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Question of the day

Wednesday, Oct 10, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The gubernatorial candidates were asked yesterday what TV show they never miss. JB Pritzker’s answer

I don’t know if any of you are on Netflix, but I love the show “Atypical.” It’s a relatively newer show, and something that I don’t miss.

Gov. Rauner’s answer

Far and away, my favorite time— I have to say, as governor I’ve watched virtually no television. Back before being governor, I would love the classics, like for example I would always like to see “The Dick Van Dyke Show” or some other classic, family shows the 60s. I love that stuff, it’s kinda teary-eyed to me, and it’s a great way to relax.

* The Question: What TV show do you never miss? Explain.

  68 Comments      


Illinois Policy Institute: Hardly any waste in Illinois government

Wednesday, Oct 10, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The folks at the Illinois Policy Institute have combed the state budget and have found “$54.2 million in wasteful spending.” They define “waste” as “spending that does not serve a legitimate purpose of government.”

Why is that encouraging news? Because the state budget is $38.5 billion. So, according to the Institute, waste accounts for just 0.14 percent of state spending. Every penny counts, but that’s a pretty darned good ratio, if you ask me.

* Predictably, that’s not how the Institute sees things

A new report highlights waste and pork in Illinois’ budget and its author says it just highlights the slap in the face to Illinois taxpayers.

* The report claims that “$3.6 million on the development of the World Shooting Recreational Complex in Sparta, in addition to $2.6 million on operating costs” is “wasteful.” Not everyone agrees

State Sen. Paul Schimpf, R-Waterloo, said the report is misleading.

“Any report that does not consider all of the economic benefits the shooting complex brings to the southern Illinois region is an incomplete analysis,” Schimpf said. “This report omits any such assessment. At best, it’s shortsighted; at worst, it’s misleading.”

One person’s wasteful spending is another person’s vital economic development tool.

The Institute also claims that all Illinois Arts Council spending is wasteful.

…Adding… This came in Wednesday night and I didn’t see it until Thursday morning…

Rich,

I saw your post about the Waste Watch report today. For context, this research identified nearly $100 million in wasteful spending in Illinois state and local government, but this is just the tip of the iceberg. The fiscal year 2019 state budget accounts for over $81 million of that total, including $54 million in pure waste and $27 million in pork spending, or politically-motivated favors and special projects. The report intentionally excluded the state’s overspending on government worker health insurance, duplicative administration, and inflated pension benefits, choosing to classify them as “structural overspending” though they could easily fit a broader definition of waste.

While you’re obviously right that eliminating these projects wouldn’t balance the budget, that’s no excuse for this kind of spending when the state has $8 billion in unpaid bills, the lowest credit rating in the nation, and just hiked taxes on the average Illinois family by about $730. The other big problem here is transparency. Because there was no time for public comment and debate over this year’s budget, the merits of these projects was left up to a handful of powerful legislative leaders.

Regarding the Sparta World Shooting Complex, many people are defensive of waste and pork that personally benefits them or their region. The intent here is not to say these projects have no merit, but rather that they are not essential government functions and that Illinois cannot afford them given our fiscal crisis. Indeed, if items like the Sparta World Shooting Complex are valuable, people would be willing to pay for them voluntarily and they could be run as private for profit businesses.

Any amount of waste in state government is a slap in the face to taxpayers. Every dollar the government spends comes out of a taxpayer’s pocket first. Academic research has long shown that people are more willing to pay taxes when they see valuable services in return. Meanwhile, polls show: 1) Illinoisans have the lowest level of trust in their elected officials among all 50 states; and, 2) Over half of our residents want to leave the state and taxes are the number one reason. The $100 million in wasteful spending identified in this report helps explain both these polling results.

Adam Schuster
Budget and Tax Research Director
Illinois Policy Institute

  40 Comments      


*** UPDATED x1 *** Rauner’s shift on illegal immigration

Wednesday, Oct 10, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 2014 Bruce Rauner candidate op-ed published in Hoy

President Obama has deported more immigrants that any other president, causing extremely painful family hardships and hurting our economy. When Democrats controlled Congress and held the White House in 2009-10, they had the chance to pass immigration reform, as President Obama promised he would, and yet they did nothing. The humanitarian crisis at the border today cries out for leadership that is lacking.

Unfortunately, my own Republican Party is even more to blame. Too many Republicans in Washington choose to ignore the problem. Even worse, some Republicans are downright hostile to immigrants, failing to recognize that America’s past, present, and future would not be nearly as bright and prosperous without our culture and heritage of immigration.

Not all Republicans are that way. In March, I attended a pro-immigration reform rally in Chicago along with former Illinois Governors Jim Edgar and Jim Thompson and former U.S. House Speaker from Illinois Dennis Hastert, all Republicans. Republican Illinois Senator Mark Kirk voted in favor of last year’s bipartisan comprehensive immigration reform bill in the U.S. Senate. […]

I will advocate changing our broken national immigration system, to secure our borders and prevent more from entering our country illegally, but also to increase the number of those who can legally come here, and to treat those who are already here in a humane way that preserves families and integrates them into the mainstream of our economy and society. After all, that is the American way.

* More from Hannah Meisel, who also dug up that old Hoy op-ed

In 2016, Rauner signed a bill that provides cash welfare, state-funded health care and food assistance to undocumented immigrants who were victims of human trafficking, torture or “other serious crimes,” while awaiting federal visas.

* Gov. Rauner yesterday

Chicagoans want to work. You ask someone in Lawndale, Austin, Englewood whether they want to work. They do. They’re looking for jobs. Those jobs in too many cases are being filled by illegal immigrants. That’s wrong. I support legal immigration. Legal immigration is good and America is built by legal immigrats. But illegal immigration, we have immigration laws for a reason, and Mr. Pritzker has been very clear he says there’s no one here illegally. There’s no such thing as an ‘illegal person.’ That’s just not true. And he said specifically that he supports sanctuary cities and making Illinois a sanctuary state. I do not. We have immigration laws. They should be enforced. And the lack of economic opportunity on the South Side and West Side is a major driver of the violence there and we’ve got to fix that.

*** UPDATE *** Press release…

Bruce Rauner went to Little Village to stand on stage with our community leaders and celebrate Mexican Independence Day September 16. Yesterday, he blamed Chicago crime and statewide unemployment and low wages on “the massive number of illegal immigrants.” In addition, individual leaders offered the following additional comments:

Cook County Commissioner Jesus “Chuy” Garcia: “Bruce Rauner is unfit to be Governor and a complete disgrace to our great state. He is so desperate to win re-election that he feels compelled to attack a vulnerable group of hard-working people because his administration has been a total failure. I’m going to do everything in my power to vote this Trumpian out of office.”

Illinois State Comptroller Susana A. Mendoza: “All Illinoisans should reject Governor Rauner’s attempt to jump-start his failing re-election campaign by adopting President Trump’s racist and divisive scape-goating of immigrants. Governor Rauner’s gutting of after-school programs and mental health services has far more to do with Chicago’s crime spike than immigrants do. Local and national records show immigrants - both legal and undocumented - commit far fewer crimes than other groups in our country. My immigrant parents brought nothing but a strong work ethic to this country. Governor Rauner’s “Swedish immigrant” grandparents from Wisconsin would be ashamed of him.”

U.S. Rep. Luis Gutierrez, D-Illinois: I never thought that Governor Rauner would shame himself by adopting Donald Trump’s dangerous and divisive lies. This is a new low for Governor Rauner who will now go down in history as a demagogue with no scruples.

  26 Comments      


Oops!

Wednesday, Oct 10, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* 6:05 this morning…



* Four hours later…



* He is really catching heck for this advice on his Facebook page

We are currently in SWFL. People in the path of the storm were told it was too late to evacuate quite some time ago. Please don’t spread advice that is ill-advised at best (and deadly at worst) to those in a state you know nothing about. You’ve done plenty to screw Illinois, don’t start on Florida.

Ouch.

…Adding… The tweet recommending evacuation has been taken down.

  23 Comments      


GCS Credit Union: Giving Back to the Communities We Serve

Wednesday, Oct 10, 2018 - Posted by Advertising Department

[The following is a paid advertisement.]

Credit unions exist to help people, not make a profit. It is this motto of ‘People Helping People’ that sets credit unions apart. In an ongoing effort to support local communities, GCS employees participate in Jeans Days each month in support of a worthy local cause. Most recently, GCS Credit Union employees joined together in the month of September to raise $980.00 to benefit the local Community Care Center of Granite City.

The purpose of the Community Care Center is rendering assistance to families, individuals and children within the Quad-Cities area (Madison, Granite City, Venice, Pontoon Beach, Mitchell). The Community Care Center provides the following services: food pantry, emergency food orders, senior food delivery, soup kitchen, Back to School Program providing each school age child in a family with new outfit, Christmas Warmth Program providing Christmas cheer and economic relief to families, loan medical equipment, and Nix Program through schools for head lice. GCS Credit Union is proud to support this worthy cause.

To find out more about the credit union difference, visit www.ASmarterChoice.org. Help to strengthen our communities from the inside out by becoming a credit union member today!

  Comments Off      


Dueling endorsements

Wednesday, Oct 10, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Daily Herald endorsed Sen. Kwame Raoul today

There’s a strong argument to be made on behalf of Erika Harold, an attorney from Urbana who would make fighting corruption one of her priorities. A state like Illinois could use more corruption fighters, of course, and the likelihood of a Democratic governor being elected with a legislature controlled by Democrats increases the value of having a Republican check on its power in the attorney general’s office.

But there’s a better argument to be made on behalf of Kwame Raoul, a state senator from Chicago with a great depth of understanding of the law and the passion and experience to use it actively on behalf of the citizenry in keeping with the traditions of the attorney general’s office.

Whereas Raoul could be expected to confront federal infringement on vital Illinois interests such as clean water, the reality is that Harold would be unlikely to resist those challenges.

She argues that the job of the office is to uphold the law and thus personal views don’t enter into it. But so much of the office’s priorities are determined by the attorney general’s priorities that it’s simply inescapable that personal views would matter.

So, her standard answer backfired on her there.

* The Champaign News-Gazette recently endorsed Erika Harold

Raoul’s attacks, while perhaps politically effective, are bizarre.

The right to get an abortion and participate in a same-sex marriage are federally guaranteed constitutional rights that are not subject to either a popular vote or veto by any public official.

Raoul appears to recognize that reality. But he insists he should be elected attorney general to protect those rights in the event they might come under legal assault sometime in the future. That’s a pretty weak argument to make.

Indeed, it smacks of obsessing about the past.

Legal abortion has been a fact of life for more than 40 years.

Same-sex marriage is relatively new, but there’ll be no turning back there either.

Society has rendered its judgment on that dramatic social change, and it’s in place to stay.

Illinoisans would be best served by a candidate who’ll address current problems and issues. That candidate is, unquestionably, Harold.

  26 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Campaign updates

Wednesday, Oct 10, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

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IMA-backed group runs positive ad for Rauner

Wednesday, Oct 10, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The Economic Freedom Alliance just reported spending $1.4 million on a new TV ad supporting Gov. Bruce Rauner

Notice how the ad is so super positive, but Gov. Rauner isn’t shown until the 12-second mark (and then only briefly) and his name doesn’t appear on screen until five seconds before the ad ends. The thinking may be that when a candidate is as unpopular as Rauner is, they had to set a positive mood before bringing him fully on screen or people would tune out. That’s one reason why I think Rauner’s own recent positive ad doesn’t work well.

The Economic Freedom Alliance is funded by the Illinois Manufacturers Association. No word on where the IMA is getting all this cash. You’ll recall they spent big bucks against Sam McCann this month and ran a “toilet” ad against JB Pritzker.

  13 Comments      


Because… Madigan!

Wednesday, Oct 10, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From an Illinois Review article on a weekend event hosted by the United Southland Republican Women

Theories among Republicans at the luncheon included the leak about the [Cook County Inspector General’s report on JB Pritzker’s alleged property tax scheme] being made because Speaker Mike Madigan is setting Pritzker up to be elected as governor. But the person that will really end up running the state will be Juliana Stratton - a Madigan puppet - betraying Pritzker and sealing his rule of the state’s Executive Branch, Legislative Branch and Judicial Branch.

I’ve heard more than one Republican suggest this, so the conspiracy theory is not as off the wall as you might think. It’s almost undoubtedly wrong, but there’s absolutely no question that Madigan will benefit from a scandal-weakened Pritzker.

A billionaire governor who is popular with his party’s progressive legislative wing would really put Madigan on the spot. He’s been running interference for business groups for years on stuff like the minimum wage, rent control, etc. His entire legislative agenda has always been built around the political needs of his most politically vulnerable incumbents, and those folks by definition represent at least potentially GOP-leaning areas. Going full-bore lefty on everything isn’t something he’s ever done or has wanted to do. He picks his spots carefully.

So, when partisan Republicans constantly blast Gov. Pritzker (if he wins, of course) for being a “criminal,” that’ll play right into Madigan’s hands. Pritzker really needs to get this behind him.

Also, just as an FYI, Juliana Stratton is a House Democrat who was elected with strong Madigan support, but she’s nobody’s puppet.

* Meanwhile, as we all know, Madigan has his own issues that he’ll have to deal with in the upcoming session. And his most vulnerable incumbent, Rep. Natalie Phelps Finnie (D-Elizabethtown), just publicly ran away from him

“I’ve been dumbfounded. It is nonsense and ridiculous,” Phelps Finnie said. “Madigan has been there too long. We all agree on that.”

So, yeah, Pritzker could be weakened by this property tax thingy, but Madigan’s name is so toxic that he’s becoming less able to protect his members. And as we’ve already discussed today, politics is basically a protection racket.

* Related…

* Landlords for rent control? You heard that right

* Jim Nowlan: Madigan has shut down democracy

  29 Comments      


Our sorry state

Wednesday, Oct 10, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* SJ-R

WALLETHUB, a personal finance website, released a study earlier this past week comparing local economic growth of communities across the country.

Out of 515 U.S. cities, Springfield ranked 507th in local economic growth. Or, looking at it another way, the website determined that the capital city is the ninth-slowest growing city in the country.

The metrics that that determined the findings: population growth, median household income growth, job growth, poverty rate decrease, regional GDP growth, unemployment rate decrease, growth in number of businesses, working-age population growth, foreclosure rate decrease, median household income growth.

[Eric Berglund, the CEO of the Land of Lincoln Economic Development Corp. (LLEDC), the city and county’s new joint economic development arm] said Springfield has been bogged down the past few years by the lack of a state budget, general uncertainty over the state’s larger fiscal situation and population loss among other things. But, he said the region’s affordable cost of living and other fundamental strengths can set it up for future success.

According to the report, Champaign is Illinois’ fastest-growing city, but it ranks an abysmal 343 on the list. Naperville is a few spots back and Chicago ranks 374, just behind Cicero. Yes, you read that right.

Decatur is dead last on the list at 515. Springfield ain’t much higher than that.

Fort Myers, Florida is first.

  66 Comments      


“Because they’re the ones who suck”

Wednesday, Oct 10, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I’ve been telling subscribers about this TV and radio ad campaign for weeks. Crain’s published a story a few days ago

A media campaign raising alarms about skyrocketing property taxes is a signal that a rift in the state’s Republican Party shows no sign of healing. The campaign comes from Liberty Principles, the Illinois super PAC that once counted Illinois Gov. Bruce Rauner as one of its biggest donors.

“Save Your Home Now” ads running on television and radio advocate for a 1 percent “hard cap on property taxes as a percentage of home value,” which it points out has been implemented in California and Indiana. The website claims the plan would halve the property taxes of most Illinois homeowners.

It’s also the same plan proposed by former Rauner opponent Jeanne Ives, the Republican state legislator who challenged the governor in the primary earlier this year. Ives and other independent-minded Republicans have slammed Rauner for not doing enough to bring down taxes in a state whose real estate taxes are the second-highest in the nation.

Liberty Principles Chairman Dan Proft said the purpose of the campaign is to support “independent conservative reform candidates” across Illinois who are committed to the property tax issue. Proft is a Republican political operative and radio host who in recent years has created an empire of stealth conservative media outlets, including local “newspapers” with a clear ideology. […]

Kent Redfield, an emeritus professor of political science at the University of Illinois at Springfield, said that efforts like Save Your Home are designed to “really purify and take over the House Republican caucus” from both Democrats and Rauner allies.

* Proft has spent a fortune on these ads to try and drive people to his website. Here’s one

That tagline is certainly original, at least for a TV ad. But is it working? Proft says the ads are driving traffic to his site. But will that actually help candidates win?

Politics is basically a protection racket. You help me fend off opponents and make me otherwise relatively content and then I support your leadership. If you don’t do either, I run away and find someone else.

This ad campaign is entirely a different thing. I’m really not sure yet what it is.

* I suppose we’ll find out what he intends to do at this upcoming City Club event

Illinois GOP: Now What?

Moderated by Tom Cross
Dan Proft, Pat Brady & Kristen McQueary

Monday, Nov 19, 2018

  34 Comments      


Ipsos poll: Pritzker up by 20

Wednesday, Oct 10, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Thanks to a commenter for pointing this one out

Today, Ipsos released new election data in partnership with Reuters and the University of Virginia Center for Politics, showing that Democrat J. B. Pritzker (50%) holds a double-digit lead over Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner (30%) in the Illinois race for Governor. Among likely voters, 62% view both Pritzker and Rauner as “traditional” politicians.

The top issues in determining the vote in Illinois are the economy (16%) and healthcare (15%). On the issue of the economy, likely voters are tied on whether they think Democrats (40%) or Republicans (38%) have the better policy. On the issue of healthcare, however, 53% of likely voters feel that Democrats have the better policy as opposed to 27% who feel that Republicans have the better policy.

Some of this data is old. The poll was taken September 27 through October 5. 968 likely voters

57 percent of likely voters say they prefer a generic Democratic congressional candidate while 35 percent prefer a Republican. 62 percent disapprove of President Trump’s job performance while just 37 percent approve.

68 percent say they are “very motivated” to vote for a candidate who would “defend laws that protect healthcare for people with pre -existing conditions,” while 25 percent say are “somewhat motivated.” Whew.

While Gov. Bruce Rauner is turning up the heat on illegal immigration this week, just 27 percent say they are “very motivated” to vote for a candidate who would “make it a priority to deport more illegal immigrants from the US.”

Just 23 percent say they are “very motivated” to vote for a candidate who will support President Trump, while 49 percent say they are “very motivated” to vote for a candidate who will oppose President Trump.

Click here for more. And click here for xtabs.

  18 Comments      


NYT poll has Hultgren up by 4

Wednesday, Oct 10, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* NY Times poll of 501 respondents conducted October 3-8

Randy Hultgren 47%
Lauren Underwood 43%
Undecided 10%

* Neither candidate is very well known

Hultgren 31% favorable rating; 27% unfavorable; 42% don’t know
Underwood: 31% favorable rating; 14% unfavorable; 55% don’t know

Hultgren has been in Congress since 2011 and 42 percent of his district couldn’t pick him out of a lineup? Not good.

* More

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? 46% Approve; 49% Disapprove; 5% Don’t know

Would you prefer Republicans to retain control of the House of Representatives or would you prefer Democrats to take control? 50% Reps. keep House; 43% Dems. take House; 7% Don’t know

Do you support or oppose Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the United States Supreme Court? 51% Support; 45% Oppose; 5% Don’t know

As you may know, Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh has been accused of committing sexual assault when he was a teenager. Would you say you believe the allegations, you do not believe the allegations, or you simply are unable to come to a conclusion? 32% Believe; 36% Do not believe; 32% Don’t know

Do you support electing more people who describe themselves as feminists? 50% Support; 35% Oppose; 15% Don’t know

Is it important to elect more women to public office? 77% Agree; 14% Disagree; 9% Don’t know

As you think about your member of Congress, would you prefer your representative to support President Trump and his agenda, or to serve as a check on the president and his agenda? 43% Support; 51% Check; 6% Don’t know

The partisan split on the poll was 25 percent Democrat, 34 percent Republican, 39 percent independent and 1 percent other.

President Donald Trump won this district by almost 4 points two years ago. Sen. Mark Kirk won it by 8. Comptroller Leslie Munger won it by 21. Hultgren won it by almost 19. Times change.

  21 Comments      


Morning Consult Poll: Rauner disapproval rating is 62 percent

Wednesday, Oct 10, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Keep in mind that this is a Morning Consult poll and their methodology is on the opaque side. Anyway, here you go

For the seventh quarter in a row, the 10 most popular governors in the country are all Republicans.

Six of the governors who top the latest edition of Morning Consult’s Governor Approval Rankings — based on 361,607 surveys with registered voters across the country conducted July 1 through Sept. 25 — are on the ballot next month and appear to be cruising toward re-election.

* Republican Gov. Charlie Baker in Massachusetts is at the top of the national list. Gov. Rauner is the third least popular in the country

GOP Gov. Bruce Rauner of Illinois is the least popular governor on the list up for re-election this year, with 62 percent of voters in the state disapproving of his work. In Wisconsin, where Gov. Scott Walker is seeking a third term, 50 percent of Badger State voters disapprove of him, making him the second least popular Republican on the ballot next month.

Just 25 percent approve of Gov. Rauner’s job performance. 13 percent either don’t know or have no opinion.

…Adding… Note the timing of the big slide…



July of 2017 is when he vetoed the tax hike and brought in the Best Team In America™.

  40 Comments      


Mendoza launches first re-election ad

Wednesday, Oct 10, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

Today Illinois Comptroller Susana Mendoza released her first television ad of her re-election campaign: “Tough As Nails.” This ad highlights Mendoza’s fierce ability to take on challenges, whether on the soccer field or against Governor Rauner, and fight for what she believes in. In December 2017, Politico described Mendoza as a “tough-as-nails one-time All Midwest soccer star.”

As Illinois’ fiscal watchdog, Mendoza has transformed the Office of the Comptroller and shifted its priorities back to protecting the people. In only two years in office, Mendoza has achieved a long list of accomplishments including: passing the Debt Transparency Act to provide greater disclosure of state debt and save taxpayers billions; introducing the lowest Comptroller budget in 20 years; and recovering more than $36.5 million in outstanding debt for more than 400 local governments around Illinois.

Mendoza has led the resistance against Governor Rauner’s disastrous administration. Just as she did on the soccer field, Mendoza never backs down from a challenge. She has the strength and determination to keep fighting for the people of Illinois as Comptroller.

* The spot

* Script

Susana Mendoza: All I wanted to do was play soccer. And my mother said oh no, honey, you can’t play soccer. Only boys play soccer. My dad said if she wants to try it, let’s try it. After the first time she gets kicked in the shins, it’s gonna hurt, she’s not gonna want to play. I got kicked in the shins, I just kicked back harder.

Soccer Coach John Randall: They said, ‘Coach, she’s a girl!’ and I said I know, she’s the best player I have.

Susana Mendoza: I do play in a male-dominated world, but when people tell me I can’t do something, it just motivates me even more.

  34 Comments      


*** LIVE COVERAGE ***

Wednesday, Oct 10, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


  2 Comments      


These guys really do not like each other

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Sheesh…



* Zorn now thinks we should do away with debates altogether

The televised skirmish last Wednesday between Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner and his Democratic opponent, J.B. Pritzker, was so childish, so nasty, so uninformative and, overall, such a waste of an hour that it solidified my conversion to what’s likely an unpopular view:

Debates are a lousy way to evaluate candidates.

They may occasionally make for good theater, but politicians’ ability — or inability — to deliver zingers, dodge questions, pivot artfully, avoid gaffes and remember talking points in a rapid-fire rhetorical jousting match has little to do with their ability to be wise and effective elected officials.

If you wanted to hire, say, a real estate agent to sell your home, you would not invite all the prospects at once to your living room to see which one could most effectively trash the performance and honesty of the others. So why do we do essentially that when we want to hire (or rehire) a governor or any other major officeholder?

Thoughts?

  37 Comments      


The least-asked question of the election season

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Gov. Rauner at Crain’s Chicago Business the other day

In his interview with Crain’s, Rauner in painfully personal terms talked about how he’s lost 22 pounds and “a lot of hair,” often wakes at 3 a.m. and has lived a “very stressful” life for years.

He’s talked often about his striking weight loss.

* So, Tina Sfondeles asked the governor and JB Pritzker today about their health and how they handle stress

Rauner listed three ways he works to reduce stress: riding his motorcycle, swimming, as well as skating and rollerblading.

Pritzker listed his ways to decompress as having “great friends” and “great activities.” The billionaire entrepreneur and philanthropist said he’s a “decent” tennis player, “although I have trouble I admit getting everywhere on the court — sometimes I miss shots,” Pritzker said. He said he also enjoys lakefront walks.

Pritzker also said he is constantly monitoring his weight.

“I think you know I’ve had a weight problem nearly my entire life. Like a lot of other people, I’m always struggling with it. There’s no doubt about it. I always monitor it because, you know, my father passed away when he was young of a heart problem, and I’m always concerned about it,” Pritzker said. “I have two young children that are teenagers. I want to be well for them. So I’m always constantly keeping an eye on it.”

  22 Comments      


Pritzker now won’t define what “middle class income” is: “It doesn’t matter”

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Gov. Rauner defined “middle class income” today at the Sun-Times editorial board as between $50K and $200K for a family of three in Chicagoland. JB Pritzker wouldn’t take the bait and dodged the question. So, at the post-event gaggle he was asked again

Reporter: Why can’t you answer the question about middle class income? What do you believe middle class income is?

Pritzker: Well, again, I’ve told you that it’s important that we negotiate this with the people’s representatives…

Reporter: No, no, no. Not asking about the graduated…

Pritzker: It doesn’t matter.

Reporter: What does someone make who is middle…

Pritzker: But, it doesn’t matter. What does matter is that we’re going to have to negotiate this with the legislature and it’s going to have to go to a referendum of the people of Illinois.

Reporter: Governor said $50,000-$200,000…

Pritzker aide: Thank you!

Reporter: What does someone make who is middle class?

Pritzker: Thank you very much.

Reporter: What does someone make who is middle class?

Pritzker: Well we talked a little bit about that today.

Reporter: You didn’t answer it.

Pritzker: Thank you.

Reporter: Why is that difficult?

* Tracker video

  48 Comments      


Ives and McDermed talk #MeToo with Flannery

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Presented without comment


Ives on Flannery Fired Up 10.7.18

Ives joined Mike Flannery Fox 32 Chicago and State Represenative Margo McDermed to talk about sexual harassment in Springfield.

Posted by Ives for Illinois on Tuesday, October 9, 2018

  40 Comments      


Rauner blames Chicago crime on “massive number of illegal immigrants” who take away jobs

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Tribune

Gov. Bruce Rauner and challenger J.B. Pritzker clashed over immigration and Chicago violence Tuesday, with the Republican chief executive alleging that immigrants living illegally in the state are a factor in the city’s crime problem while the Democrat said they contribute to Illinois’ economy. […]

“Illegal immigration takes jobs away from Americans. It holds down wages, hurts union workers, farmworkers, factory workers, hurts wages and raises unemployment,” Rauner said.

“One of the reasons we have such high unemployment in the city of Chicago and so much crime is the massive number of illegal immigrants here take jobs away from American citizens and Chicago citizens,” he contended, adding that Pritzker wants to make Illinois a “sanctuary state.”

But Pritzker said the state needed someone to stand up against President Donald Trump’s efforts to crack down on immigrants entering and living in the country illegally. “They are good for the economy of the state of Illinois,” he said.

Video clip is here.

* Rauner was asked by reporters after the Sun-Times editorial board event to clarify his connection of illegal immigration to Chicago’s crime issue

Reporter: Governor can we clarify what you said about illegal immigrants? It sounded like you were saying that illegal immigrants are the cause of crime in Chicago. What proof do you have of that and why would you say that?

Rauner: Unemployment, unemployment and low wages are part of contributing to crime in Chicago. There’s a lack of economic opportunity. How does illegal immigration relate to that? Illegal immigration, large scale illegal immigration, holds down wages and takes jobs that would otherwise be available for American citizens, Chicago citizens, takes them for illegal immigrants. That’s the connection. It’s about lack of economic opportunity.

Reporter: How many Chicagoans want the types of jobs that illegal immigrants are doing, though? Whether it’s a landscaping job or something else that’s being paid cash on the side. How many Chicagoans really want those jobs?

Rauner: Chicagoans want to work. You ask someone in Lawndale, Austin, Englewood whether they want to work. They do. They’re looking for jobs. Those jobs in too many cases are being filled by illegal immigrants. That’s wrong. I support legal immigration. Legal immigration is good and America is built by legal immigrats. But illegal immigration, we have immigration laws for a reason, and Mr. Pritzker has been very clear he says there’s no one here illegally. There’s no such thing as an ‘illegal person.’ That’s just not true. And he said specifically that he supports sanctuary cities and making Illinois a sanctuary state. I do not. We have immigration laws. They should be enforced. And the lack of economic opportunity on the South Side and West Side is a major driver of the violence there and we’ve got to fix that.

* Pritzker campaign…

“At today’s editorial board, Bruce Rauner blamed immigrants for crime in Chicago, demonizing entire communities with a vicious attack that may as well have come directly from Donald Trump’s mouth,” said Pritzker campaign spokeswoman Jordan Abudayyeh. “This is divisive and shameful rhetoric from a failed governor who time and again has stood in the way of investing in communities and passing commonsense gun safety legislation to keep families safe.”

…Adding… I forgot about this Sun-Times story from the weekend about illegal immigrants who work in Chinese restaurants in Chicago

But since he started working at eateries three years ago, he said he has shuffled between Asian restaurants all over the Midwest, putting in 12- or 13-hour days, six days a week, for pay that works out to a few dollars an hour. The men say they get virtually no breaks and are often treated poorly, put up in substandard housing. […]

The lawsuit claimed the agencies and their restaurant clients “collectively set the wages for each Latino worker referred as low as $3.50 an hour, well below the $8.25 minimum wage in Illinois.” The employees work 12-15 hours a day, six days a week with “no bona fide meal breaks.”

  49 Comments      


NRCC uses Madigan against Underwood in new TV ad

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* From the National Republican Congressional Committee…

The NRCC today released a new TV ad, “Madigan’s Candidate,” which introduces voters to IL-14 Democrat Lauren Underwood, whose campaign is bankrolled by liberal politicians Mike Madigan and Nancy Pelosi.

“Illinoisans know first-hand just how corrupt the Mike Madigan machine is,” said NRCC Communications Director Matt Gorman. “They now know that Madigan and his liberal allies moved Lauren Underwood to the district just to run for Congress, because she supports his and Nancy Pelosi’s radical agenda of a government takeover of your health care.”

That’s definitely a sign that things are starting to break bad for the Republican incumbent.

I think the only contested congressional race where Madigan hasn’t yet been an issue is Rodney Davis’ 13th CD battle against Betsy Dirksen Londrigan.

* The ad

In my opinion at this point in time, the Republicans’ bump from the Kavanaugh thing was a dead cat bounce. In other words, not sustainable. Should be a fascinating four weeks.

…Adding… New TV ad from Sean Casten

* Script…

Randall: After Isabel was born, she was diagnosed with tuberous sclerosis, a rare genetic disorder that causes tumors to grow throughout the vital organs. She can’t do any of the things a normal kid, her age does.

Narrator: Peter Roskam repeatedly attacked the law that protects Isabel and other Americans who have a pre-existing condition, voting against it 60 times.

Randall: Peter Roskam had 60 chances to do the right thing.

Kelly: And he let us down every single time.

  13 Comments      


You can register to vote all the way up to election day in Illinois

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* It’s more than a couple…



* New York Times

Illinois: The deadline to register in person is Oct. 9. The deadline to register online is Oct. 21. After that, residents can register and vote at a local election office during a “grace period.”

Incomplete.

* Newsweek

Illinois: Residents in Illinois can register in person until Tuesday, October 9. Online registration will end on Sunday, October 21.

Incomplete.

* WREX TV

The deadline for registering to vote or re-registering at a local board of elections office in Illinois is Tuesday, Oct. 9.

If you miss the deadline you can still register online through the State Board of Elections for the next two weeks, until Oct. 22.

You can also register to vote on Election Day at the board of elections office. If you choose to register to vote on Election day, you cannot register at your polling place, unless your polling place is the board of elections office.

Sigh. Just horrible reporting there.

It goes on and on and on, but you get the idea.

* From the Illinois State Board of Elections

Regular registration is available year-round with exception to the 27-day period prior to an election, or 16 days prior through online paperless voter applications available on the State Board of Elections website. […]

Grace period registration is an extension of the regular registration deadline from the 27th day prior to an election through Election Day. Grace period registration is only available “in-person” at sites authorized by each election authority.

* The Board also has a handy online calendar. Today is indeed the final day of “regular registration,” either for in-person or when your registration form is mailed in. “Grace period” registration begins tomorrow and lasts all the way through election day. Online voter registration has been continuous and closes at 11:59:59 pm on October 21st.

* As for same-day registration/voting (it has to be done at the same time), here’s where you can register/vote

Office of the election authority, at a permanent polling place, at any other early voting site, … at a polling place on election day, or at a voter registration location specifically designated for this purpose by the election authority.

There are different rules for counties under 100,000 which do not use electronic poll books.

The only time you can’t register to vote in Illinois is the day or two after the election.

  8 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Supplement to today’s edition

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

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Pritzker finally lists IG report’s “inaccuracies”

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* JB Pritzker complained during and after last week’s debate of inaccuracies in the Cook County Inspector General’s report about his reassessment, but wouldn’t say what those were. He was asked again after the Sun-Times editorial board meeting today by reporters

Pritzker: I’d guess I’d point to the fact that numerous people have said that the designation was proper. Um, and that was somewhat ignored in the report.

Reporter: Who would that be?

Pritzker: Well, in the report you can see. And actually they sort of cite it but they don’t emphasize it. Uh, and then in another part of the report they talk about some of the other items of disrepair, but again don’t emphasize it, seem to overlook it. So those are some of the inaccuracies.

* I asked the Pritzker campaign for a citation in the IG report where people said the uninhabitable designation was proper. I was directed to page 12

[The Appraisal Firm President] said he recalled that the property was in very poor condition, with the staircase pitched in such a way that it was dangerous. The Appraisal Firm President opined that property was a ‘gut rehab.’ He related that had he been informed that the toilets were in place on January 1, 2015 [the date of the retrospective appraisal] he would have documented the information in the appraisal report although it would not have changed his opinion of the property’s value.

* And page 13

The Associate Appraiser related that aside from the missing toilets, from what he saw, he believes the residence was still uninhabitable because there were other things wrong with it. For example, the Associate Appraiser said the main staircase looked structurally unsound.

* And page 21

The Valuation/Appeals Deputy was asked, ‘How would the Assessor view the fact that a homeowner removed all the toilets from the residence for purposes of arguing that it was uninhabitable?’ He replied, ‘If that were solely in isolation, which reminds me of a political commercial which implies that that’s what it is, that’s a different situation than if I’m talking about a stairwell that is under bracing, mold in the basement, 2,300 square feet that’s not livable, and a bunch of other things. … A person that was trying to do something solely to do one thing as a technicality in the hope they would get relief is a different situation than in the totality of circumstances, toilets are removed with a whole bunch of other stuff. So I can’t tell you what would happen if we confronted just that one oddball thing, but it doesn’t appear that’s what this is here, that we had here. We have a whole bunch of things in this building, okay.’

I’ve asked the IG for a response.

  56 Comments      


Raoul launches new ad while both candidates say wait and see on AG Madigan’s Quincy probe

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* New Kwame Raoul TV ad

* Script…

You won’t believe what Republican Erika Harold believes. Just like Trump, Harold pledged to eliminate Obamacare, leaving a million Illinoisans without coverage, denying lifesaving care to children with pre-existing conditions.

As a cancer survivor, Kwame Raoul believes that everyone deserves access to affordable, quality healthcare. That’s why he took on the special interests and expanded Obamacare.

[Raoul]: Healthcare should not be a privilege; it should be a human right. I’m Kwame Raoul. This is the work of my life, and I’m just getting started.

* Meanwhile, from the Tribune

Rauner’s campaign gave Erika Harold’s bid for attorney general another $500,000 last week, state campaign finance reports showed. Rauner’s campaign gave her $1 million in August and previously paid for $305,000 worth of ads in the March GOP primary. She is facing Democratic state Sen. Kwame Raoul to replace retiring Attorney General Lisa Madigan.

Raoul received $500K from JB Pritzker last week and another $200K from the Chicago Land Operators Joint Labor-Management PAC.

* Tribune

Both candidates vying to replace Attorney General Lisa Madigan said Friday they don’t know enough about her investigation into Gov. Bruce Rauner’s administration’s response to deaths from Legionnaires’ disease at the Quincy veterans home to say whether it’s appropriate.

Republican attorney Erika Harold, who has been backed by Rauner, said investigating circumstances surrounding the government-run home and the outbreak itself is appropriate. Fourteen residents have died of Legionnaires’ at the Illinois Veterans Home in Quincy since 2015.

“Without knowing what laws that she’s looking into and what evidence she has, I’m not able to comment whether it’s appropriate for her to open that particular probe,” Harold said at a good-government forum downtown. “But I am able to definitively say it is very appropriate for us to have an investigation about what happened and what we can learn.”

* Excerpt from post-debate Raoul campaign press release

While Raoul spoke openly about his legal and advocacy goals for the office, Harold tried to have it both ways.

She stated that her personal views don’t matter since she will simply defend Illinois law, yet throughout the debate, she advocated for changes to state law in select areas and even touted her ability to exercise discretion in litigation.

I asked which law changes she spoke of.

* Response…

She mentioned grand jury power, sexual harassment (including non-legislators on the ethics commission), legalization of marijuana, sentencing reform, other types of criminal justice reform

She’s referenced other topics in previous interviews, but then says choice and marriage equality are “settled law” so therefore her opinion is not important to share with voters.

* Related…

* Illinois attorney general candidates talk priorities in upcoming election - 3 share thoughts on opioid epidemic, gun control ahead of Nov. 6

  15 Comments      


Rauner returns to bashing U of I

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Could the U of I do better? Sure. But they wouldn’t have to raise so much money if the state was a reliable partner

“The University of Illinois has an extraordinary alumni network,” Rauner recently told Crain’s editorial board. “Only one of them, oh, actually two, have given any material amount of money to the university, and (it has) dozens of half-a-billion to billion to multi- to decca-billionaires. Most of them have never given a nickel. Why not? The U of I is atrocious at fundraising. They treated their alumni shabbily.”

Nonetheless, the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign landed its largest gift ever this year, receiving $150 million from Chicago private-equity pro and alum Larry Gies, who donated to the school’s College of Business. And the system’s foundation, which raises funds across the university’s three campuses, Urbana-Champaign, Chicago and Springfield, reported a record $499 million for this year.

While Gies as well as big-name alumni such as Chicago venture capitalist Steve Miller and Silicon Valley tech entrepreneur Tom Siebel have given hundreds of millions of dollars to UIUC, there are others who have been lower-profile in their philanthropy, if not absent. Only 6.9 percent of the university’s alumni contributed to the school last year, compared with about 7.8 percent nationally for all institutions and 7.2 percent for public research institutions, like UIUC, according to the Council for Aid to Education. Also, U of I system’s $2.73 billion endowment across the three campuses is paltry compared to those of prestigious private schools, and even some public ones. […]

Public universities are increasingly focused on private donations as state funding declines. Illinois schools are particularly keen on it after a depletion of reserves during a recent two-year budget impasse that underscored the cash-strapped state’s unreliable support. Illinois allocated $600.5 million to the university system’s $6.8 billion budget this year for a record 85,600 students, including the biggest population, 49,340, at the system’s most prestigious campus, Urbana-Champaign. […]

“We are going flat-out on our overall fundraising efforts here,” University of Illinois System President Tim Killeen says. The system has raised more than half of its $3.1 billion goal.

…Adding… Let’s add a bona fide screwup to this post

Former SIU System President Randy Dunn’s lack of action on a key funding request may have hindered Southern Illinois University Carbondale’s recruitment efforts in his final months on the job, according to documents obtained by The Southern Illinoisan via a Freedom of Information Act request.

E-mails between top administrators show that Dunn declined to give final approval on $499,000 in recruitment spending at SIUC for more than two months this summer, setting back crucial and time-sensitive recruitment initiatives. Per SIU protocol, any expenditure over $100,000 must be approved by the system president.

The money was requested to purchase the names and contact information of students who took the SAT, ACT and other standardized tests. The name buys are standard practice at four-year universities, and are “critical” to new-student recruitment, said Jennifer DeHaemers, SIUC’s associate chancellor for enrollment management. […]

“When we can’t spend the money to purchase names, it slows our recruiting down,” DeHaemers said. “Other schools beat you in getting their information in front of students, which makes us play catch-up.”

  33 Comments      


Rauner still working on his base: Remap, Sanctuary state, JB = Jail Bird

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Bernie

Sangamon County Republicans, at a central committee meeting last week, were strongly encouraged to vote for Gov. BRUCE RAUNER even if they have disagreements with some of his actions.

“I know there are mixed feelings for our governor, and I respect your feelings,” party Chair ROSEMARIE LONG told more than 100 committeemen, officials and campaign representatives. “But do you want to wake up the next day and find out we lost by a few votes?” She said they shouldn’t let “one issue” get in the way. It was a reference to Rauner having signed a bill to expand taxpayer funded abortion.

She said the “big picture” is the coming remapping of legislative and congressional district boundaries after the 2020 Census — and the importance of being able to stop a Democratic legislature from having its way with the lines.

“Look up the words partisan and tyranny in the dictionary,” said the generally mild-mannered Long. “Friends, we’re screwed for another 10 years at least if we do not elect Bruce Rauner.”

* Illinois Review

“The bill I signed did not make Illinois a sanctuary … period, end of story,” Governor Bruce Rauner told a group of Republicans gathered in Palos Park Saturday.

Whether the Trust Act made Illinois a sanctuary state is a topic that the governor has been facing since he signed it into law last year. His frustration with what he considers confusion over the issue was evident in his reply.

“Then why are they saying that?” one of the members of the United Southland Republican Women asked.

“Because they are political attacks to undermine me,” Rauner replied. “Fake news. Listen guys, this is really important, it’s really important. I have fought sanctuary every year, I have vetoed bills and stopped it. That bill I did sign - that was a 40 page bill when it started. It … made us a sanctuary.

“I said no, and we shrunk it down to a 2-page bill and all it does is do what judges said we need to do when we’re interacting with illegal immigrants. It still says we should coordinate with ICE agents. In no way does it make us a sanctuary.”

* Illinois Review

With four weeks until the November election, incumbent Governor Bruce Rauner pulled no punches against his Democrat challenger J.B. Pritzker during a visit with United Southland Republican Women Saturday. Saying his opponent is likely to be indicted for a property tax “scheme to defraud,” Rauner said “J B” will stand for “Jail Bird.”

“People go to prison for a lot less…” the governor said. After a yearlong investigation of emails and talking to the contractors working on the mansion next door, Democrat Pritzker “cheated on his property taxes, took toilets out right before the inspection, and said ‘Nobody can live in this house, it doesn’t have toilets. It must be worthless,’” Rauner said.

“Cheated you - if you live in Cook County - out of $330,000. This is fraud, and I can darn near guarantee that he’ll be indicted sometime in the coming months. He might set a record - he could be indicted before he would become governor - that would be a record. That would be a record for the state of Illinois, and you know what - What’s ‘JB’ going to stand for? Jail Bird … ”

  44 Comments      


Congressional updates: Underwood raises $2+ million; Casten up by 5; Londrigan down by 1

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

With 28 days until Election Day, Lauren Underwood, Democratic candidate for Congress in Illinois’ 14th District, announced today that her campaign raised more than two million dollars during the final FEC filing quarter before the Nov. 6 General Election.

Underwood’s announcement comes on the heels of two key editorial board endorsements of her campaign, from the Chicago Sun-Times and the Daily Herald.

“We have the momentum in this race. The excitement about our campaign is palpable — our voters began heading to their polling places as soon as early voting began,” Underwood said. “I’m so thankful to the thousands of people across our community who have invested in this race. It’s clear that voters in the 14th are ready for real representation in Congress and we have have the resources we need to win in November”

Underwood outraised her incumbent Republican opponent, Randy Hultgren, during the previous two consecutive FEC filing quarters. Underwood will post her full FEC filing Oct. 15.

* Polling memo from Sean Casten’s campaign

Our latest poll shows Sean Casten expanding his lead over Peter Roskam to five points (49% Casten, 44% Roskam), up from a three-point lead in early September. Roskam’s job approval and personal ratings remain in negative territory, and his electoral support has been mired in the mid-40s since our first poll in April. Meanwhile, Sean Casten is becoming better known and better liked with each passing day. Voters clearly have soured on Peter Roskam , and their attitudes are calcifying quickly. Millions of d ollars spent trying to rebrand Roskam has done nothing to change voters’ negative impressions of him. And efforts to tarnish Sean Casten with lies and distortions about his business record have failed , despite Roskam and outside groups sinking millions more on these attempts . Congressman Roskam’s continued support for President Trump’s divisive and unpopular agenda is proving disqualifying among the thoughtful, moderate voters in this district .

More here.

* WCIA TV

A new internal poll shows Democrat Betsy Dirksen-Londrigan within one percentage point of three-term incumbent Republican Congressman Rodney Davis.

Londrigan trails Davis 49 to 48 percent, according to the new poll which was conducted between October 1st and 4th. The one-point margin is well within the margin of error of 4.4 percent.

Democratic firm GBA strategies says their survey, which polled 500 likely voters, shows the race for Illinois’ 13th Congressional District is one of the closest in the country. The same polling firm found Londrigan trailed Davis by a five point margin, 51 to 46, last month.​​​​​​​

Polling memo is here.

* New ad from Brendan Kelly….

* Press release…

Following the weekend confirmation vote of Brett Kavanaugh, NARAL Pro-Choice America today announced a new $1 million ad campaign to hold the Republican Party accountable and urge voters to “vote them out.”

The ads start with pictures of Brett Kavanaugh, Donald Trump and the protests that took over Washington during the last month, and state that the Republican Party is advancing an agenda that “harms and silences” women and that it is time to “vote them out.”

The ad campaign, which will include TV, digital ads and mail, will target Representatives Young (IA-3), Roskam (IL-6), Yoder (KS-3), Tenney (NY-22), Culberson (TX-7), Lewis (MN-2) and Brat (VA-7).

The Roskam TV ad is here.

* Roskam press release…

Respectful disagreement and civility have been noticeably absent during this election cycle, and the rampant theft of political yard signs in the Sixth District is just one more example. Day after day, Roskam supporters are calling into the local campaign office reporting signs stolen from their yards and personal property—and one such attempt was caught on camera as a Sean Casten supporter hovered over a sign around 2 a.m. in a yard that has already reported several yard sign thefts. Peter Roskam is calling on Casten to end the dirty campaign tactics and denounce this illicit behavior by his supporters.

This past week, at a Roskam supporter’s home in Wheaton, a young man in a hoody was spotted in her front yard with both hands on the Roskam for Congress yard sign. When called out to, the young man jumped and claimed he was “just looking at the sign” and proceeded to try to ask her questions about her support for Roskam. The home has been a target of sign theft three times to date.

Over 250 Roskam for Congress yard signs have been stolen since their distribution starting on Labor Day, September 3—with over 100 of that number occurring in the past week.

The video is here.

* Related…

* Civil Rights leader to hold rally with Brendan Kelly: Democratic U.S. Rep. John Lewis is set to appear at a Get Out the Vote rally in East St. Louis with Kelly, who is seeking to unseat U.S. Rep. Mike Bost, R-Murphysboro.

* Democrat’s poll shows Casten ahead of Roskam by 5 points

* Sun-Times endorses these 12 congressional candidates – and here’s why

* Daily Herald Endorsement: Roskam for Congress in 6th District

* Tribune: For the US House: Roskam, Tillman, Kelly, Lipinski and Garcia

* Roskam, GOP mostly quiet on Kavanaugh vote, but local Dems outspoken

  33 Comments      


*** UPDATED x2 *** Important message to subscribers about today’s edition

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* I scheduled this morning’s subscriber e-mail earlier this morning and it never went out. I scheduled it again and it still hasn’t gone out. You can e-mail me for the password if you’d like. Sorry about this. I’m checking into it.

*** UPDATE 1 *** I’m told that Constant Contact is having some issues. All e-mails will supposedly clear in the next 30-45 minutes. Fingers crossed.

*** UPDATE 2 *** The subscriber edition is now being sent out.

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*** UPDATED x1 - Rauner calls report “baloney” *** Did Greg Hinz solve the mystery of the leak?

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Hmm

Political insiders are pointing to a senior aide to Cook County Treasurer Maria Pappas as the person who leaked a “confidential” report by county Inspector General Patrick Blanchard, a report that has thrown a big last-minute obstacle in the path of Democratic gubernatorial hopeful J.B. Pritzker.

The aide: Peter Karahalios, Pappas’ general counsel and a friend and appointee of incumbent GOP Gov. Bruce Rauner.

The report charged that Pritzker associates engaged in “a scheme to defraud” the county by yanking out toilets in Gold Coast mansion he owned and then claiming that he was owed hundreds of thousands of dollars of property-tax cuts because the building was become uninhabitable. Rauner, badly trailing in the polls, has seized on the issue with vigor, and yesterday launched a new TV ad blitz declaring, “Illinois can’t afford another governor going to jail.” […]

I’m told by multiple sources who say they are sure of their facts that the document was leaked to the Sun-Times by campaign aides to Gov. Bruce Rauner. Rauner’s campaign spokesman and Sun-Times editor Chris Fusco both declined to comment.

That makes the question of who gave it to the Sun-Times. And I’m told by someone with direct knowledge that it was Peter Karahalios, with a second source close to the matter indicating they, too, believe that is the case.

There’s more, so go read the rest.

*** UPDATE *** Gov. Rauner was asked today about Greg’s report about how the leak may have been from one of the governor’s friends

I have no idea, it sounds like baloney to me.

Rauner went on to ask why Cook County State’s Attorney Kim Foxx and Attorney General Lisa Madigan didn’t initiate an investigation a year ago.

“Why did it take, apparently, an inspector general in the assessor’s office?” the governor asked rhetorically. “That’s not even necessarily his role.”

Um, actually, it is precisely his role.

  29 Comments      


Why Rauner really opposes a graduated income tax

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* My weekly syndicated newspaper column

JB Pritzker was recently endorsed by Crain’s Chicago Business. Yes, you read that right. The state’s premiere business magazine endorsed a candidate whose biggest promise is to raise taxes on the publication’s well-off subscriber base.

Gov. Bruce Rauner has called Pritzker’s graduated income tax proposal “a green light to raise taxes on everyone.”

Pritzker has infamously dodged hundreds if not thousands of questions about what the graduated rates will be and where the cutoff will be between a middle-class tax cut and tax hike on the wealthy.

“The reason Mr. Pritzker doesn’t want to answer the question.” Rauner said during the last debate, “is because he knows it’s going to crush the middle class, and he doesn’t want to admit it before the election.”

Maybe. But the main reason that people like Rauner hate Pritzker’s idea is not that it’ll necessarily make middle class families pay more taxes.

Increasing taxes on everyone is a very difficult thing to do here. A two-percentage point tax hike only passed in 2011 because the state was in extremely dire fiscal straits. Before that, the tax rate wasn’t increased by more than a half a point since the income tax was created in 1969. The rate was increased last year because a bipartisan supermajority in both chambers reacted to another extremely dire fiscal condition after part of the 2011 increase expired.

But it would be a whole different ball game with graduated rates. And people like Rauner know this all too well. The temptation for politicians to raise taxes only on “the rich” will be really difficult to resist during tough fiscal times.

Right now, with a flat tax, that can’t be done. A tax hike for one is a tax hike for all.

But if our state’s constitution is amended to allow for graduated rates, a Democratic legislature could decide down the road to slap an extra surcharge on all annual income over, say, a million dollars. And then do it again. Who would be opposed to that? Well, millionaires, of course, but there’s not enough of them to stop the Democrats.

I’m not saying that Rauner is trying to block a graduated tax for his own personal sake. He may be, but I’m not saying it. I’m saying that Rauner truly believes that wealthy people create jobs (even though his former firm created lots of wealth and very few actual jobs), and harming wealthy people harms job creation and that harms the poor and the middle class and Democrats don’t care about wealthy people, so the graduated tax must be stopped at all costs to protect the wealthy and the poor and the middle class.

At least, that’s the theory. The reality is more jobs were created in the four years after Illinois’ January 2011 tax hike than the four years after it was automatically lowered and then raised again.

Gov. Rauner warned that the 2017 tax increase passed over his veto would be a “disaster” for the state and imperil our economic and fiscal future, but he’s now crowing about recent job growth and a balanced budget.

Rauner’s loud warnings about the damage the tax hike would do were wrong, so, that undermines his similar warnings about a graduated tax.

And, if the polling is correct, the idea isn’t hurting Pritzker at all. Three polls in a row have shown Pritzker with double-digit leads. The most recent poll by the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute had Pritzker ahead of Rauner by 22 points.

One of Rauner’s many weaknesses exposed by the poll was that only 67 percent of Republicans supported him. I crunched the numbers and found that even if he captured 90 percent of the Republican vote, he’d move from his current 27 percent all the way up to… 31.5 percent. And if he then captured every single one of the undecided independents (an impossibility), he’d go from 31.5 percent to 37 percent.

The governor is spectacularly unpopular, but the current political environment is just horrible for his party. The partisan split in the Simon poll was a whopping 49 percent Democrat to 27 percent Republican.

The last off-year Democratic wave was 2006, and exit polls showed the partisan makeup of the Illinois electorate was 46 percent Democrat to 31 percent Republican. That’s close to the Simon Poll results.

The current environment simply makes it easier for a Democrat to talk about a tax hike and still win, particularly if his opponent is as unpopular as Rauner.

  23 Comments      


Question of the day

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* You’ll remember this from Friday

The Illinois Fraternal Order of Police blasted the jury verdict finding Jason Van Dyke guilty of second-degree murder and aggravated battery in the shooting of Laquan McDonald — a sentiment that was shared by many members of a Far South Side neighborhood where many police officers live.

In a statement issued Friday, the state FOP — based in Springfield — decried the ruling.

“This is a day I never thought I’d see in America, where 12 ordinary citizens were duped into saving the asses of self-serving politicians at the expense of a dedicated public servant,” the statement from State Lodge President Chris Southwood said.

“This sham trial and shameful verdict is a message to every law enforcement officer in America that it’s not the perpetrator in front of you that you need to worry about, it’s the political operatives stabbing you in the back. What cop would still want to be proactive fighting crime after this disgusting charade, and are law abiding citizens ready to pay the price?”

* You may recall that this was the first press release I received after the Van Dyke guilty verdict

“Today, Jason Van Dyke was held accountable for his role in the tragic death of Laquan McDonald and justice was finally served for him and for his family, who have already endured so much during this difficult time,” said JB Pritzker and Juliana Stratton. “While there is still so much work to do, we believe this verdict represents an important step — one of many — towards fostering an environment of respect and accountability between law enforcement and the communities they serve.”

* You might not remember this story from June

The Illinois Fraternal Order of Police State Lodge (FOP) endorsed Democratic candidate J.B. Pritzker for governor Friday. […]

“I’m proud to have the support of the Illinois FOP and the working families they represent,” Pritzker said. “With workers’ rights under assault, Illinois needs a governor who will stand up for working families.” […]

Illinois FOP State Lodge President Chris Southwood said “Illinois needs a fresh start and J.B. is the man to do it.”

“Law enforcement officers, like all other working men and women in Illinois, want a leader who won’t bankrupt the state by trying to dictate his own personal agenda at all costs. The 34,000 members of the Illinois FOP have confidence that J.B. Pritzker is the best candidate to shake up Springfield and return civility decency and a true sense of public service to Illinois.”

* I asked the Pritzker campaign over the weekend if the candidate would renounce his ILFOP endorsement…

JB and Juliana wholeheartedly disagree with their statement and their position. They believe justice was served for Laquan McDonald and his family.

* The Question: Should JB Pritzker renounce his ILFOP endorsement? Take the poll and then explain your answer in comments, please.


free polls

  25 Comments      


Rate the new Pritzker ad

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Press release…

Today, the Pritzker campaign released a new TV ad on Sterigenics, a company that Rauner’s company owned that’s poisoning DuPage County: “Not an Emergency.”

The Environmental Protection Agency found that Sterigenics has been releasing cancer-causing toxins into the community, but the Rauner administration refused to take immediate action to shut down the facility and protect Illinois families. Rauner even downplayed the U.S. EPA report when it came to light, saying “this is not an emergency, this is not a public health immediate crisis,” as his administration delayed and refused to release key records. Meanwhile there have been weeks of public outcry, impeding lawsuits, and a pledge by the U.S. EPA to conduct further air pollution tests.

“A company that was owned by Bruce Rauner is poisoning DuPage County, but this failed governor refused to take immediate action to protect families from cancer-causing toxins,” said Pritzker campaign communications director Galia Slayen. “From Willowbrook to Quincy, Rauner proves unwilling to take charge and protect public health over his own image.”

* The ad

* Script

Voiceover: Sterigenics. It’s an industrial sterilization company in DuPage County. Nearby, 19,000 people and four schools. Bruce Rauner’s company owned Sterigenics. But when the Environmental Protection Agency recently found chemicals were causing an elevated cancer risk and residents became sick, Rauner disagreed.

Rauner: This is not an emergency. This is not a public health immediate crisis.

Voiceover: Then he refused to give records to the Attorney General. Four years of failure is enough.

  18 Comments      


Rate the new Rauner ad

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Monday press release….

Today, the Rauner campaign is launching a new statewide TV ad titled “Scheme To Defraud.”

Last week, an independent Inspector General report detailed JB Pritzker’s scheme to defraud Illinois taxpayers. After filing fraudulent affidavits to the Cook County Assessor’s office, Pritzker received a $330,000 tax break on his home, forcing Illinois taxpayers to pay the price of his fraudulent behavior. Pritzker’s potential criminal activities have now been referred to the special prosecutions unit of the Cook County State’s Attorney’s office.

* The spot

* Script

“JB Pritzker engaged in a scheme to defraud taxpayers.”

“A scandal over toilets and taxes.”

“He and his wife used the toilets to defraud Cook County.”

“Ultimately costing the county more that $300,000 in property taxes.”

“A scheme to defraud tax collectors.”

“Did he commit a crime and could he be prosecuted?”

“Could face federal tax fraud charges.”

“You got perjury, you got conspiracy, you got all kinds of federal crimes.”

  25 Comments      


*** LIVE COVERAGE ***

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* Follow along with ScribbleLive


  1 Comment      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

This post is password protected. To view it please enter your password below:

  Comments Off      


*** LIVE *** Sun-Times editorial board with Rauner and Pritzker

Tuesday, Oct 9, 2018 - Posted by Rich Miller

* The festivities begin at 9 o’clock. Click here to watch.

…Adding… The website’s video feed has crashed. Click here for the Facebook video feed.

…Adding… From the Rauner campaign…

Today, Governor Rauner and JB Pritzker will meet with the Chicago Sun-Times editorial board. Just a week after the Chicago Sun-Times reported on an independent Inspector General report in which Pritzker’s “scheme to defraud” Illinois taxpayers was uncovered, Pritzker has yet to provide a substantive answer for the Inspector General’s conclusion.

Pritzker has been hounded with questions about the “scheme to defraud” ever since, including a press conference in which he couldn’t point to anything wrong with the report, as reported by Capitol Fax.
Here are the key questions Pritzker has yet to answer:

What exact mistakes does Pritzker think are in the IG report?

How was the report ‘taken out of context’ as Pritzker claims?

Why did Pritzker lie on his affidavits?

If Pritzker actually did follow the rules, then why is he giving the money back?

Would Pritzker have repaid the money if he hadn’t been caught?

…Adding… Pritzker campaign…

In 2014, Rauner told one editorial board, “Give me four years, and I’ll say to the voters, ‘throw me out of office in four years if I don’t deliver results,’” and in the four years since, it’s clear his prediction may come true.

At the same editorial board, Rauner said he’s “very big on veterans support services. I’m a big advocate for veterans.” But in every year Rauner has been governor, Legionnaires’ disease has plagued the Quincy Veterans’ Home, leaving 14 dead and nearly 70 sickened. Rauner’s administration contributed to a six-day delay in notifying the public that a disease expert called “mind boggling” and “inexcusable,” and now they’re subject to a dozen negligence lawsuits from families and a criminal probe.

“When Bruce Rauner sits down before editorial boards, he makes big promises and comes up empty,” said Pritzker campaign spokeswoman Jordan Abudayyeh. “This failed governor made our nation’s heroes pay the ultimate price for his criminal, fatal mismanagement, and it’s time to give Rauner his wish and throw him out of office.”

  4 Comments      


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* Groups warn about plan that doesn't appear to be in the works
* SB 328: Separating Lies From Truth
* Campaign news: Big Raja money; Benton over-shares; Rashid's large cash pile; Jeffries to speak at IDCCA brunch
* Rep. Hoan Huynh jumps into packed race for Schakowsky’s seat (Updated)
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