, 3 males 50s, 11 females 60s, 14 males 60s, 9 females 70s, 7 males 70s, 5 females 80s, 12 males 80s, 11 females 90s, 9 males 90s
    Fayette County: 1 female 80s
    Jackson County: 1 male 60s
    Kane County: 1 female 80s, 1 female 90s
    Lake County: 1 male 50s, 1 female 70s, 1 male 80s
    LaSalle County: 1 female 80s
    Mason County: 1 male 60s
    McHenry County: 1 female 90s
    Monroe County: 1 male 70s
    St. Clair County: 1 male 70s
    Wabash County: 1 female 80s
    Will County: 1 female 70s

Currently, IDPH is reporting a total of 856,118 cases, including 14,394 deaths, in 102 counties in Illinois. The age of cases ranges from younger than one to older than 100 years. Within the past 24 hours, laboratories have reported 92,256 specimens for a total 11,869,088. As of last night, 4,951 in Illinois were reported to be in the hospital with COVID-19. Of those, 1,070 patients were in the ICU and 621 patients with COVID-19 were on ventilators.

The preliminary seven-day statewide positivity for cases as a percent of total test from December 7 – December 13, 2020 is 8.7%. The preliminary seven-day statewide test positivity from December 7 – December 13, 2020 is 10.3%.

*All data are provisional and will change. In order to rapidly report COVID-19 information to the public, data are being reported in real-time. Information is constantly being entered into an electronic system and the number of cases and deaths can change as additional information is gathered. For health questions about COVID-19, call the hotline at 1-800-889-3931 or email dph.sick@illinois.gov.

  23 Comments      


The clock is ticking

Monday, Dec 14, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* As I mentioned the other day, so many of Gov. JB Pritzker’s 2019 accomplishments were complicated solutions that have yet to bear fruit, or, in the case of the graduated income tax, have failed

Nearly a year after the legalization of recreational marijuana in Illinois, the state has failed to meet its promised diversity goals for the businesses licensed to be part of what’s expected to be a billion-dollar industry.

Backers of the law, which took effect last Jan. 1, promised to take steps to bolster minority ownership in response to calls for the racial and ethnic groups most harmed by the federal government’s long war on drugs to be given a greater opportunity to be part of the expected cash cow.

But there’s not a single licensed marijuana business that counts a person of color as a majority owner. Legal weed in Illinois continues to be dominated by a small group of white-owned, financially well-backed corporations. […]

On the day the law took effect in January, state Sen. Heather Steans, D-Chicago, who was chief sponsor of the legislation along with state Rep. Kelly Cassidy, D-Chicago, said: “Moving forward, our top priorities for the cannabis industry are to ensure not only that it operates safely and in a way that generates much needed revenues for our state but that we harness the power of our state act to propel significant economic opportunity for every community and in a way that ensures diversification of the industry.” […]

Now, Cassidy says, “It’s still too soon to measure overall success or failure.

The complicated nature of this law is due in no small part to opponents, who demanded a ton of changes, and to the incumbent industry, which used its lobbying might to its own advantage.

The law is what it is. It was important to get it passed in 2019. But now it’s time to clean it up.

Candidate petitions can be circulated in 10 months. Better birth that baby, governor.

It’s also worth noting that the Illinois Department of Financial and Professional Regulation (which handles cannabis except for growers) and the Illinois Department of Employment Security have both found themselves constantly under fire and both are overseen by Deputy Gov. Dan Hynes. His portfolio also includes the Department of Insurance, which just lost its director.

…Adding… While Hynes does have IDFPR, the governor’s office points out that he doesn’t control cannabis.

* Related…

* Illinois IDES unemployment callback complaints persist, some say they waited months only to be hung up on

  39 Comments      


That “considered as holding continuing offices” statute doesn’t mean what some folks are claiming

Monday, Dec 14, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* A few folks have posted this statute in comments lately and they should stop

Madigan will remain Speaker until a successor is “elected and qualified”.

“(25 ILCS 10/2) (from Ch. 63, par. 23.2)
Sec. 2. The Speaker of the House and the President of the Senate, and the Chairman and members of the Senate Committee on Committees shall be considered as holding continuing offices until their respective successors are elected and qualified.”

* Scroll down to the very next section

Sec. 3. At the convening of the House of Representatives and the Senate of each General Assembly the Secretary of State and the Governor, as required by the Constitution, shall call the House of Representatives and the Senate to order and shall preside until a Speaker and President are chosen and have taken their seats. For the purpose of the organization and operation of the House of Representatives, the rules adopted by and applicable to the regular session of the House of Representatives of the preceding General Assembly, insofar as such rules may be applicable, shall prevail and be the rules governing the House of Representatives of the General Assembly then convened, until such rules are changed or new rules adopted.

Emphasis added.

* Current House rules

1. Election of the Speaker.

(a) At the first meeting of the House of each General Assembly, the Secretary of State shall convene the House at 12:00 noon, designate a Temporary Clerk of the House, and preside during the nomination and election of the Speaker. As the first item of business each day before the election of the Speaker, the Secretary of State shall order the Temporary Clerk to call the roll of the members to establish the presence of a quorum as required by the Constitution. If a majority of those elected are not present, the House shall stand adjourned until the next calendar day, excepting weekends, at the hour prescribed in Rule 29. If a quorum of members elected is present, the Secretary of State shall then call for nominations of members for the Office of Speaker. All nominations require a second. When the nominations are completed, the Secretary of State shall direct the Temporary Clerk to call the roll of the members to elect the Speaker.

(b) The election of the Speaker requires the affirmative vote of a majority of those elected. Debate is not in order following nominations and preceding or during the vote.

(c) No legislative measure may be considered and no committees may be appointed or meet before the election of the Speaker.

* From an attorney I respect…

The power of the Speaker of the Illinois House of Representatives derives from the Constitution and the House Rules. The Constitution requires that the House select a Speaker, with the Secretary of State presiding over the selection. It also gives the House the ability to establish its own rules. As a result, the Rules adopted by the members of the House dictate the process and procedure for electing a Speaker. Additionally, when a new General Assembly convenes, the Rules of the House from the prior session remain in effect until the new General Assembly adopts new rules or modifies the existing ones. Under the House Rules, no legislative measures can be considered and no committees can be appointed until a Speaker is elected. “Legislative measures” is broadly defined to mean anything brought before the House for consideration, including bills, amendments, resolutions, motions, etc. The effect is that once a new General Assembly convenes no business whatsoever can transpire until a Speaker is elected.

The General Assembly Operations Act provides that the Speaker shall hold office until the respective successor is elected and qualified. That provision was enacted, like many holdover statutes, to make sure that there is always someone holding the office for purposes of administrative necessities. Most importantly, that statute has no impact whatsoever on the actual process of selecting a Speaker or what business can occur within the House in the absence of a Speaker. It in no way alters the provision of the Rules that prevents the House from transacting any business. That provision can only be amended by a vote of the members of the House.

* And here’s what Madigan spokesman Steve Brown recently told Mark Maxwell when he looked into this angle

“I have not heard that interpretation,” Madigan’s spokesman Steve Brown said. “History would tell you,” he said. Brown referenced the contentious 1975 election of the Speaker where the selection process was “basically all that happened. I don’t think there was any legislative activity.”

There was no activity.

* But there was a bit of fun…



* Related…

* Mark Brown: House Dems ‘crazy’ for challenging Mike Madigan? There’s precedent in Illinois.

  24 Comments      


LaHood’s flip

Monday, Dec 14, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Congressman Darin LaHood on December 10th during an appearance on WMBD Radio

Q: Congressman LaHood, I’m going to ask you this question about the status of the election of President. Congressman Mike Johnson of Louisiana sent out notes to or, I’m reading this, sent out an email to every House Republican asking this for signatures on an amicus brief in the longshot lawsuit brought by Texas. Did you get that? Did you sign it?

A: I have not. I know that that’s, I’m in DC today, but I know that that’s being shopped around. I haven’t looked at it yet, but I will read it.

Listen, Monday the 14th of December is the day that the electoral college will be certified in the House of Representatives. So, Monday will be the big day on that. Listen, I’ve said all along, if there are facts and evidence that support improprieties, fraud illegalities that happened in the election, we got to look into them. The cornerstone of our democracy is the integrity of our elections. And if that’s there, but I will say this, the facts and evidence as far haven’t supported that. There’s been 30 cases at the federal level that have all been dismissed because of it.

So what I anticipate is, I know there is this Texas case that’s out there that you just referred to, Greg, and that has been submitted to the Supreme Court. Now. We’ll see if the Supreme Court takes it. They’ll make that decision between now and Monday. But that’s kind of the last case out there. And if they decide to take it, well, that’s a whole ‘nother story. But let’s wait and see what happens there. But I think the remedies that the President had have essentially run out legally.

* Later that very same day

I joined over 100 of my Republican colleagues to sign onto an amicus brief to the U.S. Supreme Court in support of the case filed by the Attorney General of Texas. The cornerstone of our democracy is our electoral system, and any irregularities presented should be investigated.

I support President Trump’s right to make his case and I believe that the Supreme Court is the final venue to examine any election irregularities in full.

I reached out to the congressman over the weekend, but have not yet heard back. I’ll let you know if I do.

* Something important to remember about the Texas lawsuit

Although Texas said in a filing that it “does not ask this court to reelect President Trump,” the suit does not ask the court to discount the votes in any state Trump won where state officials and courts had altered voting procedures because of the coronavirus pandemic.

Among those states are Texas itself, where the governor made changes.

* Meanwhile, Illinois’ Electoral College delegates are meeting today and Joe Biden and Kamala Harris have received all 20 votes for president.

  61 Comments      


Today’s must-read

Monday, Dec 14, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Chicago Tribune’s Jamie Munks, Rick Pearson and Dan Petrella have a very well-researched, balanced and fair report on the LaSalle Veterans’ Home deaths

As a young man in the Army Air Forces during World War II, Jerome Liesse flew around the globe, delivering supplies to far-flung U.S. troops, his granddaughter said.

Because of the coronavirus, Liesse, 95 and no longer capable of getting around on his own, spent much of this year confined to his room at a state-run veterans home in LaSalle, a few miles from Starved Rock State Park.

Like other long-term care facilities across the state, the LaSalle Veterans’ Home shut down indoor, in-person visits in an effort to keep the deadly virus outside its walls. Liesse was only able to see Evelan, his wife of more than 40 years, twice during those eight months — once separated by plexiglass — and held her hand just one time, in August after she had a stroke, granddaughter Jill Funfsinn said.

“He was just so scared of getting it,” said Funfsinn, a Chicago nurse who visited him several times.

Go read the whole thing.

  8 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Who will be the next House Speaker?

Monday, Dec 14, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Laura Washington in the Sun-Times

The Black Caucus has the power, right now, to broker its own deal, to install one of their own as speaker.

It’s time we advance our own agenda, on our own terms. We don’t need to do a backroom deal greased by the old white guys.

[Rep. Maurice West, D-Rockford] knows that. Yet he is standing alone, probably under great pressure, and at tremendous political risk.

He knows that we don’t need Mike Madigan to save us.

It’s time to step up and step out of Madigan’s shadow. It’s time to save ourselves.

* Politico

The Illinois House Democratic Women’s Caucus is looking within its ranks to determine the next speaker of the House.

“I very strongly believe a woman needs to be our speaker,” Rep. Deb Conroy, who heads the group, told Playbook. “We have many strong women who are very capable of being the next leader and I want to make sure women are willing to step up depending on the situation we face.”

Members of the women’s caucus have been meeting informally every Friday for weeks to give “moral support” in wake of the pandemic. Lately, their talks have turned to the speakership. Friday’s discussion focused on the Black Caucus getting a promise of seeing another member in leadership for backing Madigan.

Female lawmakers would welcome the same, but they’re also looking beyond that and trying to identify who could pick up the gavel Madigan has held for close to 38 years.

* Meanwhile

Members of the Illinois House Special Investigating Committee looking into House Speaker Michael Madigan’s conduct in the ComEd bribery scheme will push to subpoena the speaker on Monday, the first hearing since a trove of emails were released. […]

State Rep. Tom Demmer said Friday, in advance of Monday’s hearing, that members are tasked with investigating and they have to hear from more witnesses.

“And I think it’s critical that in order to conduct an investigation we hear from more than just one witness, so that’s why we’ve been focused on calling the speaker to come testify himself,” Demmer said.

*** UPDATE *** This would appear to indicate that Rep. Kelly Burke may be taking herself out of the running for the top House job

Wishing to “derail social media rumors,” James Sexton, the mayor of Evergreen Park for 20 years announced his retirement in a letter to constituents. Sexton also endorsed State Rep. Kelly Burke, also a village trustee, for mayor in the April 6, 2021 election.

The mayor’s job pays north of $100K per year.

  72 Comments      


Madigan can’t keep these campaign promises to his members

Monday, Dec 14, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My weekly syndicated newspaper column

Outsiders may not get it, but it makes some sense that the majority of House Democrats still back House Speaker Michael Madigan’s reelection.

He’s been a genius at getting things done for his caucus. He is loyal to his people and has infinitely more institutional memory and can pull more strings and push more buttons than anyone alive.

In his nearly 50 years in office, Madigan has been heavily involved with four legislative remap processes and has been in the House for five of them.

Madigan has played a decisive role in every income tax increase (temporary and permanent) since the tax was established in 1969 — and he was a delegate to the constitutional convention which created it.

He has also negotiated dozens of budgets since he became House Speaker in 1983.

His campaign operation meticulously tracks the number of knocked doors in contested races and every contact made, and he reviews that data each week and calls candidates to provide his feedback. He knows how to win.

And at this moment in history, with redistricting coming up, a huge revenue shortfall, horrific budget problems, a massively destructive pandemic causing rampant suffering and, in less than two years, a midterm election under a Democratic president (with a new map), most of his members are rightly worried sick.

For these and many other reasons, this is exactly the moment when his members would need Madigan the most, and he most certainly knows this and is deftly playing on that angst as 19 of his members are in open revolt.

But the sweeping and aggressive federal investigation is this/close to Madigan now. Despite all of his protests of innocence and some reasonable arguments that he did nothing illegal, the G is obviously after Madigan’s head.

Gov. J.B. Pritzker has taken loads of heat for not pushing Madigan out of office, even though he couldn’t do it if he tried. Pritzker is up for re-election in 2022 and a Madigan re-election would certainly mean big trouble. Yes, Pritzker won by 16 points two years ago, but that was during an unpopular Republican president’s midterm against a super-weak incumbent. He’s going to have to hustle to win.

A gubernatorial confrontation with a reelected Madigan is inevitable.

Pritzker pledged during the campaign and ever since taking office that he will veto a legislative redistricting plan that isn’t “fair” which was defined (by me) in March 2018 as any proposal “that is in any way drafted or created by legislators, political party leaders and/or their staffs or allies.”

So, when Madigan told the House Black Caucus during a recent private meeting that he is the best person to draw the new map, he guaranteed that Pritzker had to veto it. There will be no finessing Pritzker’s pledge. And overriding a veto will be hugely difficult because suburbanites who ran as good government types in swing districts and true-blue progressives are gonna be in a major quandary. It’s pretty difficult to see how this fight gets as far as an override showdown.

Speaker Madigan also said during the meeting that he was prepared to pass another income tax increase if the governor requests it. Like with his remap pledge, his statement likely killed the already very slim prospects for a tax hike.

Just imagine the governor (or any vulnerable Democrat) running in 2022 with Madigan still in office, a Madigan-drawn district map in place and a Madigan tax hike. Maybe the Democrats will get lucky and the Republicans will nominate unelectable far-right candidates, but basing your plan on your opponent collapsing is never a wise idea.

So, it’s just difficult to see how Speaker Madigan can keep all the reelection campaign promises he’s making.

If he wants to avoid the risk of a new district map being possibly drawn by the Republicans after a losing veto fight, he’ll likely have to submit to a new process which won’t be nearly as advantageous to his members. A Madigan-backed tax hike is pretty much out of the question. Same goes for a gimmicky Madigan budget. And while he’s been the patronage and fixer king for decades, how much can he actually accomplish for his members when he’s under this horribly dark cloud?

No matter what, Madigan still has his unmatchable campaign prowess going for him. But if he somehow manages to flip enough votes to get re-elected in the first place and the feds don’t take him out, the reality going forward will be much different than he’s making it out to be.

  26 Comments      


Are we on a downward curve?

Monday, Dec 14, 2020 - Posted by Rich Miller

* It looks like we hit our peak positivity rate right around November 13th

The preliminary seven-day statewide positivity for cases as a percent of total test from November 6 – November 12 is 13.2%. The preliminary seven-day statewide test positivity from November 6, 2020 – November 12, 2020 is 14.5%.

And then it plateaued for several days.

* November 17th

The preliminary seven-day statewide positivity for cases as a percent of total test from November 10 – November 16, 2020 is 12.5%. The preliminary seven-day statewide test positivity from November 10 – November 16, 2020 is 14.5%.

* Also on November 17th

Public Health Officials Announce Tier Three Resurgence Mitigations to Take Effect Statewide on Friday Following Sharp Increase in COVID-19 Cases

* After a bit, the positivity rate began to fall

The preliminary seven-day statewide positivity for cases as a percent of total test from November 22 – November 28, 2020 is 10.1%. The preliminary seven-day statewide test positivity from November 22 – November 28, 2020 is 12.1%.

* Yesterday

The preliminary seven-day statewide positivity for cases as a percent of total test from December 6 – December 12, 2020 is 9.1%. The preliminary seven-day statewide test positivity from December 6 – December 12, 2020 is 10.6%.

* Hospitalizations are also starting to fall. Let’s go back to November 13th

As of last night, 5,362 people in Illinois were reported to be in the hospital with COVID-19. Of those, 990 patients were in the ICU and 488 patients with COVID-19 were on ventilators.

* November 29th

As of last night, 5,858 in Illinois were reported to be in the hospital with COVID-19. Of those, 1,185 patients were in the ICU and 723 patients with COVID-19 were on ventilators.

Remember that hospitalizations, ICU patients and vented patients are all lagging indicators of cases and then one another.

* Yesterday

As of last night, 5,073 in Illinois were reported to be in the hospital with COVID-19. Of those, 1,080 patients were in the ICU and 612 patients with COVID-19 were on ventilators.

* Mitigations work, plain and simple…


…Adding… Click the pics for larger images from Hannah Meisel, but you can see we have a long way to go to get back to early October and its 4.5 percent average positivity rates…

Same goes for hospital bed usage…

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« NEWER POSTS PREVIOUS POSTS »
* Isabel’s afternoon roundup
* Governor Pritzker meets with the family of Sonya Massey (Updated)
* It’s just a bill
* Showcasing the Retailers Who Make Illinois Work
* Pritzker hasn’t received VP vetting materials from Harris, but doesn’t shut down speculations that he’s interested
* Open thread
* Isabel’s morning briefing
* Selected press releases (Live updates)
* Your moment of zen
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