SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax      Advertise Here      Mobile Version     Exclusive Subscriber Content     Updated Posts    Contact
CapitolFax.com
To subscribe to Capitol Fax, click here.
Today’s numbers are shrinking

Friday, Apr 4, 2014

* Daniel Kay Hertz documented Chicago’s shrinking middle class since 1970 by measuring each Census tract’s median family income as a percentage of the median family income for the Chicago metropolitan region as a whole. The gray areas are defined as middle class on the map tracts. Check it out

If the gif images aren’t advancing on your browser, click here.

- Posted by Rich Miller        


25 Comments
  1. - wordslinger - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 12:57 pm:

    Just as striking as the loss of middle-class neighborhoods on the West and South sides is the growth of the green, uber-wealthy neighborhoods along the north lakefront.

    More and more, a tale of two cities.


  2. - Yellow Dog Democrat - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 12:59 pm:

    Great work Daniel, great post Rich.

    You may also like this one:

    http://www.netmigration.wisc.edu

    County by county migration data going back 60 years.


  3. - Wensicia - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 12:59 pm:

    More striking is the expanding division between the wealthy and the less well off.


  4. - PMcP - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 1:03 pm:

    Saw this the other day. I’m not sure it shows the destruction of the middle class, rather it illustrates the concentration of wealth. People may in fact be better off across all areas, income-wise, but not enough information to say whether the middle-class is smaller.


  5. - 47th Ward - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 1:04 pm:

    This demographic shift has been playing out across the country for 40 years, it’s just very neatly mapped in Chicago.

    Inequality is on the march, and it isn’t just Chicago. If you did this on the scale of the entire state, you’d notice similar patterns. The suburbs would start greener in 1970 and become more gray while many downstate cities would go from gray to orange. And the green on the north side of Chicago extends all the way to the Wisconsin border.

    But yeah, it’s a cool map.


  6. - RonOglesby - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 1:08 pm:

    It also does not show the growth of the suburbs, overall growth of population in the area and how the gray really moves out away from the city.

    Thus some of the city’s problem shrinking tax base/ tax payers.


  7. - cod - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 1:11 pm:

    The map would be much more useful if it was actually covered the entire chicago metro area. You cant get a accurate picture without including the suburbs.


  8. - Steve - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 1:13 pm:

    Some places don’t want middle class jobs and middle class housing. No one would confuse Chicago with Houston would they??? Those land use restrictions , zoning, and union costs are a lot for the middle class to pay. We are Chicago: we have high property taxes, we have high retail sales taxes. Yeah!


  9. - Wensicia - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 1:14 pm:

    ==And the green on the north side of Chicago extends all the way to the Wisconsin border.==

    No, it doesn’t. Some of the poorest communities in the state start less than 5 miles from northern Lake Forest and extend North/Northwest to the Wisconsin state border. Former middle class communities like Waukegan and Zion are now mostly high poverty.


  10. - Angry Republican - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 1:27 pm:

    Daniel also has an excellent map showing homicides in Chicago by police district. It will be no surprise the highest number of homicides occur in the poorest neighborhoods.


  11. - 47th Ward - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 1:34 pm:

    Try not to be so literal Wensicia.


  12. - Secret Square - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 1:41 pm:

    Check out also this series of articles from Straight Dope Chicago, titled “Where Everybody Went”:

    http://chicago.straightdope.com/sdccensus1.php


  13. - Formerly Known As... - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 1:43 pm:

    A separate study of Census data released last month by the Brookings shows Chicago ranks somewhere around 4th or 5th worst in the nation for income inequality.

    Meanwhile, incumbents from the governor on down are running for reelection while highlighting themes of income inequality, the shrinking middle class and a lack of opportunities for upward mobility.

    The tragic irony of this situation appears lost on many of them.


  14. - Almost the Weekend - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 1:48 pm:

    Globalization in America. Middle Class lost, the 1% won.


  15. - 39th Ward - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 1:54 pm:

    What about the increasing percentages of retired people in certain areas? Those folks would tend to drive down the average household incomes, but might still be solidly middle class.


  16. - Six Degrees of Separation - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 2:26 pm:

    With all that concentration of wealth, and middle class shrinkage, I see bigger homes and smaller family sizes trending, the opposite of what is planned for Chicago over the next 25 years. Gentrification. If there is going to be densification, it might be more likely in the lower middle class near suburbs more so than in the city itself.


  17. - Anonymous - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 2:39 pm:

    This is why Bruce Rainer will lose.


  18. - Rod - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 3:41 pm:

    We bought our home on the border of Uptown and Andersonville in 1981. (near Foster and Clark streets) The wealth increase just on my own block is simply mind boggling. So when we bought our single family home for $72,000 it was the most expensive ever sold on the block, it is now worth with good luck $800,000. We now have a single family home on this block being offered at $1.4 million.

    There are no lower income families renting or owning on the block I live on anymore. The only minority families left are a total of four Vietnamese and Hispanic families that haven’t sold out to developers. When we moved on this block white families composed about 45% of the population, today it is about 80% white.

    So in short the article presents a very accurate picture of what has happened in Chicago. In terms of property wealth my family was a big winner.


  19. - Carl Nyberg - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 4:05 pm:

    Is it Chicago’s shrinking middle-class? Or America’s shrinking middle-class?

    This is exactly what NAFTA was supposed to produce. The rich would get richer. The people who punch a time clock would get less.

    Perot said this was a bad thing. The GOP said it was a good thing. And Clinton said government would mitigate the problem for people on the low end.

    Perot might have been crazy, but just b/c a guy is crazy doesn’t mean he’s wrong.


  20. - 47th Ward - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 4:37 pm:

    ===This is exactly what NAFTA was supposed to produce. The rich would get richer. The people who punch a time clock would get less.===

    Not for nothing Carl, but free trade deals like NAFTA lifted about 2 billion people out of poverty across the globe over the last two decades. Did the rich get richer? Maybe, but everyone with a mutual fund did pretty well since 1994 too.


  21. - Emily Booth - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 4:51 pm:

    The Chicago I grew up in and the Chicago I’m growing old in. It’s very sad.


  22. - Wensicia - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 5:20 pm:

    @47th,

    Am I wrong in pointing out how changes to the middle class have affected northern Lake County? The wealthier communities have remained unchanged, except for their expansion into Chicago.


  23. - 47th Ward - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 5:38 pm:

    Wensicia, i didn’t say you were wrong. I said your interpretation of my comment was too literal. I didn’t say there wasn’t poverty in the northern suburbs. But compared to the south suburbs, a statewide map of census tracts would show a lot more green to the north of Chicago than to the south.

    Lighten up dude.


  24. - DuPage Dave - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 5:38 pm:

    47th-

    Please supply the research background to support the statement that NAFTA has lifted 2 billion people out of poverty. That’s a much more positive assessment than I’ve seen anywhere else.


  25. - 47th Ward - Friday, Apr 4, 14 @ 6:10 pm:

    DD, I overstated it by a billion. Still, lifting a billion people out of poverty is an amazing accomplishment. Unless you used to make shoes in the US.

    http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21578665-nearly-1-billion-people-have-been-taken-out-extreme-poverty-20-years-world-should-aim


Sorry, comments for this post are now closed.


* Rauner says he'll contribute to "anti-business" president's library
* Today's number: Two-thirds
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition: Congressional crosstabs
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Good morning!
* Yesterday's blog posts

Support CapitolFax.com
Visit our advertisers...

...............

...............


Search This Blog...

Search the 98th General Assembly By Bill Number
(example: HB0001)

Search the 98th General Assembly By Keyword

          
        * Is that used iPad stolen? Apple creates tool for would-be buyers to check
        * Lumia 530 available in T-Mobile stores from October 15th, only $79.20
        * Galaxy Note 4 three-point bend test uses a robotic butt
        * After Quietly Acquiring SnapSaves, Groupon Launches Snap, Paying You To Shop
        * ASUS ZenFone 5 and ZenFone 6 also get their Android 4.4
        * LG webOS smartwatch in the works
        * Apple Patents An Advanced Smart Remote App For Apple TV And iTunes

        * Have a Plan Before Asking For Help to Get Better Responses
        * Stellé Audio Mini-Clutch Is Both a Speaker and an Actual Clutch
        * LG may be working on a smartwatch running webOS
        * Keep Your Car Battery Healthy With These Discounted Chargers
        * Samsung Galaxy Alpha Gets Taken Apart By iFixit
        * Angry Birds Maker Rovio to Cut Up to 130 Jobs
        * Durio Sound A 24-bit 192kHz DAC Raspberry Pi Sound Card (video)

        * Guide to National League rooting interests for White Sox fans
        * Third-base coach McEwing to interview for D-backs job
        * Guide to American League rooting interests for White Sox fans
        * Anderson, Edwards prospects to watch in AFL
        * Manager notes: How Robin Ventura and Chris Sale get along
        * Voting underway to decide Hank Aaron Awards
        * Development of young core in '15 can define Chicago's future


        Main Menu
        Home
        Illinois
        YouTube
        Pundit rankings
        Obama
        Subscriber Content
        Durbin
        Burris
        Blagojevich Trial
        Advertising
        Updated Posts
        Polls

        Archives
        October 2014
        September 2014
        August 2014
        July 2014
        June 2014
        May 2014
        April 2014
        March 2014
        February 2014
        January 2014
        December 2013
        November 2013
        October 2013
        September 2013
        August 2013
        July 2013
        June 2013
        May 2013
        April 2013
        March 2013
        February 2013
        January 2013
        December 2012
        November 2012
        October 2012
        September 2012
        August 2012
        July 2012
        June 2012
        May 2012
        April 2012
        March 2012
        February 2012
        January 2012
        December 2011
        November 2011
        October 2011
        September 2011
        August 2011
        July 2011
        June 2011
        May 2011
        April 2011
        March 2011
        February 2011
        January 2011
        December 2010
        November 2010
        October 2010
        September 2010
        August 2010
        July 2010
        June 2010
        May 2010
        April 2010
        March 2010
        February 2010
        January 2010
        December 2009
        November 2009
        October 2009
        September 2009
        August 2009
        July 2009
        June 2009
        May 2009
        April 2009
        March 2009
        February 2009
        January 2009
        December 2008
        November 2008
        October 2008
        September 2008
        August 2008
        July 2008
        June 2008
        May 2008
        April 2008
        March 2008
        February 2008
        January 2008
        December 2007
        November 2007
        October 2007
        September 2007
        August 2007
        July 2007
        June 2007
        May 2007
        April 2007
        March 2007
        February 2007
        January 2007
        December 2006
        November 2006
        October 2006
        September 2006
        August 2006
        July 2006
        June 2006
        May 2006
        April 2006
        March 2006
        February 2006
        January 2006
        December 2005
        April 2005
        March 2005
        February 2005
        January 2005
        December 2004
        November 2004
        October 2004

        Blog*Spot Archives
        November 2005
        October 2005
        September 2005
        August 2005
        July 2005
        June 2005
        May 2005

        Syndication

        RSS Feed 2.0
        Comments RSS 2.0
        WordPress

        Loading


        * Major Person in Gov Quinn's Anti-Violence Progr.....
        * Governors Make Fiscal Progress..
        * And the race continues..
        * Grading America’s Governors..
        * Political infighting..
        * The 10 Most Vulnerable House Members..
        * The Race for Attorney General Tightens Up in 9 .....


        * Obama hits Chicago to stump for Gov. Quinn
        * AP PHOTOS: Lines linger for famed Chicago hot dogs
        * Waukegan schools close as teachers' strike looms
        * 20-years in prison for hit-run crash that killed 2
        * Official: Donations drying up for Lincoln library
        * Respiratory virus seen in 4 deaths; role unclear
        * Obama in Chicago for political appearances
        * Flight operations at Chicago airports improving
        * Governor candidates' views on Obama library evolve
        * Illinois Woman, son charged with meth conspiracy

        * Governor candidates’ views on Obama library evolve
        * Obama in Chicago for political appearances
        * Donations drying up for Lincoln Presidential Library foundation, chairman tells lawmakers
        * ALPLM at center of legislative hearing in Chicago
        * Former head of anti-violence program to testify
        * Appellate court: State workers owed back wages
        * Quinn leans on top Democratic support — Obamas, Clinton
        * IDOC investigation prompts state prison warden to retire
        * Lawmaker panel plans to resume anti-violence program investigation
        * Quinn touts first year of Affordable Care Act

        * Warren Buffett wants to sell you a car
        * Sears to sell most of Sears Canada stake
        * Blade runner: She took up hockey at 40
        * Accessorized for the office
        * Shrimp farming in Indiana: Believe it


        * Tragedy demands review of DCFS
        * Ease up on school budgets permanently
        * Keep the heat on political corruption
        * Burge leaving prison, but a mess remains
        * Emanuel prods sister agencies to mandate $13-an-hour wage
        * The thug life runs deep
        * Vigil held for Skokie teens; two Niles North seniors shot, one killed
        * Taxi reforms steer in the right direction
        * Thunderstorms early Thursday could disrupt O’Hare, Midway flights
        * Northeastern Illinois University unveils flashy new building on NW Side


        * Arrests in theft of $250,000 worth of watches from Gold Coast store
        * Police investigate shooting death at Des Plaines gun range
        * Neighbors lose a protector to a street robbery
        * Coyote expected to recover after getting stuck in car grill
        * Burge leaves prison today after serving time for lying about police torture
        * Prosecutors in Ferguson case probe report of jury misconduct
        * 5 wounded in separate city shootings
        * Waukegan schools closed because of teachers strike
        * Few red light camera refunds, spikes unexplained
        * 1 dead, 2 wounded in overnight shootings


        * History Series: The First Illinois Legislature
        * Donations Drying Up For Lincoln Library Foundation
        * LLCC Announces New Ag Programs
        * Tim Landis: Bike Lanes, Medical Marijuana And Meat
        * Clock Ticking On Illinois Prison Crowding
        * Decatur Unemployment Shows Biggest Drop In Nation
        * Quinn Lauds Affordable Care Act, Backs Down From State Marketplace
        * A Redo On Redistricting
        * Polls Showing Illinois Governor's Race A Draw
        * Bruce Rauner, Before He Was A Candidate (Author Interview)


        * Our View: Lawmakers, stay away from the IHSA
        * On Lincoln’s Side: Lincoln gambles on Nevada
        * Brian Gaines: Why Illinois needs redistricting reform
        * George Will: A new case for term limits
        * Eugene Robinson: Get the authorization
        * Bernard Schoenburg: The long, short of public perceptions of candidates for governor
        * Governor candidates’ views on Obama library evolve
        * Obama in Chicago for political appearances
        * Donations drying up for Lincoln Presidential Library foundation, chairman tells lawmakers
        * Former head of anti-violence program to testify


        * Daily business briefing: U.S. unemployment benefits continue to drop
        * Jim Dey: Sorry, lawyers: This judge won't budge
        * Honoring a Frances Nelson family
        * In Quinn's corner: The president
        * No work on Market Street railroad bridge before March
        * Top of the Morning, Oct. 2, 2014
        * Monty: Time for others to 'step forward'
        * CUMTD's Tom Costello 10/2/2014
        * Hotels get warning about taxes
        * Potentially severe weather expected Thursday


        * Skies now more friendly for kids on autism spectrum
        * Tesla's Musk says company will introduce new product next week
        * Manteno woman known as ‘Mustard Lady'
        * White Ohio women sue over sperm from black donor
        * Airports like O'Hare a focus point in Ebola battle

        * Representative Jan Schakowsky Sends Letter...
        * Rep. candidate pushes to uphold marriage b...
        * Reps. Schakowsky and Waxman Introduce Bill...
        * Statement by Representative Jan Schakowsky...
        * FAA Rejects Call For New O'Hare Noise Stud...
        * Representatives Quigley, Duckworth, Schako...
        * Representative Jan Schakowsky Statement on...
        * Representative Jan Schakowsky Statement in...
        * U.S. House Passes Resolution Condemning An...
        * Representative Jan Schakowsky Statement on...

        * Opinion: How Dick Clark Changed Music...
        * Opinion: How Dick Clark Changed Music...
        * 2012 Predictions Revisited: What the Seers......
        * 2012 Predictions Revisited: What the Seers......
        * 2012 Predictions Revisited: What the Seers......

        * Governor race focuses on labor, unemployment...
        * Israel On The Outs Over Iran?...

        * Central Illinois Republican Mayor featured in new Quinn campaign ad
        * Mainstream environmentalists flip out over stingray catch [video]
        * Raunerian ethics and voter fraud. Here and in North Carolina.
        * Waukegan strike. 1,200 teachers. 14,000 students.
        * Put 'Burge' name up with 'Capone' as those who '"got away" with something
        * State Senator Chris Nybo has new office up and running
        * Op-Ed: We need Pro-Life votes for Rauner to win
        * Karen Lewis. We can’t think in silos any longer.
        * Family friendly.
        * Ives and Connelly team up for forum on proposed changes to school funding


        * Screwed Up
        * Jobs Governor
        * Wake Up
        * Rauner Launches Three New TV Ads
        * Quinn must take lame duck tax vote off the table




            Hosted by MCS SUBSCRIBE to Capitol Fax Advertise Here Mobile Version Contact Rich Miller