* This is a bit weird, but whatevs. Numbers is numbers…
Tonight, we will launch the first of nearly 100 live NYT Upshot/Siena polls of the fight for Congress. For the first time, we'll publish the results live in real time, respondent by respondent. We start this evening in CA-48, KY-6, IL-6, MN-8, IL-12https://t.co/R4EbBmvGM9
Over the next two months, The New York Times will talk to more voters than ever before. It starts tonight, when we’ll publish the first New York Times Upshot/Siena College polls of the most competitive battlegrounds in the fight for Congress.
But there’s a twist. None of these polls are finished. One hasn’t even begun.
We’re doing it live.
For the first time, we’ll publish our poll results and display them in real time, from start to finish, respondent by respondent. No media organization has ever tried something like this, and we hope to set a new standard of transparency. You’ll see the poll results at the same time we do. You’ll see our exact assumptions about who will turn out, where we’re calling and whether someone is picking up. You’ll see what the results might have been had we made different choices.
You can watch the 6th District get polled live by clicking here and the data on the 12th is here. Scroll down and you’ll see constantly updated crosstabs.
For Chicago business, the good times may be about to end at City Hall. Bigly.
The combination of a populist wave that could capture a majority of the City Council and Mayor Rahm Emanuel’s surprise decision not to seek a third term could halt a nearly-three-decade stretch under which mayors and docile aldermen occasionally made business groan with measures like a higher minimum wage and mandatory sick leave, but more often were a willing partner in trying to lure new growth and expansion. […]
“We’re at a real crossroads,” says Jack Lavin, CEO of the Chicagoland Chamber of Commerce. “The last two mayors (Emanuel and Richard M. Daley) knew that cooperating with business gets you (economic) growth. That growing Chicago could go away.”
“There’s nothing good I see on the horizon,” says Howard Tullman, ex-CEO of the 1871 incubator and the godfather of sorts of the city’s now rapidly expanding tech community.
Emanuel in particular was “unbelievably supportive,” Tullman said. And it paid off with “tens of thousands of new jobs,” many of them at companies such as Motorola Mobility, Gogo, ADM, McDonald’s, Walgreen, Kraft-Heinz and dozens of others that moved either their regional or world headquarters here or shifted large tech operations to the city, lured by large numbers of college graduates here.
Emanuel is known as a mayor who doesn’t hesitate to pick up the phone or get on a plane to lure businesses to Chicago and help home-grown companies thrive.
“There’s definitely uncertainty when a decision as unexpected as this is announced,” said SpotHero CEO and co-founder Mark Lawrence, who praised Emanuel for touting Chicago businesses both nationally and internationally.
Emanuel’s office facilitated introductions in Israel between SpotHero and Google mapping unit Waze, leading to the recent announcement that the companies, along with the city, are installing beacons along Chicago’s 5 miles of lower roads to help drivers navigate underground when GPS fails. […]
“I think there will be some breath holding and some postponing of some decisions for sure, because I think technology businesses are no different than any other business. They want to be sure there’s a certain stability and understanding of the business environment,” Tullman said.
Chicago’s fiscal picture improved under Emanuel, said Laurence Msall, president of the non-partisan Civic Federation, which tracks the city’s finances. He cited Emanuel’s move to end the borrowing for operations and selling bonds to pay off maturing debt.
“It will remain to be seen whether the next mayor will continue to embrace these practices or slip into such financial lapses,” Msall said. “It’s difficult to know who the next mayor will be or whether they will be able to match Mayor Emanuel’s persona and dedication to economic development. But many of the structural improvements that Mayor Emanuel can rightfully take credit for will continue beyond his administration.”
An adviser close to Emanuel said he thinks the announcement was made now so that candidates more to the mayor’s liking still had enough time to enter the race
But that’s not the only big question for real estate investors as Emanuel heads for the exit. Developers now face uncertainty from a wide-open field of candidates to replace him and are left to wonder whether the city’s next mayor will be as friendly to them as its departing one.
The prospect of rent control could instill fear into investors that have made big bets on the city’s booming apartment market, while office landlords are about to lose one of the key pitchmen for the plethora of companies that have moved to the city and filled their spaces.
Then there’s the cloud over what Emanuel’s departure will mean for a series of large-scale development projects that are in the works, many of which were accelerated as prospective destinations for e-commerce giant Amazon as the Seattle-based company searches for a second headquarters location.
Emanuel’s successor will face landscape-changing decisions about the 53-acre Lincoln Yards project that developer Sterling Bay has proposed to completely redraw the North Branch of the Chicago River between Lincoln Park and Bucktown. Other tough calls will need to be made about the 78, Related Midwest’s 62-acre proposal along the river just south of the Loop, as well as the continued redevelopment of the Fulton Market District.
* Related…
* Exit Rahm: Emanuel’s successes are also less impressive than they might first appear. Chicago’s economic turnaround was part of a national boom. Other American cities have been rallying economically, too, and often at a faster rate. Tech is growing all over, and Chicago hasn’t cracked the elite club in venture-capital investing, remaining significantly behind the big four coastal centers (the Bay Area, Los Angeles, New York, and Boston). And unlike the other largest American cities, Chicago continues to see its population fall, as blacks flee in droves and Mexican immigration dries up.
* Mayor 1% Rahm Emanuel Will Not Be Missed in Chicago: But in the Windy City, he will always be remembered by many as Mayor 1%, symbolizing the arrogance and impatience of those who would shape society to celebrate entitlement, fame and wealth.
* Rahm Emanuel denies Chicago is a ‘tale of two cities’: “No world-class global city has a failing central business district. It is not in our interest as a city to pit one side of the city against another. Our challenge is to make that central business district work for all parts of…Chicago,” Emanuel said.
Members of the Illinois Republican State Central Committee voted Thursday to impose term limits on committee members. […]
Rodney Davis, the GOP’s interim executive director, said the term limit will take effect in 2014 — the next year members of the state central committee are up for selection. The party has one member from each congressional district, and each of those people appoints a deputy member.
* But Davis’ statement was not accurate. From the Illinois Republican Party’s bylaws ..
No member of the State Central Committee; deputy member of the State Central Committee; National Committeeman or Committeewoman; or State Chairman shall serve more than eight (8) consecutive years in the same office. This section is effective on January 1, 2015 but shall not apply to terms that are the result of vacancies or terms that have commenced prior to the effective date.
It would have been easy to make that section accurately reflect what the State GOP promised the public back in 2011, i.e. that the clock on the 8 years would start running in 2014. But instead, the provision was written to make the effective date January 1, 2015, several months after yet another term for the office had already commenced.
In other words, they don’t apply to members elected in 2014; they apply to members who were elected this year, after the primary. […]
[ILGOP executive director Travis Sterling] said it appears most members of the central committee who started terms this spring can serve to 2026 — and so can Chairman TIM SCHNEIDER. As for Porter and DeMonte, he said, each got new four-year terms in 2016 at the state convention, so they can serve through 2024. […]
I asked Davis about this, and he didn’t recall specifics and referred me to the party, where Sterling provided the details.
Just hours after we reported here that the state comptroller was among those on the list to possibly run for mayor, Mendoza took the stage for a City Club luncheon. “There’s a been a big development for me and for others in Chicago,” she told the hushed crowd. “It was a huge gut check for me. It was pretty emotional. In hindsight I guess I should have seen it coming. I thought I was prepared, but when it happened I just kind of lost it.” She paused. “My husband and I dropped our son off for his first day of kindergarten.” The crowd roared, expecting, of course, an announcement about her possible mayoral ambitions.
Mendoza went on to talk about her work as comptroller, explain Illinois’ budget mess and how she’s worked to bring about government and financial transparency. During the Q&A and later with reporters, Mendoza ducked questions about whether she’ll run for mayor. “I’m not thinking about mayor right now,” she said, adding her focus is on running for comptroller.
A possible scenario if Mendoza wants the mayor job: She keeps running for comptroller and wins re-election Nov. 6. Then (if J.B. Pritzker also wins) Mendoza has three weeks to gather signatures to run for mayor. If she were to win the mayor’s race, then Pritzker would appoint her replacement. If she loses, she’s still comptroller. Lots of ifs.
After a speech to the City Club of Chicago on Wednesday, the first-term Democratic comptroller said she was “fielding a lot of calls yesterday.” She did not say whether she’d join the crowded mayoral field, which is expected to grow between now and November when candidacy papers need to be filed.
“I’m not thinking about mayor right now,” she said. “I’m thinking about the next 62 days. … I think I would be great at any job I do, and I would never run for an office if I don’t think I’m the best person for that office. Right now I’m running for comptroller.”
“These next 62 days are no joke. I mean this is what it’s about. And then, you know, time will …” Mendoza said, pausing. “I don’t even want to talk about the mayor’s race, frankly, until after November.”
Asked later if she was ruling out a mayoral bid, Mendoza didn’t answer directly, again saying she is focused on her re-election campaign.
“In an attempt to deceive voters, Susana Mendoza is hoping to dodge questions about a Chicago Mayoral bid until after Illinoisans have cast their vote for Comptroller in November,” Illinois Republican Party Executive Director Travis Sterling said. “Illinoisans deserve the full truth when they head to the ballot box, and Mendoza has made it clear that she is not committed to four years as Illinois’ Comptroller.”
The Chicago Teachers Union has a new president and vice president.
Jesse Sharkey has officially taken over the labor group’s top post for the time being, following a Wednesday vote from the union’s governing body. The new vice president is Stacy Davis Gates, formerly the union’s political director.
The shift in leadership follows the retirement of former CTU President Karen Lewis, who announced her departure in June amid continued health problems. That cleared the way for Sharkey’s formal takeover of the union’s top job and Davis Gates’ nomination to replace him as second-in-command.
Both leaders will be running for office again soon, as union officers are expected to face some competition in an election by the entire CTU membership next year.
Sharkey and Bruce Rauner appeared on WTTW together after the 2012 teachers’ strike and had a memorable debate. Click here to watch it. Explains a lot about both men.
In concert with J.B. Pritzker’s campaign, a $1 million voter registration program was launched. It will target people who traditionally vote Democrat but often do not have the same ballot access as others. These groups include transient workers, college students, and people of color. There could not be a more important time to make these investments as the face of our party rapidly changes.
In addition to our voter registration initiative, the Party is working with the Pritzker campaign to execute a massive vote-by-mail program, targeting nearly two million eligible voters to ensure broader access and engagement during the traditional “drop-off” (non-presidential) midterm election year.
We’re also facilitating increased data sharing from the top of the ticket to the bottom, giving down-ballot races access to additional data from which they can produce more sophisticated targeting and better coordinate their field operations.
Mitchell also recently hired Sam Salustro away from the Democratic Governors Association. Salustro will be the party’s new director of statewide communications.
…Adding… Mitchell announced the voter registration program when he was appointed, but it’s now underway.
* Usually when governors campaign for legislative candidates, they mainly stick to the positives of the candidates they want to see elected. Gov. Rauner, however, is not a usual governor and this is not a usual state. Here’s what he had to say yesterday when making an appearance for the Republican opponent of Rep. Sue Scherer (D-Decatur)…
Nobody in central Illinois should vote for Sue Scherer. She has refused to sign the Peoples Pledge.
* But it’s really not so much about Scherer or her GOP opponent Herman Senor as it is Speaker Madigan…
Rauner said Madigan has been entrenched in Illinois politics for decades and uses political power and money to “buy votes” in his district, keeping him eligible to be speaker of the Illinois House.
“And that culture of corruption from Chicago has infiltrated our state government for decades under Mike Madigan,” Rauner said. “We need to throw off that yoke of corruption and get new leadership, fresh ideas.”
“When we collected over 600,000 signatures so you could get term limits on the ballot, so you could vote term limits up or down five years ago, Mike Madigan and his funders — (JB) Pritzker and the Chicago political machine — they sued us in state court, and they won in state court,” Rauner said.
Rauner was not interested in pledges when a pro-choice group asked him to sign one promising to uphold the tenets of an abortion bill he signed. This is different, he says, because he’s trying to change the Constitution to force term limits.
Governor Bruce Rauner is continuing to push for term limits… and for anyone other than Mike Madigan to be speaker of the Illinois House. Rauner joined Republican legislative candidates in Springfield to sign what he calls the People’s Pledge.
Steve Brown, spokesman for Madigan, said later the pledge sounds similar to the “magic formula” that Rauner has been using for months, leaving him 16 points behind his Democratic opponent for governor, J.B. Pritzker, in a recent poll.
“It’s just another low-road smear attempt that’s apparently failing him,” Brown said.
* But, here’s the thing. I watched and read a lot of coverage of yesterday’s “People’s Pledge” event and the one thing conspicuously missing from almost all the stories was Scherer’s Republican opponent. The SJ-R’s piece mentioned in passing (deep in the story) that he attended the event. WCIA was the only outlet that gave him significant coverage.
And if you watch the raw video, you’ll see that when Rauner attacked Rep. Scherer he didn’t even mention Senor’s name. I think the governor only said Senor’s name once - when he introduced all the attendees.
Attorney General Lisa Madigan today announced her office and the City of Chicago agreed to a draft provision in the draft consent decree for reform of the Chicago Police Department (CPD) that requires Chicago police officers to report when they point a firearm at a person.
Under the agreement, beginning in July 2019, (1) Chicago police officers must report when they point their firearm at a person, (2) an officer’s immediate supervisor must be notified each time the pointing of a firearm is reported (3) once notified, CPD supervisors must then review the incident to ensure that the officer followed CPD policy and any misconduct is addressed, and (4) beginning in January 2020, the independent monitor will review any instances in which an officer points a firearm and recommend any changes to the way the incidents are documented.
In addition to review by the officer’s supervisor, the agreement requires CPD headquarters to review and audit all incidents involving an officer pointing a firearm at a person, including documentation and information collected during the stop. Headquarters’ reviews of pointing incidents must be completed within 30 days and must:
* identify whether the pointing of the firearm at a person allegedly violated CPD policy;
* identify any patterns in such occurrences and, to the extent necessary, ensure that any concerns are addressed; and
* identify any tactical, equipment, training, or policy concerns and, to the extent necessary, ensure that the concerns are addressed.
At the conclusion of the review, CPD must make appropriate referrals for misconduct investigations or other corrective actions for alleged violations of CPD policy. CPD headquarters must also issue a written notification to the supervisor of its findings and include whether any further actions were taken or required.
Under the agreement, after each incident when an officer has pointed a firearm, officers must radio the information about pointing their firearms to the city’s Office of Emergency Management and Communications (OEMC). The information will be electronically linked with corresponding police department reports and body-worn camera recordings from the same incident, all of which must be retained and accessible to the officer’s supervisor, be reviewed by the Department, and available to the independent monitor.
The agreement also requires that by January 1, 2019, CPD must instruct officers on weapons discipline and when officers should and should not point a firearm at a person. New training on when an officer points a firearm must be incorporated in the annual use of force training required under the draft consent decree in 2019. Also under the agreement, CPD will clarify in its policy that officers will only point a firearm at a person when it is objectively reasonable to do so.
Beginning in 2020, the independent monitor annually will assesses instances in which an officer points a firearm at a person to determine whether changes to CPD policy, training, practice or supervision are necessary and to recommend any changes to the process of documenting, reviewing, and analyzing these occurrences.
“Knowing when police officers point their guns at someone will allow CPD to improve officer and community safety,” Madigan said. “I believe this is critical in achieving true reform of the Chicago Police Department.”
* Press release from Sen. Kwame Raoul…
“As the consent decree moves closer to its final form, I am encouraged by the prospects for meaningful and sustainable change. The latest point of agreement is an important advance, one that acknowledges the seriousness of the CPD’s need to earn the trust of the people it polices,” said state Senator Kwame Raoul.
“This difficult and necessary work and the public participation informing it were made possible by Attorney General Lisa Madigan’s decision to step up and take responsibility for the reform process when the Department of Justice stepped back from its duty to enforce civil rights laws. State attorneys general are often the last line of defense, and I am ready to step up whenever needed.
“I look forward as attorney general to building on these positive steps, implementing and monitoring the consent decree to bring about lasting reform.”
…Adding… Karen Sheley, Director, Police Practices Project, ACLU of Illinois…
Last night’s filing announcing the agreement reached about recording each time a Chicago police officer points a weapon at someone is welcome news. The City heeded recent public demands supporting this common-sense proposal. The City should also adopt the other demands that the ACLU and our clients have raised in our detailed response to their draft decree. The decree they file in court must be revised to ensure the City has an effective crisis intervention program, addresses police interactions with people with disabilities, and makes the reform plans enforceable and transparent.
Today, Erika Harold’s campaign for Attorney General unveiled RaoulMadigan.com to highlight Kwame Raoul’s and Mike Madigan’s failed fourteen-year partnership in Springfield.
The website will detail at-length the many times Raoul and Madigan worked together to protect their power, line their pockets, and push failed policies, such as:
* Gerrymandering legislative districts
* Voting to raise their own pay
* Skipping pension payments
* Passing unbalanced budgets
* Pushing tax hikes
Paid digital advertising will educate voters on the failed Raoul-Madigan record by directing them to the website.
State Senator Kwame Raoul. House Speaker Mike Madigan. Two career politicians who share the same failed agenda. They might be in separate chambers in the General Assembly, but make no mistake - Raoul and Madigan have worked hand-in-hand over the last fourteen years, pushing policies that have run our state into the ground.
Since 2005, Kwame Raoul and Mike Madigan have worked together to gerrymander legislative districts, skip pension payments, push tax hikes, pass unbalanced budgets, and even vote to raise their own pay.
And when allegations of patronage, sexual harassment, and heavy-handed politics over the years shook Mike Madigan’s political organization, Illinois voters heard nothing from Kwame Raoul. Why? Because he puts the political class and his own personal ambition before the people of Illinois.
Fourteen years of working with Mike Madigan in Springfield have revealed Kwame Raoul for who he is - just another career politician who’s turned his back on us.
Raoul called her attempt to link him to Madigan as carrying out “the lines handed” to her by Rauner in trying to repeat “that broken record (heard) over and over again in the gubernatorial campaign.”
“It’s not ironic that she was given $1 million a couple of weeks ago from Bruce Rauner and introduced herself in a general campaign with an ad comparing me to Mike Madigan,” Raoul told reporters.
“My name is Kwame Raoul. My last name is not Madigan. I’ve never served in the House of Representatives. Mike Madigan did not ask me to run for attorney general. Mike Madigan did not support me in the primary for attorney general. I was not recruited by anybody to run for attorney general like my opponent was,” Raoul said.
…Adding… From Aviva Bowen at the Raoul campaign…
Anything not to talk about Erika’s extreme views on marriage equality or a woman’s right to choose, I guess.
Harold is holding a fundraiser with Rep. Peter Breen tonight. Breen is currently battling in court with Attorney General Lisa Madigan over HB40.
Yesterday, the Casten campaign released their second ad of the general election, highlighting Sean Casten’s background as a clean energy entrepreneur creating jobs in the Sixth Congressional District. Casten released the following statement:
“I am proud of my background creating hundreds of jobs while fighting climate change,” said Casten. “Peter Roskam has spent 25 years in public office, but can’t run on his own reputation. Instead, his ads just resort to throwing mud and distorting my record. Now, thanks to over 75,000 individual donors we can share the truth about my record of protecting our environment and putting people to work.”
The campaign said the new Casten ad would be seen on TV systems and digital platforms across the 6th District, and that the campaign would continue to communicate through the rest of the election.
So far in the general election, Roskam and his allies have spent millions of dollars on mailings, TV and digital ads. Despite that investment, three different organizations that predict the outcomes of congressional races have moved the Illinois 6th District race from “leans Republican” to “toss up” and a “DEM gain.”
Congressional Leadership Fund (@CLFSuperPAC), the super PAC endorsed by House Republican leadership, today released a new ad, “Fraud,” in Illinois’ 6th Congressional District. The ad highlights Sean Casten’s business record that is clouded by scandal and allegations of fraud. The ad will run on television in the Chicago media market and on digital platforms throughout the district.
“Sean Casten’s business record is clouded by scandal and allegations of fraud, he was even sued by investors for mismanagement,” said Michael Byerly, CLF spokesman. “Casten has spent his business career profiting from insider deals, spending hundreds of thousands of dollars on lobbyists, and taking millions of dollars in corporate welfare. Casten talks about cleaning up Washington, but he’s just another shady Madigan-machine politician who would make Washington worse.”
In addition to the ad campaign, CLF previously opened a field office in Illinois’ 6th Congressional District. Each CLF field office is supported by a full-time staffer and hundreds of interns and volunteers who engage with voters on a daily basis through hyper-targeted phone banking and door-to-door canvassing.
* As we discussed months ago, most of Maryann Loncar’s allegations against Rep. Lou Lang (D-Skokie) were full of holes. Her “bribery” claim had changed (and grown) over the years, but was easily disproved. Her claim that Lang had killed legislation because of her involvement was flatly denied by others working on the bill. Her ex-husband denied an allegation that Lang had reached out to him with an offer to help him “bury” Loncar. After Rep. Jeanne Ives told a reporter that Loncar wouldn’t be making sexual harassment allegations, Loncar went on Dan Proft’s radio show the morning of her press conference…
Proft asked her whether the still-unnamed legislator had said if she wouldn’t “play ball, and play ball means of a sexual nature, then you’re not going to get what you want.”
“In every nature,” Loncar replied. “It all starts in Springfield of a sexual nature if you’re female. All of it.”
However, when her statement to Proft was read back to her later that day by my associate Hannah Meisel, Loncar admitted Lang had made no such demand.
Loncar then claimed at her subsequent Statehouse press conference, “I was harassed. I was intimidated. I was humiliated.”
* But now the Legislative Inspector General has cleared Lang of all claims, including harassment…
But in a report issued Wednesday, Julie Porter, the acting legislative inspector general, wrote that there is not enough evidence to support Loncar’s claims and that the matter is now closed.
She also wrote in an email to Lang that she found Loncar’s allegations “unfounded.”
“Given her unwillingness to speak to me, and taking her descriptions and those of her colleague at face value, I do not have sufficient evidence to support a conclusion that such occurrences, if they even happened, constituted sexual harassment,” Porter wrote.
Lang said in a statement issued Wednesday that “the allegations were absurd and false and remain so today.
“Therefore, I welcome the Inspector General’s conclusion that completely dismisses the allegations as ‘unfounded,’” Lang wrote. “As far as I’m concerned, I have been vindicated and this matter is now closed.”
“It is ridiculous to think that any person who feels victimized by a member of the House or Senate would be consoled to reveal their plight to a hand-picked I.G. appointed by the Speaker of House,” Loncar said in the statement.
“What I have seen played out since my press conference confirms everything I assumed about having a Legislative Inspector General appointed by the Speaker of the House: it is a joke,” her statement read. “The joke is on the victims. The joke is on the Illinois taxpayers.”
Today, the Rauner campaign is launching a new TV ad featuring Diana Rauner titled “This Election is a Choice.”
In the ad, Diana directly addresses Illinois voters about the stakes of this election. She outlines the clear choice voters face in November: continue fighting for reform with Governor Rauner or go back to the same policies that have hurt Illinois for decades with JB Pritzker and Mike Madigan.
I’m Diana Rauner. Bruce ran for governor to try and save our state. It hasn’t been easy, but nothing important ever is. Bruce took on the big problems: education funding reform, Medicaid reform, criminal justice reform. He stopped the insanity and delivered. But 40 years of mismanagement can’t be turned around in 4 years. This election is a choice. Do we keep moving towards reform, or go back to the status quo that got us into this mess?
…Adding… Jake pulls up her 2014 ad…
Bruce Rauner's 2018 campaign released an ad today featuring his wife. Here's a look back at Rauner's first 2014 ad featuring Diana (released 10/16/14)#twill#ilgovpic.twitter.com/flKZmecc3b
In featuring Diana Rauner, the Rauner campaign is acknowledging the need to appeal to female voters, particularly socially moderate women in the traditionally GOP suburbs, in his re-election contest with Democrat J.B. Pritzker.
At the same time, the governor, himself, has been spending time campaigning Downstate to try to unify a socially conservative GOP base unhappy with his signature on laws expanding abortion, immigrant and gay rights. […]
Diana Rauner’s script also is noteworthy.
By talking about education, Medicaid and criminal justice, she’s talking about issues of interest to those moderate suburban women without touching on the more controversial issues surrounding the governor — such as abortion rights — that could anger conservatives.
* She flatly denied last year when she announced her retirement that she would run for mayor in 2019, so she’s sticking with that same response now…
Statement from AG Lisa Madigan ruling out bid for mayor: “I am a lifelong resident of Chicago. I care deeply for the city. There are a lot of challenges facing Chicago, and I plan to continue helping as a resident and not as mayor.”
Don't want people showing up at your door telling you to drop your union membership? IEA members can sign up for free window clings and stop the anti-union groups in their tracks. #Imstickingwithmyunion#IEAstronger
* Has the Illinois Policy Institute started knocking on union members’ doors to convince them to drop their memberships? I asked the IEA’s spokesperson to explain…
So far we have no confirmed reports from our members, but we are expecting they’ll be hearing from IPI soon. We know that some of our locals have been hit with not one but two mailers from IPI encouraging them to drop their union memberships. We are arming our members with window clings to deter door knockers from IPI and other anti-union organizations.
* I asked the Illinois Policy Institute if it had any plans for a door-to-door canvass. A spokesperson issued a one-word response: “No.”
That makes sense. Teachers aren’t confined to one precinct, after all. It would be very difficult to canvass them one-by-one.
* I assume the IEA is just ginning up the base. It’s tweeted out some responses by members to Policy Institute mailers…
CTU has responded by urging its teachers to Tweet pictures of their IPI mailers in defiance with the hashtag #solidarity. Erika Wozniak, a CTU member and a candidate for 46th Ward alderman in Chicago, tweeted that the IPI flier had actually prompted her and her husband to increase their contribution to the union’s Political Action Committee.
The union’s Acting President Jesse Sharkey added a statement Thursday, saying, “Bruce Rauner’s front group is asking CTU members to walk away from our power, and our members have an answer: no way, not now, not ever.”
Charging that the IPI “serves the union-busting agenda of this failed governor,” Sharkey said, “It won’t work. Our members are too smart, organized, and committed to fall for this toxic ploy to undermine our rights and our dignity.”
*** UPDATE *** Bridget Shanahan with the IEA…
Our state affiliates out west have been targeted by anti-union, State Policy Network affiliate groups going door to door. Those groups have also said they’ve hired additional staff just for the purpose of going to door to door.
Following a U.S. Supreme Court decision that millions of public sector workers can stop paying union fees, a group tied to Republican billionaires long opposed to organized labor and its support of the Democratic Party has pledged to build on the landmark ruling to further marginalize employee representation.
The conservative nonprofit Freedom Foundation said that starting Wednesday, it will deploy 80 people to a trio of West Coast union bastions: California, Oregon and its home state of Washington. The canvassers were hired in March and trained this month, according to internal documents reviewed by Bloomberg News. The goal of the multi-pronged campaign is to shrink union ranks in the three states by 127,000 members—and to offer an example for similar efforts targeting unions around the country.
As for the millions of dollars in his campaign war chest, the mayor said he would return it to donors. Emanuel said he’d stay out of the political race to succeed him but would be a “keen observer.”
A day after pulling the plug on his bid for a third term, Mayor Rahm Emanuel on Wednesday said Chicago’s next mayor hasn’t yet entered the race to succeed him.
Emanuel told WGN radio host Steve Cochran he doesn’t think any of the 12 announced candidates for the fifth floor office at City Hall has the skill set to do the job, while getting in plugs for some of his own work.
The announcement also raises more immediate questions over whether the Emanuel administration will move forward with a $10 billion pension obligation bond issue that could prove a harder sell with the buyside now that uncertainty looms over the city’s future leadership. The city’s finance department could not immediately be reached to comment. A decision had been expected as soon as this week.
The city’s decision, market participants say, will hinge on rating agency analysis because the city wants to preserve its general obligation rating and higher-grade securitization credits under a structure that would likely tap the securitization.
Mayor Rahm Emanuel drops a political bombshell on Chicago, announcing he won’t run for re-election, and just like that the race for mayor has been transformed: It’s Lord of the Flies on LaSalle Street. […]
But institutional Chicago — the banks and others of the financial sector, the foundations and so on — and those who write the big campaign checks, may now see Vallas as the only announced candidate who can run Chicago from day one.
* And, finally, this revised meme is from a pal who is bored today because he focuses on state politics and everybody is talking about the mayor’s race…
I’d change “entire city of Chicago” to “every Chicago-based political reporter/pundit,” but why quibble with near-greatness?
* In Rahm Emanuel’s tenure, a global vision bogged down by local issues: Although some of Emanuel’s accomplishments helped critics label him as “Mayor 1 percent,” he will leave his mark on a Chicago that now, perhaps more than ever, looks the part of a titan in American business, culture and tourism. He may be remembered as the mayor who brought a Whole Foods to Englewood, but not the one that ended decades of disenfranchisement there and in other neighborhoods like it.
* Zorn: Surprised yet grateful that Emanuel is passing the torch: I’m also glad that, with Emanuel out of the race, the campaign will be less about the past and more about the future. The prospect of an endless relitigation of Emanuel’s most regrettable decisions in office would have made for a harsher and more backward-looking campaign than we need or deserve.
Four women running for the Illinois State Senate released new television ads Tuesday - in which three of them took the unusual step of calling on term limits for powerful House Speaker Michael Madigan.
The Democratic candidates - Laura Ellman, Suzy Glowiak, Ann Gillespie and Bridget Fitzgerald - are each running for Republican-held districts in Chicago’s suburbs that voted for Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election, leading many to believe they may be among the most likely to turn blue in November.
Though Madigan is leader of the Illinois House, Democratic insiders admit that his power impacts the Senate as well.
Last year, the Senate agreed to a 10-year term limit for its leaders. Senate President John Cullerton has been Senate President since 2009, but the new guidelines apply to him beginning in January 2017 when the Senate agreed to the new term limits.
Also take note of the “no budget, no pay” lines in these spots.
* I’m told this will run on broadcast and cable TV…
New ad: @The_RGA chimes in with an attack on @JBPritzker’s mileage tax proposal, but pulls back slightly on @BruceRauner’s empty assertion that it would include a tracking device in your car. RGA says it “might” do that. Today, Rauner doubled down on it. https://t.co/C1tYRhXJ4l
Buying a car, you pay a sales tax. Fill it up, you pay a gas tax. But how would you feel about paying a tax just to drive?
That’s the plan JB Pritzker is considering.
Charge a new tax per mile you drive in Illinois. Charging 1.5 cents per mile.
Not only would they charge you just for driving, but they might even install a state GPS in your car to keep track of it.
Call your legislators. Tell them to oppose the mileage tax.
I’m kinda wondering how Pritzker is gonna respond to this now two-pronged attack. He’s never allowed any negatives to stand unchallenged before. Suggestions?
…Adding… Pritzker campaign…
This is yet another lie from a desperate, failed governor. JB never proposed a vehicle mileage tax. JB has proposed a fair tax and unlike Bruce Rauner, he will maximize available federal dollars when he’s governor. As JB has said, any proposal to pay for infrastructure updates should be studied with stakeholders across the state and should work for working families.
Of course, a real response is delivered in the same format as the original attack. And this is not a TV ad.
* I’m told that every two years for the last ten or so years, at least one Democratic lawyer has called the Kendall County Clerk to object to this notice to voters to “be prepared to present identification to the election judge”…
Whether you agree or disagree, Illinois voters are not required to show identification at the polling place. You show ID when you register and your signature is essentially your ID when you vote. Identification requirements have often been used to suppress the votes of poor people.
* I called Clerk Gillette (a Republican) and asked her why she warned voters about being prepared to present ID. “We always say that just in case the [election] judge has a problem or an issue, can’t find a name,” she said. “It’s not that they’re required to show it. Just have it on you just in case something comes up.”
That’s apparently the same response she has given the Dem lawyers in the past (with the same very pleasant demeanor). I asked the state party’s new executive director for comment…
“Kendall County’s misleading flier on voter identification requirements is troubling and is the first step on the road to voter suppression in Illinois,” said DPI Executive Director Christian Mitchell. “Free and fair access to the polls is a fundamental right across the country and we need public officials who recognize that and encourage voter activity. The Democratic Party of Illinois will work across the aisle to ensure voters have the information they need to exercise their rights and will always stand firmly against voter suppression.”
* I also checked in with the Illinois State Board of Elections. Spokesperson Matt Dietrich chose his words carefully. Election judges “can’t systematically require everyone to show ID,” he said. Voters can use ID to prove who they are if they’re challenged, so the clerk’s recommendation to bring identification was within the law.
“But it’s a little bit questionable about, for the reason you’re calling me, because of the signal it sends,” Dietrich said. “It’s a little surprising that it’s on there.”
* The Question: Did the county clerk make a legitimate suggestion or was it a subtle form of voter suppression? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please.
Today, Governor Rauner will be joined by elected officials and candidates for office to promote The People’s Pledge, a commitment to put term limits on state elected officials and to vote for anyone other than Mike Madigan for House Speaker.
See below for details on today’s event.
All media interested in attending, please RSVP to xxx
WHO
Governor Bruce Rauner
State Representative Tim Butler for the 87th District
Steve McClure, candidate for State Senate for the 50th District
Mike Murphy, candidate for State Representative for the 99th District
Herman Senor, candidate for State Representative for the 96th District
WHERE
Selvaggio Steel, Inc.
1119 W. Dorlan Ave.
Springfield, IL
WHEN
Today - September 5th, 2018
Press Check-in at 9:45 AM
Event will begin at 10:00 AM
* The governor was asked an interesting question…
Rauner has 4 GOP candidates post their signed pledge on a bulletin board. They say they want 10 year term limits to stop Speaker Madigan from controlling the House BUT Rauner wouldn’t commit to holding Minority Leader Durkin to same standards. He’s held office for nearly 20yrs. pic.twitter.com/H2a22dxPR3
This fall marks a first in a decade for Eastern Illinois University: Enrollment numbers are up from the previous year.
Tenth day enrollment numbers, the nationally accepted standard for tracking university and college enrollments, are in. According to Eastern’s fall report, 7,526 students are enrolled at EIU this fall, an increase of 7.1 percent from last fall.
Undergraduate student totals are up from 5,568 last year to 6,012 students, and graduate numbers slightly up from 1,462 last year to 1,514 students.
The freshman class has seen some of the biggest strides. According to EIU officials, the university’s fall-to-fall first-time freshmen enrollment has increased by 24.5 percent, an addition of 155 students.
Fall enrollment at Southern Illinois University Carbondale has decreased by nearly 12 percent from the fall 2017 semester, according to university officials.
The campus reached peak enrollment in 1991 with 24,869 students, but enrollment has been decreasing ever since.
This year, the university’s total student enrollment has hit a new low of 12,817 students, surpassing the low set by previous year’s campus fall enrollment of 14,554.
The largest decrease was in the freshman class, which has 410 fewer students than in 2017 — a 23.86 percent drop. The sophomore class saw 232 fewer students, a 12.7 percent drop, and the junior class went down by 395 students, a 15.48 percent lower from 2016.
Total undergraduate enrollment faced a 13.30 percent decline, with 1,449 fewer students than in fall 2017. Total graduate enrollment faced an 8.39 percent decline with 248 fewer students over last fall.
Bill Daley 1.8%
Chuy Garcia 3.9%
Valerie Jarrett 6.6%
Jerry Joyce 3.2%
Lori Lightfoot 9.6%
Garry McCarthy 16.8%
Susana Mendoza 1.4%
Rick Munoz 1.4%
Toni Preckwinkle 4.6%
Paul Vallas 10.1%
Willie Wilson 15.1%
Voters are showing preferences, although our educated guess is that few are locked in to their choices.
Garry McCarthy had the strongest showing, albeit at a 17 percent clip—followed closely by Willie Wilson and Paul Vallas.
Candidates not listed in the results were lumped together in the OTHER CANDIDATE option.
Mayor Emanuel’s job approval rating was a split decision—a phenomenon probably attributable to his announcement that he would not seek re-election. A more significant finding can be found in the question pertaining to the possibility of him backing a ‘hand-picked’ successor. Nearly 79 percent said he would either have no effect or a negative effect on whether or not voters would support him or her.
The big names added to the mix (Toni Preckwinkle, Susana Mendoza, Bill Daley) barely blipped the radar screen.
I’m told the landline/mobile phone split was right about 50/50.
MORRIS – Fresh off his endorsement interview with the Chicago Tribune, Grundy County States Attorney and Illinois Secretary of State Republican candidate Jason Helland criticized the media for not taking his candidacy seriously.
The Mazon resident held the meet and greet Thursday, with former gubernatorial candidate State Rep. Jeanne Ives (R-Wheaton) as special guest, at Montage Wine Bar and Spirits in downtown Morris.
“The Chicago media loves Jesse White,” Helland told the crowd of about 40 people in attendance. […]
In a post at his Capitol Fax blog on Aug. 16, Rich Miller wrote that Helland should lay off the ageism.
“You’re likely not gonna win this year, dude,” Miller wrote. “Don’t be remembered like this.”
Helland responded at Thursday’s meeting, saying that Miller was “a joke.”
The race for state Senate in the 48th District is getting kind of creepy — or at least crawly.
“Career politicians are like cockroaches; shine a light on them and they scurry,” says a deep-voiced narrator of a radio ad for GOP candidate SETH McMILLAN of Taylorville, the Christian County Republican chairman taking on state Sen. ANDY MANAR, D-Bunker Hill.
He says such politicians have “scurried around the halls of the state Capitol” for decades, doing things including giving “more control to corrupt Chicago politicians.”
The narrator says the solution is “firing career politicians and hiring an outsider.”
McMillan also tweeted a short video of a cockroach.
Republican state senate candidate Seth McMillan failed to disclose a series of small, no-bid contracts his landscaping company secured with the Taylorville school district during a period of time when he sat on the district’s school board, according to documents obtained by WCIA.
“At the time, I did not view that as a conflict,” McMillan said on Tuesday. Without providing any evidence, he claimed that he only charged the school district for materials and labor and did not collect a profit. He did admit, however, that “It was an oversight and it was a mistake on my part.”
State law requires public officials to disclose such business relationships to the public each year. Penalties for willfully failing to disclose an arrangement can be as high as a $1,000 fine or jail time.
McMillan served on the Taylorville School Board from 2009 to 2017. During that period, his company, McMillan’s Landscape Company, invoiced the school district for charges totaling at least $7,196.34. At no time did McMillan report that income to the county clerk. […]
While he admits the error and says he has hired an attorney to file an amended return, McMillan says it was “inadvertent” and that “my company doing a yearly contract of a thousand dollars in some cases to fertilize the grass at a football field is not something to be blown out of proportion.”
Insurance giant State Farm on Tuesday reached a $250 million preliminary settlement in a federal class-action lawsuit claiming the company funneled money to the campaign of an Illinois Supreme Court candidate.
The lawsuit filed in U.S. District Court in East St. Louis alleged Bloomington-based State Farm secretly funneled money to the campaign of Supreme Court Chief Justice Lloyd A. Karmeier while he was a candidate for the high court in 2004.
In the 2005 case of Avery v. State Farm, Karmeier cast the deciding vote to reverse a $1.06 billion judgment in 1999 against State Farm for its use of aftermarket car parts in repairs. The court ruled the nationwide plaintiff class was improperly certified by a Williamson County trial judge. It also contended using aftermarket parts was not a breach of State Farm policyholders’ contracts.
The class-action lawsuit sought nearly $10 billion from State Farm in a trial that was scheduled to begin Tuesday. The plaintiffs alleged State Farm covertly supported Karmeier’s campaign in order to secure his win and reversal of the Avery lawsuit decision.
In a statement released late Tuesday by State Farm and Clifford Law Offices, the Chicago-based law firm representing policyholders in the litigation, the two sides said they reached the agreement “because they believe it is in the best interest of all the parties and to avoid protracted litigation and appeals that could continue for several more years.” […]
State Farm denies liability and maintains its position that the company “considers the claims to be without merit,” according to the settlement. […]
The millions in so-called “dark money” were channeled through donations to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, which then sent the money onto a political action committee and the Illinois Republican Party for use in Karmeier’s 2004 campaign, according to the lawsuit.
Karmeier, who is now chief justice of the Supreme Court, cast the deciding vote in favor of overturning the appellate court ruling that upheld the billion-dollar Avery verdict, policyholders noted in their lawsuit.
State Farm “has consistently denied participating in a RICO scheme and to this day denies any role in electing Judge Karmeier,” Bob Clifford, attorney for the plaintiffs, said in an interview Tuesday. “Now they agree to pay a quarter of a billion dollars, and I think that speaks for itself.”
The settlement came after the jury was selected last week and just before opening statements were set to begin. That probably shows State Farm was spooked by the risk of an adverse verdict, said law professor David Logan, of Roger Williams University in Bristol, Rhode Island.
“Corporations generally don’t part with that kind of money just before the opening statement of a trial unless they got a really negative vibe from the jury that was impaneled,” Logan said. The settlement for far less than what plaintiffs were seeking isn’t unusual, he added. “Two hundred and fifty million dollars in hand may be worth declining a shot at a billion, that only would come after many appeals.”
The plaintiffs were seeking $1 billion in damages based on the original verdict and $1.8 billion in interest, plus tripling under the RICO law.. The jury would have determined damages and the judge would have decided on the interest.
The settlement ends more than 20 years of litigation over by State Farm customers who alleged they were given generic car parts of lower quality than original equipment for more than a decade, violating the terms of their insurance policies.
In 1999, an Illinois state court jury awarded the customers $456 million for breach of contract, and the trial judge added $730 million in damages on a fraud claim. An appellate court reduced the verdict to $1.056 billion, but it was one of the largest class-action awards in U.S. legal history.
In 2004, Karmeier, a Republican who had been a circuit judge in rural Washington County for almost two decades, was elected to the Illinois Supreme Court. A year later, that court threw out the award, and the U.S. Supreme Court refused to review the case, seemingly ending the litigation.
* And check out the headline on this Clifford Law Offices press release…
State Farm Pays $250 Million to Keep Illinois Chief Justice Off the Witness Stand
*They’re calling around or considering bids: Emanuel’s surprise announcement didn’t give would-be candidates much time to act. Some did anyway. Among those not ruling out bids or making phone calls looking for support Tuesday were Bill Daley, the brother of former Mayor Richard M. Daley, GCM Grosvenor CEO Michael Sacks, Cook County Board President Toni Preckwinkle, 2011 mayoral candidate Gery Chico, state Comptroller Susana Mendoza, city Treasurer Kurt Summers, City Clerk Anna Valencia and Alds. Proco “Joe” Moreno, 1st; Ricardo Munoz, 22nd; Ameya Pawar, 47th; and Tom Tunney, 44th.
*They’re on people’s minds: A few high-profile political names emerged, but they didn’t comment publicly. On that list: former CPS CEO Arne Duncan, former White House senior adviser Valerie Jarrett, Attorney General Lisa Madigan, 2015 Emanuel foe Jesus “Chuy” Garcia and Democratic U.S. Rep. Luis Gutierrez.
*They’re already in: Emanuel faced a diverse army of challengers before his Tuesday decision: former Chicago Police Board leader Lori Lightfoot, Paul Vallas, former Chicago Police Department Superintendent Garry McCarthy, Cook County Circuit Court Clerk Dorothy Brown, Chicago principals association President Troy LaRaviere, millionaire businessman Willie Wilson, activist Ja’Mal Green, tech entrepreneur Neal Sales-Griffin, attorney John Kozlar, pharmaceutical technician and DePaul student Matthew Roney, policy consultant Amara Enyia and Southwest Side attorney Jerry Joyce.
They’ve said no: Both former Gov. Pat Quinn and state Sen. Kwame Raoul said they’re not running.
Hearing @ToniPreckwinkle is polling about possible #ChiMayor19 race, others on the maybe list: Mendoza, Quigley, Guttierez, Bill Daley, Arne Duncan, Valerie Jarrett, Summers, Valencia, Pawar, Munoz, Sawyer, Moreno, Lisa Madigan (and …. fill in the blank) #ChiMayor19
* Asked about Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel’s decision not to run again, Gov. Rauner had this to say…
I just heard about that this morning. I look forward to working with whoever is the next mayor.
* Asked if he had any comment on the timing of the mayor’s announcement (the start of the Jason Van Dyke trial), Rauner said…
I don’t. I will just work with leadership in Chicago. I work for everyone in Chicago. I want to make sure we got more jobs, we bring down our tax burden, we end corruption by getting term limits. I believe in term limits for all officials. So this is all part of a process. I look forward to working with the new mayor.
* Your one-word prediction for the immediate future of Chicago politics now that Mayor Emanuel has decided not to run for reelection? Hashtags allowed.
* It’s the day after Labor Day, so the new TV ads are rapidly filling up my in-box…
Today, Sen. Kwame Raoul’s campaign for Attorney General released a new television ad, “What Erika Harold Believes,” highlighting his Republican opponent’s shocking views on the safety of children and her consistent record of discrimination against the LGBTQ community.
“Erika Harold has repeatedly supported policies that discriminate against people like me,” said State Representative Greg Harris, chief sponsor of Illinois’ marriage equality law. “Prejudice has no place in our state, let alone the attorney general’s office. Kwame has a long history of protecting our families and fighting for equal rights, and I know he will defend the progress we’ve worked so hard to achieve.” […]
Harold, who claims her personal views don’t matter because she will simply “enforce the law,” didn’t feel that way in 2014 when she supported prohibiting the U.S. Department of Justice from undermining the Defense of Marriage Act, which the Supreme Court had already found unconstitutional.
“I would support an amendment defining marriage as being between a man and a woman,” Harold told the Champaign News-Gazette while running for Congress in 2014.
[Narrator] “You still won’t believe what Erika Harold believes. We know she’d discriminate against a loving, gay couple who want to adopt a child, favoring an abusive, straight couple instead. But she also supports a constitutional ban on same-sex marriage and would even allow employers to fire workers, just for being gay.
“Kwame Raoul believes children must be protected from abusers, and everyone should be treated equally no matter who you love.”
[Kwame Raoul] “I’m Kwame Raoul. This is the work of my life. And I’m just getting started.”
Today, in the race for Illinois’ Sixth Congressional District, the DCCC announced a new television ad hitting Rep. Peter Roskam for falling in line with President Trump and endlessly attacking affordable health care for families, seniors, and women in his district. The ad will begin airing immediately in the district.
The ad, “Fallen,” highlights Roskam’s record of voting 94% of the time with President Trump, and his repeated votes to weaken protections for people with pre-existing conditions, make older Americans and women pay more for their health care, and leave 30,000 of his own constituents without health coverage.
“Rep. Peter Roskam is deeply out of step with his constituents, and they are the ones paying for it. Rather than put his district first, Roskam has fallen in line with President Trump and voted repeatedly to weaken protections for pre-existing conditions, raise health care costs, and leave 30,000 of his constituents without health care coverage.” – DCCC Spokesperson Jacob Peters
Not to say it won’t work. I have no idea on that front. President Trump ain’t exactly popular in suburbia. But the spot looks like everything the D-trip has ever done - and they don’t exactly have a wonderful track record over there.
Career Politician Peter Roskam’s supposed to work for us. Instead he’s been a rubber stamp for Donald Trump. Roskam voted repeatedly to gut health care…weaken protections for people with pre-existing conditions…and to allow insurance companies to charge older Americans and women more for their care. Roskam even voted to kick 30,000 people in his district off their health insurance. Peter Roskam’s fallen in line with Donald Trump…and we’ve…fallen behind.
…Adding… I’m told his polling showed he either couldn’t win or that it would be extremely difficult to win…
…Adding… Huge pushback on that above insider leak by a much higher-level insider. They finally got him to a place where he could win and he decided not to pull the trigger is what I’m hearing now. He just figures he has nothing left to prove…
…Adding… Talked to another top dog and got the same thing. He was just done. Time to move on…
…Adding… Former Emanuel top dog…
I called this 5 months ago and people said I was crazy. Rahm doesn't do fights he might now win. The guy hates losing.
On Sept. 7, 2010, Richard M. Daley touched off the political equivalent of a Chicago earthquake.
After breaking his father’s longevity record, Daley chose political retirement over the quest for a seventh term. That touched off a game of political dominoes that saw Rahm Emanuel succeed his political mentor and Daley’s brother, Bill, replace Emanuel as White House chief of staff.
Nearly eight years later, Emanuel is approaching that point of no return himself.
He needs to decide whether to walk away or make the uphill climb toward a third term — and stick to that decision, no matter how difficult the campaign gets.
If Emanuel waits much longer, he will risk looking like his political future is being dictated by the outcome of the trial of Chicago police Officer Jason Van Dyke, who is charged with the murder of Laquan McDonald.
The trial, scheduled to start next week, is certain to dredge up ugly memories of Emanuel’s decision to withhold the McDonald shooting video until after the 2015 election and release it only after a judge ordered the city to do so.
“I would make the decision before the trial starts. If the cop is acquitted or there’s a mistrial and he then decides not to run, he looks like he’s responding to something,” one political operative said.
“It’s an easier decision to run than walk away. But he needs to remember that third terms are a bitch to win and even harder to govern. Even if he wins, everyone will know it’s his last term. Whatever fealty or fear people have now will be gone. It’ll be a miserable four years.”
*** UPDATE *** Emanuel’s prepared remarks…
On my first day as Mayor of this great city, I promised to make tough choices and face the hard truths we had not confronted, even when it hurts. Every day for the past seven and a half years, that is what I have tried my best to do – to improve our schools, make our community colleges relevant, put our fiscal house on stable footing, confront violence and rebuild trust between police and community, modernize our transportation systems, invest in our neighborhood parks and libraries and grow our economy into an engine of jobs and opportunity for all. I’m not shy, and together we’ve never shied away from a challenge.
Today, the time has come to make another tough choice. As much as I love this job and will always love this city and its residents, I have decided not to seek re-election.
This has been the job of a lifetime, but it is not a job for a lifetime. You hire us to get things done – and pass the torch when we’ve done our best to do what you hired us to do.
I have approached public service the only way I know how for the last 23 years—giving 100 percent, 24 hours a day, seven days a week—for President Clinton, in Congress and in its leadership, as President Obama’s Chief of Staff and finally as your Mayor. For the last seven and a half years I’ve given my all every day and left everything on the field. This commitment has required significant sacrifice all around. Now, with our three kids in college, Amy and I have decided it is time for us to write a new chapter together.
In a few moments, I’ll speak to my Cabinet, and tell them to get ready to sprint for the finish line in May. We have more to do, and from now until then, we’ll do everything in our power to get it done and walk out the door hopefully leaving Chicago and Chicagoans in a stronger place. We will stand ready and eager to work with whoever is lucky enough to come next and ensure a smooth and positive transition. We owe our city nothing less.
But today I want to thank the people of Chicago for the opportunity to serve. It will fill my eyes with tears to leave a job I love, and already my heart is full with gratitude. We have worked together. We have celebrated progress together. We have grieved together. Amy and I made friendships across this city that will last a lifetime.
I want to thank Amy for being such a remarkable First Lady. We’ve been together for 27 years. When we got married, I told her I would never run for office. Six elections later, she’s the only reason I have made it this far.
We’re blessed with three great children, and I owe them so much as well. Politicians always say they’re leaving office to spend more time with their family. My kids were smart enough to see that coming and scattered to the two coasts, so as of the other day we are now empty nesters.
Amy and I are still young – and Amy still looks it. And we look forward to writing that next chapter in our journey together.
I’ll always be here for the future of this city – not as mayor, but in the most important role anyone can play, as citizen. I hope I’ll find ways to answer the call I’ve asked of every citizen: to do my part to stand up for the next generation, who deserve the doors of opportunity to be open and the spark of hope to light their eyes.
I’m grateful to my parents for lighting that spark in me. And I want to thank my grandfather, who at the age of 13, took an enormous chance a century ago by immigrating here from Eastern Europe, fleeing the pogroms, to meet a third cousin he did not know in a city whose name he could not pronounce.
In four congressional runs on the North and Northwest Sides – and in two races for Mayor – you cast aside old history and voted for a Jewish kid with the middle name Israel. I will always be profoundly grateful for that and what it means to my family.
This morning, as we start a new school year, I went to Bronzeville Classical to welcome students back for the start of a new school year and to Perez Elementary to mark the opening of universal full day pre-K in Chicago. The changes we have made to our school system – universal full day pre-K, universal kindergarten and a longer school day and year will add up to nearly four more years of class time for Chicago’s students. In the end of the day what matters most in public life is four more years for our children, not four more years for me.
Together, since May of 2011, through thick and thin, we tried to do right by our city’s future. No matter how difficult the path we never wavered or shrunk from our responsibilities. And I will never forget the honor it has been to serve alongside you the people of Chicago every step of the way.
From the bottom of my heart: Thank you. God bless you. And God bless the people of Chicago.
…Adding… Sen. Durbin…
Rahm’s record of public service spans Congress, the White House, and the fifth floor of City Hall in Chicago. I have worked closely with him at every level of his public career. I always knew a call from Rahm was an invitation to join him in a bold, ambitious effort to make life better for those he served. It has been my honor to join him in these great ventures. Rahm has left his mark and I wish him and Amy the best in the days ahead.
…Adding… Speaker Madigan…
“I want to thank Rahm Emanuel for his service to our city as a member of Congress, as chief of staff to President Obama, and most notably as our mayor.
“Mayor Emanuel offered steady leadership through difficult times. His efforts to balance the budget, stabilize pensions, and make tough decisions consistently reflected his commitment to do what was best for the future of our city, not what was easy. As Chicago continues to move forward and grow as an international city, we will remain grateful for Mayor Emanuel’s leadership.”
…Adding… The Sun-Times is compiling more react. Click here.
…Adding… Comptroller Mendoza…
Mayor Emanuel and I had some lively arguments when I first took office as City Clerk. But we respected each other’s work ethic and were united by our mutual love for the City and the people of Chicago. He made tough choices that needed to be made and I admire his conviction and force of will that drove him to see many projects through for the good of Chicago. Knowing that there’s still so much more work to do and so many critical challenges that would require a 100% focus, his decision to not seek re-election means that Mayor Emanuel is putting the City before himself. I admire him for that. As Rahm said, “It has been the job of a lifetime, but it is not a job for a lifetime.” I thank Rahm for his dedicated service to Chicago as its mayor and I hope we find a worthy successor.
* JB Pritzker…
“Mayor Emanuel has dedicated his life to public service and I want to thank him for his commitment to Chicago and to the nation. I also want to express my gratitude for his work expanding universal Pre-K, a priority that is personally important to me. Every elected official makes personal sacrifice to do this work and Mayor Emanuel honored the legacy of his family with his service to our city and our state. Illinois faces real challenges, and should I be elected governor, I look forward to working with the mayor in his final months in office and with new leadership to move our state forward.”
* And with Rahm out, I would expect several Latinx candidates to express interest…
22nd Ward Ald. Rick Munoz says on WGN just now that he's running for mayor
A good thing to do if you talk to a resident of the City of Chicago – just go ahead and ask if they're running for mayor so we can start crossing names off the list.
“I have not been running against Rahm Emanuel but rather to offer fresh and realistic ideas for the future of Chicago. From the outset of my campaign in April, I have been detailing with great specificity how I will address the unprecedented and complex problems facing Chicago. And I will continue to do so on issues including rebuilding Chicago’s forgotten communities on the South and West Sides, making Chicago safer for all its citizens and repairing the City’s tattered finances. As the only candidate with a successful track record of running multi-billion government agencies, I am the only candidate in this race who will be ready from day one to get Chicago on a new and more successful path.”
…Adding… Senate Republican Leader Bill Brady…
“I want to thank Mayor Rahm Emanuel for his service to the residents of Chicago, and for his decades of public service as a whole,” said Senate Republican Leader Bill Brady (R-Bloomington). “I wish him nothing but the best as he begins the next chapter in what’s already been an amazing journey.”
…Adding… Senate President John Cullerton…
“Rahm Emanuel has been a tireless advocate for the City of Chicago. His commitment to education will be felt for generations to come, as will his positive influence on our great city. I’m honored to have worked with him and proud to call him my friend. I wish him and his family the best in their next adventures.”
Even though, as the challenger in 2014, Rauner blasted Quinn as “a miserable failure on jobs” and promised “I’ll get results,” his employment results have been worse than Quinn’s, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Specifically, Illinois added 209,000 jobs in the first 42 months of Rauner’s administration, according to the most recent finalized figures from the BLS. In a comparable period — the last 42 months of the Quinn administration — Illinois added 241,500 jobs, or 16 percent more.
There was some pushback on that particular comparison.
Rauner’s excuse to [WCIA’s Mark Maxwell]: “We have had the headwinds of a tax hike from (Democratic House Speaker) Mike Madigan.” […]
With the higher tax rates in effect during Quinn’s last 30 months, Illinois added 173,500 jobs. With the lower tax rates in effect during Rauner’s first 30 months, Illinois added 151,600 jobs. […]
This doesn’t show that Quinn’s policies were better for business or better for jobs than Rauner’s are. There are too many economic crosscurrents and outside forces at work to credit or blame any governor for these sorts of movements in the job market. It simply shows that, by Rauner’s own standards, he’s a bigger failure than his predecessor.
An Illinois county has approved a memorial honoring three former governors from Kankakee, including convicted ex-Gov. George Ryan.
The Daily Journal reports the Kankakee County board endorsed it in a 10-to-2 vote last week. It’ll be on the Kankakee courthouse lawn. It’ll also be dedicated to Len Small, governor from 1921 to 1929; and Samuel Shapiro, governor in the late 1960s.
Member Michael LaGesse opposed it, saying he didn’t get one call in favor.
Board member Robert Ellington-Snipes expressed reservations, citing Ryan’s corruption convictions. But he said Ryan also did some “good.” He voted for the plan.
Hey, it’s their county, they can do what they want. And it is most definitely unusual for a county of 110,000 or so people to have been the home to three governors.
But while lots of folks may remember George Ryan’s tenure, Len Small was about as corrupt as they come.
Len Small was governor throughout the Roaring Twenties — that gilded age of prohibition and lawlessness.
Small was a close political ally of Chicago Mayor “Big” Bill Thompson, who was the Mafia’s chief enabler in this state. Small was also closely affiliated with Johnny Torrio, the guy who united the city’s innumerable rackets and gangsters under one umbrella during the beginning of Prohibition. Al Capone was Torrio’s top lieutenant, and when Torrio split town, Capone further refined his vast organization.
Len Small was known as the “pardoning governor.” He is alleged to have sold hundreds of pardons, mostly to gangsters. He even went so far as to pardon cop killers. In 1922, a group of Torrio’s bootleggers were on their way to Chicago when they shot and killed a motorcycle cop who was in full pursuit. Small pardoned the whole bunch.
Walter Stevens, the “dean of all Chicago’s gunmen,” was Johnny Torrio’s top trigger man. Stevens bumped off many of Torrio’s rivals. The murder of an Aurora policeman landed Stevens in prison, but Governor Small dutifully pardoned him. There were reports at the time that Stevens played a crucial role in helping Small beat an embezzlement charge. Some key evidence was “accidentally” burned by a janitor, who died soon afterwards.
The malfeasance charge alleged that Small, when he was state treasurer, loaned state money to an outfit-connected company at 6 percent interest, but turned over just half the profits to the state’s bank accounts. He was acquitted, but he lost a subsequent civil case and had to pony up several hundred thousand dollars.
Small was widely known as the “Roads Governor” because he passed a $100 million bond issue to build thousands of miles of roads. Not often mentioned is that the mob controlled many of the road construction unions and, by extension, the companies they organized. You can bet your house that Torrio and Capone pocketed a big chunk of that bond money.
Democratic gubernatorial candidate J.B. Pritzker is hitting back at remarks made recently by Gov. Bruce Rauner on the campaign trail and through TV ads in which Rauner said Illinois will experience “higher taxes, more corruption and fewer jobs” if Pritzker is elected.
Speaking Monday at the Rock Island County Democrats’ annual “Salute to Labor” picnic, Pritzker said Rauner has been “an utter and complete failure, and now he’s lying. I put out a plan that will lower most people’s income taxes and lower property taxes, which is one of the biggest scourges we’ve got in the state. And it will help us pay for schools.”
Pritzker has not “put out a plan” on taxation. He hasn’t even put out an outline.
* Also, it’s never wise to count on your opponent to self-destruct. I don’t think that’s what he means here, but a whole lot of his supporters are putting a lot of faith in this happening…
“I believe in standing up for job creation and for workers,” Pritzker said. “I believe Bruce Rauner has been an utter disaster for working families across the state of Illinois. That’s why he’s going to lose in November.”
* Related…
* Word on the Street: Wondering about JB Pritzker’s tax rates, Bruce Rauner’s tax relief
* Fact-check: Pritzker won’t like this headline, but he’s wrong about Rauner ad: We checked the entire string of cited articles and located the quoted lines in all of them. So it’s clear Rauner isn’t pulling words out of thin air. When we asked Pritzker’s campaign to explain how Rauner erred, spokesman Jason Rubin wrote in an email that the ad “misquotes articles by repeating lines out of context and in a way that misrepresents J.B.’s vision for putting Illinois back on track.” … It’s a complicated scenario, and Rauner’s ad ignores all the nuance by suggesting Pritzker seeks to raise taxes across the board.
* Like four years ago, Illinois’ governor’s race could take nasty turn in stretch run: “This looks a lot like the Quinn-Rauner race in a sense that neither one of them really had a lot positive to say. When you’re the challenger without a record, and sort of a rookie candidate, all you’ve got is promises that anybody can make. So really, the only thing that has any meat to it typically is reading the record of the incumbent. That’s what this is all about, being in office and being held accountable,” Mooney said. “In both (2014 and 2018), the incumbent has little to show for and the challenger is a neophyte candidate who had nothing except promises to offer,” he said. “You knew at the beginning of that 2014 race, as soon as Rauner won the nomination, it was going to be just terrible negative ads the whole time because both sides, that’s all they got. And at this point, this time around, it’s probably going to be very similar.”
Today, the Rauner campaign is launching a new TV ad titled “No More Extra Money.”
The ad features Denise Smith, a lifelong Illinoisan who is worried about the potential for new taxes if JB Pritzker and Mike Madigan take total control of Springfield. Specifically, she focuses on the Vehicle Mileage Tax, a new tax that would force Illinois families to pay for every mile they drive. Pritzker expressed an interest in the idea during a Daily Herald editorial board.
Pritzker would not only raise income taxes on hardworking Illinois families, but also push new taxes like the Vehicle Mileage Tax, taxes Illinoisans can’t afford.
I have lived in Illinois all my life. Our taxes have been growing for decades. JB Pritzker wants to raise our income taxes, but worse yet he wants a car tax which will also come along with a tracking device. How much is that going to cost us, just to drive to a family member’s house? There’s no more extra money in my budget to start paying additional taxes. If JB Pritzker gets in office, I think we’re going to seriously consider leaving Illinois.
Pritzker has said he’d consider a pilot project, but voters don’t do nuance.
Have you heard of QAnon? It’s a bizarre conspiracy theory that’s turned into something of an online cult. Its adherents believe there’s a person with ultrahigh Q-level security clearance sending them messages on the internet.
They believe Hillary Clinton and other Democrats and Hollywood types are involved in a massive pedophilia ring. The first dispatch from “Q” claimed Clinton was about to be arrested. That didn’t happen, of course, but it didn’t deter the cultists. They’ve gone on to accuse a congresswoman of plotting to kill a party staffer. They think Clinton, George Soros and former President Barack Obama are plotting a coup against President Donald Trump.
As the online movement has grown, the QAnon conspiracists have been roundly and rightly ridiculed and criticized in news stories and on social media for their hateful gullibility.
You may not know this, but we’ve had similar conspiracy theories in Illinois politics for years, and its messiahs are the leaders of the Democratic and Republican parties. Both parties routinely whack legislative candidates on the flimsiest evidence for cozying up to pedophiles and sexual predators.
I’ve told you about the non-binding referendums to be held in dozens of Downstate counties designed to entice pro-gun voters to the polls, but that’s not the end of the story.
“Shall the [local county board] pass a resolution that opposes any gun control legislation in the Illinois General Assembly?” most of the Downstate ballot questions will ask. The Illinois State Rifle Association, Gov. Bruce Rauner’s campaign and several Republican legislators have all worked to get the question on ballots in Downstate counties.
But a ballot question like that in the suburbs would run the risk of backfiring by attracting voters who might not be voting for Republican candidates. So, a different tactic was required in that part of the state.
“Shall [the county] oppose the General Assembly instituting a property tax increase equivalent to 1 percent of your home’s value to help retire state debt?” is just one of the questions that will appear on ballots in Republican-controlled DuPage and Kane counties this fall.
The 1 percent tax surcharge was first broached by a few economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago back in May. The Illinois Policy Institute and its allies (including former Republican gubernatorial candidate Rep. Jeanne Ives) whipped up some public furor against it, but the idea wasn’t ever going anywhere.
Property taxes are already way too high in this state and are not based on the ability to pay. So, tacking on a state tax surcharge that could add as much as 50 percent to a homeowner’s local property tax bill would bring out the torches and pitchforks — and maybe even tar and feathers.
The Republicans need to counteract what looks to be a coming Democratic wave election. They have to do whatever it takes to get “their” people to the polls. And property taxes are most definitely a huge issue in the suburbs.
DuPage County will also ask its voters about a proposal to tax vehicle mileage — another tax that has so far gone nowhere in Illinois. Democratic gubernatorial candidate J.B. Pritzker has said he’d consider a study of the idea, but it has not gained much if any traction in the General Assembly. Senate President John Cullerton briefly flirted with the idea, but dropped it because the state still didn’t have a budget (among other reasons).
And several suburban Cook County townships will ask their voters a version of this question being asked in Schaumburg Township: “Should the Cook County Board of Commissioners reinstate the Cook County Sweetened Beverage Tax Ordinance (also known as the Soda Tax) to fill an $82 million county budget deficit?”
Elk Grove, Palatine, Lemont and Maine townships will also ask the question, according to a report in the Daily Herald last week (I’m told Palos is also on that list), even though the pop tax has been thoroughly killed beyond dead after the county board imposed it and then backed off in the face of a public uproar.
A Rauner campaign official told me last week that voters in more than 60 counties and townships will have a chance to express their non-binding opinions on hot-button issues favorable to Republicans.
So, will this work? Well, it likely depends on your meaning of “work.” This is just one piece in a much larger puzzle. But, either way, it probably can’t hurt. And if they put some money and effort behind it, some folks who might not be planning to vote could be convinced by the ploy.
“The statewide Republican operation is going to use paid advertisement to target Republican voters with this referendum to turn them out and vote for all of us,” according to a text sent by Rep. Dave Severin, R-Benton, to one of his local county board members, according to published reports.
House Speaker Michael Madigan has admitted to using non-binding statewide referendums to get Democrats to the polls, including in 2014, when he added questions about increasing the minimum wage, taxing millionaires and requiring insurers to provide birth control coverage.
Rauner and the Republicans couldn’t possibly put questions favorable to them on the statewide ballot because that would require the General Assembly’s approval, so they’ve had to improvise locally. If nothing else, it at least shows some gumption on their part.
Now, to a bit of housecleaning. A couple of weeks ago I told you that Comptroller Susana Mendoza didn’t appeal a court ruling on legislator pay. That was wrong. She did appeal. I’m sorry.
